1.Epidemiological investigation of a pertussis outbreak in a kindergarten in Guangzhou
WANG Min, WU Jueyu, ZHU Zhijie, CAI Wenfeng, HE Peng, XIAO Jiali
Chinese Journal of School Health 2026;47(2):283-286
Objective:
To understand the epidemiological characteristics of a pertussis outbreak in Guangzhou, so as to provide references for outbreak response and prevention strategies.
Methods:
From April 5 to June 9, 2024, case screening was conducted among 246 preschool children, 35 staff members, and one full time school nurse in a kindergarten in Guangzhou based on case definition. Field epidemiological investigation methods were employed to collect relevant information, and screening samples were collected from individuals involved in the outbreak. The clinical manifestations, epidemiological characteristics, and risk factors for transmission of the outbreak were analyzed, with rate comparisons performed using the χ 2 test.
Results:
There were a total of 15 confirmed cases of pertussis in the kindergarten. The main clinical manifestations included intermittent cough in 14 cases ( 93.33 %), sputum production in 5 cases (33.33%), fever in 2 cases (13.33%), paroxysmal spasmodic cough in 1 case (6.67%), and vomiting in 1 case (6.67%). There was no statistically significant difference in the reporting rates of interrupted cough symptoms between pertussis cases (93.33%) and non pertussis cases (92.86%)( χ 2=3.74, P >0.05). The cases were aged 4-5 years, including 5 males and 10 females. The interval between symptom onset and diagnosis ranged from 2 to 25 days, with a median of 10 days. The outbreak involved two classes, with attack rates of 48.28% and 3.45%, respectively. Laboratory testing confirmed 14 close contacts positive for Bordetella pertussisnucleic acid. Among close contacts, only one received prophylactic medication as required.
Conclusion
The outbreak is a pertussis outbreak in a kindergarten caused by Bordetella pertussis infection, demonstrating distinct temporal and spatial clustering characteristics.
2.In Vitro Anti-psoriatic Effect of Kangfuxin Liquid via Inhibiting Cell Proliferation and Migration Ability and Blocking JAK3/STAT3 Signaling Pathway
Shuai LI ; Xuan LIU ; Wenyan TANG ; Zhenqi WU ; Chunhui CHEN ; Dadan QIU ; Yi XU ; Chenggui ZHANG ; Jianquan ZHU ; Jiali ZHU
Chinese Journal of Experimental Traditional Medical Formulae 2026;32(10):123-133
ObjectiveThis paper aims to explore the in vitro anti-psoriasis activity and potential mechanism of Kangfuxin liquid (KFX liquid), providing experimental evidence for the anti-psoriasis effect of KFX liquid. MethodsFirstly, the uninduced human immortalized keratinocyte cells (HaCaT cells) were divided into seven groups, namely the control group and KFX liquid groups with different doses (5, 10, 20, 40, 80, 160 g·L-1). After being treated with different concentrations of KFX liquid, the effect of KFX liquid on the normal cell proliferation was detected by using the cell counting kit-8 (CCK-8) method. Secondly, the uninduced HaCaT cells were divided into six groups, namely the control group and recombinant human interleukin-7A (rh-IL-7A) groups with different doses (5, 10, 50, 100, 120 g·L-1). After being treated with different concentrations of recombinant human interleukin-17A (rh IL-17A) liquid, the effect of rh IL-17A on cell proliferation was detected. The optimal induction concentration was screened. Then, normal HaCaT cells were divided into a control group and KFX liquid groups with different doses (5, 10, 20, 40, 80, 160 g·L-1). Except for the control group, the other groups established psoriasis cell models with the optimal induction concentration of rh IL-17A. After being treated with different concentrations of KFX liquid, the effects of KFX liquid on the psoriasis-like HaCaT cell proliferation were investigated. Finally, the uninduced HaCaT cells were divided into six groups, namely the control group, rh IL-17A group, methotrexate (MTX) group, and KFX liquid groups with different doses (20, 40, 80 g·L-1). Except for the control group, the other groups used the optimal induction concentration of rh IL-17A to establish psoriasis cell models. After being treated with different drugs, the cell migration levels were detected through scratch assays, and real-time quantitative polymerase chain reaction (Real-time PCR) was used to detect the relative mRNA expression levels of Ki-67 antigen (Ki67), S100 calcium-binding protein A7 (S100A7), S100 calcium-binding protein A8 (S100A8), and S100 calcium-binding protein A9 (S100A9), thereby comprehensively evaluating the in vitro anti-psoriasis activity of KFX liquid. By detecting the relative mRNA expression levels of interleukin-1β (IL-1β), interleukin-6 (IL-6), and chemokine-20 (CXCL-20) inflammatory-related factors in psoriasis-like HaCaT cells and the protein expression levels of Janus kinase 3 (JAK3), phosphorylated Janus kinase 3 (p-JAK3), signal transducer and activator of transcription 3 (STAT3), and phosphorylated signal transducer and activator of transcription 3 (p-STAT3), the mechanism was explored. ResultsCompared with that of control group, when treated with 80 g·L-1 KFX liquid for 72 h (P<0.05) and at different times with 160 g·L-1 KFX liquid, the HaCaT cell proliferation activity was significantly affected (P<0.01), while the other concentrations of KFX liquid had no significant differences in cell morphology and cell proliferation activity at different times, indicating that the KFX liquid is relatively safe for HaCaT cells and has no obvious toxic side effects. Compared with that of control group, when treated with different concentrations of rh IL-17A for 24 h, the HaCaT cell proliferation activity was significantly enhanced, and the cell activity was the strongest when the concentration was 100 μg·L-1 (P<0.05), with a density close to 100% and intact cell morphology, indicating that 100 μg·L-1 is the optimal concentration for inducing HaCaT cell proliferation. The results of the KFX liquid treatment on rh IL-17A-induced psoriasis-like cells show that the KFX liquid not only effectively inhibits the rh IL-17A-induced psoriasis-like HaCaT cell proliferation activity (P<0.01), but also significantly reduces the migration ability of rh IL-17A-induced psoriasis-like HaCaT cells (P<0.01), and the relative mRNA expression levels of Ki67, S100A7, S100A8, and S100A9 (P<0.01). Moreover, the KFX liquid can significantly reduce the relative mRNA expression levels of IL-1β, IL-6, and CXCL-20 in rh IL-17A-induced psoriasis-like cells (P<0.01), and significantly inhibit the phosphorylation levels of JAK3 and STAT3 proteins (P<0.05, P<0.01). ConclusionThe KFX liquid has no obvious toxicity to uninduced HaCaT cells. It can inhibit rh IL-17A-induced psoriasis-like HaCaT cell proliferation, reduce the cell migration ability, and has good in vitro anti-psoriasis activity. Its action mechanism may be related to downregulating the expression levels of inflammation-related cytokines in the JAK3/STAT3 signaling pathway and inhibiting the phosphorylation levels of JAK3 and STAT3 proteins.
3.In Vitro Anti-psoriatic Effect of Kangfuxin Liquid via Inhibiting Cell Proliferation and Migration Ability and Blocking JAK3/STAT3 Signaling Pathway
Shuai LI ; Xuan LIU ; Wenyan TANG ; Zhenqi WU ; Chunhui CHEN ; Dadan QIU ; Yi XU ; Chenggui ZHANG ; Jianquan ZHU ; Jiali ZHU
Chinese Journal of Experimental Traditional Medical Formulae 2026;32(10):123-133
ObjectiveThis paper aims to explore the in vitro anti-psoriasis activity and potential mechanism of Kangfuxin liquid (KFX liquid), providing experimental evidence for the anti-psoriasis effect of KFX liquid. MethodsFirstly, the uninduced human immortalized keratinocyte cells (HaCaT cells) were divided into seven groups, namely the control group and KFX liquid groups with different doses (5, 10, 20, 40, 80, 160 g·L-1). After being treated with different concentrations of KFX liquid, the effect of KFX liquid on the normal cell proliferation was detected by using the cell counting kit-8 (CCK-8) method. Secondly, the uninduced HaCaT cells were divided into six groups, namely the control group and recombinant human interleukin-7A (rh-IL-7A) groups with different doses (5, 10, 50, 100, 120 g·L-1). After being treated with different concentrations of recombinant human interleukin-17A (rh IL-17A) liquid, the effect of rh IL-17A on cell proliferation was detected. The optimal induction concentration was screened. Then, normal HaCaT cells were divided into a control group and KFX liquid groups with different doses (5, 10, 20, 40, 80, 160 g·L-1). Except for the control group, the other groups established psoriasis cell models with the optimal induction concentration of rh IL-17A. After being treated with different concentrations of KFX liquid, the effects of KFX liquid on the psoriasis-like HaCaT cell proliferation were investigated. Finally, the uninduced HaCaT cells were divided into six groups, namely the control group, rh IL-17A group, methotrexate (MTX) group, and KFX liquid groups with different doses (20, 40, 80 g·L-1). Except for the control group, the other groups used the optimal induction concentration of rh IL-17A to establish psoriasis cell models. After being treated with different drugs, the cell migration levels were detected through scratch assays, and real-time quantitative polymerase chain reaction (Real-time PCR) was used to detect the relative mRNA expression levels of Ki-67 antigen (Ki67), S100 calcium-binding protein A7 (S100A7), S100 calcium-binding protein A8 (S100A8), and S100 calcium-binding protein A9 (S100A9), thereby comprehensively evaluating the in vitro anti-psoriasis activity of KFX liquid. By detecting the relative mRNA expression levels of interleukin-1β (IL-1β), interleukin-6 (IL-6), and chemokine-20 (CXCL-20) inflammatory-related factors in psoriasis-like HaCaT cells and the protein expression levels of Janus kinase 3 (JAK3), phosphorylated Janus kinase 3 (p-JAK3), signal transducer and activator of transcription 3 (STAT3), and phosphorylated signal transducer and activator of transcription 3 (p-STAT3), the mechanism was explored. ResultsCompared with that of control group, when treated with 80 g·L-1 KFX liquid for 72 h (P<0.05) and at different times with 160 g·L-1 KFX liquid, the HaCaT cell proliferation activity was significantly affected (P<0.01), while the other concentrations of KFX liquid had no significant differences in cell morphology and cell proliferation activity at different times, indicating that the KFX liquid is relatively safe for HaCaT cells and has no obvious toxic side effects. Compared with that of control group, when treated with different concentrations of rh IL-17A for 24 h, the HaCaT cell proliferation activity was significantly enhanced, and the cell activity was the strongest when the concentration was 100 μg·L-1 (P<0.05), with a density close to 100% and intact cell morphology, indicating that 100 μg·L-1 is the optimal concentration for inducing HaCaT cell proliferation. The results of the KFX liquid treatment on rh IL-17A-induced psoriasis-like cells show that the KFX liquid not only effectively inhibits the rh IL-17A-induced psoriasis-like HaCaT cell proliferation activity (P<0.01), but also significantly reduces the migration ability of rh IL-17A-induced psoriasis-like HaCaT cells (P<0.01), and the relative mRNA expression levels of Ki67, S100A7, S100A8, and S100A9 (P<0.01). Moreover, the KFX liquid can significantly reduce the relative mRNA expression levels of IL-1β, IL-6, and CXCL-20 in rh IL-17A-induced psoriasis-like cells (P<0.01), and significantly inhibit the phosphorylation levels of JAK3 and STAT3 proteins (P<0.05, P<0.01). ConclusionThe KFX liquid has no obvious toxicity to uninduced HaCaT cells. It can inhibit rh IL-17A-induced psoriasis-like HaCaT cell proliferation, reduce the cell migration ability, and has good in vitro anti-psoriasis activity. Its action mechanism may be related to downregulating the expression levels of inflammation-related cytokines in the JAK3/STAT3 signaling pathway and inhibiting the phosphorylation levels of JAK3 and STAT3 proteins.
4.Microscopic polyangiitis with severe anemia as the first clinical manifestation
World Journal of Emergency Medicine 2025;16(3):295-297
Microscopic polyangiitis (MPA) is an autoimmune disorder characterized by pulmonary capillaritis and necrotizing glomerulonephritis triggered by the deposition of oligoimmune complexes. This condition primarily affects the lungs and kidneys.[1] The key pathological features in the lungs associated with MPA include pulmonary interstitial fibrosis and diffuse alveolar hemorrhage (DAH), which clinically present as cough, sputum production, hemoptysis, and dyspnea.[2] In this report, we present a patient with MPA complicated by severe anemia and DAH, notably without the typical symptoms of hemoptysis.
5.Multi-dimensional influencing factors and strategies for prevention and control of childhood hypertension
ZHOU Jiali, WU Jing, LIU Runqi, TANG Ke, ZHU Bing, ZHANG Ronghua, SONG Peige
Chinese Journal of School Health 2025;46(6):765-769
Abstract
Childhood hypertension is becoming a substantial public health challenge with profound implications for children s quality of life and long term health. The study analyzes the global prevalence of childhood hypertension and the relationship between macroecological factors, meso environmental factors, and micro individual factors based on the perspective of life course and childhood hypertension. And it further summarizes existing prevention and control strategies: systematic prevention and control based on policy and social support, health promotion based on behavioral science theory, and dynamic monitoring and management based on individualized prevention and control, to provide a reference for promoting the advancement of childhood hypertension prevention and control strategies.
6.Discussion on health literacy status of naval officers and soldiers under the Healthy China Initiative
Runxian HE ; Hong CHEN ; Hui JI ; Wenjie LU ; Jiali WU ; Jing TAN ; Xu LIU
Academic Journal of Naval Medical University 2025;46(9):1212-1216
Objective To investigate the health literacy of naval officers and soldiers,so as to provide a reference for the development of health education and health promotion policies and measures for this population.Methods The health literacy of naval officers and soldiers was measured using the Chinese residents'health literacy questionnaire(2018).Results The health literacy level of naval officers and soldiers has met the target set by the Healthy China 2030 development plan.The order of health literacy compliance rate in 3 aspects from high to low was"healthy lifestyle and behaviors","basic health knowledge and concepts",and"essential health skills".The 6 types of problems of health literacy from high to low was"safety and first aid","scientific health perspectives","infectious disease prevention","health information","basic medical care",and"chronic disease prevention".Conclusion The overall health literacy level of naval officers and soldiers is good;the"safety and first aid"literacy has obvious advantages.It is recommended to implement continuous dynamic monitoring of health literacy,develop a targeted curriculum system to enhance health management capabilities,improve the health management ability of officers and soldiers,and further enhance the combat effectiveness.
7.Effects of Modified Buyang Huanwu Decoction on Serum Fibroblast Growth Factor 21,25-Hydroxyvitamin D,Endothelin 1 Levels and Hypercoagulable State in Type 2 Diabetes Mellitus Patients with Peripheral Neuropathy of Qi Deficiency and Blood Stasis Type
Lanying DENG ; Linli PU ; Liang FAN ; Liang ZHENG ; Jiali WU ; Fang FU
Journal of Guangzhou University of Traditional Chinese Medicine 2025;42(1):86-93
Objective To investigate the therapeutic efficacy of modified Buyang Huanwu Decoction in the treatment of type 2 diabetes mellitus(T2DM)patients with peripheral neuropathy of qi deficiency and blood stasis type,and to observe its effects on serum fibroblast growth factor 21(FGF21),25-hydroxyvitamin D[25(OH)D],endothelin 1(ET-1)levels and hypercoagulable state of the patients.Methods A total of 124 T2DM patients with peripheral neuropathy of qi deficiency and blood stasis type who admitted to Haikou Hospital of Traditional Chinese Medicine from December 2019 to December 2022 were randomly divided into a control group and an observation group,with 62 cases in each group according to the random number table method.The control group was treated with conventional western medicine,and the observation group was treated with modified Buyang Huanwu Decoction on the basis of treatment for the control group.The course of treatment for the two groups covered 12 weeks.The changes of traditional Chinese medicine(TCM)syndrome scores,blood glucose indicators,hemorheology indicators,nerve conduction velocity(NCV)and levels of serum FGF21,25(OH)D,ET-1,interleukin 6(IL-6)in the two groups before and after treatment were observed.After treatment,the therapeutic efficacy of the two groups was evaluated.Results(1)After 12 weeks of treatment,the total effective rate of the observation group was 96.77%(60/62)and that of the control group was 83.87%(52/62),and the intergroup comparison(tested by chi-square test)showed that the therapeutic efficacy of the observation group was significantly superior to that of the control group(P<0.05).(2)After treatment,the total TCM syndrome scores and the scores of TCM symptoms such as limb pain,hypoesthesia,excessive eating with frequent hunger,and limb numbness in the two groups were decreased when compared with those before treatment(P<0.05),and the decrease in the observation group was significantly superior to that in the control group(P<0.05).(3)After treatment,the levels of hemorheology indicators such as hematocrit,whole blood viscosity at high-shear rate,and plasma viscosity in the two groups of patients were decreased when compared with those before treatment(P<0.05),and the decrease in the observation group was significantly superior to that in the control group(P<0.05).(4)After treatment,the motor conduction velocity of the common peroneal nerve and the median nerve in the two groups of patients was increased when compared with that before treatment(P<0.05),and the increase in the observation group was significantly superior to that in the control group(P<0.05).(5)After treatment,the serum levels of blood glucose indicators such as fasting blood glucose(FBG)and glycosylated hemoglobin(HbA1C)in the two groups of patients were decreased when compared with those before treatment(P<0.05),and the decrease in the observation group was significantly superior to that in the control group(P<0.05).(6)After treatment,the serum FGF21,ET-1,and IL-6 levels in the two groups were decreased(P<0.05),and serum 25(OH)D level was increased(P<0.05),and the decrease of serum FGF21,ET-1,and IL-6 levels as well as the increase of serum 25(OH)D level in the observation group was significantly superior to that in the control group(P<0.05).Conclusion For T2DM patients with peripheral neuropathy of qi deficiency and blood stasis type,the combination of modified Buyang Huanwu Decoction with conventional treatment in western medicine is helpful for reducing the inflammatory response,alleviating the damage of vascular endothelial function,regulating the levels of blood glucose,improving the neurologic function,and enhancing the clinical efficacy.
8.Effects and Efficacy of Wenyang Huayin Yangxin Prescription on the Traditional Chinese Medicine Syndromes of Patients With Chronic Heart Failure Combined With Diuretic Resistance
Jiali WU ; Dan XIAO ; Tao ZHAN ; Yi YUAN ; Yun ZHAN ; Hong LIU
Journal of Sichuan University (Medical Sciences) 2025;56(1):94-101
Objective To study the traditional Chinese medicine(TCM)syndromes of patients with chronic heart failure(CHF)combined with diuretic resistance by using the Wenyang Huayin Yangxin Prescription,and to observe its therapeutic efficacy.Methods A total of 68 CHF patients complicated with diuretic resistance and who had Yangqi deficiency and presenting blood stasis syndrome combined with Tanyin were randomly assigned to a control group and an observation group.The control group was given intravenous furosemide(≥ 80 mg/d)via infusion pump in addition to standard Western medical treatment,while the observation group was given intravenous furosemide(<80 mg/d)via infusion pump along with the Wenyang Huayin Yangxin Prescription(30 g Astragalus,15 g Poria,15 g Baizhu,15 g Chuanxiong,10 g Danfu tablet,10 g Cassia,10 g Alisma,and 10 g Zhimu).The quantitative index of diuretic resistance was used as the primary outcome measure.In addition,the differences between the two groups in TCM syndromes,cardiac function-related indicators,incidence of endpoint events,and readmission rate were compared.Results After 2 weeks of treatment,the filtration sodium excretion fraction(FENa)in the observation group was(0.18±0.04)%,while that of the control group was(0.16±0.03)%,showing a statistically significant difference(P=0.037).The 24-hour urine volume and urine Na+/K+ratio in the observation group increased significantly from baseline levels and were higher than those in the control group(P<0.05).The differences in the changes of 24-hour urine volume,urine sodium,FENa,and urine Na+/K+ratio between the two groups were statistically significant(P<0.05).The TCM syndrome scores decreased in both groups after 2 weeks of treatment,with the observation group showing a significantly greater reduction compared with the control group(P<0.001).The differences in the changes of TCM syndrome scores between the two groups were statistically significant(P<0.001).After 2 weeks of treatment,the observation group showed significant improvements in palpitations,shortness of breath,facial and limb edema,spontaneous sweating,chest tightness(pain),asthma,and oliguria compared with the baseline data(P<0.05),while the control group showed improvements only in facial and limb edema,asthma,and oliguria(P<0.05).Except for the asthma syndrome after 2 weeks of treatment,the observation group showed better outcomes in spontaneous sweating,chest tightness(pain),asthma,and oliguria at various time points after treatment compared with the control group(P<0.05).After 2 weeks of treatment,the observation group had significantly better cardiac output(CO)and stroke volume(SV)compared with those of the control group(P<0.05).The differences in the changes in N-terminal pro-brain natriuretic peptide(NT-proBNP),left ventricular ejection fraction(LVEF),SV,and CO between the two groups were statistically significant(P<0.05).After 24 weeks of follow-up,no significant differences in the incidence of end-point events or readmission rates between the two groups were observed.Conclusion The Wenyang Huayin Yangxin Prescription,combined with low-dose intravenous furosemide administered through an infusion pump,can improve the TCM syndromes of patients with Yangqi deficiency and blood stasis syndrome combined with Tanyin in addition to CHF complicated by diuretic resistance.This treatment improves the patients'heart function and diuretic resistance,reduces the intravenous dosage of diuretic,and enhances clinical efficacy.This approach should be more widely applied in clinical settings.
9.Clinical value of combined detection of SAA,PCT and hs-CRP in predicting neonatal septicemia
Basic & Clinical Medicine 2025;45(3):370-374
Objective To study the performance of serum amyloid A(SAA),procalcitonin(PCT)and hypersensi-tive C-reactive protein(hs-CRP)in predicting and evaluating therapeutic efficacy of neonatal septicemia.Methods Totally 63 neonates with clinical diagnosis of septicemia and 50 healthy neonates as control from January 2021 to April 2024 were enrolled this study.The clinical features and the results of SAA,PCT and hs-CRP were compared between the two groups;The results of SAA,PCT and hs-CRP of neonates suffering from septicemia with different therapeutic outcomes were compared.Results There was no significant difference in clinical features(age,birth weight,mode of delivery,etc.)between the two groups,and the positive rate of blood culture in neonates with sep-ticemia was only 12.7%,gram-positive cocci were the main pathogens;The level of SAA,PCT and hs-CRP in sepsis group was significantly higher than those in control group(P<0.01);The area under the receiver operating characteristic(ROC)curve(AUC)of the three indexes was higher than 0.7,and the AUC of the combined detection was 0.9,the sensitivity was 90.55%;The results of the three indexes were significantly decreased in effective group after treatment(P<0.01),and the AUC of the joint detection in evaluating therapeutic efficacy was 0.77,the sensitivity and specificity were 65.36%and 82.45%respectively.Conclusions A combined detection of SAA,PCT and hs-CRP shows high value in diagnosis and prognosis prediction of neonatal septicemia.
10.Construction and validation of a risk prediction model for acute myocardial infarction complicated by malignant ventricular arrhythmias
Dongli SONG ; Shengnan LIU ; Shuo WU ; Jie GAO ; Xiao ZHANG ; Weikai CUI ; Yifan WANG ; Jiali WANG ; Yuguo CHEN
Chinese Journal of Emergency Medicine 2025;34(7):923-931
Objective:To analyze the risk factors for in-hospital malignant ventricular arrhythmia (MVA) in acute myocardial infarction (AMI) and to construct and validate a risk prediction model.Methods:This study was a retrospective cohort study. Patients aged≥18 years who were admitted to Qilu Hospital of Shandong University with a diagnosis of AMI and underwent coronary angiography (CAG) from May 2016 to March 2023 were selected, and the patients' clinical routine test indicators and CAG results were collected. Univariate and bidirectional stepwise logistic regression were used to screen out the risk factors for constructing the best prediction model. The prediction model was constructed by combining the results of multivariate logistic regression. The Hosmer-Lemeshow test and ROC curve, calibration curve, and decision curve were drawn to evaluate the model. The nomogram was drawn to visualize the model, and the Bootstrap self-sampling method was used for internal validation. The ROC curve was drawn to evaluate the predictive performance of each risk factor and prediction model. Finally, a multicollinearity test was performed.Results:Among the 4 205 patients finally included in the study, 115 patients (2.735%) developed MVA during hospitalization. The predictive factors screened out included age (X1), diastolic blood pressure (X2), respiratory rate (X3), blood glucose (X4), serum potassium (X5), logarithmic NT-proBNP (X6), myocardial infarction type (NSTEMI=X7, unclassified=X8), J wave (X9), Killip grade (Ⅱ=X10, Ⅲ=X11, Ⅳ=X12), and the regression equation was ln(p/1-p)=-4.699+0.029×X1-0.012×X2+0.059×X3+0.148×X4-1.175×X5+0.866×X6-1.427×X7-0.475×X8+0.758×X9+0.294×X10+0.902×X11+1.815×X12. The area under the ROC curve (AUC) of the model was 0.855 (95% CI: 0.816-0.894), and the Hosmer-Lemeshow test ( χ2=14.178, P=0.077) and the calibration curve showed that the predicted probability was consistent with the actual probability. The probability threshold of 0% to 65% had a better clinical net benefit. The area under the internal validation ROC curve (AUC) was 0.855, 95% CI: 0.813-0.891. The prediction performance of the nine variables was stronger than that of any single variable. There was no multicollinearity between the variables. Conclusions:Age, diastolic blood pressure, respiratory rate, blood glucose, serum potassium, NT-proBNP, type of AMI, J wave, and Killip class are forecasting indicator for in-hospital MVA in AMI. The risk prediction model based on the above factors has good predictive performance.


Result Analysis
Print
Save
E-mail