Objective To evaluate the predictive value of different machine learning models constructed in a multicenter environment for potential organ donors and verify their clinical application feasibility. Methods The study included 2 000 inpatients admitted to five domestic tertiary hospitals from January 2020 to December 2023, who met the criteria for potential organ donation assessment. They were randomly divided into a training set and an internal validation set (7∶3). Another 300 similar patients admitted to the First Affiliated Hospital of Harbin Medical University from January 2024 to April 2025 were included as an external validation set. The area under the curve (AUC), sensitivity, specificity, accuracy and F1-score of three models were compared, and the consistency of the potential organ donor determination process was tested. Multivariate logistic regression analysis was used to identify predictive factors of potential organ donors. Decision curve analysis (DCA) was employed to verify the resource efficiency of each model, and the threshold interval and intervention balance point were assessed. Results Apart from age, there were no significant differences in other basic characteristics among the centers (all P>0.05). The consistency of the potential organ donor determination process among researchers in each center was good [all 95% confidence interval (CI) lower limits >0]. In the internal validation set, the XGBoost model had the best predictive performance (AUC=0.92, 95% CI 0.89-0.94) and the best calibration (P=0.441, Brier score 0.099). In the external validation set, the XGBoost model also had the best predictive performance (AUC=0.91, 95% CI 0.88-0.94), outperforming logistic regression and random forest models. Multivariate logistic regression showed that mechanical ventilation had the greatest impact (odds ratio=2.06, 95% CI 1.54-2.76, P<0.001). DCA indicated that the XGBoost model had the highest net benefit in the threshold interval of 0.2-0.6. The “treat all” strategy only had a slight advantage at extremely low thresholds. The recommended threshold interval, which balances intervention costs and clinical benefits, considers ≥50% positive predictive value (PPV) and ≤50 referrals per 100 high-risk patients. Conclusions The XGBoost model established in a multicenter environment is accurate and well-calibrated in predicting potential organ donors. Combined with DCA, it may effectively guide the timing of clinical interventions and resource allocation, providing new ideas for the assessment and management of organ donation after brain death.

[摘 要] 目的：探讨环状RNA CEMIP（circCEMIP）对膀胱癌UMUC-3细胞增殖、迁移和侵袭的影响及其分子机制。方法：通过TCGA数据库分析circCEMIP在膀胱癌组织中的表达水平，分析其表达与膀胱癌患者临床分期及生存期的关系。采用qPCR法检测circCEMIP在膀胱癌细胞5637、UMUC-3、MGH-U3、J82和T24中的表达。利用RNA干扰技术，分别将si-circCEMIP及其阴性对照（si-NC）、anti-miR-335及其阴性对照（anti-miR-NC）转染UMUC-3细胞，记为si-circCEMIP组、si-NC组、si-circCEMIP + anti-miR-335组和si-circCEMIP + anti-miR-NC组。采用克隆形成实验、划痕愈合实验和Transwell实验分别检测circCEMIP和miR-335表达对UMUC-3细胞增殖、迁移和侵袭能力的影响，双萤光素酶报告基因实验验证circCEMIP与miR-335的靶向关系，WB法检测细胞中VEGF-C信号通路相关蛋白的表达。构建UMUC-3细胞裸鼠皮下移植瘤模型，观察敲低circCEMIP对移植瘤生长的影响。结果：膀胱癌组织中circCEMIP呈高表达（P < 0.01），其表达水平与膀胱癌的临床分期正相关（P < 0.01），circCEMIP高表达患者生存率较低（P < 0.01）。circCEMIP在膀胱癌5637、UMUC-3、MGH-U3、J82和T24细胞中呈高表达（均P < 0.01）。敲低circCEMIP显著降低UMUC-3细胞的增殖、迁移和侵袭能力（均P < 0.01）。circCEMIP可靶向结合miR-335（P < 0.01），敲低circCEMIP能显著上调miR-335表达（P < 0.01）。抑制miR-335表达能逆转敲低circCEMIP对UMUC-3细胞增殖、迁移和侵袭的抑制作用（均P < 0.01）。敲低circCEMIP能明显下调VEGF-C信号通路相关蛋白VEGF-C、MMP-2、MMP-9和β-catenin表达（均P < 0.01），抑制miR-335表达能部分逆转敲低circCEMIP对该通路相关蛋白表达的抑制作用（均P < 0.01）。体内实验证实，敲低circCEMIP能够抑制裸鼠膀胱癌移植瘤的生长（P < 0.01）。结论：敲低circCEMIP通过上调miR-335表达抑制膀胱癌UMUC-3细胞的增殖、迁移和侵袭。

Objective To investigate the therapeutic effect of Huangkui capsules on targeted drug-related proteinuria in patients with hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC). Methods A retrospective analysis was conducted on clinical data of HCC patients with targeted drug-related proteinuria from June 2023 to December 2024 at Zhongshan Hospital, Fudan University. According to the treatment plan, patients were divided into the conventional treatment group and the Huangkui combination treatment group (Huangkui capsules combined with conventional treatment), and the clinical efficacy between the two groups was compared. The logistic regression analysis was used to identify the main factors affecting treatment efficacy. Results The Huangkui combination treatment group (n＝29) showed a significantly higher overall effective rate (79.3% vs 42.3%, P＝0.005), and an earlier proteinuria improvement (median time: 3 months vs 6 months, P＝0.008) than the conventional treatment group (n＝26) . The multivariate logistic regression analysis showed angiotensin-converting enzyme inhibitor (ACEI) or angiotensin Ⅱ receptor blocker (ARB) using (OR＝0.190, 95%CI 0.045-0.808, P＝0.025), targeted drug adjustment (OR＝0.132, 95%CI 0.030-0.581, P＝0.007), and Huangkui capsules using (OR＝0.168, 95%CI 0.039-0.730, P＝0.017) were protective factors for treatment efficacy of targeted drug-related proteinuria. Conclusions On the basis of conventional treatment, additive treatment with Huangkui capsules can alleviate targeted drug-related proteinuria faster and more effectively in HCC patients.

[Objective] To analyse and predict the tendencies of using erythrocyte blood in Changsha based on the autoregressive integrated moving average (ARIMA) model, long short-term memory (LSTM) and ARIMA-LSTM combination model, so as to provide reliable basis for designing a feasible and effective blood inventory management strategy. [Methods] The data of erythrocyte usage from hospitals in Changsha between January 2012 and December 2023 were collected, and ARIMA model, LSTM model and ARIMA-LSTM combination model were established. The actual erythrocyte consumption from January to May 2024 were used to assess and verify the prediction effect of the models. The extrapolation prediction accuracy of the models were tested using two evaluation indicators: mean absolute percentage error (MAPE) and root mean square error (RMSE), and then the prediction performance of the model was compared. [Results] The RMSE of LSTM model, optimal model ARIMA(1,1,1)(1,1,1)12 and ARIMA-LSTM combination model were respectively 5 206.66, 3 096.43 and 2 745.75, and the MAPE were 18.78%,11.54% and 9.76% respectively, which indicated that the ARIMA-LSTM combination model was more accurate than the ARIMA model and LSTM model, and the prediction results was basically consistent with the actual situation. [Conclusion] The ARIMA-LSTM model can better predict the clinical erythrocyte consumption in Changsha in the short term.

Background: and Purpose Ruptured intracranial aneurysms (RIA) are associated with a mortality rate of up to 40% in the Chinese population, highlighting the critical need for targeted treatment interventions for at-risk individuals. Although the impact of aldehyde dehydrogenase 2 (ALDH2) gene mutations on susceptibility to intracranial aneurysms (IA) is well documented, the potential connection between ALDH2 rs671 single-nucleotide polymorphism (SNP) and RIA remains unexplored. Given the increased prevalence of ALDH2 gene mutations among Chinese Han individuals, it is clinically relevant to investigate the link between ALDH2 rs671 SNP and IA rupture. Methods: A prospective study was conducted on 546 patients diagnosed with IA to investigate the association between ALDH2 rs671 SNP and the risk of IA rupture. Results: The ALDH2 rs671 SNP (ALDH2*2) was significantly more prevalent in patients with unruptured IA (UIA) than in those with RIA (32.56% vs. 18.58%, P=0.004). Multivariate logistic regression analysis revealed that people with the ALDH2 mutation (ALDH2*1/*2 and ALDH2*2/*2 gene type) had a significantly reduced odds ratio (OR=0.49; 95% confidence level [CI] 0.27–0.88; P=0.018) for RIAs. Age-specific subgroup analysis indicated that the ALDH2 mutation provided a stronger protective effect in individuals aged 60 years and above with IA compared to those under 60 years old (OR=0.38 vs. OR=0.52, both P<0.05). Conclusion The incidence of RIA was significantly higher in individuals with a normal ALDH2 gene (ALDH2*1/*1) than in those with an ALDH2 rs671 SNP (ALDH2*1/*2 or ALDH2*2/*2). ALDH2 rs671 SNP may serve as a protective factor against RIA in the Chinese Han population.

Objective:To investigate the expression of miR-769-5p in serum exosomes of epithelial ovarian cancer(EOC)and its mechanism of influence on EOC cell proliferation,migration,and invasion.Methods:The expression level of miR-769-5p in serum exosomes from the malignant group,benign ovarian disease group,and healthy control group was detected using reverse transcription quantitative polymerase chain reaction(RT-qPCR).Lipofectamine 3000 transfection was used to construct overexpression and knockdown cell lines,which were divided into four groups:miR-769-5p mimics group,mimics-NC group,miR-769-5p inhibitor group,and inhibi-tor-NC group.The effects of miR-769-5p on cell proliferation,migration,and invasion were assessed using CCK-8,wound healing,and Transwell assays.Transcriptome sequencing was conducted on EOC cells overex-pressing miR-769-5p,and potential target genes were predicted using public databases.The interaction between miR-769-5p and its target gene was validated by dual-luciferase reporter assay.RT-qPCR and Western blotting were used to further confirm the regulatory effect of miR-769-5p on the target gene.Results:The expression level of miR-769-5p in serum exosomes from the malignant group was significantly lower than that in the healthy control and benign ovarian disease groups(P＜0.05).Compared with the mimics-NC group,the miR-769-5p mimics group exhitied lower OD450 values,migration rates,and numbers of invading cells in both SKOV3 and OVCAR3 EOC cell lines(P＜0.05).Compared with the inhibitor-NC group,cells in the miR-769-5p inhibitor group exhibited increased OD450 values,migration rates,and invasion counts(P＜0.05).The dual-luciferase reporter assay showed that co-transfection of miR-769-5p mimics with pEZX-FR02-TFAM-WT significantly reduced the luciferase activity compared to the mimics-NC group(P＜0.01),whereas co-transfection of miR-769-5p mimics with pEZX-FR02-TFAM-MUT showed no significant difference in luciferase activity compared to the control(P＞0.05).These findings indicate that miR-769-5p can directly bind to the 3'-UTR region of TFAM.Furthermore,compared with the mimics-NC group,EOC cells transfected with miR-769-5p mimics showed significantly decreased TFAM mRNA and protein expression levels(P＜0.05).Conclusion:miR-769-5p is significantly downregulated in EOC serum exosomes and may serve as a promising biomarker for early tumor diagnosis.Moreover,miR-769-5p may inhibit the proliferation,migration,and invasion of ovarian cancer cells by targeting TFAM.

Objective:To evaluate the predictive value of simplified geriatric assessment (sGA) in elderly Chinese patients diagnosed with diffuse large B-cell lymphoma (DLBCL) .Methods:It retrospectively analyzed the relationships of sGA with the clinical characteristics, outcome, and prognosis of 219 patients aged ≥60 years who were newly diagnosed with DLBCL at six hospitals in Jiangsu province between January 2018 and December 2022.Results:The median age of 219 patients was 68 years (60-87 years). According to the sGA system criteria, 101 (46.1%), 103 (47.0%), and 15 (6.8%) elderly patients with DLBCL were categorized as fit, unfit, and frail, respectively. The most common adverse reactions after chemotherapy were hematologic, and the incidence of grade >2 hematologic adverse reactions was similar among the three groups (47.5% vs 41.7% vs 46.7%, respectively; χ2=0.712, P=0.700). Compared with the fit and unfit groups, the frail group showed tendencies toward for higher proportions of grade >2 gastrointestinal, pulmonary, and infectious adverse reactions ( P>0.05 for all). The fit, unfit, and frail groups had respective remission rates of 74.3%, 46.6%, and 20.0% ( χ2=25.249, P<0.001) ; disease progression rates of 5.9%, 11.7%, and 26.7% ( χ2=6.763, P<0.05) ; 2-year overall survival rates of 92.1% (95% CI 86.6% to 97.9%), 77.6% (95% CI 69.5% to 86.6%), and 70.1% (95% CI 49.4% to 99.6%) ( P<0.05) ; and 2-year progression-free survival rates of 76.8% (95% CI 67.0% to 84.8%), 69.7% (95% CI 61.8% to 82.0%), and 65.7% (95% CI 53.3% to 100%) ( P=0.399) . Conclusion:sGA can effectively predict treatment adverse effects and efficacy, disease progression, and long-term survival in elderly DLBCL.

Background: and Purpose Ruptured intracranial aneurysms (RIA) are associated with a mortality rate of up to 40% in the Chinese population, highlighting the critical need for targeted treatment interventions for at-risk individuals. Although the impact of aldehyde dehydrogenase 2 (ALDH2) gene mutations on susceptibility to intracranial aneurysms (IA) is well documented, the potential connection between ALDH2 rs671 single-nucleotide polymorphism (SNP) and RIA remains unexplored. Given the increased prevalence of ALDH2 gene mutations among Chinese Han individuals, it is clinically relevant to investigate the link between ALDH2 rs671 SNP and IA rupture. Methods: A prospective study was conducted on 546 patients diagnosed with IA to investigate the association between ALDH2 rs671 SNP and the risk of IA rupture. Results: The ALDH2 rs671 SNP (ALDH2*2) was significantly more prevalent in patients with unruptured IA (UIA) than in those with RIA (32.56% vs. 18.58%, P=0.004). Multivariate logistic regression analysis revealed that people with the ALDH2 mutation (ALDH2*1/*2 and ALDH2*2/*2 gene type) had a significantly reduced odds ratio (OR=0.49; 95% confidence level [CI] 0.27–0.88; P=0.018) for RIAs. Age-specific subgroup analysis indicated that the ALDH2 mutation provided a stronger protective effect in individuals aged 60 years and above with IA compared to those under 60 years old (OR=0.38 vs. OR=0.52, both P<0.05). Conclusion The incidence of RIA was significantly higher in individuals with a normal ALDH2 gene (ALDH2*1/*1) than in those with an ALDH2 rs671 SNP (ALDH2*1/*2 or ALDH2*2/*2). ALDH2 rs671 SNP may serve as a protective factor against RIA in the Chinese Han population.

OBJECTIVE: To evaluate the dynamic changes of glucocorticoid (GC) dose and the feasibility of GC discontinuation in rheumatoid arthritis (RA) patients under the background of Chinese medicine (CM). METHODS: This multicenter retrospective cohort study included 1,196 RA patients enrolled in the China Rheumatoid Arthritis Registry of Patients with Chinese Medicine (CERTAIN) from September 1, 2019 to December 4, 2023, who initiated GC therapy. Participants were divided into the Western medicine (WM) and integrative medicine (IM, combination of CM and WM) groups based on medication regimen. Follow-up was performed at least every 3 months to assess dynamic changes in GC dose. Changes in GC dose were analyzed by generalized estimator equation, the probability of GC discontinuation was assessed using Kaplan-Meier curve, and predictors of GC discontinuation were analyzed by Cox regression. Patients with <12 months of follow-up were excluded for the sensitivity analysis. RESULTS: Among 1,196 patients (85.4% female; median age 56.4 years), 880 (73.6%) received IM. Over a median 12-month follow-up, 34.3% (410 cases) discontinued GC, with significantly higher rates in the IM group (40.8% vs. 16.1% in WM; P<0.05). GC dose declined progressively, with IM patients demonstrating faster reductions (median 3.75 mg vs. 5.00 mg in WM at 12 months; P<0.05). Multivariate Cox analysis identified age <60 years [P<0.001, hazard ratios (HR)=2.142, 95% confidence interval (CI): 1.523-3.012], IM therapy (P=0.001, HR=2.175, 95% CI: 1.369-3.456), baseline GC dose ⩽7.5 mg (P=0.003, HR=1.637, 95% CI: 1.177-2.275), and absence of non-steroidal anti-inflammatory drugs use (P=0.001, HR=2.546, 95% CI: 1.432-4.527) as significant predictors of GC discontinuation. Sensitivity analysis (545 cases) confirmed these findings. CONCLUSIONS RA patients receiving CM face difficulties in following guideline-recommended GC discontinuation protocols. IM can promote GC discontinuation and is a promising strategy to reduce GC dependency in RA management. (Trial registration: ClinicalTrials.gov, No. NCT05219214).
Adult ; Aged ; Female ; Humans ; Male ; Middle Aged ; Arthritis, Rheumatoid/drug therapy* ; Glucocorticoids/therapeutic use* ; Medicine, Chinese Traditional ; Retrospective Studies