Objective To explore scientific and accurate prediction methods for the incidence of hand, foot, and mouth disease in the post-pandemic era, and to address modeling challenges caused by abnormal fluctuations in case numbers from 2020 to 2023. Methods The seasonal index was used to pre-process the data. The traditional seasonal autoregressive integrated moving average (SARIMA) model, singular spectrum analysis (SSA)-ARIMA model, ARIMA-Long short-term memory (LSTM) model, and SSA-ARIMA-LSTM model were used to fit the incidence from 2013 to 2023, and the incidence of hand, foot and mouth disease in 2024 was predicted. The real data collected in 2024 were used as the test set to compare the prediction performance of the models. Results The fitting performance of the constructed models was as follows: the ARIMA model had MAE=107.50 and RMSE=144.53, the SSA-ARIMA model showed MAE=2.84 and RMSE=4.33, the ARIMA-LSTM model achieved MAE=99.46 and RMSE=131.59, and the SSA-ARIMA-LSTM model had MAE=96.35 and RMSE=132.13. In terms of prediction performance, the ARIMA model resulted in MAE=151.64 and RMSE=146.70, the SSA-ARIMA model demonstrated MAE=41.22 and RMSE=57.01, the ARIMA-LSTM model yielded MAE=220.75 and RMSE=257.89, and the SSA-ARIMA-LSTM model recorded MAE=58.83 and RMSE=72.06. Conclusion The SSA-ARIMA model has the best fitting degree and the highest prediction accuracy, and is suitable for predicting the incidence trend of hand, foot and mouth disease.

Patients with Takayasu arteritis combined with aortic valve disease often have a poor prognosis following surgical valve replacement, frequently encountering complications such as perivalvular leakage, valve detachment, and anastomotic aneurysm. This article presents a high-risk case wherein severe aortic valve insufficiency associated with Takayasu arteritis was successfully managed through transcatheter aortic valve implantation via the transapical approach. The patient had satisfactory valve function with no complications observed during the six-month postoperative follow-up. This case provides a minimally invasive and feasible alternative for the clinical management of such high-risk patients.

ObjectiveTo investigate the contamination levels of zearalenone (ZEN) in commercially available edible vegetable oils in Ningbo City and to assess its health risks to local residents. MethodsA total of 330 samples of commercially available edible vegetable oil samples (50 each of peanut oil, corn oil, and olive oil; 40 each of rapeseed oil and blended oil; 30 each of soybean oil, rice oil, and sunflower seed oil; and 10 of camellia oil) were collected in 2024. The samples were tested for ZEN using the first method specified in GB 5009.209‒2016 National Food Safety Standard―Determination of Zearalenone in Food, namely the liquid chromatography method, and the contamination status was analyzed. Additionally, combined with dietary consumption data of residents, the Monte Carlo simulation method was employed to evaluate the health risks of ZEN in edible vegetable oils. ResultsZEN was detected in 267 out of 330 samples, with a detection rate of 80.91%, and the median (P₅₀) and the 25th, 75th percentiles (P₂₅, P₇₅) of ZEN concentrations were 2.02 (0.37, 17.90) μg·kg^-1, with a maximum value of 342.00 μg·kg^-1. The ZEN detection rates in corn oil, peanut oil, and blended oil were all 100.00%. The daily average exposure (P₅₀) and daily high exposure (P₉₅) to ZEN via edible vegetable oils among Ningbo residents were 0.001 μg·kg^-1 (normalized to body weight, same below) and 0.060 μg·kg^-1, respectively. However, 1.22% of Ningbo residents had a daily ZEN exposure exceeding the tolerable daily intake (TDI) of 0.25 μg·kg^-1. The hazard quotients (HQ) for the daily average exposure (P₅₀) and daily high exposure (P₉₅) levels were 0.004 and 0.020, respectively, both substantially below 1. Nevertheless, the probability of health risk for Ningbo residents due to ZEN exposure from vegetable oil consumption remained at 1.02%. ConclusionEdible vegetable oils in Ningbo City were contaminated with ZEN, but the probability of ZEN exposure exceeding the TDI through edible vegetable oils was relatively low, and the associated health risk probability were also minimal, indicating an overall insignificant health risk.

OBJECTIVE To investigate the application and influencing factors of sodium-dependent glucose transporters 2 inhibitors（SGLT-2i） in patients with heart failure with preserved ejection fraction（HFpEF） in the real world. METHODS Data from 358 patients with HFpEF who were hospitalized at the First Affiliated Hospital of Chongqing Medical University from May 2023 to May 2024 were retrospectively collected. The patients were divided into the SGLT-2i group and the non-SGLT-2i group based on whether they were prescribed SGLT-2i upon discharge. Baseline characteristics， comorbidities， and differences in drug treatment were compared between the two groups. Based on univariate analysis， multivariate Logistic regression analysis was performed to identify independent influencing factors of SGLT-2i use in patients with HFpEF， followed by further stratified analysis. RESULTS Among 358 HFpEF patients， the overall utilization rate of SGLT-2i was 33.5%. Combined with type 2 diabetes [OR＝9.063，95%CI（4.924-16.679） ] ， atrial fibrillation [OR＝3.135，95%CI（1.590-6.178） ] ， coronary artery heart disease [OR＝1.888，95%CI（1.072-3.327） ] and the use of loop diuretics [OR＝3.822， 95%CI （1.588-9.200） ] were all independent influencing factors for the use of SGLT-2i in patients with HFpEF （ P ＜0.05）. The results of the stratified descriptive analysis were consistent with those of the multivariate analysis， showing a higher utilization rate of SGLT-2i among patients with concomitant T2DM，atrial fibrillation， coronary artery heart disease， and those receiving loop diuretics （ P ＜0.05）； whereas the utilization rate of SGLT-2i was comparable across patients with different levels of renal function （ P ＞0.05）. CONCLUSIONS In the real-world clinical practice， the utilization of SGLT-2i in patients with HFpEF remains suboptimal， and treatment coverage still needs to be improved. Their use of SGLT-2i is primarily influenced by the presence of type 2 diabetes， atrial fibrillation， coronary artery heart disease， and the use of loop diuretics.

Objective To explore the application of plasma 7 microRNA (miR7) testing in the differential diagnosis of very early-stage hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC). Methods This study is a multicenter real-world study. Patients with single hepatic lesion (maximum diameter≤2 cm) who underwent plasma miR7 testing at Zhongshan Hospital, Fudan University, Sir Run Run Shaw Hospital, Zhejiang University School of Medicine, Anhui Provincial Hospital, and Peking University People’s Hospital between January 2019 and December 2024 were retrospectively enrolled. Patients were divided into very early-stage HCC group and non-HCC group, and the clinical pathological characteristics of the two groups were compared. The value of plasma miR7 levels, alpha-fetoprotein (AFP), and des-gamma-carboxy prothrombin (DCP) in the differential diagnosis of very early-stage HCC was evaluated using receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curves and area under the curve (AUC). In patients with both negative AFP and DCP (AFP＜20 ng/mL, DCP＜40 mAU/mL), the diagnostic value of plasma miR7 for very early-stage HCC was analyzed. Results A total of 64 528 patients from 4 hospitals underwent miR7 testing, and 1 682 were finally included, of which 1 073 were diagnosed with very early-stage HCC and 609 were diagnosed with non-HCC. The positive rate of miR7 in HCC patients was significantly higher than that in non-HCC patients (67.9% vs 24.3%, P＜0.001). ROC curves showed that the AUCs for miR7, AFP, and DCP in distinguishing HCC patients from the non-HCC individuals were 0.718, 0.682, and 0.642, respectively. The sensitivities were 67.85%, 43.71%, and 44.45%, and the specificities were 75.70%, 92.78%, and 83.91%, respectively. The pairwise comparison of AUCs showed that the diagnostic efficacy of plasma miR7 detection was significantly better than that of AFP or DCP (P＜0.05). Although its specificity was slightly lower than AFP and DCP, the sensitivity was significantly higher. Among patients negative for both AFP and DCP, miR7 maintained an AUC of 0.728 for diagnosing very early-stage HCC, with 67.82% sensitivity and 77.73% specificity. Conclusions Plasma miR7 testing is a potential molecular marker with high sensitivity and specificity for the differential diagnosis of small hepatic nodules. In patients with very early-stage HCC lacking effective molecular markers (negative for both AFP and DCP), miR7 can serve as a novel and effective molecular marker to assist diagnosis.

Objective To investigate dynamic changes in myocardial protein phosphorylation during the acute phase of myocardial infarction (MI) in mice. Methods Six 8-week-old C57BL/6J mice were randomly assigned to MI model (n＝3) or sham-operated control (n＝3) groups. Cardiac tissues were harvested 72 hours post-intervention for proteomic analysis. Phosphorylation modifications were systematically characterized using liquid chromatography-mass spectrometry (LC-MS). Bioinformatics analyses included differential phosphorylation screening, functional enrichment, hierarchical clustering, and protein-protein interaction network. Results LC-MS identified 1 921 differentially phosphorylated sites (20 tyrosine and 1 901 serine/threonine sites) across 851 proteins. Compared with controls, MI hearts exhibited significant phosphorylation upregulation at 1 545 sites and downregulation at 376 sites (P＜0.05). Conclusions This study delineates MI-associated phosphorylation dynamics, providing mechanistic insights and potential therapeutic targets for acute MI intervention.

Acute Gelsemium poisoning is a systemic disease primarily affecting the central nervous system and respiratory symptoms caused by the ingestion of a substantial amount of Gelsemium within a short period. It manifests as sudden onset and rapid progression, primarily caused by accidental ingestion due to misidentification, and posing significant health risks. The compilation of the Technical Plan for Emergency Health Response to Acute Gelsemium Poisoning describes in detail the specialized practice and technical requirements in the process of handling acute Gelsemium poisoning, including accident investigation and management, laboratory testing and identification, in-hospital treatment, and health monitoring. The guidelines clarify key procedures and requirements such as personal protection, investigation elements, etiology determination, medical rescue, and health education. The key to acute Gelsemium poisoning investigation lies in promptly identifying the toxin through exposure history, clinical manifestations, and sample testing. Because there is no specific antidote for Gelsemium poisoning, immediate removal from exposure, rapid elimination of the toxin, and respiratory monitoring are critical on-site rescue measures. Visual identification of food or herbal materials, followed by laboratory testing to determine Gelsemium alkaloids in samples is a rapid effective screening method. These guidelines offer a scientific, objective, and practical framework to support effective emergency responses to acute Gelsemium poisoning incidences.

BackgroundPrenatal depression has an important impact on maternal health and pregnancy outcomes. Previous studies have shown that maternal prenatal depression is associated with social support， and social support is related to fear of childbirth. However， there is limited research on the relationship among maternal prenatal depression， social support and fear of childbirth， and no studies have specifically explored the influence of social support and fear of childbirth on prenatal depression in primiparous women. ObjectiveTo investigate the current status of prenatal depression among primiparous women， and to analyze the correlation between social support and fear of childbirth， and to further explore the influence of social support and fear of childbirth on prenatal depression in this population， so as to provide references for improving their mental health. MethodsA total of 380 primiparous women admitted to the inpatient department of Chengdu Wenjiang District People's Hospital from December 2022 to September 2023 were enrolled as study subjects. A self-made questionnaire， Edinburgh Postnatal Depression Scale （EPDS）， Social Support Rating Scale （SSRS） and Childbirth Attitudes Questionnaire （CAQ） were used to conduct the survey. Pearson correlation analysis was employed to examine the relationships between scale scores. Multiple linear regression analysis was conducted to identify influencing factors of prenatal depression. ResultsA total of 380 questionnaires were distributed， with 372 （97.89%） valid responses collected. Among the participants， 222 cases （59.68%） were identified with prenatal depression. Pearson correlation analysis revealed that EPDS score was negatively correlated with SSRS score （r=-0.283， P<0.01） and positively correlated with CAQ score （r=0.341， P<0.01）. Multiple linear regression analysis indicated that social support （β=-0.166， P<0.01） and fear of childbirth （β=0.269， P<0.01） were influencing factors of prenatal depression in primiparous women. ConclusionThe prevalence of prenatal depression among primiparous women is concerning， with depression levels showing significant associations with both social support and fear of childbirth.

OBJECTIVE To explore whether pachymic acid （Pac） regulates mitochondrial autophagy mediated by the PTEN- induced kinase 1 （PINK1）/Parkin RBR E3 ubiquitin-protein ligase （Parkin） signaling pathway to alleviate myocardial injury in coronary heart disease （CHD） rats. METHODS SD rats were divided into control （Con） group， CHD group， Pac low-dose group （Pac-L group）， Pac high-dose group （Pac-H group）， Pac-H+PINK1/Parkin signaling pathway inhibitor group （Pac-H+3-MA group）， with 10 rats in each group. Except for the Con group， CHD models were established in the remaining groups of rats. After successful modeling， the rats in each group were intraperitoneally injected with the corresponding drugs or normal saline. After continuous intervention for 4 weeks， the left ventricular ejection fraction （LVEF）， left ventricular end-diastolic volume （LVEDV）， left ventricular end-systolic volume （LVESV）， and mean arterial pressure （MAP） of the rats were detected. The levels of creatine kinase isoenzyme （CK-MB）， lactate dehydrogenase （LDH）， cardiac troponin I （cTnI）， and cardiac troponin T （cTnT） in the serum， as well as the levels of tumor necrosis factor-α （TNF-α）， interleukin-10 （IL-10）， IL-1β， reactive oxygen species （ROS）， malondialdehyde （MDA） in the myocardial tissue， and the activities of catalase （CAT） and superoxide dismutase （SOD）， as well as the expression levels of p62， cleaved caspase-3， Parkin， PINK1 proteins and the ratio of microtubule-associated protein 1 light chain 3 Ⅱ （LC3Ⅱ）/LC3Ⅰ ratio were measured. The morphology of myocardial tissue and mitochondrial autophagic vesicles were observed， and the number of mitochondrial autophagic vesicles per unit area and the rate of cardiomyocyte apoptosis were counted. RESULTS Compared with CHD group， LVEF， MAP， IL-10 levels， CAT and SOD activities， p62， Parkin， PINK1 protein expressions， LC3Ⅱ/LC3Ⅰ ratio， the numbers of mitochondrial autophagic vesicles per unit area in the Pac-L and Pac-H E-mail：hzdpft@163.com groups were increased significantly （P＜0.05）； the levels of LVEDV， LVESV， CK-MB， LDH， cTnI， cTnT， TNF-α， IL-1β， ROS and MDA， cell apoptosis rates， and protein expression of cleaved caspase-3 were all decreased significantly （P＜0.05）； and the changes in various indicators were more pronounced in the Pac-H group （P＜0.05）； both groups showed varying degree of improvement in myocardial histopathological morphology. Compared with the Pac-H group， the aforementioned indicators in rats from the Pac-H+3-MA group were all significantly reversed （P＜0.05）. CONCLUSIONS Pac may promote mitochondrial autophagy in cardiomyocytes of CHD rats by activating the PINK1/ Parkin signaling pathway， thereby reducing inflammatory responses and oxidative stress and improving myocardial injury.

Objective: To confirm the therapeutic efficacy of the ginkgo biloba extract EGb761 on ischemic stroke and elucidate its underlying mechanism. Methods: Male Sprague-Dawley rats were divided into three groups: sham, model, and EGb761 (ginkgo biloba extract). Ischemic stroke was then simulated in rats via embolic middle cerebral artery occlusion surgery, with the extract administered half an hour before surgery. Neurological deficit scores, infarct volume, cerebral edema rate, and inflammatory factors served as the primary metrics for drug efficacy. Serum metabolites were analyzed using 1H-nuclear magnetic resonance to elucidate the operative mechanism. Results: Treatment with the ginkgo biloba extract EGb761 significantly ameliorated the neurological deficit scores (P = .0343), diminished the cerebral infarct volume (P = .0001) and cerebral edema rate (P = .0030), and alleviated neuroinflammation (all P < .05) in middle cerebral artery occlusion rats. In addition, it significantly altered the contents of various metabolites, such as 2-hydroxybutyrate, isoleucine, isopropanol, isobutyric acid, N6-acetyllysine, glutamate, glutamine, methionine, and N,N-dimethylglycine (all P < .05). Enrichment analysis of the differential metabolites indicated that EGb761 may be involved in the regulation of amino acid metabolism, betaine metabolism, glucose-alanine cycle, Warburg effect, and urea cycle. Conclusion The ginkgo biloba extract EGb761 demonstrates anti-ischemic stroke effect on ischemic stroke model rats by regulating amino acids and amino acid derivatives, such as isoleucine, N6-acetyllysine, glutamate, methionine, and N,N-dimethylglycine.