1.Explainable machine learning model for predicting septic shock in critically sepsis patients based on coagulation indexes: A multicenter cohort study.
Qing-Bo ZENG ; En-Lan PENG ; Ye ZHOU ; Qing-Wei LIN ; Lin-Cui ZHONG ; Long-Ping HE ; Nian-Qing ZHANG ; Jing-Chun SONG
Chinese Journal of Traumatology 2025;28(6):404-411
PURPOSE:
Septic shock is associated with high mortality and poor outcomes among sepsis patients with coagulopathy. Although traditional statistical methods or machine learning (ML) algorithms have been proposed to predict septic shock, these potential approaches have never been systematically compared. The present work aimed to develop and compare models to predict septic shock among patients with sepsis.
METHODS:
It is a retrospective cohort study based on 484 patients with sepsis who were admitted to our intensive care units between May 2018 and November 2022. Patients from the 908th Hospital of Chinese PLA Logistical Support Force and Nanchang Hongdu Hospital of Traditional Chinese Medicine were respectively allocated to training (n=311) and validation (n=173) sets. All clinical and laboratory data of sepsis patients characterized by comprehensive coagulation indexes were collected. We developed 5 models based on ML algorithms and 1 model based on a traditional statistical method to predict septic shock in the training cohort. The performance of all models was assessed using the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve and calibration plots. Decision curve analysis was used to evaluate the net benefit of the models. The validation set was applied to verify the predictive accuracy of the models. This study also used Shapley additive explanations method to assess variable importance and explain the prediction made by a ML algorithm.
RESULTS:
Among all patients, 37.2% experienced septic shock. The characteristic curves of the 6 models ranged from 0.833 to 0.962 and 0.630 to 0.744 in the training and validation sets, respectively. The model with the best prediction performance was based on the support vector machine (SVM) algorithm, which was constructed by age, tissue plasminogen activator-inhibitor complex, prothrombin time, international normalized ratio, white blood cells, and platelet counts. The SVM model showed good calibration and discrimination and a greater net benefit in decision curve analysis.
CONCLUSION
The SVM algorithm may be superior to other ML and traditional statistical algorithms for predicting septic shock. Physicians can better understand the reliability of the predictive model by Shapley additive explanations value analysis.
Humans
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Shock, Septic/blood*
;
Machine Learning
;
Male
;
Female
;
Retrospective Studies
;
Middle Aged
;
Aged
;
Sepsis/complications*
;
ROC Curve
;
Cohort Studies
;
Adult
;
Intensive Care Units
;
Algorithms
;
Blood Coagulation
;
Critical Illness
2.Mediating effect of sleep duration between depression symptoms and myopia in middle school students.
Wei DU ; Xu-Xiang YANG ; Ru-Shuang ZENG ; Chun-Yao ZHAO ; Zhi-Peng XIANG ; Yuan-Chun LI ; Jie-Song WANG ; Xiao-Hong SU ; Xiao LU ; Yu LI ; Jing WEN ; Dang HAN ; Qun DU ; Jia HE
Chinese Journal of Contemporary Pediatrics 2025;27(3):359-365
OBJECTIVES:
To explore the mediating role of sleep duration in the relationship between depression symptoms and myopia among middle school students.
METHODS:
This study was a cross-sectional research conducted using a stratified cluster random sampling method. A total of 1 728 middle school students were selected from two junior high schools and two senior high schools in certain urban areas and farms of the Xinjiang Production and Construction Corps. Questionnaire surveys and vision tests were conducted among the students. Spearman analysis was used to analyze the correlation between depression symptoms, sleep duration, and myopia. The Bootstrap method was employed to investigate the mediating effect of sleep duration between depression symptoms and myopia.
RESULTS:
The prevalence of myopia in the overall population was 74.02% (1 279/1 728), with an average sleep duration of (7.6±1.0) hours. The rate of insufficient sleep was 83.62% (1 445/1 728), and the proportion of students exhibiting depression symptoms was 25.29% (437/1 728). Correlation analysis showed significant negative correlations between visual acuity in both eyes and sleep duration with depressive emotions as measured by the Center for Epidemiologic Studies Depression Scale (with correlation coefficients of -0.064, -0.084, and -0.199 respectively; P<0.01), as well as with somatic symptoms and activities (with correlation coefficients of -0.104, -0.124, and -0.233 respectively; P<0.01) and interpersonal relationships (with correlation coefficients of -0.052, -0.059, and -0.071 respectively; P<0.05). The correlation coefficients for left and right eye visual acuity and sleep duration were 0.206 and 0.211 respectively (P<0.001). Sleep duration exhibited a mediating effect between depression symptoms and myopia (indirect effect=0.056, 95%CI: 0.029-0.088), with the mediating effect value for females (indirect effect=0.066, 95%CI: 0.024-0.119) being higher than that for males (indirect effect=0.042, 95%CI: 0.011-0.081).
CONCLUSIONS
Sleep duration serves as a partial mediator between depression symptoms and myopia in middle school students.
Humans
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Myopia/etiology*
;
Male
;
Female
;
Depression/physiopathology*
;
Cross-Sectional Studies
;
Sleep
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Adolescent
;
Students
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Child
;
Time Factors
;
Sleep Duration
3.Efficacy and Safety of Decitabine-Based Myeloablative Preconditioning Regimen for allogeneic Hematopoietic Stem Cell Transplantation in Patients with Acute Myeloid Leukemia.
Xia-Wei ZHANG ; Jing-Jing YANG ; Ning LE ; Yu-Jun WEI ; Ya-Nan WEN ; Nan WANG ; Yi-Fan JIAO ; Song-Hua LUAN ; Li-Ping DOU ; Chun-Ji GAO
Journal of Experimental Hematology 2025;33(2):557-564
OBJECTIVE:
To analyze the efficacy and safety of decitabine-based myeloablative preconditioning regimen for allogeneic hematopoietic stem cell transplantation (allo-HSCT) in patients with acute myeloid leukemia (AML).
METHODS:
The clinical characteristics and efficacy of 115 AML patients who underwent allo-HSCT at the First Medical Center of Chinese PLA General Hospital from August 2018 to August 2022 were retrospectively analyzed, including 37 patients treated with decitabine conditioning regimen (decitabine group) and 78 patients without decitabine conditioning regimen (non-decitabine group). The cumulative incidence of relapse (CIR), overall survival (OS), leukemia-free survival (LFS), non-relapse mortality (NRM) and graft versus host disease (GVHD) were analyzed.
RESULTS:
For the patients in first complete remission (CR1) state before allo-HSCT, the 1-year relapse rates of decitabine group(22 cases) and non-decitabine group(69 cases) were 9.1% and 29.6%, respectively, the difference was statistically significant(P =0.042). The 1-year cumulative incidence of acute graft-versus-host disease (aGVHD) in decitabine group and non-decitabine group was 62.2% and 70.5%, respectively, and the 1-year cumulative incidence of chronic inhibitor-versus-host disease (cGVHD) was 18.9% and 14.1%, respectively, there were no significant differences in the incidence of aGVHD and cGVHD between the two groups (P >0.05). Of the 115 patients, there were no significantly differences in the 1-year CIR(21.7% vs 28.8%, P =0.866), NRM(10.9% vs 3.9%, P =0.203), OS(75.2% vs 83.8%, P =0.131) and LFS(74.6% vs 69.1%, P =0.912) between the decitabine group(37 cases) and the non-decitabine group(78 cases).
CONCLUSION
Decitabine-based conditioning regimen could reduce the relapse rate of AML CR1 patients with good safety.
Humans
;
Leukemia, Myeloid, Acute/therapy*
;
Hematopoietic Stem Cell Transplantation/methods*
;
Decitabine/therapeutic use*
;
Transplantation Conditioning/methods*
;
Retrospective Studies
;
Graft vs Host Disease
;
Transplantation, Homologous
;
Male
;
Female
;
Adult
;
Middle Aged
;
Adolescent
;
Young Adult
4.Value of glucose metabolism in subtype differentiation and prognosis assessment of autoimmune encephalitis
Tianbin SONG ; Weizhao LU ; Meixiang YU ; Jing ZHANG ; Jie MA ; Yu YANG ; Chun ZHANG ; Jie LU
Chinese Journal of Nuclear Medicine and Molecular Imaging 2025;45(4):200-205
Objective:To explore the value of 18F-FDG PET brain glucose metabolism imaging in the subtype differential diagnosis and prognosis evaluation of autoimmune encephalitis (AE). Methods:A retrospective analysis was conducted on PET/CT brain glucose metabolism imaging data from 58 patients with AE (from August 2020 to June 2023, Xuanwu Hospital, Capital Medical University; 31 males, 27 females; age (47.4±16.9) years). Patients were divided into 4 groups: anti-leucine-rich glioma-inactivated protein 1(LGI1) antibody-related encephalitis group, anti- N-methyl- D-aspartate receptor (NMDAR) encephalitis group, anti-γ-amino butyric acid type B receptor (GABA BR) antibody-related encephalitis group, and other types of AE group. In addition, 20 cases were included in control group (6 males and 14 females, age (58.8±7.5) years). Visual assessment was performed to evaluate changes in brain glucose metabolism among patients with different subtypes of AE, and abnormal glucose metabolism brain regions were compared by independent-sample t test between different groups. Spearman rank correlation analysis was conducted between SUV ratio (SUVR) of abnormal brain regions and modified Rankin Scale (mRS) scores at six months later. Results:Among 58 patients, 21 were diagnosed with anti-LGI1 antibody-related encephalitis, 18 were diagnosed with anti-NMDAR encephalitis, 7 were diagnosed with anti-GABA BR antibody-related encephalitis, and 12 were diagnosed with other subtypes of AE. Compared with anti-NMDAR encephalitis group: patients with anti-LGI1 antibody-related encephalitis showed increased glucose metabolism in the right occipital lobe and bilateral hippocampi, and decreased glucose metabolism in the right frontal lobe, right precentral gyrus, and bilateral superior marginal gyrus ( t values: from -5.13 to 4.89, all P<0.001); patients with anti-GABA BR antibody-related encephalitis exhibited increased glucose metabolism in the bilateral hippocampi and right fusiform gyrus, and decreased glucose metabolism in the left middle frontal gyrus ( t values: from -3.82 to 3.91, all P<0.001). Anti-NMDAR encephalitis was characterized by decreased metabolism in the bilateral parietal lobes, occipital lobes, local frontal-temporal lobes, and bilateral thalami, as well as increased metabolism in the limbic lobe and local frontal-temporal-parietal lobes ( t values: from -8.30 to 7.30, all P<0.001), and the SUVR of the right occipital lobe was negatively correlated with mRS score at six months later ( rs=-0.64, P=0.014). Other subtypes of AE showed decreased glucose metabolism in different cerebral lobes. Conclusion:18F-FDG PET/CT can evaluate brain glucose metabolism in different subtypes of AE diseases and prognosis.
5.Development and application of novel portable heat illness/stroke first-aid kit
Yong-hui ZHANG ; Lin-cheng MI ; Cong-tao GUO ; Qing-ping ZHU ; Qing SONG ; Jing-chun SONG
Chinese Medical Equipment Journal 2025;46(9):108-113
Objective To develop a portable heat illness/stroke first-aid kit for on-site first aid of heat illness patients and verify its application effect.Methods The portable heat illness/stroke first-aid kit was composed of a main box,an adjustable telescopic rod,adjustable shoulder straps,universal rollers and a thermal insulation container.The main box made of aluminum alloy material had the inner surface lined with Oxford cloth,which was equipped with an infrared cochlear thermometer,a nebulizer,first aid medicines,heat stroke medicines,a sun umbrella,a cooling blanket,etc;the adjustable telescopic rod was made of aluminum-magnesium alloy;the adjustable shoulder straps was made of high-density nylon webbing;the universal rollers were rubberized and had wheel brakes;the thermal insulation container was located in the lower storage compartment inside the main box,which used polyurethane(PU)material for thermal insulation.The data on on-site first aid of the patients with moderate heat illness or stroke at some institution from 2019 to 2022 were analyzed retrospectively,with the patients treated with the traditional methods enrolled into a control group and the ones with the first-aid kit into an experimental group.The temperature changes at 0,10,20,30,40,50 and 60 min after the start of treatment were investigated to compare the cooling effects of the two groups.Results The heat illness/stroke first-aid kit lowered the patient temperature effectively during the on-site first aid of the patients with moderate heat illness or stroke,with higher cooling speed and effect than the traditional methods,especially at the early stage of treatment.Conclusion The heat illness/stroke first-aid kit with complete functions and easy operation decreases temperature of heat illness patients efficiently,and can be applicable to the scenarios such as field training and outdoors high-temperature operation.[Chinese Medical Equipment Journal,2025,46(9):108-113]
6.Synthesis and Identification of Saturated Arsenic-containing Hydrocarbons
Jia-Jia CHEN ; Ying-Xiong ZHONG ; Xin-Huang KANG ; Chun-Mei DENG ; Bing-Bing SONG ; Xiao-Fei LIU ; Zhuo WANG ; Rui LI ; Jian-Ping CHEN ; Xue-Jing JIA ; Sai-Yi ZHONG
Chinese Journal of Analytical Chemistry 2025;53(3):472-480
Arsenic is a semi-metal,and lipid-soluble arsenic compounds are one of the widespread forms in the environment and food chain,but there is a lack of standards for lipid-soluble arsenic compounds,which is one of the bottlenecks in the current analytical detection and toxicological studies of organic arsenic.In this study,four saturated arsenic-containing hydrocarbons,AsHC 318,AsHC 332,AsHC 346,and AsHC 374(The number is relative molecular mass),were successfully synthesized in three steps by using dimethylarsinic acid,potassium iodide,sodium hydroxide,and four brominated alkanes(1-Bromotetradecane,1-bromopentadecane,1-bromohexadecane,and 1-bromooctadecane)as raw materials.The structures of these four saturated arsenic-containing hydrocarbons were characterized by proton nuclear magnetic resonance(1H NMR)spectroscopy,13C nuclear magnetic resonance(13C NMR)spectroscopy,and high-resolution mass spectrometry(HR-MS).The yields of the method were 8%-10%,and the synthesized compounds could be used in subsequent toxicity evaluation experiments to assess the toxic effects and mechanisms of action of arsenic-containing hydrocarbons.This study provided an effective method for synthesis of arsenic-containing hydrocarbons,enriching the synthesis methods of arsenic-containing hydrocarbons,and provided raw materials for the subsequent toxicological studies of arsenic-containing hydrocarbons.
7.Clinical value of plasma protein ARP2 in evaluating heatstroke prognosis based on proteomics
Qing-Bo ZENG ; Jing-Chun SONG ; Nian-Qing ZHANG ; Qing SONG ; Long-Ping HE ; Qing-Wei LIN ; Lin-Cui ZHONG ; Xing-Ping DENG
Medical Journal of Chinese People's Liberation Army 2025;50(9):1138-1145
Objective To investigate plasma protein expression changes in heatstroke patients using proteomics technology and to identify reliable prognostic biomarkers.Methods A retrospective analysis was conducted on 20 heatstroke patients hospitalized at the 908th Hospital of the Chinese PLA Joint Logistics Support Force from July 2022 to February 2024.Patients were divided into survival(n=16)and death groups(n=4)based on 28-day outcomes.Fasting venous blood samples were collected from both groups for proteomic analysis.Liquid chromatography-mass spectrometry(LC-MS/MS)was used to identify and screen differentially expressed proteins.Kyoto Encyclopedia of Genes and Genomes(KEGG)and Gene Ontology(GO)enrichment analyses were performed.LASSO regression was applied to screen key prognostic biomarkers,and receiver operating characteristic(ROC)curve analysis was used to evaluate their predictive value.Results A total of 27 upregulated and 90 downregulated proteins were identified between the two groups.These proteins were primarily involved in biological processes such as immune responses,complement activation,and metabolic processes.LASSO regression analysis indicated that actin-related protein 2(ARP2),cysteine-rich scavenger receptor type 1 M130(CD163),and catalase(CAT)could serve as effective biomarkers for evaluating heatstroke prognosis.ROC curve analysis demonstrated that ARP2 had higher diagnostic efficacy(AUC=0.98,sensitivity=0.80,specificity=1.00)compared to CD163(AUC=0.94,sensitivity=0.76,specificity=1.00),CAT(AUC=0.96,sensitivity=0.67,specificity=1.00),and acute physiology and chronic health evaluation Ⅱ(APACHE Ⅱ)score(AUC=0.79,sensitivity=0.44,specificity=1.00).Conclusion Elevated plasma ARP2 level has good clinical value for predicting poor prognosis in heatstroke patients.
8.The impact of the"Tianjin Experience"of the chest pain center on patients with acute myocardial infarction
Cun XIE ; Ke SONG ; Wen-long ZHENG ; Jing-wei ZHANG ; Jia ZHAO ; Chun-jie LI ; Yong HUO
Chinese Journal of Interventional Cardiology 2025;33(9):509-515
Objective To comprehensively evaluate the multidimensional impact of the"Tianjin Experience"of Chest Pain Center(CPC)development on in-hospital mortality,optimization of treatment workflows,and regional coordination of care for patients with acute myocardial infarction(AMI),with the aim of providing scientific evidence to further improve the model and enhance AMI treatment outcomes.Methods This study analyzed data from the"Cardiovascular and Cerebrovascular Acute Events Surveillance System"maintained by the Tianjin Center for Disease Control and Prevention from 2013 to 2024.A segmented regression model was applied to assess the long-term trends in in-hospital mortality from acute myocardial infarction(AMI),with a particular focus on evaluating the impact of the chest pain center program on treatment outcomes.Additionally,supplementary analyses were conducted using surveillance data from the Tianjin Chest Pain Center Quality Control Team between 2017 and 2024.To verify the effectiveness of treatment process optimization,temporal trends in key time-based process indicators were assessed,including Door-in-Door-out(DIDO)time at non-PCI hospitals,Door-to-Wire(D-to-W)time,and First Medical Contact to Wire(FMC-to-W)to wire time.Results According to the data from the Tianjin Center for Disease Control and Prevention,the average 28-day AMI mortality rate in the overall patient population was 9.85%.Between 01/2013 and 12/2014,the mortality rate showed a significant upward trend(P<0.01),followed by a downward trend from 01/2015 to 12/2024,although the latter did not reach statistical significance(P>0.05).From 2013 to 2024,a total of 27 633 AMI cases with complete clinical records were collected from Tianjin Chest Hospital,with an average 28-day mortality rate of 4.55%.The mortality rate exhibited a decreasing trend from 01/2013 to 12/2016,with an annual percent change(APC)of-7.56(P<0.05).From 01/2017 to 12/2024,the trend stabilized,with an APC of 0.39(P>0.05).Conclusions The development of the CPC system in Tianjin significantly reduced key treatment times and improved the overall efficiency of AMI management.While population-level AMI mortality rates began to decline after 2015,the rate of improvement has slowed,indicating a continued need for optimizing the regional coordinated care system to further enhance patient outcomes.
9.Chinese expert consensus on standardized assessment of severe coagulopathy(2025 edition)
Jing-Chun SONG ; Jun GUO ; Lei ZHANG ; Ren-Yu DING ; Gang WANG ; Wei ZHANG ; Jing ZHOU ; Lu KE ; Jin-Hua ZHANG
Medical Journal of Chinese People's Liberation Army 2025;50(9):1055-1069
Over 40%of critically ill patients will develop coagulopathy.Once critically ill patients are complicated with coagulopathy,the incidence of bleeding and mortality can increase by more than 4 times.Early identification of coagulopathy and accurate evaluation of coagulation function are essential for correcting coagulopathy as soon as possible.Therefore,Chinese Society of Thrombosis,Hemostasis and Critical Care,Chinese Medicine Education Association,together with Chinese People's Liberation Army Professional Committee of Critical Care Medicine updated the"Chinese expert consensus on standardized assessment of severe coagulopathy(2025 Edition)"on the basis of the"Consensus of Chinese experts on standardized evaluation of coagulation dysfunction in severe patients"formulated in 2022.This consensus includes four parts:classification and typing,etiology and mechanism,assessment methods,and diagnostic criteria of severe coagulopathy,with a total of 14 recommendations,aiming to provide corresponding guidance for clinical practice.
10.Chinese guideline for the diagnosis and treatment of heatstroke(2025 edition)
Jing-Chun SONG ; Qing SONG ; Wei ZHANG ; Wei-Qin LI ; Xi-Jing ZHANG ; Shu-Yuan LIU ; Yan GAO ; Hai-Ling LI
Medical Journal of Chinese People's Liberation Army 2025;50(4):367-386
In recent years,the incidence and mortality of heatstroke have been increasing annually alongside global warming,with a marked rise in cases exhibiting atypical symptoms.To address the increasingly complex challenges in heatstroke prevention and treatment,Heatstroke Prevention and Treatment Research Center of Chinese PLA,Expert Group of Heatstroke Prevention and Treatment of Chinese PLA,and Chinese PLA Professional Committee of Critical Care Medicine have jointly developed this guideline(2025 edition).Utilizing the Grading of Recommendations Assessment,Development and Evaluation(GRADE)system,Appraisal of Guidelines for Research and Evaluation(AGREE)criteria,and Reporting Items for Practice Guidelines in Healthcare(RIGHT)standards,and based on the 2015 draft"Expert Consensus on the Standardized Diagnosis and Treatment of Heatstroke"and the 2019"Chinese Expert Consensus on the Diagnosis and Treatment of Heatstroke",this guideline has been crafted.This guideline provides 25 evidence-based recommendations to guide the prevention,treatment and research of heatstroke,which thoroughly covers 8 critical domains:clinical classification,pathophysiological mechanisms,clinical manifestations,diagnostic criteria,differential diagnosis,treatment protocols,rehabilitation and return to work,and prevention.

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