1.Effect of first-day fluid intake after transferring to ICU on 7-day risk for death in patients with chronic liver disease after surgery:a retrospective cohort study based on MIMIC-IV database
Zhuo ZHAN ; Chunyong YANG ; Xin SHU ; Yiziting ZHU ; Kaizhi LU ; Jianliang SHAO
Journal of Army Medical University 2025;47(16):1931-1939
Objective Patients with chronic liver diseases often exhibit unique hemodynamic abnormalities and metabolic disorders.Postoperative fluid management presents numerous challenges,especially for critically ill patients admitted to the intensive care unit(ICU)after surgery.This study aimed at exploring the relationship between postoperative fluid therapy and prognosis.Methods Based on 2 414 patients with chronic liver diseases who underwent surgical treatment and were subsequently transferred to the ICU in the MIMIC-IV database,a retrospective cohort study was conducted on the final 2 143 patients after our inclusion and exclusion criteria.Multivariate adjusted logistic regression model was used to analyze the association between fluid therapeutic regimens on the first day after ICU admission and the risk of 7-day death after surgery.Restricted cubic spline(RCS)was applied to analyze the dose-response relationship.Results Multivariate analysis indicated that restrictive fluid resuscitation was an independent protective factor.Compared with the non-restrictive fluid resuscitation group,restrictive fluid resuscitation significantly reduced the 7-day postoperative mortality rate(6.4%vs 12.4%,OR=0.44,95%CI:0.22~0.88,P=0.021),decreased the use of mechanical ventilation(42.9%vs 72.3%,OR=0.29,95%CI:0.24~0.35,P<0.001),and shortened the ICU stay(1.86 vs 3.47 d,OR=0.81,95%CI:0.78~0.84,P<0.001).RCS curve showed that the fluid intake on the first postoperative day and the 7-day postoperative mortality risk presented a J-shaped curve relationship,with an inflection point at 1 850 mL.Beyond this threshold,the 7-day postoperative mortality risk was increased.Subgroup analysis results indicated that the protective effect of restrictive fluid resuscitation was consistent across different age and comorbidity groups.Conclusion For patients with chronic liver diseases,adopting a restrictive fluid therapy on the first day after surgery can effectively reduce the risk of short-term death.Moreover,there is a non-linear dose-effect relationship between the fluid intake and the 7-day mortality risk.When the fluid intake exceeds 1 850 mL,the risk of death significantly increases.
2.Risk factors for postoperative respiratory failure in patients undergoing cardiovascular surgery and construction of a prediction model
Fuchao ZHOU ; Xiang LIU ; Kaizhi LU ; Jianliang SHAO
Journal of Army Medical University 2025;47(16):1970-1980
Objective To identify risk factors for postoperative respiratory failure(PORF)in cardiovascular surgery patients using machine learning algorithms and to construct a specific risk prediction model.Methods A retrospective cohort was conducted on 1 623 patients undergoing cardiovascular surgery between 2011 and 2020 from the INSPIRE database.Following data quality analysis,multiple imputation was employed to handle missing data,and the Boruta algorithm was used for feature selection.Eight machine learning models were constructed based on the selected features,including Gradient Boosting Machine(GBM),Generalized Linear Model(GLM),Extreme Gradient Boosting(XGBoost),K-Nearest Neighbors(KNN),Neural Network(NNET),Naive Bayes(NB),Support Vector Machine(SVM),and Random Forest(RF).Model performance was evaluated using metrics including the area under the curve(AUC),sensitivity,and specificity.Variables significantly influencing PORF were identified using the permutation importance algorithm.Results The overall incidence of PORF was 27.05%(439/1 623).The in-hospital mortality rate was significantly higher in the PORF group than the non-PORF group(12.98%vs 1.60%,P<0.001).Among the developed models,the SVM model demonstrated the best performance,achieving an AUC of 0.705 in the testing set,with a sensitivity,specificity,positive predictive value(PPV),and negative predictive value(NPV)of 0.481,0.825,0.504,and 0.812,respectively.Based on feature importance analysis,the top 10 variables most predictive of PORF were anesthesia duration,arterial partial pressure of carbon dioxide(PaCO?),calcium level,lymphocyte percentage,cardiopulmonary bypass duration,intraoperative blood loss,age,creatinine level,aspartate aminotransferase(AST)level,and activated partial thromboplastin time(aPTT).Conclusion A predictieon model for PORF following cardiovascular surgery is successfully developed.This model can identify high-risk patients and estimate their probability of developing respiratory failure,thereby facilitating data-driven clinical decision-making.
3.Shanghai community-based practice of early lung cancer screening with low-dose spiral computed tomography
Xiaoyang LUO ; Quan LIU ; Shengping WANG ; Yuan LI ; Lei SHEN ; Guodong LI ; Wentao LI ; Yanping ZHAO ; Huilin XU ; Hong FANG ; Guiqiang SHAO ; Jizhi CHU ; Junlei SUN ; Hongqi ZHU ; Zhiyong LI ; Lianghua JIANG ; Jianliang LING ; Weizhong ZHAO ; Jing WANG ; Xiaohua LIU ; Bin LI ; Yiliang ZHANG ; Ting YE ; Yunjian PAN ; Hong HU ; Rui WANG ; Yihua SUN ; Haiyan YANG ; Su XU ; Haiquan CHEN
China Oncology 2016;26(12):996-1003
Background and purpose:As one of the most fatal malignant tumors in China, the morbidity and mortality of lung cancer remain high. Early diagnosis and normative treatment is the key to improve the prognosis of lung cancer. The aim of this study was to explore the practice of early lung cancer screening with low-dose spiral computed tomography (CT) based on the current situation in community health service, with integration of superior resources of med-ical institutions at all levels in Shanghai.Methods:From Aug. 2013 to Aug. 2014, we screened high-risk population in selected communities of Minhang District, Shanghai, for early diagnosis of lung cancer with low-dose spiral CT combined with multidisciplinary comprehensive treatment models including minimally invasive surgery, exploring the medical service network covering prevention, diagnosis, treatment, rehabilitation and follow-up.Results:Screening population is 11 332 (male 7 144, female 4 188); Twenty-nine cases with pathological diagnosis of malignant tumor, including 27 cases of pri-mary lung cancer, 1 case of lung metastasis, 1 case of breast cancer. The morbidity of primary lung cancer is 238.26×10-5. There were 22 cases of Stage 0-Ⅰ lung cancer accounting for 81.48% of all diagnosed primary lung cancer.Conclusion:Based on community health service, screening with low-dose spiral CT could improve the early diagnosis rate of lung can-cer with feasibility and validity, which could be applicable in qualified eligible medical center and community in China.

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