1.Auxiliary diagnostic model of proliferative lupus nephritis based on machine learning algorithm
Yaning WANG ; Yang DONG ; Na LI ; Linlin LI ; Lina ZHANG ; Huixia CAO ; Lei YAN ; Fengmin SHAO
Chinese Journal of Rheumatology 2025;29(1):31-37
Objective:This study aimed to construct a prediction model for diagnosis of proliferative lupus nephritis based on a machine learning algorithm. Additionally, a user-friendly platform was developed to propose a non-invasive method to assist the pathologic classification of lupus nephritis.Methods:A retrospective analysis was conducted on clinical and pathological data of lupus nephritis patients confirmed by renal biopsy at Zhengzhou University People′s Hospital from January 2017 to August 2023. The study population was randomly divided into training and testing sets in a 7∶3 ratio. Utilizing six machine learning algorithms, classification models were developed. The predictive performance of each model was assessed using metrics such as accuracy, sensitivity, specificity, and the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC). The optimal model, once identified, was deployed as a web-based calculator for convenient model application. SPSS 25.0 and R 4.2.2 were used to analyze the data.Results:The study included a total of 212 patients, with 138 cases with proliferative lupus nephritis and 74 cases with non-proliferative lupus nephritis. The AUC values for the six models, namely logistic regression, decision tree, random forest, support vector machine, extreme gradient boosting, and light gradient boosting machine, were 0.79, 0.62, 0.79, 0.88, 0.81, and 0.77, respectively; the accuracy rates were 82.54%, 65.08%, 74.60%, 85.71%, 69.84%, 71.43%, respectively. Among them, the support vector machine model demonstrated the optimal performance. This model had deployed as a web-based calculator. Based on feature importance scores, the top 10 influencing factors were identified, including anti URNP antibody, immunoglobulin G, serum globulin, estimated glomerular filtration rate, anti Smith antibody, BMI index, anti dsDNA antibody, uric acid, anti-Rib.p antibody, and gender.Conclusion:A prediction model based on machine learning algorithms was successfully established, and a web calculator was developed to offer a simple and non-invasive method for diagnosing proliferative lupus nephritis. This can assist clinicians in evaluating the risk-benefit ratio of kidney biopsy in patients with lupus nephritis.
2.The influence of two-way referral model on treatment and prognosis of patients with chronic heart failure
Yijun SUN ; Xinyu ZHANG ; Yue HU ; Zongwei LIN ; Jie XIAO ; Peng LI ; Xin ZHAO ; Huafang ZHANG ; Bo QIN ; Dequan JIA ; Tao ZHANG ; Jian MA ; Hongping CHEN ; Chunju ZHANG ; Xinwei GENG ; Kaiyan ZHANG ; Man ZHENG ; Fenglei ZHANG ; Yan LANG ; Hegong HOU ; Peng LIU ; Haifeng JIA ; Jianjun LU ; Kai ZHAO ; Hui ZHAO ; Jiechang XU ; Mi ZHANG ; Xiuxin LI ; Dongxia ZHANG ; Lin ZHONG ; Hui ZHAO ; Fangfang LIU ; Yan LIU ; Dongxia MIAO ; Chengwei WANG ; Hui ZHANG ; Chen WANG ; Fen WANG ; Xuejuan ZHANG ; Huixia LYU ; Xiaoping JI
Chinese Journal of Cardiology 2025;53(11):1244-1253
Objective:To explore the impact of the two-way referral model on compliance and prognosis in patients with heart failure.Methods:This bidirectional cohort study enrolled chronic heart failure (CHF) patients treated at Qilu Hospital of Shandong University or designated primary hospitals between March 2018 and March 2022. Patients were categorized into two groups based on referral status: two-way referral group (participating in the referral model with≥1 follow-up visit at primary hospitals) and the core hospital group (receiving treatment and follow-up exclusively at Qilu Hospital). Baseline clinical characteristics were collected and compared between groups. Patients underwent followed-up, with primary endpoints including follow-up rate, drug (β-blockers, angiotension converting enzyme inhibitor (ACEI)/angiotensin Ⅱ receptor blockers (ARB)/angiotensin receptor-neprilysin inhibitor (ARNI), sodium-glucose cotransporter 2 inhibitors and mineralocorticoid receptor antagonists) utilization rate and target dose achievement rate. Secondary endpoints encompassed changes from baseline in left ventricular ejection fraction (LVEF), left ventricular end-diastolic diameter (LVEDd), and N-terminal pro-brain natriuretic peptide (NT-proBNP), plus cardiovascular mortality and heart failure rehospitalization. Generalized linear mixed models analyzed longitudinal trends in LVEF, LVEDd, and NT-proBNP levels. Kaplan-Meier curves and Cox regression evaluated LVEF recovery rates, supplemented by subgroup analyses. Multivariate logistic regression was used to identify factors influencing target dose achievement rate for β-blockers and ACEI/ARB/ARNI therapies in CHF patients.Results:A total of 357 patients were enrolled, aged 53 (41, 63) years, including 256 males (71.7%). 157 patients were in the two-way referral group and 200 patients in the core hospital-treated group. Compared with the core hospital-treated group, the two-way referral group had lower baseline LVEF (28 (22, 34)% vs. 31 (23, 36)%, P=0.021) and systolic blood pressure (116 (104, 125) mmHg vs. 121 (109, 134) mmHg (1 mmHg=0.133 kPa), P=0.010). The 12-month follow-up rate of the two-way referral group was higher than the core hospital-treated group (73.8% vs. 56.0%, P=0.004). No significant between-group differences were observed in drug utilization rate of β-blockers, ACEI/ARB/ARNI, or sodium-glucose cotransporter 2 inhibitors during follow-up (all P>0.05), while mineralocorticoid receptor antagonists use showed a declining trend in both groups. Although the core hospital-treated group had higher target dose achievement rates for β-blockers (65.4% vs. 49.3%, P=0.042) and ACEI/ARB/ARNI (79.8% vs. 65.8%, P=0.046) than the two-way referral group, multivariate logistic regression indicated that the two-way referral model was not a negative predictor for these outcomes (all P>0.05). Both groups showed improved NT-proBNP, LVEDd, and LVEF from baseline (all P<0.001) with no significant difference in trends between groups (all P>0.05). There was no significant difference in the composite incidence (7.6% vs. 6.5%, P=0.674) and cumulative incidence (log-rank P=0.684) of cardiovascular death and heart failure rehospitalization at 12 months between two groups. Conclusion:The two-way referral model demonstrates advantages in improving medication adherence, drug utilization rates, and targetdoseachievement rates among CHF patients. This model not only promotes cardiac functional recovery but also reduces risks of cardiovascular mortality and heart failure rehospitalization, achieving comparable therapeutic and management outcomes to those observed in core hospital-treated patients.
3.Auxiliary diagnostic model of proliferative lupus nephritis based on machine learning algorithm
Yaning WANG ; Yang DONG ; Na LI ; Linlin LI ; Lina ZHANG ; Huixia CAO ; Lei YAN ; Fengmin SHAO
Chinese Journal of Rheumatology 2025;29(1):31-37
Objective:This study aimed to construct a prediction model for diagnosis of proliferative lupus nephritis based on a machine learning algorithm. Additionally, a user-friendly platform was developed to propose a non-invasive method to assist the pathologic classification of lupus nephritis.Methods:A retrospective analysis was conducted on clinical and pathological data of lupus nephritis patients confirmed by renal biopsy at Zhengzhou University People′s Hospital from January 2017 to August 2023. The study population was randomly divided into training and testing sets in a 7∶3 ratio. Utilizing six machine learning algorithms, classification models were developed. The predictive performance of each model was assessed using metrics such as accuracy, sensitivity, specificity, and the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC). The optimal model, once identified, was deployed as a web-based calculator for convenient model application. SPSS 25.0 and R 4.2.2 were used to analyze the data.Results:The study included a total of 212 patients, with 138 cases with proliferative lupus nephritis and 74 cases with non-proliferative lupus nephritis. The AUC values for the six models, namely logistic regression, decision tree, random forest, support vector machine, extreme gradient boosting, and light gradient boosting machine, were 0.79, 0.62, 0.79, 0.88, 0.81, and 0.77, respectively; the accuracy rates were 82.54%, 65.08%, 74.60%, 85.71%, 69.84%, 71.43%, respectively. Among them, the support vector machine model demonstrated the optimal performance. This model had deployed as a web-based calculator. Based on feature importance scores, the top 10 influencing factors were identified, including anti URNP antibody, immunoglobulin G, serum globulin, estimated glomerular filtration rate, anti Smith antibody, BMI index, anti dsDNA antibody, uric acid, anti-Rib.p antibody, and gender.Conclusion:A prediction model based on machine learning algorithms was successfully established, and a web calculator was developed to offer a simple and non-invasive method for diagnosing proliferative lupus nephritis. This can assist clinicians in evaluating the risk-benefit ratio of kidney biopsy in patients with lupus nephritis.
4.The influence of two-way referral model on treatment and prognosis of patients with chronic heart failure
Yijun SUN ; Xinyu ZHANG ; Yue HU ; Zongwei LIN ; Jie XIAO ; Peng LI ; Xin ZHAO ; Huafang ZHANG ; Bo QIN ; Dequan JIA ; Tao ZHANG ; Jian MA ; Hongping CHEN ; Chunju ZHANG ; Xinwei GENG ; Kaiyan ZHANG ; Man ZHENG ; Fenglei ZHANG ; Yan LANG ; Hegong HOU ; Peng LIU ; Haifeng JIA ; Jianjun LU ; Kai ZHAO ; Hui ZHAO ; Jiechang XU ; Mi ZHANG ; Xiuxin LI ; Dongxia ZHANG ; Lin ZHONG ; Hui ZHAO ; Fangfang LIU ; Yan LIU ; Dongxia MIAO ; Chengwei WANG ; Hui ZHANG ; Chen WANG ; Fen WANG ; Xuejuan ZHANG ; Huixia LYU ; Xiaoping JI
Chinese Journal of Cardiology 2025;53(11):1244-1253
Objective:To explore the impact of the two-way referral model on compliance and prognosis in patients with heart failure.Methods:This bidirectional cohort study enrolled chronic heart failure (CHF) patients treated at Qilu Hospital of Shandong University or designated primary hospitals between March 2018 and March 2022. Patients were categorized into two groups based on referral status: two-way referral group (participating in the referral model with≥1 follow-up visit at primary hospitals) and the core hospital group (receiving treatment and follow-up exclusively at Qilu Hospital). Baseline clinical characteristics were collected and compared between groups. Patients underwent followed-up, with primary endpoints including follow-up rate, drug (β-blockers, angiotension converting enzyme inhibitor (ACEI)/angiotensin Ⅱ receptor blockers (ARB)/angiotensin receptor-neprilysin inhibitor (ARNI), sodium-glucose cotransporter 2 inhibitors and mineralocorticoid receptor antagonists) utilization rate and target dose achievement rate. Secondary endpoints encompassed changes from baseline in left ventricular ejection fraction (LVEF), left ventricular end-diastolic diameter (LVEDd), and N-terminal pro-brain natriuretic peptide (NT-proBNP), plus cardiovascular mortality and heart failure rehospitalization. Generalized linear mixed models analyzed longitudinal trends in LVEF, LVEDd, and NT-proBNP levels. Kaplan-Meier curves and Cox regression evaluated LVEF recovery rates, supplemented by subgroup analyses. Multivariate logistic regression was used to identify factors influencing target dose achievement rate for β-blockers and ACEI/ARB/ARNI therapies in CHF patients.Results:A total of 357 patients were enrolled, aged 53 (41, 63) years, including 256 males (71.7%). 157 patients were in the two-way referral group and 200 patients in the core hospital-treated group. Compared with the core hospital-treated group, the two-way referral group had lower baseline LVEF (28 (22, 34)% vs. 31 (23, 36)%, P=0.021) and systolic blood pressure (116 (104, 125) mmHg vs. 121 (109, 134) mmHg (1 mmHg=0.133 kPa), P=0.010). The 12-month follow-up rate of the two-way referral group was higher than the core hospital-treated group (73.8% vs. 56.0%, P=0.004). No significant between-group differences were observed in drug utilization rate of β-blockers, ACEI/ARB/ARNI, or sodium-glucose cotransporter 2 inhibitors during follow-up (all P>0.05), while mineralocorticoid receptor antagonists use showed a declining trend in both groups. Although the core hospital-treated group had higher target dose achievement rates for β-blockers (65.4% vs. 49.3%, P=0.042) and ACEI/ARB/ARNI (79.8% vs. 65.8%, P=0.046) than the two-way referral group, multivariate logistic regression indicated that the two-way referral model was not a negative predictor for these outcomes (all P>0.05). Both groups showed improved NT-proBNP, LVEDd, and LVEF from baseline (all P<0.001) with no significant difference in trends between groups (all P>0.05). There was no significant difference in the composite incidence (7.6% vs. 6.5%, P=0.674) and cumulative incidence (log-rank P=0.684) of cardiovascular death and heart failure rehospitalization at 12 months between two groups. Conclusion:The two-way referral model demonstrates advantages in improving medication adherence, drug utilization rates, and targetdoseachievement rates among CHF patients. This model not only promotes cardiac functional recovery but also reduces risks of cardiovascular mortality and heart failure rehospitalization, achieving comparable therapeutic and management outcomes to those observed in core hospital-treated patients.
5.Influencing factors of occupational stress and health effect among grassroots medical and health personnel in Xiong’an New Area, Hebei Province based on Bayesian network
Huixia LI ; Junqin ZHAO ; Lixin YANG ; Qiuying DONG ; Jinmei SHI ; Jianguo LI ; Chunxiang ZHAO ; Yan GAO
Journal of Environmental and Occupational Medicine 2024;41(12):1400-1406
Background Grassroots medical and health personnel are an important component of China's public health system, and guaranteeing their physical and mental health will have a profound impact on the development of China's health service. Objective To identify potential influencing factors of occupational stress, anxiety, depression, and insomnia as well as their interactions. Methods In August 2021, a cross-sectional survey was conducted among all the staff (
6.METTL3 regulates glucose transporter expression in placenta exposed to hyperglycemia through the mTOR signaling pathway
Jie NING ; Jing HUAI ; Shuxian WANG ; Jie YAN ; Rina SU ; Muqiu ZHANG ; Mengtong LIU ; Huixia YANG
Chinese Medical Journal 2024;137(13):1563-1575
Background::Alterations in the placental expression of glucose transporters (GLUTs), the crucial maternal-fetal nutrient transporters, have been found in women with hyperglycemia in pregnancy (HIP). However, there is still uncertainty about the underlying effect of the high-glucose environment on placental GLUTs expression in HIP.Methods::We quantitatively evaluated the activity of mammalian target of rapamycin (mTOR) and expression of GLUTs (GLUT1, GLUT3, and GLUT4) in the placenta of women with normal pregnancies (CTRL, n = 12) and pregnant women complicated with poorly controlled type 2 diabetes mellitus (T2DM, n = 12) by immunohistochemistry. In addition, BeWo cells were treated with different glucose concentrations to verify the regulation of hyperglycemia. Then, changes in the expression of GLUTs following the activation or suppression of the mTOR pathway were also assessed using MHY1485/rapamycin (RAPA) treatment or small interfering RNA (siRNA)-mediated silencing approaches. Moreover, we further explored the alteration and potential upstream regulatory role of methyltransferase-like 3 (METTL3) when exposed to hyperglycemia. Results::mTOR, phosphorylated mTOR (p-mTOR), and GLUT1 protein levels were upregulated in the placenta of women with T2DM compared with those CTRL. In BeWo cells, mTOR activity increased with increasing glucose concentration, and the expression of GLUT1, GLUT3, and GLUT4 as well as GLUT1 cell membrane translocation were upregulated by hyperglycemia to varying degrees. Both the drug-mediated and genetic depletion of mTOR signaling in BeWo cells suppressed GLUTs expression, whereas MHY1485-induced mTOR activation upregulated GLUTs expression. Additionally, high glucose levels upregulated METTL3 expression and nuclear translocation, and decreasing METTL3 levels suppressed GLUTs expression and mTOR activity and vice versa. Furthermore, in METTL3 knockdown BeWo cells, the inhibitory effect on GLUTs expression was eliminated by activating the mTOR signaling pathway using MHY1485. Conclusion::High-glucose environment-induced upregulation of METTL3 in trophoblasts regulates the expression of GLUTs through mTOR signaling, contributing to disordered nutrient transport in women with HIP.
7.Research progress of glycogen synthesis kinase-3β in the development of diabetic nephropathy
Xuanfeng SUN ; Huixia CAO ; Xiaojing JIAO ; Lina ZHANG ; Lei YAN ; Fengmin SHAO
Journal of Xinxiang Medical College 2024;41(1):77-81
Diabetic nephropathy(DN)is one of the most important complications of diabetes.Its pathogenesis is com-plex and has not been fully elucidated.Epithelial-mesenchymal transition(EMT)plays an important role in the development of DN.Relevant data show that glycogen synthesis kinase-3β(GSK-3β)participates in the process of EMT through multiple sig-naling pathways and affects the occurrence and progression of DN.This article reviews the research progress of GSK-3β in-volved in EMT in DN.
8.High Risk Factors for Placenta Accreta Other than Pregnancy and Their Impact on Patient Prognosis
Xinrui YANG ; Weiran ZHENG ; Jie YAN ; Huixia YANG
Maternal-Fetal Medicine 2023;05(3):137-143
Objective::This study aimed to determine the most pertinent factors responsible for placenta accreta spectrum disorders in patients without any history of pregnancy and evaluate their prognostic implications.Methods::This retrospective cohort study included 1009 patients diagnosed with placenta accreta spectrum disorders based on standardized diagnostic criteria across 10 tertiary hospitals in China between January 1, 2018, and December 31, 2018; 45 patients without a history of pregnancy were selected. The collected data mainly included demographic characteristics (including age, operative history, and ultrasound findings) and maternal-fetal outcomes (including any history of intraoperative bleeding, blood transfusion details, maternal-fetal complications, and fetal Apgar scores). SPSS 24.0 was used for statistical analyses. The Mann-Whitney U test and logistic regression were performed; a two-tailed P < 0.050 was considered statistically significant. Results::Ultrasound-based detection of placenta previa ( χ2 = 9.911, P = 0.003) showed a strong association with placenta accreta spectrum types. The severity of placenta accreta spectrum was directly proportional to the likelihood of having coexistent complete placenta previa ( χ2 = 11.626, P = 0.009) and being diagnosed by ultrasound ( χ2 = 5.449, P = 0.047). Blood transfusion also impacted placenta accreta spectrum types in relation to maternal prognosis ( χ2 = 8.785, P = 0.004). On univariate analysis, older age led to more complications ( U = 82.000, P = 0.011), and in vitro fertilization-embryo transfer caused more intraoperative bleeding ( U = 91.500, P = 0.007). Although the 1- and 5-minute Apgar scores were statistically significant, the rates of neonatal asphyxia did not differ ( P > 0.050). Endometrial damage led to lower Apgar scores on both univariate (1 minute: U = 29.500, P = 0.027; and 5 minutes: U = 33.500, P = 0.031) and multivariate (1 minute: β = -1.510, 95% confidence interval, -2.639 to 0.381, P = 0.010; and 5 minutes: β = -0.968, 95% confidence interval, -1.779 to 0.157, P = 0.021) analyses. Conclusion::In patients who had no history of pregnancy, placenta previa was a strong risk factor for severe placenta accreta spectrum disorders. Endometrial damage led to lower Apgar scores; this warrants greater consideration in the clinic.
9.Risk Factors for Gestational Diabetes Mellitus (GDM) in Subsequent Pregnancy Among Women Without GDM History in China: A Multicenter Retrospective Study
Geng SONG ; Yumei WEI ; Juan JUAN ; Rina SU ; Jianying YAN ; Mei XIAO ; Xianlan ZHAO ; Meihua ZHANG ; Yuyan MA ; Haiwei LIU ; Jingxia SUN ; Kejia HU ; Huixia YANG
Maternal-Fetal Medicine 2023;05(1):9-15
Objective::This study aimed to determine the likelihood of gestational diabetes mellitus (GDM) in subsequent pregnancy among women without GDM history and to identify risk factors for GDM in subsequent pregnancy.Methods::This retrospective cohort study involved participants who delivered twice in same hospital of 18 research centers when delivered the second baby from January 2018 to December 2018. Finally 6204 women were enrolled and 5180 women without GDM history were analyzed further. Women were categorized as non-GDM or GDM based on the blood glucose values of the subsequent pregnancy, and the characteristics and GDM risk of these groups were compared. A univariate analysis of potential risk factors was performed using the Chi-squared test and/or t-test for qualitative or quantitative variables, respectively. Associations with P values <0.1 were chosen to be included in the multivariate binary logistic regression model. Results::In primary analysis of 6204 women, the incidence of GDM in subsequent pregnancy is 48.9% (490/1002) in women with GDM history and 16.1% (835/5202) in women without GDM history. In a further analysis for 5180 women without GDM at index pregnancy, compared with the non-GDM group, the GDM group had a significantly higher age, prepregnancy body mass index, and blood glucose value at each oral glucose tolerance test (OGTT) timepoint (fasting, 1 h and 2 h) during the index and subsequent pregnancies, as well as higher weight retention during the interval between the two pregnancies ( P<0.001). Age above 35 years in subsequent pregnancy (odds ratio ( OR)=1.540, 95% confidence interval ( CI) = 1.257-1.886, P<0.001), macrosomia in index pregnancy ( OR=1.749, 95% CI=1.277-2.395, P=0.001), OGTT blood glucose values in index pregnancy (fasting, OR=2.487, 95% CI=1.883-3.285, P<0.001; 1 h, OR=1.142, 95% CI=1.051-1.241, P=0.002; 2 h, OR=1.290, 95% CI=1.162-1.432, P<0.001) and weight retention ( OR=1.052, 95% CI=1.035-1.068, P<0.001) were independent risk factors for GDM in subsequent pregnancy. Conclusion::For women without GDM history, GDM risk factors including age, macrosomia history, OGTT value, and weight retention, these can be evaluated before a subsequent pregnancy. Early warning and interventions are needed for women at high risk.
10.High Risk Factors for Placenta Accreta Other than Pregnancy and Their Impact on Patient Prognosis
Xinrui YANG ; Weiran ZHENG ; Jie YAN ; Huixia YANG
Maternal-Fetal Medicine 2023;05(3):137-143
Objective::This study aimed to determine the most pertinent factors responsible for placenta accreta spectrum disorders in patients without any history of pregnancy and evaluate their prognostic implications.Methods::This retrospective cohort study included 1009 patients diagnosed with placenta accreta spectrum disorders based on standardized diagnostic criteria across 10 tertiary hospitals in China between January 1, 2018, and December 31, 2018; 45 patients without a history of pregnancy were selected. The collected data mainly included demographic characteristics (including age, operative history, and ultrasound findings) and maternal-fetal outcomes (including any history of intraoperative bleeding, blood transfusion details, maternal-fetal complications, and fetal Apgar scores). SPSS 24.0 was used for statistical analyses. The Mann-Whitney U test and logistic regression were performed; a two-tailed P < 0.050 was considered statistically significant. Results::Ultrasound-based detection of placenta previa ( χ2 = 9.911, P = 0.003) showed a strong association with placenta accreta spectrum types. The severity of placenta accreta spectrum was directly proportional to the likelihood of having coexistent complete placenta previa ( χ2 = 11.626, P = 0.009) and being diagnosed by ultrasound ( χ2 = 5.449, P = 0.047). Blood transfusion also impacted placenta accreta spectrum types in relation to maternal prognosis ( χ2 = 8.785, P = 0.004). On univariate analysis, older age led to more complications ( U = 82.000, P = 0.011), and in vitro fertilization-embryo transfer caused more intraoperative bleeding ( U = 91.500, P = 0.007). Although the 1- and 5-minute Apgar scores were statistically significant, the rates of neonatal asphyxia did not differ ( P > 0.050). Endometrial damage led to lower Apgar scores on both univariate (1 minute: U = 29.500, P = 0.027; and 5 minutes: U = 33.500, P = 0.031) and multivariate (1 minute: β = -1.510, 95% confidence interval, -2.639 to 0.381, P = 0.010; and 5 minutes: β = -0.968, 95% confidence interval, -1.779 to 0.157, P = 0.021) analyses. Conclusion::In patients who had no history of pregnancy, placenta previa was a strong risk factor for severe placenta accreta spectrum disorders. Endometrial damage led to lower Apgar scores; this warrants greater consideration in the clinic.

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