OBJECTIVES: To develop an early atrial fibrillation (AF) risk prediction model based on large-scale electrocardiogram (ECG) data from the Chinese population. METHODS: The data of multiple ECG records of 30 383 patients admitted in the Chinese PLA General Hospital between 2009 and 2023 were randomly divided into the training set and the internal testing set in a 7:3 ratio. The predictive factors were selected based on the training set using univariate analysis, LASSO regression, and the Boruta algorithm. Cox proportional hazards regression was used to establish the ECG model and the composite model incorporating age, gender, and ECG model score. The discrimination power, calibration, and clinical net benefits of the models were evaluated using the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUROC), calibration curves, and decision curves. RESULTS: The cohort included 51.1% male patients with a median age of the patients of 51 (36, 62) years and an AF incidence of 4.5% (1370/30 383). In the ECG model, the parameters related to the P wave and QRS complex were identified as significant predictors. In the testing set, the AUROC of the ECG model for predicting 5-year AF risk was 0.77 (95% CI: 0.74-0.80), which was increased to 0.81 (95% CI: 0.78-0.83) after incorporating age and gender, with a net reclassification improvement of 0.123 and an integrated discrimination improvement of 0.04 (P<0.05). The calibration curve of the model was close to the diagonal line. Decision curve analysis showed that the clinical net benefit of the composite model was higher than that of the ECG model across the majority of threshold probability. CONCLUSIONS The composite model incorporating quantitative ECG features during sinus rhythm, along with age and gender, can effectively predict AF risk in the Chinese population, thus providing a low-cost screening tool for early AF risk assessment and management.
Humans ; Atrial Fibrillation/epidemiology* ; Electrocardiography ; Middle Aged ; Male ; Female ; China/epidemiology* ; Proportional Hazards Models ; Adult ; Risk Factors ; Risk Assessment ; East Asian People

Acute symptomatic osteoporotic thoracolumbar compression fracture (ASOTLF) can lead to chronic low back pain, kyphosis deformity, pulmonary dysfunction, loss of mobility, and even life-threatening complications. Vertebral augmentation is currently the mainstream treatment method for this condition. In 2019, the Editorial Board of Chinese Journal of Trauma and the Spinal Trauma Group of Orthopedic Surgeons Branch of Chinese Medical Doctor Association collaboratively led the development of Clinical guideline for vertebral augmentation for acute symptomatic osteoporotic thoracolumbar compression fractures. Six years later, with advances in clinical diagnosis and treatment techniques as well as accumulating evidence in related fields, the 2019 guideline requires updating. To this end, the Spinal Trauma Group of Orthopedic Surgeons Branch of Chinese Medical Doctor Association, the Spinal Health Professional Committee of China Human Health Science and Technology Promotion Association, and the Minimally Invasive Orthopedics Professional Committee of Shaanxi Medical Doctor Association have organized experts in the field to develop the Clinical guideline for vertebral augmentation of acute symptomatic osteoporotic thoracolumbar compression fractures ( version 2025) , based on the latest evidence-based medical researches. This guideline incorporates 3 recommendations retained from the 2019 version with updated strength of evidence, along with 12 new recommendations. It provides recommendations from six aspects of diagnosis, pain management, treatment option selection, prevention of postoperative complications, anti-osteoporosis therapy, and postoperative rehabilitation, aiming to provide a reference for standard treatment of vertebral augmentation for ASOTLF in hospitals at all levels.

Objective:To evaluate lung ultrasound (LUS) for assessing lung aeration heterogeneity in neonatal respiratory distress syndrome (NRDS) across gestational ages and analyze its correlation with oxygenation.Methods:This retrospective cohort study enrolled 125 ventilated NRDS neonates from the neonatal intensive care unit of Hebei Children's Hospital (from March 2023 to May 2024), who were stratified as <32 gestational weeks ( n=47) and ≥32 gestational weeks ( n=78). All underwent LUS, chest X-ray, and blood gas analysis within 2 h of admission. The lung ultrasound score (LUSsc) quantified impaired lung volume percentage (graded: A=normal, B=coalescent B-lines, C=dense B-lines/focal consolidation, D=lobar consolidation). Aeration heterogeneity was measured by coefficient of variation (CV, within-patient) and Gini-Simpson index (between-patients), while oxygenation was assessed by arterial oxygen partial pressure/inhaled oxygen concentration (P/F). Group comparisons, including basic information, lung aeration, and lung aeration heterogeneity, used two independent sample t-tests, Mann-Whitney U tests, Chi square tests, or Wilcoxon tests; partial correlation analyzed aeration-oxygenation relationships. Results:(1) Analysis of impaired lung volume percentage revealed similar distribution patterns between groups, with the <32-week cohort ( n=47, 564 lung segments) showing proportions of 15.6% (88/564), 14.9% (84/564), 35.5% (200/564), and 34.0% (192/564) for graded patterns A through D, respectively, while the ≥32-week cohort ( n=78, 936 segments) demonstrated corresponding proportions of 15.7% (147/936), 16.3% (153/936), 31.7% (297/936), and 36.2% (339/936), with no statistically significant difference between groups ( Z=－0.24, P=0.812). (2) Within-patient heterogeneity analysis revealed no significant CV difference between <32-week group and ≥32-week group [0.33 (0.20-0.84) vs. 0.43 (0.21-0.73), Z=－0.99, P=0.321]. (3) Between-patient heterogeneity was significantly higher in the ≥32-week group, as reflected by the Gini-Simpson index [0.12 (0.09-0.14) vs. 0.09 (0.06-0.14), Z=－1.99, P=0.046], with heterogeneous aeration predominantly located in non-gravity-dependent regions—specifically the left upper lung in the <32-week group and anterior lungs in the ≥32-week group. (4) Correlation analyses demonstrated significantly inverse relationships between CV and LUSsc in <32-week and ≥32-week groups ( r=－0.912, P<0.001; r=－0.886, P<0.001), while the ≥32-week group additionally showed positive CV-P/F correlation ( r=0.373, P=0.001) and inverse LUSsc-P/F association ( r=－0.287, P=0.013). Conclusions:LUS effectively evaluates aeration and its heterogeneity in early NRDS. Infants ≥32 weeks exhibit greater between-patient heterogeneity, with ventilation parameters correlating significantly with oxygenation status.

Objective The morphological and data characteristics of premature ventricular contraction(PVC)were obtained through dynamic electrocardiogram(DCG),and its correlation with new-onset major adverse cardiovascular events(MACE)was analyzed.Methods A total of 115 patients with PVC admitted to Huzhou First People's Hospital from January 2022 to January 2024 were retrospectively selected and divided into MACE group(n=31)and non-MACE group(n=84)according to the new-onset MACE.Collect the baseline data of patients,as well as DCG data such as the morphological and data characteristics of PVC.Collect the baseline data of patients,as well as DCG data such as the morphological and data characteristics of PVC.Multivariate Logistic regression was used to analyze the influencing factors of new-onset MACE in patients with PVC.The receiver operating characteristic(ROC)curve was drawn to analyze the predictive value of influencing factors for the risk of new-onset MACE in patients with PVC.Results There were statistically significant differences in gender,disease duration,QRS wave duration,PVC origin,PVC load,and Lown classification between two groups of patients(P＜0.05).Multivariate Logistic regression analysis showed that QRS wave duration(OR=1.070),PVC origin(OR=6.840)and PVC load(OR=2.583)were independent risk factors for new-onset MACE in PVC patients(P＜0.05).The ROC curve showed that the area under the curve for predicting new-onset MACE in PVC patients with QRS wave duration,PVC origin,and PVC load were 0.791,0.750,and 0.917 respectively.The predictive value of PVC load was the highest.Conclusion QRS wave duration,PVC origin and PVC load are related to new-onset MACE in PVC patients,and PVC load has a good predictive effect on the risk of new-onset MACE in PVC patients.

Objective To investigate the expression and clinical significance of serum cystatin SA(Cystatin SA)and long non-coding RNA(lncRNA)promoter of CDKN1A antisense DNA damage activated RNA(PANDAR)in patients with type 2 dia-betic kidney disease(T2DN).Method A total of 142 patients with type 2 diabetes mellitus(T2DM)admitted to Shanghai Jiao Tong University School of Medicine Suzhou Jiulong Hospital from February 2021 to October 2023 were selected.According to whether they had nephropathy,they were divided into T2DN group(n=82)and non-T2DN group(n=60).60 healthy people who underwent physical examination during the same period were used as the control group.Serum Cystatin SA levels were detected by enzyme-linked immunosorbent assay(ELISA).Serum lncRNA PANDAR level was detected by real-time fluorescence quanti-tative PCR.Pearson correlation analysis was used to analyze the correlation between serum Cystatin SA,lncRNA PANDAR and clinical parameters in T2DN patients.Logistic regression analysis was used to analyze the influencing factors of T2 DN.The re-ceiver operating characteristic(ROC)curve was used to analyze the value of serum Cystatin SA and lncRNA PANDAR in the evaluation of T2DN.Results Serum Cystatin SA(236.28±44.63 ng/L)and serum lncRNA PANDAR(3.21±0.34)in the T2DM group were higher than those in the control group(91.25±22.33 ng/L,1.06±0.23),and the differences were statistically significant(t=23.127,42.379,all P<0.001).Serum Cystatin SA(275.08±46.83 ng/L)and lncRNA PANDAR(3.64±0.38)in T2DN group were higher than those in non-T2DN group(183.25±40.88 ng/L,2.62±0.30),and the differences were statistically significant(t=12.169,17.226,all P<0.001).Serum Cystatin SA and lncRNA PANDAR in T2DN patients were positively correlat-ed with diabetes duration,serum creatinine(sCr),blood urea nitrogen(BUN)and UACR(r=0.562～0.750,all P<0.001),and neg-atively correlated with eGFR(r=-0.656,-0.634,all P<0.001).Serum Cystatin SA,lncRNA PANDAR,duration of diabetes,UACR,sCr were risk factors for T2DN,eGFR was a protective factor(Wald χ2=4.257～12.360,all P<0.001).The area under the curve(AUC)of serum Cystatin SA combined with lncRNA PANDAR in predicting T2DN was 0.920(0.899～0.960),which was greater than that of single index[0.847(0.791～0.887),0.851(0.803～0.896)],and the differences were statistically significant(Z=4.522,4.319,all P<0.05).Conclusion Serum Cystatin SA and lncRNA PANDAR are elevated in patients with T2DN,which are related to renal function indexes and are risk factors affecting the occurrence of T2DN.The combination of the two can effec-tively evaluate the occurrence of T2DN.

Objective To investigate the expression and clinical significance of serum cystatin SA(Cystatin SA)and long non-coding RNA(lncRNA)promoter of CDKN1A antisense DNA damage activated RNA(PANDAR)in patients with type 2 dia-betic kidney disease(T2DN).Method A total of 142 patients with type 2 diabetes mellitus(T2DM)admitted to Shanghai Jiao Tong University School of Medicine Suzhou Jiulong Hospital from February 2021 to October 2023 were selected.According to whether they had nephropathy,they were divided into T2DN group(n=82)and non-T2DN group(n=60).60 healthy people who underwent physical examination during the same period were used as the control group.Serum Cystatin SA levels were detected by enzyme-linked immunosorbent assay(ELISA).Serum lncRNA PANDAR level was detected by real-time fluorescence quanti-tative PCR.Pearson correlation analysis was used to analyze the correlation between serum Cystatin SA,lncRNA PANDAR and clinical parameters in T2DN patients.Logistic regression analysis was used to analyze the influencing factors of T2 DN.The re-ceiver operating characteristic(ROC)curve was used to analyze the value of serum Cystatin SA and lncRNA PANDAR in the evaluation of T2DN.Results Serum Cystatin SA(236.28±44.63 ng/L)and serum lncRNA PANDAR(3.21±0.34)in the T2DM group were higher than those in the control group(91.25±22.33 ng/L,1.06±0.23),and the differences were statistically significant(t=23.127,42.379,all P<0.001).Serum Cystatin SA(275.08±46.83 ng/L)and lncRNA PANDAR(3.64±0.38)in T2DN group were higher than those in non-T2DN group(183.25±40.88 ng/L,2.62±0.30),and the differences were statistically significant(t=12.169,17.226,all P<0.001).Serum Cystatin SA and lncRNA PANDAR in T2DN patients were positively correlat-ed with diabetes duration,serum creatinine(sCr),blood urea nitrogen(BUN)and UACR(r=0.562～0.750,all P<0.001),and neg-atively correlated with eGFR(r=-0.656,-0.634,all P<0.001).Serum Cystatin SA,lncRNA PANDAR,duration of diabetes,UACR,sCr were risk factors for T2DN,eGFR was a protective factor(Wald χ2=4.257～12.360,all P<0.001).The area under the curve(AUC)of serum Cystatin SA combined with lncRNA PANDAR in predicting T2DN was 0.920(0.899～0.960),which was greater than that of single index[0.847(0.791～0.887),0.851(0.803～0.896)],and the differences were statistically significant(Z=4.522,4.319,all P<0.05).Conclusion Serum Cystatin SA and lncRNA PANDAR are elevated in patients with T2DN,which are related to renal function indexes and are risk factors affecting the occurrence of T2DN.The combination of the two can effec-tively evaluate the occurrence of T2DN.

Acute symptomatic osteoporotic thoracolumbar compression fracture (ASOTLF) can lead to chronic low back pain, kyphosis deformity, pulmonary dysfunction, loss of mobility, and even life-threatening complications. Vertebral augmentation is currently the mainstream treatment method for this condition. In 2019, the Editorial Board of Chinese Journal of Trauma and the Spinal Trauma Group of Orthopedic Surgeons Branch of Chinese Medical Doctor Association collaboratively led the development of Clinical guideline for vertebral augmentation for acute symptomatic osteoporotic thoracolumbar compression fractures. Six years later, with advances in clinical diagnosis and treatment techniques as well as accumulating evidence in related fields, the 2019 guideline requires updating. To this end, the Spinal Trauma Group of Orthopedic Surgeons Branch of Chinese Medical Doctor Association, the Spinal Health Professional Committee of China Human Health Science and Technology Promotion Association, and the Minimally Invasive Orthopedics Professional Committee of Shaanxi Medical Doctor Association have organized experts in the field to develop the Clinical guideline for vertebral augmentation of acute symptomatic osteoporotic thoracolumbar compression fractures ( version 2025) , based on the latest evidence-based medical researches. This guideline incorporates 3 recommendations retained from the 2019 version with updated strength of evidence, along with 12 new recommendations. It provides recommendations from six aspects of diagnosis, pain management, treatment option selection, prevention of postoperative complications, anti-osteoporosis therapy, and postoperative rehabilitation, aiming to provide a reference for standard treatment of vertebral augmentation for ASOTLF in hospitals at all levels.

Objective The morphological and data characteristics of premature ventricular contraction(PVC)were obtained through dynamic electrocardiogram(DCG),and its correlation with new-onset major adverse cardiovascular events(MACE)was analyzed.Methods A total of 115 patients with PVC admitted to Huzhou First People's Hospital from January 2022 to January 2024 were retrospectively selected and divided into MACE group(n=31)and non-MACE group(n=84)according to the new-onset MACE.Collect the baseline data of patients,as well as DCG data such as the morphological and data characteristics of PVC.Collect the baseline data of patients,as well as DCG data such as the morphological and data characteristics of PVC.Multivariate Logistic regression was used to analyze the influencing factors of new-onset MACE in patients with PVC.The receiver operating characteristic(ROC)curve was drawn to analyze the predictive value of influencing factors for the risk of new-onset MACE in patients with PVC.Results There were statistically significant differences in gender,disease duration,QRS wave duration,PVC origin,PVC load,and Lown classification between two groups of patients(P＜0.05).Multivariate Logistic regression analysis showed that QRS wave duration(OR=1.070),PVC origin(OR=6.840)and PVC load(OR=2.583)were independent risk factors for new-onset MACE in PVC patients(P＜0.05).The ROC curve showed that the area under the curve for predicting new-onset MACE in PVC patients with QRS wave duration,PVC origin,and PVC load were 0.791,0.750,and 0.917 respectively.The predictive value of PVC load was the highest.Conclusion QRS wave duration,PVC origin and PVC load are related to new-onset MACE in PVC patients,and PVC load has a good predictive effect on the risk of new-onset MACE in PVC patients.

Objective:To evaluate lung ultrasound (LUS) for assessing lung aeration heterogeneity in neonatal respiratory distress syndrome (NRDS) across gestational ages and analyze its correlation with oxygenation.Methods:This retrospective cohort study enrolled 125 ventilated NRDS neonates from the neonatal intensive care unit of Hebei Children's Hospital (from March 2023 to May 2024), who were stratified as <32 gestational weeks ( n=47) and ≥32 gestational weeks ( n=78). All underwent LUS, chest X-ray, and blood gas analysis within 2 h of admission. The lung ultrasound score (LUSsc) quantified impaired lung volume percentage (graded: A=normal, B=coalescent B-lines, C=dense B-lines/focal consolidation, D=lobar consolidation). Aeration heterogeneity was measured by coefficient of variation (CV, within-patient) and Gini-Simpson index (between-patients), while oxygenation was assessed by arterial oxygen partial pressure/inhaled oxygen concentration (P/F). Group comparisons, including basic information, lung aeration, and lung aeration heterogeneity, used two independent sample t-tests, Mann-Whitney U tests, Chi square tests, or Wilcoxon tests; partial correlation analyzed aeration-oxygenation relationships. Results:(1) Analysis of impaired lung volume percentage revealed similar distribution patterns between groups, with the <32-week cohort ( n=47, 564 lung segments) showing proportions of 15.6% (88/564), 14.9% (84/564), 35.5% (200/564), and 34.0% (192/564) for graded patterns A through D, respectively, while the ≥32-week cohort ( n=78, 936 segments) demonstrated corresponding proportions of 15.7% (147/936), 16.3% (153/936), 31.7% (297/936), and 36.2% (339/936), with no statistically significant difference between groups ( Z=－0.24, P=0.812). (2) Within-patient heterogeneity analysis revealed no significant CV difference between <32-week group and ≥32-week group [0.33 (0.20-0.84) vs. 0.43 (0.21-0.73), Z=－0.99, P=0.321]. (3) Between-patient heterogeneity was significantly higher in the ≥32-week group, as reflected by the Gini-Simpson index [0.12 (0.09-0.14) vs. 0.09 (0.06-0.14), Z=－1.99, P=0.046], with heterogeneous aeration predominantly located in non-gravity-dependent regions—specifically the left upper lung in the <32-week group and anterior lungs in the ≥32-week group. (4) Correlation analyses demonstrated significantly inverse relationships between CV and LUSsc in <32-week and ≥32-week groups ( r=－0.912, P<0.001; r=－0.886, P<0.001), while the ≥32-week group additionally showed positive CV-P/F correlation ( r=0.373, P=0.001) and inverse LUSsc-P/F association ( r=－0.287, P=0.013). Conclusions:LUS effectively evaluates aeration and its heterogeneity in early NRDS. Infants ≥32 weeks exhibit greater between-patient heterogeneity, with ventilation parameters correlating significantly with oxygenation status.

Objective To analyze the dynamic changes in serum adiponectin (APN) levels after acute myocardial infarction (AMI) and its relationship with heart failure (HF) and major adverse cardiovascular events (MACE). Methods A total of 124 AMI patients who underwent percutaneous coronary intervention (PCI) in our hospital from January 2021 to December 2023 were enrolled as AMI group. Additionally, 30 patients with non-AMI coronary artery disease and 30 healthy individuals were included in non-AMI coronary artery disease group and healthy group, respectively. General information such as age, gender, smoking, alcohol consumption, hypertension, diabetes, and blood lipids were recorded for all subjects. Serum APN levels were measured using the enzyme-linked immunosorbent assay (ELISA) method; plasma brain natriuretic peptide (BNP) levels were determined by immunofluorescence; and left ventricular ejection fraction (LVEF) was assessed using echocardiography. Changes in serum APN levels and its relationship with BNP, LVEF, and MACE were recorded during a one-year follow-up period. Results AMI patients had lower serum APN levels than those in the non-AMI coronary artery disease group and the healthy group, while levels of total cholesterol (TC), low-density lipoprotein cholesterol (LDL-C); Lipoprotein-associated phospholipase A2 (Lp-PLA2), and the proportions of smokers and diabetics were higher(P < 0.05). A one-year follow-up of AMI patients revealed an upward trend in serum APN and BNP levels and a downward trend in LVEF levels at one week, one month, three months, six months, and one year postoperatively (P < 0.05). APN and BNP levels peaked one month after PCI, while LVEF reached its lowest level at the same time point. However, there were no statistically significant changes in these indicators in the subsequent 11 months (P>0.05). The incidence of MACE in AMI patients at one, three, six, and twelve months postoperatively was 2.8%, 3.2%, 4.6%, and 8.8%, respectively. Both preoperative and one-month postoperative serum APN levels had high predictive value for the occurrence of HF and MACE within one year in AMI patients, and the area under the curve for predicting HF and MACE one month postoperatively was larger than that preoperatively (P < 0.05). Conclusion Serum APN levels in AMI patients show an upward trend after PCI, peaking one month postoperatively. At this time point, serum APN levels have the highest predictive value for the occurrence of HF and MACE.