1.The Valvular Heart Disease-specific Age-adjusted Comorbidity Index (VHD-ACI) score in patients with moderate or severe valvular heart disease.
Mu-Rong XIE ; Bin ZHANG ; Yun-Qing YE ; Zhe LI ; Qing-Rong LIU ; Zhen-Yan ZHAO ; Jun-Xing LV ; De-Jing FENG ; Qing-Hao ZHAO ; Hai-Tong ZHANG ; Zhen-Ya DUAN ; Bin-Cheng WANG ; Shuai GUO ; Yan-Yan ZHAO ; Run-Lin GAO ; Hai-Yan XU ; Yong-Jian WU
Journal of Geriatric Cardiology 2025;22(9):759-774
BACKGROUND:
Based on the China-VHD database, this study sought to develop and validate a Valvular Heart Disease- specific Age-adjusted Comorbidity Index (VHD-ACI) for predicting mortality risk in patients with VHD.
METHODS & RESULTS:
The China-VHD study was a nationwide, multi-centre multi-centre cohort study enrolling 13,917 patients with moderate or severe VHD across 46 medical centres in China between April-June 2018. After excluding cases with missing key variables, 11,459 patients were retained for final analysis. The primary endpoint was 2-year all-cause mortality, with 941 deaths (10.0%) observed during follow-up. The VHD-ACI was derived after identifying 13 independent mortality predictors: cardiomyopathy, myocardial infarction, chronic obstructive pulmonary disease, pulmonary artery hypertension, low body weight, anaemia, hypoalbuminaemia, renal insufficiency, moderate/severe hepatic dysfunction, heart failure, cancer, NYHA functional class and age. The index exhibited good discrimination (AUC, 0.79) and calibration (Brier score, 0.062) in the total cohort, outperforming both EuroSCORE II and ACCI (P < 0.001 for comparison). Internal validation through 100 bootstrap iterations yielded a C statistic of 0.694 (95% CI: 0.665-0.723) for 2-year mortality prediction. VHD-ACI scores, as a continuous variable (VHD-ACI score: adjusted HR (95% CI): 1.263 (1.245-1.282), P < 0.001) or categorized using thresholds determined by the Yoden index (VHD-ACI ≥ 9 vs. < 9, adjusted HR (95% CI): 6.216 (5.378-7.184), P < 0.001), were independently associated with mortality. The prognostic performance remained consistent across all VHD subtypes (aortic stenosis, aortic regurgitation, mitral stenosis, mitral regurgitation, tricuspid valve disease, mixed aortic/mitral valve disease and multiple VHD), and clinical subgroups stratified by therapeutic strategy, LVEF status (preserved vs. reduced), disease severity and etiology.
CONCLUSION
The VHD-ACI is a simple 13-comorbidity algorithm for the prediction of mortality in VHD patients and providing a simple and rapid tool for risk stratification.
2.Sub-committee of Anesthesiology of Guangzhou Integrated Traditional Chinese and Western Medicine Society.
Yi LU ; Cunzhi LIU ; Wujun GENG ; Xiaozhen ZHENG ; Jingdun XIE ; Guangfang ZHANG ; Chao LIU ; Yun LI ; Yan QU ; Lei CHEN ; Xizhao HUANG ; Hang TIAN ; Yuhui LI ; Hongxin LI ; Heying ZHONG ; Ronggui TAO ; Jie ZHONG ; Yue ZHUANG ; Junyang MA ; Yan HU ; Jian FANG ; Gaofeng ZHAO ; Jianbin XIAO ; Weifeng TU ; Jiaze SUN ; Yuting DUAN ; Bao WANG
Journal of Southern Medical University 2025;45(8):1800-1808
OBJECTIVES:
To explore the efficacy of DSA-guided intrathecal drug delivery system combined with Zi Wu Liu Zhu Acupoint Therapy for management of cancer pain and provide reference for its standardized clinical application. Methods and.
RESULTS:
Recommendations were formulated based on literature review and expert group discussion, and consensus was reached following expert consultation. The consensus recommendations are comprehensive, covering the entire treatment procedures from preoperative assessment and preparation, surgical operation process, postoperative management and traditional Chinese medicine treatment to individualized treatment planning. The study results showed that the treatment plans combining traditional Chinese with Western medicine effectively alleviated cancer pain, reduced the use of opioid drugs, and significantly improved the quality of life and enhanced immune function of the patients. Postoperative follow-up suggested good treatment tolerance among the patients without serious complications.
CONCLUSIONS
The formulated consensus is comprehensive and can provide reference for clinicians to use DSA-guided intrathecal drug delivery system combined with Zi Wu Liu Zhu Acupoint Therapy. The combined treatment has a high clinical value with a good safety profile for management of cancer pain.
Humans
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Medicine, Chinese Traditional
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Cancer Pain/therapy*
;
Drugs, Chinese Herbal/therapeutic use*
;
Drug Delivery Systems
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Pain Management/methods*
;
China
3.Association of Body Mass Index with All-Cause Mortality and Cause-Specific Mortality in Rural China: 10-Year Follow-up of a Population-Based Multicenter Prospective Study.
Juan Juan HUANG ; Yuan Zhi DI ; Ling Yu SHEN ; Jian Guo LIANG ; Jiang DU ; Xue Fang CAO ; Wei Tao DUAN ; Ai Wei HE ; Jun LIANG ; Li Mei ZHU ; Zi Sen LIU ; Fang LIU ; Shu Min YANG ; Zu Hui XU ; Cheng CHEN ; Bin ZHANG ; Jiao Xia YAN ; Yan Chun LIANG ; Rong LIU ; Tao ZHU ; Hong Zhi LI ; Fei SHEN ; Bo Xuan FENG ; Yi Jun HE ; Zi Han LI ; Ya Qi ZHAO ; Tong Lei GUO ; Li Qiong BAI ; Wei LU ; Qi JIN ; Lei GAO ; He Nan XIN
Biomedical and Environmental Sciences 2025;38(10):1179-1193
OBJECTIVE:
This study aimed to explore the association between body mass index (BMI) and mortality based on the 10-year population-based multicenter prospective study.
METHODS:
A general population-based multicenter prospective study was conducted at four sites in rural China between 2013 and 2023. Multivariate Cox proportional hazards models and restricted cubic spline analyses were used to assess the association between BMI and mortality. Stratified analyses were performed based on the individual characteristics of the participants.
RESULTS:
Overall, 19,107 participants with a sum of 163,095 person-years were included and 1,910 participants died. The underweight (< 18.5 kg/m 2) presented an increase in all-cause mortality (adjusted hazards ratio [ aHR] = 2.00, 95% confidence interval [ CI]: 1.66-2.41), while overweight (≥ 24.0 to < 28.0 kg/m 2) and obesity (≥ 28.0 kg/m 2) presented a decrease with an aHR of 0.61 (95% CI: 0.52-0.73) and 0.51 (95% CI: 0.37-0.70), respectively. Overweight ( aHR = 0.76, 95% CI: 0.67-0.86) and mild obesity ( aHR = 0.72, 95% CI: 0.59-0.87) had a positive impact on mortality in people older than 60 years. All-cause mortality decreased rapidly until reaching a BMI of 25.7 kg/m 2 ( aHR = 0.95, 95% CI: 0.92-0.98) and increased slightly above that value, indicating a U-shaped association. The beneficial impact of being overweight on mortality was robust in most subgroups and sensitivity analyses.
CONCLUSION
This study provides additional evidence that overweight and mild obesity may be inversely related to the risk of death in individuals older than 60 years. Therefore, it is essential to consider age differences when formulating health and weight management strategies.
Humans
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Body Mass Index
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China/epidemiology*
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Male
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Female
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Middle Aged
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Prospective Studies
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Rural Population/statistics & numerical data*
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Aged
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Follow-Up Studies
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Adult
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Mortality
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Cause of Death
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Obesity/mortality*
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Overweight/mortality*
4.Analysis of clinical, gene mutation characteristics, and treatment prognosis of type 2A hereditary hemochromatosis in the Chinese population
Wei ZHANG ; Yanmeng LI ; Anjian XU ; Xiaoming WANG ; Yu WANG ; Weijia DUAN ; Xinyan ZHAO ; Hexiang XU ; Jinping JIANG ; Wei JIANG ; Jian HUANG ; Xiaojuan OU
Chinese Journal of Hepatology 2024;32(11):1013-1018
Objective:To analyze the clinical, genetic mutation characteristics, and treatment prognosis of type 2A hereditary hemochromatosis (HH) in China.Methods:Peripheral blood samples and clinical data of patients with primary iron overload were collected through the China Registry of Genetic/Metabolic Liver Disease from June 2015 to November 2023. HH-related genes were detected by Sanger sequencing. Clinical characteristics and gene mutation characteristics of HH patients carrying HJV gene mutations were analyzed.Results:Among the 37 cases with primary iron overload, ten cases (27.0%, 10/37) had detectable HJV gene mutations, which included four homozygous mutations, five compound heterozygous mutations, and one monoheterozygous mutation. p.Q6H and p.C321X (80.0%, 8/10) were the most common mutated sites. The average age of onset was 30.7±14.7 years. The age of diagnosis was 35.7±16.2 years, with male-to-female ratio of 7:3. Ferritin and transferrin saturation were (5 267±905) ng/ml, and 94.3%±1.2%, respectively. Magnetic resonance imaging showed iron overload in the liver, pancreas, and myocardium. Liver biopsy showed diffuse iron deposition within hepatocytes. All ten cases had elevated transaminases; one case (1/10, 10.0%) had liver cirrhosis; four cases (4/10, 40.0%) had heart failure and arrhythmia; five cases (5/10, 50.0%) had diabetes; six cases (6/10, 60.0%) had hypogonadism; six cases (6/10, 60.0%) had skin pigmentation; and six cases (6/10, 60.0%) had fatigue symptoms. All six cases underwent bloodletting therapy, and ferritin levels dropped to about 100 ng/ml. Two cases of oral administration of the iron chelator deferasirox did not meet the ferritin level standard, and one case died from acute heart failure following a confirmed diagnosis during hospitalization.Conclusion:The HJV gene may be one of the main pathogenic genes of HH in China. The p.Q6H and p.C321X mutations were one of the hotspot mutations. The onset age of HJV gene-related HH was between 20 and 30 years old, and their condition was severe. Therefore, early bloodletting treatment can have a favorable outcome.
5.Study of pre-hospital temporary VV-ECMO for the treatment of high-altitude severe blast lung injury based on animal models
Zheng-Bin WU ; Shi-Feng SHAO ; Liang-Chao ZHANG ; Zhao-Xia DUAN ; Yao-Li WANG ; Zong-An LIANG ; Jian-Min WANG
Journal of Regional Anatomy and Operative Surgery 2024;33(5):373-378
Objectives To explore the feasibility of temporary veno-venous extracorporeal membrane oxygenation(VV-ECMO)technology for early on-site treatment,through establishing an animal model of severe blast lung injury in goats by free-field chemical explosion experiments in high-altitude regions.Methods A total of 16 adult goats were selected,and divided into the control group and the treatment group according to the random number table method,with 8 goats in each group.A model of severe blast lung injury was established at an altitude of 4 600 meters above sea level,then the goats in the control group were given respiratory support and the goats in the treatment group were given temporary VV-ECMO treatment.The survival status of the goats 15 minutes after injury was recorded,the vital signs[including body temperature,respiration rate,heart rate,and mean arterial pressure(MAP)]and arterial blood gas analysis indicators[including pH,arterial partial pressure of oxygen(PO2),arterial partial pressure of carbon dioxide(PCO2),oxygen saturation(SaO2),lactate(LAC),calcium(Ca2+),hematocrit(HCT),and hemoglobin(Hb)]before injury and 1 hour,2 hours,3 hours after injury were compared in the two groups.The post-mortem examination was performed on all dead goats and sacrificed goats after treatment,the severity of lung injury was assessed by organ injury scaling(OIS),and the lung injury score was evaluated by abbreviated injury scale(AIS).The wet-to-dry weight ratio(W/D)and lung coefficient were calculated.Results Within 15 minutes after the explosion,4 goats in the control group died and 4 goats survived;and 5 goats in the treatment group died and 3 goats survived.There was no statistically significant difference in the body temperature,respiration rate,heart rate,or MAP before and after injury between the two groups(P>0.05).The PaO2 and SaO2 1 hour,2 hours,and 3 hours after injury in the treatment group were superior than those in the control group(P<0.05),the Ca2+ 2 hours after injury was significantly higher than that in the control group(P<0.05),and there was no statistically significant difference in the pH,PCO2,LAC,HCT or Hb at different time points after injury between the two groups(P>0.05).There was no statistically significant difference in the OIS,AIS or lung coefficient between the two groups(P>0.05),but the W/D of the lung tissue in the control group was lower than that in the treatment group(P<0.05).Conclusion We have established a novel,feasible,and stable treatment effect temporary VV-ECMO animal treatment strategy for the first time in the high-altitude regions,which can provide animal experiment evidence for the early on-site VV-ECMO treatment of severe blast lung injury in high-altitude regions.
6.Effect of Bushen Tongfu decoction on neuroinflammation in AD mice based on intestinal flora and metabolomics
Jie ZHANG ; Xu WANG ; Xiao-Yu SONG ; Si-Min LI ; Jian-Ping DUAN ; Yun-Min XU ; Min ZHAO
Chinese Pharmacological Bulletin 2024;40(7):1258-1266
Aim To explore the mechanism of Bushen Tongfu decoction(BSTF)improving the learning and memory ability of APP/PS1 mice.Methods The APP/PS1 mice were administered by BSTF for eight weeks.The spatial learning and memory ability of all mice were detected by Morris water maze.The changes in the intestinal microbiota and gut metabolites of mice were detected by 16S rDNA and LC-MS/MS technolo-gy.Results Compared with the model group,the es-cape latency and swimming path in BSTF-H,BSTF-M and BSTF-L groups were shortened and the times of target crossings after removing the platform increased significantly(P<0.01).The 16S rDNA results showed that BSTF could increase the abundance of beneficial bacteria of Firmicutes and reduce the abun-dance of harmful bacteria of Bacteroidota in APP/PS1 mice.A total of 25 differential metabolites were identi-fied by LC-MS/MS,including sphingolipid metabo-lism,lysine metabolism and tyrosine metabolism.KEGG enrichment analysis showed that the therapeutic effect of BSTF was mainly through inflammation-related signaling pathways such as NF-κB pathways and Apelin pathways.Conclusions The mechanism of BSTF im-proving the learning and memory ability of APP/PS1 mice may be related to the improvement of intestinal flora composition,the effect of sphingolipid metabo-lism,lysine metabolism and tyrosine metabolism and the regulation of inflammation-related signaling path-ways such as NF-κB and Apelin pathways.
7.Effect of Sakuranetin on Microglia-Mediated Neuroinflammation After Spinal Cord Injury.
Lin-Yu XIAO ; Yue CHEN ; Ting DUAN ; Yang SUN ; Yi-Bo XU ; Ya-Jing ZHAO ; Xue SONG ; Xing-Zhou YAN ; Jian-Guo HU
Acta Academiae Medicinae Sinicae 2024;46(6):836-848
Objective To investigate the effects of sakuranetin (SK) on motor functions in the mouse model of spinal cord injury (SCI) and decipher the mechanism. Methods Fifty-four C57BL/6J mice were randomized into sham,SCI,and SK groups.The mice in the sham group underwent only laminectomy at T9,while those in the SCI and SK groups were subjected to spinal cord contusion injury at T9.Behavioral tests were conducted at different time points after surgery to evaluate the motor functions of mice in each group.The pathological changes in the tissue were observed to assess the extent of SCI in each group.The role and mechanism of SK in SCI were predicted by gene ontology (GO) and Kyoto encyclopedia of genes and genomes (KEGG) enrichment analyses.Reverse transcription real-time fluorescence quantitative PCR,ELISA,and immunofluorescence were employed to evaluate the inflammation and activation of microglia in SCI mice.BV2 cells in vitro were classified into control (Con),lipopolysaccharide (LPS),and LPS+SK groups.The effects of SK intervention on the release of inflammatory cytokines and the activation of BV2 cells were evaluated.Furthermore,the phosphatidylinositol-3-kinase(PI3K)/protein kinase B (AKT) signaling pathway activator insulin-like growth factor-1 (IGF-1) was used to treat the SK-induced BV2 cells in vitro (SK+IGF-1 group),and SK was used to treat the IGF-1-induced BV2 cells in vitro (IGF-1+SK group).Western blotting was conducted for molecular mechanism validation. Results Behavioral tests and histological staining results showed that compared with the SCI group,the SK group exhibited improved motor abilities and reduced area of damage in the spinal cord tissue (all P<0.001).The GO enrichment analysis predicted that SK may be involved in the inflammation following SCI.The KEGG enrichment analysis predicted that SK regulated the PI3K/Akt pathway to exert the neuroprotective effect.The results from in vitro and in vivo experiments showed that SK lowered the levels of tumor necrosis factor-α,interleukin-6,and interleukin-1β and inhibited the activation of microglia (all P<0.05).The results of Western blotting showed that SK down-regulated the phosphorylation levels of PI3K and Akt (all P<0.001) and inhibited the IGF-1-induced elevation of PI3K and Akt phosphorylation levels (all P<0.001).Conversely,IGF-1 had the opposite effects (P=0.001,P<0.001).The results of reverse transcription real-time fluorescence quantitative PCR,ELISA,and immunofluorescence showed that the SK+IGF-1 group had higher levels of inflammatory cytokines and more activated microglia than the SK group(all P<0.05). Conclusion SK may suppress the activation of the PI3K/Akt pathway to inhibit the inflammation mediated by SCI-induced activation of microglia,ameliorate the pathological damage of the spinal cord tissue,and promote the recovery of motor functions in SCI mice.
Animals
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Spinal Cord Injuries/pathology*
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Mice
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Microglia/metabolism*
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Mice, Inbred C57BL
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Neuroinflammatory Diseases/pathology*
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Signal Transduction/drug effects*
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Phosphatidylinositol 3-Kinases/metabolism*
;
Proto-Oncogene Proteins c-akt/metabolism*
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Male
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Inflammation
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Lipopolysaccharides
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Insulin-Like Growth Factor I/metabolism*
;
Disease Models, Animal
8.Analysis of mortality trend and characteristic of chronic obstructive pulmonary disease among residents in China from 2004 to 2020.
Jian WU ; Yan Yu TANG ; Shuai JIANG ; Yan Ran DUAN ; Zi Han MU ; Jing WANG ; Su Xian WANG ; Yao Jun ZHAO
Chinese Journal of Preventive Medicine 2023;57(8):1135-1140
Objective: To analyze the mortality trend and characteristics of chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD) among residents in China from 2004 to 2020. Methods: From the area, gender, region, and age dimensions, the Joinpoint regression model was used to analyze the trend of COPD mortality rate from 2004 to 2020, extracted from the China Death Surveillance Dataset. Results: From 2004 to 2020, the mortality rate and age-adjusted mortality rate of COPD showed a downward trend (AAPC=-3.68%, P<0.001; AAPC=-7.27%, P<0.001), which were consistent with urban and rural subpopulations (mortality rate: AAPC=-3.62%, P=0.009, AAPC=-3.23%, P=0.014; age-adjusted mortality rate: AAPC=-7.26%, P<0.001, AAPC=-6.78%, P<0.001). The mortality rate of COPD in rural was higher than that of urban subpopulations (P<0.001). Also, the mortality rate and age-adjusted mortality rate of COPD showed a downward trend in males and females (mortality rate: AAPC=-3.00%, P<0.001, AAPC=-4.37%, P<0.001; age-adjusted mortality rate: AAPC=-6.73%, P<0.001, AAPC=-8.11%, P<0.001), and the COPD mortality rate for male was generally higher than female (P<0.001). Meanwhile, the mortality rate of COPD in eastern, central and western regions also showed a downward trend (AAPC=-3.87%, P<0.001; AAPC=-3.12%, P<0.001; AAPC=-1.37%, P=0.001), and western regions were significantly higher than that in central (P<0.001) and eastern (P<0.001) regions. The mortality rate of COPD in the age group of Chinese people showed a downward trend in<45, 45-59, and≥60 years groups (AAPC=-9.48%, P<0.001; AAPC=-9.03%, P<0.001; AAPC=-5.91%, P<0.001). Among them,≥60 years groups was significantly higher than that in<45 (P<0.001) and 45-59 (P<0.001) years groups, and the decline rate was slowest. Conclusion: In China, the mortality rate of COPD decreases from 2004 to 2020, and more efforts are needed to reduce COPD mortality, especially in western regions, rural populations, males and the elderly.
Aged
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Female
;
Humans
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Male
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Middle Aged
;
Asian People
;
China/epidemiology*
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Mortality
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Pulmonary Disease, Chronic Obstructive
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Rural Population
;
Urban Population
;
Adult
9.Development and validation of a score predicting mortality for older patients with mitral regurgitation.
De-Jing FENG ; Yun-Qing YE ; Zhe LI ; Bin ZHANG ; Qing-Rong LIU ; Wei-Wei WANG ; Zhen-Yan ZHAO ; Zheng ZHOU ; Qing-Hao ZHAO ; Zi-Kai YU ; Hai-Tong ZHANG ; Zhen-Ya DUAN ; Bin-Cheng WANG ; Jun-Xing LV ; Shuai GUO ; Run-Lin GAO ; Hai-Yan XU ; Yong-Jian WU
Journal of Geriatric Cardiology 2023;20(8):577-585
OBJECTIVE:
To develop and validate a user-friendly risk score for older mitral regurgitation (MR) patients, referred to as the Elder-MR score.
METHODS:
The China Senile Valvular Heart Disease (China-DVD) Cohort Study functioned as the development cohort, while the China Valvular Heart Disease (China-VHD) Study was employed for external validation. We included patients aged 60 years and above receiving medical treatment for moderate or severe MR (2274 patients in the development cohort and 1929 patients in the validation cohort). Candidate predictors were chosen using Cox's proportional hazards model and stepwise selection with Akaike's information criterion.
RESULTS:
Eight predictors were identified: age ≥ 75 years, body mass index < 20 kg/m2, NYHA class III/IV, secondary MR, anemia, estimated glomerular filtration rate < 60 mL/min per 1.73 m2, albumin < 35 g/L, and left ventricular ejection fraction < 60%. The model displayed satisfactory performance in predicting one-year mortality in both the development cohort (C-statistic = 0.73, 95% CI: 0.69-0.77, Brier score = 0.06) and the validation cohort (C-statistic = 0.73, 95% CI: 0.68-0.78, Brier score = 0.06). The Elder-MR score ranges from 0 to 15 points. At a one-year follow-up, each point increase in the Elder-MR score represents a 1.27-fold risk of death (HR = 1.27, 95% CI: 1.21-1.34, P < 0.001) in the development cohort and a 1.24-fold risk of death (HR = 1.24, 95% CI: 1.17-1.30, P < 0.001) in the validation cohort. Compared to EuroSCORE II, the Elder-MR score demonstrated superior predictive accuracy for one-year mortality in the validation cohort (C-statistic = 0.71 vs. 0.70, net reclassification improvement = 0.320, P < 0.01; integrated discrimination improvement = 0.029, P < 0.01).
CONCLUSIONS
The Elder-MR score may serve as an effective risk stratification tool to assist clinical decision-making in older MR patients.
10.Value of quantitative parameters of enhanced MRI in predicting collateral circulation in patients with renal cell carcinoma and inferior vena cava tumor thrombus
Jian ZHAO ; Meifeng WANG ; Yuan FANG ; Feng DUAN ; Xu BAI ; Wei XU ; Xiaojing ZHANG ; Shaopeng ZHOU ; Lin LI ; Xin MA ; Xu ZHANG ; Huiyi YE ; Haiyi WANG
Chinese Journal of Radiology 2023;57(3):274-281
Objective:To explore the value of quantitative parameters of enhanced MRI in predicting the establishment of inferior vena cava collateral circulation in patients with renal cell carcinoma and inferior vena cava tumor thrombus.Methods:Sixty-seven patients with renal cell carcinoma and inferior vena cava tumor thrombus who underwent radical resection and inferior vena cava venography in First Medical Center, PLA General Hospital from May 2006 to January 2021 were included retrospectively. According to the results of inferior vena cava venography, the patients were divided into two groups: the well-established collateral circulation group ( n=41) and the poor-established collateral circulation group ( n=26). Quantitative parameters were measured on preoperative enhanced MRI images, including tumor size, the maximum diameter of bilateral lumbar veins, the length of tumor thrombus, and the long and short diameters of tumor thrombus. Student′s t test or Mann-Whitney U test was used for comparison between the two groups. The independent risk factors related to the establishment of collateral circulation were obtained by binary logistic regression analysis and the model was established. The receiver operating characteristic curve was employed to evaluate MRI quantitative parameters and the logistic model, and the area under the curve (AUC) was compared by the DeLong test. Results:Between the well-established collateral circulation group and the poor-established collateral circulation group, the maximum diameter of the right lumbar vein, the maximum diameter of the left lumbar vein, the length of the tumor thrombus, the long diameter of the tumor thrombus, and the short diameter of the tumor thrombus were different significantly ( P<0.05). There was no significant difference in the tumor size between the two groups ( t=0.30, P=0.766). The AUC of the maximum diameters of the right lumbar veins and left lumbar veins, length of tumor thrombus, long and short diameters of tumor thrombus in predicting the collateral circulation were 0.917 (95%CI 0.824-0.971), 0.869 (95%CI 0.764-0.939), 0.756 (95%CI 0.636-0.853), 0.886 (95%CI 0.785-0.951), and 0.906 (95%CI 0.809-0.963). The AUC of the maximum diameter of the right lumbar vein and the short diameter of the tumor thrombus were larger than those of the length of the tumor thrombus, and the differences were statistically significant ( Z=2.25, 2.04, P=0.025, 0.041), but the AUC between other parameters had no significant difference ( P>0.05). The maximum diameter of the right lumbar vein (OR 24.210, 95%CI 2.845-205.998), the maximum diameter of the left lumbar vein (OR 20.973, 95%CI 2.359-186.490), and the length of the tumor thrombus (OR 23.006, 95%CI 2.952-179.309) were independent risk factors for predicting the establishment of inferior vena cava collateral circulation. The AUC of logistic model was 0.969 (95%CI 0.931-1.000). Conclusion:Quantitative parameters of tumor thrombus and lumbar vein based on enhanced MRI have a good ability in predicting the establishment of inferior vena cava collateral circulation in patients with renal cell carcinoma and inferior vena cava tumor thrombus. The maximum diameter of bilateral lumbar veins and the length of the tumor thrombus were independent risk factors for inferior vena cava collateral circulation.

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