1.Structure, content and data standardization of rehabilitation medical records
Yaru YANG ; Zhuoying QIU ; Di CHEN ; Zhongyan WANG ; Meng ZHANG ; Shiyong WU ; Yaoguang ZHANG ; Xiaoxie LIU ; Yanyan YANG ; Bin ZENG ; Mouwang ZHOU ; Yuxiao XIE ; Guangxu XU ; Jiejiao ZHENG ; Mingsheng ZHANG ; Xiangming YE ; Jian YANG ; Na AN ; Yuanjun DONG ; Xiaojia XIN ; Xiangxia REN ; Ye LIU ; Yifan TIAN
Chinese Journal of Rehabilitation Theory and Practice 2025;31(1):21-32
ObjectiveTo elucidate the critical role of rehabilitation medical records (including electronic records) in rehabilitation medicine's clinical practice and management, comprehensively analyzed the structure, core content and data standards of rehabilitation medical records, to develop a standardized medical record data architecture and core dataset suitable for rehabilitation medicine and to explore the application of rehabilitation data in performance evaluation and payment. MethodsBased on the regulatory documents Basic Specifications for Medical Record Writing and Basic Specifications for Electronic Medical Records (Trial) issued by National Health Commission of China, and referencing the World Health Organization (WHO) Family of International Classifications (WHO-FICs) classifications, International Classification of Diseases (ICD-10/ICD-11), International Classification of Functioning, Disability and Health (ICF), and International Classification of Health Interventions (ICHI Beta-3), this study constructed the data architecture, core content and data standards for rehabilitation medical records. Furthermore, it explored the application of rehabilitation record summary sheets (home page) data in rehabilitation medical statistics and payment methods, including Diagnosis-related Groups (DRG), Diagnosis-Intervention Packet (DIP) and Case Mix Index. ResultsThis study proposed a systematic standard framework for rehabilitation medical records, covering key components such as patient demographics, rehabilitation diagnosis, functional assessment, rehabilitation treatment prescriptions, progress evaluations and discharge summaries. The research analyzed the systematic application methods and data standards of ICD-10/ICD-11, ICF and ICHI Beta-3 in the fields of medical record terminology, coding and assessment. Constructing a standardized data structure and data standards for rehabilitation medical records can significantly improve the quality of data reporting based on the medical record summary sheet, thereby enhancing the quality control of rehabilitation services, effectively supporting the optimization of rehabilitation medical insurance payment mechanisms, and contributing to the establishment of rehabilitation medical performance evaluation and payment based on DRG and DIP. ConclusionStructured rehabilitation records and data standardization are crucial tools for quality control in rehabilitation. Systematically applying the three reference classifications of the WHO-FICs, and aligning with national medical record and electronic health record specifications, facilitate the development of a standardized rehabilitation record architecture and core dataset. Standardizing rehabilitation care pathways based on the ICF methodology, and developing ICF- and ICD-11-based rehabilitation assessment tools, auxiliary diagnostic and therapeutic systems, and supporting terminology and coding systems, can effectively enhance the quality of rehabilitation records and enable interoperability and sharing of rehabilitation data with other medical data, ultimately improving the quality and safety of rehabilitation services.
2.Epidemiological characteristics and spatiotemporal aggregation of dengue fever in Fujian Province,2011-2023
Mei-rong ZHAN ; Can-ming ZHANG ; Shao-jian CAI ; Zhong-hang XIE ; Sheng-gen WU ; Wu CHEN ; Jian-ming OU ; Wen-jing YE
Chinese Journal of Zoonoses 2025;41(2):200-207
The epidemiological and spatiotemporal clustering characteristics of dengue fever in Fujian Province were ana-lyzed,to provide a scientific basis for dengue fever prevention and control.Descriptive epidemiology,spatial autocorrelation a-nalysis,and spatiotemporal scanning were used to analyze dengue fever cases in Fujian Province from 2011 to 2023.In this peri-od,a total of 3 586 cases of dengue fever were reported in Fujian Province,including 2 360 local cases,1 134 imported cases from abroad,and 92 imported cases from China.Cases were reported in ten prefectures and cities of the province,and 81 out of 88 counties reported cases.Imported cases were reported throughout the year in Fujian Province,but the occurrence of local ca-ses showed clear seasonality.Local cases and domestic imports were concentrated in August to October,whereas overseas im-ports occurred primarily from June to October.The imported cases were mainly from Southeast Asian countries,but a trend of spreading from Southeast Asian countries to South Asia,Africa,the Americas,and other regions,was observed.Spatio-tem-poral clustering of dengue fever was found in Fujian Province(Moran's I value 0.14-0.66,P<0.05),and the high-high ag-gregation areas were distributed primarily in Fuzhou,Quanzhou,and Putian.Spatio-temporal scanning detected three aggrega-tion areas:one main and two secondary.The aggregation time was from the end of July to October,and the distribution was primarily in Fuzhou,Quanzhou,Putian,Zhangzhou,and Xiamen.The distribution of dengue fever in Fujian Province showed clear spatial and temporal clustering from the end of July to October,and the distribution was primarily in Fuzhou,Quanzhou,Putian,Zhangzhou,and Xiamen.For high concentration areas,national health campaigns,mosquito prevention and control,epidemic surveillance,medical personnel training,and other relevant measures could be carried out in advance before local cases appear every year.Reduce local transmission of dengue fever due to importation.
3.Finite element analysis of the influence of intra-articular impacted fragment area and volume on joint contact stress in ankle fractures
Wenyong XIE ; Qingpeng SONG ; Yuan LIU ; Qing LIU ; Jian LIU ; Guanglei CAO ; Ye HUANG
Chinese Journal of Orthopaedics 2025;45(16):1066-1071
Objective:To explore the effect of the defect area and volume of intra-articular impacted fragments (IAIF) on the contact stress of the ankle joint surface.Methods:A 23-year-old male volunteer, 168 cm in height and 60 kg in weight, with no history of trauma or anatomic abnormality of the ankle, was selected. On the basis of a normal ankle finite-element model, IAIF-defect finite-element models were established. The first group consisted of IAIF-defect models with identical area but different volumes: on the distal tibial articular surface the defect area was 4 mm × 5 mm (20 mm 2), and the heights were 2 mm, 3 mm, 4 mm, 5 mm and 6 mm. The second group consisted of IAIF-defect models with identical defect volume but different areas. The defect volume was 90 mm 3, while the defect areas on the distal tibial articular surface were 2 mm×3 mm, 3 mm×3 mm, 3 mm×5 mm, 3 mm×6 mm, and 5 mm×6 mm, with corresponding heights of 15 mm, 10 mm, 6 mm, 5 mm, and 3 mm. Under a 600 N vertical load the contact stress of the ankle joint was calculated, and the finite-element data were recorded and analyzed. Pearson correlation analysis was used to analyze, separately for the two groups, the correlation between IAIF defect and the maximum contact stress (MCS) of the distal tibial articular surface, and simple linear regression analysis was performed to obtain regression equations. Equivalence zero testing was used to verify the correlations and to compare their differences. Results:For IAIF defects with the same area but different volumes, including 4 mm×5 mm×2 mm, 4 mm×5 mm×3 mm, 4 mm×5 mm×4 mm, 4 mm×5 mm×5 mm, and 4 mm× 5 mm×6 mm, the corresponding maximum contact stress (MCS) on the distal tibial joint surface were 3.846 MPa, 3.839 MPa, 3.835 MPa, 3.833 MPa, and 3.831 MPa, respectively, with an average of 3.837 MPa. The mean ±1% range is from 3.799 MPa to 3.875 MPa. The correlation analysis showed that the IAIF defects with the same area but different volumes were negatively correlated with contact stress ( r=-0.956, P=0.011). The linear regression equation was MCS=-0.0002×VI+3.851, where VI denotes IAIF volume. Equivalence zero testing confirmed that all measured values lay within the predefined ±1 % margin, satisfying the equivalence null hypothesis. For IAIF defects of identical volume (90 mm 3) but varying articular surface areas—2 mm×3 mm, 3 mm×3 mm, 3 mm×5 mm, 3 mm×6 mm and 5 mm×6 mm—the corresponding MCS values were 2.147 MPa, 2.812 MPa, 3.622 MPa, 4.476 MPa and 6.186 MPa, respectively (mean 3.849 MPa; equivalence band 3.811-3.887 MPa at ±1% of the mean). Correlation analysis demonstrated a strong positive relationship between identical-volume varying-area IAIF defects and contact stress ( r=0.996, P<0.001). The linear regression equation was MCS=0.168×AI+1.236, where AI denotes IAIF area. Equivalence zero testing indicated that none of the measured values fell within the predefined ±1% margin, failing to satisfy the equivalence null hypothesis. Conclusion:In posterior ankle fractures, the volume change of IAIF defects has no clinical significance in relation to MCS, showing a small negative correlation. However, the area change of IAIF defects is clinically significant in relation to MCS, demonstrating a larger positive correlation.
4.Anti-cancer and anti-inflammatory effects of flavan-4-ol and flavan glycosides from the roots of Pronephrium penangianum.
Feibing HUANG ; Yong YANG ; Qingling XIE ; Hanwen YUAN ; Muhammad AAMER ; Yuqing JIAN ; Ye ZHANG ; Wei WANG
Chinese Journal of Natural Medicines (English Ed.) 2025;23(5):593-603
Five new flavan-4-ol glycosides jixueqiosides A-E (1-5) and two new flavan glycosides jixueqiosides F and G (6 and 7), along with twelve known flavan-4-ol glycosides (8-19), were isolated from the roots of Pronephrium penangianum. Comprehensive spectral analyses, X-ray single-crystal diffraction, and theoretical electronic circular dichroism (ECD) calculations established structures and absolute configurations. A single crystal structure of flavan-4-ol glycoside (14) was reported for the first time, while the characteristic ECD and NMR data for all isolated flavan-4-ol glycosides (1-5 , 8-19) were analyzed, establishing a set of empirical rules. Activity screening of these isolates showed that 8 and 9 could inhibit the proliferation of MDA-MB-231 and MCF-7 cells with IC50 values of 7.93 ? 2.85 ?mol?L-1 and 5.87 ? 1.58 ?mol?L-1 (MDA-MB-231), and 2.21 ? 1.38 ?mol?L-1 and 3.52 ? 1.55 ?mol?L-1 (MCF-7), respectively. Western blotting and flow cytometry analyses demonstrated that 8 and 9 dose-dependently induced apoptosis in MDA-MB-231 cells by up-regulating BAX, activating caspase-3 and down-regulating BCL-2. Additionally, compound 8 affected autophagy-related proteins, increasing the ratio of LC3-II/LC3-I and Beclin-1 levels to inhibit MDA-MB-231 cell proliferation. Moreover, anti-inflammatory studies indicated that 2, 3, 7, 13, 14, and 18 moderately inhibited tumor necrosis factor-a (TNF-a), interleukin-6 (IL-6), and nitric oxide (NO) release.
Humans
;
Plant Roots/chemistry*
;
Glycosides/isolation & purification*
;
Anti-Inflammatory Agents/isolation & purification*
;
Flavonoids/isolation & purification*
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Cell Proliferation/drug effects*
;
Antineoplastic Agents, Phytogenic/isolation & purification*
;
Molecular Structure
;
Apoptosis/drug effects*
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Cell Line, Tumor
;
Tumor Necrosis Factor-alpha/immunology*
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Drugs, Chinese Herbal/pharmacology*
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Interleukin-6/immunology*
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Animals
;
Mice
5.Develop and assessment of a predictive model for the first-course efficacy of acute myeloid leukemia
Feng ZHU ; Yile ZHOU ; Yi ZHANG ; Liping MAO ; De ZHOU ; Liya MA ; Chunmei YANG ; Wenjuan YU ; Xingnong YE ; Juying WEI ; Haitao MENG ; Min YANG ; Wenyuan MAI ; Jiejing QIAN ; Yanling REN ; Yinjun LOU ; Jian HUANG ; Gaixiang XU ; Wanzhuo XIE ; Hongyan TONG ; Huafeng WANG ; Jie JIN
Chinese Journal of Hematology 2025;46(4):336-342
Objective:To identify the relevant factors for the first-course remission of acute myeloid leukemia (AML) and to develop a predictive model as well as assess its predictive capability.Methods:Clinical data of 749 patients newly diagnosed with AML admitted to the Department of Hematology, the First Affiliated Hospital, Zhejiang University, School of Medicine from January 1, 2019, to April 30, 2023, were collected and randomly divided into training and validation sets. Multivariate logistic regression analysis was conducted to determine variables associated with complete remission in the first course of induction therapy, and a predictive model was established based on these variables. The receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve of the predictive model was plotted, and the area under the curve (AUC) was calculated.Results:The indicators predicting the first remission course included peripheral blood white blood cell count during onset, CBF::MYH11 fusion gene, CEBPA bZIP region mutation, myelodysplastic syndrome-related gene mutation, and induction chemotherapy regimen selection as independent factors for the first remission course. The model’s area under the training and validation curves was 0.738 (95% CI: 0.696-0.780) and 0.726 (95% CI: 0.650-0.801), respectively. The Hosmer-Lemeshow test results yielded P-values of 0.993 and 0.335, respectively. Conclusion:In this study, the developed model demonstrates a strong predictive capability for the efficacy of the first course of patients with AML, providing valuable guidance to clinicians in assessing patient prognosis and selecting appropriate treatment strategies.
6.Finite element analysis of the influence of intra-articular impacted fragment area and volume on joint contact stress in ankle fractures
Wenyong XIE ; Qingpeng SONG ; Yuan LIU ; Qing LIU ; Jian LIU ; Guanglei CAO ; Ye HUANG
Chinese Journal of Orthopaedics 2025;45(16):1066-1071
Objective:To explore the effect of the defect area and volume of intra-articular impacted fragments (IAIF) on the contact stress of the ankle joint surface.Methods:A 23-year-old male volunteer, 168 cm in height and 60 kg in weight, with no history of trauma or anatomic abnormality of the ankle, was selected. On the basis of a normal ankle finite-element model, IAIF-defect finite-element models were established. The first group consisted of IAIF-defect models with identical area but different volumes: on the distal tibial articular surface the defect area was 4 mm × 5 mm (20 mm 2), and the heights were 2 mm, 3 mm, 4 mm, 5 mm and 6 mm. The second group consisted of IAIF-defect models with identical defect volume but different areas. The defect volume was 90 mm 3, while the defect areas on the distal tibial articular surface were 2 mm×3 mm, 3 mm×3 mm, 3 mm×5 mm, 3 mm×6 mm, and 5 mm×6 mm, with corresponding heights of 15 mm, 10 mm, 6 mm, 5 mm, and 3 mm. Under a 600 N vertical load the contact stress of the ankle joint was calculated, and the finite-element data were recorded and analyzed. Pearson correlation analysis was used to analyze, separately for the two groups, the correlation between IAIF defect and the maximum contact stress (MCS) of the distal tibial articular surface, and simple linear regression analysis was performed to obtain regression equations. Equivalence zero testing was used to verify the correlations and to compare their differences. Results:For IAIF defects with the same area but different volumes, including 4 mm×5 mm×2 mm, 4 mm×5 mm×3 mm, 4 mm×5 mm×4 mm, 4 mm×5 mm×5 mm, and 4 mm× 5 mm×6 mm, the corresponding maximum contact stress (MCS) on the distal tibial joint surface were 3.846 MPa, 3.839 MPa, 3.835 MPa, 3.833 MPa, and 3.831 MPa, respectively, with an average of 3.837 MPa. The mean ±1% range is from 3.799 MPa to 3.875 MPa. The correlation analysis showed that the IAIF defects with the same area but different volumes were negatively correlated with contact stress ( r=-0.956, P=0.011). The linear regression equation was MCS=-0.0002×VI+3.851, where VI denotes IAIF volume. Equivalence zero testing confirmed that all measured values lay within the predefined ±1 % margin, satisfying the equivalence null hypothesis. For IAIF defects of identical volume (90 mm 3) but varying articular surface areas—2 mm×3 mm, 3 mm×3 mm, 3 mm×5 mm, 3 mm×6 mm and 5 mm×6 mm—the corresponding MCS values were 2.147 MPa, 2.812 MPa, 3.622 MPa, 4.476 MPa and 6.186 MPa, respectively (mean 3.849 MPa; equivalence band 3.811-3.887 MPa at ±1% of the mean). Correlation analysis demonstrated a strong positive relationship between identical-volume varying-area IAIF defects and contact stress ( r=0.996, P<0.001). The linear regression equation was MCS=0.168×AI+1.236, where AI denotes IAIF area. Equivalence zero testing indicated that none of the measured values fell within the predefined ±1% margin, failing to satisfy the equivalence null hypothesis. Conclusion:In posterior ankle fractures, the volume change of IAIF defects has no clinical significance in relation to MCS, showing a small negative correlation. However, the area change of IAIF defects is clinically significant in relation to MCS, demonstrating a larger positive correlation.
7.The Valvular Heart Disease-specific Age-adjusted Comorbidity Index (VHD-ACI) score in patients with moderate or severe valvular heart disease.
Mu-Rong XIE ; Bin ZHANG ; Yun-Qing YE ; Zhe LI ; Qing-Rong LIU ; Zhen-Yan ZHAO ; Jun-Xing LV ; De-Jing FENG ; Qing-Hao ZHAO ; Hai-Tong ZHANG ; Zhen-Ya DUAN ; Bin-Cheng WANG ; Shuai GUO ; Yan-Yan ZHAO ; Run-Lin GAO ; Hai-Yan XU ; Yong-Jian WU
Journal of Geriatric Cardiology 2025;22(9):759-774
BACKGROUND:
Based on the China-VHD database, this study sought to develop and validate a Valvular Heart Disease- specific Age-adjusted Comorbidity Index (VHD-ACI) for predicting mortality risk in patients with VHD.
METHODS & RESULTS:
The China-VHD study was a nationwide, multi-centre multi-centre cohort study enrolling 13,917 patients with moderate or severe VHD across 46 medical centres in China between April-June 2018. After excluding cases with missing key variables, 11,459 patients were retained for final analysis. The primary endpoint was 2-year all-cause mortality, with 941 deaths (10.0%) observed during follow-up. The VHD-ACI was derived after identifying 13 independent mortality predictors: cardiomyopathy, myocardial infarction, chronic obstructive pulmonary disease, pulmonary artery hypertension, low body weight, anaemia, hypoalbuminaemia, renal insufficiency, moderate/severe hepatic dysfunction, heart failure, cancer, NYHA functional class and age. The index exhibited good discrimination (AUC, 0.79) and calibration (Brier score, 0.062) in the total cohort, outperforming both EuroSCORE II and ACCI (P < 0.001 for comparison). Internal validation through 100 bootstrap iterations yielded a C statistic of 0.694 (95% CI: 0.665-0.723) for 2-year mortality prediction. VHD-ACI scores, as a continuous variable (VHD-ACI score: adjusted HR (95% CI): 1.263 (1.245-1.282), P < 0.001) or categorized using thresholds determined by the Yoden index (VHD-ACI ≥ 9 vs. < 9, adjusted HR (95% CI): 6.216 (5.378-7.184), P < 0.001), were independently associated with mortality. The prognostic performance remained consistent across all VHD subtypes (aortic stenosis, aortic regurgitation, mitral stenosis, mitral regurgitation, tricuspid valve disease, mixed aortic/mitral valve disease and multiple VHD), and clinical subgroups stratified by therapeutic strategy, LVEF status (preserved vs. reduced), disease severity and etiology.
CONCLUSION
The VHD-ACI is a simple 13-comorbidity algorithm for the prediction of mortality in VHD patients and providing a simple and rapid tool for risk stratification.
8.Quantification of Atmospheric Total Reactive Nitrogen Oxides by Thermal Decomposition-Broadband Cavity Enhanced Absorption Spectroscopy
Dou SHAO ; Min QIN ; Wu FANG ; Bao-Bin HAN ; Ke TANG ; Jian-Ye XIE ; Xia-Dan ZHAO ; Zhi-Tang LIAO ; En-Bo REN
Chinese Journal of Analytical Chemistry 2025;53(3):387-396
Nitrogen oxides(NOx=NO+NO2)are important precursors of ozone(O3),and NOx and its oxides together constitute reactive nitrogen oxides(NOy)in the atmosphere.A comprehensive understanding of the total NOy level in the atmosphere is of great significance for a deeper understanding of the atmospheric nitrogen cycle and oxidation,as well as for formulating strategies for air pollution prevention and control.In this work,a thermal decomposition-broadband cavity enhanced absorption spectroscopy(TD-BBCEAS)technique for online measurement of total NOy in the atmosphere was developed.With this method,the NOy was efficiently converted into NO2,and the total NOy concentration in the atmosphere was indirectly obtained by measuring NO2.Focusing on the key factors affecting the measurement of total NOy,the influence of NO titration efficiency and other NOy component TD efficiency on measurement accuracy was emphasized.By changing the oxygen(O2)flow rate through the mercury lamp to alter the O3 concentration for titrating NO,the conversion efficiency of NO was evaluated.At O2 flow rate of 6 mL/min,the conversion efficiency of NO was greater than 99%.TD efficiency testing and analysis on NO2,peroxyacetyl nitrate(PAN),nitric acid(HNO3),and nitrous acid(HONO),which account for a large proportion of atmospheric NOy components,was carried out using 680℃as the optimal TD temperature for efficient conversion of NOy.With NO and HONO sample gases as typical verification gases,the conversion efficiency of NOy and the accuracy of NOy measurement by TD-BBCEAS system were verified by switching the on and off modes of mercury lamp and TD device.At integration time of 60 s,the detection limit of the system for NOy was 2.83×1010 molecules/cm3(60 s,2σ).A comparative measurement of actual atmospheric NOy was conducted between the TD-BBCEAS system and the NOy analyzer.The observation results showed a correlation coefficient(R2)of 0.98 and a slope of 0.93,further verifying the feasibility and accuracy of applying the TD-BBCEAS system to measurement of total NOy.
9.Epidemiological characteristics and spatiotemporal aggregation of dengue fever in Fujian Province,2011-2023
Mei-rong ZHAN ; Can-ming ZHANG ; Shao-jian CAI ; Zhong-hang XIE ; Sheng-gen WU ; Wu CHEN ; Jian-ming OU ; Wen-jing YE
Chinese Journal of Zoonoses 2025;41(2):200-207
The epidemiological and spatiotemporal clustering characteristics of dengue fever in Fujian Province were ana-lyzed,to provide a scientific basis for dengue fever prevention and control.Descriptive epidemiology,spatial autocorrelation a-nalysis,and spatiotemporal scanning were used to analyze dengue fever cases in Fujian Province from 2011 to 2023.In this peri-od,a total of 3 586 cases of dengue fever were reported in Fujian Province,including 2 360 local cases,1 134 imported cases from abroad,and 92 imported cases from China.Cases were reported in ten prefectures and cities of the province,and 81 out of 88 counties reported cases.Imported cases were reported throughout the year in Fujian Province,but the occurrence of local ca-ses showed clear seasonality.Local cases and domestic imports were concentrated in August to October,whereas overseas im-ports occurred primarily from June to October.The imported cases were mainly from Southeast Asian countries,but a trend of spreading from Southeast Asian countries to South Asia,Africa,the Americas,and other regions,was observed.Spatio-tem-poral clustering of dengue fever was found in Fujian Province(Moran's I value 0.14-0.66,P<0.05),and the high-high ag-gregation areas were distributed primarily in Fuzhou,Quanzhou,and Putian.Spatio-temporal scanning detected three aggrega-tion areas:one main and two secondary.The aggregation time was from the end of July to October,and the distribution was primarily in Fuzhou,Quanzhou,Putian,Zhangzhou,and Xiamen.The distribution of dengue fever in Fujian Province showed clear spatial and temporal clustering from the end of July to October,and the distribution was primarily in Fuzhou,Quanzhou,Putian,Zhangzhou,and Xiamen.For high concentration areas,national health campaigns,mosquito prevention and control,epidemic surveillance,medical personnel training,and other relevant measures could be carried out in advance before local cases appear every year.Reduce local transmission of dengue fever due to importation.
10.Develop and assessment of a predictive model for the first-course efficacy of acute myeloid leukemia
Feng ZHU ; Yile ZHOU ; Yi ZHANG ; Liping MAO ; De ZHOU ; Liya MA ; Chunmei YANG ; Wenjuan YU ; Xingnong YE ; Juying WEI ; Haitao MENG ; Min YANG ; Wenyuan MAI ; Jiejing QIAN ; Yanling REN ; Yinjun LOU ; Jian HUANG ; Gaixiang XU ; Wanzhuo XIE ; Hongyan TONG ; Huafeng WANG ; Jie JIN
Chinese Journal of Hematology 2025;46(4):336-342
Objective:To identify the relevant factors for the first-course remission of acute myeloid leukemia (AML) and to develop a predictive model as well as assess its predictive capability.Methods:Clinical data of 749 patients newly diagnosed with AML admitted to the Department of Hematology, the First Affiliated Hospital, Zhejiang University, School of Medicine from January 1, 2019, to April 30, 2023, were collected and randomly divided into training and validation sets. Multivariate logistic regression analysis was conducted to determine variables associated with complete remission in the first course of induction therapy, and a predictive model was established based on these variables. The receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve of the predictive model was plotted, and the area under the curve (AUC) was calculated.Results:The indicators predicting the first remission course included peripheral blood white blood cell count during onset, CBF::MYH11 fusion gene, CEBPA bZIP region mutation, myelodysplastic syndrome-related gene mutation, and induction chemotherapy regimen selection as independent factors for the first remission course. The model’s area under the training and validation curves was 0.738 (95% CI: 0.696-0.780) and 0.726 (95% CI: 0.650-0.801), respectively. The Hosmer-Lemeshow test results yielded P-values of 0.993 and 0.335, respectively. Conclusion:In this study, the developed model demonstrates a strong predictive capability for the efficacy of the first course of patients with AML, providing valuable guidance to clinicians in assessing patient prognosis and selecting appropriate treatment strategies.

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