1.Development of a prediction model based on decision tree for acute kidney injury in critically ill children and its predictive value
Huiwen LI ; Jiao CHEN ; Junlong HU ; Jing XU ; Zhenjiang BAI ; Xiaozhong LI ; Yanhong LI
Chinese Pediatric Emergency Medicine 2025;32(2):128-134
Objective:To establish and validate a prediction model based on least absolute shrinkage and selection operator(LASSO)regression and classification and regression tree(CART)algorithm for acute kidney injury(AKI)in PICU.Methods:The prospective derivation cohort consisted of 350 critically ill children admitted to the PICU of Children′s Hospital of Soochow University from September 2020 to January 2021.The external data set consisting of 866 critically ill children admitted to the PICU of Children′s Hospital of Soochow University from February 2021 to February 2022 was employed for the external validation.Clinical data was obtained from the electronic medical record system,including demographic characteristics,laboratory data and the pediatric risk of mortality Ⅲ(PRISM Ⅲ)score.The variables associated with AKI were identified using LASSO regression.Subsequently,a decision tree prediction model was built using the CART algorithm.The predictive value of decision tree prediction model was evaluated using the receiver operating characteristic(ROC)curve,calibration curve,and decision curve analysis.Results:Among the 350 children in the derivation cohort,107(30.6%)developed AKI during the PICU stay;and of 866 children in the external validation cohort,165(19.1%)developed AKI during the PICU stay.The LASSO regression screened 16 candidate variables for further analysis,and the decision tree model ultimately identified 4 variables more closely associated with AKI,including fold change in serum creatinine from baseline,urine volume,PRISM Ⅲ,and C-reactive protein.The decision tree model exhibited high accuracy with AUC of 0.92,0.88,and 0.86 in the training,internal validation,and external validation cohorts,respectively.The model demonstrated good calibration and clinical applicability based on the calibration curve and decision curve analysis.Conclusion:The decision tree model based on the 4 identified clinical indicators,including fold change in serum creatinine from baseline,urine volume,PRISM Ⅲ,and C-reactive protein,is effective for the early prediction of AKI.
2.Development of a prediction model based on decision tree for acute kidney injury in critically ill children and its predictive value
Huiwen LI ; Jiao CHEN ; Junlong HU ; Jing XU ; Zhenjiang BAI ; Xiaozhong LI ; Yanhong LI
Chinese Pediatric Emergency Medicine 2025;32(2):128-134
Objective:To establish and validate a prediction model based on least absolute shrinkage and selection operator(LASSO)regression and classification and regression tree(CART)algorithm for acute kidney injury(AKI)in PICU.Methods:The prospective derivation cohort consisted of 350 critically ill children admitted to the PICU of Children′s Hospital of Soochow University from September 2020 to January 2021.The external data set consisting of 866 critically ill children admitted to the PICU of Children′s Hospital of Soochow University from February 2021 to February 2022 was employed for the external validation.Clinical data was obtained from the electronic medical record system,including demographic characteristics,laboratory data and the pediatric risk of mortality Ⅲ(PRISM Ⅲ)score.The variables associated with AKI were identified using LASSO regression.Subsequently,a decision tree prediction model was built using the CART algorithm.The predictive value of decision tree prediction model was evaluated using the receiver operating characteristic(ROC)curve,calibration curve,and decision curve analysis.Results:Among the 350 children in the derivation cohort,107(30.6%)developed AKI during the PICU stay;and of 866 children in the external validation cohort,165(19.1%)developed AKI during the PICU stay.The LASSO regression screened 16 candidate variables for further analysis,and the decision tree model ultimately identified 4 variables more closely associated with AKI,including fold change in serum creatinine from baseline,urine volume,PRISM Ⅲ,and C-reactive protein.The decision tree model exhibited high accuracy with AUC of 0.92,0.88,and 0.86 in the training,internal validation,and external validation cohorts,respectively.The model demonstrated good calibration and clinical applicability based on the calibration curve and decision curve analysis.Conclusion:The decision tree model based on the 4 identified clinical indicators,including fold change in serum creatinine from baseline,urine volume,PRISM Ⅲ,and C-reactive protein,is effective for the early prediction of AKI.
3.A comparative study of three palliative surgical approaches for pulmonary atresia with ventricular septal defect
Zhiying SONG ; Jinghao ZHENG ; Xiaomin HE ; Kai LUO ; Qi SUN ; Huiwen CHEN ; Zhongqun ZHU ; Hao ZHANG ; Zhiwei XU ; Jinfen LIU
Chinese Journal of Clinical Thoracic and Cardiovascular Surgery 2023;30(02):266-272
Objective To compare and investigate the efficacy and differences of modified B-T shunt, central shunt and right ventricle-pulmonary artery (RV-PA) connection in the treatment of pulmonary atresia with ventricular septal defect (PA/VSD). Methods A total of 124 children with PA/VSD underwent initial palliative repair in Shanghai Children's Medical Center from September 2014 to August 2019, including 63 males and 61 females, aged 7 days to 15 years. They were divided into in a modified B-T shunt group (55 patients), a central shunt group (22 patients) and a RV-PA connection group (47 patients). The clinical data of these children were retrospectively analyzed. Results There were 9 early deaths after palliation, with an early mortality rate of 7.3%. The mean follow-up time was 26.5±20.3 months, with 5 patients lost to follow-up, 5 deaths during the follow-up period, and 105 survivors. The 1-year and 5-year survival rates were both 89.7%. The monthly increased Nakata index was 5.2 (–0.2, 12.3) mm2/m2, 9.2 (0.1, 23.6) mm2/m2, 6.3 (1.8, 23.3) mm2/m2 in the modified B-T shunt group, the central shunt group, and the RV-PA connection group, respectively, with no statistical difference among the three groups. The 1-year survival rate was 85.3%, 78.4%, 95.2%, and the 5-year (4-year in the central shunt group) survival rate was 85.3%, 58.8%, 95.2% in the three groups, respectively, with a statistical difference among them (P<0.05). The complete repair rate was 36.5%, 19.0% and 67.4% in the three groups, respectively, with a statistical difference among the three groups (P<0.001). Conclusion All these three palliative surgical approaches can effectively promote pulmonary vascular development. But compared with systemic-pulmonary shunt, RV-PA connection has a lower perioperative mortality rate and can achieve a higher complete repair rate at a later stage, which is beneficial for long-term prognosis.
4.Analysis of disease spectrum for abnormal 3-hydroxyisovalerylcarnitine metabolism identified through newborn screening and clinical diagnosis.
Yi YANG ; Wenjuan QIU ; Huiwen ZHANG ; Lili LIANG ; Deyun LU ; Kaichuang ZHANG ; Ting CHEN ; Feng XU ; Xuefan GU ; Lianshu HAN
Chinese Journal of Medical Genetics 2023;40(12):1466-1471
OBJECTIVE:
To explore the disease spectrum for abnormal 3-hydroxyisovalerylcarnitine (C5OH) metabolism identified through newborn screening and clinical diagnosis patients and the key points for differential diagnosis so as to raise the awareness of pediatricians for such diseases.
METHODS:
Clinical data of 85 neonates with abnormal C5OH metabolism identified from February 2004 to January 2022 at Xinhua Hospital Affiliated to Shanghai Jiao Tong University School of Medicine were collected. Their clinical manifestations and results of tandem mass spectrometry (MS/MS), gas chromatography mass spectrometry (GC-MS) and genetic testing were retrospectively analyzed.
RESULTS:
Among the 85 cases, 46 (54.1%) were identified by neonate screening, whilst 39 (45.9%) were clinically diagnosed patients. Five diseases were diagnosed, including 28 cases with multiple carboxylase deficiency (MCD, 32.9%), 29 cases with 3-methylcrotonyl-coenzymeAcarboxylasedeficiency (MCCD, 34.1%), 4 cases with 3-methylglutaconic acid (3-MGA, 4.7%), 7 cases with 3-hydroxy-3-methylglutaric acid (3-HMG, 8.2%), and 17 cases with beta-ketothiolase deficiency (BKD, 20.0%). The disorders were characterized by sudden onset, anorexia, vomiting, diarrhea, abnormal breathing, consciousness disorder, spasm and developmental delay.
CONCLUSION
Among newborns with abnormal C5OH metabolism, MCCD is the most common disorder, which was followed by BKD and MCD. For patients with abnormal C5OH metabolism, MCD is the most common, followed by BKD and 3-HMG. C5OH related diseases have great heterogeneity. Combination of blood acylcarnitine levels, urinary organic acid levels and genetic testing based on clinical characteristics can help to attain the diagnosis.
Humans
;
Infant, Newborn
;
China
;
Neonatal Screening
;
Retrospective Studies
;
Tandem Mass Spectrometry/methods*
5.Long-term outcome of hematopoietic stem cell transplantation in two children with Mucopolysaccharidosis.
Jianmin WANG ; Jing CHEN ; Changying LUO ; Huiwen ZHANG ; Xuefan GU ; Weimin ZHANG
Chinese Journal of Medical Genetics 2023;40(12):1489-1495
OBJECTIVE:
To explore the long-term efficacy of allogeneic hematopoietic stem cell transplantation (alloHSCT) in patients with Mucopolysaccharidosis (MPS), which has rarely been reported in China.
METHODS:
A 18-month-old boy and a 23-month-old girl undergoing alloHSCT for MPS VI and MPS IH Shanghai Children's Medical Center on March 30, 2006 and September 6, 2006 were selected as the study subjects. A busulfan-based myeloablative regimen was used as the conditioning regimen. Peripheral stem cells were respectively collected from a human leucocyte antigen (HLA) matched sibling carrier donor and a HLA 9/10 matched unrelated donor. Both patients were followed up for more than 15 years. The functions of internal organs before and after the transplantation were compared, and child 1 was also compared with his untreated brother and healthy brother.
RESULTS:
Both children have achieved full donor chimerism after the transplantation, and their enzymatic activities have remained stable. The enzymatic activity of the child 1 was slightly lower than normal but similar to that of his carrier donor, whilst that of the child 2 was normal. Both children have attended schools with good academic performance. Compared with his untreated brother, the respiratory function and hearing of child 1 have significantly improved. However, his orthopedic and cardiac disorders have still remained and required medical intervention. For child 2, her obstructive pulmonary disease was resolved and cognitive development was well preserved after the HSCT. Her heart disease has become stabilized and even improved with time, though her corneal clouding and skeletal malformation still required surgery.
CONCLUSION
MPS patients can sustain long-term and stable enzymatic activities after successful alloHSCT. Compared with untreated patients, their health can be significantly improved, along with considerably prolonged survival, though the long-term efficacy of HSCT for different organs may vary to a certain extent.
Humans
;
Child
;
Male
;
Female
;
Infant
;
Child, Preschool
;
Graft vs Host Disease/etiology*
;
China
;
Hematopoietic Stem Cell Transplantation/adverse effects*
;
Mucopolysaccharidoses/etiology*
;
Busulfan
;
Treatment Outcome
6.Screening of neonatal congenital heart diseases based on heart sound acquisition system
Xuejuan WANG ; Zhiying SHAO ; Minrong ZHU ; Zhenyu XIE ; Jingjing LYU ; Fang ZHU ; Bin DONG ; Liebin ZHAO ; Huiwen CHEN
Shanghai Journal of Preventive Medicine 2022;34(5):464-468
ObjectiveTo investigate the value of remote consultation of heart sound acquisition in screening and referral of neonates with congenital heart diseases (CHD) in primary hospitals. MethodsA total of 4 030 neonates with non-critical diseases were selected. They were born in Shanghai Pudong New Area Maternal and Child Health Hospital from November 5, 2019 to March 31, 2021. After birth, routine cardiac auscultation was performed and remote consultation of heart sound collection were performed at the same time in combination with percutaneous oxygen saturation measurement to screen CHD. The children with any positive screening index were advised to verify the diagnosis by cardiac ultrasound examination in Shanghai Children's Medical Center. The diagnostic value of different screening methods was compared. ResultsA total of 110 cases were detected positive by routine screening. Among them, 16 cases were lost to follow-up, and 46 cases were confirmed by cardiac ultrasound examination, with a positive diagnosis rate of 48.94% (46/94). A total of 51 cases were detected positive by routine screening and remote consultation of heart sound collection simultaneously. Among them, 42 cases were confirmed by cardiac ultrasound examination, with a positive diagnosis rate of 82.35% (42/51). The difference between the two positive diagnosis rates was statistically significant (P<0.001). ConclusionRemote consultation of heart sound acquisition on the basis of routine neonatal CHD screening can effectively improve the positive diagnosis rate of CHD screening in primary hospitals, and reduce unnecessary referrals. This method is simple and feasible. It has practical value in primary hospitals that lack professional technicians for the diagnosis and treatment of CHD.
7.Inherited metabolic diseases causing acute liver failure in children
Journal of Clinical Hepatology 2022;38(2):273-277
Acute liver failure (ALF) in children has complex etiologies, among which inherited metabolic diseases account for a high proportion, especially in infants and young children. Inherited metabolic diseases are a group of congenital diseases with destruction of cell physiological function caused by metabolism-related gene mutations, with various types and diverse clinical manifestations. ALF is one of the serious complications caused by such diseases and is easily neglected due to a lack of specific manifestations. ALF caused by such etiologies should be identified as early as possible to reverse the progression of ALF and improve the prognosis of patients. This article summarizes the common inherited metabolic diseases that can cause ALF in children, in order to improve the awareness of such etiology among physicians.
8.Establishment and application of a method for the determination of plasma protein binding rate of imatinib and its metabolite
Dunjian WANG ; Huiwen JIAO ; Yi QIAN ; Jianghao XU ; Hao XU ; Luning SUN ; Yongqing WANG
China Pharmacy 2022;33(18):2256-2260
OBJECTIVE To establish a method for the determination of plasma protein binding rate of imatinib and its metabolite(N-desmethyl imatinib )and apply it to patients with gastrointestinal stromal tumor (GIST).METHODS Using imatinib - d8 as the internal standard ,after being deproteinized methanol ,the sample was determined by equilibrium dialysis combined with liquid chromatography -tandem mass spectrometry . The free concentrations of imatinib and its metabolites in plasma of GIST patients were detected by the same method . RESULTS The protein binding rates of imatinib with albumin ,α1-acid glycoprotein and globulin at 120 ng/mL and 4 000 ng/mL were (92.5±1.0)% and(91.7±0.4)%,(56.6±2.0)% and(62.6±2.6)%,(56.3±3.1)% and (68.0±8.6)% ,respectively. The protein binding rates of N-desmethyl imatinib with albumin ,α1-acid glycoprotein and globulin at 60 ng/mL and 2 000 ng/mL were (90.6±3.5)% and(91.3±1.5)%,(54.1±5.1)% and(63.7±1.3)%,(56.2±7.6)% and(67.5±7.3)%,respectively. Compared with the low concentration group of imatinib (120 ng/mL)and its metabolite (60 ng/mL),the plasma protein binding rate of high concentration of imatinib (4 000 ng/mL)and its metabolite (2 000 ng/mL)with α1-acid glycoprotein and globulin was significantly increased (P< Δ基金项目 国家自然科学基金资助项目(No.81503160);江苏省 0.05),but there was no signifi -cant difference with albumin 卫生健康发展研究中心 2021年度开放课题(No.JSHD2021004);江苏 (P>0.05). In blank plasma ,the protein binding rates of imatinib(4 000 ng/mL)at high concentration and its metabolites(2 000 ng/mL)were significantly lower than those of low (120, 60 ng/mL) and medium (750, 375 ng/mL)concentration (P<0.01). Average protein binding rates of imatinib and its metabolite in plasma of GIST patients were (99.0±0.3)% and(99.2±0.3)%,respectively;the correlation coefficients between the concentrations of imatinib and its metabolites and the protein binding rates were -0.298 5 and -3.332 3,respectively(all P<0.05). CONCLUSIONS The method for determining the plasma protein binding rates of imatinib and its metabolites is successfully established . The plasma protein binding rates of imatinib and its metabolites in patients with GIST are negatively correlated with drug concentration .
9.Surgical treatment of mixed total anomalous pulmonary venous connection
WEN Chen ; ZHU Fang ; ZHANG Qian ; HU Chen ; CHEN Hao ; QIU Lisheng ; SHI Guocheng ; ZHANG Hao ; ZHU Zhongqun ; CHEN Huiwen
Chinese Journal of Clinical Thoracic and Cardiovascular Surgery 2020;27(04):415-420
Objective To analyze the outcomes of surgical repair for mixed total anomalous pulmonary venous connection (TAPVC). Methods Between 2006 and 2018, a total of 51 patients with mixed TAPVC underwent surgery in our hospital. Patients with such associated anomalies as single ventricle and tetralogy of Fallot were excluded. There were 35 males and 16 females with a median age of 102.0 (59.0, 181.0) days and a median weight of 5.0 (4.1, 6.4) kg. Patients were divided into three categories based on the anatomy: "3+1" pattern (n=38, three pulmonary veins drained at one site, and the other drained at the opposite site); "2+2" pattern (n=9, the pulmonary veins from each lung joined to form a confluence and drained at separate sites); bizarre pattern (n=4, the anatomy could not be classified into the above two patterns). Results There was no in-hospital death. The median follow-up was 41.0 (18.0, 86.5) months. Postoperative pulmonary venous obstruction occurred in 10 patients. Kaplan-Meier survival curves showed no statistically significant difference in postoperative pulmonary venous obstruction among the three groups (P=0.239). Cox risk regression showed that preoperative pulmonary venous obstruction was significantly associated with postoperative pulmonary venous obstruction (P=0.024). Conclusion Mixed TAPVC has various anatomic morphologies and requires individualized surgery.
10.Surgical treatment of infracardiac total anomalous pulmonary venous connection: A retrospective cohort study
Chen WEN ; Fang ZHU ; Qian ZHANG ; Chen HU ; Hao CHEN ; Lisheng QIU ; Guocheng SHI ; Hao ZHANG ; Zhongqun ZHU ; Huiwen CHEN
Chinese Journal of Clinical Thoracic and Cardiovascular Surgery 2020;27(05):510-514
Objective To compare the outcomes of sutureless technique and conventional technique in the surgical repair for infracardiac total anomalous pulmonary venous connection (TAPVC). Methods The clinical data of 46 consecutive patients with infracardiac TAPVC undergoing surgical repair in our hospital between June 2014 and April 2019 were retrospectively analyzed. Patients with combined congenital cardiac anomalies such as single ventricle and tetralogy of Fallot were excluded. Patients were divided into a conventional technique group and a sutureless technique group according to the surgical techniques. There were 35 patients in the conventional technique group, including 28 males (80.0%) and 7 females (20.0%) with a median age of 21 (8, 42) d and a median weight of 3.6 (3.0, 4.0) kg. There were 11 patients in the sutureless technique group, including 8 males (72.7%) and 3 females (27.3%) with a median age of 14 (6, 22) d and a median weight of 3.5 (2.9, 3.6) kg. The curative effect of the two groups was compared. Results There were 5 deaths (10.9%) in the conventional technique group, including 4 in-hospital deaths (8.7%) and 1 late death (2.2%). Overall mortality of the conventional technique group (14.3%, 5/35) was higher than that of the sutureless technique group (0.0%, 0/11), although the difference was not statistically significant (P=0.317). Cox regression analysis showed that sex (P=0.042), age at repair (P=0.028), cardiopulmonary bypass time (P=0.007), aortic cross-clamping time (P=0.018) and duration of ventilation (P=0.042) were risk factors for postoperative mortality. The median follow-up was 18.00 (5.00, 37.75) months. Postoperative pulmonary venous obstruction occurred in 22 patients of the conventional technique group, which was significantly more than that of the sutureless technique group (P=0.000). Conclusion For infracardiac TAPVC, sutureless technique can reduce the incidence of postoperative pulmonary venous obstruction compared with conventional technique.

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