1.Comparison between sinking and floating fresh Rehmanniae Radix samples by UHPLC-Q-Orbitrap HRMS, fingerprinting, and chemometrics.
Shi-Long LIU ; Hong-Wei ZHANG ; Zhen-Ling ZHANG ; Han-Ting JIA ; Zhi-Jun GUO ; Rui-Sheng WANG ; Hong-Wei ZHANG ; Shuo WANG ; Yi-Jian ZHONG
China Journal of Chinese Materia Medica 2025;50(14):3918-3929
This study aims to explore the scientific connotation of sinking Rehmanniae Radix has the best quality and compare the quality between floating and sinking fresh Rehmanniae Radix samples. Ultra-performance liquid chromatography tandem quadrupole electrostatic field Orbitrap high-resolution mass spectrometry(UHPLC-Q-Orbitrap HRMS) was employed to detect the chemical components in floating and sinking fresh Rehmanniae Radix samples. The fingerprint of fresh Rehmanniae Radix was established by high performance liquid chromatography(HPLC), and four index components were determined simultaneously. The cluster analysis, principal component analysis(PCA), and orthogonal partial least squares-discriminant analysis(OPLS-DA) were conducted to compare the quality of floating and sinking fresh Rehmanniae Radix samples. An evaporative light-scattering detector was used to compare the content of five sugars. The extract yield and drying rate were determined, and the quality connotation of sinking Rehmanniae Radix has the best quality was explained by multiple indicators. A total of 41 components were preliminarily identified from fresh Rehmanniae Radix by UHPLC-Q-Orbitrap HRMS, including 7 iridoid glycosides, 9 phenylethanol glycosides, 6 amino acids, 4 sugars, 3 phenolic acids, 5 nucleosides, 3 organic acids, 1 ionone, 1 furan, 1 coumarin, and 1 phenylpropanoid. The results showed that the main chemical components were consistent between floating and sinking fresh Rehmanniae Radix. Nine common peaks were identified in the fingerprints of 15 batches of floating and sinking fresh Rehmanniae Radix samples, and the similarity of fingerprints was greater than 0.9. The cluster analysis, PCA, and OPLS-DA classified floating and sinking fresh Rehmanniae Radix sasmples into two categories, indicating differences in the quality between them. The total content of catalpol, rehmannioside D, ajugol, and verbascoside in sinking fresh Rehmanniae Radix samples was higher than that in floating samples of the same batch and specification, and the main differential component was catalpol. The total content of fructose, glucose, sucrose, raffinose, and stachyose in sinking fresh Rehmanniae Radix samples was higher than that in floating samples of the same batch and specification, and the main differential component was stachyose. The extract yield and drying rate of the sinking samples were higher than those of floating samples. This study preliminarily showed that floating and sinking fresh Rehmanniae Radix samples had the same components but great differences in the content of medicinal substance basis. The total content of four glycosides and five sugars, extract yield, and drying rate of sinking fresh Rehmanniae Radix samples is higher than that of floating samples of the same batch and specification. These findings, to a certain extent, explains the scientificity of sinking Rehmanniae Radix has the best quality recorded in ancient books and provide a reference for the quality control and clinical application of fresh Rehmanniae Radix.
Chromatography, High Pressure Liquid/methods*
;
Drugs, Chinese Herbal/chemistry*
;
Rehmannia/chemistry*
;
Chemometrics
;
Mass Spectrometry/methods*
;
Quality Control
;
Principal Component Analysis
;
Plant Extracts
2.Constructing core outcome set for clinical research on traditional Chinese medicine treatment of post-stroke aphasia.
Ya-Nan MA ; Min-Jie XU ; Yu-Ai YANG ; Jian CHEN ; Qiao-Sheng REN ; Ying LI ; Jing-Ling CHANG
China Journal of Chinese Materia Medica 2025;50(1):238-253
According to the principle and current domestic and international construction processes of core outcome set(COS) and the characteristics of post-stroke aphasia, this study built COS with evidence-based support for traditional Chinese medicine(TCM) treatment of post-stroke aphasia. Firstly, a comprehensive review was conducted on the articles about the TCM treatment of post-stroke aphasia that were published in the four major Chinese databases, three major English databases, and three clinical registration centers over the past five years. The articles were analyzed and summarized, on the basis of which the main part of the COS for clinical research on the TCM treatment of post-stroke aphasia was formed. Secondly, clinical doctors and related nursing personnel were interviewed, and important outcome indicators in the clinical diagnosis and treatment process were supplemented to form a pool of core outcome indicators. Two rounds of Delphi surveys were carried out to score the importance of the core outcome indicators in the pool. Finally, a consensus meeting of experts was held to establish the COS for clinical research on the TCM treatment of post-stroke aphasia. The final COS included a total of 268 studies [236 randomized controlled trials(RCTs), 21 Meta-analysis, and 11 clinical registration protocols] and 20 open questionnaire survey results. After two rounds of Delphi surveys, a total of 14 outcome indicators and their corresponding measurement tools were included in the expert consensus meeting. The final expert consensus meeting determined the COS for post-stroke aphasia, which included 9 indicator domains and 12 outcome indicators.
Humans
;
Aphasia/therapy*
;
Stroke/complications*
;
Medicine, Chinese Traditional
;
Drugs, Chinese Herbal/therapeutic use*
;
Treatment Outcome
3.Clinical trial of Morinda officinalis oligosaccharides in the continuation treatment of adults with mild and moderate depression
Shu-Zhe ZHOU ; Zu-Cheng HAN ; Xiu-Zhen WANG ; Yan-Qing CHEN ; Ya-Ling HU ; Xue-Qin YU ; Bin-Hong WANG ; Guo-Zhen FAN ; Hong SANG ; Ying HAI ; Zhi-Jie JIA ; Zhan-Min WANG ; Yan WEI ; Jian-Guo ZHU ; Xue-Qin SONG ; Zhi-Dong LIU ; Li KUANG ; Hong-Ming WANG ; Feng TIAN ; Yu-Xin LI ; Ling ZHANG ; Hai LIN ; Bin WU ; Chao-Ying WANG ; Chang LIU ; Jia-Fan SUN ; Shao-Xiao YAN ; Jun LIU ; Shou-Fu XIE ; Mao-Sheng FANG ; Wei-Feng MI ; Hong-Yan ZHANG
The Chinese Journal of Clinical Pharmacology 2024;40(6):815-819
Objective To observe the efficacy and safety of Morinda officinalis oligosaccharides in the continuation treatment of mild and moderate depression.Methods An open,single-arm,multi-center design was adopted in our study.Adult patients with mild and moderate depression who had received acute treatment of Morinda officinalis oligosaccharides were enrolled and continue to receive Morinda officinalis oligosaccharides capsules for 24 weeks,the dose remained unchanged during continuation treatment.The remission rate,recurrence rate,recurrence time,and the change from baseline to endpoint of Hamilton Depression Scale(HAMD),Hamilton Anxiety Scale(HAMA),Clinical Global Impression-Severity(CGI-S)and Arizona Sexual Experience Scale(ASEX)were evaluated.The incidence of treatment-related adverse events was reported.Results The scores of HAMD-17 at baseline and after treatment were 6.60±1.87 and 5.85±4.18,scores of HAMA were 6.36±3.02 and 4.93±3.09,scores of CGI-S were 1.49±0.56 and 1.29±0.81,scores of ASEX were 15.92±4.72 and 15.57±5.26,with significant difference(P<0.05).After continuation treatment,the remission rate was 54.59%(202 cases/370 cases),and the recurrence rate was 6.49%(24 cases/370 cases),the recurrence time was(64.67±42.47)days.The incidence of treatment-related adverse events was 15.35%(64 cases/417 cases).Conclusion Morinda officinalis oligosaccharides capsules can be effectively used for the continuation treatment of mild and moderate depression,and are well tolerated and safe.
4.Clinical Features and Prognosis of Acute T-cell Lymphoblastic Leukemia in Children——Multi-Center Data Analysis in Fujian
Chun-Ping WU ; Yong-Zhi ZHENG ; Jian LI ; Hong WEN ; Kai-Zhi WENG ; Shu-Quan ZHUANG ; Xing-Guo WU ; Xue-Ling HUA ; Hao ZHENG ; Zai-Sheng CHEN ; Shao-Hua LE
Journal of Experimental Hematology 2024;32(1):6-13
Objective:To evaluate the efficacy of acute T-cell lymphoblastic leukemia(T-ALL)in children and explore the prognostic risk factors.Methods:The clinical data of 127 newly diagnosed children with T-ALL admitted to five hospitals in Fujian province from April 2011 to December 2020 were retrospectively analyzed,and compared with children with newly diagnosed acute precursor B-cell lymphoblastic leukemia(B-ALL)in the same period.Kaplan-Meier analysis was used to evaluate the overall survival(OS)and event-free survival(EFS),and COX proportional hazard regression model was used to evaluate the prognostic factors.Among 116 children with T-ALL who received standard treatment,78 cases received the Chinese Childhood Leukemia Collaborative Group(CCLG)-ALL 2008 protocol(CCLG-ALL 2008 group),and 38 cases received the China Childhood Cancer Collaborative Group(CCCG)-ALL 2015 protocol(CCCG-ALL 2015 group).The efficacy and serious adverse event(SAE)incidence of the two groups were compared.Results:Proportion of male,age ≥ 10 years old,white blood cell count(WBC)≥ 50 × 109/L,central nervous system leukemia,minimal residual disease(MRD)≥ 1%during induction therapy,and MRD ≥ 0.01%at the end of induction in T-ALL children were significantly higher than those in B-ALL children(P<0.05).The expected 10-year EFS and OS of T-ALL were 59.7%and 66.0%,respectively,which were significantly lower than those of B-ALL(P<0.001).COX analysis showed that WBC ≥ 100 x 109/L at initial diagnosis and failure to achieve complete remission(CR)after induction were independent risk factors for poor prognosis.Compared with CCLG-ALL 2008 group,CCCG-ALL 2015 group had lower incidence of infection-related SAE(15.8%vs 34.6%,P=0.042),but higher EFS and OS(73.9%vs 57.2%,PEFS=0.090;86.5%vs 62.3%,PoS=0.023).Conclusions:The prognosis of children with T-ALL is worse than children with B-ALL.WBC ≥ 100 × 109/L at initial diagnosis and non-CR after induction(especially mediastinal mass has not disappeared)are the risk factors for poor prognosis.CCCG-ALL 2015 regimen may reduce infection-related SAE and improve efficacy.
5.Development of nanographene oxide as clinical drug carrier in cancer therapy
Chun-Lian ZHONG ; Chang-Jian FANG ; Gui-Yu ZHOU ; Hui-Ling ZHU ; Tang ZHENG ; Wan-Jing ZHUANG ; Jian LIU ; Yu-Sheng LU
Chinese Pharmacological Bulletin 2024;40(8):1413-1418
Immunotherapy is an important breakthrough in canc-er treatment.Unfortunately,low drug concentration in tumor sites almost ineffectively initiates immune responses and thereby severely limits immune therapy applications in clinics.Nanoma-terials are well-recognized drug delivery system in cancer thera-py.Nanographene oxide(NGO)have shown immense perti-nence for anti-cancer drug delivery owing to their ultra-high sur-face area,chemical stability,good biocompatibility and excel-lent photosensitivity.In addition,functionalized modifications on the surface of NGO increase tumor targeting and minimize cy-totoxicity.This study focuses on reviewing the literature and up-dates on NGO in drug delivery and discussing the possibilities and challenges of NGO in cancer synergetic therapy.
6.Raman Spectroscopy Combined with Partial Least Squares for Quantitative Analysis of Two Kinds of Microplastics in Water Samples
Jian-Ming DING ; Xin WANG ; Rong-Ling ZHANG ; Li-Yuan ZHOU ; Tian-Long ZHANG ; Hong-Sheng TANG ; Hua LI
Chinese Journal of Analytical Chemistry 2024;52(10):1581-1590
Microplastics(MPs)are emerging contaminants in aquatic environments characterized by their polar structure,small particle size(Typically less than 5 mm),large surface area,good stability,and resistance to biodegradation.They pose adverse effects on the normal physiological activities of aquatic organisms and can accumulate in biota,including humans.Therefore,there is an urgent need for rapid and accurate quantitative analysis of MPs in water environments.In this study,Raman spectroscopy combined with partial least squares(PLS)was employed for rapid and accurate quantitative analysis of polyethylene(PE)and polystyrene(PS)MPs in real water samples.Initially,33 simulated water samples containing different concentrations of MPs were prepared,and their Raman spectra were collected.Six spectral preprocessing methods(Normalization,multiplicative scatter correction,standard normal variate transformation,first derivative,second derivative,and wavelet transform)were investigated for their impact on the predictive performance of PLS calibration models.Subsequently,three variable selection methods including synergy interval partial least squares(SiPLS),variable importance in projection(VIP)and mutual information(MI)were employed to optimize the input variables of the PLS calibration model.The predictive capability of the PLS calibration model was evaluated and validated using leave-one-out cross-validation.Under the optimal conditions of spectral preprocessing,variable selection,input variables and latent variables,the wavelet transform-partial least squares(WT-PLS)calibration model based on distilled water was established,and the contents of PE and PS in real water samples were predicted with prediction correlation coefficients(R2p)of 0.9540 and 0.8472 for PE and PS,respectively,and prediction errors(Errorp)of 0.0690 and 0.1126,respectively.Furthermore,a mixed sample MI-PLS calibration model was developed,demonstrating the best predictive performance in real water samples(With R2p values of 0.9776 and 0.9755 for PE and PS,respectively,and Errorp values of 0.0360 and 0.0392,respectively).This method provided a novel approach and new methodology for quantitative analysis of MPs and other organic pollutants in real water samples.
7.Zhuanggu Jianxi Decoction reduces synovial tissue inflammation in human knee osteoarthritis by regulating LXRs/NF-κB signaling pathway.
Yan XIAO ; Jun LIU ; Peng CHEN ; Mei-Ling WANG ; Zhuo-Ming ZHENG ; Ying-Jie ZHANG ; Ting ZHANG ; Sheng-Jian WENG ; You-Xin SU ; Jie-Mei GUO
China Journal of Chinese Materia Medica 2024;49(23):6481-6489
This study aims to explore the mechanism of Zhuanggu Jianxi Decoction in reducing synovial tissue inflammation in human knee osteoarthritis(KOA) via the liver X receptors(LXRs)/nuclear factor(NF)-κB signaling pathway. The synovial tissue samples were collected from 5 healthy volunteers and 30 KOA synovitis patients and cultured in vitro. The samples from the heathy volunteers were set as the normal group, and those from KOA synovitis patients were randomized into synovitis, Zhuanggu Jianxi Decoction, LXRα inhibitor, and N-CoR inhibitor groups. The synovitis tissue samples of the 5 groups were treated with 10% blank serum, 10% blank serum, 10% drug-containing serum, 10% drug-containing serum+LXRα inhibitor, and 10% drug-containing serum+N-CoR inhibitor, respectively, for 7 days. After intervention, the synovial tissue samples of each group were collected and stained with hematoxylin-eosin for observation and scoring of the pathological changes. The expression intensity of the fibroblast-specific marker α-smooth musle actin(α-SMA) in the synovial tissue was observed by immunofluorescence staining. The levels of interleukin-1β(IL-1β), tumor necrosis factor-α(TNF-α), matrix metalloproteinase-3(MMP-3), and matrix metalloproteinase-13(MMP-13) in the supernatant of synovium homogenate were determined by ELISA. The mRNA and protein levels of LXRα, N-CoR, P50, and P65 in the synovial tissue were determined by RT-qPCR and Western blot, respectively. The results showed that compared with the normal group, the synovitis group showcased obvious synovial lining cell proliferation, inflammatory cell infiltration, synovial cell disarrangement, increased histopathological score(P<0.05), enhanced α-SMA fluorescence intensity and increased number of synovial fibroblasts(P<0.05), elevated levels of IL-1β, TNF-α, MMP-3, and MMP-13 in the synovial tissue(P<0.05), down-regulated mRNA and protein levels of LXRα and N-CoR, and up-regulated mRNA and protein levels of P50 and P65(P<0.05). Compared with the synovitis group, the Zhuanggu Jianxi Decoction group showed alleviated pathological changes, declined histopathological score of the synovial tissue(P<0.05), decreased α-SMA fluorescence intensity and number of synovial fibroblasts(P<0.05), lowered levels of IL-1β, TNF-α, MMP-3, and MMP-13(P<0.05), up-regulated mRNA and protein levels of LXRα and N-CoR, and down-regulated mRNA and protein levels of P50 and P65(P<0.05) in the synovial tissue. Compared with the Zhuanggu Jianxi Decoction group, the LXRα inhibitor group and N-CoR inhibitor group showed aggravated pathological changes, risen histopathological score of the synovial tissue(P<0.05), enhanced α-SMA fluorescence intensity and increased number of synovial fibroblasts(P<0.05), elevated levels of IL-1β, TNF-α, MMP-3, and MMP-13(P<0.05), down-regulated mRNA and protein levels of LXRα and N-CoR, and up-regulated mRNA and protein levels of P50 and P65(P<0.05). The results above indicated that Zhuanggu Jianxi Decoction could alleviate the synovial tissue inflammation in KOA patients by upregulating the mRNA and protein levels of LXRα and N-CoR in the LXRs/NF-κB pathway to downregulate the mRNA and protein levels of P50 and P65 and reduce the activity of the NF-κB pathway in the synovial tissue.
Humans
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Osteoarthritis, Knee/metabolism*
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Drugs, Chinese Herbal/administration & dosage*
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Signal Transduction/drug effects*
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Male
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Liver X Receptors/immunology*
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Middle Aged
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NF-kappa B/metabolism*
;
Female
;
Synovial Membrane/metabolism*
;
Aged
;
Adult
8.Difference of lipid-lowering efficacy of "Xinjianqu" before and after fermentation and its mechanism based on LKB1-AMPK pathway and 16S rDNA sequencing technology.
De-Hua LI ; Rui-Sheng WANG ; Zhen-Ling ZHANG ; Jian-Guang ZHU ; Meng-Mei SUN ; Jia QIAO
China Journal of Chinese Materia Medica 2023;48(8):2146-2159
On the basis of establishing the prescription of Xinjianqu and clarifying the increase of the lipid-lowering active ingredients of Xinjianqu by fermentation, this paper further compared the differences in the lipid-lowering effects of Xinjianqu before and after fermentation, and studied the mechanism of Xinjianqu in the treatment of hyperlipidemia. Seventy SD rats were randomly divided into seven groups, including normal group, model group, positive drug simvastatin group(0.02 g·kg~(-1)), and low-dose and high-dose Xinjianqu groups before and after fermentation(1.6 g·kg~(-1) and 8 g·kg~(-1)), with ten rats in each group. Rats in each group were given high-fat diet continuously for six weeks to establish the model of hyperlipidemia(HLP). After successful modeling, the rats were given high-fat diet and gavaged by the corresponding drugs for six weeks, once a day, to compare the effects of Xinjianqu on the body mass, liver coefficient, and small intestine propulsion rate of rats with HLP before and after fermentation. The effects of Xinjianqu before and after fermentation on total cholesterol(TC), triacylglyceride(TG), high-density lipoprotein cholesterol(HDL-C), low-density lipoprotein cholesterol(LDL-C), alanine aminotransferase(ALT), aspartate aminotransferase(AST), blood urea nitrogen(BUN), creatinine(Cr), motilin(MTL), gastrin(GAS), and the Na~+-K~+-ATPase levels were determined by enzyme-linked immunosorbent assay(ELISA). The effects of Xinjianqu on liver morphology of rats with HLP were investigated by hematoxylin-eosin(HE) staining and oil red O fat staining. The effects of Xinjianqu on the protein expression of adenosine 5'-monophosphate(AMP)-activated protein kinase(AMPK), phosphorylated AMPK(p-AMPK), liver kinase B1(LKB1), and 3-hydroxy-3-methylglutarate monoacyl coenzyme A reductase(HMGCR) in liver tissues were investigated by immunohistochemistry. The effects of Xinjianqu on the regulation of intestinal flora structure of rats with HLP were studied based on 16S rDNA high-throughput sequencing technology. The results showed that compared with those in the normal group, rats in the model group had significantly higher body mass and liver coefficient(P<0.01), significantly lower small intestine propulsion rate(P<0.01), significantly higher serum levels of TC, TG, LDL-C, ALT, AST, BUN, Cr, and AQP2(P<0.01), and significantly lower serum levels of HDL-C, MTL, GAS, Na~+-K~+-ATP levels(P<0.01). The protein expression of AMPK, p-AMPK, and LKB1 in the livers of rats in the model group was significantly decreased(P<0.01), and that of HMGCR was significantly increased(P<0.01). In addition, the observed_otus, Shannon, and Chao1 indices were significantly decreased(P<0.05 or P<0.01) in rat fecal flora in the model group. Besides, in the model group, the relative abundance of Firmicutes was reduced, while that of Verrucomicrobia and Proteobacteria was increased, and the relative abundance of beneficial genera such as Ligilactobacillus and Lachnospiraceae_NK4A136_group was reduced. Compared with the model group, all Xinjianqu groups regulated the body mass, liver coefficient, and small intestine index of rats with HLP(P<0.05 or P<0.01), reduced the serum levels of TC, TG, LDL-C, ALT, AST, BUN, Cr, and AQP2, increased the serum levels of HDL-C, MTL, GAS, and Na~+-K~+-ATP, improved the liver morphology, and increased the protein expression gray value of AMPK, p-AMPK, and LKB1 in the liver of rats with HLP and decreased that of LKB1. Xinjianqu groups could regulate the intestinal flora structure of rats with HLP, increased observed_otus, Shannon, Chao1 indices, and increased the relative abundance of Firmicutes, Ligilactobacillus(genus), Lachnospiraceae_NK4A136_group(genus). Besides, the high-dose Xinjianqu-fermented group had significant effects on body mass, liver coefficient, small intestine propulsion rate, and serum index levels of rats with HLP(P<0.01), and the effects were better than those of Xinjianqu groups before fermentation. The above results show that Xinjianqu can improve the blood lipid level, liver and kidney function, and gastrointestinal motility of rats with HLP, and the improvement effect of Xinjianqu on hyperlipidemia is significantly enhanced by fermentation. The mechanism may be related to AMPK, p-AMPK, LKB1, and HMGCR protein in the LKB1-AMPK pathway and the regulation of intestinal flora structure.
Rats
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Animals
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AMP-Activated Protein Kinases/metabolism*
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Rats, Sprague-Dawley
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Cholesterol, LDL
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Fermentation
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Aquaporin 2/metabolism*
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Lipid Metabolism
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Liver
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Lipids
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Hyperlipidemias/genetics*
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Adenosine Triphosphate/pharmacology*
;
Diet, High-Fat/adverse effects*
9.Lifestyle improvement and the reduced risk of cardiovascular disease: the China-PAR project.
Ying-Ying JIANG ; Fang-Chao LIU ; Chong SHEN ; Jian-Xin LI ; Ke-Yong HUANG ; Xue-Li YANG ; Ji-Chun CHEN ; Xiao-Qing LIU ; Jie CAO ; Shu-Feng CHEN ; Ling YU ; Ying-Xin ZHAO ; Xian-Ping WU ; Lian-Cheng ZHAO ; Ying LI ; Dong-Sheng HU ; Jian-Feng HUANG ; Xiang-Feng LU ; Dong-Feng GU
Journal of Geriatric Cardiology 2023;20(11):779-787
BACKGROUND:
The benefits of healthy lifestyles are well recognized. However, the extent to which improving unhealthy lifestyles reduces cardiovascular disease (CVD) risk needs to be discussed. We evaluated the impact of lifestyle improvement on CVD incidence using data from the China-PAR project (Prediction for Atherosclerotic Cardiovascular Disease Risk in China).
METHODS:
A total of 12,588 participants free of CVD were followed up for three visits after the baseline examination. Changes in four lifestyle factors (LFs) (smoking, diet, physical activity, and alcohol consumption) were assessed through questionnaires from the baseline to the first follow-up visit. Cox proportional hazard models were used to estimate hazard ratios (HRs) and corresponding 95% confidence intervals (CIs). The risk advancement periods (RAPs: the age difference between exposed and unexposed participants reaching the same incident CVD risk) and population-attributable risk percentage (PAR%) were also calculated.
RESULTS:
A total of 909 incident CVD cases occurred over a median follow-up of 11.14 years. Compared with maintaining 0-1 healthy LFs, maintaining 3-4 healthy LFs was associated with a 40% risk reduction of incident CVD (HR = 0.60, 95% CI: 0.45-0.79) and delayed CVD risk by 6.31 years (RAP: -6.31 [-9.92, -2.70] years). The PAR% of maintaining 3-4 unhealthy LFs was 22.0% compared to maintaining 0-1 unhealthy LFs. Besides, compared with maintaining two healthy LFs, improving healthy LFs from 2 to 3-4 was associated with a 23% lower risk of CVD (HR = 0.77, 95% CI: 0.60-0.98).
CONCLUSIONS
Long-term sustenance of healthy lifestyles or improving unhealthy lifestyles can reduce and delay CVD risk.
10.Establishment and validation of a novel nomogram to predict overall survival after radical nephrectomy.
Long Bin XIONG ; Xiang Peng ZOU ; Kang NING ; Xin LUO ; Yu Lu PENG ; Zhao Hui ZHOU ; Jun WANG ; Zhen LI ; Chun Ping YU ; Pei DONG ; Sheng Jie GUO ; Hui HAN ; Fang Jian ZHOU ; Zhi Ling ZHANG
Chinese Journal of Oncology 2023;45(8):681-689
Objective: To establish a nomogram prognostic model for predicting the 5-, 10-, and 15-year overall survival (OS) of non-metastatic renal cell carcinoma patients managed with radical nephrectomy (RN), compare the modelled results with the results of pure pathologic staging, the Karakiewicz nomogram and the Mayo Clinic Stage, Size, Grade, and Necrosis (SSIGN) score commonly used in foreign countries, and stratify the patients into different prognostic risk subgroups. Methods: A total of 1 246 non-metastatic renal cell carcinoma patients managed with RN in Sun Yat-sen University Cancer Center (SYSUCC) from 1999 to 2020 were retrospectively analyzed. Multivariate Cox regression analysis was used to screen the variables that influence the prognosis for nomogram establishment, and the bootstrap random sampling was used for internal validation. The time-receiver operating characteristic curve (ROC), the calibration curve and the clinical decision curve analysis (DCA) were applied to evaluate the nomogram. The prediction efficacy of the nomogram and that of the pure pathologic staging, the Karakiewicz nomogram and the SSIGN score was compared through the area under the curve (AUC). Finally, patients were stratified into different risk subgroups according to our nomogram scores. Results: A total of 1 246 patients managed with RN were enrolled in this study. Multivariate Cox regression analysis showed that age, smoking history, pathological nuclear grade, sarcomatoid differentiation, tumor necrosis and pathological T and N stages were independent prognostic factors for RN patients (all P<0.05). A nomogram model named SYSUCC based on these factors was built to predict the 5-, 10-, and 15-year survival rate of the participating patients. In the bootstrap random sampling with 1 000 iterations, all these factors occurred for more than 800 times as independent predictors. The Harrell's concordance index (C-index) of SYSUCC was higher compared with pure pathological staging [0.770 (95% CI: 0.716-0.823) vs 0.674 (95% CI: 0.621-0.728)]. The calibration curve showed that the survival rate as predicted by the SYSUCC model simulated the actual rate, while the clinical DCA showed that the SYSUCC nomogram has a benefit in certain probability ranges. In the ROC analysis that included 857 patients with detailed pathological nuclear stages, the nomogram had a larger AUC (5-/10-year AUC: 0.823/0.804) and better discriminating ability than pure pathological staging (5-/10-year AUC: 0.701/0.658), Karakiewicz nomogram (5-/10-year AUC: 0.772/0.734) and SSIGN score (5-/10-year AUC: 0.792/0.750) in predicting the 5-/10-year OS of RN patients (all P<0.05). In addition, the AUC of the SYSUCC nomogram for predicting the 15-year OS (0.820) was larger than that of the SSIGN score (0.709), and there was no statistical difference (P<0.05) between the SYSUCC nomogram, pure pathological staging (0.773) and the Karakiewicz nomogram (0.826). The calibration curve was close to the standard curve, which indicated that the model has good predictive performance. Finally, patients were stratified into low-, intermediate-, and high-risk subgroups (738, 379 and 129, respectively) according to the SYSUCC nomogram scores, among whom patients in intermediate- and high-risk subgroups had a worse OS than patients in the low-risk subgroup (intermediate-risk group vs. low-risk group: HR=4.33, 95% CI: 3.22-5.81, P<0.001; high-risk group vs low-risk group: HR=11.95, 95% CI: 8.29-17.24, P<0.001), and the high-risk subgroup had a worse OS than the intermediate-risk group (HR=2.63, 95% CI: 1.88-3.68, P<0.001). Conclusions: Age, smoking history, pathological nuclear grade, sarcomatoid differentiation, tumor necrosis and pathological stage were independent prognostic factors for non-metastasis renal cell carcinoma patients after RN. The SYSUCC nomogram based on these independent prognostic factors can better predict the 5-, 10-, and 15-year OS than pure pathological staging, the Karakiewicz nomogram and the SSIGN score of patients after RN. In addition, the SYSUCC nomogram has good discrimination, agreement, risk stratification and clinical application potential.
Humans
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Nomograms
;
Retrospective Studies
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Carcinoma, Renal Cell/pathology*
;
Prognosis
;
Risk Factors
;
Nephrectomy
;
Kidney Neoplasms/pathology*
;
Necrosis

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