[Objective] To analyse and predict the tendencies of using erythrocyte blood in Changsha based on the autoregressive integrated moving average (ARIMA) model, long short-term memory (LSTM) and ARIMA-LSTM combination model, so as to provide reliable basis for designing a feasible and effective blood inventory management strategy. [Methods] The data of erythrocyte usage from hospitals in Changsha between January 2012 and December 2023 were collected, and ARIMA model, LSTM model and ARIMA-LSTM combination model were established. The actual erythrocyte consumption from January to May 2024 were used to assess and verify the prediction effect of the models. The extrapolation prediction accuracy of the models were tested using two evaluation indicators: mean absolute percentage error (MAPE) and root mean square error (RMSE), and then the prediction performance of the model was compared. [Results] The RMSE of LSTM model, optimal model ARIMA(1,1,1)(1,1,1)12 and ARIMA-LSTM combination model were respectively 5 206.66, 3 096.43 and 2 745.75, and the MAPE were 18.78%,11.54% and 9.76% respectively, which indicated that the ARIMA-LSTM combination model was more accurate than the ARIMA model and LSTM model, and the prediction results was basically consistent with the actual situation. [Conclusion] The ARIMA-LSTM model can better predict the clinical erythrocyte consumption in Changsha in the short term.

Objective:To develop a robotic digestive endoscope system (RDES) and to evaluate its feasibility, safety and control performance by experiments.Methods:The RDES was designed based on the master-slave control system, which consisted of 3 parts: the integrated endoscope, including a knob and button robotic control system integrated with a gastroscope; the robotic mechanical arm system, including the base and arm, as well as the endoscopic advance-retreat control device (force-feedback function was designed) and the endoscopic axial rotation control device; the control console, including a master manipulator and an image monitor. The operator sit far away from the endoscope and controlled the master manipulator to bend the end of the endoscope and to control advance, retract and rotation of the endoscope. The air supply, water supply, suction, figure fixing and motion scaling switching was realized by pressing buttons on the master manipulator. In the endoscopy experiments performed on live pigs, 5 physicians each were in the beginner and advanced groups. Each operator operated RDES and traditional endoscope (2 weeks interval) to perform porcine gastroscopy 6 times, comparing the examination time. In the experiment of endoscopic circle drawing on the inner wall of the simulated stomach model, each operator in the two groups operated RDES 1∶1 motion scaling, 5∶1 motion scaling and ordinary endoscope to complete endoscopic circle drawing 6 times, comparing the completion time, accuracy (i.e. trajectory deviation) and workload.Results:RDES was operated normally with good force feedback function. All porcine in vivo gastroscopies were successful, without mucosal injury, bleeding or perforation. In beginner and advanced groups, the examination time of both RDES and ordinary endoscopy tended to decrease as the number of operations increased, but the decrease in time was greater for operating RDES than for operating ordinary endoscope (beginner group P=0.033; advanced group P=0.023). In the beginner group, the operators operating RDES with 1∶1 motion scaling or 5∶1 motion scaling to complete endoscopic circle drawing had shorter completion time [1.68 (1.40, 2.17) min, 1.73 (1.47, 2.37) min VS 4.13 (2.27, 5.16) min, H=32.506, P<0.001], better trajectory deviation (0.50±0.11 mm, 0.46±0.11 mm VS 0.82±0.26 mm, F=38.999, P<0.001], and less workload [42.00 (30.00, 50.33) points, 43.33 (35.33, 54.00) points VS 52.67 (48.67, 63.33) points, H=20.056, P<0.001] than operating ordinary endoscope. In the advanced group, the operators operating RDES with 1∶1 or 5∶1 motion scaling to complete endoscopic circle drawing had longer completion time than operating ordinary endoscope [1.72 (1.37, 2.53) min, 1.57 (1.25, 2.58) min VS 1.15 (0.86, 1.58) min, H=13.233, P=0.001], but trajectory deviation [0.47 (0.13, 0.57) mm, 0.44 (0.39, 0.58) mm VS 0.52 (0.42, 0.59) mm, H=3.202, P=0.202] and workload (44.62±21.77 points, 41.24±12.57 points VS 44.71±17.92 points, F=0.369, P=0.693) were not different from those of the ordinary endoscope. Conclusion:The RDES enables remote control, greatly reducing the endoscopists' workload. Additionally, it gives full play to the cooperative motion function of the large and small endoscopic knobs, making the control more flexible. Finally, it increases motion scaling switching function to make the control of endoscope more flexible and more accurate. It is also easy for beginners to learn and master, and can shorten the training period. So it can provide the possibility of remote endoscopic control and fully automated robotic endoscope.

Objective:To investigate a brucellosis outbreak caused by contact with unquarantined sheep in Chongqing, and provide reference for prevention and control of brucellosis.Methods:In accordance with the requirements of the "Technical Plan of Brucellosis Prevention and Control Project of Chongqing" and the "Working Specification for Epidemic Disposal of Human Brucellosis" (DB50/T 946-2019), a self-designed brucellosis case questionnaire (version 2021) was used to carry out case investigation and laboratory tests on cases reported by medical institutions, and the data were analyzed descriptively.Results:According to "Working Specification for Epidemic Disposal of Human Brucellosis" (DB50/T 946-2019) in Chongqing, the brucellosis outbreak that occurred in December 2021 was determined to be a cluster outbreak, with a total of two confirmed cases of brucellosis, and a incidence rate of 2/9. The reason of the outbreak was the rearing and slaughtering of unquarantined sheep.Conclusion:We should strengthen the inspection and quarantine of livestock such as cattle and sheep, crack down on informal trade of livestock, and reduce the risk of brucellosis.

Objective To investigate the association between famine exposure in different life cycles and the risk of central obesity. Methods A total of 2234 spermanent residents were recruited to participate in the China Multi-Ethnic Cohort (CMEC) Study ,they were grouped into four birth cohorts of fetal-exposed (born between January 1,1959, and December 31,1961,95 cases), childhood-exposed (born between January 11,949, and December 31,1958,533 cases), adolescence/adult-exposed (born between January 1,1931, and December 31,1948,256 cases),unexposed cohorts（born after January 1, 1975，871 cases).we used logistic regression model to assess the effect of famine exposure on central obesity in adulthood. Results After adjusting for confounding factors, females in the fetal/infant exposure group（OR=3.283,95%CI：1.472～7.321,P＜0.001）、childhood- exposed group (OR=3.557,95%CI：2.374～5.313,P＜0.001) and adolescence/adult-exposed group (OR=5.785，95%CI：3.536～9.492，P＜0.001) had a higher risk of adult central obesity than the control group.After excluding the subjects with coronary heart disease、cancer、diabetes、stroke or obesity, sensitivity analysis was carried out. The risk of central obesity increased in the female / fetal、childhood、adolescent / adult exposure group,which was unfound in males. Conclusion Severe famine exposure in fetal/infant、childhood and adolescence/adulthood can increase the risk of central obesity in adulthood in females. Therefore, the prevention and control of central obesity in female should start from the early life.

Humans ; Asthma/drug therapy* ; Biological Therapy

Objective:To investigate and analyze the status quo and influential factors of the elderly in the community.Methods:From July to September 2021, 543 elderly people were investigated in 9 community healthcare service centers in Hangzhou by using the Comprehensive Frailty Assessment Instrument (including four dimensions: physical, psychological, social, and environmental frailty) and the Social Support Rating Scale (including three dimensions: subjective support, objective support, and support availability). Independent sample t-test, analysis of variance, correlation analysis, and multiple linear regression were conducted to examine key determinants of frailty. Results:The total score of frailty among older adults in the community was (43.1±12.0). The results showed that the total score of social support was negatively associated with frailty of community-dwelling older adults ( r=-0.449, P<0.01); age ≥80 years old ( β=0.229, P<0.001) was positively associated with frailty; not living alone, children′s household support, children′s spiritual support, the accessibility of elderly care facilities within a 15-minute walk, and social support score were negatively associated with frailty ( β=-0.118, -0.081, -0.260, -0.155, -0.250,all P<0.05). Conclusion:The elderly in the community have a moderate degree of frailty, which affected by age, living condition, children′s support, the accessibility of elderly care facilities, and social support.

Objective:Based on network pharmacology and molecular docking to explore the targets and mechanism of Xiaoyong Sanjie Formula treating Non-Puerperal Mastitis (NPM).Methods:By retrieving the active components and the corresponding target information of each component in Xiaoyong Sanjie Formula with Pharmacology Database and Analysis Platform of Chinese Medicine System (TCMSP), and NPM-related genes in database like GeneCard, OMIM, PharmGkb, TTD, and DrugBank, the data of the core targets of Xiaoyong Sanjie Formula and disease-related genes was compared to obtain intersecting genes, and the STRING database was used to analyze the protein interaction network and find the core genes. With the help of Cytoscape 3.8.0, the active ingredient-target-pathway regulation network diagram of Xiaoyong Sanjie Formula for the treatment of NPM was established. The R language pack was used to enrich the targets with GO function and KEGG pathway enrichment, and the potential targets and mechanism of Xiaoyong Sanjie Formula in the treatment of NPM were explored. Finally, molecular docking verification was carried out to analyze the effecacy of key components and potential core targets of Xiaoyong Sanjie Formula.Results:Network pharmacological analysis showed that there were 47 active component and 1 692 NPM-related potential targets in Xiaoyong Sanjie Formula, and 235 core targets of NPM in the treatment of Xiaoyong Sanjie Formula. The key components of Xiaoyong Sanjie Formula in the treatment of NPM include Quercetin, Naringenin, Kaempferol, Diosgenin, Luteolin, etc., with the core targets of intercellular adhesion molecule-1 (ICAM-1), vascular endothelial growth factor (VEGFA), tumor necrosis factor (TNF), interleukin-6 (IL-6), Epidermal growth factor receptor (EGFR), interleukin-1β (IL-1B), chemokine-8 (CXCL8), chemokine-2 (CCL2), etc. GO enrichment obtained 1 492 biological process entries. The KEGG pathway is enriched to obtain 105 pathways, including the TNF signaling pathway, the PI3K-Akt signaling pathway, the NF-kappa B signaling pathway, and the JAK-STAT signaling pathway, IL-17 signaling pathway, C-type lectin receptor signaling pathway, etc. The final molecular docking verified that the key active ingredients of Xiaoyong Sanjie Formula could bind with the potential core targets closely.Conclusion:Xiaoyong Sanjie Formula can treat NPM with multi-component, multi-target characteristics,which plays a role of treating NPM through signaling pathways such as immuno-inflammatory response, the metabolism of the medicine, cellular adaptive stress response, and vascular function regulation.

Objective:To explore the imaging features of intraductal pancreatic neuro-endocrine tumor (PNET).Methods:The retrospective and descriptive study was conducted. The clinicopathological data of 17 patients with intraductal PNET who were admitted to the First Affiliated Hospital of Naval Medical University (Changhai Hospital of Shanghai) from January 2013 to October 2020 were collected. There were 7 males and 10 females, aged (47±13)years. Preoperative contrast-enhanced computed tomography (CT) or magnetic resonance imaging (MRI) of the pancreas was performed on patients. Observation indicators: (1) imaging features of intraductal PNET, including ① imaging features of CT and ② imaging features of MRI; (2) treatment and histopathological examination of intraductal PNET. Measurement data with normal distribution were described as Mean± SD and count data were described as absolute numbers. Results:(1) Imaging features of intraductal PNET. ① Imaging features of CT: 17 patients underwent preoperative contrast-enhanced CT of pancreas. There were 9 cases with tumor located in the head of the pancreas, 5 cases with tumor located in the neck of the pancreas and 3 cases with tumor located in the body and tail of the pancreas. The tumor diameter of the 17 patients was (8.7±2.5)mm, with a range of 5.2?15.5 mm. The tumor shape was round-like in the 17 patients. All the 17 patients showed isodensity on plain CT and markedly enhancement in arterial, venous and portal phases on enhanced CT. The degree of enhancement of tumor was higher than surrounding normal pancreatic parenchyma. All tumors of 17 patients were located at the truncation of main pancreatic duct (MPD) dilation, showing abrupt change in caliber of MPD without the "beak sign". The diameter of dilated MPD was (11.4±5.3)mm, with a range of 4.5?22.5 mm. Other imaging manifestations of the 17 patients included 11 cases with pancreatic parenchymal atrophy, 1 case with retention cyst, 1 case with choledochal dilation, 1 case with calcification, and all cases without cystic degeneration or hemorrhage. ② Imaging features of MRI: preoperative contrast-enhanced MRI was performed in 14 patients. Five cases showed slightly low signal but 9 cases showed unclear on T1-weighted imaging. Five cases showed low signal, 2 cases showed slightly high signal but 7 cases showed unclear on T2-weighted imaging. Of the 14 patients, 9 cases showed diffusion limited on diffusion weighted imaging and 5 cases showed unlimited diffusion. Nine cases showed marked enhancement in tumor higher than in normal pancreatic parenchyma, but 5 cases were unclear on contrast-enhanced MRI. (2) Treatment and histopathological exmination of intraductal PNET: all the 17 patients underwent surgical treatment, including 9 cases with pancreaticoduodenectomy, 4 cases with distal pancreatectomy and splenectomy, 4 cases with pancreatic segmentectomy. Postoperative histopatho-logical examination results showed 10 cases of G1 and 7 cases of G2, including 1 case of G2 with lymph node metastasis, 1 case of G2 with lymph node and liver metastasis. The pathological gross showed that the tumor body was mainly located in the pancreatic duct and blocked the pancreatic duct, with upstream pancreatic dilation. There were pancreatic acinar atrophy and fibrous tissue hyperplasia. The tumor was grayish-yellow or brownish red, solid, medium in texture and well-defined with the surrounding tissues. Microscopically, the tumor of 17 patients was mainly located in the pancreaic duct and invaded into surrounding pancreatic parenchyma. The cells of tumor were polygonal with a central nucleus, but the mitosis was rare. The cytoplasm was eosinophilic or hyaline. The tumor stroma was mainly collagen fiber with abundant capillary network.Conclusions:The imaging features of intraductal PNET are small size, marked enhancement on contrast-enhanced CT and MRI. The tumor obstructs the MPD with distal MPD dilation and pancreatic parenchyma atrophy.

Objective: To identify the lifestyle pattern of adolescents in Guangzhou and to provide a scientific basis for targeted and individualized interventions for adolescents with different lifestyle pattern. Methods: A survey was conducted by questionnaire among 12 540 students from 27 middle schools in the urban area of Guangzhou using a convenient sampling method. The latent class model (LCM) was used to identify lifestyle patterns of adolescents, and further analyses were conducted to compare differences in dietary habits and willingness to exercise among the different classes. Results: Three lifestyle patterns were identified based on the latent class model: "high sweet snacks/excessive screen time, sleep and exercise deficiency group", 3 797 people, accounting for 30.3%; "low nutrition diet/severe sleep and exercise deficiency group", 2 745 people, accounting for 21.9%; "general diet/sleep and exercise deficiency group", 5 998 people, accounting for 47.8%. Adolescents of different classes had different perceptions of their eating habits and different degrees of willingness to participate in physical exercise, these differences were statistically significant(χ 2=671.54, Z=153.16, P<0.05). Conclusion The results of the latent class model showed that the three classes of adolescents had their own unique characteristics. It is necessary to inform them of their needs, provide guidance and implement targeted interventions according to the unique characteristics of the different lifestyle patterns in empirical work.

Since the Global Polio Eradication Initiative was launched by the World Health Assembly in 1988, significant progress has been made in global polio prevention and control. But the occurrence of vaccine-associated paralytic poliomyelitis cases and vaccine-derived poliovirus related cases have become a major challenge during the post-polio era. While coronavirus disease 2019(COVID-19) has brought serious disease burden and economic burden to all countries in the world, prevention and control of vaccine-preventable infectious diseases such as polio should not be neglected under the background of the global common fight against COVID-19. Taking the type Ⅲ VDPV cycle event in Shanghai as an example, the paper discussed how to do a good job of routine inoculation under the prevention and control of COVID-19 to strictly prevent the outbreak of vaccine-preventable infectious diseases.
COVID-19 ; China ; Humans ; Poliovirus ; Poliovirus Vaccine, Oral ; SARS-CoV-2 ; Vaccination