1.Qinlian Hongqutang Improves NASH by Promoting Macrophage Polarization Through TLR4 and STAT6 Signaling Pathways
Yong ZHANG ; Yong HU ; Yunliang HE ; Yang YANG ; Donghui CHEN ; Sijie DANG ; Jia HE ; Yaqi LUO
Chinese Journal of Experimental Traditional Medical Formulae 2026;32(8):10-20
ObjectiveTo investigate the therapeutic effects and mechanisms of Qinlian Hongqutang (QLHQT) on nonalcoholic steatohepatitis (NASH). MethodsC57BL/6J mice were randomly divided into normal and modeling groups. The NASH model was established by feeding a high-fat diet for 12 weeks. After successful modeling, mice were randomly assigned to the model group, low-, medium-, and high-dose QLHQT groups (0.51, 1.02, and 2.04 g·kg-1), and a positive control metformin group, with six mice in each group. The mice were treated for 8 weeks. Body weight was recorded before and after treatment. Serum levels of total cholesterol (TC), triglycerides (TG), and low-density lipoprotein cholesterol (LDL-C), as well as hepatic TC, TG, and LDL-C contents, were determined by biochemical assays. Hematoxylin-eosin (HE) staining and oil red O staining were used to evaluate liver histopathology and lipid deposition, respectively. Flow cytometry, enzyme-linked immunosorbent assay (ELISA), and Real-time polymerase chain reaction (Real-time PCR) were used to assess hepatic macrophage expression and related markers. Western blot and immunofluorescence were used to investigate the potential mechanisms of QLHQT in regulating macrophage polarization. ResultsCompared with the normal group, body weight and serum and hepatic levels of TC, TG, and LDL-C were significantly increased in the model group (P<0.01). Liver histopathology showed unevenly distributed round lipid droplets in the hepatocyte cytoplasm, accompanied by inflammatory cell aggregation. Flow cytometry showed that the proportion of CD86-positive cells was significantly increased, whereas the proportion of CD206-positive cells was markedly decreased (P<0.05). Hepatic inducible nitric oxide synthase (iNOS) levels and tumor necrosis factor-α (TNF-α) mRNA expression were significantly increased, while hepatic IL-10 levels and IL-4 mRNA expression were significantly decreased (P<0.01). The protein expression levels of Toll-like receptor 4 (TLR4), tumor necrosis factor receptor-associated factor 6 (TRAF6), and myeloid differentiation factor 88 (MyD88) in the liver were significantly increased (P<0.01). Compared with the model group, body weight was reduced in the high-, medium-, and low-dose QLHQT groups and in the metformin group. Serum and hepatic TC, TG, and LDL-C levels were significantly decreased (P<0.01). Liver histopathology showed alleviated hepatic lipid deposition, with markedly reduced lipid droplets and inflammation. Immunofluorescence and flow cytometry showed that the proportions of CD86-positive cells were significantly decreased, whereas the proportions of CD206-positive cells were significantly increased in the high-, medium-, and low-dose QLHQT groups (P<0.05). Hepatic iNOS levels and TNF-α mRNA expression were significantly decreased (P<0.01), whereas hepatic IL-10 levels and IL-4 mRNA expression were significantly increased (P<0.01). The hepatic protein expression levels of TLR4, TRAF6, and MyD88 were significantly decreased, while signal transducer and activator of transcription 6 (STAT6) phosphorylation was significantly increased (P<0.05, P<0.01). There was no statistically significant difference in total STAT6 protein expression. ConclusionQLHQT effectively ameliorates hepatic inflammation in NASH mice, and the mechanism may involve STAT6- and TLR4-mediated signaling pathways driving polarization of M1 macrophages toward the M2 phenotype.
2.Qinlian Hongqutang Improves NASH by Promoting Macrophage Polarization Through TLR4 and STAT6 Signaling Pathways
Yong ZHANG ; Yong HU ; Yunliang HE ; Yang YANG ; Donghui CHEN ; Sijie DANG ; Jia HE ; Yaqi LUO
Chinese Journal of Experimental Traditional Medical Formulae 2026;32(8):10-20
ObjectiveTo investigate the therapeutic effects and mechanisms of Qinlian Hongqutang (QLHQT) on nonalcoholic steatohepatitis (NASH). MethodsC57BL/6J mice were randomly divided into normal and modeling groups. The NASH model was established by feeding a high-fat diet for 12 weeks. After successful modeling, mice were randomly assigned to the model group, low-, medium-, and high-dose QLHQT groups (0.51, 1.02, and 2.04 g·kg-1), and a positive control metformin group, with six mice in each group. The mice were treated for 8 weeks. Body weight was recorded before and after treatment. Serum levels of total cholesterol (TC), triglycerides (TG), and low-density lipoprotein cholesterol (LDL-C), as well as hepatic TC, TG, and LDL-C contents, were determined by biochemical assays. Hematoxylin-eosin (HE) staining and oil red O staining were used to evaluate liver histopathology and lipid deposition, respectively. Flow cytometry, enzyme-linked immunosorbent assay (ELISA), and Real-time polymerase chain reaction (Real-time PCR) were used to assess hepatic macrophage expression and related markers. Western blot and immunofluorescence were used to investigate the potential mechanisms of QLHQT in regulating macrophage polarization. ResultsCompared with the normal group, body weight and serum and hepatic levels of TC, TG, and LDL-C were significantly increased in the model group (P<0.01). Liver histopathology showed unevenly distributed round lipid droplets in the hepatocyte cytoplasm, accompanied by inflammatory cell aggregation. Flow cytometry showed that the proportion of CD86-positive cells was significantly increased, whereas the proportion of CD206-positive cells was markedly decreased (P<0.05). Hepatic inducible nitric oxide synthase (iNOS) levels and tumor necrosis factor-α (TNF-α) mRNA expression were significantly increased, while hepatic IL-10 levels and IL-4 mRNA expression were significantly decreased (P<0.01). The protein expression levels of Toll-like receptor 4 (TLR4), tumor necrosis factor receptor-associated factor 6 (TRAF6), and myeloid differentiation factor 88 (MyD88) in the liver were significantly increased (P<0.01). Compared with the model group, body weight was reduced in the high-, medium-, and low-dose QLHQT groups and in the metformin group. Serum and hepatic TC, TG, and LDL-C levels were significantly decreased (P<0.01). Liver histopathology showed alleviated hepatic lipid deposition, with markedly reduced lipid droplets and inflammation. Immunofluorescence and flow cytometry showed that the proportions of CD86-positive cells were significantly decreased, whereas the proportions of CD206-positive cells were significantly increased in the high-, medium-, and low-dose QLHQT groups (P<0.05). Hepatic iNOS levels and TNF-α mRNA expression were significantly decreased (P<0.01), whereas hepatic IL-10 levels and IL-4 mRNA expression were significantly increased (P<0.01). The hepatic protein expression levels of TLR4, TRAF6, and MyD88 were significantly decreased, while signal transducer and activator of transcription 6 (STAT6) phosphorylation was significantly increased (P<0.05, P<0.01). There was no statistically significant difference in total STAT6 protein expression. ConclusionQLHQT effectively ameliorates hepatic inflammation in NASH mice, and the mechanism may involve STAT6- and TLR4-mediated signaling pathways driving polarization of M1 macrophages toward the M2 phenotype.
3.Analysis of co-occurrence patterns of common mental health issues among college students
YAN Yulin, LUO Miyang, LUO Jiayou, MA Suiyi, LI Jia, CHEN Xi, WANG Feng, LIU Hao
Chinese Journal of School Health 2026;47(3):379-383
Objective:
The cross sectional study aimed to identify predominant co-occurrence patterns among six common mental health issues in college students, so as to provide empirical basis for designing targeted interventions.
Methods:
From October 2024, a total of 9 837 students from 4 universities in Xiangtan City, Hunan Province, participated in the current study by multistage random cluster sampling method. Participants completed self report measures, including the Patient Health Questionnaire-9 (PHQ-9), Generalized Anxiety Disorder 7 item Scale (GAD-7), Young s Internet Addiction Diagnostic Questionnaire, the Adolescent Insomnia Symptom Self rating Scale, the Ottawa Self injury Inventory, and the Brief Community Assessment of Psychic Experiences Questionnaire. Demographic and co-occurrence characteristics were first compared using Chi square or trend Chi-square tests, followed by application of the Apriori algorithm to mine association rules for primary co-occurrence patterns.
Results:
The detection rate of co-occuring the common mental health issues was 46.44%. The detection rate was significantly higher in female than in male students (50.42%, 43.61%; χ 2=44.46) and in students from rural versus urban areas (47.22%, 44.60%; χ 2=5.67) (both P <0.05). Significant differences were observed among freshmen, sophomores, juniors, and seniors (46.63%, 48.35%, 45.05% , 43.66%, respectively; χ 2=9.22, P <0.05), although no statistically significant trend was detected ( χ 2 trend =3.75, P = 0.05 ). Association rule mining identified “anxiety + depression” “anxiety + psychotic experiences + depression” and “anxiety + sleep disorder + depression” as the combinations with the highest support. In addition, “anxiety+depression+Internet addiction+psychotic experiences =>sleep disorder (>= refered to the occurrence of the latter item under the condition that the former item occurs)” and “anxiety + depression+Internet addiction=>sleep disorder” were combinations with relatively high confidence.
Conclusions
Co-occurrence of these mental health issues among college students is high and exhibits diverse patterns. Strategies to address this burden should prioritize integrated interventions that target these specific combinations of factors.
4.The impact of donor reentry experience on blood donation return intention
Shangwu LI ; Yao GUAN ; Yuan YUAN ; Jing CHEN ; Minghua TAN ; Jia LUO
Chinese Journal of Blood Transfusion 2026;39(5):636-642
Objective: To explore the impact of donor reentry experience, specifically among those with a single reactive serological result who completed the reentry process, on their willingness to return for future blood donation, and to examine the mediating roles of blood donation knowledge and trait anxiety. Methods: A cross-sectional survey was conducted between November and December 2025. A total of 386 blood donors from the Changsha Blood Center were categorized into a reentry group (n=123) and a control group (n=263). Data on demographic characteristics, blood donation knowledge (BDKQ), trait anxiety (STAI-T), and blood donation return intention (BDRIS) were collected via questionnaires. SPSS 27.0 and AMOS 28.0 were used for statistical analyses, including independent-samples t-test, one-way ANOVA, multiple linear regression, and path analysis for mediating effect testing. Results: There were statistically significant differences in age, occupation, education level, monthly income and donation frequency between the reentry group and the control group (all P<0.05). The reentry group scored significantly higher in blood donation knowledge and blood donation return intention than the control group (both P<0.05). The mean BDRIS score was 11.51±3.62, indicating a relatively high intention to return. Blood donation knowledge was significantly negatively correlated with trait anxiety (r=-0.15, P<0.05) and positively correlated with blood donation return intention (r=0.19, P<0.05); trait anxiety was significantly negatively correlated with blood donation return intention (r=-0.33, P<0.05). Significant differences in BDRIS scores were found based on group (reentry vs control), age, and number of previous donations (all P<0.05). Multiple linear regression showed that BDKQ positively predicted BDRIS (β=0.11, P<0.05), while STAI-T negatively predicted BDRIS (β=-0.27, P<0.05). Path analysis further revealed that the reentry experience had no direct effect on the intention to return. However, it exerted a positive influence through two indirect pathways: 1) a simple mediating effect via increased blood donation knowledge (β=0.17, accounting for 25.0% of the total effect), and 2) a chain mediating effect through "increased blood donation knowledge → decreased trait anxiety" (β=0.05, accounting for 8.1% of the total effect). The model fit indices reached the ideal fitting criteria. Conclusion: The donor reentry experience does not directly enhance the intention to return for blood donation. Rather, it may exert an indirect positive influence by increasing blood donation knowledge and through the sequential pathway of "increased knowledge → decreased trait anxiety". Blood collection institutions should leverage the reentry process as an opportunity for education and psychological support to improve donor retention rate.
5.Clinical Observation of Modified Zhigancao Tang in Treating Patients with Liver and Kidney Deficiency of Parkinson's Disease and Its Effect on Neuronal Signal-related Proteins
Yifo WEI ; Furong LYU ; Jia YAO ; Guonian LI ; Xianyi LUO ; Meng LUO ; Zhengzheng WEN ; Qiuqi LI ; Yihan LIU ; Linlin YANG ; Rui ZUO ; Wenxin DANG ; Fang MI ; Xiaoyan WANG ; Zhigang CHEN ; Fan LIU
Chinese Journal of Experimental Traditional Medical Formulae 2025;31(4):166-173
ObjectiveMicrotube associated protein-2 (MAP-2), alpha-tubulin (α-tubulin), and synaptophysin (SYP) are important proteins in neuronal signal communication. This paper observed the effects of modified Zhigancao Tang on the expression of serum α-Synuclein (α-Syn) and its oligomers, MAP-2, α-tubulin, and SYP of patients with liver and kidney deficiency of Parkinson's disease (PD), analyzed their correlation, and evaluated the therapeutic effect of modified Zhigancao Tang in patients with liver and kidney deficiency of PD based on α-Syn transmission pathway mediated by neuronal communication in vivo. MethodsA total of 60 patients with PD who met the inclusion criteria were randomly divided into a treatment group (30 cases) and a control group (30 cases). Both groups were treated on the basis of PD medicine, and the treatment group was treated with modified Zhigancao Tang. Both groups were treated for 12 weeks. The changes in UPDRS score, TCM syndrome score, and expression of serum α-Syn and its oligomers, MAP-2, α-tubulin, and SYP were observed before and after 12 weeks of treatment in each group. The correlation between the above-mentioned serum biological indexes and the levels of serum α-Syn and its oligomers was analyzed. ResultsAfter treatment, the TCM syndrome score, UPDRS score, UPDRS-Ⅱ score, and UPDRS-Ⅲ score of the treatment group were significantly decreased (P<0.05, P<0.01). The UPDRS score, UPDRS-Ⅱ score, and UPDRS-Ⅲ scores in the treatment group were significantly decreased compared with those in the control group after treatment (P<0.05). After treatment, the total effective rate of the control group was 63.3% (19/30), and that of the treatment group was 86.7% (26/30). The clinical effect of the observation group was better than the control group (Z=-2.03, P<0.05). The total effective rate of the observation group was better than that of the control group, and the difference was statistically significant (χ2=5.136, P<0.05). After treatment, the oligomer level of serum α-Syn and MAP-2 level in the treatment group were significantly decreased (P<0.05, P<0.01). The levels of serum α-Syn and its oligomers, as well as α-tubulin in the treatment group, were significantly decreased compared with those in the control group after treatment (P<0.05, P<0.01). Serum α-Syn was correlated with serum MAP-2 and α-Syn oligomer in patients with PD (P<0.05, P<0.01) but not correlated with serum SYP . Serum α-Syn oligomers of patients with PD were correlated with serum MAP-2 and α-tubulin (P<0.05, P<0.01) but not correlated with serum SYP level. Serum SYP of patients with PD was correlated with serum MAP-2 (P<0.05). ConclusionModified Zhigancao Tang has a therapeutic effect on patients with liver and kidney deficiency of PD by inhibiting the production of α-Syn oligomers and intervening α-Syn microtubule transport pathway in vivo.
6.A simulated model for medical evacuation amid mass casualties and scheduling strategies
Military Medical Sciences 2025;49(5):374-381
Objective To establish a simulated model that can optimize strategies for medical evacuation in case of mass casualties,and to study the guidelines for centralized scheduling of evacuation vehicles.Methods A simulated model was constructed based on theories about discrete event simulation and on processes of medical evacuation.Evacuation processes under different scheduling strategies were simulated and quantitatively evaluated in terms of efficiency of evacuation and utilization of resources.The impact of key parameters on the medical evacuation system was analyzed.Results When the critically wounded were given priority,the rate of immediate treatment for the wounded was the highest(87.44%),and the median waiting time for the wounded was 23.70 min.In terms of utilization of resources,the strategy of prioritizing the critically wounded delivered the best result,with an average of 2.94 persons evacuated per vehicle and an overall rate of vehicle utilization was 50.93%.The daily number of the wounded and the number of evacuation vehicles made a big difference in the performance of the rescue system.Command and scheduling had to be dynamically optimizedas required so as to strike a balance between the efficiency of treatment and utilizationof resources.Conclusion This simulated model for medical evacuation in case of mass casualties,which is based on theories about discrete event simulation,is flexible enough toback up the simulation of strategy optimization.
7.HIC relationship of anterior-posterior and lateral-medial collisions based on the comprehensive evaluation of injury
Linna ZHU ; Guoxiang WANG ; Xun WANG ; Qinghang LUO ; Tao XIONG ; Qiuju CHEN ; Jingyu XU ; Jia YU ; Shengxiong LIU
Chinese Journal of Medical Physics 2025;42(3):406-414
Objective To explore the relationship between the head injury criterion(HIC)values in anterior-posterior(AP)collisions and lateral-medial(LM)collisions.Methods A total of 102 male SD rats were randomly divided into a control group of 0 m(6 rats),4 AP groups(12 rats/group)and 4 LM groups(12 rats/group).After adaptive training,the classical Marmarou model was used to execute the brain AP and LM collisions under a series of different height impacts,and the HIC values were calculated.The experimental group data of the walk-pole test and grip strength test were collected at 24 hours before and after injury,and the data of the proportion of hemorrhage in the corpus callosum and pyramidal tracts were collected at 24 hours after injury.Results As the collision heights increased in both AP and LM groups,there were positive correlations with changes in WP test time and peak GS,and corresponding increases in the proportion of hemorrhage in the cc and py.According to the mathematical relationships between the comprehensive injury degrees and HIC values,it was found that at the same injury degree,LM-HIC value was less than AP-HIC value.A mathematical relationship between AP-HIC and LM-HIC was fitted based on the comprehensive injury degrees.At the same HIC,LM group experienced more severe injuries,and AP group was more tolerant to head collision.Conclusion The injury severity in LM group is greater than that of AP group at the same HIC.Preliminary results show there is a linear mathematical relationship between AP-HIC and LM-HIC.These results can be expected to expand the application scope of HIC and achieve an accurate assessment of the LM collision severity.
8.Specific effect of inserted sham acupuncture and its impact on the estimation of acupuncture treatment effect in randomized controlled trials: A systematic survey.
Xiao-Chao LUO ; Jia-Li LIU ; Ming-Hong YAO ; Ye-Meng CHEN ; Arthur Yin FAN ; Fan-Rong LIANG ; Ji-Ping ZHAO ; Ling ZHAO ; Xu ZHOU ; Xiao-Ying ZHONG ; Jia-Hui YANG ; Bo LI ; Ying ZHANG ; Xin SUN ; Ling LI
Journal of Integrative Medicine 2025;23(6):630-640
BACKGROUND:
The use of inserted sham acupuncture as a placebo in randomized controlled trials (RCTs) is controversial, because it may produce specific effects that cause an underestimation of the effect of acupuncture treatment.
OBJECTIVE:
This systematic survey investigates the magnitude of insert-specific effects of sham acupuncture and whether they affect the estimation of acupuncture treatment effects.
SEARCH STRATEGY:
PubMed, Embase and Cochrane Central Register of Controlled Trials were searched to identify acupuncture RCTs from their inception until December 2022.
INCLUSION CRITERIA:
RCTs that evaluated the effects of acupuncture compared to sham acupuncture and no treatment.
DATA EXTRACTION AND ANALYSIS:
The total effect measured for an acupuncture treatment group in RCTs were divided into three components, including the natural history and/or regression to the mean effect (controlled for no-treatment group), the placebo effect, and the specific effect of acupuncture. The first two constituted the contextual effect of acupuncture, which is mimicked by a sham acupuncture treatment group. The proportion of acupuncture total effect size was considered to be 1. The proportion of natural history and/or regression to the mean effect (PNE) and proportional contextual effect (PCE) of included RCTs were pooled using meta-analyses with a random-effect model. The proportion of acupuncture placebo effect was the difference between PCE and PNE in RCTs with non-inserted sham acupuncture. The proportion of insert-specific effect of sham acupuncture (PIES) was obtained by subtracting the proportion of acupuncture placebo effect and PNE from PCE in RCTs with inserted sham acupuncture. The impact of PIES on the estimation of acupuncture's treatment effect was evaluated by quantifying the percentage of RCTs that the effect of outcome changed from no statistical difference to statistical difference after removing PIES in the included studies, and the impact of PIES was externally validated in other acupuncture RCTs with an inserted sham acupuncture group that were not used to calculate PIES.
RESULTS:
This analysis included 32 studies with 5492 patients. The overall PNE was 0.335 (95% confidence interval [CI], 0.255-0.415) and the PCE of acupuncture was 0.639 (95% CI, 0.567-0.710) of acupuncture's total effect. The proportional contribution of the placebo effect to acupuncture's total effect was 0.191, and the PIES was 0.189. When we modeled the exclusion of the insert-specific effect of sham acupuncture, the acupuncture treatment effect changed from no difference to a significant difference in 45.45% of the included RCTs, and in 40.91% of the external validated RCTs.
CONCLUSION
The insert-specific effect of sham acupuncture in RCTs represents 18.90% of acupuncture's total effect and significantly affects the evaluation of the acupuncture treatment effect. More than 40% of RCTs that used inserted sham acupuncture would draw different conclusions if the PIES had been controlled for. Considering the impact of the insert-specific effect of sham acupuncture, caution should be taken when using inserted sham acupuncture placebos in RCTs. Please cite this article as: Luo XC, Liu JL, Yao MH, Chen YM, Fan AY, Liang FR, Zhao JP, Zhao L, Zhou X, Zhong XY, Yang JH, Li B, Zhang Y, Sun X, Li L. Specific effect of inserted sham acupuncture and its impact on the estimation of acupuncture treatment effect in randomized controlled trials: A systematic survey. J Integr Med. 2025; 23(6):630-640.
Acupuncture Therapy/methods*
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Humans
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Randomized Controlled Trials as Topic
;
Placebo Effect
;
Placebos
;
Treatment Outcome
9.Novel biallelic MCMDC2 variants were associated with meiotic arrest and nonobstructive azoospermia.
Hao-Wei BAI ; Na LI ; Yu-Xiang ZHANG ; Jia-Qiang LUO ; Ru-Hui TIAN ; Peng LI ; Yu-Hua HUANG ; Fu-Rong BAI ; Cun-Zhong DENG ; Fu-Jun ZHAO ; Ren MO ; Ning CHI ; Yu-Chuan ZHOU ; Zheng LI ; Chen-Cheng YAO ; Er-Lei ZHI
Asian Journal of Andrology 2025;27(2):268-275
Nonobstructive azoospermia (NOA), one of the most severe types of male infertility, etiology often remains unclear in most cases. Therefore, this study aimed to detect four biallelic detrimental variants (0.5%) in the minichromosome maintenance domain containing 2 ( MCMDC2 ) genes in 768 NOA patients by whole-exome sequencing (WES). Hematoxylin and eosin (H&E) demonstrated that MCMDC2 deleterious variants caused meiotic arrest in three patients (c.1360G>T, c.1956G>T, and c.685C>T) and hypospermatogenesis in one patient (c.94G>T), as further confirmed through immunofluorescence (IF) staining. The single-cell RNA sequencing data indicated that MCMDC2 was substantially expressed during spermatogenesis. The variants were confirmed as deleterious and responsible for patient infertility through bioinformatics and in vitro experimental analyses. The results revealed four MCMDC2 variants related to NOA, which contributes to the current perception of the function of MCMDC2 in male fertility and presents new perspectives on the genetic etiology of NOA.
Humans
;
Male
;
Azoospermia/genetics*
;
Meiosis/genetics*
;
Spermatogenesis/genetics*
;
Adult
;
Exome Sequencing
;
Microtubule-Associated Proteins/genetics*
;
Alleles
;
Infertility, Male/genetics*
10.Construction and validation of an osteoporosis risk prediction model for middle-aged and elderly healthy physical examination population
Dongqing HUANG ; Wei LI ; Xiaozhen LI ; Liping CHEN ; Zhang′an WANG ; Jia TAN ; Xiaozhi HUANG ; Yinghua LUO
Chinese Journal of Health Management 2025;19(5):355-361
Objective:To construct and validate the risk prediction model of osteoporosis (OP) in the middle-aged and elderly healthy physical examination population.Methods:In this cross-sectional study, 18 030 middle-aged and elderly people with bone mineral density tested in Health Management Center of Guangxi Zhuang Autonomous Region Hospital from January 2020 to December 2022 were selected. The general data, physical examination index and biochemical blood index were collected. The subjects were divided into training set (12 621 cases) and validation set (5 409 cases) in a ratio of 7∶3 with the simple random sampling method. The variables were screened with minimum LASSO regression and logistic regression and the corresponding nomogram prediction model for the risk of osteoporosis in the middle-aged and elderly health examination population was established. The performance of the nomogram model was evaluated with the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (ROC AUC), specificity, sensitivity, calibration curve (CAL), and decision curve (DCA).Results:The results of LASSO regression and multivariate logistic regression in training set showed that gender, age, body mass index, hip circumference, waist circumference, systolic blood pressure, total cholesterol, glutamyl transpeptidase and albumin/globulin ratio were the independent best predictors of OP risk in the middle-aged and elderly health examination population (all P<0.05). The ROC AUC-value of the training set was 0.895 (95% CI: 0.886-0.904), with a sensitivity of 87.25% and a specificity of 85.01%. The ROC AUC value of the validation set was 0.892 (95% CI: 0.886-0.898), with a sensitivity of 83.74% and a specificity of 82.46%. The CAL showed a C-index value of 0.790 in the training set and a C-index value of 0.784 in validation set. The CALs all showed deviation correction and obvious curves similar to the ideal line. DCA showed that when the OP risk threshold probability of the training set was 45%-93%, and the OP risk threshold probability of the validation set was 45%-92%, the nomogram model had better efficacy in predicting OP risk in the middle-aged and elderly physical examination population, and the two results were still relatively consistent. Both CAL and DCA showed good performance. Conclusion:This study establishes a practical prediction model for osteoporosis risk in the middle-aged and elderly population, it can provide an early warning for the timely detection of OP risk for the middle-aged and elderly people.


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