OBJECTIVES: To develop risk prediction models for postoperative hypothermia after transurethral holmium laser enucleation of the prostate (HoLEP) using machine learning algorithms. METHODS: We retrospectively analyzed the clinical data of 403 patients from our center (283 patients in the training set and 120in the internal validation set) and 120 patients from Weifang People's Hospital (as the external validation set). The risk prediction models were built using logistic regression, decision tree and support vector machine (SVM), and model performance was evaluated in terms of accuracy, recall, precision, F1 score and AUC. RESULTS: Operation duration, prostate weight, intraoperative irrigation volume, and being underweight were identified as the predictors of postoperative hypothermia following HoLEP. Among the 3 algorithms, SVM showed the best precision rate and accuracy in all the 3 data sets and the best area under the ROC (AUC) in the training set and validation set, followed by logistic regression, which had a similar AUC in the two data sets. SVM outperformed logistic regression and decision tree models in the validation set in precision, accuracy, recall, F1 score, and AUC, and performed well in the external validation set with better precision rate and accuracy than logistic regression and decision tree models but slightly lower recall rate, F1 index, and AUC value than the decision tree model. SVM outperformed logistic regression and decision tree models in precision, accuracy, F1 score, and AUC in the training set, but had slightly lower recall rate than the decision tree. CONCLUSIONS Among the 3 models, SVM has the best performance and generalizability for predicting post-HoLEP hypothermia risk to provide support for clinical decisions.
Humans ; Male ; Retrospective Studies ; Machine Learning ; Transurethral Resection of Prostate/adverse effects* ; Hypothermia/etiology* ; Prostatic Hyperplasia/surgery* ; Algorithms ; Lasers, Solid-State ; Risk Assessment ; Postoperative Complications ; Decision Trees ; Logistic Models ; Aged ; Middle Aged ; Support Vector Machine

OBJECTIVES: To investigate the relationship between hypothermia duration and postoperative complications in patients undergoing gynecological surgery. METHODS: Patients who underwent elective gynecological surgery at our hospital were consecutively enrolled between October 2020 and January 2022. Core temperature was continuously monitored intraoperatively, and early postoperative complications were collected. By adjusting the logistic regression model for potential confounding factors, the association of postoperative complications with the duration of hypothermia, the lowest body temperature below 36°‍C, and the hypothermia upon admission to postanesthesia care unit (PACU) or intensive care unit (ICU) were analyzed. Additionally, the potential inflection point in the relationship between the duration of hypothermia and the risk of postoperative complications was explored by using cumulative probability scatter plots and moving average sequences. RESULTS: The study included 370 patients, with 193 (52.2%) experiencing hypothermia and 177 (47.8%) not. Among them, 92 (24.9%) developed complications. The duration of hypothermia (adjusted odds ratio [OR] for each one-minute increase: 1.003; 95% confidence interval [CI]: 1.000-1.006, P=0.047) and hypothermia upon admission to PACU or ICU (adjusted OR: 1.980; 95% CI: 1.135-3.454, P=0.016) were associated with early postoperative complications. Notably, the cumulative incidence of postoperative complications tended to rise as the duration of hypothermia increased, with a potential inflection point observed at 120 minutes. CONCLUSIONS In gynecological surgery, the duration of hypothermia as well as hypothermia upon admission to PACU or ICU are associated with postoperative complications. Minimizing the duration of hypothermia may be clinically beneficial.
Humans ; Female ; Hypothermia/epidemiology* ; Postoperative Complications/etiology* ; Gynecologic Surgical Procedures/adverse effects* ; Prospective Studies ; Middle Aged ; Adult ; Intensive Care Units ; Time Factors ; Aged

OBJECTIVES: Postoperative hypothermia is a common clinical complication with a high incidence rate, potentially adversely affecting postoperative recovery. Transurethral holmium laser enucleation of the prostate (HoLEP) is a minimally invasive procedure for benign prostatic hyperplasia (BPH). Offering advantages such as minimal bleeding, broad indications, and rapid postoperative recovery. However, research on risk factors for postoperative hypothermia following HoLEP remains limited, and predictive models for guiding clinical practice are lacking. This study aims to develop a predictive model for assessing the risk of postoperative hypothermia in HoLEP patients and to identify relevant risk factors. METHODS: Clinical data from patients who underwent HoLEP at affiliated Hospital of Shandong Second Medical University were retrospectively collected. Patients were categorized into a hypothermia group and a non-hypothermia group based on whether postoperative hypothermia occurred. Preoperative, intraoperative, and postoperative indicators were compared between the 2 groups. Least absolute shrinkage and selection operator (LASSO) regression combined with logistic regression analysis was used to analyze clinical data. A predictive model for assessing the risk of postoperative hypothermia after HoLEP was constructed and internally validated using bootstrap resampling. RESULTS: A total of 403 patients were included in the analysis, among whom 85 patients developed postoperative hypothermia, with an incidence rate of 21.1%. Logistic regression analysis identified operative duration (OR=1.009, 95% CI 1.003 to 1.015), underweight status (OR=9.881, 95% CI 4.038 to 24.910), and prostate weight (OR=1.021, 95% CI 1.012 to 1.030) as independent risk factors for postoperative hypothermia, and these variables were incorporated into the nomogram model. Internal validation showed strong discriminative ability of the nomogram, with an area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC) of 0.755 (95% CI 0.686 to 0.820) and a C-index of 0.832 (95% CI 0.787 to 0.865). The calibration curve demonstrated good consistency between predicted and observed outcomes. Decision curve analysis showed that the nomogram provided greater clinical utility when the risk threshold for postoperative hypothermia was between 8% and 97%. CONCLUSIONS This study developed a nomogram model for predicting the risk of postoperative hypothermia in HoLEP patients, providing clinicians with a simple and effective predictive tool for individualized risk assessment and preoperative decision-making.
Humans ; Male ; Nomograms ; Prostatic Hyperplasia/surgery* ; Lasers, Solid-State/adverse effects* ; Risk Factors ; Retrospective Studies ; Transurethral Resection of Prostate/methods* ; Postoperative Complications/epidemiology* ; Hypothermia/epidemiology* ; Middle Aged ; Aged

BACKGROUND: Emergence delirium (ED) is a kind of delirium that occured in the immediate post-anesthesia period. Lower body temperature on post-anesthesia care unit (PACU) admission was an independent risk factor of ED. The present study was designed to investigate the association between intraoperative body temperature and ED in elderly patients undergoing non-cardiac surgery. METHODS: This study was a secondary analysis of a prospective observational study. Taking baseline body temperature as a reference, intraoperative absolute and relative temperature changes were calculated. The relative change was defined as the amplitude between intraoperative lowest/highest temperature and baseline reference. ED was assessed with the confusion assessment method for intensive care unit at 10 and 30 min after PACU admission and before PACU discharge. RESULTS: A total of 874 patients were analyzed with a mean age of 71.8 ± 5.3 years. The incidence of ED was 38.4% (336/874). When taking 36.0°C, 35.5°C, and 35.0°C as thresholds, the incidences of absolute hypothermia were 76.7% (670/874), 38.4% (336/874), and 17.5% (153/874), respectively. In multivariable logistic regression analysis, absolute hypothermia (lowest value <35.5°C) and its cumulative duration were respectively associated with an increased risk of ED after adjusting for confounders including age, education, preoperative mild cognitive impairment, American Society of Anesthesiologists grade, duration of surgery, site of surgery, and pain intensity. Relative hypothermia (decrement >1.0°C from baseline) and its cumulative duration were also associated with an increased risk of ED, respectively. When taking the relative increment >0.5°C as a threshold, the incidence of relative hyperthermia was 21.7% (190/874) and it was associated with a decreased risk of ED after adjusting above confounders. CONCLUSIONS: In the present study, we found that intraoperative hypothermia, defined as either absolute or relative hypothermia, was associated with an increased risk of ED in elderly patients after non-cardiac surgery. Relative hyperthermia, but not absolute hyperthermia, was associated with a decreased risk of ED. REGISTRATION Chinese Clinical Trial Registry (No. ChiCTR-OOC-17012734).
Humans ; Aged ; Body Temperature ; Emergence Delirium ; Hypothermia ; Postoperative Complications/epidemiology* ; Prospective Studies

Humans ; Hypothermia ; Perioperative Care ; Intraoperative Complications ; Patients ; Body Temperature

OBJECTIVE: To evaluate the effect of mild hypothermia on the incidence of post-stroke infection and explore the relationship between mild hypothermia and outcome of stroke patients by using propensity score matching. METHODS: Patients hospitalized in department of intensive care unit (ICU), neurology and neurosurgery in the First Affiliated Hospital of Guangxi Medical University due to stroke from March 2012 to April 2018 were retrospectively analyzed. According to whether or not mild hypothermia was provided, they were divided into the normal thermic group (NT group) and mild hypothermia treatment group (MHT group). The MHT group patients were matched with the NT group patients by the propensity score matching method at a ratio of 1:1. The observation period was within the first 7 days after admission. Baseline characteristics including age, gender, type of stroke, comorbidities, acute physiology and chronic health evaluation II (APACHE II) score and Glasgow coma score (GCS) on admission, surgical operation, dysphagia, invasive procedures and outcomes of these patients had been analyzed. The primary outcome was incidence of post-stroke infection, and the secondary outcomes included the time of initial infection (TII, the duration from stroke to initial infection), hospital mortality, sequential organ failure assessment (SOFA) at discharge, incidence of complications such as arrhythmia, coagulation dysfunction and multiple organ dysfunction syndrome (MODS). RESULTS: 201 stroke patients were enrolled, 41.8% (84/201) of whom underwent mild hypothermia. Comparison with NT group before matching, there were more males in MHT group (71.4% vs. 56.4%), the proportion of surgical operation, mechanical ventilation, deep vein catheterization and gastric catheterization were higher (78.6% vs. 54.7%, 84.5% vs. 39.3%, 90.5% vs. 37.6%, 98.8% vs. 70.9%), and so as incidence of infection (90.5% vs. 72.6%), in-hospital mortality (27.4% vs. 12.8%) and TII [hours: 62.00 (35.25, 93.00) vs. 42.00 (28.50, 69.50)]. All the differences were statistically significant (all P < 0.05). Fifty-three patients in the MHT group were matched with 53 patients in the NT group. After matching, there was no significant difference in 15 baseline characteristics between two groups. Significant differences in infection and hospital mortality between the MHT group and NT groups disappeared (92.5% vs. 88.7%, 22.6% vs. 26.4%, both P > 0.05), while TII of MHT group was longer than that of the NT group [hours: 62.00 (40.75, 92.25) vs. 40.00 (28.00, 63.00), P = 0.000]. There were no statistically significant differences in SOFA score or complications between the two groups either before or after matching. CONCLUSIONS Mild hypothermia had no significant effect on the incidence of post-stroke infection and hospital mortality, it could delay the occurrence of infection and provide longer duration of treatment.
China ; Cohort Studies ; Humans ; Hypothermia, Induced ; Infections ; Intensive Care Units ; Prognosis ; Propensity Score ; Retrospective Studies ; Stroke/complications*

BACKGROUND: Postoperative delirium has been suggested as a significant predictor of postoperative morbidity and mortality in elderly patients. They usually have multiple comorbidities, including cardiovascular, respiratory, renal, and neurologic disease. We aimed to determine the incidence rate and modifiable risk factors of postoperative delirium following total knee arthroplasty in elderly. METHODS: We reviewed the medical records of 318 elderly patients (age >65 years) underwent unilateral total knee arthroplasty between 2009 and 2016. Patient demographics, American Society of Anesthesiologists physical status, preoperative comorbidities, type and duration of anesthesia and surgery, length of hospital stay, ambulation ability, frequency of intraoperative hypotension, frequency of hypothermia, whether the patient was transfused or heparinized, and perioperative laboratory results were evaluated. Univariate and multivariate logistic regression analyses were used to identify significant independent predictors of postoperative delirium. RESULTS: The incidence rate of postoperative delirium was 6% in this study. Univariate analysis showed that postoperative delirium was significantly associated with age, body mass index, general anesthesia, anesthesia time, preoperative dementia, intraoperative hypotension, preoperative hemoglobin, blood transfusion, and intraoperative hypothermia. Preoperative dementia (odds ratio [OR] = 8.80), intraoperative hypotension (OR = 1.06), and preoperative hemoglobin (OR = 0.66) were significant independent risk factors of postoperative delirium. CONCLUSIONS: Preoperative dementia is the most important risk factor of postoperative delirium. High-risk patients undergoing total knee arthroplasty should be thoroughly evaluated and their dementia should be managed preoperatively. Adequate management of preoperative hemoglobin and intraoperative hypotension might also be helpful in reducing the incidence of postoperative delirium in this population.
Aged* ; Anesthesia ; Anesthesia, General ; Arthroplasty, Replacement, Knee* ; Blood Transfusion ; Body Mass Index ; Comorbidity ; Delirium* ; Dementia ; Demography ; Heparin ; Humans ; Hypotension ; Hypothermia ; Incidence ; Length of Stay ; Logistic Models ; Medical Records ; Mortality ; Postoperative Complications ; Risk Factors* ; Walking

Enhanced recovery after surgery (ERAS) is a multimodal and multidisciplinary approach to maintaining physiologic function and improving recovery for surgical patients. The ERAS protocol is based on a range of empirical evidence, and consensus ERAS guidelines for various surgical procedures have been published. The elements of the ERAS protocol include minimal preoperative fasting and carbohydrate treatment instead of overnight fasting; no routine use of preoperative bowel preparation; minimally invasive surgical techniques; standard anesthetic protocol; optimal fluid management rather than generous intravenous fluid administration; prevention and treatment of postoperative nausea and vomiting; active prevention of perioperative hypothermia; multimodal approaches to controlling postoperative pain; and early oral intake and mobilization. Implementation of ERAS shortened hospital stays by 30% to 50% and reduced postoperative complications by 50%. A recent study reported that, when patient compliance with the colorectal ERAS protocol was over 70%, 5-year mortality fell by 42% compared with when compliance was below 70%. Auditing process compliance and patient outcomes are key measures for assisting clinicians implementing the ERAS program. As a perioperativist, an anesthesiologist can play a crucial role in implementing the ERAS program and contribute to protocol establishment, auditing, team education and team leadership. While the ERAS protocol was first implemented for colorectal surgery, as a result of its efficacy, it is now being used in nearly all major surgical specialties.
Colorectal Surgery ; Compliance ; Consensus ; Education ; Fasting ; Humans ; Hypothermia ; Leadership ; Length of Stay ; Mortality ; Pain, Postoperative ; Patient Compliance ; Postoperative Complications ; Postoperative Nausea and Vomiting ; Specialties, Surgical

Objective To investigate the diagnosis and surgical treatment strategies of intravenous leiomyomatosis(IVL)extending through inferior vena cava into the right cardiac cavities. Methods Thirty patients of IVL extending through inferior vena cava into the right cardiac cavities were treated in Peking Union Medical College Hospital from November 2002 to January 2015.The following variables were studied: age,cardiopulmonary bypass time,deep hypothermic circulatory arrest time,origins of IVL,blood loss,duration of post-operative hospital stay,hospitalization expenses,edema of lower extremity,blood transfusion,postoperative complication,residual IVL,and re-grow or recurrence. Results Thirteen of 30 patients reported double lower limb edema. The cardiopulmonary bypass was applied in 27 cases,and the average duration of cardiopulmonary bypass was(106.9±53.7)min. Then,21 patients were treated with the deep hypothermic circulatory arrest,and the mean time was(28.2±11.6) min. The tumors originated from the genital veins in 9 cases,the iliac vein in 13 cases,and both veins in 8 cases. The average intra-operative blood loss volume was (2060.5±2012.3)ml,and 21 patients received blood transfusion. The average hospitalization time was(18.9±8.3)days and the average hospitalization expenses was (80 840.4±28 264.2)RMB yuan. While 14 patients had postoperative complications,there was no serious postoperative complication or death.All patients have shown a favorable outcome.Conclusions Tumor embolus extending through inferior vena cava into the right cardiac cavities should be suspected in patients with multiple hysteromyoma. Successful therapy for IVL with right cardiac cavities extension is dependent on reasonable surgical treatment strategies. Surgical removal of the ovaries is vital to avoid IVL re-grow or recurrence.
Cardiopulmonary Bypass ; Circulatory Arrest, Deep Hypothermia Induced ; Female ; Heart Neoplasms ; surgery ; Humans ; Leiomyomatosis ; surgery ; Length of Stay ; Neoplasm Recurrence, Local ; Ovary ; Postoperative Complications ; Vascular Neoplasms ; surgery ; Veins ; pathology ; Vena Cava, Inferior ; pathology

BACKGROUND: During head and neck surgery including orthognathic surgery, mild intraoperative hypothermia occurs frequently. Hypothermia is associated with postanesthetic shivering, which may increase the risk of other postoperative complications. To improve intraoperative thermoregulation, devices such as forced-air warming blankets can be applied. This study aimed to evaluate the effect of supplemental forced-air warming blankets in preventing postanesthetic shivering. METHODS: This retrospective study included 113 patients who underwent orthognathic surgery between March and September 2015. According to the active warming method utilized during surgery, patients were divided into two groups: Group W (n = 55), circulating-water mattress; and Group F (n = 58), circulating-water mattress and forced-air warming blanket. Surgical notes and anesthesia and recovery room records were evaluated. RESULTS: Initial axillary temperatures did not significantly differ between groups (Group W = 35.9 ± 0.7℃, Group F = 35.8 ± 0.6℃). However, at the end of surgery, the temperatures in Group W were significantly lower than those in Group F (35.2 ± 0.5℃ and 36.2 ± 0.5℃, respectively, P = 0.04). The average body temperatures in Groups W and F were, respectively, 35.9 ± 0.5℃ and 36.2 ± 0.5℃ (P = 0.0001). In Group W, 24 patients (43.6%) experienced postanesthetic shivering, while in Group F, only 12 (20.7%) patients required treatment for postanesthetic shivering (P = 0.009, odds ratio = 0.333, 95% confidence interval: 0.147-0.772). CONCLUSIONS: Additional use of forced-air warming blankets in orthognathic surgery was superior in maintaining normothermia and reduced the incidence of postanesthetic shivering.
Anesthesia ; Body Temperature ; Body Temperature Regulation ; Head ; Humans ; Hypothermia ; Incidence ; Methods ; Neck ; Odds Ratio ; Orthognathic Surgery* ; Postoperative Complications ; Recovery Room ; Retrospective Studies ; Shivering*