1.Trends in mortality and life loss of gastric cancer in Wenzhou City from 2014 to 2023
YE Zhenmiao ; FAN Lihui ; JIANG Xuexia ; ZHENG Yuhang ; ZHANG Mohan ; LUO Yongyuan ; XIE Yimin ; LI Huijun ; JIN Xi
Journal of Preventive Medicine 2025;37(3):267-271
Objective:
To investigate the trends in mortality and life loss of gastric cancer in Wenzhou City, Zhejiang Province from 2014 to 2023, so as to provide the evidence for formulating the prevention and control strategy for gastric cancer.
Methods:
The surveillance on causes of death data of permanent residents in Wenzhou City were collected through the Wenzhou Chronic Disease Monitoring and Management Information System from 2014 to 2023. The crude mortality of gastric cancer was calculated, and standardized by the data from the Sixth Chinese National Population Census in 2010. The life loss were measured using potential years of life lost (PYLL) and rate of potential years of life lost (PYLLR). The characteristics of mortality and life loss of gastric cancer in different genders and age groups were described. The trends in mortality and PYLLR of gastric cancer were analyzed using the average annual percent change (AAPC).
Results:
Totally 17 080 deaths were reported due to gastric cancer in Wenzhou City from 2014 to 2023, accounting for 12.58% and ranking third in the order of malignant tumor deaths. The crude mortality of gastric cancer was 20.73/105, and the standardized mortality was 15.22/105, showing decreasing trends (AAPC=-3.311%, -6.470%, both P<0.05). The crude mortality of gastric cancer was 29.22/105 in men and 11.61/105 in women, with standardized mortality rates of 20.81/105 and 8.74/105 (both P<0.05). The crude mortality of gastric cancer appeared a tendency towards a rise with increasing age (P<0.05), reaching the highest rate of 225.88/105 in the group aged 80 to <85 years. The PYLL and PYLLR of gastric cancer were 107 607.50 person-years and 1.37‰. The PYLLR appeared a tendency towards a decline from 2014 to 2023, with AAPC of -6.667% (P<0.05).
Conclusions
The mortality and PYLLR of gastric cancer in Wenzhou City appeared a tendency towards a decline from 2014 to 2023. Men and the elderly populations were the key groups for the prevention and treatment of gastric cancer.
2.Trends in death and life lost due to falls among the elderly in Wenzhou City from 2015 to 2023
LI Huijun ; YE Zhenmiao ; FAN Lihui ; ZHENG Yuhang ; XIE Yimin ; JIANG Xuexia ; GAO Haojun ; ZHANG Mohan ; LUO Yongyuan
Journal of Preventive Medicine 2025;37(5):460-464
Objective:
To investigate the trends in mortality and life loss due to falls among the elderly in Wenzhou City, Zhejiang Province, so as to provide the basis for formulating prevention and control measures for falls among the elderly.
Methods:
The data on fall-related deaths among the elderly aged 60 and above in Wenzhou City were collected through the Wenzhou Chronic Disease Monitoring and Management Information System from 2015 to 2023. The crude mortality was calculated and standardized using the data from the Sixth National Population Census in 2010. The life loss were measured using potential years of life lost (PYLL), average years of life lost (AYLL), and potential years of life lost rate (PYLLR). The trends in mortality and life loss among the elderly were analyzed using the annual percent change (APC) and average annual percent change (AAPC).
Results:
There were 11 378 deaths due to falls among the elderly in Wenzhou City from 2015 to 2023, with a crude mortality of 82.67/100 000 and a standardized mortality of 65.32/105, which appeared no significant changing trend (AAPC=3.401%、2.995%,both P>0.05). There was a tendency towards a rise from 2019 to 2023 (APC=12.592%、11.507%, both P<0.05). The majority of falls occurred at home, with 6 312 cases accounting for 55.48%. The primary types of fall-related deaths were slips, trips, and falls on the same level, with 8 541 cases representing 75.07%. The crude mortality and standardized mortality of falls in males were 76.63/105 and 60.86/105, which were lower than that in females at 88.72/100 000 and 70.33/100 000 (both P<0.05), and the trends were consistent with the overall population. The crude mortality of falls among the elderly increased with age (P<0.05). From 2015 to 2023, the crude mortality of falls among the elderly aged 60 to <65 years showed an upward trend (AAPC=4.860%, P<0.05), while no significant trend was observed in other age groups (all P>0.05). The PYLL was 5 123 person-years, the AYLL was 0.45 years per person, and the PYLLR was 0.37‰. From 2015 to 2023, PYLL showed an upward trend (AAPC=5.477%, P<0.05). The PYLL, AYLL, and PYLLR for males were 3.08 times, 3.48 times, and 2.67 times those of females, respectively.
Conclusions
From 2015 to 2023, the mortality of falls among the elderly in Wenzhou City had remained relatively stable. However, PYLL showed an upward trend. Males and older seniors were key groups for falls prevention. It is recommended to enhance health education and promote age-friendly home modifications to prevent falls among the elderly.
3.Association between overweight, obesity, central obesity and hypertension
YE Zhenmiao ; ZHANG Mohan ; FAN Lihui ; XIE Yimin ; JIANG Xuexia ; ZHENG Yuhang ; LUO Yongyuan ; XIA Zhezheng ; JIN Xi ; SUN Qian
Journal of Preventive Medicine 2025;37(11):1113-1118
Objective:
To investigate the association between overweight, obesity, central obesity and hypertension, so as to provide the basis for formulating targeted hypertension prevention and control strategies.
Methods:
Permanent residents aged ≥18 years were selected in Wenzhou City, Zhejiang Province from June 2023 to August 2024 by a multistage cluster random sampling method. Data on demographic information, lifestyle, height, weight, waist circumference (WC), blood pressure, and blood biochemical indicators were collected through questionnaire surveys, physical examinations, and laboratory tests. The prevalence of hypertension was calculated and standardized using the data of the Sixth National Population Census in 2010. Body mass index (BMI) was calculated to determine overweight and obesity, while WC was used to identify central obesity. The association between overweight, obesity, central obesity and hypertension were analyzed using multivariable logistic regression models.
Results:
A total of 38 593 residents were surveyed, including 19 481 (50.48%) males and 19 112 (49.52%) females. The median age was 46.00 (interquartile range, 26.00) years. The rates of overweight, obesity, and central obesity were 32.74% (12 634 individuals), 10.27% (3 963 individuals), and 27.87% (10 755 individuals), respectively. There were 11 813 cases of hypertension, with a prevalence and standardized prevalence of 30.61% and 24.41%, respectively. Multivariable logistic regression analysis showed that after adjusting for demographic information, lifestyle, diabetes and dyslipidemia, the likelihood of hypertension in the overweight and obesity groups was 1.927 (95%CI: 1.815-2.045) times and 3.724 (95%CI: 3.404-4.073) times that of the normal BMI group, respectively. The likelihood of hypertension in the central obesity group was 2.346 (95%CI: 2.214-2.486) times that of the normal WC group. The likelihood of hypertension in the central obesity only, overweight only, overweight with central obesity, obesity only and obesity with central obesity groups was 1.586 (95%CI: 1.391-1.809), 1.704 (95%CI: 1.582-1.835), 2.433 (95%CI: 2.254-2.626), 1.768 (95%CI: 1.424-2.194), and 4.466 (95%CI: 4.053-4.921) times that of the normal BMI and WC group, respectively.
Conclusions
Overweight, obesity and central obesity were all associated with hypertension among adult residents. The highest likelihood of hypertension was observed among adult residents with both general obesity and central obesity.
4.Individualized prediction model of tacrolimus dose/weight-adjusted trough concentration based on machine learning approach
Hui Jiang ; Liang Tang ; Xin Wang ; Fan Jiang ; Deguang Wang ; Xiaofeng Lan ; Xiang Xie
Acta Universitatis Medicinalis Anhui 2025;60(2):344-350
Objective:
To utilize machine learning(ML) algorithms to develop accurate and effective prediction models for TAC dose/weight-adjusted trough concentration(C0/D).
Methods:
Data were collected on 264 TAC blood concentration monitoring data from 72 patients undergoing kidney transplantation. The effects of population statistical data, clinical features, combined medication, and ultrasound feature parameters on TAC C0/D were analyzed. Features with a significance level less than 0.05 in the univariate analysis of TAC C0/D were selected for inclusion in the random forest(RF) algorithm to identify significant features. These features were interpreted using partial dependency plots. Five ML algorithms, including RF, support vector regression(SVR), extreme gradient boosting(XGBoost), decision trees(DT) and artificial neural networks(ANN), were employed to establish the TAC C0/D prediction model. Hyper-parameter tuning was performed on the RF model that performed the best.
Results :
Ten characteristic variables with importance scores>5 were retained and included in the ML model: transglutaminase, red blood cell count, blood urea nitrogen, weight, serum creatinine, renal segmental arterial resistance index, renal aortic resistance index, hematocrit, renal pelvic Young′s modulus value, and time after transplantation. The partial dependence plots showed that all 10 important variables screened were positively correlated with TAC C0/D. The tuned RF model outperformed the other models with aR2of 0.81, aRMSEof 43.93, and aMAEof 29.97.
Conclusion
The ML models demonstrate good performance in predicting TAC C0/D and provide innovative interpretations using partial dependence plot. The optimized RF model shows optimal performance and offers a novel tool for individualized medication adjustment for TAC in renal transplant patients.
5.Construction and verification of prognostic classification model for elderly cancer patients in rural areas based on machine learning algorithm
Li CHANG ; Zhihua YANG ; Jiang ZHAO ; Qin YUE ; Honghong SHEN ; Chunxiu FAN ; Juan XIE
Chinese Journal of Practical Nursing 2024;40(21):1661-1670
Objective:The classification model of prognosis of elderly cancer patients in rural areas of Shaanxi province was constructed based on machine learning algorithm, and its effectiveness was verified, providing reference for early prognosis recognition and intervention treatment.Methods:Using a multicenter, cross-sectional survey method and convenience sampling method, 597 elderly cancer patients in rural areas hospitalized in 9 different medical institutions (Shaanxi Cancer Hospital and its member units of specialty alliance) in Shaanxi Province from July to August 2022 were selected as the research objects, and a variable database of "basic information", "self-care ability", "symptoms", "comprehensive needs" and "quality of life" of elderly cancer patients in rural areas was established. Machine learning and statistical analysis were carried out to explore the important prognostic characteristics of elderly cancer patients in rural areas, and a prognostic classification model for elderly cancer patients in rural areas was constructed and verified.Results:The 597 valid questionnaires were ultimately collected.Among the 597 elderly cancer patients in rural areas, 207 were males and 390 were females, aged (69.56 ± 8.84) years. The results of cluster exploration showed that the prognosis of elderly cancer patients in rural areas was divided into three categories: good, medium and poor. The areas under the working characteristic curves of the subjects in good, medium and poor were 0.84, 0.79 and 0.69, respectively. The results of characteristic exploration showed that 10 indicators of "whether accompanied by metastasis", "distress", "sadness", "numbness", "eating", "walking", "fatigue", "forgetfulness", "fun of life" and "relationship with others" were important characteristic indicators of prognosis evaluation of elderly cancer patients in rural areas. There were statistically significant differences among the 10 important characteristic indicators in the three categories of prognosis of rural elderly cancer patients ( χ2=21.07, H values were 18.51-144.38, all P<0.01). There were statistically significant differences in the three categories of "comprehensive needs", "quality of life", "self-care ability" and "symptoms" ( H values were 519.40, 40.80, 103.69, all P<0.01). Conclusions:The construction and verification of a prognostic classification model for elderly cancer patients in rural areas based on machine learning algorithm can effectively explore the important characteristic indicators and prognostic classification of elderly cancer patients in rural areas, and provide basis and guidance for clinical medical staff to make individualized plans.
6.Homoharringtonine promotes heart allograft acceptance by enhancing regulatory T cells induction in a mouse model
Xia QIU ; Hedong ZHANG ; Zhouqi TANG ; Yuxi FAN ; Wenjia YUAN ; Chen FENG ; Chao CHEN ; Pengcheng CUI ; Yan CUI ; Zhongquan QI ; Tengfang LI ; Yuexing ZHU ; Liming XIE ; Fenghua PENG ; Tuo DENG ; Xin JIANG ; Longkai PENG ; Helong DAI
Chinese Medical Journal 2024;137(12):1453-1464
Background::Homoharringtonine (HHT) is an effective anti-inflammatory, anti-viral, and anti-tumor protein synthesis inhibitor that has been applied clinically. Here, we explored the therapeutic effects of HHT in a mouse heart transplant model.Methods::Healthy C57BL/6 mice were used to observe the toxicity of HHT in the liver, kidney, and hematology. A mouse heart transplantation model was constructed, and the potential mechanism of HHT prolonging allograft survival was evaluated using Kaplan–Meier analysis, immunostaining, and bulk RNA sequencing analysis. The HHT-T cell crosstalk was modeled ex vivo to further verify the molecular mechanism of HHT-induced regulatory T cells (Tregs) differentiation. Results::HHT inhibited the activation and proliferation of T cells and promoted their apoptosis ex vivo. Treatment of 0.5 mg/kg HHT for 10 days significantly prolonged the mean graft survival time of the allografts from 7 days to 48 days ( P <0.001) without non-immune toxicity. The allografts had long-term survival after continuous HHT treatment for 28 days. HHT significantly reduced lymphocyte infiltration in the graft, and interferon-γ-secreting CD4 + and CD8 + T cells in the spleen ( P <0.01). HHT significantly increased the number of peripheral Tregs (about 20%, P <0.001) and serum interleukin (IL)-10 levels. HHT downregulated the expression of T cell receptor (TCR) signaling pathway-related genes ( CD4, H2-Eb1, TRAT1, and CD74) and upregulated the expression of IL-10 and transforming growth factor (TGF) -β pathway-related genes and Treg signature genes ( CTLA4, Foxp3, CD74, and ICOS). HHT increased CD4 + Foxp3 + cells and Foxp3 expression ex vivo, and it enhanced the inhibitory function of inducible Tregs. Conclusions::HHT promotes Treg cell differentiation and enhances Treg suppressive function by attenuating the TCR signaling pathway and upregulating the expression of Treg signature genes and IL-10 levels, thereby promoting mouse heart allograft acceptance. These findings may have therapeutic implications for organ transplant recipients, particularly those with viral infections and malignancies, which require a more suitable anti-rejection medication.
7.Reference values of carotid intima-media thickness and arterial stiffness in Chinese adults based on ultrasound radio frequency signal: A nationwide, multicenter study
Changyang XING ; Xiujing XIE ; Yu WU ; Lei XU ; Xiangping GUAN ; Fan LI ; Xiaojun ZHAN ; Hengli YANG ; Jinsong LI ; Qi ZHOU ; Yuming MU ; Qing ZHOU ; Yunchuan DING ; Yingli WANG ; Xiangzhu WANG ; Yu ZHENG ; Xiaofeng SUN ; Hua LI ; Chaoxue ZHANG ; Cheng ZHAO ; Shaodong QIU ; Guozhen YAN ; Hong YANG ; Yinjuan MAO ; Weiwei ZHAN ; Chunyan MA ; Ying GU ; Wu CHEN ; Mingxing XIE ; Tianan JIANG ; Lijun YUAN
Chinese Medical Journal 2024;137(15):1802-1810
Background::Carotid intima-media thickness (IMT) and diameter, stiffness, and wave reflections, are independent and important clinical biomarkers and risk predictors for cardiovascular diseases. The purpose of the present study was to establish nationwide reference values of carotid properties for healthy Chinese adults and to explore potential clinical determinants.Methods::A total of 3053 healthy Han Chinese adults (1922 women) aged 18-79 years were enrolled at 28 collaborating tertiary centers throughout China between April 2021 and July 2022. The real-time tracking of common carotid artery walls was achieved by the radio frequency (RF) ultrasound system. The IMT, diameter, compliance coefficient, β stiffness, local pulse wave velocity (PWV), local systolic blood pressure, augmented pressure (AP), and augmentation index (AIx) were then automatically measured and reported. Data were stratified by age groups and sex. The relationships between age and carotid property parameters were analyzed by Jonckheere-Terpstra test and simple linear regressions. The major clinical determinants of carotid properties were identified by Pearson’s correlation, multiple linear regression, and analyses of covariance.Results::All the parameters of carotid properties demonstrated significantly age-related trajectories. Women showed thinner IMT, smaller carotid diameter, larger AP, and AIx than men. The β stiffness and PWV were significantly higher in men than women before forties, but the differences reversed after that. The increase rate of carotid IMT (5.5 μm/year in women and 5.8 μm/year in men) and diameter (0.03 mm/year in both men and women) were similar between men and women. For the stiffness and wave reflections, women showed significantly larger age-related variations than men as demonstrated by steeper regression slopes (all P for age by sex interaction <0.05). The blood pressures, body mass index (BMI), and triglyceride levels were identified as major clinical determinants of carotid properties with adjustment of age and sex. Conclusions::The age- and sex-specific reference values of carotid properties measured by RF ultrasound for healthy Chinese adults were established. The blood pressures, BMI, and triglyceride levels should be considered for clinical application of corresponding reference values.
8.Knowledge,attitude and practice of transitional care in nurses of 41 hospitals in Shaanxi province:a cluster analysis of current status
Gaiping CHENG ; Zhihua YANG ; Jiang ZHAO ; Qin YUE ; Honghong SHEN ; Chunxiu FAN ; Juan XIE
Modern Clinical Nursing 2024;23(4):15-23
Objective To investigate current status in knowledge,attitude and practice(KAP)of transitional care among the nurses in Shaanxi province,identify the influencing factors that hinder the transitional care and carry out training of transitional care for the nurses in different specialties in order to provide a theoretical basis for establishing a transitional care model for discharged patients.Methods A total of 2 288 nurses were selected to participate the survey from 41 hospitals in Shaanxi province by the stratified two-stage random sampling method.A self-designed questionnaire for general information,an obstacle factor scale,and a KAP of transitional care questionnaire were used as the survey instruments.The data acquired from the survey were processed by Cluster analysis to identify potential categories and the influencing factors.Results Totally 2085 nurses finished the study.Total score of KAP of transitional care among the nurses in Shaanxi province was found at(134.96±23.75),which was at a medium level.The scores of knowledge,attitude and practice were 77.24%,80.64%and 76.98%respectively.Cluster analysis showed that all the nurses could be categorised into either a lower scored group(n=1 596,76.5%)or a higher scored group(489,23.5%),with a best potential category number of 2 for the 2 085 nurses who participated the survey.There were statistically significant differences between the groups in terms of care training,telephone follow-up,network platform,outpatient service of nursing experts,family visits,patient club and hospital categories(all P<0.05).Logistic regression analysis on even factors above showed that care training,telephone follow-up,network platform and patient club could significantly affect the potential categorisation of KAP of the nurses in transitional care(all P<0.05).The main factors that hindered the transitional care included insufficient human resources(93.81%),insufficient supply of community services(93.57%)and lack of a standardised flowchart for transitional care(93.09%).Conclusions Levels of KAP about the transitional care are at a medium level among the nurses of 41 hospitals in Shaanxi province,which indicates that the nurses are active in attitude,but the knowledge and practice are required to be further improved and standardised.The results of cluster analysis indicate that it is necessary for nursing managers to carry out targeted trainings in transitional care for the nurses in different categories.This study provides a theoretical basis to establish a diversified transitional care mode for discharged patients in Shaanxi province.
9.Efficacy and safety of camrelizumab monoclonal antibody combined with molecular-targeted therapy in elderly patients with advanced hepatocellular carcinoma
Long CHENG ; Yue ZHANG ; Yushen LIU ; Zhaoqing DU ; Zhaoyang GUO ; Yangwei FAN ; Ting LI ; Xu GAO ; Enrui XIE ; Zixuan XING ; Wenhua WU ; Yinying WU ; Mingbo YANG ; Jie LI ; Yu ZHANG ; Wen KANG ; Wenjun WANG ; Fanpu JI ; Jiang GUO ; Ning GAO
Journal of Clinical Hepatology 2024;40(10):2034-2041
Objective To investigate the efficacy and safety of camrelizumab monoclonal antibody combined with molecular-targeted therapy in elderly patients with unresectable or advanced hepatocellular carcinoma(HCC).Methods A retrospective analysis was performed for the patients with unresectable/advanced HCC who attended six hospitals from January 1,2019 to March 31,2021,and all patients received camrelizumab monoclonal antibody treatment,among whom 84.8%also received targeted therapy.According to the age of the patients,they were divided into elderly group(≥65 years)and non-elderly group(<65 years).The two groups were assessed in terms of overall survival(OS),progression-free survival(PFS),objective response rate(ORR),disease control rate(DCR),and immune-related adverse events(irAE).The chi-square test or the Fisher's exact test was used for comparison of categorical data between groups;the independent samples t-test was used for comparison of normally distributed continuous data,and the Mann-Whitney U test was used for comparison of non-normally distributed continuous data between two groups.The Kaplan-Meier method was used for survival analysis,and the log-rank test was used for comparison of survival curves.Univariate and multivariate Cox proportional hazards regression analyses were used to determine the independent influencing factors for PFS and DCR at 6 months.Results A total of 99 HCC patients were enrolled,with 27 in the elderly group and 72 in the non-elderly group.The elderly group had an OS rate of 67.8%,an ORR of 44.4%,and a DCR of 74.1%at 12 months and a median PFS of 6.4(95%confidence interval[CI]:3.0-12.4)months,with no significant differences compared with the non-elderly group(all P>0.05).The median OS was unavailable for the elderly group,while the non-elderly group had an OS of 18.9(95%CI:13.0-24.8)months;there was no significant difference between the two groups(P=0.485).The univariate and multivariate Cox regression analyses showed that major vascular invasion(MVI)was an independent risk factor for PFS(hazard ratio[HR]=2.603,95%CI:1.136-5.964,P=0.024)and DCR(HR=3.963,95%CI:1.671-9.397,P=0.002)at 6 months,while age,sex,etiology of HBV infection,presence of extrahepatic metastasis,Child-Pugh class B,and alpha-fetoprotein>400 ng/mL were not associated with PFS or DCR at 6 months.For the elderly group,the incidence rates of any irAE and grade 3/4 irAE were 51.9%and 25.9%,respectively,with no significant differences compared with the non-elderly group(P>0.05),and skin disease was the most common irAE in both groups(39.4%).Conclusion Camrelizumab monoclonal antibody combined with molecular-targeted therapy has similar efficacy and safety in patients with unresectable/advanced HCC aged≥65 years and those aged<65 years.MVI is associated with suboptimal response to immunotherapy and poor prognosis.
10.Effect of individualized PEEP combined with regular lung recruitment maneuvers on atelectasis after laparoscopic radical resection of colorectal cancer in elderly patients
Hongyang JIANG ; Shiwen FAN ; Tielong LIU ; Liping XIE
Tianjin Medical Journal 2024;52(2):182-187
Objective To evaluate the effect of driving pressure(DP)-guided individualized positive end-expiratory pressure(PEEP)combined with regular lung recruitment maneuvers(RMs)on atelectasis in elderly patients undergoing laparoscopic surgery in the Trendelenburg position using lung ultrasound.Methods A total of 62 patients aged 65-85 years old and classified by ASA status Ⅰ-Ⅲ undergoing laparoscopic radical resection of colorectal cancer were included and randomly divided into the experimental group(n=31)and the control group(n=31).Both groups received one RM after the beginning of pneumoperitoneum,followed immediately by titration of individualized PEEP with the lowest DP,and both groups received another RM after the end of pneumoperitoneum.The experimental group received additional RM every 30 min from the beginning of pneumoperitoneum,while the control group received no intervention.Recording time points for observation were:before induction of anesthesia(T0),30 min after pneumoperitoneum(T1),90 min after pneumoperitoneum(T2),at the end of surgery(T3)and 45 min after entering the postanesthesia care unit(PACU,T4).Lung ultrasound score(LUS)was recorded at T0,T3 and T4.Dynamic lung compliance(Cdyn)was recorded at T1-T3.Oxygenation index(OI),mean arterial pressure(MAP)and heart rate(HR)were recorded at T0-T4.Hypotension during RM,hypoxic saturation events in PACU and the incidence of pulmonary complications(POPC)within the first 7 days after surgery were recorded.Results Compared with the control group,LUSs at T3 and T4 were significantly decreased in the experimental group(P<0.05),and OI and Cdyn at T2 and T3 were significantly increased(P<0.05).In addition,the incidence of hypoxia saturation events in PACU was lower in the experimental group than that in the control group(P<0.05).There were no significant differences in the incidence of hypotension during lung recruitment and the incidence of POPC within 7 days after surgery between the two groups.Conclusion The individualized PEEP combined with regular RMs can effectively reduce the atelectasis observed by lung ultrasound immediately after laparoscopic radical resection of colorectal cancer and in PACU in elderly patients.


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