1.Risk factors and nomogram construction for predicting long-term survival in hepatoid adenocarcinoma of the stomach
Yuyuan LU ; Hao CUI ; Bo CAO ; Qixuan XU ; Jingwang GAO ; Ruiyang ZHAO ; Huiguang REN ; Zhen YUAN ; Jiajun DU ; Jiahong SUN ; Jianxin CUI ; Bo WEI
Chinese Journal of Gastrointestinal Surgery 2025;28(2):157-168
Objective:This study aimed to analyze the prognostic risk factors for hepatoid adenocarcinoma of the stomach (HAS) and construct two nomogram-based clinical prediction models to predict overall survival (OS) and recurrence-free survival (RFS) in patients with HAS.Methods:Data were retrospectively collected from 82 patients (64 males, 18 females; mean age 60.3 ± 9.4 years) who underwent radical gastrectomy and were pathologically diagnosed with gastric hepatoid adenocarcinoma at the First Medical Center of the PLA General Hospital between February 2006 and September 2023. Statistical analyses were conducted using SPSS 25.0 and R 4.3.2. Survival analyses were performed using the Kaplan-Meier method, and univariate analyses were used to identify clinical and pathological factors associated with prognosis. Variables with P<0.05 in the univariate analysis were included in multivariate Cox regression models to identify independent risk factors for OS and RFS. These factors were incorporated into the prediction models to construct nomograms. The discriminatory power of the models was assessed using the area under the curve (AUC) of receiver operating characteristic (ROC) analyses, while calibration curves, decision curve analysis (DCA), and comparisons with the 8th edition of the TNM staging system of the American Joint Committee on Cancer (AJCC) were employed to evaluate model performance. Results:Among the 82 patients, 36 (43.9%) exhibited vascular infiltration, 61 (74.4%) had nerve infiltration, and lymph node metastasis was observed in 60 cases (73.2%). Pathological stages I, II, III, and IV were distributed as 11 (13.4%), 26 (31.7%), 44 (53.7%), and 1 (1.2%) cases, respectively. Inflammatory markers included neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio (NLR) ≥ 4.33 in 22 cases (26.8%), platelet-to-lymphocyte ratio (PLR) ≥ 142.2 in 50 cases (61.0%), monocyte-to-lymphocyte ratio (MLR) ≥ 0.411 in 22 cases (26.8%), α-fetoprotein (AFP) ≥ 2.48 μg/L in 64 cases (78.0%), and C-reactive protein (CRP) ≥ 7.506 mg/L in 12 cases (14.6%). Among the 82 patients, 3 cases (3.6%) were lost to follow-up. The median follow-up time was 52 (range: 8–147) months, with a median OS of 61(2–147) months. The 1-year and 3-year OS rates were 78.5% and 58.5%, respectively, while the 1-year and 3-year RFS rates were 77.3% and 60.3%, respectively. Multivariate analysis identified several independent risk factors influencing OS in patients with HAS: advanced pathological stage, MLR ≥ 0.411, AFP ≥ 2.545 μg/L, and CRP ≥ 7.51 mg/L. The hazard ratios (HRs) and 95% confidence intervals (CIs) were as follows: 5.218 (1.230–22.143), 2.610 (1.287–5.294), 2.950 (1.013–8.589), and 2.594 (1.145–5.877), respectively (all P < 0.05). For RFS, advanced pathological stage, PLR ≥ 152.0, and MLR ≥ 0.411 were independent risk factors, with HRs (95% CIs) of 4.735 (1.080–20.760), 3.759 (1.259–11.226), and 2.714 (1.218–6.048), respectively (all P < 0.05). The AUC values for OS prediction at 1 year, 3 years, and 5 years were 0.7765, 0.7525, and 0.7702, respectively. For RFS, the AUC values were 0.7304, 0.8137, and 0.8307 at 1 year, 3 years, and 5 years, respectively. The calibration curves demonstrated strong agreement between nomogram- predicted outcomes and observed survival data. DCA indicated that both TNM staging and the nomogram-based clinical prediction models provided a net positive benefit in predicting OS and RFS in HAS patients, with the nomogram model demonstrating superior performance. Conclusion:The nomogram-based clinical prediction models developed in this study demonstrated robust performance in predicting long-term OS and RFS in patients with HAS.
2.Risk factors and nomogram construction for predicting long-term survival in hepatoid adenocarcinoma of the stomach
Yuyuan LU ; Hao CUI ; Bo CAO ; Qixuan XU ; Jingwang GAO ; Ruiyang ZHAO ; Huiguang REN ; Zhen YUAN ; Jiajun DU ; Jiahong SUN ; Jianxin CUI ; Bo WEI
Chinese Journal of Gastrointestinal Surgery 2025;28(2):157-168
Objective:This study aimed to analyze the prognostic risk factors for hepatoid adenocarcinoma of the stomach (HAS) and construct two nomogram-based clinical prediction models to predict overall survival (OS) and recurrence-free survival (RFS) in patients with HAS.Methods:Data were retrospectively collected from 82 patients (64 males, 18 females; mean age 60.3 ± 9.4 years) who underwent radical gastrectomy and were pathologically diagnosed with gastric hepatoid adenocarcinoma at the First Medical Center of the PLA General Hospital between February 2006 and September 2023. Statistical analyses were conducted using SPSS 25.0 and R 4.3.2. Survival analyses were performed using the Kaplan-Meier method, and univariate analyses were used to identify clinical and pathological factors associated with prognosis. Variables with P<0.05 in the univariate analysis were included in multivariate Cox regression models to identify independent risk factors for OS and RFS. These factors were incorporated into the prediction models to construct nomograms. The discriminatory power of the models was assessed using the area under the curve (AUC) of receiver operating characteristic (ROC) analyses, while calibration curves, decision curve analysis (DCA), and comparisons with the 8th edition of the TNM staging system of the American Joint Committee on Cancer (AJCC) were employed to evaluate model performance. Results:Among the 82 patients, 36 (43.9%) exhibited vascular infiltration, 61 (74.4%) had nerve infiltration, and lymph node metastasis was observed in 60 cases (73.2%). Pathological stages I, II, III, and IV were distributed as 11 (13.4%), 26 (31.7%), 44 (53.7%), and 1 (1.2%) cases, respectively. Inflammatory markers included neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio (NLR) ≥ 4.33 in 22 cases (26.8%), platelet-to-lymphocyte ratio (PLR) ≥ 142.2 in 50 cases (61.0%), monocyte-to-lymphocyte ratio (MLR) ≥ 0.411 in 22 cases (26.8%), α-fetoprotein (AFP) ≥ 2.48 μg/L in 64 cases (78.0%), and C-reactive protein (CRP) ≥ 7.506 mg/L in 12 cases (14.6%). Among the 82 patients, 3 cases (3.6%) were lost to follow-up. The median follow-up time was 52 (range: 8–147) months, with a median OS of 61(2–147) months. The 1-year and 3-year OS rates were 78.5% and 58.5%, respectively, while the 1-year and 3-year RFS rates were 77.3% and 60.3%, respectively. Multivariate analysis identified several independent risk factors influencing OS in patients with HAS: advanced pathological stage, MLR ≥ 0.411, AFP ≥ 2.545 μg/L, and CRP ≥ 7.51 mg/L. The hazard ratios (HRs) and 95% confidence intervals (CIs) were as follows: 5.218 (1.230–22.143), 2.610 (1.287–5.294), 2.950 (1.013–8.589), and 2.594 (1.145–5.877), respectively (all P < 0.05). For RFS, advanced pathological stage, PLR ≥ 152.0, and MLR ≥ 0.411 were independent risk factors, with HRs (95% CIs) of 4.735 (1.080–20.760), 3.759 (1.259–11.226), and 2.714 (1.218–6.048), respectively (all P < 0.05). The AUC values for OS prediction at 1 year, 3 years, and 5 years were 0.7765, 0.7525, and 0.7702, respectively. For RFS, the AUC values were 0.7304, 0.8137, and 0.8307 at 1 year, 3 years, and 5 years, respectively. The calibration curves demonstrated strong agreement between nomogram- predicted outcomes and observed survival data. DCA indicated that both TNM staging and the nomogram-based clinical prediction models provided a net positive benefit in predicting OS and RFS in HAS patients, with the nomogram model demonstrating superior performance. Conclusion:The nomogram-based clinical prediction models developed in this study demonstrated robust performance in predicting long-term OS and RFS in patients with HAS.
3.Experimental study of improved arthroscopic reconstruction of posterior cruciate ligament using tibial Inlay technique
Xuefeng JIANG ; Huiguang YANG ; Yunqing ZHANG ; Jun XU ; Guowei HUANG ; Yajun REN ; Huiqing SUN
Chinese Journal of Orthopaedics 2011;31(3):260-264
Objective To improve the arthroscopic posterior cruciate ligament (PCL) reconstruction using tibial Inlay technique. Methods The special arthroscopic device and related fixation technique were designed. Five cadaveric knees were used to simulate the process of arthroscopic posterior cruciate ligament reconstruction using tibial Inlay technique. The knees were cut open to observe whether the outlet of the tibial tunnel shape and location met the design requirements. Thirty normal MRI films were measured to identify tunnel angle and localizer angle. Results The inner outlet of tunnel was conical shape(14 mm×7 mm×15 mm) and the outer outlet was cylinder-shaped (a diameter of 7 mm). The tibial drill was designed into a split structure and could be assembled in vitro. According to the data obtained from MRI films, the angle between the plane of posterior cruciate ligament and horizontal place was 36°-47°, and the localizer was fixed at 50°.The achilles tendon was used as implant and the allogft bones were designed into conical shape to fit the inner outlet of tunnel. The other end of implant to the proximal tibia was fixed with button plate. All reconstruction operations were performed under arthroscopy. The outcomes of procedure were satisfactory. There were no vascular or peripheral nerve injuries in the cadaveric knees The tunnel position was accurate and the shape of tunnel had met the design requirements. Conclusion Our results imply that improved arthroscopic of posterior cruciate ligament using tibial Inlay technique is simple, accurate, rapid and stable fixation.

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