1.Early warning of influenza epidemic based on CUSUM and EWMA models in Daxing District, Beijing
Hong LEI ; Qiuling LI ; Qi LIU ; Meichen LIU ; Enhuan DU ; Jinfeng TANG ; Zhiping LI ; Yadi GAN ; Lijie ZHANG
Journal of Public Health and Preventive Medicine 2026;37(1):13-17
Objective To explore the effectiveness of the cumulative sum (CUSUM) and the exponentially weighted moving average (EWMA) for early warning of influenza epidemic using two datasets of reported influenza cases and influenza-like illness (ILI) cases. Methods Using the reported cases of influenza and ILI in Daxing District, Beijing, from week 23 of 2018 to week 22 of 2024 as data sets, the CUSUM and EWMA models were established, respectively. The positive rate of influenza etiology was used as the “gold standard”, and the Youden index was used as the evaluation index to compare the early warning effect of the two models under different data sets and different parameters. Results In CUSUM, the optimal Youden indices of the reported influenza cases set and the ILI cases set were 0.751 and 0.635, respectively. In EWMA, the optimal Youden indices of the reported influenza cases set and the ILI cases set were 0.544 and 0.464, respectively. The optimal EWMA and CUSUM models could both issue early warning signals in advance of the “gold standard”. Conclusion In the influenza epidemic early warning in Daxing District, Beijing, the CUSUM model established with the reported cases of influenza can achieve good early warning effects, but the model parameters need to be dynamically adjusted according to the local epidemic characteristics.
2.Analysis of knowledge, attitude, and practice levels regarding health protection against air pollution and related factors among Chinese primary school students
Chinese Journal of School Health 2026;47(7):958-961
Objective:
To assess the current status of knowledge, attitude, and practice (KAP) regarding health protection against air pollution among primary school students in China, and to analyze the impacts of fine particulate matter (PM 2.5 ) exposure, family, and individual factors on KAP levels, so as to provide empirical basis for implementing targeted interventions.
Methods:
Using stratified cluster random sampling method, a questionnaire survey was conducted among 19 297 primary school students from third to fifth grade across 30 provinces (autonomous regions and municipalities directly under the central government) in China in 2024. The questionnaire was developed based on the Technical Guidelines for the Assessment of Civic Environmental and Health Literacy (Trial), and encompasses three dimensions:knowledge, attitude, and practice. Spearman correlation analysis, Chi-square test, multivariate Logistic regression, and Bootstrap mediation effect test was applied for data analysis.
Results:
The overall mean KAP score for health protection against air pollution among primary school students was (79.73±13.53), with an adequacy rate of 80.47% ( n =15 528). The dimension scores for knowledge, attitude, and practice were (41.34±8.01, 16.43± 2.61 ), and (21.97±5.71), respectively. Knowledge was positively correlated with attitude and practice, and attitude was positively correlated with practice ( r =0.51, 0.35, 0.32, all P <0.01). Multivariate Logistic regression showed that the northeast region ( OR =2.36, 95% CI =2.02-2.75), having parents with a bachelor s degree or higher ( OR =4.76, 95% CI =2.71-8.37), living with both parents ( OR =1.33, 95% CI =1.15-1.55), being in the fifth grade ( OR =1.22, 95% CI =1.11-1.33), outdoor PM 2.5 level exceeding standard limits at the survey site ( OR =1.25, 95% CI =1.16-1.34), history of allergy ( OR =1.47, 95% CI =1.31-1.64), and wearing masks during heavily polluted weather ( OR =1.19, 95% CI =1.07-1.31) were promoting factors for KAP adequacy rate (all P <0.05). Conversely, obesity was a detrimental factor ( OR =0.78, 95% CI =0.69-0.88, all P <0.05).
Conclusions
Primary school students in China exhibit a favorable KAP level regarding health protection against air pollution, though regional, familial, and individual disparities persist. Exposure to PM 2.5 levels exceeding standard limits exerts a direct positive effect on enhancing health protection literacy. Future efforts should focus on the western region, families with lower educational attainment children to implement tailored, stratified interventions.
3.A prediction model for high-risk cardiovascular disease among residents aged 35 to 75 years
ZHOU Guoying ; XING Lili ; SU Ying ; LIU Hongjie ; LIU He ; WANG Di ; XUE Jinfeng ; DAI Wei ; WANG Jing ; YANG Xinghua
Journal of Preventive Medicine 2025;37(1):12-16
Objective:
To establish a prediction model for high-risk cardiovascular disease (CVD) among residents aged 35 to 75 years, so as to provide the basis for improving CVD prevention and control measures.
Methods:
Permanent residents aged 35 to 75 years were selected from Dongcheng District, Beijing Municipality using the stratified random sampling method from 2018 to 2023. Demographic information, lifestyle, waist circumference and blood biochemical indicators were collected through questionnaire surveys, physical examinations and laboratory tests. Influencing factors for high-risk CVD among residents aged 35 to 75 years were identified using a multivariable logistic regression model, and a prediction model for high-risk CVD was established. The predictive effect was evaluated using the receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve.
Results:
A total of 6 968 individuals were surveyed, including 2 821 males (40.49%) and 4 147 females (59.51%), and had a mean age of (59.92±9.33) years. There were 1 155 high-risk CVD population, with a detection rate of 16.58%. Multivariable logistic regression analysis showed that gender, age, smoking, central obesity, systolic blood pressure, fasting blood glucose, triglyceride and low-density lipoprotein cholesterol were influencing factors for high-risk CVD among residents aged 35 to 75 years (all P<0.05). The area under the ROC curve of the established prediction model was 0.849 (95%CI: 0.834-0.863), with a sensitivity of 0.693 and a specificity of 0.863, indicating good discrimination.
Conclusion
The model constructed by eight factors including demographic characteristics, lifestyle and blood biochemical indicators has good predictive value for high-risk CVD among residents aged 35 to 75 years.
4.Analysis of 12 Pathogens in surveillance cases of febrile respiratory syndrome in Daxing district of Beijing City from 2018 to 2023
Jinfeng TANG ; Hong LEI ; Meichen LIU ; Qiuling LI ; Tian LI ; Xifeng WANG ; Yadi GAN ; Daitao ZHANG
Chinese Journal of Preventive Medicine 2025;59(4):478-483
A total of 1 557 cases were included in the Febrile Respiratory Syndrome (FRS) surveillance conducted in Daxing District between 2018 and 2023. Twelve respiratory pathogens were investigated: human influenza virus (HIFV), human respiratory syncytial virus (HRSV), human parainfluenza virus (HPIV), human rhinovirus (HRV), human enterovirus (HEV), human adenovirus (HadV), human metapneumovirus (HMPV), human bocavirus (HBoV), Mycoplasma pneumoniae (MP), Chlamydia pneumoniae (CP), human coronavirus (HCoV), and severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2). Results demonstrated an overall pathogen detection rate of 25.31% (394/1 557), with descending prevalence as follows: HIFV, SARS-CoV-2, HRV, HPIV, MP, HCoV, HRSV, HEV, HMPV, HadV, HBoV, and CP. Temporal analysis revealed detection rates of 26.98% (150/556) for 2018-2019, 15.81% (95/601) for 2020-2022, and 37.25% (149/400) for 2023, showing statistically significant interannual variation (χ2=59.703, P<0.001). Compared with 2018-2019, 2023 exhibited significantly elevated detection rates for HIFV and HMPV ( P<0.05), while HRV, MP, HEV, and HBoV demonstrated significantly reduced rates ( P<0.05). Age-stratified analysis identified HIFV, HRSV, and HadV as the predominant pathogens in individuals aged <15 years, whereas SARS-CoV-2, HIFV, and HRV predominated in those aged ≥60 years.
5.Pathological diagnosis of solid pancreatic lesions with endoscopic ultrasound-guided fine needle aspiration: a series study of 311 cases
Xiaoxiao WEN ; Xiaoyi LIU ; Jinfeng CUI ; Lichao ZHANG ; Wenxuan LIU ; Haiyan YANG ; Yuan WANG ; Li YI ; Lei LOU ; Juan WANG ; Yuehong LI ; Wenxin WU ; Xianghong ZHANG
Chinese Journal of Pathology 2025;54(1):52-58
Objective:To investigate the combined application of cytology, cell block histology and immunohistochemistry to improve the diagnostic accuracy of solid pancreatic lesions in endoscopic ultrasound-guided fine needle aspiration (EUS-FNA) samples.Methods:The pathological data of EUS-FNA in 311 cases of solid pancreatic lesions submitted to the Second Hospital of Hebei Medical University, Shijiazhuang, China from May 2019 to September 2023 were retrospectively analyzed. The cases included pancreatic ductal adenocarcinoma (PDAC, 172 cases), solid pseudopapillary neoplasm (SPN, 12 cases), neuroendocrine tumors (PNET, 14 cases) and chronic pancreatitis (113 cases). The cytological features of smears, the histology of cell block sections and the diagnostic markers in PDAC, SPN and PNET were analyzed. The diagnostic accuracies of cytology, cell block histology/immunohistochemistry and combination of the two methods for classifying these pancreatic solid lesions were evaluated.Results:Irregular arrangement of atypical (cancer) cells, anisonucleosis and nuclear atypia were the typical cytological features of PDAC, while presence of pseudopapillae with a myxoid/hyalinized fibrovascular core and low adhesion/salt-and-pepper chromatin were diagnostic features of SPN and NET, respectively. Immunohistochemical results showed that CK7 and CK19 were the most sensitive markers of pancreatic ductal epithelia, and the diffuse strong expression of S-100P (102/111, 91.9%) and aberrant expression of p53 (80/111, 72.1%) were important immunophenotypic markers of PDAC. Various degrees of CDX2 expression could be found in 66.4% PDAC. The expression of CD10, PR, vimentin, CD99 and cyclinD1 and the aberrant expression of β-catenin were the immunophenotypic features of SPN, while the expression of CgA, Syn and CD56 were indispensable immunemarkers for the diagnosis of PNET. Overall, cytology had higher sensitivity than cell block histology (93.9% versus 82.8%) and lower specificity (92.9% versus 99.1%), while the combination of the two methods significantly improved the sensitivity to 96.9% in solid pancreatic lesions. The combination of cytology and cell block histology could significantly improve the diagnostic efficacy of EUS-FNA in PDAC.Conclusions:Integrated diagnosis based on cytology (including rapid on-site evaluation), cell block histology and immunohistochemical findings could significantly improve the diagnostic yield of EUS-FNA in classifying solid pancreatic lesions.
6.Analysis of Harmonization Strategies between Elemental Impurities Standards for Pharmaceutical Excipients in the Chinese Pharmacopoeia and ICH Q3D
Lirong CAI ; Lei CHEN ; Changliang LI ; Jinfeng ZHENG ; Yanming LIU
Herald of Medicine 2025;44(2):223-227
Objective To analyze and evaluate the differences between the standards for elemental impurities in pharmaceutical excipients in the"Chinese Pharmacopoeia"and ICH Q3D,and to explore strategies for harmonization between them.Methods This study summarizes and reviews the main differences between the general chapters and specific monographs of pharmaceutical excipients in the 2020 edition of the"Chinese Pharmacopoeia"and its first supplement,compared with ICH Q3D.Results By integrating the harmonization strategies for elemental impurities in foreign pharmacopoeias and the risk assessment results for pharmaceutical excipients,this study proposes harmonization strategies and pathways for the standards of pharmaceutical excipients in the"Chinese Pharmacopoeia."Conclusions A systematic risk assessment of elemental impurities in pharmaceutical excipients in the"Chinese Pharmacopoeia"should be conducted based on their risk levels.The revision methods should be determined and continuously updated according to the assessment results.
7.Evolution of Elemental Impurity Testing for Pharmaceutical Excipients in the Pharmacopeias of US,Europe,and Japan
Lirong CAI ; Lei CHEN ; Changliang LI ; Jinfeng ZHENG ; Yanming LIU
Herald of Medicine 2025;44(2):200-208
Objective To analyze the historical and current inclusion of heavy metals and specific elemental impurity tests in the monographs of pharmaceutical excipients in the Pharmacopeias of the US(USP),Europe(EP)and Japan(JP)pharmacopeias.By examining the characteristics and trends in these pharmacopeias,the study seeks to provide insights that can inform the strategy for incorporating elemental impurity tests in the Chinese Pharmacopoeia and offer guidance for the industry to enhance control over elemental impurities in drugs and excipients.Methods The study reviews the inclusion and revision processes of heavy metals and specific elemental impurity tests in the pharmacopeias of the US,Europe and Japan,focusing on aspects such as the number of excipient monographs,the proportion of heavy metal tests,professional categories,and treatment methods.A comparative analysis with the Chinese Pharmacopoeia was conducted to explore the reasons behind the observed differences and to identify potential future developments.Results The USP contains the largest number of excipient monographs,the EP has the fastest progress in the evaluation of elemental impurities in excipients,the JP relies most heavily on wet chemical methods for testing.Conclusion The strategies of the US,European,and Japanese pharmacopeias can serve as valuable references for the development of elemental impurity testing strategies in the Chinese Pharmacopoeia.It is recommended to classify pharmaceutical excipients by risk level,removing heavy metal tests for low-risk categories and conducting elemental impurity risk assessments for higher-risk mineral-based excipients.The inclusion of specific elemental impurity tests should be determined based on these risk assessments,with specific limits or methods established as needed according to excipient category or individual monographs.
8.Comparison of three artificial intelligence-assisted bone age assessment methods for predicting adult height in girls
Jinfeng CHEN ; Huiping SU ; Shuangyi LIU ; Shurong HUANG ; Li WANG ; Xiu ZHAO ; Qiru SU ; Rongfei ZHENG ; Zhe SU
Chinese Journal of Endocrinology and Metabolism 2025;41(6):460-466
Objective:To compare the accuracy and applicability of three adult height prediction methods based on artificial intelligence-assisted bone age assessment—the Bayley-Pinneau method(BP method), the Tanner-Whitehouse 3 method(TW3 method), and China 05 method—in girls.Methods:This bidirectional cohort study collected clinical data and 690 posteroanterior X-ray images of the left hand from 278 female children who underwent pubertal development assessments at Shenzhen Children′s Hospital between January 2014 and December 2020, with follow-up until adult height was reached. Adult height prediction was performed using BP, TW3, and China 05 methods on artificial intelligence-assisted bone age assessment.Results:The BP and TW3 methods overestimated adult height by(1.7±3.7) cm and(2.6±3.0) cm, respectively, while the China 05 method underestimated adult height by(2.3±3.5) cm. The proportion of PAH within±5 cm of FAH were 80.0% for the TW3 method, 77.0% for the BP method, and 74.2% for the China 05 method, with significant differences among them( P=0.038). Analysis of cases with prediction deviations>10 cm and subgroup comparisons revealed that the TW3 and BP methods were more likely to overestimate adult height in girls aged 6.0-<8.0 years, with delayed bone age, or in the prepubertal stage(all P<0.001). The China 05 method was more prone to underestimate adult height in those with advanced bone age( P<0.001). All three methods showed significantly greater prediction errors(absolute difference between PAH and FAH) in girls with early puberty compared to those with normal pubertal development(all P<0.05). Conclusions:The TW3 and BP methods tend to overestimate adult height in girls, while the China 05 method tends to underestimate it. Caution is warranted when predicting adult height, particularly in girls under 8 years of bone age, with delayed or advanced bone age, and those with early puberty.
9.Severity of SARS-CoV-2 infection in children with kidney disease undergoing immunosuppressive therapy
Yunfan ZHANG ; Huanhuan YANG ; Jun HUANG ; Ai FENG ; Guizhi XIA ; Chengfeng WANG ; Guangming CHEN ; Xiaobin CHEN ; Zengfeng WENG ; Yi CHEN ; Jinrong WU ; Jingjing LIU ; Yuen YANG ; Yuzhen ZHANG ; Jinfeng LIN ; Yuxian TANG ; Junyan CHEN ; Xiaojing NIE
Chinese Journal of Pediatrics 2025;63(5):529-534
Objective:To investigate the impact of immunosuppressive therapy on the severity of SARS-CoV-2 infection and cytokine levels in pediatric patients with kidney diseases.Methods:A retrospective analysis was conducted on the clinical data of 40 hospitalized pediatric patients who were diagnosed with SARS-CoV-2 infection at the 900th Hospital of PLA Joint Logistic Support Force from December 2022 to February 2023. Based on their immunosuppressive status prior to SARS-CoV-2 infection, these patients were categorized into immunosuppressive group and non-immunosuppressive group. Independent sample t-tests, Mann-Whitney U tests, and χ2 test were employed to compare the clinical baseline characteristics and laboratory data, the severity of SARS-CoV-2 infection, and the levels of cytokines between the 2 groups. Results:Among the 40 patients, 11 were in the immunosuppressive group (aged 13 (8, 14) years, 9 males and 2 females) and 29 in the non-immunosuppressive group (aged 2 (1, 4) years, 15 males and 14 females). In the immunosuppressive group, 2 were asymptomatic cases, 8 were mild cases, and 1 was moderate case, and there was no severe or critical cases. In the non-immunosuppressive group, 8 were mild cases, 5 were moderate, 15 were severe cases, 1 was critical case, and no asymptomatic cases. The underlying diseases in the immunosuppressive group included nephrotic syndrome (6 cases), IgA vasculitis nephritis (2 cases), lupus nephritis (1 case), post-renal transplantation (1 case), and renal failure (1 case), with a mean total immunosuppression score (TIS) of (3.6±1.4) points. In the non-immunosuppressive group, 2 patients had a history of epilepsy, and the remaining 27 cases had no underlying conditions, all with TIS scores of 0. Compared to the children in the non-immunosuppressive group, those in the immunosuppressive group were more likely to exhibit asymptomatic or mild infection, with lower risks of severe disease, cytokine storm, fever, and cough, but a higher risk of fatigue ( OR=1.22, 2.66, 0.48, 0.12, 0.12, 0.13, 1.22; 95% CI 0.93-1.62, 0.99-7.15, 0.33-0.70, 0.03-0.57, 0.03-0.57, 0.03-0.65, 0.93-1.62; all P<0.05). The levels of cytokine IL-6, interferon-α and interferon-γ in the immunosuppressive group were all lower than those in the non-immunosuppressive group ( Z=2.23, 2.51, 2.92, respectively; all P<0.05). Conclusion:Pediatric patients with kidney diseases receiving appropriate immunosuppressive therapy may mitigate the severity of SARS-CoV-2 infection by suppressing the expression of cytokines.
10.Analysis of 12 Pathogens in surveillance cases of febrile respiratory syndrome in Daxing district of Beijing City from 2018 to 2023
Jinfeng TANG ; Hong LEI ; Meichen LIU ; Qiuling LI ; Tian LI ; Xifeng WANG ; Yadi GAN ; Daitao ZHANG
Chinese Journal of Preventive Medicine 2025;59(4):478-483
A total of 1 557 cases were included in the Febrile Respiratory Syndrome (FRS) surveillance conducted in Daxing District between 2018 and 2023. Twelve respiratory pathogens were investigated: human influenza virus (HIFV), human respiratory syncytial virus (HRSV), human parainfluenza virus (HPIV), human rhinovirus (HRV), human enterovirus (HEV), human adenovirus (HadV), human metapneumovirus (HMPV), human bocavirus (HBoV), Mycoplasma pneumoniae (MP), Chlamydia pneumoniae (CP), human coronavirus (HCoV), and severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2). Results demonstrated an overall pathogen detection rate of 25.31% (394/1 557), with descending prevalence as follows: HIFV, SARS-CoV-2, HRV, HPIV, MP, HCoV, HRSV, HEV, HMPV, HadV, HBoV, and CP. Temporal analysis revealed detection rates of 26.98% (150/556) for 2018-2019, 15.81% (95/601) for 2020-2022, and 37.25% (149/400) for 2023, showing statistically significant interannual variation (χ2=59.703, P<0.001). Compared with 2018-2019, 2023 exhibited significantly elevated detection rates for HIFV and HMPV ( P<0.05), while HRV, MP, HEV, and HBoV demonstrated significantly reduced rates ( P<0.05). Age-stratified analysis identified HIFV, HRSV, and HadV as the predominant pathogens in individuals aged <15 years, whereas SARS-CoV-2, HIFV, and HRV predominated in those aged ≥60 years.


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