1.Informed LASSO machine learning method in postoperative survival analysis of supra-cardiac total anomalous pulmonary venous connection
Xiaobing LIU ; Furong LIU ; Zeyu CHEN ; Guangzheng XU ; Hailong QIU ; Erchao JI ; Xiaohua LI ; Shusheng WEN ; Tao LIU ; Jian ZHUANG
Chinese Journal of Clinical Thoracic and Cardiovascular Surgery 2022;29(07):848-853
Objective To characterize surgical outcomes of supra-cardiac total anomalous pulmonary venous connection (TAPVC), investigate risk factors for postoperative death, and explore informed LASSO machine learning methods to solve "small sample size problem" in research of rare congenital heart diseases. Methods A retrospective analysis of 241 patients with supra-cardiac TAPVC who underwent surgical repair in Guangdong Provincial People39;s Hospital from 2009 to 2019 was conducted, including 179 males and 62 females with a median surgical age of 71 (33, 232) d. Detailed clinical data of the postoperative death-related factors were extracted. Univariable Cox proportional hazard models were used to initially screen potential risk factors for postoperative death. Factors with P鈮?.05 were retained. To solve the limitation of small sample size and the "P>n" problem, we proposed a novel LASSO method for conducting multivariable Cox regression analysis that was capable of bringing in findings of related studies to improve analysis power and to reduce false-negative findings. Results 聽 聽Univariable Cox analyses showed several potential clinical risk factors, among which highly significant factors (P<0.001) included: surgical weight鈮?.5 kg (HR=16.00), main pulmonary artery diameter (HR=0.78), prolonged cardiopulmonary bypass time (HR=1.21), aortic block time (HR=1.28), and postoperative ventilator-assisted time (HR=1.13/d). LASSO multivariable analysis revealed that independent risk factors for postoperative death included cardiopulmonary bypass time (aHR=1.308/30 min), age (aHR=0.898), postoperative ventilator-assisted time (aHR=1.023/d), weight鈮?.5 kg (aHR=2.545), right vertical venous return (aHR=1.977), preoperative pulmonary venous obstruction (aHR=1.633) and emergency surgery (aHR=1.383). Conclusion 聽 聽Our proposed informed LASSO method can use previous studies39; results to improve the power of analysis and effectively solve the "P>n" and small sample size limitation. Cardiopulmonary bypass time, surgical age, postoperative ventilator-assisted time, weight, right vertical venous return, preoperative pulmonary venous obstruction, and emergency surgery are risk factors for postoperative death of supra-cardiac TAPVC.
2.Twenty-two patients of atrioventricular septal defect repair with prosthetic valve ring implantation: A retrospective cohort study in a single center
Zeyang YAO ; Wen XIE ; Zewen CHEN ; Erchao JI ; Xiaowei XU ; Tao LIU ; Shusheng WEN ; Gang XU ; Jian ZHUANG
Chinese Journal of Clinical Thoracic and Cardiovascular Surgery 2022;29(10):1362-1366
Objective To review the characteristics of patients who underwent atrioventricular septal defects (AVSD) repair with prosthetic valve ring implantation in our hospital, and to analyze the safety and effectiveness of this intervention. Methods The clinical data of all patients diagnosed with AVSD who received surgery repair and prosthetic valve ring implantation from January 1, 2018 to July 12, 2020 in Guangdong Provincial People39;s Hospital were collected and analyzed. There were 22 patients with 9 males and 13 females at a median age of 35.00 (14.10, 53.00) years. There were 9 (40.9%) patients with prosthetic half or full rings placed on the left atrioventricular valve and 18 (81.8%) patients with prosthetic half or full rings placed on the right atrioventricular valve. Results The median postoperative hospital stay was 7.00 (6.00, 8.80) d, and the postoperative mechanically assisted ventilation time was 11.00 (6.25, 19.00) h. There were 2 (9.1%) patients of moderate or higher postoperative atrioventricular valve regurgitation, 1 on the left and 1 on the right. There was one patient (4.5%) of the postoperative residual septal defect. There was no left ventricular inflow or outflow tract obstruction and no postoperative residual atrial septal defect during the follow-up of 152.00 (124.00, 1 030.00) d. Conclusion Implantation of a prosthetic ring is safe and effective in patients with AVSD, and the structural strength of the ring may be improved after the implantation. The physiological development of the AVSD annulus after prosthetic ring implantation and the results of long-term follow-up needs further attention.
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