Objective:To analyze the disease burden and changing trend of pancreatic cancer in our country from 1990 to 2021, and predict the incidence and mortality trends of pancreatic cancer from 2022 to 2036.Methods:Utilizing the data from the Global Burden of Disease 2021 Study, the age-standardized incidence rate (ASIR), age-standardized mortality rate (ASMR), and disability-adjusted life rate (DALY) of pancreatic cancer in our country from 1990 to 2021 were evaluated. DALY is calculated by adding the number of years of life lost due to pancreatic cancer to the years of life lost due to disability. The Joinpoint model was used to calculate the average annual percentage change (AAPC), the age-period-cohort model was applied to control the influence of age, period and birth cohort, and the Bayesian age-period-cohort model was used to predict the incidence and mortality trends of pancreatic cancer in our country from 2022 to 2036.Results:Compared with 1990, the data of ASIR, ASMR and age-standardized disability-adjusted life years (DALY) rates of pancreatic cancer in our country in 2021 all increased, and the increase in men was more significant than that in women. The peaks of morbidity and mortality in 1990 and 2021 were both occurred in the elderly. The incidence rate, mortality rate and changes of men in all age groups were higher than those of women. The changes in the age-standardized DALY rate were mainly reflected in the male population. The first peaks of the age-standardized DALY rate in 1990 and 2021 both occurred at the age of 70-74, and the second peak of the age-standardized DALY rate in 2021 shifted to the age of 85-89. The peak rate of age-standardized DALY in females is earlier than that in males. The AAPC of ASIR and ASMR for all genders of pancreatic cancer in our country from 1990 to 2021 was 0.72 (95% CI: 0.50-0.94, P<0.001) and 0.56 (95% CI: 0.31-0.82, P<0.001), respectively, and the difference was statistically significant. In our country men with pancreatic cancer, ASIR (AAPC=0.89, 95% CI: 0.68-1.10, P<0.001) and ASMR (AAPC=0.71, 95% CI: 0.49-0.93, P<0.001) were compared with ASIR (AAPC=0.48, 95% CI: ) in women. 0.22-0.73, P<0.001) and ASMR (AAPC=0.33, 95% CI: 0.08-0.58, P=0.010) increased rapidly, and the difference was statistically significant. The ASDR of all genders showed an upward trend (AAPC=0.36, 95% CI: 0.18-0.54, P<0.001), and the difference was statistically significant. The incidence rate and mortality rate of all genders are on the rise. When the age of the population is over 60 years old, the incidence and mortality of specific diseases show an upward trend with the delay of the birth cohort. It is expected that from 2022 to 2036, the ASIR and ASMR of both men and women will increase annuallyand eventually double. Conclusion:From 1990 to 2021, the burden of pancreatic cancer in our country has generally shown an increasing trend, and it is expected that the disease burden will further increase in the future.

Objective:To investigate the association between the metabolic score for visceral fat(METS-VF)and sarcopenia in older adults in China.Methods:A retrospective cohort study was conducted.A total of 1 262 participants aged ≥60 years old who did not diagnose with sarcopenia in 2011 and had complete follow-up data in 2015 were selected from the China health and retirement longitudinal survey(CHARLS). Participants were divided into the low METS-VF group (n=621)and the high METS-VF group (n=641), and then the corrleation between METS-VF and sarcopenia was analyzed.Results:The inverse probability of treatment weighting(IPTW)was used to balance all covariates between the low METS-VF group and high METS-VF group.The results showed that 30 participants in the low METS-VF group and 47 participants in the high METS-VF group were diagnosed with sarcopenia, with prevalence rates of 4.83%(30/621)and 7.33%(47/641), respectively.The difference in the prevalence of sarcopenia between the two groups was statistically significant after IPTW ( χ2=3.934, P=0.048, SMD=0.150). Logistic regression analysis showed that, after adjusting for various confounders, high METS-VF was significantly associated with an increased risk of sarcopenia in older adults( OR=2.130, 95% CI: 1.294~3.572, P=0.003). Subgroup analyses further indicated that individuals without cardiovascular disease had a relatively higher risk of sarcopenia( P for interaction=0.032). Conclusions:METS-VF is associated with an increased risk of sarcopenia in older adults in China, and its predictive and diagnostic value warrants further investigation.

Objective To explore the risk factors of the stone-free rate after flexible ureteroscopy for lower pole calculi,develop a predictive model based on these identified factors,with subsequent validation and evalua-tion of the established model.Methods A retrospective analysis was conducted on 154 patients with lower pole renal calculi who underwent flexible ureteroscopy(FURS)at Guangdong Provincial Hospital of Traditional Chinese Medicine from 2020 to 2024.Based on postoperative stone clearance status,patients were categorized into a stone-free group and a residual stone group.Univariate analysis was performed to screen potential risk factors,while Pear-son correlation coefficients and variance inflation factor(VIF)were employed to assess multicollinearity,retaining the indicator with the highest area under the curve(AUC).Independent predictors were identified through multi-variate logistic regression analysis,and a nomogram model was constructed.Internal validation was conducd using the bootstrap resampling method.The predictive performance and clinical utility of the model were evaluated using receiver operating characteristic(ROC)curves and decision curve analysis(DCA).Results Univariate analysis demonstrated that largest stone diameter(LSD),cumulative stone diameter(CSD),stone volume(SV),stone surface area(SA),mean stone density(MSDE),and infundibular pelvic angle(IPA)were significantly associated with stone-free rate(SFR)following flexible ureteroscopy(FURS)for lower pole calculi(all P<0.05).After collinearity diagnostics,LSD(area under the curve[AUC]=0.724)was retained as the optimal stone burden parameter.Multivariate logistic regression analysis confirmed LSD,MSDE,and IPA as independent predictors of postoperative SFR.The nomogram model exhibited robust predictive performance with an AUC of 0.786(sensitivity:79.6%,specificity:71.0%).Internal validation via 1000 bootstrap resamples yielded an AUC of 0.792,and deci-sion curve analysis(DCA)confirmed clinical utility with net benefit across threshold probabilities of 4%—75%.Conclusions The nomogram model developed in this study,which incorporates both stone characteristics and renal anatomical parameters,demonstrates effective prediction of stone-free rate(SFR)following flexible ureteros-copy for lower pole calyceal stones.With stable predictive performance and high clinical applicability,this model provides a reliable tool for preoperative personalized decision-making in endourological management.

Objective To explore the risk factors of the stone-free rate after flexible ureteroscopy for lower pole calculi,develop a predictive model based on these identified factors,with subsequent validation and evalua-tion of the established model.Methods A retrospective analysis was conducted on 154 patients with lower pole renal calculi who underwent flexible ureteroscopy(FURS)at Guangdong Provincial Hospital of Traditional Chinese Medicine from 2020 to 2024.Based on postoperative stone clearance status,patients were categorized into a stone-free group and a residual stone group.Univariate analysis was performed to screen potential risk factors,while Pear-son correlation coefficients and variance inflation factor(VIF)were employed to assess multicollinearity,retaining the indicator with the highest area under the curve(AUC).Independent predictors were identified through multi-variate logistic regression analysis,and a nomogram model was constructed.Internal validation was conducd using the bootstrap resampling method.The predictive performance and clinical utility of the model were evaluated using receiver operating characteristic(ROC)curves and decision curve analysis(DCA).Results Univariate analysis demonstrated that largest stone diameter(LSD),cumulative stone diameter(CSD),stone volume(SV),stone surface area(SA),mean stone density(MSDE),and infundibular pelvic angle(IPA)were significantly associated with stone-free rate(SFR)following flexible ureteroscopy(FURS)for lower pole calculi(all P<0.05).After collinearity diagnostics,LSD(area under the curve[AUC]=0.724)was retained as the optimal stone burden parameter.Multivariate logistic regression analysis confirmed LSD,MSDE,and IPA as independent predictors of postoperative SFR.The nomogram model exhibited robust predictive performance with an AUC of 0.786(sensitivity:79.6%,specificity:71.0%).Internal validation via 1000 bootstrap resamples yielded an AUC of 0.792,and deci-sion curve analysis(DCA)confirmed clinical utility with net benefit across threshold probabilities of 4%—75%.Conclusions The nomogram model developed in this study,which incorporates both stone characteristics and renal anatomical parameters,demonstrates effective prediction of stone-free rate(SFR)following flexible ureteros-copy for lower pole calyceal stones.With stable predictive performance and high clinical applicability,this model provides a reliable tool for preoperative personalized decision-making in endourological management.

Objective:To investigate the association between the metabolic score for visceral fat(METS-VF)and sarcopenia in older adults in China.Methods:A retrospective cohort study was conducted.A total of 1 262 participants aged ≥60 years old who did not diagnose with sarcopenia in 2011 and had complete follow-up data in 2015 were selected from the China health and retirement longitudinal survey(CHARLS). Participants were divided into the low METS-VF group (n=621)and the high METS-VF group (n=641), and then the corrleation between METS-VF and sarcopenia was analyzed.Results:The inverse probability of treatment weighting(IPTW)was used to balance all covariates between the low METS-VF group and high METS-VF group.The results showed that 30 participants in the low METS-VF group and 47 participants in the high METS-VF group were diagnosed with sarcopenia, with prevalence rates of 4.83%(30/621)and 7.33%(47/641), respectively.The difference in the prevalence of sarcopenia between the two groups was statistically significant after IPTW ( χ2=3.934, P=0.048, SMD=0.150). Logistic regression analysis showed that, after adjusting for various confounders, high METS-VF was significantly associated with an increased risk of sarcopenia in older adults( OR=2.130, 95% CI: 1.294~3.572, P=0.003). Subgroup analyses further indicated that individuals without cardiovascular disease had a relatively higher risk of sarcopenia( P for interaction=0.032). Conclusions:METS-VF is associated with an increased risk of sarcopenia in older adults in China, and its predictive and diagnostic value warrants further investigation.

Objective:To analyze the disease burden and changing trend of pancreatic cancer in our country from 1990 to 2021, and predict the incidence and mortality trends of pancreatic cancer from 2022 to 2036.Methods:Utilizing the data from the Global Burden of Disease 2021 Study, the age-standardized incidence rate (ASIR), age-standardized mortality rate (ASMR), and disability-adjusted life rate (DALY) of pancreatic cancer in our country from 1990 to 2021 were evaluated. DALY is calculated by adding the number of years of life lost due to pancreatic cancer to the years of life lost due to disability. The Joinpoint model was used to calculate the average annual percentage change (AAPC), the age-period-cohort model was applied to control the influence of age, period and birth cohort, and the Bayesian age-period-cohort model was used to predict the incidence and mortality trends of pancreatic cancer in our country from 2022 to 2036.Results:Compared with 1990, the data of ASIR, ASMR and age-standardized disability-adjusted life years (DALY) rates of pancreatic cancer in our country in 2021 all increased, and the increase in men was more significant than that in women. The peaks of morbidity and mortality in 1990 and 2021 were both occurred in the elderly. The incidence rate, mortality rate and changes of men in all age groups were higher than those of women. The changes in the age-standardized DALY rate were mainly reflected in the male population. The first peaks of the age-standardized DALY rate in 1990 and 2021 both occurred at the age of 70-74, and the second peak of the age-standardized DALY rate in 2021 shifted to the age of 85-89. The peak rate of age-standardized DALY in females is earlier than that in males. The AAPC of ASIR and ASMR for all genders of pancreatic cancer in our country from 1990 to 2021 was 0.72 (95% CI: 0.50-0.94, P<0.001) and 0.56 (95% CI: 0.31-0.82, P<0.001), respectively, and the difference was statistically significant. In our country men with pancreatic cancer, ASIR (AAPC=0.89, 95% CI: 0.68-1.10, P<0.001) and ASMR (AAPC=0.71, 95% CI: 0.49-0.93, P<0.001) were compared with ASIR (AAPC=0.48, 95% CI: ) in women. 0.22-0.73, P<0.001) and ASMR (AAPC=0.33, 95% CI: 0.08-0.58, P=0.010) increased rapidly, and the difference was statistically significant. The ASDR of all genders showed an upward trend (AAPC=0.36, 95% CI: 0.18-0.54, P<0.001), and the difference was statistically significant. The incidence rate and mortality rate of all genders are on the rise. When the age of the population is over 60 years old, the incidence and mortality of specific diseases show an upward trend with the delay of the birth cohort. It is expected that from 2022 to 2036, the ASIR and ASMR of both men and women will increase annuallyand eventually double. Conclusion:From 1990 to 2021, the burden of pancreatic cancer in our country has generally shown an increasing trend, and it is expected that the disease burden will further increase in the future.

BACKGROUND: Tendon injury and dysfunction often occurs in military training, but the exactly epidemiological, pathological, physiological, healing and remodeling mechanisms of tendonopathy is still unclear, even the pain due to chronic tendon dysfunction should be further studied.OBJECTIVE: To evaluate the effect of forced training on the muscular strength of ankle joint and the cross-sectional area (CSA) of achilles tendon of infantry soldiers, and look for effective training methods.DESIGN: One-sample contrasting study.SETTING: Fourth Military Medical University of Chinese PLA; InStitute of Military Training-related Medical Sciences, the 150 Hospital of Chinese PLA.PARTICIPANTS: The study was carried out in the Institute of Military Training-related Medical Sciences, the 150 Hospital of Chinese PLA from March to June 2004. Thirty male light infantry recruits and thirty one-year-trained male soldiers were regarded as recruit group and one-year soldier group. The enlisted age ranged from 17 to 18 years. Recruits did not have the history of special training and injury of ankle joints. All of them were able to undertake routinely physical training.METHODS: The recruits participated in routinely physical trainings, such as grenade throwing and 5 km cross-country race, and forced trainings, such as dorsiflexors and plantarflexors on ankle joint, twice a day for each training item for 8 successive weeks. The forced training included calf raise for 50 times and sit-ups for 50 times on 45° arched board.Moreover, one-year soldiers were undertaken routinely physical trainings. Eight weeks later, the isokinetic testing of ankle joint and CSA of achilles tendon were measured before and after trainings.MAIN OUTCOME MEASURES: Comparisons of CSA of achilles tendon and changes of muscular strength of ankle joint between recruits before routine training and after 8-week forced training and one-year soldiers after routine training.RESULTS: All 60 soldiers were involved in the final analysis. Partial correlation was showed between CSA and body weight (r =0.446, P=0.015), and there was no difference in CSA before and after training. The relative peak torque, endurance and torque acceleration energy of plantarflexors, dorsiflexors and evertors were distinctively higher in recruit group and one-year soldier group after training than those in recruit group before training (P ＜ 0.05); however, there was no difference between recruit group and one-year soldier group after training.CONCLUSION: Forced training method can improve physical readiness in a short time. No changes of CSA of achilles tendon after training show that the improvement of ankle muscular strength may be through the rebuilding of its inner-structure rather than through the hypertrophy of the tendon.