1.Outlook on clinical blood demand from 2026 to 2035
Meng JIANG ; Hanmei ZHANG ; Linlin LI ; Jian KONG ; Xin WANG ; Minxiang GUO ; Cheng LIANG ; Hui WU
Chinese Journal of Blood Transfusion 2026;39(8):1074-1082
Objective: To analyze the demographic evolution of China over the forthcoming decade (2026-2035) and to systematically evaluate its potential implications for voluntary blood donation practices and the equilibrium of clinical blood supply and demand. Methods: Leveraging comprehensive blood collection and utilization data from 2021 to 2025 at the national, provincial (Shandong), and municipal (Zibo) levels, we identified and examined critical determinants influencing blood management systems. The DeepSeek-V3.2 large language model was deployed to project future population age structures, and to generate quantitative estimates for hospitalization volumes, clinical blood requirements, available blood supply, and donation frequencies for the target years 2030 and 2035, thereby furnishing an evidence base for strategic planning and priority-setting. Results: DeepSeek-derived projections indicate that the proportion of China's population aged 60 years and above will surpass 27% (370 million/1 380 million) by 2030 and exceed 30% (400 million/1 350 million) by 2035, signaling a marked acceleration in population aging. This demographic shift is projected to reduce the proportion of the national population eligible to donate blood from 59.2% (835 million out of 1.41 billion) to 52% (710 million out of 1.36 billion), while the demand for blood is expected to increase by 87.8% relative to 2024, rising from 26.927 million units to 50.56 million units. Sustaining blood supply-demand balance will necessitate progressive annual increases in donation rates. Under prevailing policy frameworks, the required blood donation rate among the eligible population in Shandong Province would need to rise by 122.57% by 2035 [from 20.07‰ (1.1641 million person-times/58 million people) to 44.67‰ (2.189 million person-times/49 million people)] to potentially satisfy projected clinical requirements. Conclusion: By integrating DeepSeek-V3.2, AI predictive models, and blood donation incentive measures, it is possible to monitor population demographics, forecast clinical blood demand, manage blood supplies, and ensure the long-term sustainability of clinical blood availability. It must be acknowledged, however, that the present analysis is constrained by a limited data foundation (comprising only five annual observation points); accordingly, the projections should be interpreted as directional trend indicators or methodological illustrations rather than definitive quantitative forecasts.
2.HAN Mingxiang's Experience in Staged and Syndrome-Based Treatment of Chronic Obstructive Pulmonary Disease
Jian DING ; Hui TAO ; Gang CHENG ; Weizhen GUO ; Zegeng LI ; Ya MAO ;
Journal of Traditional Chinese Medicine 2025;66(8):780-785
This paper summarizes Professor HAN Mingxiang's clinical experience in treating chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD). He believes that the key pathomechanism of COPD in the acute exacerbation stage is the invasion of external pathogens triggering latent illness, while lung qi deficiency is the primary mechanism in the stable stage. The core pathological factors throughout disease progression are deficiency, phlegm, and blood stasis. Treatment emphasizes a staged and syndrome-based approach. During the acute exacerbation stage, for wind-cold invading the lung syndrome, the self-formulated Sanzi Wenfei Decoction (三子温肺汤) is used to relieve the exterior, dispel cold, warm the lung, and resolve phlegm. For phlegm-dampness obstructing the lung syndrome, Huatan Jiangqi Fomulation (化痰降气方) is prescribed to warm the lung, transform phlegm, descend qi, and calm wheezing. For phlegm-heat obstructing the lung syndrome, Qingfei Huatan Fomulation (清肺化痰方) is applied to clear heat, resolve phlegm, moisten the lung, and stop coughing. For phlegm and blood stasis interlocking syndrome, Qibai Pingfei Fomulation (芪白平肺方) is used to tonify qi, resolve phlegm, and activate blood circulation to remove stasis. During the stable stage, for lung qi deficiency syndrome, Shenqi Wenfei Decoction (参芪温肺汤) is employed to warm the lung, tonify qi, resolve phlegm, and eliminate turbidity. For lung-spleen qi deficiency syndrome, Shenqi Buzhong Decoction (参芪补中汤) is utilized to strengthen the spleen, tonify qi, and reinforce metal (lung) from earth (spleen). For lung-kidney deficiency syndrome, Shenqi Tiaoshen Fomulation (参芪调肾方) is prescribed to tonify the lung, warm yang, and regulate kidney function to calm wheezing. These strategies provide insights into the traditional Chinese medicine treatment of COPD.
3.Exploration of the Pathways for Inheritance and Innovation in Traditional Chinese Medicine Based on Its Own Thinking
Qianfeng CHEN ; Hui JIAN ; Shaomin CHENG ; Jie ZHANG ; Songren YU
Journal of Traditional Chinese Medicine 2025;66(2):114-118
Traditional Chinese medicine (TCM) thinking serves as a comprehensive cognitive approach of TCM in recognizing and solving problem. It encompasses specific techniques (methods)and particular structures (patterns) in application. Its essential characteristics include the holistic view of "harmony between humanity and nature", the dialectical perspective of "differences and similarities in disease treatment", and the practical outlook of "unity of knowledge and action". The methods of TCM thinking emphasizes the integration of multiple cognitive approaches, forming various modes of thinking such as TCM holistic thinking, TCM four-dimensional thinking, TCM Xiang (象) and numerical thinking, and TCM clinical thinking. Currently, TCM faces both opportunities and challenges. TCM thinking plays a crucial role in the inheritance and innovation pathways of TCM, such as "cultivating medicine through culture", "leading medicine through pharmaceutical practices", "boosting industries with pharmaceuticals", and "benefiting the people through industry". At the same time, integrating TCM and modern technology not only enriches the connotation of TCM thinking, but also advances the innovation of TCM theories, addressing challenges in complex disease treatment, health management, and preventive healthcare. This integration promotes the continued prosperity of the TCM and accelerates its internationalization.
4.The role of SIRT7 in regulating epithelial-mesenchymal transition(EMT)to promote glioma cell proliferation and migration
Jiang-Ting WANG ; Kai SUN ; Mou GAO ; Gang CHENG ; Wen-Ying LYU ; Chun-Hui ZHOU ; Lei LIANG ; Jian-Ning ZHANG
Medical Journal of Chinese People's Liberation Army 2025;50(1):57-68
Objective To investigate the expression of the histone deacetylase SIRT7 in glioma cells and its impact on epithelial-mesenchymal transformation(EMT),as well as its effects on proliferative,migratory and invasive capabilities of glioma cells.Methods Bioinformatics analysis was conducted on data from glioma patients in the Cancer Genome Atlas(TCGA)and the Chinese glioma Genome Atlas(CGGA)databases to explore the expression of SIRT7 gene in gliomas and its correlation with tumor grading,molecular characteristics and patient clinical prognosis.Glioma cells were randomly divided into control,SIRT7 knockdown,SIRT7 overexpression,drug treatment(10 μmol/L hydrochlorothiazide)and drug(10 μmol/L hydrochlorothiazide)+SIRT7 overexpression groups.The CCK-8 assay,cell scratch assay and Transwell assay were used to observe the effects of upregulating and downregulating SIRT7 expression on glioma cell proliferation,migration and invasion.RT-qPCR and Western blotting were employed to detect the effects of SIRT7 on the expression of neural cadherin(N-cadherin),Vimentin,E-cadherin,transforming growth factor-β(TGF-β),Ki-67,and Smad3 protein in glioma cells.Nude mouse tumor-bearing experiments were conducted to observe the effect of SIRT7 knockdown on glioma growth.Results Higher expression levels of SIRT7 gene were associated with poorer clinical prognosis(P<0.0001).SIRT7 expression levels were significantly correlated with tumor grading and 1p19q coding status(P<0.01).Compared with normal HA cells,glioma cells showed significantly increased SIRT7 expression levels(P<0.01).CCK-8 assay results indicated that,compared with control group,the proliferation activity of glioma cells in SIRT7 knockout group was significantly decreased(P<0.01),while SIRT7 overexpression group showed significantly increased proliferation activity(P<0.01).EdU assay results showed that,compared with control group,the proportion of glioma cells in the proliferative stage was significantly decreased in SIRT7 knockdown group(P<0.01),and significantly increased in SIRT7 overexpression group(P<0.01).Western blotting results revealed that,compared with control group,the protein expression levels of TGF-β,Smad3,N-cadherin and Vimentin were significantly decreased in SIRT7 knockdown group(P<0.01),while the expression level of E-cadherin protein was significantly increased(P<0.05).SIRT7 overexpression group showed significantly increased protein expression levels of TGF-β,Smad3,N-cadherin and Vimentin(P<0.05),and a significantly decrease in E-cadherin protein expression level(P<0.05).Scratch assay results indicated that,compared with control group,the migration ability of cells in SIRT7 knockdown group and drug group was significantly decreased(P<0.01),and SIRT7 overexpression group showed significantly increased cell migration ability(P<0.05).Compared with drug group,drug+SIRT7 overexpression group exhibited significantly increased cell migration ability(P<0.01).Transwell assay results showed that,compared with control group,the migration and invasion abilities of cells in SIRT7 knockdown group and drug group were significantly decreased(P<0.01),and SIRT7 overexpression group exhibited significantly increased migration and invasion abilities(P<0.01).Compared with drug group,drug+SIRT7 overexpression group showed significantly increased migration and invasion abilities(P<0.01).Nude mouse tumor-bearing assay results indicated that the volume and weight of glioma in SIRT7 knockdown group were significantly reduced compared with control group(P<0.01).Conclusions Glioma patients with high SIRT7 expression have poorer clinical prognosis.SIRT7 can regulate the TGF-β/Smad3 pathway to mediate EMT,promoting the proliferation and migration of glioma cells.SIRT7 knockdown can inhibit the growth of transplanted gliomas in nude mice.
5.Comparison of clinical characteristics between primary bilateral macronodular adrenal hyperplasia and adrenal cortisol-producing adenoma
Bing LI ; Ming-Xiu YANG ; Huai-Jin XU ; Jing-Xuan WANG ; Qing-Zheng WU ; Ya-Jing WANG ; Yi-Jun LI ; Kang CHEN ; Yu CHENG ; Qi NI ; Ya-Qi YIN ; Li ZANG ; Qing-Hua GUO ; Jian-Ming BA ; Wei-Jun GU ; Jing-Tao DOU ; Zhao-Hui LYU ; Yi-Ming MU
Medical Journal of Chinese People's Liberation Army 2025;50(7):779-785
Objective To comparatively analyze the clinical characteristics of primary bilateral macronodular adrenal hyperplasia(PBMAH)and adrenal cortisol-producing Adenoma(CPA),and enhance the understanding of two diseases.Methods The clinical data of 85 PBMAH patients(PBMAH group)and 195 CPA patients(CPA group)diagnosed at Department of Endocrinology,the First Medical Center of Chinese PLA General Hospital,from September 2014 to August 2024 were retrospectively analyzed.The demographic characteristics,comorbidities,biochemical indicators,adrenocorticotropic hormone-cortisol(ACTH-F)levels,and adrenal imaging features and treatment conditions were compared between the two groups.Results(1)General characteristics:Compared with CPA group,PBMAH group had older age at diagnosis and a higher proportion of male patients.(2)Clinical characteristics:Compared with CPA group,PBMAH group had a longer disease duration,a higher proportion of subclinical Cushing's syndrome(CS),and a higher proportion of hypertension,impaired glucose tolerance/diabetes,bone mass reduction or osteoporosis,with higher serum potassium levels,and the differences were statistically significant(P<0.01).(3)Hormone levels:Both PBMAH and CPA groups showed ACTH-F rhythm disorder,significantly increased cortisol levels and suppressed ACTH.Compared with PBMAH group,CPA group had stronger autonomous cortisol secretion ability,manifested by increased midnight serum cortisol(F0:00),16:00 serum cortisol(F16:00),24-hour urinary free cortisol(24 h UFC)levels and lower 8:00 serum ACTH(ACTH8:00)and 16:00 serum ACTH(ACTH16:00)(P<0.01).After low-dose dexamethasone suppression test(LDDST),CPA group showed lower suppression rates of ACTH and cortisol,and higher proportions of paradoxical elevation in serum cortisol and 24 h UFC compared with PBMAH(P<0.01).Conclusions PBMAH has a longer disease course and higher proportions of comorbid metabolic disorders than CPA,mostly manifested as subclinical Cushing's syndrome.CPA has stronger autonomous cortisol secretion ability,with cortisol less likely to be suppressed after LDDST and more obvious paradoxical elevation of cortisol and 24 h UFC.
6.Characteristics analysis of multimodal metabolic disorders in subclinical Cushing's syndrome patients with different cortisol levels
Ya-Jing WANG ; Bing LI ; Huai-Jin XU ; Qi NI ; Ya-Qi YIN ; Yi-Jun LI ; Li ZANG ; Yu CHENG ; Kang CHEN ; Qing-Hua GUO ; Jian-Ming BA ; Wei-Jun GU ; Jing-Tao DOU ; Zhao-Hui LYU ; Yi-Ming MU
Medical Journal of Chinese People's Liberation Army 2025;50(7):793-799
Objective To characterize multimodal metabolic disorders in subclinical Cushing's syndrome(SCS)patients with different cortisol levels,providing a reference for clinical diagnosis and treatment.Methods A retrospective analysis was conducted on the clinical data of 165 SCS patients diagnosed at the First Medical Center of Chinese PLA General Hospital due to adrenal masses from January 2014 to October 2024.Using the serum cortisol levels after the midnight 1 mg dexamethasone suppression test(1 mg DST)as the cut-off point,SCS patients were divided into high-level group(1 mg DST-F>138 nmol/L,n=96)and low-level group(50 nmol/L<1 mg DST-F≤138 nmol/L,n=69).The differences in age,gender,body mass index(BMI),blood pressure,glucolipid metabolism indices,electrolytes,hormone levels,and imaging features of adrenal adenoma(such as CT values)were compared between the two groups.Multivariate linear regression was used to analyze the correlation between CT values and metabolic indices.Results Compared with low-level group,patients in high-level group were younger(54.0±11.3 vs.57.7±10.3,P=0.034),while there were no statistically significant differences in gender ratio or BMI between the two groups(P>0.05).Both groups exhibited decreased adrenocorticotropic hormone(ACTH)levels and disrupted circadian rhythm.Compared with low-level group,high-level group showed significantly higher F0:00 levels[250.00(170.07,422.53)nmol/L vs.110.00(82.74,133.90)nmol/L]and 24-hour urinary free cortisol(24 h UFC)[568.40(377.80,875.45)nmol/24 h vs.369.40(265.40,494.69)nmol/24 h](P<0.001),with no significant differences in serum F8:00,or 1 mg DST ACTH0:00 levels(P>0.05).Except for the fasting C-peptide level in the high-level group being higher than that in low-level group[(2.88±1.01)ng/ml vs.(2.46±0.78)ng/ml,P=0.024],there were no significant differences in blood pressure,blood lipids,glycated hemoglobin(HbA1c),fasting blood glucose,fasting insulin,serum electrolytes,uric acid,and other indices between the two groups(P>0.05).The CT value of adrenal adenoma during contrast-enhanced scanning was higher in high-level group[80.00(17.80,93.00)Hu vs.52.00(35.50,75.00)Hu,P=0.006]compared with low-level group.Multivariate linear regression analysis revealed that diastolic blood pressure was positively correlated with CT values of adrenal adenomas in both plain scanning(β=0.49,95%CI 0.09-0.90)and contrast-enhanced scanning(β=2.08,95%CI 0.76-3.39),while triglyceride levels were negatively correlated with plain scanning CT values(β=-5.77,95%CI-10.88--0.66).Conclusion Patients with SCS at different cortisol levels differ in age,fasting C-peptide levels,and CT values.CT values may serve as potential imaging markers to assess metabolic risk in SCS patients.
7.Clinical characteristics of clinical and subclinical Cushing's syndrome caused by primary bilateral macronodular adrenal hyperplasia
Huai-Jin XU ; Bing LI ; Kang CHEN ; Hui-Xin ZHOU ; Ya-Jing WANG ; Li ZANG ; Xian-Ling WANG ; Yu CHENG ; Jin DU ; Qing-Hua GUO ; Wei-Jun GU ; Zhao-Hui LYU ; Jian-Ming BA ; Jing-Tao DOU ; Yi-Ming MU
Medical Journal of Chinese People's Liberation Army 2025;50(7):800-807
Objective To investigate the clinical characteristics of patients with clinical and subclinical Cushing's syndrome caused by primary bilateral macronodular adrenal hyperplasia(PBMAH).Methods A retrospective analysis was performed on the clinical data of 198 patients with Cushing's syndrome caused by PBMAH diagnosed in the First Medical Center of Chinese PLA General Hospital from January 2004 to October 2024.According to clinical manifestations,the patients were classified into clinical type Cushing's syndrome(n=61)and subclinical type Cushing's syndrome(n=137),and the clinical characteristics of the two types were compared.Results The mean age at diagnosis of patients with PBMAH-induced Cushing's syndrome was(53.5±10.4)years,including 118 males and 80 females,with a male-to-female ratio of 1.475:1.Compared with the subclinical type,the clinical type had a higher proportion of females,higher levels of serum cortisol,24-hour urine free cortisol(24 h UFC),and inhibited serum cortisol after low-dose dexamethasone suppression.Additionally,the clinical type had lower plasma ACTH,larger adrenal nodules and a higher risk of surgery(P<0.05)compared with those in subclinical type.The incidences of hypertension,dyslipidemia,obesity,diabetes mellitus,hypokalemia,vitamin D deficiency,osteoporosis,coronary heart disease,and cerebrovascular disease in patients with Cushing's syndrome caused by PBMAH were 87.9%,50.5%,37.1%,36.9%,27.8%,25.9%,18.7%,18.7%and 12.1%,respectively.Among them,compared with subclinical type patients,clinical type patients had higher incidence of hypokalaemia,vitamin D deficiency and osteoporosis(P<0.05),while there were no statistically significant differences in the incidences of other comorbidities between the two types(P>0.05).The results of postoperative follow-up for PBMAH patients showed that the short-term biochemical remission rate of unilateral total adrenalectomy was 41.5%(22/53)and the long-term biochemical remission rate was 32.0%(8/25).The short-term biochemical remission rate of unilateral partial(or nodular)adrenalectomy was 52.9%(9/17),and the long-term biochemical remission rate was 14.3%(1/7).All patients who underwent unilateral total adrenalectomy plus contralateral partial resection developed adrenal insufficiency(3/3),and 1 patient(1/3)relapsed 3.4 years after surgery.Conclusion Clinical and subclinical types of Cushing's syndrome caused by PBMAH have their distinct clinical characteristics.Surgery is an effective treatment for PBMAH,but a certain proportion of patients fail to achieve biochemical remission after non-bilateral total adrenalectomy.
8.Clinical guideline for vertebral augmentation of acute symptomatic osteoporotic thoracolumbar compression fractures (version 2025)
Bolong ZHENG ; Wei MEI ; Yanzheng GAO ; Liming CHENG ; Jian CHEN ; Qixin CHEN ; Liang CHEN ; Xigao CHENG ; Jian DONG ; Jin FAN ; Shunwu FAN ; Xiangqian FANG ; Zhong FANG ; Shiqing FENG ; Haoyu FENG ; Haishan GUAN ; Yong HAI ; Baorong HE ; Lijun HE ; Yuan HE ; Hua HUI ; Weimin JIANG ; Junjie JIANG ; Dianming JIANG ; Xuewen KANG ; Hua GUO ; Jianjun LI ; Feng LI ; Li LI ; Weishi LI ; Chunde LI ; Qi LIAO ; Baoge LIU ; Xiaoguang LIU ; Xuhua LU ; Shibao LU ; Bin LIN ; Chao MA ; Xuexiao MA ; Renfu QUAN ; Limin RONG ; Honghui SUN ; Tiansheng SUN ; Yueming SONG ; Hongxun SANG ; Jun SHU ; Jiacan SU ; Jiwei TIAN ; Xinwei WANG ; Zhe WANG ; Zheng WANG ; Zhengwei XU ; Huilin YANG ; Jiancheng YANG ; Liang YAN ; Feng YAN ; Guoyong YIN ; Xuesong ZHANG ; Zhongmin ZHANG ; Jie ZHAO ; Yuhong ZENG ; Yue ZHU ; Rongqiang ZHANG
Chinese Journal of Trauma 2025;41(9):805-818
Acute symptomatic osteoporotic thoracolumbar compression fracture (ASOTLF) can lead to chronic low back pain, kyphosis deformity, pulmonary dysfunction, loss of mobility, and even life-threatening complications. Vertebral augmentation is currently the mainstream treatment method for this condition. In 2019, the Editorial Board of Chinese Journal of Trauma and the Spinal Trauma Group of Orthopedic Surgeons Branch of Chinese Medical Doctor Association collaboratively led the development of Clinical guideline for vertebral augmentation for acute symptomatic osteoporotic thoracolumbar compression fractures. Six years later, with advances in clinical diagnosis and treatment techniques as well as accumulating evidence in related fields, the 2019 guideline requires updating. To this end, the Spinal Trauma Group of Orthopedic Surgeons Branch of Chinese Medical Doctor Association, the Spinal Health Professional Committee of China Human Health Science and Technology Promotion Association, and the Minimally Invasive Orthopedics Professional Committee of Shaanxi Medical Doctor Association have organized experts in the field to develop the Clinical guideline for vertebral augmentation of acute symptomatic osteoporotic thoracolumbar compression fractures ( version 2025) , based on the latest evidence-based medical researches. This guideline incorporates 3 recommendations retained from the 2019 version with updated strength of evidence, along with 12 new recommendations. It provides recommendations from six aspects of diagnosis, pain management, treatment option selection, prevention of postoperative complications, anti-osteoporosis therapy, and postoperative rehabilitation, aiming to provide a reference for standard treatment of vertebral augmentation for ASOTLF in hospitals at all levels.
9.Association between ABO Blood Types and the Risk of Gestational Diabetes Mellitus: A Prospective Cohort Study.
Shuang Hua XIE ; Shuang Ying LI ; Shao Fei SU ; En Jie ZHANG ; Shen GAO ; Yue ZHANG ; Jian Hui LIU ; Min Hui HU ; Rui Xia LIU ; Wen Tao YUE ; Cheng Hong YIN
Biomedical and Environmental Sciences 2025;38(6):678-692
OBJECTIVE:
To investigate the association between ABO blood types and gestational diabetes mellitus (GDM) risk.
METHODS:
A prospective birth cohort study was conducted. ABO blood types were determined using the slide method. GDM diagnosis was based on a 75-g, 2-h oral glucose tolerance test (OGTT) according to the criteria of the International Association of Diabetes and Pregnancy Study Groups. Logistic regression was applied to calculate the odds ratios ( ORs) and 95% confidence intervals ( CIs) between ABO blood types and GDM risk.
RESULTS:
A total of 30,740 pregnant women with a mean age of 31.81 years were enrolled in this study. The ABO blood types distribution was: type O (30.99%), type A (26.58%), type B (32.20%), and type AB (10.23%). GDM was identified in 14.44% of participants. Using blood type O as a reference, GDM risk was not significantly higher for types A ( OR = 1.05) or B ( OR = 1.04). However, women with type AB had a 19% increased risk of GDM ( OR = 1.19, 95% CI = 1.05-1.34; P < 0.05), even after adjusting for various factors. This increased risk for type AB was consistent across subgroup and sensitivity analyses.
CONCLUSION
The ABO blood types may influence GDM risk, with type AB associated with a higher risk. Incorporating it-either as a single risk factor or in combination with other known factors-could help identify individuals at risk for GDM before or during early pregnancy.
Humans
;
Female
;
Pregnancy
;
Diabetes, Gestational/etiology*
;
ABO Blood-Group System
;
Adult
;
Prospective Studies
;
Risk Factors
;
Young Adult
10.Association of Body Mass Index with All-Cause Mortality and Cause-Specific Mortality in Rural China: 10-Year Follow-up of a Population-Based Multicenter Prospective Study.
Juan Juan HUANG ; Yuan Zhi DI ; Ling Yu SHEN ; Jian Guo LIANG ; Jiang DU ; Xue Fang CAO ; Wei Tao DUAN ; Ai Wei HE ; Jun LIANG ; Li Mei ZHU ; Zi Sen LIU ; Fang LIU ; Shu Min YANG ; Zu Hui XU ; Cheng CHEN ; Bin ZHANG ; Jiao Xia YAN ; Yan Chun LIANG ; Rong LIU ; Tao ZHU ; Hong Zhi LI ; Fei SHEN ; Bo Xuan FENG ; Yi Jun HE ; Zi Han LI ; Ya Qi ZHAO ; Tong Lei GUO ; Li Qiong BAI ; Wei LU ; Qi JIN ; Lei GAO ; He Nan XIN
Biomedical and Environmental Sciences 2025;38(10):1179-1193
OBJECTIVE:
This study aimed to explore the association between body mass index (BMI) and mortality based on the 10-year population-based multicenter prospective study.
METHODS:
A general population-based multicenter prospective study was conducted at four sites in rural China between 2013 and 2023. Multivariate Cox proportional hazards models and restricted cubic spline analyses were used to assess the association between BMI and mortality. Stratified analyses were performed based on the individual characteristics of the participants.
RESULTS:
Overall, 19,107 participants with a sum of 163,095 person-years were included and 1,910 participants died. The underweight (< 18.5 kg/m 2) presented an increase in all-cause mortality (adjusted hazards ratio [ aHR] = 2.00, 95% confidence interval [ CI]: 1.66-2.41), while overweight (≥ 24.0 to < 28.0 kg/m 2) and obesity (≥ 28.0 kg/m 2) presented a decrease with an aHR of 0.61 (95% CI: 0.52-0.73) and 0.51 (95% CI: 0.37-0.70), respectively. Overweight ( aHR = 0.76, 95% CI: 0.67-0.86) and mild obesity ( aHR = 0.72, 95% CI: 0.59-0.87) had a positive impact on mortality in people older than 60 years. All-cause mortality decreased rapidly until reaching a BMI of 25.7 kg/m 2 ( aHR = 0.95, 95% CI: 0.92-0.98) and increased slightly above that value, indicating a U-shaped association. The beneficial impact of being overweight on mortality was robust in most subgroups and sensitivity analyses.
CONCLUSION
This study provides additional evidence that overweight and mild obesity may be inversely related to the risk of death in individuals older than 60 years. Therefore, it is essential to consider age differences when formulating health and weight management strategies.
Humans
;
Body Mass Index
;
China/epidemiology*
;
Male
;
Female
;
Middle Aged
;
Prospective Studies
;
Rural Population/statistics & numerical data*
;
Aged
;
Follow-Up Studies
;
Adult
;
Mortality
;
Cause of Death
;
Obesity/mortality*
;
Overweight/mortality*

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