1.Research advances in chemokines and their receptors in cognitive disorders
Houyu ZHAO ; Kun LIANG ; Zeyuan YU ; Wei DING ; Yukun WEN ; Jianming HUANG ; Yiqun FANG
Journal of Chongqing Medical University 2025;50(7):920-925
Cognitive impairment is the main clinical manifestation of many nervous system diseases such as stroke,multiple sclerosis,and neurodegeneration,and neuroinflammation is one of the key mechanisms for the onset of cognitive disorders.Chemokines are a class of highly conserved small-molecule secretory proteins that bind to the corresponding chemokine receptors located on cell mem-brane,activating downstream signaling pathways and playing an important role in cell migration,proliferation,differentiation,and sur-vival.In the central nervous system,chemokines and their receptors are involved in immune response and can exert a certain regulatory effect on neuroinflammation.This article reviews the research advances in chemokines and their receptors in cognitive disorders,in or-der to provide new insights and targets for the early diagnosis and treatment of related diseases.
2.Retrospective cohort study on the relationship between Metformin and the risk of dementia in patients with type 2 diabetes mellitus
Houyu ZHAO ; Sanbao CHAI ; Yexiang SUN ; Peng SHEN ; Hongbo LIN ; Siyan ZHAN ; Feng SUN
Chinese Journal of Diabetes 2024;32(8):567-575
Objective To assess the association between Metformin use and the risk of dementia in patients with type 2 diabetes mellitus(T2DM).Methods The research data came from the big medical data platform of Yinzhou District,and we constructed a cohort of T2DM patients who had initiated treatment of Metformin or sulfonylurea since January 1,2009.The inverse probability of treatment weighting(IPTW)was used to control the baseline confounding factors,and the Cox regression model was used to estimate the HR(95%CI)of the association between Metformin use and dementia risk.Results The incidence rate of dementia in new users of Metformin(41181 persons)and sulfonylureas(38092 persons)was 128.4 per 100000 person years and 142.3 per 100000 person years respectively.Compared with sulfonylureas,the crude analysis with no adjustment for confounding factors showed that there was a negative association between the use of Metformin and the incidence of dementia,with an HR(95%CI)0.930(0.800~1.090).After adjusting for potential confounders with IPTW,Metformin was not significantly associated with the risk of dementia HR(95%CI)1.040(0.890~1.220).The subgroup analysis results for different baseline characteristics were consistent with the primary analysis results,and there were no statistically significant associations between Metformin and dementia incidence risk in all subgroups.Conclusions There is no significant association between the use of Metformin and the risk of dementia in T2DM patients in the Yinzhou District.
3.Analysis methods and case analysis of effect modification (1): effect modification in epidemiology and traditional Meta-analysis
Fengqi LIU ; Zhirong YANG ; Shanshan WU ; Houyu ZHAO ; Siyan ZHAN ; Feng SUN
Chinese Journal of Epidemiology 2024;45(1):148-154
This paper briefly introduces the definition, classification and significance of effect modification in epidemiological studies, summarizes the difference between effect modifier and confounders, and analyze the influence as well as the role of effect modification in epidemiological studies and Meta-analysis. In this paper, the possible scenarios of effect modification and related analysis strategy in Meta-analysis are indicated by graphics, aiming to arouse researchers' attention to effect modification. This paper also demonstrates how to identify and deal with effect modification in Meta-analysis through a study case of "Efficacy of sodium-glucose cotransporter 2 inhibitors in patients with type 2 diabetes", and shows the analysis process and interpretation of results of subgroup analysis and Meta-regression methods respectively. The advantages and disadvantages of these two methods are summarized to provide reference for the method selection of future research.
4.Analysis methods and case analysis of effect modification (2): effect modification in network Meta-analysis
Fengqi LIU ; Zhirong YANG ; Shanshan WU ; Houyu ZHAO ; Siyan ZHAN ; Feng SUN
Chinese Journal of Epidemiology 2024;45(2):273-278
This paper briefly introduces the characteristics, research significance, and global reporting status of effect modification in network Meta-analysis, demonstrates the heterogeneity caused by effect modification in network Meta-analysis, and emphasizes the importance of exploring effect modification in network Meta-analysis. This paper also summarizes the normalized description and analysis strategies of effect modification in network Meta-analysis. Finally, by the case of "comparison of efficacy of three new hypoglycemic drugs in reducing body weight in type 2 diabetes patients", this paper demonstrates the realization of subgroup analysis and network Meta-regression in exploring effect modification, summarizes the advantages and disadvantages of the two methods, to provide references for future researchers.
5.Progress in methodological research on bridging the efficacy-effectiveness gap of clinical interventions (1): to improve the validity of real-world evidence
Zuoxiang LIU ; Zilin LONG ; Zhirong YANG ; Shuyuan SHI ; Xinran XU ; Houyu ZHAO ; Zuyao YANG ; Zhu FU ; Haibo SONG ; Tengfei LIN ; Siyan ZHAN ; Feng SUN
Chinese Journal of Epidemiology 2024;45(2):286-293
Objective:Differences between randomized controlled trial (RCT) results and real world study (RWS) results may not represent a true efficacy-effectiveness gap because efficacy-effectiveness gap estimates may be biased when RWS and RCT differ significantly in study design or when there is bias in RWS result estimation. Secondly, when there is an efficacy- effectiveness gap, it should not treat every patient the same way but assess the real-world factors influencing the intervention's effectiveness and identify the subgroup likely to achieve the desired effect.Methods:Six databases (PubMed, Embase, Web of Science, CNKI, Wanfang Data, and VIP) were searched up to 31 st December 2022 with detailed search strategies. A scoping review method was used to integrate and qualitatively describe the included literature inductively. Results:Ten articles were included to discuss how to use the RCT research protocol as a template to develop the corresponding RWS research protocol. Moreover, based on correctly estimating the efficacy-effectiveness gap, evaluate the intervention effect in the patient subgroup to confirm the subgroup that can achieve the expected benefit-risk ratio to bridge the efficacy-effectiveness gap.Conclusion:Using real-world data to simulate key features of randomized controlled clinical trial study design can improve the authenticity and effectiveness of study results and bridge the efficacy-effectiveness gap.
6.Analysis methods and case analysis of effect modification (3): effect modification in individual patient data Meta-analysis
Fengqi LIU ; Zhirong YANG ; Shanshan WU ; Houyu ZHAO ; Siyan ZHAN ; Feng SUN
Chinese Journal of Epidemiology 2024;45(3):447-454
This paper briefly introduces the unique advantages, overall analysis ideas and existing analysis methods of individual patient data Meta-analysis in terms of effect modification. In addition to Meta-regression and subgroup analysis, this paper also introduces the analysis methods based on part of individual patient data integrated with aggregated data and summarizes the current reporting of the above mentioned methods. In addition, the application and results interpretation of the above mentioned methods in individual patient data Meta-analysis are presented in this paper by taking "Effects of sodium-glucose cotransporter 2 inhibitors on SBP in patients with type 2 diabetes" as an example and by introducing their advantages and limitations.
7.Progress in methodological research on bridging the efficacy-effectiveness gap of clinical interventions(2): to improve the extrapolation of efficacy
Zuoxiang LIU ; Zilin LONG ; Zhirong YANG ; Shuyuan SHI ; Xinran XU ; Houyu ZHAO ; Zuyao YANG ; Zhu FU ; Haibo SONG ; Tengfei LIN ; Siyan ZHAN ; Feng SUN
Chinese Journal of Epidemiology 2024;45(4):579-584
Objective:Randomized controlled trials (RCT) usually have strict implementation criteria. The included subjects' characteristics of the conditions for the intervention implementation are quite different from the actual clinical environment, resulting in discrepancies between the risk-benefit of interventions in actual clinical use and the risk-benefit shown in RCT. Therefore, some methods are needed to enhance the extrapolation of RCT results to evaluate the real effects of drugs in real people and clinical practice settings.Methods:Six databases (PubMed, Embase, Web of Science, CNKI, Wanfang Data, and VIP) were searched up to 31 st December 2022 with detailed search strategies. A scoping review method was used to integrate and qualitatively describe the included literature inductively. Results:A total of 12 articles were included. Three methods in the included literature focused on: ①improving the design of traditional RCT to increase population representation; ②combining RCT Data with real-world data (RWD) for analysis;③calibrating RCT results according to real-world patient characteristics.Conclusions:Improving the design of RCT to enhance the population representation can improve the extrapolation of the results of RCT. Combining RCT data with RWD can give full play to the advantages of data from different sources; the results of the RCT were calibrated against real-world population characteristics so that the effects of interventions in real-world patient populations can be predicted.
8.Development of a prediction model for incidence of diabetic foot in patients with type 2 diabetes and its application based on a local health data platform
Yexian YU ; Meng ZHANG ; Xiaowei CHEN ; Lijia LIU ; Pei LI ; Houyu ZHAO ; Yexiang SUN ; Hongyu SUN ; Yumei SUN ; Xueyang LIU ; Hongbo LIN ; Peng SHEN ; Siyan ZHAN ; Feng SUN
Chinese Journal of Epidemiology 2024;45(7):997-1006
Objective:To construct a diabetes foot prediction model for adult patients with type 2 diabetes based on retrospective cohort study using data from a regional health data platform.Methods:Using Yinzhou Health Information Platform of Ningbo, adult patients with newly diagnosed type 2 diabetes from January 1, 2015 to December 31, 2022 were included in this study and divided randomly the train and test sets according to the ratio of 7∶3. LASSO regression model and bidirectional stepwise regression model were used to identify risk factors, and model comparisons were conducted with net reclassification index, integrated discrimination improvement and concordance index. Univariate and multivariate Cox proportional hazard regression models were constructed, and a nomogram plot was drawn. Area under the curve (AUC) was calculated as a discriminant evaluation indicator for model validation test its calibration ability, and calibration curves were drawn to test its calibration ability.Results:No significant difference existed between LASSO regression model and bidirectional stepwise regression model, but the better bidirectional stepwise regression model was selected as the final model. The risk factors included age of onset, gender, hemoglobin A1c, estimated glomerular filtration rate, taking angiotensin receptor blocker and smoking history. AUC values (95% CI) of risk outcome prediction at year 5 and 7 were 0.700 (0.650-0.749) and 0.715(0.668-0.762) for the train set and 0.738 (0.667-0.801) and 0.723 (0.663-0.783) for the test set, respectively. The calibration curves were close to the ideal curve, and the model discrimination and calibration powers were both good. Conclusions:This study established a convenient prediction model for diabetic foot and classified the risk levels. The model has strong interpretability, good discrimination power, and satisfactory calibration and can be used to predict the incidence of diabetes foot in adult patients with type 2 diabetes to provide a basis for self-assessment and clinical prediction of diabetic foot disease risk.
9.Identification process of time-related bias in pharmacoepidemiologic research based on a scoping review
Siwei DENG ; Houyu ZHAO ; Siyan ZHAN
Chinese Journal of Epidemiology 2024;45(9):1273-1282
Objective:To summarize the characteristics of pharmacoepidemiologic research involving diabetes patients, which were published in recent years, in terms of study design and analysis, and develop an identification process for time-related biases in pharmacoepidemiologic research.Methods:PubMed, Embase, CNKI and Wanfang were used for a systematical literature retrieval of relevant study papers published between January 1,2012 and September 26, 2022. Literature screening and data extraction were performed independently by two reviewers. Based on the mechanisms of different time-related biases and the characteristics of included study papers in terms of study design and analysis methods, an identification process for all types of time-related biases was developed.Results:A total of 281 study papers were included, of which 58 (20.64%) specifically mentioned certain time-related biases considered in the study. Based on the scoping review results, key points to identify time-related biases were summarized, involving data source, study design, control selection, comparator drugs, matching the duration of diabetes, identification of the washout period, identification of the induction/latency period, identification of the initiation of follow-up, identification of time window, statistical analysis methods, sensitivity analysis, and other design and analytical elements, in the identification process for time-related biases in pharmacoepidemiologic research.Conclusions:Time-related biases are common in pharmacoepidemiologic research and might significantly impact the study results. Based on scoping review results, this study further developed an identification process for time-related biases in pharmacoepidemiologic research, which will help researchers identify and avoid time-related biases and improve the reliability of related evidence in pharmacoepidemiologic research.
10.Development and application of a prediction model for incidence of diabetic retinopathy in newly diagnosed type 2 diabetic patients based on regional health data platform
Xiaowei CHEN ; Lijia LIU ; Yexian YU ; Meng ZHANG ; Pei LI ; Houyu ZHAO ; Yexiang SUN ; Hongyu SUN ; Yumei SUN ; Xueyang LIU ; Hongbo LIN ; Peng SHEN ; Siyan ZHAN ; Feng SUN
Chinese Journal of Epidemiology 2024;45(9):1283-1290
Objective:To develop a prediction model for the risk of diabetic retinopathy (DR) in patients with newly diagnosed type 2 diabetes mellitus (T2DM).Methods:Patients with new diagnosis of T2DM recorded in Yinzhou Regional Health Information Platform between January 1, 2015 and December 31, 2022 were included in the study. The predictor variables were selected by using Lasso-Cox proportional hazards regression model. Cox proportional hazards regression models were used to establish the prediction model for the risk of DR. Bootstrap method (500 resamples) was used for internal validation, and the performance of the model was assessed by C-index, the receiver operating characteristic curve and area under the curve (AUC), and calibration curve.Results:The predictor variables included in the final model were age of T2DM onset, education level, fasting plasma glucose, glycated hemoglobin A1c, urinary albumin, estimated glomerular filtration rate, and history of lipid-lowering agent and angiotensin converting enzyme inhibitor uses. The C-index of the final model was 0.622, and the mean corrected C-index was 0.623 (95% CI: 0.607-0.634). The AUC values for predicting the risk of DR after 3, 5, and 7 years were 0.631, 0.620, and 0.624, respectively, with a high degree of overlap of the calibration curves with the ideal curves. Conclusion:In this study, a simple and practical risk prediction model for DR risk prediction was developed, which could be used as a reference for individualized DR screening and intervention in newly diagnosed T2DM patients.

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