1.Assessment of the risk of retinal arteriosclerosis by the triglyceride glucose-WHR index
Fan WANG ; Dongning CHEN ; Jie ZHUO ; Jing CUI ; Yu LI ; Shenghua WANG
Chinese Journal of Preventive Medicine 2025;59(8):1246-1253
Objective:To investigate the relationship between Triglyceride Glucose-WHR index and retinal arteriosclerosis.Methods:Retrospective longitudinal cohort research method. Using data from the Tongren Health Care Study of Beijing Tongren Hospital from March 2014 to June 2020. The TyG-WHR index was calculated, the restricted cubic spine regression model was used to explore the dose-response relationship between TyG-WHR index and the risk of retinal arteriosclerosis. Cox proportional regression model was implemented to estimate the impact on the risk of retinal arteriosclerosis associated with the different TyG-WHR groups. Receiver operating characteristic were used to explore the value of triglyceride glucose-WHR index for the risk of retinal arteriosclerosis.Results:A total of 8 215 subjects were included, including 3 334 (40.58%) males, 4 881 (59.42%) females;7 689 cases had normal fundus, 296 cases had newly developed retinal arteriosclerosis, and 230 cases had retinal arteriosclerosis. The median age is 45 years old, and the average age is (47.63±13.89) years old. The cumulative incidence rate of new retinal arteriosclerosis was 3.71%(296/7 985), and the cumulative incidence rate of women (3.31%,158/4 767) was lower than that of men (4.29%, 138/3 218) ( χ2=5.105, P<0.001); The cumulative incidence rate of new retinal arteriosclerosis increased with age ( χ2=365.133, P<0.001); The TyG-WHR index was divided into four groups according to the interquartile range, and the Q2- Q4 group had an increased risk of developing new retinal arteriosclerosis compared to Q1 ( χ2=132.887, P<0.001).In the restricted cubic spine regression model, the results showed a non-linear dose-response relationship ( χ2=54.27, P<0.001) between baseline TyG-WHR index and the new-onset of retinal arteriosclerosis. By the multivariate Cox Regression models, three models were constructed in this study. TyG-WHR index was positively correlated with the risk of retinal arteriosclerosis: the HR (95% CI) of model 1-3 was 1.534,1.517 and 1.502.The AUC curve analysis verified that the prediction AUC of the TyG-WHR index for new-onset retinal arteriosclerosis was 0.755, the best prediction value was 7.343, the sensitivity was 90.2%, and the specificity was 75.60%. Conclusion:TyG-WHR index may be an independent risk factor for new-onset retinal arteriosclerosis.
2.Changing antimicrobial resistance profiles of Burkholderia cepacia in hospitals across China:results from CHINET Antimicrobial Resistance Surveillance Program,2015-2021
Chunyue GE ; Yunjian HU ; Xiaoman AI ; Yang YANG ; Fupin HU ; Demei ZHU ; Yingchun XU ; Xiaojiang ZHANG ; Hui LI ; Ping JI ; Yi XIE ; Mei KANG ; Chuanqing WANG ; Pan FU ; Yuanhong XU ; Ying HUANG ; Ziyong SUN ; Zhongju CHEN ; Yuxing NI ; Jingyong SUN ; Yunzhuo CHU ; Sufei TIAN ; Zhidong HU ; Jin LI ; Yunsong YU ; Jie LIN ; Bin SHAN ; Yan DU ; Sufang GUO ; Lianhua WEI ; Fengmei ZOU ; Hong ZHANG ; Chun WANG ; Chao ZHUO ; Danhong SU ; Dawen GUO ; Jinying ZHAO ; Hua YU ; Xiangning HUANG ; Wen'en LIU ; Yanming LI ; Yan JIN ; Chunhong SHAO ; Xuesong XU ; Chao YAN ; Shanmei WANG ; Yafei CHU ; Lixia ZHANG ; Juan MA ; Shuping ZHOU ; Yan ZHOU ; Lei ZHU ; Jinhua MENG ; Fang DONG ; Zhiyong LÜ ; Fangfang HU ; Han SHEN ; Wanqing ZHOU ; Wei JIA ; Gang LI ; Jinsong WU ; Yuemei LU ; Jihong LI ; Jinju DUAN ; Jianbang KANG ; Xiaobo MA ; Yanping ZHENG ; Ruyi GUO ; Yan ZHU ; Yunsheng CHEN ; Qing MENG ; Shifu WANG ; Xuefei HU ; Jilu SHEN ; Wenhui HUANG ; Ruizhong WANG ; Hua FANG ; Bixia YU ; Yong ZHAO ; Ping GONG ; Kaizhen WENG ; Yirong ZHANG ; Jiangshan LIU ; Longfeng LIAO ; Hongqin GU ; Lin JIANG ; Wen HE ; Shunhong XUE ; Jiao FENG ; Chunlei YUE
Chinese Journal of Infection and Chemotherapy 2025;25(5):557-562
Objective To examine the changing prevalence and antimicrobial resistance profiles of Burkholderia cepacia in 52 hospitals across China from 2015 to 2021.Methods A total of 9 261 strains of B.cepacia were collected from 52 hospitals between January 1,2015 and December 31,2021.Antimicrobial susceptibility of the strains was tested using Kirby-Bauer method or automated antimicrobial susceptibility testing systems according to a unified protocol.The results were interpreted according to the breakpoints released in the Clinical & Laboratory Standards Institute(CLSI)guidelines(2023 edition).Results A total of 9 261 strains of B.cepacia were isolated from all age groups,especially elderly patients.The proportion was 11.1%(1 032 strains)in children,significantly lower than the proportion in adults.About half(46.5%,4 310/9 261)of the strains were isolated from patients at least 60 years old and 42.3%(3 919/9 261)of the strains were isolated from young adults.Most isolates(71.1%)were isolated from sputum and respiratory secretions,followed by urine(10.7%)and blood samples(8.1%).B.cepacia isolates were highly susceptible to the five antimicrobial agents recommended in the CLSI M100 document(33rd edition,2023).B.cepacia isolates showed relatively higher resistance rates to meropenem and levofloxacin.However,the resistance rates to ceftazidime,trimethoprim-sulfamethoxazole,and minocycline remained below 8.1%.The percentage of B.cepacia strains resistant to levofloxacin was the highest compared to other antibiotics in any of the three age groups(from 12.4%in the patients<18 years old to 20.6%in the patients aged 60 years or older).Conclusions B.cepacia is one of the clinically important non-fermenting gram-negative bacteria.Accurate and timely reporting of antimicrobial susceptibility test results and ongoing antimicrobial resistance surveillance are helpful for rational prescription of antimicrobial agents and proper prevention and control of nosocomial infections.
3.Changing prevalence and antibiotic resistance profiles of carbapenem-resistant Enterobacterales in hospitals across China:data from CHINET Antimicrobial Resistance Surveillance Program,2015-2021
Wenxiang JI ; Tong JIANG ; Jilu SHEN ; Yang YANG ; Fupin HU ; Demei ZHU ; Yuanhong XU ; Ying HUANG ; Fengbo ZHANG ; Ping JI ; Yi XIE ; Mei KANG ; Chuanqing WANG ; Pan FU ; Yingchun XU ; Xiaojiang ZHANG ; Ziyong SUN ; Zhongju CHEN ; Yuxing NI ; Jingyong SUN ; Yunzhuo CHU ; Sufei TIAN ; Zhidong HU ; Jin LI ; Yunsong YU ; Jie LIN ; Bin SHAN ; Yan DU ; Sufang GUO ; Lianhua WEI ; Fengmei ZOU ; Yunjian HU ; Xiaoman AI ; Chao ZHUO ; Danhong SU ; Dawen GUO ; Jinying ZHAO ; Hua YU ; Xiangning HUANG ; Wen'en LIU ; Yanming LI ; Yan JIN ; Chunhong SHAO ; Xuesong XU ; Chao YAN ; Shanmei WANG ; Yafei CHU ; Lixia ZHANG ; Juan MA ; Shuping ZHOU ; Yan ZHOU ; Lei ZHU ; Jinhua MENG ; Fang DONG ; Zhiyong LÜ ; Fangfang HU ; Han SHEN ; Wanqing ZHOU ; Wei JIA ; Gang LI ; Jinsong WU ; Yuemei LU ; Jihong LI ; Jinju DUAN ; Jianbang KANG ; Xiaobo MA ; Yanping ZHENG ; Ruyi GUO ; Yan ZHU ; Yunsheng CHEN ; Qing MENG ; Shifu WANG ; Xuefei HU ; Hong ZHANG ; Chun WANG ; Wenhui HUANG ; Ruizhong WANG ; Hua FANG ; Bixia YU ; Yong ZHAO ; Ping GONG ; Kaizhen WENG ; Yirong ZHANG ; Jiangshan LIU ; Longfeng LIAO ; Hongqin GU ; Lin JIANG ; Wen HE ; Shunhong XUE ; Jiao FENG ; Chunlei YUE
Chinese Journal of Infection and Chemotherapy 2025;25(4):445-454
Objective To summarize the changing prevalence of carbapenem resistance in Enterobacterales based on the data of CHINET Antimicrobial Resistance Surveillance Program from 2015 to 2021 for improving antimicrobial treatment in clinical practice.Methods Antimicrobial susceptibility testing was performed using a commercial automated susceptibility testing system according to the unified CHINET protocol.The results were interpreted according to the breakpoints of the Clinical & Laboratory Standards Institute(CLSI)M100 31st ed in 2021.Results Over the seven-year period(2015-2021),the overall prevalence of carbapenem-resistant Enterobacterales(CRE)was 9.43%(62 342/661 235).The prevalence of CRE strains in Klebsiella pneumoniae,Citrobacter freundii,and Enterobacter cloacae was 22.38%,9.73%,and 8.47%,respectively.The prevalence of CRE strains in Escherichia coli was 1.99%.A few CRE strains were also identified in Salmonella and Shigella.The CRE strains were mainly isolated from respiratory specimens(44.23±2.80)%,followed by blood(20.88±3.40)%and urine(18.40±3.45)%.Intensive care units(ICUs)were the major source of the CRE strains(27.43±5.20)%.CRE strains were resistant to all the β-lactam antibiotics tested and most non-β-lactam antimicrobial agents.The CRE strains were relatively susceptible to tigecycline and polymyxins with low resistance rates.Conclusions The prevalence of CRE strains was increasing from 2015 to 2021.CRE strains were highly resistant to most of the antibacterial drugs used in clinical practice.Clinicians should prescribe antimicrobial agents rationally.Hospitals should strengthen antibiotic stewardship in key clinical settings such as ICUs,and take effective infection control measures to curb CRE outbreak and epidemic in hospitals.
4.Changing distribution and antibiotic resistance profiles of the respiratory bacterial isolates in hospitals across China:data from CHINET Antimicrobial Resistance Surveillance Program,2015-2021
Ying FU ; Yunsong YU ; Jie LIN ; Yang YANG ; Fupin HU ; Demei ZHU ; Yingchun XU ; Xiaojiang ZHANG ; Fengbo ZHANG ; Ping JI ; Yi XIE ; Mei KANG ; Chuanqing WANG ; Pan FU ; Yuanhong XU ; Ying HUANG ; Ziyong SUN ; Zhongju CHEN ; Yuxing NI ; Jingyong SUN ; Yunzhuo CHU ; Sufei TIAN ; Zhidong HU ; Jin LI ; Bin SHAN ; Yan DU ; Sufang GUO ; Lianhua WEI ; Fengmei ZOU ; Hong ZHANG ; Chun WANG ; Yunjian HU ; Xiaoman AI ; Chao ZHUO ; Danhong SU ; Dawen GUO ; Jinying ZHAO ; Hua YU ; Xiangning HUANG ; Wen'en LIU ; Yanming LI ; Yan JIN ; Chunhong SHAO ; Xuesong XU ; Chao YAN ; Shanmei WANG ; Yafei CHU ; Lixia ZHANG ; Juan MA ; Shuping ZHOU ; Yan ZHOU ; Lei ZHU ; Jinhua MENG ; Fang DONG ; Zhiyong LÜ ; Fangfang HU ; Han SHEN ; Wanqing ZHOU ; Wei JIA ; Gang LI ; Jinsong WU ; Yuemei LU ; Jihong LI ; Jinju DUAN ; Jianbang KANG ; Xiaobo MA ; Yanping ZHENG ; Ruyi GUO ; Yan ZHU ; Yunsheng CHEN ; Qing MENG ; Shifu WANG ; Xuefei HU ; Jilu SHEN ; Ruizhong WANG ; Hua FANG ; Bixia YU ; Yong ZHAO ; Ping GONG ; Kaizhen WENG ; Yirong ZHANG ; Jiangshan LIU ; Longfeng LIAO ; Hongqin GU ; Lin JIANG ; Wen HE ; Shunhong XUE ; Jiao FENG ; Chunlei YUE ; Wenhui HUANG
Chinese Journal of Infection and Chemotherapy 2025;25(4):431-444
Objective To characterize the changing species distribution and antibiotic resistance profiles of respiratory isolates in hospitals participating in the CHINET Antimicrobial Resistance Surveillance Program from 2015 to 2021.Methods Commercial automated antimicrobial susceptibility testing systems and disk diffusion method were used to test the susceptibility of respiratory bacterial isolates to antimicrobial agents following the standardized technical protocol established by the CHINET program.Results A total of 589 746 respiratory isolates were collected from 2015 to 2021.Overall,82.6%of the isolates were Gram-negative bacteria and 17.4%were Gram-positive bacteria.The bacterial isolates from outpatients and inpatients accounted for(6.0±0.9)%and(94.0±0.1)%,respectively.The top microorganisms were Klebsiella spp.,Acinetobacter spp.,Pseudomonas aeruginosa,Staphylococcus aureus,Haemophilus spp.,Stenotrophomonas maltophilia,Escherichia coli,and Streptococcus pneumoniae.Each microorganism was isolated from significantly more males than from females(P<0.05).The overall prevalence of methicillin-resistant S.aureus(MRSA)was 39.9%.The prevalence of penicillin-resistant S.pneumoniae was 1.4%.The prevalence of extended-spectrum β-lactamase(ESBL)-producing E.coli and K.pneumoniae was 67.8%and 41.3%,respectively.The overall prevalence of carbapenem-resistant E.coli,K.pneumoniae,Enterobacter cloacae,Pseudomonas aeruginosa,and Acinetobacter baumannii was 3.7%,20.8%,9.4%,29.8%,and 73.3%,respectively.The prevalence of β-lactamase was 96.1%in Moraxella catarrhalis and 60.0%in Haemophilus influenzae.The H.influenzae isolates from children(<18 years)showed significantly higher resistance rates to β-lactam antibiotics than the isolates from adults(P<0.05).Conclusions Gram-negative bacteria are still predominant in respiratory isolates associated with serious antibiotic resistance.Antimicrobial resistance surveillance should be strengthened in clinical practice to support accurate etiological diagnosis and appropriate antimicrobial therapy based on antimicrobial susceptibility testing results.
5.Assessment of the risk of retinal arteriosclerosis by the triglyceride glucose-WHR index
Fan WANG ; Dongning CHEN ; Jie ZHUO ; Jing CUI ; Yu LI ; Shenghua WANG
Chinese Journal of Preventive Medicine 2025;59(8):1246-1253
Objective:To investigate the relationship between Triglyceride Glucose-WHR index and retinal arteriosclerosis.Methods:Retrospective longitudinal cohort research method. Using data from the Tongren Health Care Study of Beijing Tongren Hospital from March 2014 to June 2020. The TyG-WHR index was calculated, the restricted cubic spine regression model was used to explore the dose-response relationship between TyG-WHR index and the risk of retinal arteriosclerosis. Cox proportional regression model was implemented to estimate the impact on the risk of retinal arteriosclerosis associated with the different TyG-WHR groups. Receiver operating characteristic were used to explore the value of triglyceride glucose-WHR index for the risk of retinal arteriosclerosis.Results:A total of 8 215 subjects were included, including 3 334 (40.58%) males, 4 881 (59.42%) females;7 689 cases had normal fundus, 296 cases had newly developed retinal arteriosclerosis, and 230 cases had retinal arteriosclerosis. The median age is 45 years old, and the average age is (47.63±13.89) years old. The cumulative incidence rate of new retinal arteriosclerosis was 3.71%(296/7 985), and the cumulative incidence rate of women (3.31%,158/4 767) was lower than that of men (4.29%, 138/3 218) ( χ2=5.105, P<0.001); The cumulative incidence rate of new retinal arteriosclerosis increased with age ( χ2=365.133, P<0.001); The TyG-WHR index was divided into four groups according to the interquartile range, and the Q2- Q4 group had an increased risk of developing new retinal arteriosclerosis compared to Q1 ( χ2=132.887, P<0.001).In the restricted cubic spine regression model, the results showed a non-linear dose-response relationship ( χ2=54.27, P<0.001) between baseline TyG-WHR index and the new-onset of retinal arteriosclerosis. By the multivariate Cox Regression models, three models were constructed in this study. TyG-WHR index was positively correlated with the risk of retinal arteriosclerosis: the HR (95% CI) of model 1-3 was 1.534,1.517 and 1.502.The AUC curve analysis verified that the prediction AUC of the TyG-WHR index for new-onset retinal arteriosclerosis was 0.755, the best prediction value was 7.343, the sensitivity was 90.2%, and the specificity was 75.60%. Conclusion:TyG-WHR index may be an independent risk factor for new-onset retinal arteriosclerosis.
6.CT and MRI manifestations of polymorphous low-grade neuroepithelial tumor of the young
Jie LI ; Mengyuan YUAN ; Bingxin PANG ; Junmei WANG ; Zhuo LI ; Shengjun SUN
Chinese Journal of Medical Imaging Technology 2025;41(4):578-582
Objective To observe CT and MRI manifestations of polymorphous low-grade neuroepithelial tumor of the young(PLNTY).Methods Totally 21 cases of PLNTY confirmed by pathology were retrospectively enrolled,and CT and MRI manifestations of the lesions were observed.Results Single supratentorial tumor was found in all 21 cases,including 13 cases of isolated brain parenchymal type,6 cases of diffuse brain parenchymal type and 2 cases of extra parenchymal type PLNTY.Diffusion weighted imaging(DWI)showed no diffusion limitation in all 21 cases,and a few cases with mild peritumoral edema.Among 13 cases of isolated brain parenchymal PLNTY,7 cases presented as calcified nodules,5 cases presented as cystic lesions and 1 case as solid nodule.After administration of contrast agents,no enhancement was found in 11 cases,while mild local enhancement was observed in 2 cases.Six cases of diffuse brain parenchymal PLNTY presented as diffuse thickening of the cortex in lesion area,with abnormal signals in the subcortical white matter in 4 cases.After administration of contrast agents,no enhancement was found in 4 cases,while mild local enhancement was noticed in 2 cases.Two cases of extra parenchymal PLNTY presented as solid mass with calcification,with equal density on CT and mild local enhancement on enhanced MRI.Conclusion CT and MRI manifestations of PLNTY had certain characteristics.
7.Brusatol induces apoptosis in small cell lung cancer by inhibiting STAT3 phosphorylation
Hui-lan WEI ; Xin-yu WEI ; Mu-zi JIANG ; Shan-shan WEI ; Zhuo LUO ; Jie YANG
Chinese Pharmacological Bulletin 2025;41(10):1940-1947
Aim To investigate the effect of Brusatol a-gainst small cell lung cancer(SCLC)and its potential mechanism.Methods CCK-8 assay and flow cytome-try were used to detect the cytotoxic effect of Brusatol on SCLC cells.Western blot was employed to measure the expression levels of apoptosis-related proteins,in-cluding cleaved poly(ADP-ribose)polymerase(cleaved-PARP),B-cell lymphoma 2(Bcl-2)and Bcl-2-associated X protein(Bax).Network pharma-cology databases were utilized to identify common tar-gets of Brusatol,SCLC,and apoptosis.Kyoto Encyclo-pedia of Genes and Genomes(KEGG)and Gene On-tology(GO)enrichment analyses were performed on the intersecting genes.Molecular docking simulations between Brusatol and core targets were conducted using the CB-DOCK2 online platform to calculate binding en-ergies and sites.Western blot was further applied to detect the expression levels of signal transducer and ac-tivator of transcription 3(STAT3)and phosphorylated-STAT3(p-STAT3).Results Brusatol inhibited SCLC cell growth and induced apoptosis,significantly downregulating Bcl-2 and cleaved-PARP while upregu-lating Bax expression(P<0.05).Network pharma-cology analysis revealed 108 common targets of Brusa-tol and SCLC,with the top three core targets being ep-idermal growth factor receptor(EGFR),STAT3,and tumor necrosis factor(TNF).Molecular docking re-sults indicated strong binding affinity between bruceine D and these core targets.Western blot validation con-firmed that bruceine D suppressed the expression of STAT3 and p-STAT3.Conclusion Brusatol exerts anti-SCLC effects by inhibiting STAT3 to induce apop-tosis in SCLC cells.
8.Current Situation and Influencing Factors of Career Growth of Managers in Public Hospitals
Jie JI ; Jingjia ZHU ; Lijun ZHUO ; Hongbing TAO
Chinese Hospital Management 2025;45(2):74-78
Objective To investigate the current situation of career growth of public hospital managers and analyse its influencing factors,in order to provide a reference basis for promoting the level of career growth of hospital managers.Methods A convenient sampling method was applied to select 276 managers from nine public secondary and tertiary public hospitals in Hubei Province as the respondents,and a General Information Questionnaire,Career Growth Scale,and Person-organisation Fit scale were used to conduct the survey.Descriptive statistics,ANOVA,Pearson correlation analysis,and multiple linear regression were used to complete the analysis of the current status of career growth and influencing factors.Results The overall score of hospital managers'career growth is 3.29±0.79;person-organisation fit scores were positively correlated with hospital managers'career growth scores(P<0.05).Multiple linear regression results showed that the type of hospital,the gender,whether or not they were both hospi-tal functionaries and clinical operations personnel,and the person-organisation fit were the major factors influencing the career growth of hospital managers the(P<0.05).Conclusion The career growth of hospital managers is general-ly at an intermediate level and is affected by a variety of factors.Hospitals should pay attention to the individual characteristics and job requirements of managers,and improve career growth by completing the performance evalua-tion system,creating a good and fair organisational atmosphere,and easing career promotion stress.
9.Changes and Clinical Significance of Serum miR-138-5p and miR-574-5p Levels in Newborns Acute Respiratory Distress Syndrome
Xian WEI ; Yuan HE ; Jie HUANG ; Zhuo FENG ; Feng WANG
Journal of Modern Laboratory Medicine 2025;40(1):69-72,83
Objective To investigate the changes of serum microRNA (miR)-138-5p and microRNA(miR)-574-5p expression levels and their clinical significance in newborns acute respiratory distress syndrome (nARDS). Methods A total of 112 infants with nARDS from September 2018 to August 2023 in the Neonatal Department of Xiaogan Hospital Affiliated to Wuhan University of Science and Technology were collected as the observation group. They were divided into good prognosis group (n=98) and the poor prognosis group (n=14). A total of 104 healthy full-term newborns born at the same time were selected as the control group. Quantitative real-time polymerase chain reaction (qRT-PCR) was used to detect the expression levels of miR-138-5p and miR-574-5p in serum. ROC curve was used to analyze the diagnostic value of serum miR-574-5p and miR-138-5p levels for poor prognosis of infants with nARDS. Multivariate Logistic regression analysis of factors affecting the poor prognosis of infants with nARDS. Results Compared with the control group,the expression level of serum miR-574-5p in the observation group increased (1.72±0.23 vs 1.04±0.17),with the expression level of miR-138-5p decreased (0.55±0.08 vs 1.02±0.16),with statistically significant differences (t=24.557,25.597,all P<0.05). Compared with the good prognosis group,the serum miR-138-5p expression level in the poor prognosis group decreased (0.41±0.06 vs 0.57±0.08),with the miR-574-5p expression level increased (2.07±0.25 vs 1.67±0.19),with statistically significant differences (t=7.188,7.069,all P<0.05). The age,intrauterine distress,and proportion of abnormal amniotic fluid in the poor prognosis group were higher than those in the good prognosis group (t=5.359,4.257,6.577,all P<0.05). MiR-574-5p was an independent risk factor for poor prognosis with nARDS,and miR-138-5p was a protective factor (all P<0.05).The AUC (95% CI) of serum miR-138-5p and miR-574-5p alone and combined diagnosis of nADRS were 0.793 (0.706~0.864),0.898 (0.826~0.947) and 0.931 (0.867~0.970),respectively. The combined prediction of miR-138-5p and miR-574-5p were better than that of miR-138-5p alone and miR-574-5p alone (Z=2.151,1.982,all P<0.05). Conclusion The expression levels of miR-138-5p in serum of infant with nARDS were lower and the expression levels of miR-574-5p were higher,both of which have certain diagnostic value for poor prognosis of infant with nARDS .
10.Risk factors of malaria infection and risk prediction model research in in labor export in Langfang City
Xuejun ZHANG ; Kun ZHAO ; Jing ZHAO ; ZHUO WANG ; Qiang GUO ; Jie XIAO ; Juanjuan GUO ; Jinhong PENG
Journal of Public Health and Preventive Medicine 2025;36(1):118-122
Objective To analyze the influencing factors of malaria infection of labor service exported to overseas in Langfang City, in order to establish a visualization tool to assist clinicians in predicting the risk of malaria. Methods A total of 4 774 expatriate employees of the Nibei Pipeline Project of the Pipeline Bureau from October 2021 to August 2023 were taken as the subjects, and the gender, age, overseas residence area and Knowledge of malaria controlscores of the study subjects were investigated by questionnaire survey, and the possible risk factors of malaria were screened by logistic regression model. At the same time, the nomogram prediction model was established, and the subjects were divided into the training group and the validation group at a ratio of 2:1, and the area under the curve (ROC) and the decision curve were plotted to evaluate the prediction ability and practicability of the prediction model in this study. Results Among the 4 774 study subjects, 96 cases of malaria occurred, and the detection rate was 2.01%. Junior school (OR=1.723,95% CI:1.361-2.173), and residence in rural areas(OR=2.091,95%CI:1.760 -3.100)were risk factors (OR>1), while protective measures(OR=0.826,95% CI : 0.781 - 0.901) and high malaria education scores (OR=0.872,95% CI : 0.621 - 0.899)were protective factors.The nomogram prediction model results showed that the area under the curve of the nomogram prediction model in the training group was 0.94 (95% CI : 0.85 - 1.00), while the validation group was 0.93 (95% CI : 0.80 - 1.00). The results of the decision curve showed that when the threshold probability of the population was 0-0.9, the nomogram model was used to predict the risk of malaria occurrence with the highest net income. Conclusion The nomogram prediction model (including gender, education, region, protection and malaria education score) established and validated in this study is of great value for clinicians to screen high-risk patients with malaria.


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