1.Analysis and prediction of disease burden of idiopathic epilepsy in China
Xiaojun WANG ; Chenwei LI ; Jianglin RAN ; Zhiheng FENG ; Keke YANG ; Huiyuan PENG
Chinese Journal of Neuromedicine 2025;24(7):689-698
Objective:To describe the temporal trend of disease burden of idiopathic epilepsy in China from 1990 to 2021 and predict the incidence of idiopathic epilepsy in China from 2022 to 2035 to provide references for the formulation of relevant health policies and measures.Methods:Based on data from the Global Burden of Disease Study 2021 (GBD 2021) database regarding idiopathic epilepsy in China, changes in disease burden from 1990 to 2021 were acquired. Disease burden was quantified using age-standardized incidence rate (ASIR), age-standardized prevalence rate (ASPR), age-standardized mortality rate (ASMR), age-standardized disability-adjusted life years (DALYs) rate (ASDR) and their 95% uncertain interval (UI). Temporal trend analysis was performed using a linear regression model to estimate the estimated annual percent change (EAPC) and annual percentage change (APC) in incidence of idiopathic epilepsy and their 95% CI. Additionally, incidence and number of patients with idiopathic epilepsy in China from 2022 to 2035 were predicted using Bayesian age-period-cohort model. Results:The ASIR of idiopathic epilepsy increased from 22.35 per 100,000 population in 1990 (95% UI: 15.04-30.92 per 100,000 population) to 28.19 per 100,000 population in 2021 (95% UI: 19.03-37.89 per 100,000 population), with an EAPC of 0.12% (95% CI: -0.10%-0.34%); ASPR of idiopathic epilepsy increased from 189.27 per 100,000 population in 1990 (95% UI: 132.48-252.95 per 100,000 population) to 214.71 per 100,000 population in 2021 (95% UI: 150.10-278.56 per 100,000 population), with an EAPC of -0.32% (95% CI: -0.57%-0.06%); ASMR of idiopathic epilepsy decreased from 1.86 per 100,000 population in 1990 (95% UI: 1.59-2.24 per 100,000 population) to 0.80 per 100,000 population in 2021 (95% UI: 0.67-1.00 per 100,000 population), with an EAPC of -2.96% (95% CI: -3.09%-2.82%); ASDR of idiopathic epilepsy decreased from 178.60 per 100,000 population in 1990 (95% UI: 143.44-220.63 per 100,000 population) to 101.39 per 100,000 population in 2021 (95% UI: 72.51-139.40 per 100,000 population), with an EAPC of -2.38% (95% CI: -2.54%-2.22%). The prediction model showed that by 2035, the prevalence of idiopathic epilepsy in China will be 28.27 per 100,000 (95% CI: 23.19-38.66), with an estimated 394,928 incident cases (95% CI: 324,037-540,128). Conclusions:From 1990 to 2021, the ASIR and ASPR of idiopathic epilepsy in China show an upward trend, while the ASMR and ASDR hace a decline trend. Incidence of idiopathic epilepsy in China is expected to remain stable over the next decade.
2.Analysis and prediction of disease burden of idiopathic epilepsy in China
Xiaojun WANG ; Chenwei LI ; Jianglin RAN ; Zhiheng FENG ; Keke YANG ; Huiyuan PENG
Chinese Journal of Neuromedicine 2025;24(7):689-698
Objective:To describe the temporal trend of disease burden of idiopathic epilepsy in China from 1990 to 2021 and predict the incidence of idiopathic epilepsy in China from 2022 to 2035 to provide references for the formulation of relevant health policies and measures.Methods:Based on data from the Global Burden of Disease Study 2021 (GBD 2021) database regarding idiopathic epilepsy in China, changes in disease burden from 1990 to 2021 were acquired. Disease burden was quantified using age-standardized incidence rate (ASIR), age-standardized prevalence rate (ASPR), age-standardized mortality rate (ASMR), age-standardized disability-adjusted life years (DALYs) rate (ASDR) and their 95% uncertain interval (UI). Temporal trend analysis was performed using a linear regression model to estimate the estimated annual percent change (EAPC) and annual percentage change (APC) in incidence of idiopathic epilepsy and their 95% CI. Additionally, incidence and number of patients with idiopathic epilepsy in China from 2022 to 2035 were predicted using Bayesian age-period-cohort model. Results:The ASIR of idiopathic epilepsy increased from 22.35 per 100,000 population in 1990 (95% UI: 15.04-30.92 per 100,000 population) to 28.19 per 100,000 population in 2021 (95% UI: 19.03-37.89 per 100,000 population), with an EAPC of 0.12% (95% CI: -0.10%-0.34%); ASPR of idiopathic epilepsy increased from 189.27 per 100,000 population in 1990 (95% UI: 132.48-252.95 per 100,000 population) to 214.71 per 100,000 population in 2021 (95% UI: 150.10-278.56 per 100,000 population), with an EAPC of -0.32% (95% CI: -0.57%-0.06%); ASMR of idiopathic epilepsy decreased from 1.86 per 100,000 population in 1990 (95% UI: 1.59-2.24 per 100,000 population) to 0.80 per 100,000 population in 2021 (95% UI: 0.67-1.00 per 100,000 population), with an EAPC of -2.96% (95% CI: -3.09%-2.82%); ASDR of idiopathic epilepsy decreased from 178.60 per 100,000 population in 1990 (95% UI: 143.44-220.63 per 100,000 population) to 101.39 per 100,000 population in 2021 (95% UI: 72.51-139.40 per 100,000 population), with an EAPC of -2.38% (95% CI: -2.54%-2.22%). The prediction model showed that by 2035, the prevalence of idiopathic epilepsy in China will be 28.27 per 100,000 (95% CI: 23.19-38.66), with an estimated 394,928 incident cases (95% CI: 324,037-540,128). Conclusions:From 1990 to 2021, the ASIR and ASPR of idiopathic epilepsy in China show an upward trend, while the ASMR and ASDR hace a decline trend. Incidence of idiopathic epilepsy in China is expected to remain stable over the next decade.
3.Effects of laparoscopic retrograde cholecystectomy versus partial cholecystectomy in treatment of complex bile duct diseases: a comparative analysis
Jianglin RAN ; Shaomao ZHANG ; Qiang WEN
Journal of Clinical Hepatology 2016;32(4):750-753
ObjectiveTo compare the clinical effect between laparoscopic retrograde cholecystectomy and partial cholecystectomy in the treatment of patients with complex bile duct diseases. MethodsThe clinical data of 83 patients with bile duct diseases who were diagnosed and treated in Guangyuan Mental Health Center from June 2013 to March 2015 were collected. Among these patients, 40 underwent laparoscopic retrograde cholecystectomy (group A), and 43 underwent partial cholecystectomy (group B). The surgical procedure and postoperative recovery were compared between the two groups. The independent samples t-test was applied for comparison of continuous data between groups, and the paired t-test was applied for comparison of continuous data within each group before and after treatment; the chi-square test was applied for comparison of categorical data between groups. ResultsCompared with group A, group B had a significantly shorter time of operation, a significantly less blood loss, a significantly lower volume of intraoperative fluid infusion, and a significantly lower volume of peritoneal drainage (t=9.245, 2.394, 2.529, and 3.603, all P<0.05). The rate of conversion to laparotomy, time to functional recovery of the gastrointestinal tract, and length of hospital stay showed no significant differences between the two groups (all P>0.05). The body temperature and C-reactive protein on days 1-3 after surgery showed no significant differences between the two groups (all P>005), while in both groups, the body temperature and C-reactive protein were significantly lower on the 2nd and 3rd days than on the 1st day. (t=3.184, 3.402, 3.151, 3.390, 3.497, 5.184, 3.916, and 6.024, all P<0.05). Group B had a significantly lower incidence of postoperative complications than group A (2.33% vs 20.00%, χ2=6.696, P=0.010). ConclusionCompared with laparoscopic retrograde cholecystectomy, partial cholecystectomy can shorten the time of operation and reduce intraoperative bleeding and postoperative complications, and holds promise for clinical application.

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