1.Analysis of disease burden for bipolar disorder in Chinese adolescents aged 10-24 years and trend prediction
ZHAO Zihe, ZHU Jiawen, HUANG Qianling, ZENG Zhi
Chinese Journal of School Health 2025;46(2):266-271
Objective:
To analyze the burden of bipolar disorder among adolescents aged 10-24 in China from 1990 to 2021 and its trend of change, so as to provide theoretical basis for the prevention and treatment of bipolar disorder.
Methods:
The latest data from the Global Burden of Disease (GBD) database in 2021 were selected. The Joinpoint regression model, age-period-cohort (APC) model, and bayesian age-period-cohort (BAPC) model were used to analyze and predict indicators such as the age standardized incidence rate and age standardized disability adjusted life year (DALY) rate of bipolar disorder among Chinese adolescents, and the average annual percent change (AAPC) was calculated.
Results:
From 1990 to 2021, the overall age standardized incidence rate (1990:22.92/100 000, 2021:23.17/100 000) showed an upward trend ( AAPC=0.03, t=8.20, P <0.01) and change trend of age standardized DALY rate (1990:33.61/100 000, 2021:33.76/100 000) was relatively flat ( AAPC=0.01, t= 0.99 , P =0.32). From 1990 to 2021, age standardized incidence rate and age standardized DALY rate of girls were higher than boys ( χ 2=16.38, P <0.01). The net drift values for the incidence rate and DALY rate of bipolar disorder among Chinese adolescents aged 10-24 years were -0.23% and -0.22%, respectively. The highest incidence rate of bipolar disorder among Chinese adolescents aged 10-24 years was observed in the 15-19 age group, with a rate of 33.14/100 000; the highest DALY risk was in the 20- 24 age group, with a rate of 57.26/100 000. The lowest incidence risk and DALY risk RR values for bipolar disorder among Chinese adolescents aged 10-24 years were observed in 2017-2021, with RR values of 0.99 (95% CI =0.97-1.00) and 0.98 (95% CI = 0.97- 0.99), respectively ( P <0.05). Similarly, the lowest incidence risk and DALY risk RR values for this age group were observed in the 2000-2004 birth cohort, both of which were 0.86 (95% CI =0.84-0.87) ( P <0.05). It was projected that the overall age standardized incidence rate and age standardized DALY rate of bipolar disorder among Chinese adolescents aged 10-24 years will continue to increase from 2022 to 2031, reaching 24.10/100 000 and 34.90/100 000, respectively, by 2031.
Conclusions
From 1990 to 2021, both the age standardized incidence rate and age standardized DALY rate of bipolar disorder among Chinese adolescents shows an upward trend. Special attention should be given to female adolescents, with a focus on controlling the age standardized incidence rate of bipolar disorder among 15-19 year-old adolescents and the age standardized DALY rate among 20-24 year-old ones. Efforts should be enhanced to increase awareness and screening for bipolar disorder among adolescents.
2.Exploration on the Effects of Bushen Huoxue Prescription on Rabbit Intervertebral Disc Degeneration Based on the RIPK1/RIPK3/MLKL Signaling Pathway
Wei PENG ; Liguo ZHU ; Xunlu YIN ; Jie LUO ; Kexin YANG ; Minshan FENG ; Jie YU ; Long LIANG ; Linghui LI ; Jiawen ZHAN ; Tao HAN ; Mingyi LUO ; Dian ZHANG
Chinese Journal of Information on Traditional Chinese Medicine 2025;32(2):71-77
Objective To observe the effects of Bushen Huoxue Prescription on the pathway related to necroptosis of nucleus pulposus cells in a model rabbit of intervertebral disc degeneration;To explore its mechanisms in delaying intervertebral disc degeneration.Methods A intervertebral disc degeneration rabbit model was established using the spinal instability method.Totally 40 model rabbits were randomly divided into model group,ibuprofen group and Bushen Huoxue Prescription low-,medium-and high-dosage groups.Additionally,a normal control group and a sham-operation group were set up,with 8 rabbits in each group.Each treatment groups received the corresponding drugs via gavage for two consecutive weeks.HE staining was used to observe morphology of nucleus pulposus tissue,transmission electron microscopy was used to observe ultrastructure in nucleus pulposus cells,immunohistochemical staining was used to assess the expressions of Aggrecan and Collagen Ⅱ in nucleus pulposus tissue,Western blot was used to detect the expressions of p-RIPK1,p-RIPK3 and p-MLKL protein in nucleus pulposus tissue.Results Compared with the sham-operation group,the model group showed a significant decrease in nucleus pulposus cells,disordered cell arrangement,reduced extracellular matrix,interrupted cell membrane continuity under transmission electron microscopy,organelle swelling,nuclear membrane disruption,partial chromatin loss,and positive expression of Aggrecan and Collagen Ⅱ in nucleus pulposus tissue decreased(P<0.01),while the expressions of p-RIPK1,p-RIPK3 and p-MLKL protein significantly increased(P<0.01).Compared with the model group,the treatment groups showed an increased number of nucleus pulposus cells with orderly arrangement and more extracellular matrix,the ultrastructural damage of the cell membrane,organelle and nucleus in nucleus pulposus cells was partially restored under transmission electron microscopy,the positive expressions of Aggrecan and Collagen Ⅱ significantly increased in Bushen Huoxue Prescription medium-and high-dosage groups and the ibuprofen group(P<0.05,P<0.01),while the expressions of p-RIPK1,p-RIPK3 and p-MLKL protein significantly decreased(P<0.05,P<0.01).Conclusion Bushen Huoxue Prescription may delay intervertebral disc degeneration of the model rabbit by inhibiting the expressions of p-RIPK1,p-RIPK3 and p-MLKL protein in nucleus pulposus cells,and promoting the generation of extracellular matrix components Aggrecan and Collagen Ⅱ.
3.Exploration on the Effect of Bushen Huoxue Prescription on Necroptosis in Human Nucleus Pulposus Cells Based on RIPK1/RIPK3/MLKL Pathway
Wei PENG ; Liguo ZHU ; Xunlu YIN ; Kexin YANG ; Jie LUO ; Minshan FENG ; Jie YU ; Linghui LI ; Jiawen ZHAN ; Tao HAN ; Long LIANG ; Mingyi LUO ; Dian ZHANG
Chinese Journal of Information on Traditional Chinese Medicine 2025;32(3):69-75
Objective To observe the effects of Bushen Huoxue Prescription on pressure-induced necroptosis in human nucleus pulposus cells and the expressions of RIPK1/RIPK3/MLKL pathway;To explore its potential mechanism in delaying intervertebral disc degeneration.Methods Human primary nucleus pulposus cells were cultured in vitro,and a model of nucleus pulposus cell degeneration was established using continuous load pressure method.After modeling,the nucleus pulposus cells were divided into model group,Bushen Huoxue Prescription group and inhibitor group,blank serum,Bushen Huoxue Prescription containing serum and necroptotic apoptosis inhibitor(Nec-1)intervention were administered,respectively.Normal group nucleus pulposus cells were cultured routinely.AO/EB fluorescence dual staining method was used for detecting cell apoptosis,flow cytometry was used to detect the necroptosis rate of nucleus pulposus cells,Western blot was used to detect the protein expressions of p-receptor interacting protein kinase(RIPK)1,p-RIPK3 and p-mixed lineage kinase domain like protein(MLKL),RT-qPCR was used to detect the mRNA expressions of RIPK1,RIPK3 and MLKL.Results Compared with the normal group,the model group showed more red fluorescence under AO/EB staining of nucleus pulposus cells,which were round and condensed,the necroptosis rate of nucleus pulposus cells increased(P<0.05),the protein expressions of p-RIPK1,p-RIPK3 and p-MLKL increased(P<0.05,P<0.01),while there was no significant difference in RIPK1 mRNA expression(P>0.05),and RIPK3 and MLKL mRNA expression increased(P<0.01).Compared with the model group,Bushen Huoxue Prescription group and the inhibitor group had less red condensed chromatin in the nucleus pulposus cells,Bushen Huoxue Prescription group had a lower rate of necroptosis(P<0.05),while the inhibitor group showed a decreasing trend in necroptosis rate(P>0.05),the protein expressions of p-RIPK1,p-RIPK3 and p-MLKL decreased in Bushen Huoxue Prescription group and the inhibitor group(P<0.05,P<0.01),while there was no significant difference in RIPK1 mRNA expression(P>0.05),and RIPK3 and MLKL mRNA expressions decreased(P<0.01).Conclusion Bushen Huoxue Prescription can alleviate pressure-induced damage to nucleus pulposus cells and inhibit necroptosis,thereby slowing the progression of intervertebral disc degeneration.Its mechanism may be related to the RIPK1/RIPK3/MLKL pathway mediated necroptosis.
4.Molecular Mechanism of Danshen Tongluo Formula in Intervention of Coronary Artery Disease-dominated Panvascular Disease
Jiawen CHENG ; Chao LIU ; Jie WANG ; Yongmei LIU ; Wenjing LIAN ; Chengzhi HOU ; Chenyang ZHU ; Cheng MA
Chinese Journal of Experimental Traditional Medical Formulae 2025;31(24):86-93
ObjectiveEndothelial cell dysfunction being the core link. This study explores the molecular mechanism of Danshen Tongluo formula in treating coronary artery disease-dominated panvascular disease with endothelial cell changes as the core through animal experiments and single-cell transcriptome sequencing. MethodsA rat model of coronary artery disease-dominated panvascular disease was established by ligating the left anterior coronary artery. Rats were randomized into a blank group, a model group, and a Danshen Tongluo formula (28 mg·kg-1·d-1) group. The efficacy was evaluated by examining the cardiac ultrasound, determination of the plasma level of N-terminal pro-brain natriuretic peptide, and pathological staining. After single-cell sequencing, SingleR package, public datasets, and related literature were used for annotation of the cells. Cell chat was used for intercellular communication and ligand-receptor analysis, and scmetabolism was used for metabolic analysis of endothelial cells. ResultsAnimal experiments showed that Danshen Tongluo formula reduced the N-terminal pro-brain natriuretic peptide ( NT-proBNP ) level (P<0.05), ameliorated myocardial cell damage and fibrosis, and increase left ventricular ejection fractions (LVEF) in the rat model of heart failure after myocardial infarction(P<0.05). Single-cell sequencing results showed that Danshen Tongluo formula increased the proportion of arterial endothelial cells, venous endothelial cells, and capillary-arterial endothelial cells, while reducing the proportion of capillary-venous endothelial cells. In addition, this formula increased the interaction intensity of endothelial cells with cardiomyocytes and M1 macrophages and reduced the interaction intensity of endothelial cells with fibroblasts and T cells. Danshen Tongluo formula upregulated CXCL12-CXCR4 signaling in endothelium-B cells and Ptprm-Ptprm signaling in endothelial endothelial cells, while downregulating Mif-(CD74+CXCR44) signaling in endothelium-M1 macrophages and Mif-(CD74+CD44) signaling in endothelium-M2 macrophages. It reduced the citric acid cycle, oxidative phosphorylation, and glycolysis and increased the glycolysis/oxidative phosphorylation ratio in endothelial cells. GO and KEGG enrichment analysis showed that arterial endothelial cells, venous endothelial cells, and venous capillary endothelial cells can all regulate oxidative phosphorylation, cell adhesion molecules, and tyrosine metabolism. Lymphatic endothelial cells regulate immunity and vascular constriction to participate in the metabolism of various amino acids and fatty acids. ConclusionDanshen Tongluo Formula can ameliorate coronary artery disease-dominated panvascular disease by changing the composition of endothelial cells and regulating the communication between myocardial endothelial cells and non-endothelial cells.
5.Role of negative affects in the association between outdoor light at night exposure and sleep quality among primary and secondary school students
ZHU Wendi, TANG Jiawen, ZHANG Xiyan, WANG Xin, YANG Wenyi, DU Wei, YANG Jie
Chinese Journal of School Health 2025;46(11):1539-1543
Objective:
To investigate the association between outdoor light at night (LAN) exposure and sleep quality among primary and secondary school students, and to examine the pathways of negative affects including depressive, stress and anxiety symptoms, so as to provide a theoretical basis for optimizing the school environment and enhancing the physical and mental well being of students.
Methods:
In December 2024, a total of 36 885 students from 154 primary and secondary schools in Suzhou, Nantong, and Changzhou were included via a stratified cluster sampling method. Sleep quality and negative affect were assessed by using the Pittsburgh Sleep Quality Index (PSQI), Center for Epidemiologic Studies Depression Scale (CES-D), Generalized Anxiety Disorder-7 (GAD-7), and Depression, Anxiety and Stress Scale-21 (DASS-21), respectively. Outdoor LAN exposure data were obtained from the national polar orbiting partnership visible infrared imaging radiometer suite nighttime light(NPP-VIIRS NTL) dataset provided by the National Earth System Science Data Center. Multivariate Logistic regression model was employed to analyze the association between LAN exposure and sleep quality across different regions, with stratification by monitoring site. Spearman correlation analysis was used to examine the relationships between LAN, negative affect, and sleep quality. The mediating role of negative affect was tested by using Model 4 of the PROCESS macro.
Results:
The detection rates among students were 13.95%( n =5 147) for depressive symptom, 16.72%( n =6 166) for stress symptom, and 17.49%( n =6 451) for anxiety symptom. The median outdoor LAN exposure was 28.85(19.10, 41.44)nW/(cm 2 · ( sr). After adjusting for confounders, multivariate Logistic regression analysis showed that high LAN exposure ( Q 4) was positively associated with sleep problems (urban areas: OR =1.28, 95% CI = 1.17- 1.41; rural areas: OR =1.21, 95% CI =1.07-1.36; both P <0.05). Spearman correlation analysis revealed significant positive correlations between LAN exposure, depressive symptoms, stress symptoms, anxiety symptoms, and sleep quality ( r =0.03-0.75, all P < 0.01). The mediation analysis indicated that all dimensions of negative affect significantly mediated the relationship between high LAN exposure and poor sleep quality (all P <0.01). Specifically, the indirect effects were 0.03 (95% CI =0.02-0.05) for depressive symptom, 0.05(95% CI =0.03-0.08) for stress symptom, and 0.07(95% CI =0.05-0.09) for anxiety symptom. Overall, 31.9% of the total effect was mediated by negative affect, with anxiety (14.89%) being the strongest mediator, followed by stress (10.64%) and depression(6.38%).
Conclusion
Reducing high levels of outdoor LAN exposure and implementing interventions targeting negative affect may contribute to improved sleep quality among primary and secondary school students.
6.Burden and risk factors of stroke worldwide and in China: An analysis from the Global Burden of Disease Study 2021.
Zhengbao ZHU ; Mengyao SHI ; Quan YU ; Jiawen FEI ; Beiping SONG ; Xiaoli QIN ; Lulu SUN ; Yonghong ZHANG
Chinese Medical Journal 2025;138(20):2588-2595
BACKGROUND:
Stroke is the leading cause of death and long-term disability worldwide, including China. This study aimed to provide timely updates on stroke burden and stroke-related risk factors to help improve population-based prevention and control strategies.
METHODS:
Based on the Global Burden of Disease study 2021, incidence rate, prevalence rate, mortality rate, and disability-adjusted life-year (DALY) rate were used to estimate stroke burden trend from 1990 to 2021.
RESULTS:
In 2021, China had 4.1 million incident stroke cases, 26.3 million prevalent stroke cases, 2.6 million stroke related deaths, and 53.2 million stroke related DALYs, compared to 11.9 million incident stroke cases, 93.8 million prevalent stroke cases, 7.3 million stroke related deaths, and 160.5 million stroke-related DALYs worldwide. In 2021, the top six risk factors contributing to stroke burden were high blood pressure, air pollution, tobacco consumption, dietary risk factors, high low-density lipoprotein cholesterol, and high fasting plasma glucose, both in China and worldwide. From 1990 to 2021, China had significant increases of incidence rate, prevalence rate, mortality rate, and DALY rate for stroke, with estimates of 100.6 (95% uncertainty intervals [UI]: 87.2, 114.1)%, 102.9 (95% UI: 95.5, 110.9)%, 40.0 (95% UI: 14.9, 72.3)% and 15.7 (95% UI: -4.6, 41.2)%, respectively, while global incidence rate, prevalence rate, mortality rate and DALY rate for total stroke showed relatively moderate increases or even decreases, with estimates of 15.0 (95% UI: 12.1,18.0)%, 25.8 (95% UI: 23.7, 28.0)%, -2.6 (95% UI: -10.6, 5.5)%, and -10.7 (95% UI: -17.7, -3.6)%, respectively.
CONCLUSION
Stroke remains a huge disease burden worldwide and in China, and compared to the worldwide China has a significantly higher burden of stroke.
Humans
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Stroke/etiology*
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China/epidemiology*
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Risk Factors
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Global Burden of Disease
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Disability-Adjusted Life Years
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Prevalence
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Incidence
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Female
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Quality-Adjusted Life Years
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Male
7.Effects of Dictyophora polysaccharides on cognitive dysfunction induced by chronic alcohol exposure in rats
An'e ZHU ; Jian ZHANG ; Chengfei WANG ; Jiuyang DING ; Jiawen WANG ; Jie WANG ; Yuanhe WANG
Journal of Chongqing Medical University 2025;50(5):602-611
Objective:To investigate the effects of dictyophora polysaccharides(DIP)on cognitive dysfunction induced by chronic alco-hol exposure in rats.Methods:Sixty male Sprague-Dawley(SD)rats were randomly divided into five groups(n=12):control group(normal saline),DIP group[DIPH,DIP administered by gavage at 300 mg/(kg·d)for 28 consecutive days],alcohol group[EtOH,60%alcohol administered by gavage at 10 mg/(kg·d)for 28 consecutive days],low-dose DIP treatment group[EtOH+DIPL,60%alcohol administered at 10 mg/(kg·d)and DIP administered at 100 mg/(kg·d)by gavage,with an interval of 6 hours between doses,for 28 consecutive days],and high-dose DIP treatment group[EtOH+DIPH,60%alcohol administered at 10 mg/(kg·d)and DIP administered at 300 mg/(kg·d)by gavage,with an interval of 6 hours between doses,for 28 consecutive days].On day 25 of gavage,water maze training was provided for the rats for 4 days.On day 29,a water maze test was performed to determine the memory and learning functions of the rats;HE staining was used to evaluate the edema and inflammation of the liver and brain tissues;presence of inflammatory cells and the expression of myelin basic protein(MBP)in brain tissue were measured using immunohistochemical staining;Western blot was used to measure the expression of 2,2-cyclic nucleotide-3-phosphodiesterase(CNP)in the hippocampal tissue;the structural integrity of the myelin sheath was evaluated using LuxoL fast blue(LFB)staining and transmission electron microscopy.Results:Compared with the control group,the EtOH group showed a significantly increased escape latency,reduced expression of MBP,and decreased density of the myelin sheath.DIP intervention significantly improved cognitive dysfunction in rats,increased the expression of MBP and CNP,and reduced myelin damage.Conclusion:At a dose of 300 mg/kg,DIP may ameliorate cognitive dysfunction induced by chronic alcohol exposure by pro-tecting the structural and functional integrity of myelin sheaths.
8.Analysis of factors influencing the deterioration of nutritional status after radiotherapy/radiochemotherapy for esophageal cancer
Liqun CAO ; Panpan GAN ; Heling ZHU ; Han CHEN ; Nalin SUN ; Lihao CHEN ; Jiawen YU
Academic Journal of Naval Medical University 2025;46(5):674-680
Objective To analyze the factors influencing the deterioration of nutritional status after radiotherapy/radiochemotherapy for esophageal cancer,so as to provide reference for nutritional management during antitumor therapy.Methods A total of 106 patients with esophageal cancer who received radiotherapy or radiochemotherapy at Anqing First People's Hospital of Anhui Medical University from Dec.2017 to Dec.2023 were enrolled.Patients'gender,age,surgical history,timing of radiotherapy intervention,synchronous chemoradiotherapy,radiotherapy dose,clinical stage,initial nutritional status,and performance status score were collected.The patient generated subjective global assessment scale(PG-SGA)scores were monitored before and after antitumor treatment.According to the nutritional status at the beginning of enrollment and at the end of radiotherapy,the patients were assigned to deterioration group or non-deterioration(stable or improved)group.The clinical characteristics of the 2 groups were compared.The factors influencing the deterioration of nutritional status were screened by logistic regression analysis.The correlation between nutritional status deterioration and adverse reactions(radiation esophagitis,pulmonary infection,neutropenia,thrombocytopenia,and elevated aminotransferase)was analyzed by Spearman correlation analysis.Results There were no significant differences in gender,radiotherapy dose,initial nutritional status,or performance status score between the 2 groups for the deterioration of nutritional status after radiotherapy(all P>0.05).The proportions of patients with previous surgical history of esophageal cancer,synchronous chemoradiotherapy,initiation of radiotherapy at less than 90%of target calorie requirement,and clinical stage Ⅳ were significantly higher in the deterioration group than those in the non-deterioration group(all P<0.05).Logistic regression analysis showed that clinical stage Ⅳ(odds ratio[OR]=4.684,95%confidence interval[CI]1.252-17.519,P=0.022)and previous surgical history of esophageal cancer(OR=7.338,95%CI 1.878-28.666,P=0.004)were the independent adverse risk factors for the deterioration of nutritional status after radiotherapy/radiochemotherapy.The timing of radiotherapy intervention was also an independent risk factor for the deterioration of nutritional status,and taking the tolerance of 70%-90%target energy as the reference level,starting radiotherapy when the tolerance of 90%-100%target energy had the optimal protection of nutritional status(OR=0.166,95%CI 0.050-0.551,P=0.003).Spearman correlation analysis showed that the deterioration of nutritional status was positively correlated with elevated transaminases after radiotherapy(rs=0.283,P=0.003),while it was not correlated with the other adverse reactions(all P>0.05).Conclusion Under the standard nutritional intervention model,patients with previous surgery and recurrent metastatic esophageal cancer who receive radiotherapy/chemoradiotherapy are still at risk of nutritional status deterioration.Tolerance to 90%-100%target energy requirement may be a more appropriate timing for radiotherapy intervention.When the nutritional status deteriorates during treatment,it is necessary to be alert to the elevated transaminases.
9.The impact of iron overload and ferroptosis on the development and progression of autoimmune hepatitis and their mechanism of action
Bolin WANG ; Ling LI ; Jinxia ZHU ; Jiawen ZHANG ; Zhigao LUO ; Guangwei LIU
Journal of Clinical Hepatology 2025;41(11):2384-2389
Autoimmune hepatitis (AIH) is an inflammatory disease caused by immune dysfunction, and its pathogenic mechanism remains unclear. In recent years, a large number of studies have shown that iron homeostasis imbalance and ferroptosis are closely associated with the pathogenesis and progression of AIH. This article reviews the pathological mechanism and impact of iron overload and ferroptosis in AIH, in order to provide new insights and theoretical bases for research on the mechanism and clinical treatment of AIH.
10.Value of dynamic electrocardiography combined with CT angiography for MACE in elderly patients with coronary heart disease
Jiawen GU ; Yijun SHEN ; Min REN ; Beiwen ZHU
Chinese Journal of Geriatric Heart Brain and Vessel Diseases 2025;27(8):1030-1035
Objective To evaluate the value of dynamic electrocardiography(ECG)parameters combined with CT angiography(CTA)parameters in the evaluation of major adverse cardiovascu-lar events(MACE)in elderly patients with coronary heart disease(CHD).Methods A total of 110 elderly CHD patients admitted to our Hospital from January 2021 to May 2023 were prospec-tively recruited,and then divided into a MACE group(30 cases)and a non-MACE group(80 ca-ses)according to whether MACE occurred within 1 year of follow-up.The parameters of Holter,including QT interval variability(QTV),total standard deviation of N-N interval(SDNN),per-centage of total adjacent N-N over 50 ms(PNN50),and standard deviation of the average N-N in-tervals in all 5-min segment of a 24-h recording(SDANN),and the CTA parameters,such as min-imum lumen diameter(MLD),minimum lumen area(MLA),percentage of stenosis area(AS)and percentage of stenosis diameter(DS),were compared between the two groups.A nomogram-based prediction model for MACE risk was then constructed.ROC curve and calibration curve were drawn to evaluate the prediction efficiency of the risk model.Results The MACE group had significantly advanced age,more coronary lesions,and higher AS and DS values,but obviously lower SDNN,SDANN,PNN50,QTV,MLA and MLD values than the non-MACE group(P<0.05,P<0.01).The risk prediction model showed that advanced age,multivessel lesions,smaller SDNN,SDANN,PNN50,QTV,MLA and MLD values,and larger AS and DS values indicated higher risk of MACE in the elderly CHD patients.ROC curve analysis revealed that the AUC val-ue of our risk prediction model was 0.872(95%CI:0.764-0.975),with a sensitivity of 93.33%(28/30),a specificity of 91.25%(73/80),and an accuracy of 91.82%(101/110).Calibration curve analysis indicated that the model had a good fit(Chi-square=2.879,P=0.410),and Bootstrap in-ternal verification suggested that the model had a good accuracy(C-index=0.834).Conclusion Dynamic ECG parameters and CT A parameters are abnormal in elderly patients with MACE.Our risk prediction model based on these parameters has high value in evaluating the occurrence of MACE in the patients.


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