1.Construction of a prediction model for early hormone remission after prolactinoma surgery based on machine learning
Yanxia DENG ; Jiahui LIU ; Jing XU ; Weijie WANG ; Kun SUN ; Lianshu DING ; Jian JIANG
Chinese Journal of Clinical Medicine 2026;33(3):406-413
Objective To explore factors associated with early postoperative hormonal remission in patients with prolactinoma and to develop prediction models based on clinical and radiological features. Methods Data from 107 patients with prolactinoma who underwent transsphenoidal surgery at The First People’s Hospital of Huai’an, Nanjing Medical University between January 2020 and December 2024 was collected, included general clinical characteristics, preoperative laboratory indicators, and imaging features. Based on whether early postoperative prolactin (PRL) levels normalized, patients were divided into a remission group (n=76) and a non-remission group (n=31). Univariate logistic regression was used for preliminary evaluation of candidate variables, followed by LASSO regression for feature selection. Multiple machine learning models were constructed, including logistic regression, random forest, support vector machine, K-nearest neighbors, naive Bayes, decision tree, neural network, and gradient boosting decision tree (GBDT). All models were trained and evaluated using ten-fold cross-validation, with comprehensive assessment of model performance based on the area under the ROC curve (AUC), accuracy, sensitivity, specificity, precision, and F1 score. Results The maximum diameter of tumors in the non remission group was larger than that in the remission group (P=0.019), and the incidence of tumor stroke and preoperative PRL levels were significantly higher than those in the remission group (P<0.001). Univariate analysis showed that sex, maximum tumor diameter, tumor stroke, and preoperative PRL levels were influencing factors for early postoperative hormone response in patients with prolactinoma (P<0.05). The comparison results of machine learning models show that the neural network model performs the best (AUC=0.921) and has good clinical application value, followed by the GBDT model (AUC=0.893) and the support vector machine model (AUC=0.884). Other models also show certain predictive ability. Conclusions Sex, preoperative PRL levels, maximum tumor diameter, Hounsfield unit value, and tumor stroke are important factors affecting early hormone response after prolactinoma surgery. The machine learning model constructed based on the above variables has good predictive performance, and performs the best and has good clinical application value.
2.Association of physical activity with overweight/obesity, depressive symptoms and their co-occurrence among junior and senior high school students
LU Qu, CHEN Manman, WANG Jiahui, JIANG Yu, GU Fang, DONG Bin
Chinese Journal of School Health 2026;47(3):355-359
Objective:
To analyze the associations of physical activity with overweight/obesity, depressive symptoms, and their co-occurrence among junior and senior high school students, so as to provide reference for optimizing physical activity intervention strategies and promoting healthy lifestyles.
Methods:
From March to November 2023, a cross sectional survey was conducted among 90 457 junior and senior high school students aged 11-18 years in Zhejiang Province using a stratified cluster random sampling method. Data on physical activity and dietary behavior were collected through questionnaires, height and weight were measured. Depressive symptoms were assessed using the Center for Epidemiologic Studies Depression Scale (CES-D). The Chi-square test was used to examine differences, and Logistic regression was applied to evaluate the associations of physical activity characteristics with overweight/obesity, depressive symptoms, and their co-occurrence. Additionally, the effectiveness of physical activity performed on rest days versus work days was examined.
Results:
The prevalence of overweight/obesity, depressive symptoms, and their co-occurrence among junior and senior high school students were 25.1%, 27.9%, and 6.7%, respectively, with significant sex differences ( χ 2=2 005.3, 587.7, 99.6, all P <0.01). Logistic regression analysis showed that students with insufficient physical activity had a higher risk of overweight/obesity compared with those with sufficient physical activity ( OR=1.12, 95%CI=1.06-1.17, P <0.01). Comparing to students who exercised 0-1 day per week, those who exercised 5-7 days per week were associated with a reduced risk of overweight/obesity and depressive symptoms ( OR=0.93, 95%CI =0.90-0.97; OR=0.95, 95%CI =0.91-0.99, both P <0.05). When total activity volume and frequency were held constant, students with sufficient rest day physical activity had lower risks of overweight/obesity, depressive symptoms, and their co-occurrence than those with insufficient rest day activity (all P < 0.01).
Conclusions
Sufficient amount of physical activity and higher frequency of rest day physical activity are significantly associated with lower risks of overweight/obesity, depressive symptoms, and their co-occurrence in adolescents. Physical activity performed on rest days may confer greater health benefits than activity performed on work days.
3.Research on the current status and risk prediction model of oral frailty among the elderly in Anhui Prov-ince
Wenyi JIANG ; Huan LIU ; Xiubin TAO ; Qin XU ; Jiahui MIN ; Yang LUO ; Ming ZHANG
Journal of Practical Stomatology 2025;41(2):261-266
Objective:To investigate the occurrence and influencing factors of oral frailty among the elderly in China.Methods:General information questionnaire,Oral Frailty Scale,Sarcopenia Screening Questionnaire(SARC-F),Social Network Scale-6(LSNS-6)and Subjective Cognitive Decline Questionnaire(SCD-Q9)were used to conduct a survey in Anhui Province.A survey was conducted among 3 063 elderly people to analyze their current status and influencing factors related to oral frailty.Results:The incidence of oral frailty among the elderly in Anhui Province was 46.82%(1434/3063).Binary logistic regression analysis showed sarcopenia(OR=8.742,95%CI:7.156-10.679),social isolation(OR=1.601,95%CI:1.313-1.953),and subjective cogni-tive decline(OR=2.424,95%CI:1.905-3.085),90 years old and above(OR=2.261,95%CI:1.304-3.922)and having disability(OR=1.341,95%CI:1.040~1.729)are risk factors for oral frailty in the elderly in Anhui Province.Conclusion:The incidence of oral frailty is high among the elderly in Anhui Province.Risk factors for oral frailty include sarcopenia,social isolation,subjective cognitive decline,advanced age,and disability.
4.Molecular mechanism of action and drug prediction of hepatic sinusoidal endothelial cells for regulating hepatic fibrosis via mesenchymal transition
Ruizhu JIANG ; Yang ZHENG ; Lei WANG ; Rongwu ZHANG ; Jiahui WANG ; Xilin LIAO ; Qiong CHEN
Chinese Journal of Comparative Medicine 2025;35(7):55-71
Objective To investigate the molecular mechanism of hepatic fibrosis(HF)regulation by liver sinusoidal endothelial cells(LSECs)via endothelial mesenchymal transition(EnMT),and to predict the natural active components using bioinformatics,machine learning,and cellular experiments.Methods HF and EnMT gene matrices were obtained and the intersecting genes were extracted and enriched using Limma difference analysis and weighted gene co-expression network analysis(WGCNA).The diagnostic genes were screened using a combination of random forest method,support vector machine-recursive feature elimination and network topology analysis,and immune infiltration analysis and prediction of natural active ingredients were performed.The expression of diagnostic genes and the pharmacological effects of the predicted ingredients were finally verified by cellular experiments.Results Differential analysis yielded 3034 EnMT-associated and 4133 HF-associated differential genes.WGCNA analysis yielded 4589 EnMT-associated Hub genes and 763 HF-associated Hub genes.Thirty-eight intersecting genes were extracted,which were mainly enriched in the pathways of basement membrane and extracellular matrix receptor interaction.Four diagnostic genes,CFP,COL4A2,ITGA1,and GRPEL1,were screened by multidimensional analysis.Immune infiltration analysis showed that the diagnostic genes were closely associated with mast cell resting state,memory B cells,and memory CD4+T cells.Reverse transcription-polymerase chain reaction analysis showed significantly increased mRNA expression levels of the four diagnostic genes in the Jagged1-induced model group(P<0.05).The predicted components,sterol,kaempferol,and quercetin,all had good binding activities with the diagnostic genes.Enzyme-linked immunosorbent assay result confirmed that all three active components significantly reduced the expression of collagen type Ⅳ α2 chain protein in Jagged1-induced LSECs,with quercetin having the most significant effect(P<0.01).Conclusions This study elucidated the molecular mechanism of hepatic sinusoidal endothelial cells involved in the pathological process of HF through mesenchymal transition.We also propose a diagnostic marker system including CFP,COL4A2,ITGA1,and GRPEL1 as core genes.The result also suggest that natural active ingredients,such as quercetin,may exert anti-HF pharmacological effects by targeting these diagnostic genes.
5.Pharmacokinetic study of ripretinib in patients with advanced gastrointestinal stromal tumors
Jiahui LIN ; Hao LI ; Aiting JIANG ; Xinhua ZHANG ; Yanzhe XIA
Practical Oncology Journal 2025;40(4):321-330
Objective To investigate the pharmacokinetic(PK)profile of ripretinib in patients with advanced gastrointestinal stromal tumors(GISTs)in real-world settings.Methods The PK data of eight advanced GIST patients treated with ripretinib and the steady-state trough concentration(Cmin)blood samples of 54 advanced GIST patients treated with ripretinib were collected from November 2023 to March 2025 at the First Affiliated Hospital of Sun Yat-sen University.A validated liquid chromatography-tandem mass spectrometry method was used to quantify ripretinib and DP-5439 concentrations.The PK profiles of ripretinib were characterized.Cmin was compared across various dosages.The correlations among PK parameters of ripretinib and DP-5439,and clinical features impacting PK were explored.Results All patients reached Cmin approximately 24 hours post-dose for ripretinib and DP-5439.The median time to maximum con-centration(Tmax)for both ripretinib and DP-5439 was 3.16 hours.The steady-state Cmin,maximum plasma concentration(Cmax),and area under the plasma concentration-time curve from 0 to 24 hours(AUC0-24 h)of ripretinib,DP-5439,and their combined total were found to be highly correlated(all r>0.85,all P<0.05).In patients receiving 150 mg once-daily(n=44),the median Cmin(range)was 381.66(40.90-1 045.48)ng/mL for ripretinib,589.08(25.28-1 168.11)ng/mL for DP-5439,and 998.00(66.18~2 381.48)ng/mL for total,with coeffi-cients of variation(CVs)of 59.4%,57.2%,and 53.6%.In the 300 mg group(n=11),the median Cmin(range)was 1 024.51(251.36-2 030.51)ng/mL for ripretinib,1 122.34(111.54-2 682.57)ng/mL for DP-5439,and 1 924.58(404.37-4 766.08)ng/mL for total,with CVs of 59.5%,57.3%,and 54.8%.Univariate analysis showed that no significant correlation was found between age or BMI and the dose-corrected Cmin of ripretinib and DP-5439(all P>0.05),and the median dose-corrected Cmin of ripretinib and DP-5439 was slightly lower in male patients than in female patients(P<0.05).In the multiple linear regression analysis,male patients were observed to have a lower median dose-cor-rected Cmin of DP-5439 than female patients(P=0.024),but no statistical difference was found in that of ripretinib(P>0.05).Conclusions In advanced GIST patients receiving ripretinib,ripretinib and DP-5439 reached Cmin 24 hours post-dose,just before the next administra-tion.The ripretinib,DP-5439,and total Cmin showed significant correlations with their AUC0-24 h,which indicated that Cmin could serve as an indicator of ripretinib exposure.The PK features of ripretinib in advanced GIST patients exhibit significant inter-individual variability.
6.Preliminary preparation and framework construction for developing clinical prediction models
Zichen YE ; Jiahui WANG ; Qu LU ; Peng XUE ; Yu JIANG
Chinese Journal of Epidemiology 2025;46(8):1438-1445
Clinical prediction models, which utilize clinical data and statistical methods, aim to enhance the accuracy and efficiency of medical decision-making and improve patient health outcomes. These models play a crucial role in optimizing healthcare decisions and tailoring treatments to individual needs. However, many studies currently face systemic challenges during the development process, including unclear model design objectives, redundant model construction, lack of clinical relevance in variable selection, and irregular data preprocessing. These issues finally lead to reduced model performance and limited clinical applicability. To address these challenges, this study systematically reviews relevant literature, including articles from the BMJ, and draws on practical research experience to propose a structured preparation process. This process aims to provide a scientific guiding framework for model development, ensuring the efficiency of subsequent model construction and the accuracy of predictions, thus laying a foundation for the application and advancement of clinical prediction models.
7.Methods and practical applications of clinical prediction model development
Zichen YE ; Jiahui WANG ; Qu LU ; Peng XUE ; Yu JIANG
Chinese Journal of Epidemiology 2025;46(9):1640-1649
Clinical prediction models are statistical tools that incorporate multiple variables to predict the likelihood of specific outcomes, by which the accuracy and efficiency of medical decision-making can be facilitated and patient health outcomes can be improved. However, many current studies face problems, such as model construction and reporting irregularities, as well as questionable reliability, which limit their clinical application of clinical prediction model. Therefore, this study systematically reviews relevant literatures, including publications from journals like BMJ, and outline the steps involved in constructing clinical prediction models based on practical research experience. It also provides an in-depth comparison of commonly used methods during the construction process and proposes a comprehensive guiding framework to help researchers in the field to better understand and master the core concepts and practical skills of clinical prediction models for the purpose of improving their professional capabilities in the development, validation, and application of clinical prediction models.
8.Role of uncoupling protein 2 in dexmedetomidine-induced alleviation of myocardial ischemia-reperfusion injury in diabetic mice
Jiahui DING ; Hanzhong CAO ; Jianjiang WU ; Jiang WANG
Chinese Journal of Anesthesiology 2025;45(4):438-443
Objective:To evaluate the role of uncoupling protein 2 in dexmedetomidine-induced alleviation of myocardial ischemia-reperfusion (I/R) injury in diabetic mice.Methods:SPF C57BL/6 male mice, aged 6-8 weeks, weighing 20-25 g, in which the model of type 2 diabetes mellitus was established by high-fat feeding combined with intraperitoneal injection of streptozotocin, were used in this study. Ninety diabetic mice were divided into 5 groups ( n=18 each) by a random number table method: sham operation group (S group), myocardial I/R group, myocardial I/R+ UCP2 inhibitor genipin group (I/R+ G group), myocardial I/R+ dexmedetomidine group (I/R+ D group) and myocardial I/R+ dexmedetomidine+ UCP2 inhibitor genipin group (I/R+ DG group). Myocardial I/R injury model was established by ligating the left anterior descending coronary artery of diabetic mice for 60 min followed by 120 min of reperfusion. Dexmedetomidine 20 μg/kg was intraperitoneally injected at 5 min prior to reperfusion in I/R+ D group. Genipin 100 mg/kg was intraperitoneally injected at 14 h prior to ischemia, and dexmedetomidine 20 μg/kg was intraperitoneally injected at 5 min prior to reperfusion in I/R+ D+ G group. The concentrations of cardiac troponin I (cTnI), tumor necrosis factor-α (TNF-α), interleukin-6 (IL-6) and IL-10 in serum were detected by enzyme-linked immunosorbent assay at 120 min of reperfusion. The myocardial tissue was obtained for determination of the myocardial infarct size, the level of reactive oxygen species (ROS) (by flow cytometry), and the expression of UCP2, nuclear factor kappa B (NF-κB) inhibitory protein α (IκBα), phosphorylated IκBα (p-IκBα), NF-κB p65 and phosphorylated NF-κB p65 (p-NF-κB p65) (by Western blot) and for observation of the morphological structure of the myocardial tissue. The cardiac function was evaluated by echocardiography at 24 h of reperfusion. Results:Compared with group S, the percentage of myocardial infarct size and level of ROS were significantly increased, the concentrations of cTnI, TNF-α, IL-6 and IL-10 were increased, the expression of UCP2 was up-regulated, the p-IκBα/IκBα ratio and p-NF-κB p65/NF-κB p65 ratio were increased, the stroke volume (SV), ejection fraction (EF), and left ventricular fractional shortening (FS) were decreased ( P<0.05), and the myocardial structure was severely damaged in group I/R. Compared with group I/R, the percentage of myocardial infarct size and level of ROS were significantly decreased, the concentrations of cTnI, TNF-α and IL-6 were decreased, the concentration of IL-10 was increased, the expression of UCP2 was up-regulated, the p-IκBα/IκBα ratio and p-NF-κB p65/NF-κB p65 ratio were decreased, the SV, EF and FS were increased ( P<0.05), and the pathological damage was significantly attenuated in group I/R+ D. Compared with group I/R+ D, the percentage of myocardial infarct size and level of ROS were significantly increased, the concentrations of cTnI, TNF-α and IL-6 were increased, the concentration of IL-10 was decreased, the expression of UCP2 was down-regulated, the p-IκBα/IκBα ratio and p-NF-κB p65/NF-κB p65 ratio were increased, the SV, EF and FS were decreased ( P<0.05), and the pathological damage was aggravated in group I/R+ D+ G. Conclusions:Dexmedetomidine may ameliorate myocardial I/R injury by up-regulating UCP2 expression in the myocardium and inhibiting mitochondrial ROS-mediated inflammatory responses in diabetic mice.
9.Trends in incidence and disease burden of hypertensive disorders in pregnancy in China from 1990 to 2021: an analysis based on Global Burden of Disease data
Manman CHEN ; Wanzhou WANG ; Qu LU ; Jiahui WANG ; Yuankai ZHAO ; Yu JIANG ; Xiaotian LI ; Qiongjie ZHOU
Chinese Journal of Obstetrics and Gynecology 2025;60(9):723-731
Objective:To analyze the changing trends and international differences in the incidence and disability-adjusted life years (DALY) of hypertensive disorders in pregnancy (HDP) in China from 1990 to 2021 based on the Global Burden of Disease (GBD) database.Methods:The data were derived from the GBD database, covering the incidence and DALY data of HDP in countries or regions around the world. Descriptive statistics were used to compare the differences in disease burden between China and different regions of Europe, America and other developed countries, and to analyze the disease burden characteristics of women of childbearing age in different age groups (every 5 years). The Joinpoint regression model was used to identify trend change points. The age-period-cohort model was used to analyze the independent effects of age, period and birth cohort.Results:(1) From 1990 to 2021, the incidence of HDP in China showed an overall downward trend, from 387.18/100 000 in 1990 to 216.35/100 000 in 2021. Compared with the global incidence rate (1990: 1 167.28/100 000; 2021: 923.48/100 000), the incidence rate of HDP in China was relatively low, but it was still higher than that in some developed countries. (2) The analysis of the Joinpoint regression model showed that the incidence rate of HDP in different age groups first decreased, then increased, and finally leveled off. The connection point with the lowest point was in 2005. DALY showed a continuous downward trend in all age groups. Among them, the decline in maternal DALY of pregnant women in all age groups from 15 to 39 years old was more obvious. (3) The age-period-cohort effect model showed that the incidence rate and DALY of HDP in women of childbearing age aged 20 to 24 years reached their peak.Conclusions:The burden of HDP in China continues to decrease, and the disease prevention and control has achieved remarkable results, but the incidence rate is still higher than that in some developed countries. It is suggested that personalized interventions should be developed for different risk groups to further reduce the burden of disease.
10.HJT-sRNA-m7 bencaosome modulates fibrosis progression in a silicosis mouse model
Jiahui CHANG ; Pengju REN ; Yunyi ZHOU ; Chengyu JIANG ; Yanli ZHANG
Basic & Clinical Medicine 2025;45(7):874-881
Objective To explore the role and mechanism of HJT-sRNA-m7(M7)bencaosome in a silicosis mouse model.Methods C57BL/6J mice were randomly divided into four groups:blank,control,negative control(NC)oligonucleotide,and M7 treatment(HJT-sRNA-m7 bencaosome)groups.After three rounds of pretreatment with HJT-sRNA-m7 bencaosome,all groups except the blank one were modeled via a single intratracheal exposure.Each mouse received 50 μL of a silica suspension at a dose of 200 mg/kg body weight via intratracheal instillation.From day 6 to day 26,the bencaosome was administered every other day via oral gavages.On day 28,pulmonary function tests were performed.Bronchoalveolar lavage fluid was collected for flow cytometry and cytokine analysis.The left lung was harvested for histopathological examination and Masson's trichrome staining to evaluate collagen fiber dep-osition.The right lung was used for hydroxyproline quantification to assess collagen accumulation.Results The re-sults of pulmonary function test,pathological analysis and hydroxyproline measurements all indicated that M7 ben-caosome treatment significantly alleviated silica-induced pulmonary fibrosis.Moreover,flow cytometry analysis of BALF confirmed that M7 bencaosome inhibited the silica-induced inflammatory response,that was supported by cy-tokine analysis.Conclusions HJT-sRNA-m7 bencaosome is quite effective to treat silicosis and inhibits mitigating pulmonary fibrosis progression in mouse models.


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