1.Risk prediction of Reduning Injection batches by near-infrared spectroscopy combined with multiple machine learning algorithms.
Wen-Yu JIA ; Feng TONG ; Heng-Xu LIU ; Shu-Qin JIN ; Yong-Chao ZHANG ; Chen-Feng ZHANG ; Zhen-Zhong WANG ; Xin ZHANG ; Wei XIAO
China Journal of Chinese Materia Medica 2025;50(2):430-438
In this paper, near-infrared spectroscopy(NIRS) was employed to analyze 129 batches of commercial products of Reduning Injection. The batch reporting rate was estimated according to the report of Reduning Injection in the direct adverse drug reaction(ADR) reporting system of the drug marketing authorization holder of the Center for Drug Reevaluation of the National Medical Products Administration(National Center for ADR Monitoring) from August 2021 to August 2022. According to the batch reporting rate, the samples of Reduning Injection were classified into those with potential risks and those being safe. No processing, random oversampling(ROS), random undersampling(RUS), and synthetic minority over-sampling technique(SMOTE) were then employed to balance the unbalanced data. After the samples were classified according to appropriate sampling methods, competitive adaptive reweighted sampling(CARS), successive projections algorithm(SPA), uninformative variables elimination(UVE), and genetic algorithm(GA) were respectively adopted to screen the features of spectral data. Then, support vector machine(SVM), logistic regression(LR), k-nearest neighbors(KNN), naive bayes(NB), random forest(RF), and artificial neural network(ANN) were adopted to establish the risk prediction models. The effects of the four feature extraction methods on the accuracy of the models were compared. The optimal method was selected, and bayesian optimization was performned to optimize the model parameters to improve the accuracy and robustness of model prediction. To explore the correlations between potential risks of clinical use and quality test data, TreeNet was employed to identify potential quality parameters affecting the clinical safety of Reduning Injection. The results showed that the models established with the SVM, LR, KNN, NB, RF, and ANN algorithms had the F1 scores of 0.85, 0.85, 0.86, 0.80, 0.88, and 0.85 and the accuracy of 88%, 88%, 88%, 85%, 91%, and 88%, respectively, and the prediction time was less than 5 s. The results indicated that the established models were accurate and efficient. Therefore, near infrared spectroscopy combined with machine learning algorithms can quickly predict the potential risks of clinical use of Reduning Injection in batches. Three key quality parameters that may affect clinical safety were identified by TreeNet, which provided a scientific basis for improving the safety standards of Reduning Injection.
Spectroscopy, Near-Infrared/methods*
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Drugs, Chinese Herbal/administration & dosage*
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Machine Learning
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Algorithms
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Humans
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Quality Control
2.Development, comparison and validation of clinical predictive models for brain injury after in-hospital post-cardiac arrest in critically ill patients.
Guowu XU ; Yanxiang NIU ; Xin CHEN ; Wenjing ZHOU ; Abudou HALIDAN ; Heng JIN ; Jinxiang WANG
Chinese Critical Care Medicine 2025;37(6):560-567
OBJECTIVE:
To develop and compare risk prediction models for in-hospital post-cardiac arrest brain injury (PCABI) in critically ill patients using nomograms and random forest algorithms, aiming to identify the optimal model for early identification of high-risk PCABI patients and providing evidence for precise treatment.
METHODS:
A retrospective cohort study was used to collect the first-time in-hospital cardiac arrest (IHCA) patients admitted to the intensive care unit (ICU) from 2008 to 2019 in the Medical Information Mart for Intensive Care-IV (MIMIC-IV) as the study population, and the patients' age, gender, body mass, health insurance utilization, first vital signs and laboratory tests within 24 hours of ICU admission, mechanical ventilation, and critical care scores were extracted. Independent influencing factors of PCABI were identified through univariate and multivariate Logistic regression analyses. The included patients were randomly divided into a training cohort and an internal validation cohort in a 7:3 ratio, and the PCABI risk prediction model was constructed by the nomogram and random forest algorithm, respectively, and the model was evaluated by receiver operator characteristic curve (ROC curve), the calibration curve, and the decision curve analysis (DCA), and after the better model was selected, 179 patients admitted to Tianjin Medical University General Hospital as the external validation cohort for external evaluation were collected by using the same inclusion and exclusion criteria.
RESULTS:
A total of 1 419 patients with without traumatic brain injury who had their first-time IHCA were enrolled, including 995 in the training cohort (including 176 PCABI and 819 non-PCABI) and 424 in the internal validation cohort (including 74 PCABI and 350 non-PCABI). Univariate and multivariate analysis showed that age, potassium, urea nitrogen, sequential organ failure assessment (SOFA), acute physiology and chronic health evaluation III (APACHE III), and mechanical ventilation were independent influences on the occurrence of PCABI in patients with IHCA (all P < 0.05). Combining the above variables, we constructed a nomogram model and a random forest model for comparison, and the results show that the nomogram model has better predictive efficacy than the random forest model [nomogram model: area under the ROC curve (AUC) of the training cohort = 0.776, with a 95% credible interval (95%CI) of 0.741-0.811; internal validation cohort AUC = 0.776, with a 95%CI of 0.718-0.833; random forest model: AUC = 0.720, with a 95%CI of 0.653-0.787], and they performed similarly in terms of calibration curves, but the nomogram performed better in terms of decision curve analysis (DCA); at the same time, the nomogram model was robust in terms of external validation cohort (external validation cohort AUC = 0.784, 95%CI was 0.692-0.876).
CONCLUSIONS
A nomogram risk prediction model for the occurrence of PCABI in critically ill patients was successfully constructed, which performs better than the random forest model, helps clinicians to identify the risk of PCABI in critically ill patients at an early stage and provides a theoretical basis for early intervention.
Humans
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Critical Illness
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Retrospective Studies
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Heart Arrest/complications*
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Nomograms
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Brain Injuries/etiology*
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Intensive Care Units
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Algorithms
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Male
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Female
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Middle Aged
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ROC Curve
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Risk Factors
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Risk Assessment
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Logistic Models
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Aged
3.Integrating Internet Search Data and Surveillance Data to Construct Influenza Epidemic Thresholds in Hubei Province: A Moving Epidemic Method Approach.
Cai Xia DANG ; Feng LIU ; Heng Liang LYU ; Zi Qian ZHAO ; Si Jin ZHU ; Yang WANG ; Yuan Yong XU ; Ye Qing TONG ; Hui CHEN
Biomedical and Environmental Sciences 2025;38(9):1150-1154
4.Establishment and evaluation of a lipopolysaccharide-induced acute respiratory distress syndrome model in minipigs
Chuang-Ye WANG ; Ran WANG ; Jian ZHANG ; Ling-Xiao QIU ; Bin QING ; Heng YOU ; Jin-Cheng LIU ; Bin WANG ; Nan-Bo WANG ; Jia-Yu LI ; Xing LIU ; Shuang WANG ; Jin HU ; Jian WEN ; Quan LI ; Xiao-Ou HUANG ; Kun ZHAO ; Shuang-Lin LIU ; Gang LIU ; Mei-Ju WANG ; Qing XIANG ; Hong-Mei WU ; Xiao-Rong SUN ; Tao GU ; Dong ZHANG ; Qi LI ; Zhi XU
Medical Journal of Chinese People's Liberation Army 2025;50(9):1154-1161
Objective To establish a stable,reliable,and clinically relevant porcine model of endotoxin-induced acute respiratory distress syndrome(ARDS).Methods Ten 8-month-old male Bama minipigs were deeply sedated,followed by invasive mechanical ventilation and electrocardiographic monitoring.Lipopolysaccharide(LPS)was intravenously pumped at 600 μg/(kg·h)for 3 hours,then maintained at 15 μg/(kg·h)thereafter.Dynamic monitoring was performed at five time points after LPS injection(LPS 0,1,3,5,and 8 h),including arterial blood gas analysis and chest computed tomography(CT)scans.Pathological examination of lung tissues obtained via bronchoscopic biopsy(HE staining and transmission electron microscopy)was conducted.These indicators were comprehensively used to evaluate the success of the animal model.Results At 5 hours after LPS administration,8 minipigs developed symptoms such as skin cyanosis,elevated body temperature,and respiratory distress.The oxygenation index decreased to<300 mmHg.Chest CT scans showed diffuse pulmonary infiltrates.Histopathology revealed alveolar edema and hyaline membrane formation.Transmission electron microscopy demonstrated disruption of pulmonary blood-air barrier,depletion of lamellar bodies in type Ⅱ pneumocytes,inflammatory cell infiltration,and exudation of plasma proteins and fibrin.Compared with LPS 0 h,at LPS 8 h,the oxygenation index and arterial blood pH were significantly decreased(P<0.001),while blood lactic acid and serum potassium were significantly increased(P<0.05);serum calcium and base excess were significantly decreased(P<0.05),and the lung injury score based on HE-stained lung sections was significantly increased(P<0.01).Conclusion The porcine ARDS model established by continuous LPS injection can dynamically simulate the pathophysiological characteristics and typical pathological manifestations of clinical septic ARDS,making it an effective tool to study the pathogenesis,prevention,and treatment strategies of septic ARDS.
5.Construction and validation of a predictive model for early acute kidney injury in patients with cardiac arrest after cardiopulmonary resuscitation
Jinxiang WANG ; Luogang HUA ; Muming YU ; Lijun WANG ; Heng JIN ; Guowu XU
Chinese Journal of Emergency Medicine 2025;34(1):17-24
Objective:To construct a nomogram model for predicting the occurrence of acute kidney injury (AKI) in patients with cardiac arrest (CA) after cardiopulmonary resuscitation (CPR), and to verify its validity for early prediction.Methods:The study retrospectively included patients aged 18 years and older who received CPR for CA and were admitted to the emergency room of Tianjin Medical University General Hospital from February 2016 to September 2023. The general information, underlying diseases, resuscitation related indicators, and first laboratory test results of patients were collected. The patients were randomly divided into training and validation groups at a ratio of 7:3. AKI diagnosis was based on the diagnostic criteria of the Kidney Disease Improving Global Outcomes. Univariate and multivariate logistic regression models were used to identify independent risk factors for AKI in patients with cardiac arrest, and a nomogram was constructed on the basis of the independent risk factors. The predictive performance was evaluated by the area under the curve (AUC) of the receiver operating characteristic. The calibration curve, decision curve and clinical impact curve were used to evaluate the model. Bootstrap and cross validation methods were used for internal validation.Results:A total of 527 patients with cardiac arrest were included in the study, 230 patients developed AKI, with an AKI incidence of 43.6%. There was no statistically significant difference in clinical baseline data between the training and validation groups (all P>0.05), indicating comparability between the two groups of data. Multivariate logistic analysis revealed that age ( OR=1.346, 95% CI: 1.197-1.543, P<0.001), CA to CPR time ( OR=2.214, 95% CI: 1.512-3.409, P=0.016), adrenaline dosage ( OR=1.921, 95% CI: 1.383-2.783, P=0.004), APACHE-Ⅱ score ( OR=1.531, 95% CI: 1.316-1.820, P<0.001), baseline creatinine ( OR=1.137, 95% CI: 1.090-1.196, P<0.001), and lactate ( OR=2.558, 95% CI: 1.680-4.167, P<0.001) were the independent risk factors for AKI in patients with cardiac arrest. Initial defibrillable rhythm ( OR=0.214, 95% CI: 0.051-0.759, P=0.023) was a protective factor for AKI in patients with cardiac arrest. A nomogram prediction model was constructed based on the above variables. The AUC of the training group was 0.943 (95% CI: 0.921-0.965) and that of the validation group was 0.917 (95% CI: 0.874-0.960). This prediction model demonstrated good discrimination, calibration and clinical applicability. Conclusions:A nomogram predictive model was constructed on the basis of age, CA to CPR time, initial defibrillable rhythm, adrenaline dosage, the APACHE-Ⅱ score, and baseline creatinine and lactate levels. This nomogram has good predictive value for the early occurrence of AKI in patients with cardiac arrest after cardiopulmonary resuscitation, which can provide new strategies for the early identification of AKI and precise intervention.
6.Interactive network dynamic nomogram for predicting poor neurological outcomes of post-cardiac arrest brain injury patients
Guowu XU ; Jinxiang WANG ; Heng JIN ; Lijun WANG ; Muming YU
Chinese Journal of Emergency Medicine 2025;34(5):684-691
Objective:To develop and validate an interactive network dynamic nomogram for early prediction of poor neurological prognosis in patients with post-cardiac arrest brain injury (PCABI).Methods:A retrospective study was conducted on hospitalized patients who achieved return of spontaneous circulation after cardiac arrest at Tianjin Medical University General Hospital between January 2020 and April 2024. Patients were classified into favorable and poor prognosis groups based on the Glasgow-Pittsburgh Cerebral Performance Category at discharge. Eligible patients were randomly assigned to a training cohort and an internal validation cohort in a 7:3 ratio. Univariate and multivariate logistic regression analyses were performed to identify independent predictors of poor neurological outcomes in PCABI, which were subsequently used to develop a nomogram prediction model. The predictive performance of the nomogram was evaluated by comparing its area under the curve (AUC) of receiver operating characteristic with those of individual predictors using the DeLong test. Model calibration and clinical utility were assessed using calibration curves and decision curve analysis, respectively. Internal validation was conducted, and an interactive dynamic nomogram was developed using web-based visualization techniques.Results:A total of 276 PCABI patients were enrolled (training set: 196; validation set: 80), with 82 cases (29.7%) classified as poor prognosis. Multivariate logistic regression analysis identified age ( OR=1.071, 95% CI: 1.021-1.124, P=0.005), APACHEⅡ score ( OR=1.746, 95% CI: 1.393-2.190, P<0.001), initial shockable rhythm ( OR=0.142, 95% CI: 0.025-0.819, P=0.029), defibrillation ( OR=0.228, 95% CI: 0.060-0.869, P=0.030), cardiopulmonary resuscitation duration ( OR=2.116, 95% CI: 1.487-3.010, P<0.001), and lactate level ( OR=1.392, 95% CI: 1.005-1.927, P=0.047) as independent predictors of poor neurological outcomes in PCABI. A nomogram prediction model was developed based on these factors, achieving an AUC of 0.965 (95% CI: 0.939-0.989) in the training cohort and 0.987 (95% CI: 0.967-1.000) in the internal validation cohort. The nomogram demonstrated significantly superior predictive performance compared to individual predictors ( P<0.001) and exhibited excellent discrimination, calibration, and clinical net benefit. The interactive dynamic nomogram, developed through web-based visualization, further enhanced its applicability in clinical practice. Conclusions:The interactive network dynamic nomogram, developed based on age, APACHEⅡ score, initial shockable rhythm, defibrillation, cardiopulmonary resuscitation duration, and lactate level, demonstrated favorable predictive value for poor neurological outcomes in PCABI. This tool facilitates clinical application and offers a novel strategy for early identification and targeted interventions in high-risk patients.
7.A genetic variant in the immune-related gene ERAP1 affects colorectal cancer prognosis
Danyi ZOU ; Yimin CAI ; Meng JIN ; Ming ZHANG ; Yizhuo LIU ; Shuoni CHEN ; Shuhui YANG ; Heng ZHANG ; Xu ZHU ; Chaoqun HUANG ; Ying ZHU ; Xiaoping MIAO ; Yongchang WEI ; Xiaojun YANG ; Jianbo TIAN
Chinese Medical Journal 2024;137(4):431-440
Background::Findings on the association of genetic factors and colorectal cancer (CRC) survival are limited and inconsistent, and revealing the mechanism underlying their prognostic roles is of great importance. This study aimed to explore the relationship between functional genetic variations and the prognosis of CRC and further reveal the possible mechanism.Methods::We first systematically performed expression quantitative trait locus (eQTL) analysis using The Cancer Genome Atlas (TCGA) dataset. Then, the Kaplan-Meier analysis was used to filter out the survival-related eQTL target genes of CRC patients in two public datasets (TCGA and GSE39582 dataset from the Gene Expression Omnibus database). The seven most potentially functional eQTL single nucleotide polymorphisms (SNPs) associated with six survival-related eQTL target genes were genotyped in 907 Chinese CRC patients with clinical prognosis data. The regulatory mechanism of the survival-related SNP was further confirmed by functional experiments.Results::The rs71630754 regulating the expression of endoplasmic reticulum aminopeptidase 1 ( ERAP1) was significantly associated with the prognosis of CRC (additive model, hazard ratio [HR]: 1.43, 95% confidence interval [CI]: 1.08-1.88, P = 0.012). The results of dual-luciferase reporter assay and electrophoretic mobility shift assay showed that the A allele of the rs71630754 could increase the binding of transcription factor 3 (TCF3) and subsequently reduce the expression of ERAP1. The results of bioinformatic analysis showed that lower expression of ERAP1 could affect the tumor immune microenvironment and was significantly associated with severe survival outcomes. Conclusion::The rs71630754 could influence the prognosis of CRC patients by regulating the expression of the immune-related gene ERAP1. Trial Registration::No. NCT00454519 (https://clinicaltrials.gov/)
8.Analysis and Recommendations on the Current Status of Pharmaceutical Management in County Medical Communities in Hubei Province
Pei XU ; Wei FU ; Guilan JIN ; Juan LI ; Heng ZHAO ; Menghu YUAN ; Dong LIU ; Guanliang PENG
Herald of Medicine 2024;43(12):2061-2064,后插1
Objective This study aims to assess the current status of pharmaceutical management in county medical communities in Hubei province,and provide recommendations for the homogenization,standardization,and regulation of pharmaceutical management in these communities.It also intends to offer decision-making support for health administrative departments,and provide reference experiences for management in other regions.Methods The current status of pharmaceutical management in county medical communities in Hubei province was conducted through a questionnaire survey and field research.Existing problems were analyzed,key management areas were identified,and reasonable recommendations were proposed.Results Pharmaceutical management in county medical communities has significant shortcomings in organizational structure,system construction,personnel allocation,key link control,and the leading unit's outreach capabilities.These deficiencies are not aligned with the high-quality development of pharmacy in the new era.Conclusions It is recommended that county medical communities should establish a comprehensive pharmaceutical management quality control system.This can be achieved by improving organizational management,strengthening talent development,enhancing core systems,setting monitoring indicators,and increasing outreach capabilities.Additionally,evaluation standards for the quality control system of pharmaceutical management should be established to enhance management capabilities through scientific assessment and positive feedback.
9.Construction of an early prediction model for post cardiopulmonary resuscitation-acute kidney injury based on machine learning
Jinxiang WANG ; Luogang HUA ; Daming LI ; Hongbao GUO ; Heng JIN ; Guowu XU
Chinese Journal of Nephrology 2024;40(11):875-881
Objective:To construct an early prediction model for post cardiopulmonary resuscitation-acute kidney injury (PCPR-AKI) by machine learning and provide a basis for early identification of acute kidney injury (AKI) high-risk patients and accurate treatment.Methods:It was a single-center retrospective study. The clinical data of patients admitted to Tianjin Medical University General Hospital after cardiopulmonary resuscitation following cardiac arrest from January 1, 2016 to October 31, 2023 were collected. The end-point event of the study was defined as AKI occurring within 48 hours after cardiopulmonary resuscitation. The patients were divided into AKI group and non-AKI group according to the AKI diagnostic criteria, and the differences of baseline clinical data between the two groups were compared. The patients who met the inclusion criteria were randomly (using the train_test_split function, set the random seeds to 1, 2, and 3) divided into training and validation sets at a ratio of 7∶3. Random forest (RF), support vector machine, decision tree, extreme gradient boosting and light gradient boosting machine algorithm were used to develop the early prediction model of PCPR-AKI. The receiver-operating characteristic curve and decision curve analysis were used to evaluate the performance and clinical practicality of the predictive models, and the importance of variables in the optimal model was screened and ranked.Results:A total of 547 patients were enrolled, with age of 66 (59, 70) years old and 282 males (51.6%). There were 238 patients (43.5%) having incidence of AKI within 48 hours after cardiopulmonary resuscitation. In the AKI group, 182 patients (76.5%) were in stage 1, 47 patients (19.7%) were in stage 2, and 9 patients (3.8%) were in stage 3. There were statistically significant differences in the age, time to reach resuscitation of spontaneous circulation, time from cardiac arrest to starting cardiopulmonary resuscitation, proportion of initial defibrillation rhythm, proportion of electric defibrillation, proportion of mechanical ventilation, adrenaline dosage, sodium bicarbonate dosage, proportion of coronary heart disease, proportion of hypertension, proportion of diabetes, serum creatinine, blood urea nitrogen, blood lactic acid, blood potassium, brain natriuretic peptide, troponin, D-dimer, neuron specific enolase, and 24 hours urine volume after cardiopulmonary resuscitation between AKI group and non-AKI group (all P<0.05). Among the five machine learning algorithms, RF model achieved the best performance and clinical practicality, with area under the curve of 0.875, sensitivity of 0.863, specificity of 0.956, and accuracy rate of 90.7%. In the variable importance ranking of RF model, the top 10 variables were as follows: time to reach resuscitation of spontaneous circulation, time from cardiac arrest to starting cardiopulmonary resuscitation, initial defibrillable rhythm, serum creatinine, mechanical ventilation, blood lactate acid, adrenaline dosage, brain natriuretic peptide, D-dimer and age. Conclusions:An early predictive model for PCPR-AKI is successfully constructed based on machine learning. RF model has the best predictive performance. According to the importance of the variables, it can provide clinical strategies for early identification and precise intervention for PCPR-AKI.
10.ABO*A2.08 Subtype Allele Identification and Protein Structure Analysis in Newborns
Xin LIU ; Lian-Hui WANG ; Jin SHU ; Zi-Heng XU ; Xiu-Yun XU
Journal of Experimental Hematology 2024;32(1):225-230
Objective:To study the serological characteristics of ABO*A2.08 subtype and explore its genetic molecular mechanism.Methods:ABO blood group identification was performed on proband and her family members by routine serological methods.ABO genotyping and sequence analysis were performed by polymerase chain reaction-sequence specific primer(PCR-SSP),and direct sequencing of PCR products from exons 6 and 7 of ABO gene were directly sequenced and analyzed.The effect of gene mutation in A2.08 subtype on structural stability of GTA protein was investigated by homologous protein conserved analysis,3D molecular modeling and protein stability prediction.Results:The proband's serological test results showed subtype Ax,and ABO genotyping confirmed that the proband's genotype was ABO*A207/08.Gene sequencing of the proband's father confirmed the characteristic variation of c.539G>C in the 7th exon of ABO gene,leading to the replacement of polypeptide chain p.Arg180Pro(R180P).3D protein molecular modeling and analysis suggested that the number of hydrogen bonds of local amino acids in the protein structure was changed after the mutation,and protein stability prediction showed that the mutation had a great influence on the protein structure stability.Conclusion:The mutation of the 7th exon c.539G>C of ABO gene leads to the substitution of polypeptide chain amino acid,which affects the structural stability of GTA protein and leads to the change of enzyme activity,resulting in the A2.08 phenotype.The mutated gene can be stably inherited.

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