AIM:To investigate the prevalence and associated factors of comorbid myopia and scoliosis among primary and junior school students in Binhu District, Wuxi, China.METHODS:A stratified cluster random sampling method was used to select students from 10 primary and junior schools in Binhu District for visual acuity testing, scoliosis examination, and a questionnaire survey on related factors. The relationship between scoliosis and myopia was detected using univariate analysis. A binary multivariable logistic regression model was applied to analyze the risk factors associated with comorbid myopia and scoliosis.RESULTS: A total of 17 951 students were selected, including 8948(49.85%)boys and 9003(50.15%)girls; 9784(54.50%)primary school students and 8167(45.50%)junior school students. The detection rates of myopia, scoliosis, and comorbidity were 68.30%, 2.95%, and 2.76%, respectively. The comorbidity rate was higher in girls(3.78%)than in boys(1.74%). Junior school students(3.67% in Grade 7-9)had a higher total comorbidity detection rate than primary school students(2.00% in Grade 4-6; all P<0.001). Logistic regression analysis showed that being in Grade 7-9 [odds ratio(OR)=4.43, 95% confidence interval(CI): 2.36-7.85], spending 2-3 h(OR=1.46, 95%CI: 1.02-2.16)or ≥3 h(OR=1.5, 95%CI: 1.21-2.55)on homework or reading after school, engaging in >60 min of moderate-to-vigorous physical activity >6 days per week(OR=1.39, 95%CI: 1.08-1.7), and not adjusting desk and chair height to match the student's height(OR=1.73, 95%CI: 1.2-2.25)were positively associated with comorbidity(all P<0.05).CONCLUSION: The prevalence of comorbid myopia and scoliosis among primary and junior school students in Binhu District of Wuxi is concerning. Reducing the time ofhomework or reading and writing after school and engaging in ≥60 min of moderate-to-vigorous physical activity at least three days per week may help lower the risk of comorbid myopia and scoliosis in this population.

[Purpose]To analyze the incidence trend and age,period,cohort effects of brain and other central nervous system tumors(brain tumor)in Qidong City of Jiangsu Province from 1972 to 2021.[Methods]The incidence data of brain tumor from 1972 to 2021 were collected from the Qidong cancer registry database.The crude incidence rate(CR),age-standardized rate by Chi-nese standard population(ASRC),age-standardized rate by world standard population(ASRW)and average annual percentage change(AAPC)were calculated.The age-period-cohort(APC)model was used to analyze the age,period,and cohort effects of brain tumor incidence in Qidong City from 1972 to 2021.[Results]A total of 2 801 cases of brain tumor occurred in Qidong City from 1972 to 2021,including 1 475 male cases and 1 326 female cases.From 1972-1976 to 2017-2021,the CR increased from 1.81/10 5 to 9.28/10 5,the ASRC increased from 2.07/10 5 to 4.96/10 5,and ASRW increased from 2.00/105 to 4.98/105.From 1972 to 2021 the AAPC of CR,ASRC and ASRW were 3.97％(3.53％for male and 4.37％for female),2.02％(1.66％for male and 2.24％for female)and 2.06％(1.63％for male and 2.24％for female)(all P＜0.001).The Wald's Chi-square test of the APC model showed that there were significant differences in the trends of age,period and birth cohort effect of brain tumor risk(all P＜0.05).The age effect showed that the incidence of brain tumor increased with age,starting from the age group of 45～49 years old and reaching a peak of 25.84/10 5 in age group of 75～79 years old(95％CI:21.17/10 5～31.53/10 5).The period ef-fect showed that the risk of recent period was higher than that in the early period using 1992-1996 period as the reference,reaching the highest in 2012-2016(RR=1.64,95％CI:1.38～1.95).The birth cohort effect showed that the highest risk was in 2017-2021 births cohort(RR=11.17,95％CI:4.26～29.26)using 1952-1956 birth cohort as the reference.[Conclusion]The incidence of brain tumor in Qidong City has been rising;and age,period and cohort are the main influencing factors,suggesting that the middle-aged and elderly population should be the focus of brain tumor prevention and control.

[Purpose]To analyze the changing trends of the disease burden of liver cancer related to hepatitis B virus(HBV)globally and in China from 1992 to 2021.[Methods]Based on the Global Burden of Disease database in 2021,indicators such as the age-standardized incidence rate and mortality rate of HBV-related liver cancer globally and in China from 1992 to 2021 were collected.The Joinpoint regression model was used to analyze the changing trends of epidemiologi-cal characteristics,and the age-period-cohort model was adopted to analyze the impacts of age,period,and cohort factors on the incidence and mortality risks of HBV-related liver cancer globally and in China.[Results]From 1992 to 2021,the age-standardized incidence rate and age-standardized mortality rate of HBV-related liver cancer globally generally showed a trend of decreasing.The average annual percentage changes were-0.31％and-0.61％,respectively,and all the down-ward trends were statistically significant(both P＜0.05).During the same period,the average annu-al percentage changes of the age-standardized incidence rate and age-standardized mortality rate of HBV-related liver cancer in China were-0.45％and-0.90％,respectively,and all the downward trends were statistically significant(both P＜0.05).The results of the age-period-cohort model anal-ysis showed that from 1992 to 2021,the annual net drift rates of the incidence of HBV-related liver cancer globally and in China were-0.71％(95％CI:-0.84％～-0.57％)and-0.73％(95％CI:-1.01％～-0.44％),respectively.The annual net drift rates of the mortality were-1.15％(95％CI:-1.28％～-1.02％)and-1.42％(95％CI:-1.69％～-1.14％),respectively,all showing an over-all decline.The age effect showed that the risk of HBV-related liver cancer incidence in both the global and Chinese populations began to increase after 30 years of age,peaking in the 70～74 age group,while the risk of mortality surged after 40 years of age and peaked in the population aged 80 and above.The period effect indicated that the incidence and mortality risks were the highest from 1997 to 2001 and the lowest from 2017 to 2021.The cohort effect revealed that the inci-dence and mortality risks gradually decreased in populations born after 1962,with the 2007-2011 birth cohort having the lowest risks.The results of the Wald x2 test showed that there were statistically significant differences in the changing trends of the age,period,and cohort effects on the incidence and mortality of HBV-related liver cancer globally and in China(all P＜0.05).[Con-clusion]From 1992 to 2021,the age-standardized incidence rate and age-standardized mortality rate of HBV-related liver cancer showed a downward trend both globally and in China.The disease burden of HBV-related liver cancer in China was higher than the global level.The age-period-cohort model has revealed the historical changes in the incidence and mortality of HBV-related liver cancer.The current and future situation of the disease burden of HBV-related liver cancer is not optimistic.It is recommended to implement precise stratified interventions for populations of different ages,periods,and birth cohorts,and actively transform the prevention,treatment,and management strategies for HBV-related liver cancer.

Objective To investigate the predictive factors for postoperative gastrointestinal function in patients undergoing laparoscopic radical rectectomy(LRR),and thereby construct a predictive model.Methods A total of 155 patients who underwent LRR at our hospital from February 2021 to April 2024 were selected for this study.Based on the postoperative intake-nausea-vomiting-examination-duration of symptoms(I-FEED)scoring system,patients were divided into postoperative gastrointestinal dysfunction(POGD)and non-POGD groups.Clinical data of the selected patients were collected,and Logistic regression analysis was used to identify factors influencing the occurrence of POGD in LRR patients.A predictive model for POGD was constructed,and its predictive performance was evaluated using the receiver operating characteristic(ROC)curve.The calibration ability of the model was assessed using the H-L test.Results Of the 155 LRR patients,2 were excluded due to intraoperative conversion to open surgery and 1 due to insufficient data,resulting in a total of 152 patients included in the analysis.The incidence of POGD in these 152 patients was 33.55％(51/152).Logistic regression analysis identified age(OR=2.687,95％CI=1.422-5.078,P=0.003),smoking history(OR=2.564,95％CI=1.395-4.713,P=0.004),preoperative albumin(Alb)level(OR=0.851,95％CI=0.781-0.927,P＜0.001),dexmedetomidine combined with general anesthesia(OR=0.382,95％CI=0.214-0.682,P=0.001),the location of the abdominal auxiliary incision(OR=2.992,95％CI=1.278-7.006,P=0.007)and ligation location of inferior mesenteric artery(OR=3.784,95％CI=1.624-8.815,P=0.001)as influencing factors for POGD in LRR patients.The ROC curve showed that the predictive model constructed using these factors had an area under the curve(AUC)of 0.905,indicating good predictive performance.The H-L goodness-of-fit test showed no significant difference between the predicted and observed values(P＞0.05),indicating good calibration ability.Conclusion Age,smoking history,preoperative Alb level,dexmedetomidine combined with general anesthesia,the location of the abdominal auxiliary incision and ligation location of inferior mesenteric artery are influencing factors for POGD in LRR patients.The predictive model constructed based on these factors has good predictive value and calibration ability,providing a basis for targeted prevention and treatment to reduce the risk of POGD.

OBJECTIVE: To investigate the spatiotemporal patterns and socioeconomic factors influencing the incidence of tuberculosis (TB) in the Guangdong Province between 2010 and 2019. METHOD: Spatial and temporal variations in TB incidence were mapped using heat maps and hierarchical clustering. Socioenvironmental influencing factors were evaluated using a Bayesian spatiotemporal conditional autoregressive (ST-CAR) model. RESULTS: Annual incidence of TB in Guangdong decreased from 91.85/100,000 in 2010 to 53.06/100,000 in 2019. Spatial hotspots were found in northeastern Guangdong, particularly in Heyuan, Shanwei, and Shantou, while Shenzhen, Dongguan, and Foshan had the lowest rates in the Pearl River Delta. The ST-CAR model showed that the TB risk was lower with higher per capita Gross Domestic Product (GDP) [Relative Risk ( RR), 0.91; 95% Confidence Interval ( CI): 0.86-0.98], more the ratio of licensed physicians and physician ( RR, 0.94; 95% CI: 0.90-0.98), and higher per capita public expenditure ( RR, 0.94; 95% CI: 0.90-0.97), with a marginal effect of population density ( RR, 0.86; 95% CI: 0.86-1.00). CONCLUSION The incidence of TB in Guangdong varies spatially and temporally. Areas with poor economic conditions and insufficient healthcare resources are at an increased risk of TB infection. Strategies focusing on equitable health resource distribution and economic development are the key to TB control.
Humans ; China/epidemiology* ; Incidence ; Bayes Theorem ; Spatio-Temporal Analysis ; Tuberculosis/epidemiology* ; Socioeconomic Factors

OBJECTIVE: This study aimed to explore the association between body mass index (BMI) and mortality based on the 10-year population-based multicenter prospective study. METHODS: A general population-based multicenter prospective study was conducted at four sites in rural China between 2013 and 2023. Multivariate Cox proportional hazards models and restricted cubic spline analyses were used to assess the association between BMI and mortality. Stratified analyses were performed based on the individual characteristics of the participants. RESULTS: Overall, 19,107 participants with a sum of 163,095 person-years were included and 1,910 participants died. The underweight (< 18.5 kg/m ²) presented an increase in all-cause mortality (adjusted hazards ratio [ aHR] = 2.00, 95% confidence interval [ CI]: 1.66-2.41), while overweight (≥ 24.0 to < 28.0 kg/m ²) and obesity (≥ 28.0 kg/m ²) presented a decrease with an aHR of 0.61 (95% CI: 0.52-0.73) and 0.51 (95% CI: 0.37-0.70), respectively. Overweight ( aHR = 0.76, 95% CI: 0.67-0.86) and mild obesity ( aHR = 0.72, 95% CI: 0.59-0.87) had a positive impact on mortality in people older than 60 years. All-cause mortality decreased rapidly until reaching a BMI of 25.7 kg/m ² ( aHR = 0.95, 95% CI: 0.92-0.98) and increased slightly above that value, indicating a U-shaped association. The beneficial impact of being overweight on mortality was robust in most subgroups and sensitivity analyses. CONCLUSION This study provides additional evidence that overweight and mild obesity may be inversely related to the risk of death in individuals older than 60 years. Therefore, it is essential to consider age differences when formulating health and weight management strategies.
Humans ; Body Mass Index ; China/epidemiology* ; Male ; Female ; Middle Aged ; Prospective Studies ; Rural Population/statistics & numerical data* ; Aged ; Follow-Up Studies ; Adult ; Mortality ; Cause of Death ; Obesity/mortality* ; Overweight/mortality*

Objective:To analyze pancreatic cancer incidence and mortality data in China and worldwide and to provide data for pancreatic cancer prevention and control efforts.Methods:Data of pancreatic cancer incidence and mortality rates, along with historical and predictive data, were obtained from the GLOBOCAN 2022 database. Epidemiological characteristics of pancreatic cancer was analyzed by region, sex, age and Human Development Index (HDI). Spearman's correlation coefficient test was used to assess the relationship between HDI and age-standardized incidence rate (ASIR) and age-standardized mortality rate (ASMR).Results:In 2022, the global number of new cases and deaths of pancreatic cancer will be 511 thousand and 467 thousand, respectively, with an ASIR and ASMR of 4.7/10 5 and 4.2/10 5, respectively. North America and Europe had the highest pancreatic cancer incidence and mortality rates of 8.5/10 5 and 7.3/10 5, respectively. Global ASIR and ASMR in men were both 1.4 times higher than those in women. HDI levels were positively correlated with ASIR ( r=0.79, P＜0.001) and ASMR ( r=0.78, P＜0.001) of pancreatic cancer in all regions. The number of pancreatic cancer cases and deaths in China were 119 thousand and 106 thousand, respectively, while the ASIR and ASMR of pancreatic cancer were 4.4/10 5 and 3.9/10 5, respectively. Both ASIR and ASMR in men were both 1.5 times higher than those in women in China. The number of pancreatic cancer incidence and death cases in China in 2050 is predicted to be 216 thousand and 204 thousand cases, with an increase of 81.5% and 92.5% compared with 2022, respectively. Conclusions:The disease burden of pancreatic cancer varies significantly among different regions, genders and ages. Pancreatic cancer incidence and mortality are positively correlated with HDI. The incidence and mortality rates of pancreatic cancer in China are close to the global average, but the number of new cases and deaths is high. Prevention and control should be strengthened to improve the survival of pancreatic cancer patients.

Objective:To investigate the clinical efficacy and safety of venetoclax(VEN)in combination with hypomethylating agent(HMA)in the treatment of patients with high-risk myelodysplastic syndromes(MDS).Methods:A total of 30 patients with high-risk MDS who received the combination of VEN and HMA from March 2019 to November 2022 were included.The overall response rate(ORR),modified overall response rate(mORR),overall survival(OS),progression-free survival(PFS),and adverse events of all included patients were evaluated.Results:Among the 30 high-risk MDS patients treated with VEN combined with HMA regimen,24 cases achieved complete response(CR)/marrow complete response(mCR),2 cases achieved partial response(PR),the ORR was 24/30,the median OS was 28.1 months,and the median PFS was 28.1 months.In addition,patients who achieved complete remission/marrow complete remission after treatment had a significantly longer OS than those who did not.Moreover,12 patients were treated with allogeneic hematopoietic stem cell transplantation(allo-HSCT).There were grade 3 or higher hematologic adverse events including thrombocytopenia(14 cases),neutropenia(14 cases),febrile neutropenia(10 cases)and anemia(7 cases)as well as gastrointestinal adverse events of any grade,such as vomiting(7 cases),diarrhea(5 cases),and constipation(4 cases).Conclusion:VEN in combination with HMA is an effective and safe treatment option in patients with high-risk MDS.This regimen combined with allo-HSCT can improve the prognosis of these patients.Continuous attention to the monitoring and management of adverse events is essential for the patients'safety in this combination therapy.

Objective:To analyze the incidence trends of malignant tumors in the elderly population aged over 60 years in Qidong City from 1972 to 2021, as well as to predict the incidence rate for the next decade.Methods:Data were obtained from the Qidong Cancer Registry and Reporting System.The crude incidence rate(CR), age-standardized incidence rate using the Chinese standard population(ASRC), and age-standardized incidence rate based on Segi's world standard population(ASRW)were calculated.Joinpoint regression analysis was conducted using Joinpoint 4.9.1.0 software to determine the average annual percentage change(AAPC)in incidence.Additionally, the ARIMA model implemented in SAS 9.2 software was utilized for time series analysis to forecast incidence trends over the forthcoming 10 years.Results:In Qidong City, a total of 87, 401 malignant tumors were reported in the elderly population.The ASRW increased from 736.85 per 100, 000 in the years 1972-1976 to 1 056.33 per 100, 000 in 2017-2021.Specifically, the ASRW for males rose from 968.56 per 100, 000 to 1 332.75 per 100, 000, while the ASRW for females increased from 550.62 per 100, 000 to 825.44 per 100, 000, with AAPC values of 1.16%, 0.94%, and 1.44% over 50 years(all P<0.001).The incidence trend exhibited an upward trajectory with age, peaking in the 75-79 age group.The AAPC values for the incidence rates in the age groups of 60-64, 65-69, 70-74, 75-79, and those aged over 80 were 0.64%, 0.93%, 0.92%, 2.02%, and 2.44%, respectively(all P<0.001).Among the various cancers, lung cancer, which ranked first, saw an increase in ASRW from 100.87 per 100, 000 in 1972-1981 to 248.84 per 100, 000 in 2012-2021.In contrast, gastric cancer, ranked second, decreased from 216.23 per 100, 000 in 1972-1981 to 103.54 per 100, 000 in 2012-2021.Liver cancer, ranked third, fluctuated from 113.47 per 100, 000 in 1972-1981 to 125.13 per 100, 000 in 2012-2021.Colorectal cancer, ranked fourth, increased from 40.06 per 100, 000 in 1972-1981 to 123.47 per 100, 000 in 2012-2021, while esophageal cancer, ranked fifth, decreased from 63.42 per 100, 000 in 1972-1981 to 28.65 per 100, 000 in 2012-2021.The AAPC values over 50 years for these cancers were 2.25%, -1.89%, 0.36%, 3.13%, and -1.86%, respectively(all P<0.05).Projections indicate that by 2031, the incidence of malignant tumors among the elderly population in Qidong will reach 1 253.84 per 100, 000, with estimates of 1 566.67 per 100, 000 for males and 983.14 per 100, 000 for females. Conclusions:The incidence of malignant tumors among the elderly population in Qidong City is increasing.Common types of cancer in this demographic include lung cancer, gastric cancer, liver cancer, colorectal cancer, and esophageal cancer.Notably, lung cancer, liver cancer, and colorectal cancer are on the rise and should be prioritized in cancer prevention and control efforts.