1.Construction of a postoperative mortality risk model for patients with acute aortic dissection based on XGBoost-SHAP method
Xin ZHANG ; Min FANG ; Yi CAO ; Ting-Ting LI ; Xian-Kong LIU ; Jia-Yi DANG ; Xue-Sen ZHAO ; Hong-Qin REN ; Jia-Ze GENG ; Kai-Wen WANG ; Tie-Sheng HAN ; Yong-Bo ZHAO ; Dong MA
Medical Journal of Chinese People's Liberation Army 2025;50(10):1226-1234
Objective To develop a predictive model for postoperative mortality risk in patients with acute aortic dissection(AAD)using the Extreme Gradient Boosting(XGBoost)algorithm combined with Shapley Additive Explanation(SHAP),and to establish a prediction website to serve as a diagnostic and therapeutic support platform for clinicians and patients.Methods A retrospective cohort study design was adopted.Data from 782 AAD patients who underwent surgical treatment at the Fourth Hospital of Hebei Medical University from January 2013 to December 2023 were collected,including basic information and initial serum biomarker test results.Patients were randomly divided into training and test sets at a 7:3 ratio.An external validation set consisting of 313 AAD patients admitted to the Second Hospital of Hebei Medical University from January 2020 to December 2023 was also established for further model validation.Variables were screened using LASSO regression,and an XGBoost machine learning model was constructed and interpreted using SHAP.The predictive performance of the model was evaluated using receiver operating characteristic(ROC)curve analysis.Using the Shiny package,the XGBoost model was deployed to shinyapps.io to create a prediction website for postoperative mortality risk in AAD patients.One patient was selected by simple random sampling from the test set and the external validation set respectively for the prediction example on the Shiny webpage.Results The XGBoost model demonstrated high predictive performance for postoperative mortality in AAD patients,with area under the ROC curve(AUC)values of 0.928(95%CI 0.901-0.956)in the training set,0.919(95%CI 0.891-0.949)in the test set,and 0.941(95%CI 0.915-0.967)in the external validation set.SHAP values indicated the following order of variable importance in the model(from highest to lowest):"lactate dehydrogenase""blood chlorine""multiple organ injury""carbon dioxide combining power""prothrombin time""α-hydroxybutyric acid""creatine kinase isoenzyme""Stanford classification""combined use of bedside blood purification""gender""acute kidney injury""gastrointestinal bleeding""brain injury"and"shock".A risk prediction website for adverse postoperative outcomes in AAD patients was developed using XGBoost-SHAP method(https://dun-dunxiaolu.shinyapps.io/document/)and validated with examples.One randomly selected patient from each of the test and external validation sets was applied:the predicted mortality risk value for patient 1(who died postoperatively)was 0.9539,and that for patient 2(who survived postoperatively)was 0.0206.Conclusions The XGBoost-SHAP model demonstrates high accuracy in predicting postoperative mortality risk for AAD patients.The online prediction tool established based on this model enhances the identification efficiency of high-risk postoperative mortality patients.
2.Clinical Observation of Self-formulated Shenqi Buwei Decoction in the Treatment of Stable Chronic Obstructive Pulmonary Disease with Lung-Spleen Qi Deficiency Syndrome
Meng-Meng ZHANG ; Qiao LI ; Qing-Yong XIONG ; Jia-Yao LI ; Lin-Na XIE ; Jia-Sheng LU ; Ze-Geng LI
Journal of Guangzhou University of Traditional Chinese Medicine 2024;41(8):1994-2000
Objective To observe the clinical efficacy of self-formulated Shenqi Buwei Decoction(derived from Huangqi Renshen Decoction)in treating patients with stable chronic obstructive pulmonary disease(COPD)differentiated as lung-spleen qi deficiency syndrome.Methods A total of 110 patients with stable COPD differentiated as lung-spleen qi deficiency syndrome were randomly divided into a control group and an observation group,with 55 patients in each group.The control group was given Tiotropium Bromide Inhalation Powder for the inhalation treatment,and the observation group was given Shenqi Buwei Decoction on the basis of treatment for the control group,and the course of treatment covered 3 months.The changes of pulmonary function indicators of forced expiratory volume in one second(FEV1),forced vital capacity(FVC),and one-second rate of FEV1/FVC,modified Medical Research Council index(mMRC)dyspnea scores,6-minute walk test(6MWT),COPD Assessment Test(CAT)scores,and traditional Chinese medicine(TCM)syndrome scores in the two groups were observed before and after treatment.After treatment,the clinical efficacy and safety of the two groups were evaluated.Results(1)During the trial,one patient was excluded and two patients fell off from the observation group,and three patients fell off from the control group.Eventually,52 patients in each of the two groups were included in the efficacy statistics.(2)After 3 months of treatment,the total effective rate of the observation group was 80.77%(42/52)and that of the control group was 67.31%(35/52).The intergroup comparison(tested by chi-square test)showed that the therapeutic effect of the observation group was slightly superior to that of the control group,but the difference was not statistically significant(P>0.05).(3)In terms of indexes,After treatment,the levels of pulmonary function indicators of FEV1,FEV1/FVC in the control group and FEV1,FVC,FEV1/FVC in the observation group were significantly improved compared with those before treatment(P<0.05),and the improvement of FEV1,FVC,FEV1/FVC in the observation group was significantly superior to that in the control group(P<0.05).(4)After treatment,the 6MWT,mMRC and CAT scores of the two groups were significantly improved compared with those before treatment(P<0.05),and the improvement in the observation group was significantly superior to that in the control group(P<0.05).(5)After treatment,the TCM syndrome scores of the two groups of patients were significantly decreased in comparison with those before treatment(P<0.05),and the decrease in the observation group was significantly superior to that in the control group(P<0.05).(6)During the treatment process,no obvious adverse reactions occurred in the two groups of patients,there were no abnormal changes in the safety indicators,either.Conclusion On the basis of conventional western medicine treatment,the combined use of Shenqi Buwei Decoction exerts certain efficacy in the treatment of patients with stable COPD differentiated as lung-spleen qi deficiency syndrome.The combined therapy can effectively improve the ventilation function,relieve the clinical symptoms,improve the quality of life and delay the decline of lung function of the patients.
3.Correlation between Anxiety, Depression, and Sleep Quality in College Students.
Yu Tong ZHANG ; Tao HUANG ; Fang ZHOU ; Ao Di HUANG ; Xiao Qi JI ; Lu HE ; Qiang GENG ; Jia WANG ; Can MEI ; Yu Jia XU ; Ze Long YANG ; Jian Bo ZHAN ; Jing CHENG
Biomedical and Environmental Sciences 2022;35(7):648-651
4.An Introduction of EVIDEM Framework and Its Application in Healthcare Decision Making
Ze-qi DAI ; Si-min XU ; Xue WU ; Lu-lu JIA ; Jin-song GENG ; Hui ZHAO ; Xing LIAO
Chinese Journal of Experimental Traditional Medical Formulae 2022;28(4):212-218
Evidence and value:impact on DEcisionMaking (EVIDEM) framework was developed by EVIDEM collaboration. Its core is the combination of multiple criteria decision analysis (MCDA) model and standardized health technology assessment (HTA) report, which aims to evaluate the overall value of medical interventions. It has been tested and implemented in the real-world evaluation environments. After more than 10 years of development, EVIDEM framework has been updated to version 10, and the relevant operation manuals have been published. More than 40 countries have joined the collaboration and more than 20 countries have carried out relevant studies. The framework is constructed with patients, population and sustainability as the overall goals, combing the evidence and value, forming a relatively complete decision-making framework system composed of 2 levels, 7 dimensions and 20 criteria. The two levels include normative universal criteria and contextual criteria. The normative universal criteria, namely EVIDEM core model, is the quantitative evaluation, consisting of 5 dimensions and 13 criteria. Contextual criteria, namely contextual tools, are qualitative evaluation, consisting of 2 dimensions and 7 criteria. The specific operation steps of EVIDEM framework include selecting and constructing criteria, assigning weights, integrating and evaluating evidence, quantitative and qualitative evaluation of value, comprehensive value estimation and ranking based on value estimation. EVIDEM framework is applicable to disease diagnosis, treatment, management and other fields. Its application scope includes medical insurance reimbursement, clinical practice decision-making, drug selection and so on, which can provide a method for more systematic, transparent and scientific healthcare decision-making. At present, the framework has been introduced into the field of traditional Chinese medicine and can provide a scientific and feasible evaluation tool and methodology system for the clinical comprehensive evaluation of Chinese patent medicine.
5.Effect of Qiyu Sanlong Decoction in Inducing Autophagy of A549 Cells by Regulating Molecular Expression Related to Signal Axis of mTOR-Beclin1-LC3
Ya-ting GAO ; Xin-heng WANG ; Xiao-le WANG ; Jian-chao CHENG ; Xing-xing ZHANG ; Jia-bing TONG ; Ze-geng LI
Chinese Journal of Experimental Traditional Medical Formulae 2021;27(1):98-104
Objective:To observe the effect of Qiyu Sanlong decoction (QYSL) on the expressions of key molecules in signal axis of mammalian rapamycin target protein (mTOR)/yeast Atg6 homologous (Beclin1)/ microtubule-associated protein1 light chain3 (LC3) in A549 cells. Method:With A549 cells as the research object, the effect of QYSL medicated serum on cell viability of A549 cells were detected by cell counting kit-8 (CCK-8) method. The effect of QYSL decoction on A549 cell apoptosis, autophagosome formation and the expression of autophagy markers were detected by Terminal-deoxynucleoitidyl transferase mediated nick end labeling (TUNEL) method, transmission electron microscope (TEM), Real-time polymerase chain reaction (Real-time PCR) and Western blot. Result:QYSL medicated serum could inhibit the viability of A549 cells in a concentration-dependent manner. Compared with the blank serum group, the number of apoptotic A549 cells in the QYSL medicated serum group was significantly increased (
6.Effect of Mashao Pingchuan Decoction on Traditional Chinese Medicine Symptoms and Quality of Life in Patients with Cold Asthma of Bronchial Asthma
Qin-jun YANG ; Jia-bing TONG ; Cheng YANG ; Xin-heng WANG ; Ming-xiang HAN ; Ze-geng LI
Chinese Journal of Experimental Traditional Medical Formulae 2021;27(5):84-90
Objective:To evaluate the effect of Mashao Pingchuan decoction on traditional Chinese medicine
7.Mechanism of Qiyu Sanlong Prescription in Inhibiting "Addiction" of Lung Cancer A549 Cells to miRNA21
Xing-xing ZHANG ; Ya-ting GAO ; Xiao-le WANG ; Qin-jun YANG ; Tong LIU ; Jia-bing TONG ; Ze-geng LI
Chinese Journal of Experimental Traditional Medical Formulae 2021;27(11):35-41
Objective:To investigate the molecular mechanism of Qiyu Sanlong prescription (QYSL) in inhibiting the "addiction" of lung cancer A549 cells to miRNA21. Method:The human lung cancer A549 cells were routinely passaged and divided into the blank group, blank serum group, QYSL-containing serum group, and siRNA group. The prepared QYSL-containing serum was used for intervention, with the optimal concentration and action time determined in previous studies. The protein and mRNA expression levels of miRNA21 and related molecules in its target phosphatase and tensin homolog deleted on chromosome 10 (PTEN)/phosphatidylinositol 3-kinase (PI3K) signaling pathway were detected by real-time polymerase chain reaction (Real-time PCR) and Western blot assay. Result:The comparison with the blank serum group revealed that the mRNA expression levels of miRNA21 in the QYSL-containing serum group and the siRNA group were decreased, while the PTEN mRNA expression in the QYSL-containing serum group was increased, showing significant differences (
8.Effect of Qiyu Sanlong Decoction in Inhibiting Growth of Lung Cancer by Regulating Expressions of Beclin1, Atg5 and LC3B
Jian-chao CHENG ; Jia-bing TONG ; Jie ZHU ; Xing-xing ZHANG ; Ya-ting GAO ; Yang CHEN ; Ze-geng LI ; Li-li ZHENG
Chinese Journal of Experimental Traditional Medical Formulae 2020;26(9):29-35
Objective::To study the effect of Qiyu Sanlong decoction on the growth of subcutaneous tumor in lung cancer mice and the expressions of key autophagy molecule, yeast Atg6 homologous (Beclin1), autophagy related genes5 (Atg5), and microtubule-associated protein1 light chain3 (LC3B). Method::Lewis lung carcinoma cells (LLC) were used to reproduce the lung cancer mice transplanted model. After the modeling, the mice were randomly divided into model group, Qiyu Sanlong decoction group, chemotherapy group and combination group, with 18 transplanted mice in each group. In model group, mice were fed with 0.9% saline 20 mL·kg-1 daily. In Qiyu Sanlong decoction group, mice were fed with Qiyu Sanlong decoction 80.48 g·kg-1 daily. The chemotherapy group was intraperitoneally injected with 0.4 mL cisplatin solution (DDP) at the 1st, 3rd and 5th day. The combination group was orally given the drugs at the concentration of 80.48 g·kg-1, and 0.4 mL DDP solution was intraperitoneally injected at the 1st, 3rd and 5th day. After 21 days of continuous treatment, tumor tissue was exfoliated and weighed, and the tumor inhibition rate was calculated. Hematoxylin-eosin (HE) staining was used to observe the histological changes of tumor. The expressions and localizations of Beclin1 and LC3B in tumor tissues were detected by immunohistochemical staining. Protein expressions of Beclin1, Atg5, LC3B-Ⅰand LC3B-Ⅱ were determined by Western blot, and the ratio of LC3B-Ⅱ/LC3B-Ⅰ was calculated. The transcription levels of Beclin1, Atg5 mRNA in tumor tissues were detected by Real-time PCR. Result::Qiyu Sanlong decoction had a mild inhibitory effect on transplanted tumor, with an inhibitory rate of 31.2%. Under microscope, patchy necrotic tumor cells were observed in the tumor tissues of Qiyu Sanlong decoction group. Immunohistochemical staining and Western blot analysis showed that Qiyu Sanlong decoction could up-regulate the expressions of Beclin1, Atg5 and LC3B protein (
9.Differences of brain pathological changes and cognitive function after bilateral common carotid artery occlusion between Sprague-Dawley and Wistar rats.
Wei SUN ; Yue GENG ; Ye-Ting CHEN ; Xiao-Hang TANG ; Yong-Jie ZHANG ; Sheng-Hua GU ; Jia-Jun XIE ; Ze-An ZHANG ; Xue-Song TIAN
Acta Physiologica Sinica 2019;71(5):705-716
The aim of the present study was to investigate the differences of the pathological changes and cognitive function after bilateral common carotid artery occlusion (BCCAO) between Sprague-Dawley (SD) and Wistar rats. Male SD and Wistar rats were randomly divided into 2 groups, respectively: sham operated (S-sham and W-sham) and operated (S-BCCAO and W-BCCAO) groups. The survival rate and the rate of loss of pupillary light reflex (PLR) were observed on day 1, 3, 7, 14 and 28 after the operation, and the light-dark box, Y-maze and odor recognition tests were performed to detect cognitive function on day 28 after the operation. HE and Luxol fast blue staining were used to observe the pathological changes of gray matter (hippocampus), white matter (optical tract), optic nerve, and retina. The results showed that the survival rate of the W-BCCAO group was 62.5%, and PLR loss rate was 100%; whereas the survival rate of the S-BCCAO group was 100%, and PLR loss rate was 58.3%. In the W-BCCAO group, percentages of time spent and distance traveled in the light box were more than those in the W-sham group, but there was no statistical significance between the S-BCCAO and S-sham groups. In the S-BCCAO group, the percentages of time spent and distance traveled in the III arm (labyrinth arm) of the Y-maze were less than those in the S-sham group, but no statistical significance was found between the W-BCCAO group and W-sham group. In the S-BCCAO group, the discrimination ratio of the odor recognition task was less than that in the S-sham group, but no statistical significance could be seen between the W-BCCAO and W-sham groups. Ischemic injury was observed in the CA1 area of the hippocampus in the S-BCCAO group, but no readily visible damage was observed in the W-BCCAO group. Ischemic injury of the visual beam and optic nerve was observed in both the S-BCCAO and W-BCCAO groups. Compared with the corresponding sham groups, the S-BCCAO and W-BCCAO groups showed serious retinal damage with significant thinner retina. The ganglion cell layer (GCL), inner plexiform layer (IPL), and outer plexiform layer (OPL) were thinner in the S-BCCAO group, but no statistical significances were shown in the other layers. All the layers, except the outer nuclear layer (ONL), were significantly thinner in the W-BCCAO group. The results indicate that there are differences of the pathological changes in the hippocampus and visual conduction pathway after BCCAO between SD and Wistar rats, and the degree of learning and memory injury was also different, which suggests that the vascular dementia model of different rat strains should be selected according to research purpose.
Animals
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Brain
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pathology
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Carotid Artery Diseases
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pathology
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Carotid Artery, Common
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pathology
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Cognition
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Disease Models, Animal
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Male
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Rats
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Rats, Sprague-Dawley
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Rats, Wistar
10. Research on Treatment of Chronic Cough Based on Cluster Analysis and Factor Analysis
Qin-jun YANG ; Ming-xiang HAN ; Ze-geng LI ; Xin-heng WANG ; Ya-ting GAO ; Jia-bing TONG ; Cheng YANG ; Chuan-bo WANG
Chinese Journal of Experimental Traditional Medical Formulae 2019;25(19):155-160
Objective:To summarize medication law of prescription and clinical experience on the treatment of chronic cough through data mining technology. Method:The formula information of 650 cases of chronic cough cases diagnosed and treated by professor HAN Ming-xiang was processed with data mining technology, and system cluster analysis and factor analysis were conducted by SPSS Statistics 22.0. Result:High-frequency medicines of professor HAN Ming-xiang for treating chronic cough were Stemonae Radix, Citri Reticulatae Pericarpium, Asteris Radix et Rhizoma and other 37 herbs, their frequency of occurrence accounted for 80.52%. According to the efficacy, the medicines could be classified into 10 categories, such as expectorant cough antiasthmatic drugs, tonifying deficiency drugs, and diaphoretic drugs. Cluster analysis showed 5 combinations of drugs. Factor analysis yielded 13 common factors, such as Stemonae Radix-Asteris Radix et Rhizoma-Farfarae Flos-Cynanchi Stauntonii Rhizoma et Radix, Asari Radix et Rhizoma-Schisandrae Chinensis Fructus-Zingiberis Rhizoma-Fritillariae Thunbergii Bulbus. Conclusion:Combined with clinical experience, it can be concluded that clinical treatment of professor HAN Ming-xiang for chronic cough attaches great importance to the pathogenesis of wind-evil, Yang deficiency and cold phlegm underlying lung, phlegm and blood stasis and Qi stagnation. The treatment mainly starts from the lung and spleen, with the method of warm and moist, or with some traditional Chinese medicines with the function of removing phlegm by warming the lung, dispersing cold by thinning the surface, strengthening the spleen and resolving phlegm, strengthening the lung and fixing the surface, and relieving spasmolysis by wind.

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