1.Construction of a postoperative mortality risk model for patients with acute aortic dissection based on XGBoost-SHAP method
Xin ZHANG ; Min FANG ; Yi CAO ; Ting-Ting LI ; Xian-Kong LIU ; Jia-Yi DANG ; Xue-Sen ZHAO ; Hong-Qin REN ; Jia-Ze GENG ; Kai-Wen WANG ; Tie-Sheng HAN ; Yong-Bo ZHAO ; Dong MA
Medical Journal of Chinese People's Liberation Army 2025;50(10):1226-1234
Objective To develop a predictive model for postoperative mortality risk in patients with acute aortic dissection(AAD)using the Extreme Gradient Boosting(XGBoost)algorithm combined with Shapley Additive Explanation(SHAP),and to establish a prediction website to serve as a diagnostic and therapeutic support platform for clinicians and patients.Methods A retrospective cohort study design was adopted.Data from 782 AAD patients who underwent surgical treatment at the Fourth Hospital of Hebei Medical University from January 2013 to December 2023 were collected,including basic information and initial serum biomarker test results.Patients were randomly divided into training and test sets at a 7:3 ratio.An external validation set consisting of 313 AAD patients admitted to the Second Hospital of Hebei Medical University from January 2020 to December 2023 was also established for further model validation.Variables were screened using LASSO regression,and an XGBoost machine learning model was constructed and interpreted using SHAP.The predictive performance of the model was evaluated using receiver operating characteristic(ROC)curve analysis.Using the Shiny package,the XGBoost model was deployed to shinyapps.io to create a prediction website for postoperative mortality risk in AAD patients.One patient was selected by simple random sampling from the test set and the external validation set respectively for the prediction example on the Shiny webpage.Results The XGBoost model demonstrated high predictive performance for postoperative mortality in AAD patients,with area under the ROC curve(AUC)values of 0.928(95%CI 0.901-0.956)in the training set,0.919(95%CI 0.891-0.949)in the test set,and 0.941(95%CI 0.915-0.967)in the external validation set.SHAP values indicated the following order of variable importance in the model(from highest to lowest):"lactate dehydrogenase""blood chlorine""multiple organ injury""carbon dioxide combining power""prothrombin time""α-hydroxybutyric acid""creatine kinase isoenzyme""Stanford classification""combined use of bedside blood purification""gender""acute kidney injury""gastrointestinal bleeding""brain injury"and"shock".A risk prediction website for adverse postoperative outcomes in AAD patients was developed using XGBoost-SHAP method(https://dun-dunxiaolu.shinyapps.io/document/)and validated with examples.One randomly selected patient from each of the test and external validation sets was applied:the predicted mortality risk value for patient 1(who died postoperatively)was 0.9539,and that for patient 2(who survived postoperatively)was 0.0206.Conclusions The XGBoost-SHAP model demonstrates high accuracy in predicting postoperative mortality risk for AAD patients.The online prediction tool established based on this model enhances the identification efficiency of high-risk postoperative mortality patients.
2.Leptin promotes breast cancer cell MCF-7 migration and invasion through inhibiting ACSL5
Tao ZENG ; Lan WEI ; Yong-zhu XU ; Shi-yu YANG ; Hao-li SUN ; Ting-ting DANG ; Yi-qing YOU ; Jia-feng TANG ; Yan ZHANG
Chinese Pharmacological Bulletin 2025;41(4):654-660
Aim To explore the possible regulatory effect of leptin on acyl-CoA synthetase long chain fami-ly member ACSL5 and their effect on migration and in-vasion of breast cancer cell,and to explore the underly-ing mechanism.Methods The expression of leptin receptor was detected by immunofluorescence assay.The migration and invasion ability of MCF-7 cells were detected by wound healing assay and Transwell assay respectively.The downstream target gene of leptin was analyzed by PCR microarray data.The expression of ACSL5 in breast cancer and its correlation with the staging and prognosis of breast cancer patients were as-sessed uing bioinformatics methods.The expression of ACSL5 in MCF-7 cells treated with different concentra-tions of leptin was detected using real time fluorescence quantitative polymerase chain reaction(RT-qPCR).Overexpressing ACSL5 was constructed by lentiviral transfection;the expressions of EMT related proteins,AMPK-α and p-AMPK-α were detected by Western blot.Results Leptin promoted breast cancer cell mi-gration and invasion and EMT.ACSL5 was significant-ly low expressed in breast cancer and related to progno-sis.Leptin downregulated the expression of ACSL5 through OBR.Leptin activated AMPK pathway to downregulate ACSL5 and promote migration,invasion and EMT of breast cancer cells.Conclusions Leptin may promote the migration,invasion and EMT of breast cancer by downregulating ACSL5 through activating AMPK pathway.
3.Leptin promotes breast cancer cell MCF-7 migration and invasion through inhibiting ACSL5
Tao ZENG ; Lan WEI ; Yong-zhu XU ; Shi-yu YANG ; Hao-li SUN ; Ting-ting DANG ; Yi-qing YOU ; Jia-feng TANG ; Yan ZHANG
Chinese Pharmacological Bulletin 2025;41(4):654-660
Aim To explore the possible regulatory effect of leptin on acyl-CoA synthetase long chain fami-ly member ACSL5 and their effect on migration and in-vasion of breast cancer cell,and to explore the underly-ing mechanism.Methods The expression of leptin receptor was detected by immunofluorescence assay.The migration and invasion ability of MCF-7 cells were detected by wound healing assay and Transwell assay respectively.The downstream target gene of leptin was analyzed by PCR microarray data.The expression of ACSL5 in breast cancer and its correlation with the staging and prognosis of breast cancer patients were as-sessed uing bioinformatics methods.The expression of ACSL5 in MCF-7 cells treated with different concentra-tions of leptin was detected using real time fluorescence quantitative polymerase chain reaction(RT-qPCR).Overexpressing ACSL5 was constructed by lentiviral transfection;the expressions of EMT related proteins,AMPK-α and p-AMPK-α were detected by Western blot.Results Leptin promoted breast cancer cell mi-gration and invasion and EMT.ACSL5 was significant-ly low expressed in breast cancer and related to progno-sis.Leptin downregulated the expression of ACSL5 through OBR.Leptin activated AMPK pathway to downregulate ACSL5 and promote migration,invasion and EMT of breast cancer cells.Conclusions Leptin may promote the migration,invasion and EMT of breast cancer by downregulating ACSL5 through activating AMPK pathway.
4.The influence of holmium laser enucleation of the prostate with early complete transection of the urethral mucosa at the tip of the prostate on urinary control function and sexual function in patients with benign prostatic hyperplasia
Binbin ZHANG ; Lingling DU ; Xiaolong HE ; Yi LI ; Yantao DANG ; Jixue GAO ; Feng WANG ; Junqi JIA
Journal of Chinese Physician 2025;27(4):561-567
Objective:To explore the effects of holmium laser enucleation of the prostate with early complete transection of the urethral mucosa at the tip of the prostate on urinary control function and sexual function in patients with benign prostatic hyperplasia (BPH).Methods:Eighty patients with BPH who underwent holmium laser enucleation of the prostate in the Affiliated Hospital of Yan′an University from January 2019 to January 2023 were collected as the research subjects. The patients were divided into the observation group and the control group by the random number table method, with 40 cases in each group. The observation group underwent early holmium laser enucleation of the prostate with early complete transection of the urethral mucosa at the tip of the prostate, while the control group underwent conventional holmium laser prostatectomy. The general conditions, urinary control function and sexual function of the two groups of patients after the operation were compared. The adverse ejaculation conditions 6 months after the operation were recorded.Results:There was no statistically significant difference in age and prostate volume between the two groups of patients (all P>0.05). The operation time, intraoperative blood loss, postoperative indwelling urinary catheter time and postoperative hospital stay in the observation group were significantly less than those in the control group (all P<0.05). The International Prostate Symptom Scale (IPSS) score, Quality of Life (QOL) score, the maximum flow rate (Qmax), and post void residual (PVR) in the bladder of the two groups of patients 6 months after the operation were compared with those before the operation, and the differences were statistically significant (all P<0.05), while there were no statistically significant differences between the groups (all P>0.05). There were no statistically significant differences in the International Index of Erectile Function (IIEF-5) scores and Erection Hardness Grading Scale (EHGS) grades of the two groups of patients 6 months after surgery compared with those before surgery (all P>0.05), and there were also no statistically significant differences between the groups (all P>0.05). There was no statistically significant difference in the ejaculation function score and ejaculation distress score 6 months after the operation in the observation group compared with those before the operation (all P>0.05), while in the control group, the ejaculation function score 6 months after the operation was lower than that before the operation, and the ejaculation distress score was higher than that before the operation (all P<0.05). The ejaculation function score and ejaculation distress score of the observation group 6 months after the operation were significantly better than those of the control group (all P<0.05). The incidences of retrograde ejaculation and reduced semen volume 6 months after the operation in the observation group were both lower than those in the control group (all P<0.05). There was no statistically significant difference in the incidence of rapid ejaculation, ejaculation pain, hematospermia, etc. between the two groups of patients 6 months after the operation (all P>0.05). Conclusions:In holmium laser enucleation of the prostate, early complete transection of the urethral mucosa at the tip of the prostate has an improving effect on urinary control function and sexual function in patients with BPH, and increases the confidence in postoperative life and satisfaction with orgasm of BPH patients.
5.The influence of holmium laser enucleation of the prostate with early complete transection of the urethral mucosa at the tip of the prostate on urinary control function and sexual function in patients with benign prostatic hyperplasia
Binbin ZHANG ; Lingling DU ; Xiaolong HE ; Yi LI ; Yantao DANG ; Jixue GAO ; Feng WANG ; Junqi JIA
Journal of Chinese Physician 2025;27(4):561-567
Objective:To explore the effects of holmium laser enucleation of the prostate with early complete transection of the urethral mucosa at the tip of the prostate on urinary control function and sexual function in patients with benign prostatic hyperplasia (BPH).Methods:Eighty patients with BPH who underwent holmium laser enucleation of the prostate in the Affiliated Hospital of Yan′an University from January 2019 to January 2023 were collected as the research subjects. The patients were divided into the observation group and the control group by the random number table method, with 40 cases in each group. The observation group underwent early holmium laser enucleation of the prostate with early complete transection of the urethral mucosa at the tip of the prostate, while the control group underwent conventional holmium laser prostatectomy. The general conditions, urinary control function and sexual function of the two groups of patients after the operation were compared. The adverse ejaculation conditions 6 months after the operation were recorded.Results:There was no statistically significant difference in age and prostate volume between the two groups of patients (all P>0.05). The operation time, intraoperative blood loss, postoperative indwelling urinary catheter time and postoperative hospital stay in the observation group were significantly less than those in the control group (all P<0.05). The International Prostate Symptom Scale (IPSS) score, Quality of Life (QOL) score, the maximum flow rate (Qmax), and post void residual (PVR) in the bladder of the two groups of patients 6 months after the operation were compared with those before the operation, and the differences were statistically significant (all P<0.05), while there were no statistically significant differences between the groups (all P>0.05). There were no statistically significant differences in the International Index of Erectile Function (IIEF-5) scores and Erection Hardness Grading Scale (EHGS) grades of the two groups of patients 6 months after surgery compared with those before surgery (all P>0.05), and there were also no statistically significant differences between the groups (all P>0.05). There was no statistically significant difference in the ejaculation function score and ejaculation distress score 6 months after the operation in the observation group compared with those before the operation (all P>0.05), while in the control group, the ejaculation function score 6 months after the operation was lower than that before the operation, and the ejaculation distress score was higher than that before the operation (all P<0.05). The ejaculation function score and ejaculation distress score of the observation group 6 months after the operation were significantly better than those of the control group (all P<0.05). The incidences of retrograde ejaculation and reduced semen volume 6 months after the operation in the observation group were both lower than those in the control group (all P<0.05). There was no statistically significant difference in the incidence of rapid ejaculation, ejaculation pain, hematospermia, etc. between the two groups of patients 6 months after the operation (all P>0.05). Conclusions:In holmium laser enucleation of the prostate, early complete transection of the urethral mucosa at the tip of the prostate has an improving effect on urinary control function and sexual function in patients with BPH, and increases the confidence in postoperative life and satisfaction with orgasm of BPH patients.
6.Trends of age of menarche among Chinese Han girls aged 9 to 18 years from 2010 to 2019.
Ning MA ; Di SHI ; Shan CAI ; Jia Jia DANG ; Pan Liang ZHONG ; Yun Fei LIU ; Jing LI ; Yan Hui DONG ; Pei Jin HU ; Bin DONG ; Tian Jiao CHEN ; Yi SONG ; Jun MA
Chinese Journal of Preventive Medicine 2023;57():36-41
Objective: To analyze the trends of the age of menarche among Chinese Han girls aged 9 to 18 years from 2010 to 2019. Methods: Data were extracted from the Chinese National Surveys on Students' Constitution and Health in 2010, 2014 and 2019. A total of 253 037 Han girls aged 9 to 18 years with complete data on menarche were selected in this study. They were asked one-on-one about their menstrual status, age and residence information. The median age of menarche was estimated by probability regression. U tests were used to compare the difference in median age at menarche in different years. Results: The median age at menarche (95%CI) among Chinese Han girls was 12.47 (12.09-12.83) years in 2010, 12.17 (11.95-12.38) years in 2014 and 12.05 (10.82-13.08) years in 2019, respectively. Compared with that in 2010, the median age at menarche in 2019 decreased by 0.42 years (U=-77.27, P<0.001). The annual average changes were-0.076 years from 2010 to 2014 (U=-57.19, P<0.001) and-0.023 years from 2014 to 2019 (U=-21.41, P<0.001), respectively. The average annual changes in urban areas in the periods of 2010 to 2014 and 2014 to 2019 were-0.071 years and 0.006 years, respectively, while those in rural areas were-0.082 years and-0.053 years, respectively. The average annual changes in the regions of north, northeast, east, south central, southwest and northwest were-0.064, -0.099, -0.091, -0.080, -0.096 and-0.041 years in the period of 2010 to 2014 and 0.001, -0.040, -0.002, -0.005, -0.043 and-0.081 years in the period of 2014 to 2019. Conclusion: The age of menarche among Chinese Han girls aged 9 to 18 years shows an advanced trend from 2010 to 2019, and the trends in urban and rural areas and different regions have different characteristics.
7.Long-term trend of the age of spermarche and its association with nutritional status among Chinese Han boys aged 11-18 from 2010 to 2019.
Di SHI ; Ning MA ; Yun Fei LIU ; Jia Jia DANG ; Pan Liang ZHONG ; Shan CAI ; Li CHEN ; Yan Hui DONG ; Pei Jin HU ; Yi SONG ; Jun MA ; Jing LI
Chinese Journal of Preventive Medicine 2023;57():42-48
Objective: To analyze the long-term trend of the age of spermarche among Chinese Han boys aged 11 to 18 from 2010 to 2019 and its association with nutritional status. Methods: The data from Chinese National Surveys on Students' Constitution and Health in 2010, 2014 and 2019 were used. The age, residence and spermarche of the participants were collected by questionnaire, and their height and weight were measured. A total of 184 633 Han boys aged 11‒18 years with complete data on spermarche, height, and weight were included in this study. The probability regression method was used to calculate the median age (95%CI) at spermarche in different areas, and the trend of age at spermarche in different groups was compared. The multivariate logistic regression model was used to analyze the association between nutritional status and spermarche of Chinese Han boys aged 11‒18 years. Results: The median age of spermarche (95%CI) was 13.85 (13.45-14.22) years old among Chinese Han boys aged 11‒18 years in 2019, with 0.18 years earlier than that in 2010. The median age at spermarche in urban and rural boys was 13.89 and 13.81 years, respectively. Compared with that in 2010, the age at spermarche in urban and rural boys was 0.08 and 0.27 years earlier, respectively. After adjusting for age, province and urban/rural areas, compared with normal weight, spermarche was negatively associated with wasting and positively associated with overweight and obesity, with OR (95%CI) about 0.73 (0.67-0.80), 1.09 (1.02-1.17) and 1.09 (1.01-1.18), respectively. Conclusion: The age of spermarche generally shows an advanced trend among Chinese Han boys and is associated with nutritional status.
8.Trend of the detection rate of myopia among Chinese Han children and adolescents aged 7-18 years from 2010 to 2019.
Pan Liang ZHONG ; Ning MA ; Yun Fei LIU ; Jia Jia DANG ; Di SHI ; Shan CAI ; Li CHEN ; Jie Yu LIU ; Yan Hui DONG ; Bin DONG ; Pei Jin HU ; Jun MA ; Yi SONG
Chinese Journal of Preventive Medicine 2023;57():20-26
Objective: To analyze the trend of the detection rate of myopia among Chinese Han children and adolescents aged 7-18 years from 2010 to 2019. Methods: Data from the Chinese National Survey on Students' Constitution and Health in 2010, 2014 and 2019 were used, and about 213 833, 212 742 and 209 942 Han students aged 7-18 years were included in this study. The χ² test was used to compare the differences in the prevalence of myopia among the subgroups in the survey year, and logistic regression was used to compare the differences in the prevalence of myopia between different years. A curve-fitting method was used to obtain the growth rate of myopia among Han Chinese students from 2010 to 2019, and the differences in the change of myopia between different age groups were analyzed. Results: In 2019, the overall detection rate of myopia among Chinese Han children and adolescents aged 7-18 was 60.1%. The detection rate of urban students (62.7%) was higher than that of rural students (57.4%) and the detection rate of girls (63.5%) was higher than that of boys (56.7%). In 2019, the regional disparities were large in the detection rate of myopia in various provinces, with the lowest in Guizhou (49.6%) and the highest in Zhejiang (71.3%). The detection rate of myopia showed an upward trend from 2010 to 2019, from 55.5% in 2010 to 57.1% in 2014, and finally to 60.1% in 2019. The gap in the detection rate of myopia between urban and rural children and adolescents gradually shrank. The average annual growth rate of myopia detection rate from 2014 to 2019 was 0.6 percentage points per year, higher than that from 2010 to 2014 about 0.4 percentage points per year. The peak age of the growth rate of myopia detection rate decreased from 12 years in 2010 to 10 years in 2014, and finally to 7 years in 2019. Conclusions: The detection rate of myopia among Chinese Han children and adolescents is still at a high level, and the peak age of the growth rate of myopia detection rate continues to advance.
9.Perceived exercise benefits and barriers and their association with physical activity time in Chinese Han children and adolescents aged 9 to 18 years.
Ning MA ; Pan Liang ZHONG ; Jia Jia DANG ; Yun Fei LIU ; Di SHI ; Shan CAI ; Yan Hui DONG ; Pei Jin HU ; Jun MA ; Yi SONG
Chinese Journal of Epidemiology 2023;44(3):422-429
Objective: To analyze the perceived exercise benefits and barriers and their association with physical activity time in Chinese Han children and adolescents aged 9-18 years. Methods: Data were extracted from the 2019 Chinese National Survey on Students' Constitution and Health and a total of 163 656 children and adolescents aged 9-18 years in Han ethnic group were included in the analysis. Mann-Whitney U test and Kruskal-Wallis test were used to compare the perceived exercise benefits score, perceived exercise barriers score and perceived exercise benefits to barriers ratio in the children and adolescents with different demographic characteristics and physical activity time. The differences in physical activity time in subgroups were compared with χ2 tests. log-binomial regression model was used to evaluate the association between physical activity time and perceived exercise benefits and barriers. Results: The M (Q1,Q3) of the perceived exercise benefits score, perceived exercise barriers score, and perceived exercise benefits to barriers ratio in the children and adolescents were 4.11 (3.78, 4.78), 2.70 (2.10, 3.20) and 1.55 (1.22, 2.07), respectively. Children and adolescents living in urban area, boys, those at younger age and those with physical activity time ≥1 hour had higher perceived exercise benefits score and perceived exercise benefits to barriers ratio, but lower perceived exercise barriers score (all P<0.001). The prevalence of physical activity time ≥1 hour was 41.4% in the children and adolescents. In the log-binomial model with two variables of perceived exercise benefits score and perceived exercise barriers score, for each 1-point increase in the perceived exercise benefits, the possibility of physical activity time ≥1 hour increased by 11% (OR=1.11, 95%CI: 1.10-1.12), and for each 1-point increase in the perceived exercise barriers, the possibility of physical activity time ≥1 hour decreased by 15% (OR=0.85, 95%CI: 0.84-0.85). In the log-binomial model with variable of perceived exercise benefits to barriers ratio, for each 1-point increase in the perceived exercise benefits to barriers ratio, the possibility of physical activity time ≥1 hour increased by 12% (OR=1.12, 95%CI: 1.11-1.12). Conclusion: The perceived exercise benefits and barriers are significantly associated with physical activity time in children and adolescents in China.
Adolescent
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Child
;
Humans
;
Male
;
Asian People
;
China
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Ethnicity
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Exercise
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Students
;
Female
10.Trend of age of menarche among Chinese Han girls aged 9 to 18 years from 2010 to 2019.
Ning MA ; Di SHI ; Shan CAI ; Jia Jia DANG ; Pan Liang ZHONG ; Yun Fei LIU ; Jing LI ; Yana Hui DONG ; Pei Jin HU ; Bin DONG ; Tian Jiao CHEN ; Yi SONG ; Jun MA
Chinese Journal of Preventive Medicine 2023;57(4):486-491
Objective: To analyze the trends of the age of menarche among Chinese Han girls aged 9 to 18 years from 2010 to 2019. Methods: Data were extracted from the Chinese National Surveys on Students' Constitution and Health in 2010, 2014 and 2019. A total of 253 037 Han girls aged 9 to 18 years with complete data on menarche were selected in this study. They were asked one-on-one about their menstrual status, age and residence information. The median age of menarche was estimated by probability regression. U tests were used to compare the difference in median age at menarche in different years. Results: The median age at menarche (95%CI) among Chinese Han girls was 12.47 (12.09-12.83) years in 2010, 12.17 (11.95-12.38) years in 2014 and 12.05 (10.82-13.08) years in 2019, respectively. Compared with that in 2010, the median age at menarche in 2019 decreased by 0.42 years (U=-77.27, P<0.001). The annual average changes were -0.076 years from 2010 to 2014 (U=-57.19, P<0.001) and -0.023 years from 2014 to 2019 (U=-21.41, P<0.001), respectively. The average annual changes in urban areas in the periods of 2010 to 2014 and 2014 to 2019 were -0.071 years and 0.006 years, respectively, while those in rural areas were -0.082 years and -0.053 years, respectively. The average annual changes in the regions of north, northeast, east, south central, southwest and northwest were -0.064, -0.099, -0.091, -0.080, -0.096 and -0.041 years in the period of 2010 to 2014 and 0.001, -0.040, -0.002, -0.005, -0.043 and -0.081 years in the period of 2014 to 2019. Conclusion: The age of menarche among Chinese Han girls aged 9 to 18 years shows an advanced trend from 2010 to 2019, and the trends in urban and rural areas and different regions have different characteristics.
Female
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Humans
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Menarche
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Probability
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East Asian People
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Child
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Adolescent

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