Background Diarrhea disease is a common intestinal infectious disease, and its incidence is affected by meteorological conditions. A better understanding of its epidemiological patterns and influencing factors, together with the construction of reliable prediction models, is of great significance for precise public health prevention and control. Objective To clarify the epidemic characteristics of adult diarrhea disease in Shanghai, analyze the associations of meteorological factors and a web search index with adult diarrhea disease, and develop and compare forecasting models to support precise regional prevention and control. Methods Weekly surveillance data of adult diarrhea disease cases from the Shanghai Comprehensive Surveillance Information System for Diarrhea Diseases, together with concurrent meteorological observation data and web search index (Baidu index) data from 2014 to 2019, were collected. A distributed lag non-linear model (DLNM) was adopted to analyze the associations of multiple meteorological factors and the web search index with the number of diarrhea disease cases. By integrating meteorological factors and web search index data, three types of forecasting models were developed, including autoregressive integrated moving average (ARIMA), Random Forest, and extreme gradient boosting (Xgboost), and their predictive performances were evaluated. Results Adult diarrhea disease in Shanghai exhibited seasonal variation, with an major incidence peak in summer and winter peaks in some years. The number of cases declined annually after 2015. Mean temperature was significantly associated with the risk of diarrhea disease, and both low and high temperature exposures were associated with increased risks. The highest risk was observed at 32.8°C (RR=2.04, 95%CI: 1.62, 2.55), while the strongest effect of low temperature was observed at 0.9 °C (RR=1.53, 95%CI: 1.25, 1.88). When relative humidity exceeded 69%, the risk of diarrhea disease increased with relative humidity, reaching a peak at 81% (RR=1.20, 95%CI: 1.07, 1.35). When weekly cumulative precipitation exceeded 16 mm, the risk also increased with increasing precipitation, reaching a maximum at 105 mm (RR=1.23, 95%CI: 1.07, 1.42). The web search index was positively associated with the risk of diarrhea disease. Model prediction indicated that both the Random Forest model and the Xgboost model adequately captured the overall trend in diarrhea disease cases, with R² values generally exceeding 0.7. Notably, the Xgboost model demonstrated greater accuracy in capturing peak intensities. Conclusion Meteorological factors are associated with adult diarrhea disease in Shanghai. The web search index may serve as an auxiliary indicator for diarrhea forecasting. Machine learning models, with advantages in integrating multisource data, may provide effective predictive tools for the prevention and control of diarrhea disease.

ObjectiveTo develop and evaluate an O-RADSbased multiparametric model integratingcontrast-enhanced US （CEUS） and the z-score standardized risk of ovarian malignancy algorithm （ROMA z-score） to improve the diagnostic accuracy for differentiating benign， borderline， and malignant ovarian epithelial tumors （OETs）. MethodsThis retrospective study included 129 patients with pathologically confirmed OETs between May 2018 and December 2024. Clinical variables （age， menopausal status， BMI， HE4， CA125） and sonographic features （conventional US and CEUS） were collected. Tumors were classified as benign， borderline， or malignant according to pathological findings. A random forest algorithm was used to contruct the predictive model. Receiver operating characteristic （ROC） curves were generated tocompare the diagnostic performance of O-RADS， O-RADS+CEUS， O-RADS+ROMA z-score， and O-RADS+ CEUS+ROMA z-score. ResultsAmong the 129 patients， 63 had benign tumors， 25 had borderline tumors， and 41 had malignant tumors. Compared with O-RADS alone， the combined O-RADS+CEUS+ROMA z-score model demonstrated superior diagnostic performance， with an AUC of 0.87 （95% CI： 0.79-0.95） vs. 0.64 （95% CI： 0.51-0.76）， P＜0.001， for differentiating benign from borderline tumors， and 0.90 （95% CI： 0.83-0.97） vs. 0.64 （95% CI： 0.50-0.78）， P＜0.001， for differentiating borderline from malignant tumors. The random forest analysis identified HE4， CA125 and CEUS features as the most important predictors，contributing 11.02， 8.82， 18.1 points， respectively， to the total importance score of 51.94. In the test cohort， the model achieved an overall diagnostic accuracy of 72.97%， with an AUC of 0.89（95%CI：0.77-1.00）， sensitivity of 67.06%， and specificity of 85.01%. ConclusionsO-RADS+CEUS+ROMA z-score multiparametric model demonstrated the highest diagnostic performance for in differentiating benign from borderline and borderline from malignant OETs. HE4， CA125 and CEUS features were identified as key predictive risk factors， supporting the role of this model in improving preoperative risk stratification of OETs.

Objective:To explore the value of ultrasound imaging characteristics combined with clinical indicators in assessing the prognosis of patients with pancreatic ductal adenocarcinoma (PDAC).Methods:A retrospective analysis was conducted for patients who underwent pancreatic contrast-enhanced ultrasound (CEUS) from September 2017 to October 2023 at Peking Union Medical College Hospital and were diagnosed with PDAC based on pathological findings. Various parameters were recorded, including CA19-9 levels, tumor size, location, morphologic features, echogenicity, presence of internal cystic components, dilatation of the main pancreatic duct, peripheral vascular invasion, CEUS characteristics, presence or absence of liver metastasis, and treatment methods. In April 2024, patient survival information was obtained through telephone follow-up or review of medical records. Based on the results of the cox regression model analysis, a nomogram model of the risk of death was developed. The receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curves were applied to evaluate the predictive efficacy of the model. The calibration curves were plotted to evaluate the accuracy of the model, and clinical decision curves were used to evaluate the clinical benefit of the model.Results:This study included a total of 207 patients with PDAC. As of April 2024, 71 patients were alive and 136 died, with a median survival time of 14 months (95% CI: 12 -17). Multivariate analysis confirmed that the elevated CA19-9 ( HR=1.689, 95% CI: 1.102-2.588), tumor size >4 cm ( HR=1.641, 95% CI: 1.159-2.322), taller-than-wide shapes ( HR=1.450, 95% CI: 1.019-2.065), incomplete hypo-enhancement ( HR=1.618, 95% CI: 1.100-2.380), and liver metastasis ( HR=1.687, 95% CI: 1.175-2.423) were independent risk factors for survival in patients with PDAC. A nomogram model was further constructed for 6-month, 12-month and 3-year survival of patients with PDAC. The areas under the ROC curve were 0.679, 0.705 and 0.815, respectively. The calibration curves suggested that the model was more accurate, and the clinical decision curves showed that the model had a better clinical benefit. Conclusion:The combined use of ultrasound imaging characteristics and clinical indicators could effectively predict the prognosis of PDAC patients. Specifically, tumor size >4 cm, taller-than-wide shapes, incomplete hypo-enhancement, elevated CA19-9, and the presence of liver metastasis are correlated with poorer survival outcomes. The nomogram model constructed on the basis of these factors can be used to assess the survival of patients with PDAC.

Objective:To explore the value of ultrasound imaging characteristics combined with clinical indicators in assessing the prognosis of patients with pancreatic ductal adenocarcinoma (PDAC).Methods:A retrospective analysis was conducted for patients who underwent pancreatic contrast-enhanced ultrasound (CEUS) from September 2017 to October 2023 at Peking Union Medical College Hospital and were diagnosed with PDAC based on pathological findings. Various parameters were recorded, including CA19-9 levels, tumor size, location, morphologic features, echogenicity, presence of internal cystic components, dilatation of the main pancreatic duct, peripheral vascular invasion, CEUS characteristics, presence or absence of liver metastasis, and treatment methods. In April 2024, patient survival information was obtained through telephone follow-up or review of medical records. Based on the results of the cox regression model analysis, a nomogram model of the risk of death was developed. The receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curves were applied to evaluate the predictive efficacy of the model. The calibration curves were plotted to evaluate the accuracy of the model, and clinical decision curves were used to evaluate the clinical benefit of the model.Results:This study included a total of 207 patients with PDAC. As of April 2024, 71 patients were alive and 136 died, with a median survival time of 14 months (95% CI: 12 -17). Multivariate analysis confirmed that the elevated CA19-9 ( HR=1.689, 95% CI: 1.102-2.588), tumor size >4 cm ( HR=1.641, 95% CI: 1.159-2.322), taller-than-wide shapes ( HR=1.450, 95% CI: 1.019-2.065), incomplete hypo-enhancement ( HR=1.618, 95% CI: 1.100-2.380), and liver metastasis ( HR=1.687, 95% CI: 1.175-2.423) were independent risk factors for survival in patients with PDAC. A nomogram model was further constructed for 6-month, 12-month and 3-year survival of patients with PDAC. The areas under the ROC curve were 0.679, 0.705 and 0.815, respectively. The calibration curves suggested that the model was more accurate, and the clinical decision curves showed that the model had a better clinical benefit. Conclusion:The combined use of ultrasound imaging characteristics and clinical indicators could effectively predict the prognosis of PDAC patients. Specifically, tumor size >4 cm, taller-than-wide shapes, incomplete hypo-enhancement, elevated CA19-9, and the presence of liver metastasis are correlated with poorer survival outcomes. The nomogram model constructed on the basis of these factors can be used to assess the survival of patients with PDAC.

Objective:To evaluate the potential value of 18×10 3 translocator protein (TSPO) radioligand ( N, N-diethy1-2-(2-(4-(2- 18F-fluoroethoxy) phenyl)-5, 7-dimethylpyrazolo[1, 5-A]pyrimidin-3-yl)acetamide, 18F-DPA-714) PET compared with conventional MR in the detection of autoimmune encephalitis (AE), the correlation with clinical symptoms, and the monitoring of immunotherapy efficacy in patients with AE. Methods:From December 2021 to June 2024, 45 AE patients (17 males, 28 females, age (38.3±17.0) years) diagnosed at Ruijin Hospital, Shanghai Jiao Tong University School of Medicine and 10 healthy volunteers (7 males, 3 females, age (28.7±5.1) years) were enrolled in this prospective study. All participants underwent baseline 18F-DPA-714 PET/MR scans, and 23 of these AE patients underwent further follow-up 18F-DPA-714 PET/MR scans. 18F-DPA-714 PET positivity was defined as having an uptake intensity threshold higher than the mean SUV ratio (SUVR)+ 2 s of the corresponding brain region in healthy controls. MR positivity was defined as abnormal hyperintensity in a specific brain region or multiple brain regions on the T 2 fluid attenuated inversion recovery (FLAIR). The positive detection rates of 18F-DPA-714 PET and MR was analyzed using McNemar χ2 test, and the differences in the uptake intensity (SUVR) of 18F-DPA-714 between symptomatic and non-symptomatic groups, and between remission and non-remission groups after immunotherapy were compared using independent-sample t test or Wilcoxon rank sum test. Spearman rank correlation analysis was used to analyze the correlation between the changing rate of SUVR and the changing of the modified Rankin Scale (mRS) score before and after treatment. Results:The positive detecting rate of 18F-DPA-714 PET for AE was significantly higher than that of MR (73.3%(33/45) vs 35.6%(16/45); χ2=11.56, P=0.001). The cerebellar SUVR of ataxia patients was significantly higher than that of asymptomatic patients (1.22(1.06, 1.33) vs 1.08(0.99, 1.20); Z=-2.14, P=0.034). Follow-up imaging showed that the SUVR of patients in the remission group after immunotherapy was significantly lower than that in the non-remission group ((-15.19±10.17)% vs (14.26±13.36)%; t=5.81, P<0.001). There was a significant correlation between the changing rate of SUVR and the changing of the mRS score before and after treatment ( rs=0.65, P<0.001). Conclusion:Compared with conventional MR, 18F-DPA-714 PET has a higher positive detecting rate for AE, and has the potential to reflect the clinical symptoms of AE and monitor the efficacy of immunotherapy.

Objective:To investigate the mosquito-borne viruses carried by mosquito specimens collected from Huachuan county and Huanan county in Heilongjiang province.Methods:Mosquito samples were collected locally in 2023 and processed in the laboratory. Homogenates of the mosquitoes were inoculated into cells for virus isolation, followed by molecular and bioinformatics analyses of the viral isolates.Results:In 2023, ten viral isolates were obtained from Anopheles sinensis specimens collected in Heilongjiang province, China. Among these isolates, one was identified as Culex flavivirus (CxFV), one as Menghai rhabdovirus (MRV), and eight as Nam Dinh virus (NDiV). The phylogenetic analysis showed that CxFV belongs to genotype I and is clustered with the strains isolated from Liaoning province in 2011 and Ningxia Hui autonomous Region in 2019 in the same evolutionary branch, with amino acid similarity ranging from 98.2% to 99.2% and nucleotide similarity ranging from 98.8% to 99.2%. The MRV strain belongs to the same evolutionary subclade as the strain detected in Guangdong, with both nucleotide and amino acid similarity of 98.0%. Eight NDiV isolates clustered with the South Korean isolates on the same evolutionary branch, forming an independent evolutionary sub-branch. The nucleotide similarity among these eight isolates ranged from 98.5% to 99.7%, while the amino acid similarity ranged from 98.1% to 99.7%. In comparison, when matched with other NDiV isolates from China, the nucleotide similarity of these eight isolates ranged from 94.1% to 97.8%, and the amino acid similarity ranged from 93.5% to 97.7%.Conclusions:This study represents the first isolation of CxFV, MRV, and NDiV in Heilongjiang province, China, and the findings provide fundamental data for the prevention and control of mosquito-borne viral diseases in this region.

Objective:To establish a method for the rapid detection of varicella-zoster virus (VZV) by recombinase-aid amplification (RAA) combined with Clustered regularly interspaced short palindromic repeats (CRISPR)/Cas12a system.Methods:Clinical samples of suspected herpes zoster in Shandong province and Shanghai from 2023 to 2024 were collected, nucleic acids of positive samples were extracted, RAA-specific primers and crRNA (CRISPR RNA, crRNA) were designed for the conserved region of VZV, and the fluorescence intensity generated by Cas12a non-specific cleavage of single-stranded fluorescent probes was used to screen highly sensitive crRNAs and optimize the concentrations of crRNA, Cas12a and ssDNA probes. The sensitivity and reproducibility of the RAA-CRISPR/Cas12a detection method were evaluated by using synthesized plasmids and clinical samples, and the specificity of the method was evaluated by using other viral nucleic acids. The method was used to detect clinical samples by using the method and quantitative real-time PCR (qPCR) method, and the detection rate and consistency of the two method were compared.Results:The highly sensitive crRNA-4 was screened from the four crRNAs designed, and a VZV detection method for RAA-CRISPR/CAS12a based on fluorescence intensity measurement was established, which could be detected at 37℃ in 45 min, and the sensitivity of the detection could reach 10 copies/μL, a minimum clinical sample with a Ct value of 38.980 can be detected. It has high specificity and no cross-reactivity with Adenovirus 7, Herpes simplex virus type I, Herpes simplex virus type II, Coxsackieviruses A16, Cytomegalovirus, Epstein-Barr virus, Measles virus, Mumps virus, Enterovirus 71, Japanese encephalitis virus genotype 5. It has good stability, and can be successfully detected in low, medium and high concentrations of viral positive plasmids with good consistency. The detection rate of the clinically positive samples was 100%, which was completely consistent with the qPCR test result.Conclusions:RAA isothermal amplification technology combined with CRISPR-CAS12a technology was used to establish an accurate method for the detection of VZV virus, which was highly sensitive, specific, and had low requirements for experimental conditions, and could be completed within 45 min, which could provide strong technical support for the early detection of VZV.

Objective Explore a comprehensive and multi-level set of passive defensive medical governance strate-gies.Methods Literature related to passive defensive medical governance was retrieved,and the Ucinet social net-work analysis software was utilized to calculate indicators such as the frequency and centrality of passive defensive medical governance strategies,thereby understanding the importance of these strategies.Results The formed set of negative defensive medical governance strategies covers three levels social cogniton,institutional mechanisms and doctor-patient relationship.Among them,there are 5 governance strategies at the social cognition level,24 governance strategies at the institutional mechanism level,and 12 governance strategies at the doctor-patient rela-tionship level,totaling 41 governance strategies.Conclusion The constructed set of passive defensive medical governance strategies is scientific,practical,and comprehensive in content,providing a reference framework for medical institutions to govern passive defensive medical behaviors.

Objective:To evaluate the potential value of 18×10 3 translocator protein (TSPO) radioligand ( N, N-diethy1-2-(2-(4-(2- 18F-fluoroethoxy) phenyl)-5, 7-dimethylpyrazolo[1, 5-A]pyrimidin-3-yl)acetamide, 18F-DPA-714) PET compared with conventional MR in the detection of autoimmune encephalitis (AE), the correlation with clinical symptoms, and the monitoring of immunotherapy efficacy in patients with AE. Methods:From December 2021 to June 2024, 45 AE patients (17 males, 28 females, age (38.3±17.0) years) diagnosed at Ruijin Hospital, Shanghai Jiao Tong University School of Medicine and 10 healthy volunteers (7 males, 3 females, age (28.7±5.1) years) were enrolled in this prospective study. All participants underwent baseline 18F-DPA-714 PET/MR scans, and 23 of these AE patients underwent further follow-up 18F-DPA-714 PET/MR scans. 18F-DPA-714 PET positivity was defined as having an uptake intensity threshold higher than the mean SUV ratio (SUVR)+ 2 s of the corresponding brain region in healthy controls. MR positivity was defined as abnormal hyperintensity in a specific brain region or multiple brain regions on the T 2 fluid attenuated inversion recovery (FLAIR). The positive detection rates of 18F-DPA-714 PET and MR was analyzed using McNemar χ2 test, and the differences in the uptake intensity (SUVR) of 18F-DPA-714 between symptomatic and non-symptomatic groups, and between remission and non-remission groups after immunotherapy were compared using independent-sample t test or Wilcoxon rank sum test. Spearman rank correlation analysis was used to analyze the correlation between the changing rate of SUVR and the changing of the modified Rankin Scale (mRS) score before and after treatment. Results:The positive detecting rate of 18F-DPA-714 PET for AE was significantly higher than that of MR (73.3%(33/45) vs 35.6%(16/45); χ2=11.56, P=0.001). The cerebellar SUVR of ataxia patients was significantly higher than that of asymptomatic patients (1.22(1.06, 1.33) vs 1.08(0.99, 1.20); Z=-2.14, P=0.034). Follow-up imaging showed that the SUVR of patients in the remission group after immunotherapy was significantly lower than that in the non-remission group ((-15.19±10.17)% vs (14.26±13.36)%; t=5.81, P<0.001). There was a significant correlation between the changing rate of SUVR and the changing of the mRS score before and after treatment ( rs=0.65, P<0.001). Conclusion:Compared with conventional MR, 18F-DPA-714 PET has a higher positive detecting rate for AE, and has the potential to reflect the clinical symptoms of AE and monitor the efficacy of immunotherapy.

Objective:To investigate the mosquito-borne viruses carried by mosquito specimens collected from Huachuan county and Huanan county in Heilongjiang province.Methods:Mosquito samples were collected locally in 2023 and processed in the laboratory. Homogenates of the mosquitoes were inoculated into cells for virus isolation, followed by molecular and bioinformatics analyses of the viral isolates.Results:In 2023, ten viral isolates were obtained from Anopheles sinensis specimens collected in Heilongjiang province, China. Among these isolates, one was identified as Culex flavivirus (CxFV), one as Menghai rhabdovirus (MRV), and eight as Nam Dinh virus (NDiV). The phylogenetic analysis showed that CxFV belongs to genotype I and is clustered with the strains isolated from Liaoning province in 2011 and Ningxia Hui autonomous Region in 2019 in the same evolutionary branch, with amino acid similarity ranging from 98.2% to 99.2% and nucleotide similarity ranging from 98.8% to 99.2%. The MRV strain belongs to the same evolutionary subclade as the strain detected in Guangdong, with both nucleotide and amino acid similarity of 98.0%. Eight NDiV isolates clustered with the South Korean isolates on the same evolutionary branch, forming an independent evolutionary sub-branch. The nucleotide similarity among these eight isolates ranged from 98.5% to 99.7%, while the amino acid similarity ranged from 98.1% to 99.7%. In comparison, when matched with other NDiV isolates from China, the nucleotide similarity of these eight isolates ranged from 94.1% to 97.8%, and the amino acid similarity ranged from 93.5% to 97.7%.Conclusions:This study represents the first isolation of CxFV, MRV, and NDiV in Heilongjiang province, China, and the findings provide fundamental data for the prevention and control of mosquito-borne viral diseases in this region.