1.Association of short-term air pollution with risk of major adverse cardiovascular event mortality and modification effects of lifestyle in Chinese adults.
Wendi XIAO ; Xin YAO ; Yinqi DING ; Junpei TAO ; Canqing YU ; Dianjianyi SUN ; Pei PEI ; Ling YANG ; Yiping CHEN ; Huaidong DU ; Dan SCHMIDT ; Yaoming ZHAI ; Junshi CHEN ; Zhengming CHEN ; Jun LV ; Liqiang ZHANG ; Tao HUANG ; Liming LI
Environmental Health and Preventive Medicine 2025;30():38-38
BACKGROUND:
Previous evidence showed that ambient air pollution and cardiovascular mortality are related. However, there is a lack of evidence towards the modification effect of long-term lifestyle on the association between short-term ambient air pollution and death from cardiovascular events.
METHOD:
A total of 14,609 death from major adverse cardiovascular events (MACE) were identified among the China Kadoorie Biobank participants from 2013 to 2018. Ambient air pollution exposure including particulate matter 2.5 (PM2.5), SO2, NO2, CO, and O3 from the same period were obtained from space-time model reconstructions based on remote sensing data. Case-crossover design and conditional logistic regression was applied to estimate the effect of short-term exposure to air pollutants on MACE mortality.
RESULTS:
We found MACE mortality was significantly associated with PM2.5 (relative percent increase 2.91% per 10 µg/m3 increase, 95% CI 1.32-4.53), NO2 (5.37% per 10 µg/m3 increase, 95% CI 1.56-9.33), SO2 (6.82% per 10 µg/m3 increase, 95% CI 2.99-10.80), and CO (2.24% per 0.1 mg/m3 increase, 95% CI 1.02-3.48). Stratified analyses indicated that drinking was associated with elevated risk of MACE mortality with NO2 and SO2 exposure; physical inactivity was associated with higher risk of death from MACE when exposed to PM2.5; and people who had balanced diet had lower risk of MACE mortality when exposed to CO and NO2.
CONCLUSIONS
The study results showed that short-term exposure to ambient PM2.5, NO2, SO2, and CO would aggravate the risk of cardiovascular mortality, yet healthy lifestyle conduct might mitigate such negative impact to some extent.
Humans
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Cardiovascular Diseases/epidemiology*
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China/epidemiology*
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Male
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Female
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Air Pollution/adverse effects*
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Middle Aged
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Air Pollutants/analysis*
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Particulate Matter/analysis*
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Environmental Exposure/adverse effects*
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Life Style
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Aged
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Adult
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Risk Factors
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Cross-Over Studies
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East Asian People
2.Prospective association between physical activity and mortality in patients with chronic obstructive pulmonary disease
Shuo ZHANG ; Yongbing LAN ; Dianjianyi SUN ; Pei PEI ; Huaidong DU ; Junshi CHEN ; Zhengming CHEN ; Jun LV ; Liming LI ; Canqing YU
Journal of Peking University(Health Sciences) 2025;57(3):537-544
Objective:To explore the prospective association between physical activity level and mor-tality risk in Chinese adults with chronic obstructive pulmonary disease(COPD).Methods:Based on the China Kadoorie Biobank(CKB)who had COPD at the baseline survey,this study employed the Cox proportional hazards regression model to estimate the prospective associations between the overall physical activity,different intensities(low-level,moderate-to-vigorous-level),and types(occupational,non-occupational)of physical activity level and the risks of all-cause and cause-specific mortality,such as vascular diseases,cancer,and respiratory diseases.Based on the quintiles of physical activity level,par-ticipants were divided into five groups(Q1-Q5),with the lowest quintile group(Q1)as the reference group.Hazard ratio(HR)and 95%confidence interval(95%CI)were calculated for the remaining.In our study,we also performed sensitivity and subgroup analyses,including age,gender,self-rated health status,severity of COPD,etc.Results:Among 33 588 COPD patients at the baseline survey,8 314(22.2%)deaths were documented during an average follow-up of(11.1±3.1)years.Negative linear associations between the overall physical activity level and mortality risk from all-cause,vascular,and respiratory diseases were observed(P trend for linear correlation being<0.001,0.002,<0.001).Compared with the lowest quintile group of total physical activity(Q1),the hazard ratios(HR)and 95%confidence intervals(CI)for all-cause mortality,vascular disease mortality,and respiratory disease mortality in the highest quintile group(Q5)were 0.77(0.70,0.85),0.77(0.65,0.91),and 0.58(0.48,0.71),respectively.The low-level and moderate-to-vigorous-level physical activity were nega-tively associated with all-cause mortality in the COPD patients(P trend for linear correlation:0.002,<0.001,respectively).Compared with the lowest quintile group of low-intensity and moderate-to-vigorous intensity physical activity(Q1),the HRs(95%CI)for all-cause mortality in the highest quintile group(Q5)were 0.89(0.82,0.97)and 0.79(0.72,0.87),respectively.The occupational and non-occupational physical activity were also found to have a linear inverse association with all-cause mortality risk among the COPD patients(P trend<0.001 and 0.015,respectively).Compared with the lowest quintile group of occupational and non-occupational physical activity(Q1),the HR(95%CI)for all-cause mortality in the highest quintile group(Q5)were 0.69(0.61,0.78)and 0.91(0.84,0.98),respectively.The associations between overall physical activity and all-cause mortality risk were stronger for patients aged 60 and above,female,and who reported poor health status(P for interaction:0.028,0.012,0.010).The protective effect of total physical activity was also applicable to the COPD patients of varying severity.Conclusion:Physical activity could reduce the mortality risk in a dose-response relationship among COPD patients,regardless of its intensity and type,especially among indi-viduals aged 60 and above,females,and those with poor self-report health status.
3.Role of lifestyle factors on the development and long-term prognosis of pneumonia and cardiovascular disease in the Chinese population.
Yizhen HU ; Qiufen SUN ; Yuting HAN ; Canqing YU ; Yu GUO ; Dianjianyi SUN ; Yuanjie PANG ; Pei PEI ; Ling YANG ; Yiping CHEN ; Huaidong DU ; Mengwei WANG ; Rebecca STEVENS ; Junshi CHEN ; Zhengming CHEN ; Liming LI ; Jun LV
Chinese Medical Journal 2025;138(12):1456-1464
BACKGROUND:
Whether adherence to a healthy lifestyle is associated with a lower risk of developing pneumonia and a better long-term prognosis remains unclear. This study aimed to investigate associations of individual and combined lifestyle factors (LFs) with the incidence risk and long-term prognosis of pneumonia hospitalization.
METHODS:
Using data from the China Kadoorie Biobank study, we used the multistate models to investigate the role of five high-risk LFs, including smoking, excessive alcohol drinking, unhealthy dietary habits, physical inactivity, and unhealthy body shape, alone or in combination in the transitions from a generally healthy state at baseline to pneumonia hospitalization or cardiovascular disease (CVD, regarded as a reference outcome), and subsequently to mortality.
RESULTS:
Most of the five high-risk LFs were associated with increased risks of transitions from baseline to pneumonia and from pneumonia to death, but with different risk estimates. The greater the number of high-risk LFs, the higher the risk of developing pneumonia and long-term mortality risk after pneumonia, with the strength of associations comparable to that of LFs and CVD. Compared to participants with 0-1 high-risk LF, the adjusted hazard ratios (HRs) and 95% confidence intervals (CIs) for transitions from baseline to pneumonia and from pneumonia to death in those with five high-risk LFs were 1.43 (1.28-1.60) and 1.98 (1.61-2.42), respectively. Correspondingly, the respective HRs (95% CIs) for transitions from baseline to CVD and from CVD to death were 2.00 (1.89-2.11) and 1.44 (1.30-1.59), respectively. The risk estimates changed slightly when further adjusting for the presence of major chronic diseases.
CONCLUSION
In this Chinese population, unhealthy LFs were associated with an increased incidence and long-term mortality risk of pneumonia.
Adult
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Aged
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Female
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Humans
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Male
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Middle Aged
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Cardiovascular Diseases/etiology*
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China/epidemiology*
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Life Style
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Pneumonia/etiology*
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Prognosis
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Risk Factors
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Smoking
4.Adiposity, circulating metabolic markers, and risk of cardiometabolic multimorbidity.
Si CHENG ; Zhiqing ZENG ; Jun LV ; Canqing YU ; Dianjianyi SUN ; Pei PEI ; Ling YANG ; Yiping CHEN ; Huaidong DU ; Li GAO ; Xiaoming YANG ; Daniel AVERY ; Junshi CHEN ; Zhengming CHEN ; Liming LI ; Yuanjie PANG
Chinese Medical Journal 2025;138(8):991-993
5.A phenome-wide spectrum of morbidity and mortality risks related to the number of offspring among 0.5 million Chinese men and women: A prospective cohort study.
Meng XIAO ; Aolin LI ; Canqing YU ; Yuanjie PANG ; Pei PEI ; Ling YANG ; Yiping CHEN ; Huaidong DU ; Yujie HUA ; Junshi CHEN ; Zhengming CHEN ; Jun LYU ; Liming LI ; Dianjianyi SUN
Chinese Medical Journal 2025;138(22):2925-2937
BACKGROUND:
Prospective evidence on how offspring number influences morbidity and mortality remains limited. This study investigated the associations between number of offspring and morbidity and mortality risks among 0.5 million Chinese adults.
METHODS:
By using data from the China Kadoorie Biobank (CKB; n = 512,723, an approximately 12-year follow-up), sex-stratified phenome-wide association study (PheWAS) analyses were conducted to investigate associations between offspring number (without vs . with offspring; more than one vs . one offspring) and risks of ICD10-coded morbidity and mortality. Sex-specific adjusted hazard ratios (aHRs) and 95% confidence intervals (CIs) were estimated by Cox proportional-hazards models.
RESULTS:
Among 210,129 men and 302,284 women aged 30-79 years, 1,338,837 incident events were recorded. PheWAS results revealed that offspring number was associated with disease risks across multiple systems. Cox models showed that childless men ( vs . one offspring) had higher risks for nine of 36 diseases, while childless women for five of 37. Each additional offspring was associated with reduced risks of mental and behavioral disorders in men (aHR [95% CI] = 0.93 [0.87-0.98]) and both mental and behavioral disorders (aHR [95% CI] = 0.93 [0.89-0.97]) and breast cancer (aHR [95% CI] = 0.82 [0.78-0.86]) in women. However, each additional offspring was associated with a 4% increase in the risk of cholelithiasis and cholecystitis in women (aHR [95% CI] = 1.04 [1.02-1.07]). Among 282,630 patients, 44,533 deaths were documented. Childless patients had higher mortality risk in both men (aHR [95% CI] = 1.37 [1.28-1.47]) and women (aHR [95% CI] = 1.27 [1.15-1.41]). For men, each additional offspring reduced mortality by 4% (aHR [95% CI] = 0.96 [0.95-0.98]), while for women, the lowest risk was observed among those with three to four offspring ( Pnonlinear <0.0001).
CONCLUSIONS
Offspring number is closely linked to morbidity and mortality risks. Further research is warranted to verify our findings and clarify the underlying mechanisms involved.
Adult
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Aged
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Female
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Humans
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Male
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Middle Aged
;
China/epidemiology*
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Morbidity
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Proportional Hazards Models
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Prospective Studies
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Risk Factors
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Family Characteristics
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Mortality
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East Asian People
6.Adiposity-related anthropometric parameters, indoles and atherosclerotic cardiovascular disease in Chinese adults: a prospective cohort study
Jiahui SI ; Si CHENG ; Canqing YU ; Dianjianyi SUN ; Yuanjie PANG ; Pei PEI ; Huaidong DU ; Junshi CHEN ; Zhengming CHEN ; Liming LI ; Jun LYU
Chinese Journal of Epidemiology 2025;46(1):65-72
Objective:To investigate the relationship of several adiposity-related anthropometric parameters, including BMI, waist circumference (WC), waist-to-hip ratio (WHR), body fat percentage (BFP) and indoles in plasma with the incidence of atherosclerotic cardiovascular disease (ASCVD) in adults in China.Methods:In China Kadoorie Biobank (CKB) study, blood samples were collected from 2 183 participants in the first resurvey in 2008 to detect indoles. Participants' body weight, body height, WC, hip circumference, and BFP were measured at baseline survey in 2004 and resurvey in 2008, the BMI and WHR were calculated with standardized methods. The long-term follow-up of all participants started from the completion of the resurvey in 2008 until the occurrence of incident ASCVD, death, loss to follow-up or until December 31, 2018. CKB ascertained outcome status (incident ASCVD) through death and disease registries and national health insurance databases, supplemented by active follow-up. Multivariate linear regression model was used to estimate the associations of anthropometric measurements at baseline survey and the first resurvey, and changes in these measurements with 3 indoles [indole, indole-3-acetic acid (IAA), and indole-3-propionic acid (IPA)]. Cox proportional hazard regression model was used to estimate the associations between indoles and the risk for ASCVD.Results:Anthropometric measurements at baseline survey or the first resurvey were negatively associated with plasma IPA level. The regression coefficient ( β) of baseline BMI (per 1.0 kg/m 2) with 0.1 standard deviation ( SD) IPA was -0.23 (95% CI: -0.36 - -0.10) (false discovery rate=0.004). After adjusting for baseline BMI, the β of baseline WC, WHR and BFP with 0.1 SD IPA were -0.09 (95% CI: -0.18 - -0.01), -0.12 (95% CI: -0.19 - -0.05), and -0.20 (95% CI: -0.32 - -0.08), respectively. The annual change in BMI (difference between BMI in 2008 and 2004 divided by the time interval) was associated with indole and IAA, with β of 1.40 (95% CI: 0.58 - 2.21) and -1.07 (95% CI: -1.91 - -0.23), respectively, at each 0.1 increase of SD. Over a median ( Q1, Q3) follow-up of 10.46 (10.36, 10.53) years after 2008 resurvey, 236 cases of ASCVD were recorded. IAA and IPA levels were negatively associated with the risk for ASCVD, with hazard ratios for one SD increase of IAA and IPA of 0.87 (95% CI: 0.76 - 0.99) and 0.84 (95% CI: 0.73 - 0.96), respectively. Conclusions:Our results suggested that anthropometric measurements and their changing trends affect the levels of plasma imicrobial tryptophan metabolite levels, decreased levels of IAA and IPA levels are associated with increased risk of ASCVD and indoles in plasma including IPA and IAA might be the mediating factors for adiposity-induced ASCVD.
7.Prospective association between liver biomarkers and mortality risk in Chinese middle-aged and elderly populations
Shuyao SONG ; Ting WU ; Canqing YU ; Dianjianyi SUN ; Pei PEI ; Huaidong DU ; Junshi CHEN ; Zhengming CHEN ; Jun LYU ; Liming LI ; Yuanjie PANG
Chinese Journal of Epidemiology 2025;46(4):549-556
Objective:To analyze the prospective associations between liver biomarkers and mortality among Chinese middle-aged and elderly populations and to evaluate the mortality risk predictive value.Methods:A total of 22 758 participants from the 3 rd resurvey of the China Kadoorie Biobank were included. Cox proportional hazard models were used to analyze the prospective associations of 5 liver biomarkers with mortality. These liver biomarkers included two liver imaging biomarkers (liver fat attenuation parameter, liver stiffness measurement) and three serum liver enzyme biomarkers [gamma-glutamyl transferase (GGT), ALT, and AST]. Restricted cubic spline was used to assess the nonlinear associations between biomarkers and mortality. The area used the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC) to evaluate the predictive ability of the models after incorporating liver biomarkers into traditional prediction models for mortality. Results:The mean age of the participants was (65.2±9.1) years, with a median follow-up of 1.5 years, during which 307 deaths occurred. Compared to individuals without hepatic steatosis, those with severe hepatic steatosis had a 79% higher risk of mortality, with a HR of 1.79 (95% CI: 1.06-3.03). Compared to individuals without hepatic fibrosis, those with advanced fibrosis and cirrhosis had higher mortality risks of 48% and 91%, respectively (both P<0.05). For each standard deviation increase in GGT, the mortality risk increased by 10% ( HR=1.10, 95% CI: 1.05-1.15), with the positive association plateauing at higher GGT levels. AST exhibited a U-shaped association with mortality risk. The AUC of the prediction model adding liver biomarkers into traditional prediction factors was 0.718 (95% CI: 0.679-0.757), with an increase of 0.030 ( P<0.001) compared with the traditional model. Conclusions:Severe hepatic steatosis, higher levels of hepatic fibrosis, and elevated GGT levels are significantly associated with higher mortality risk. AST shows a U-shaped nonlinear association with mortality risk. Incorporating liver biomarkers into traditional risk prediction models enhance the ability to predict mortality.
8.Associations of plasma metabolites with mortality in Chinese adults: a prospective study
Ting WU ; Shuyao SONG ; Yuanjie PANG ; Canqing YU ; Dianjianyi SUN ; Pei PEI ; Huaidong DU ; Junshi CHEN ; Zhengming CHEN ; An PAN ; Jun LYU ; Liming LI
Chinese Journal of Epidemiology 2025;46(4):557-565
Objective:To investigate the prospective associations between plasma metabolites and the risks of all-cause and cause-specific mortality among Chinese adults.Methods:This study analyzed plasma metabolomics data from 2 183 healthy adults in the China Kadoorie Biobank (CKB), measured using targeted mass spectrometry. Cox proportional hazards regression models were used to examine the associations between 630 metabolites and the risk of all-cause mortality. Cause-specific hazard regression models evaluated the associations between metabolites and cardiovascular disease (CVD) risks, cancer, and other-cause mortality. Stepwise regression was used to identify key metabolites independently associated with all-cause mortality, and the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC) was calculated to assess the improvement in predictive performance when these metabolites were added to traditional risk prediction models.Results:The mean age of the participants was (53.2±9.8) years, 65.1% of whom were female. During a median follow-up of 14.5 years, 231 deaths occurred. A total of 44 metabolites were significantly associated with the risk of all-cause mortality [false discovery rate (FDR)-adjusted P<0.05], primarily including triglycerides, ceramides, and amino acids. Additionally, 29 and 15 metabolites were found to be associated with cancer and other-cause mortality, respectively, but no metabolites were significantly associated with CVD mortality after FDR corrections. Adding 14 metabolites independently associated with all-cause mortality into the traditional prediction model significantly improved its predictive performance. Specifically, incorporating metabolites into the traditional model, which already included laboratory biomarkers, increased the AUC to 0.798 (95% CI: 0.755-0.843), an improvement of 0.088 compared to the traditional model ( P<0.001). Conclusions:Multiple metabolites are significantly associated with mortality risk and can substantially improve the accuracy of mortality risk prediction models. These findings provide new insights into the physiological mechanisms of aging and offer valuable clues for personalized health risk assessment.
9.Prevalence and influencing factors of preserved ratio impaired spirometry in adults aged 40 years and above in 10 areas in China
Yongbing LAN ; Xinyi ZHANG ; Dingzhen WU ; Jun LYU ; Dianjianyi SUN ; Pei PEI ; Huaidong DU ; Junshi CHEN ; Zhengming CHEN ; Liming LI ; Canqing YU
Chinese Journal of Epidemiology 2025;46(6):929-934
Objective:To describe the prevalence of preserved ratio impaired spirometry (PRISm) in participants from the China Kadoorie Biobank (CKB) and explore the influencing factors.Methods:The CKB project conducted the baseline survey, the first and the second resurvey in 2004-2008, 2008, and 2013-2014, respectively. Based on the lung function tests, the participants were categorized into three groups: regular, PRISm, and airflow obstruction. The prevalence of PRISm was reported by gender, age, and region at the baseline survey. The secular trend in the prevalence of PRISm was described during the three surveys. Finally, we used the multiple logistic regression model to examine the factors related to PRISm in the baseline survey.Results:After standardization for gender, age, and region according to the sixth national census data in 2010, the overall prevalence of PRISm and airflow obstruction among the 434 760 participants at baseline was 24.8% and 6.1%, respectively. The prevalence of PRISm was higher in rural (25.4%) than that in urban areas (24.3%). Of the 10 study regions, Gansu had the highest prevalence of PRISm (56.0%), while Henan had the lowest (15.4%). After standardization for gender, age, and region according to the baseline population, the prevalence of PRISm decreased from 24.9% at baseline to 15.7% in the second resurvey, and the prevalence of airflow obstruction increased from 5.9% to 21.4%. Unmarried status, current smoking, using solid fuels for cooking, low body weight, being overweight, obesity, and central obesity were associated with an increased risk of PRISm. In contrast, higher education attainments, increased household income, and maintaining a specific degree of physical activity were associated with a reduced risk of PRISm.Conclusions:The prevalence of PRISm was high in adults aged 40 years and above in China, and it varied by sociodemographic and lifestyle factors.
10.Association between tobacco smoking and the need for respiratory support and mortality in patients hospitalized with pneumonia
Shan LI ; Yizhen HU ; Yiqian ZHANG ; Canqing YU ; Dianjianyi SUN ; Pei PEI ; Huaidong DU ; Junshi CHEN ; Zhengming CHEN ; Liming LI ; Li WENG ; Jun LYU
Chinese Journal of Epidemiology 2025;46(8):1319-1327
Objective:To explore the impacts of smoking on the need for respiratory support and mortality in patients hospitalized with pneumonia.Methods:A total of 24 367 patients hospitalized with pneumonia from 2009 to 2017 in the China Kadoorie Biobank, were included. Smoking status was self-reported, and data regarding respiratory support during hospitalization and mortality during follow-up were obtained from medical claims and death registries, respectively. OR, HR, and 95% CI were calculated and adjusted for potential confounders using logistic regression models and Cox proportional hazards regression models, respectively. Results:Among males, current smokers or those who quit smoking due to illness had higher risks of requiring respiratory support ( OR=1.15, 95% CI: 1.03-1.29), 1-year mortality ( HR=1.66, 95% CI: 1.32-2.08), and 5-year mortality ( HR=1.32, 95% CI: 1.13-1.54) following pneumonia hospitalization compared to nonsmokers. Male smokers who started smoking at a younger age or with longer smoking duration had the highest mortality risks (trend test both P<0.05). Female current smokers or those who quit smoking due to illness had higher risks of 1-year mortality ( HR=1.62, 95% CI: 1.17-2.23) and 5-year mortality ( HR=1.33, 95% CI: 1.06-1.67). We found no statistically significant difference in 90-day mortality between current smokers/those who quit smoking due to illness and nonsmokers. Conclusions:Smoking was associated with higher risks of requiring respiratory support and mortality in patients hospitalized with pneumonia, especially among males and heavy smokers. These findings highlight the need for targeted strategies to promote smoking cessation in patients hospitalized with pneumonia.

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