1.Application of the back-calculation method for estimating new HIV infections in Dehong Dai and Jingpo Autonomous Prefecture, Yunnan Province, 2010-2023
Minyang XIAO ; Yuecheng YANG ; Manhong JIA ; Houlin TANG ; Yuhua SHI ; Liru FU ; Zuyang ZHANG ; Renhai TANG ; Xiaowen WANG ; Fangfang CHEN
Chinese Journal of Epidemiology 2025;46(4):669-675
Objective:New HIV infections serve as a crucial indicator for assessing the dynamic changes in the HIV epidemic. This study aims to estimate the number of new HIV infections in Dehong Dai and Jingpo Autonomous Prefecture of Yunnan Province (Dehong), using a back-calculation method that integrates diagnosis delay approaches and Bayesian theory. Additionally, it compares the differences between these two estimation methods.Methods:Data were obtained from the Chinese Information System for Disease Control and Prevention. Based on CD4 + T lymphocytes (CD4) counts depletion model, the first CD4 count prior to antiretroviral therapy of HIV-infected individuals diagnosed in Dehong from 2010 to 2023 was utilized to retroactively determine the infection date of HIV-infected individuals and ascertain the annual number of new HIV infections who had been diagnosed. Subsequently, the diagnosis delay distribution method and Bayesian theory were leveraged to assess the diagnosis probability of newly infected individuals, thereby projecting the number of new HIV infections in the region over the specified period. Results:During 2010-2023, a total of 5 693 individuals aged 15 and above, excluding mother-to-child transmission, were diagnosed with HIV in Dehong. After excluding 364 cases due to missing CD4 count results or abnormal first CD4 counts (≥2 000 cells/μl), 5 329 HIV-infected individuals were included in the final analysis. Through CD4 counts back-calculation from 2010 to 2023, the annual number of new infections diagnosed was 479, 427, 337, 305, 256, 219, 194, 193, 131, 166, 120, 71, 42 and 47. When using the diagnosis delay distribution method and life table analysis, the cumulative diagnosis probability rose from 0.301 within one year to 0.913 within 14 years, leading to a reduction in the number of estimated new infections from 577 in 2010 to 168 in 2023, with a total estimate of 4 412 (95% CI:4 350-4 480). Alternatively, based on Bayesian theory, the diagnosis probability increased from 0.413 within one year to 0.946 within 14 years, leading to a reduction in the number of estimated new infections from 557 in 2010 to 122 in 2023, with a total of 3 814 (95% CI: 3 787-3 837). Conclusions:Both methods yielded consistent results in estimating new HIV infections in Dehong from 2010 to 2023. Given the region's ongoing expansion of HIV testing, the estimates derived from Bayesian theory may more accurately reflect the actual situation. These findings provide a reference basis for formulating and optimizing HIV/AIDS prevention and control strategies in Dehong, facilitating progress toward the goal of eliminating AIDS by 2030 in the region.
2.Application of the back-calculation method for estimating new HIV infections in Dehong Dai and Jingpo Autonomous Prefecture, Yunnan Province, 2010-2023
Minyang XIAO ; Yuecheng YANG ; Manhong JIA ; Houlin TANG ; Yuhua SHI ; Liru FU ; Zuyang ZHANG ; Renhai TANG ; Xiaowen WANG ; Fangfang CHEN
Chinese Journal of Epidemiology 2025;46(4):669-675
Objective:New HIV infections serve as a crucial indicator for assessing the dynamic changes in the HIV epidemic. This study aims to estimate the number of new HIV infections in Dehong Dai and Jingpo Autonomous Prefecture of Yunnan Province (Dehong), using a back-calculation method that integrates diagnosis delay approaches and Bayesian theory. Additionally, it compares the differences between these two estimation methods.Methods:Data were obtained from the Chinese Information System for Disease Control and Prevention. Based on CD4 + T lymphocytes (CD4) counts depletion model, the first CD4 count prior to antiretroviral therapy of HIV-infected individuals diagnosed in Dehong from 2010 to 2023 was utilized to retroactively determine the infection date of HIV-infected individuals and ascertain the annual number of new HIV infections who had been diagnosed. Subsequently, the diagnosis delay distribution method and Bayesian theory were leveraged to assess the diagnosis probability of newly infected individuals, thereby projecting the number of new HIV infections in the region over the specified period. Results:During 2010-2023, a total of 5 693 individuals aged 15 and above, excluding mother-to-child transmission, were diagnosed with HIV in Dehong. After excluding 364 cases due to missing CD4 count results or abnormal first CD4 counts (≥2 000 cells/μl), 5 329 HIV-infected individuals were included in the final analysis. Through CD4 counts back-calculation from 2010 to 2023, the annual number of new infections diagnosed was 479, 427, 337, 305, 256, 219, 194, 193, 131, 166, 120, 71, 42 and 47. When using the diagnosis delay distribution method and life table analysis, the cumulative diagnosis probability rose from 0.301 within one year to 0.913 within 14 years, leading to a reduction in the number of estimated new infections from 577 in 2010 to 168 in 2023, with a total estimate of 4 412 (95% CI:4 350-4 480). Alternatively, based on Bayesian theory, the diagnosis probability increased from 0.413 within one year to 0.946 within 14 years, leading to a reduction in the number of estimated new infections from 557 in 2010 to 122 in 2023, with a total of 3 814 (95% CI: 3 787-3 837). Conclusions:Both methods yielded consistent results in estimating new HIV infections in Dehong from 2010 to 2023. Given the region's ongoing expansion of HIV testing, the estimates derived from Bayesian theory may more accurately reflect the actual situation. These findings provide a reference basis for formulating and optimizing HIV/AIDS prevention and control strategies in Dehong, facilitating progress toward the goal of eliminating AIDS by 2030 in the region.
3.Key Components of Fishy Smell of Eupolyphaga Steleophaga by Head Space-Solid Phase Microextraction-GC-MS and Odor Activity Value
Hongyan MA ; Hong FAN ; Qian LIU ; Xue LI ; Hui YE ; Dingkun ZHANG ; Yongmei GUAN ; Ming YANG ; Houlin XIA
Chinese Journal of Modern Applied Pharmacy 2024;41(1):88-96
To determine the main components of the fishy smell of the Eupolyphaga Steleophaga, and to provide a theoretical basis for deodorizing the Eupolyphaga Steleophaga.
METHODS
Head space-solid phase microextraction-gas chromatography-mass spectrometry was used to identify the components of 10 batches of Eupolyphaga Steleophaga, and area normalization method and chemometrics method were used to analyze the smelly gas of different batches. Odor activity value(OAV) was used to evaluate the contribution of odor components and identify key odor components.
RESULTS
A total of 87 volatile odor components were identified, the key fishy smell compounds(OAV≥1) were m-methylphenol, dimethyltrisulfide, 4-methylphenol, 2-methyliso-borneol, 2-etzol, 4-methylvaleric acid, iso-valeric acid, etc. Modified fishy gas composition(0.1
4.Survey on monkeypox knowledge awareness, risk perception and vaccination intention in men who have sex with men in five cities in northeast China
Lingling LI ; Mengjie HAN ; Fan LYU ; Houlin TANG ; Jie YANG ; Wei ZHANG ; Jinrui ZHANG ; Caidong SUN ; Yanjiao CUI ; Yang ZHENG ; Fangfang CHEN
Chinese Journal of Epidemiology 2024;45(1):128-133
Objective:To understand the monkeypox knowledge awareness, risk perception and vaccination intention in men who have sex with men (MSM) in five cities in northeast China.Methods:A cross-sectional study was conducted by using electronic questionnaire in MSM selected by convenience sampling in five cities in northeast China (Shenyang, Panjin, Changchun, Harbin and Jiamusi) from June 28 to July 8, 2023 by local centers for disease control and prevention and MSM communities. The sample size was estimated to be 220. Information about their demographics, monkeypox-related knowledge awareness, perceived concern about epidemic risk perception, and monkeypox vaccination intention were collected. Logistic regression model was used to analyze related factors for MSM's monkeypox vaccination intention.Results:In 355 MSM, 63.9% (227/355) had monkeypox vaccination intentions, and 55.5% (197/355) had high awareness of monkeypox related knowledge with a mean knowledge awareness score of 3.7±1.5. MSM with education level of high-school and above (a OR=1.93, 95% CI:1.01-3.69), higher knowledge awareness score (a OR=1.19, 95% CI:1.02-1.40) and higher risk perception of monkeypox infection (a OR=1.82, 95% CI:1.15-2.88), were more willing to receive monkeypox vaccination. The main reasons for willingness to receive monkeypox vaccine were preventing monkeypox (86.3%, 196/227) and worrying about appearance being affected (62.1%, 141/227). The main reasons for unwillingness for the vaccination included concerns about vaccine safety (53.1%, 68/128), clinical progression of AIDS being affected (46.1%, 59/128) and efficacy of antiretroviral therapy being affected (44.5%, 57/128). Conclusions:The levels of knowledge awareness and vaccine intentions still need to be improved among MSM in five cities of northeast China. It is necessary to improve the awareness of monkeypox and intention of monkeypox vaccination, promote protected sex behavior and self-assessment of infection risk, reduce vaccine hesitancy and increase monkeypox vaccination intention in MSM in 5 cities in northeast China.
5.Survey on the awareness rate of mpox knowledge and related factors among men who have sex with men in China
Huaijin CHEN ; Houlin TANG ; Peilong LI ; Jie XU ; Wei LUO ; Jie YANG ; Maohe YU ; Fan LYU
Chinese Journal of Epidemiology 2024;45(4):559-565
Objective:To understand the awareness rate of mpox knowledge and related factors among men who have sex with men (MSM) in China.Methods:The survey was conducted among men aged ≥18 years who had sex with men in the past year, using the convenience sampling method. The estimated sample size was 4 312. With the assistance of social organizations of MSM in 30 provinces in China, an online questionnaire survey was conducted using anonymous self-designed questionnaires powered by www.wjx.cn during 10-14 August 2023 to collect information on socio-demographic characteristics, awareness of mpox knowledge, travel history, and sexual behaviors of the respondents. The software SAS 9.4 was used for statistical analysis.Results:There were 7 725 respondents, and the age of the respondents was (31.6±9.0) years. The results revealed that the awareness rate of mpox knowledge was 50.1% (3 872/7 725). The main routes to acquire mpox knowledge were mainly new media, including WeChat, Weibo, TikTok, and Blued social software (88.4%,6 827/7 725), while official media report was the most trusted way to acquire related knowledge (79.3%,6 129/7 725). Multivariate logistic regression analysis revealed that the factors indicated a higher awareness rate of mpox knowledge, including living in the western region or the eastern region, people were over 26 years old in early adulthood and midlife, college-educated or with higher degrees, living in towns or urban periphery, being in homosexual or in bisexual relationships, 1-5 homosexual times/months in the past 3 months, knowing their HIV infection status, paying attention to mpox knowledge very often, occasionally or rarely, and convenient ways to acquire mpox knowledge from new media and social organizations.Conclusions:The awareness rate of mpox knowledge was low among MSM in China. Efforts should be made to improve the awareness rate of mpox knowledge among those who are young, less educated, or sexually active, with targeted health education via new media and social organizations.
6.Willingness to Pay for Antiretroviral Drugs Covered by Medical Insurance among People Living with HIV in 18 Chinese Cities.
Jingkun HU ; Houlin TANG ; Wenting KANG ; Shuyu WANG ; Jie XU ; Decai ZHAO ; Yang HAO ; Xinlun WANG ; Fan LYU ; Guang ZHANG ; Peng XU
Biomedical and Environmental Sciences 2024;37(11):1283-1293
OBJECTIVE:
Antiretroviral drugs covered by medical insurance have been gradually used by people living with human immunodeficiency virus (PLWH) in recent years in China. This study aimed to analyze their willingness to pay (WTP) for antiretroviral drugs.
METHODS:
A mixed-methods study design involving a cross-sectional survey and in-depth interviews was conducted. A cross-sectional survey was performed to collect data on the general characteristics, economic status, antiretroviral therapy (ART) status, and WTP of PLWH in 18 Chinese cities from August 2022 to February 2023. Multivariate logistic regression was used to analyze the factors associated with WTP. Representatives of PLWH were interviewed via in-depth interviews, and the data were thematically analyzed.
RESULTS:
Among the 941 PLWH, 271 (28.80%) were willing to pay for antiretroviral drugs covered by medical insurance. For basic medical insurance for urban and rural residents, PLWH with the following characteristics were more willing to pay: an educational level of senior high school or technical secondary school, having an undergraduate degree or higher, frequently working away from their hometowns, and homosexual transmission. Off-farm workers and recipients of government medical aid were more unwilling to pay. For basic medical insurance for urban employees, PLWH with the following characteristics were more willing to pay: frequently working away from their hometowns; homosexual transmission; personal annual income ≥ 100,000 CNY; and adverse events of antiretroviral drugs. The main reasons for PLWH's WTP for antiretroviral drugs covered by medical insurance were that the drugs had fewer adverse events and were easier to administer. The main reasons for PLWH's unwillingness to pay were financial difficulties and privacy concerns.
CONCLUSION
Nearly one-third of PLWH are willing to pay for antiretroviral drugs covered by medical insurance. In the future, PLWH with a high WTP can be guided to use these drugs.
Humans
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HIV Infections/economics*
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China
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Male
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Female
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Adult
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Cross-Sectional Studies
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Middle Aged
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Anti-Retroviral Agents/economics*
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Cities
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Insurance, Health/economics*
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Young Adult
7.Research on the reuse of mismatched regenerated motor axons of brachial plexus and the effect of target organs on regeneration in rats
Kunliang WANG ; Houlin AN ; Honggang WANG ; Jiantao YANG ; Canbin ZHENG ; Liwei YAN ; Jintao FANG ; Wenting HE ; Bengang QIN
Chinese Journal of Microsurgery 2023;46(6):672-680
Objective:To confirm the reuse of mismatched regenerated motor axons of brachial plexus and explore the effect of target organs on their regeneration in a rat model.Methods:This study was carried out between January 2021 and December 2021 at the research laboratory of the Department of Microsurgery, Orthopaedic Trauma and Hand Surgery, the First Affiliated Hospital of Sun Yat-sen University. Animals were randomly assigned into 2 groups, as a regeneration group (RGen) with 5 subgroups and a reuse group (RUs) with 3 subgroups. There were 6 rats per subgroup with 42 rats in total. It was observed that in the groups of RGen1-4, after the transection and suture of the musculocutaneous nerve, the motor axons of the proximal end could accurately grow into the distal corresponding endoneural tube. It was also observed that in the mismatched regenerated group, motor axons were the axons that grew into the endoneurial tube of the lateral forearm cutaneous nerve (LFCN), and other non-target organ contacts were made to the regenerated nerves after mismatch. It was specifically further divided into RGen1, the group without an organ for nerve to make contact with; RGen2, the group with skin as the target organ with nerves contact by neurorrhaphy; RGen3, the group with skin as the target organ with originally reserved natural nerve contact; RGen4, the group with muscle as the target organ with nerves contact by neurorrhaphy and RGen5, a control group. After 8 weeks, the positive area (PA), mean density (MD) and integral optical density (IOD) were measured, with AChE and ChAT fluorescence staining of the medial branch of LFCN, to evaluate the regenerated nerves after mismatch. Of the RUs group, firstly, the innervating branches of the flexor carpi radialis (FCR) were dissected and exposed, then further assigned according to initially innervated FCR (RUs1), contacted with regenerated nerves after mismatch (RUs2) and denervated (RUs3), respectively. After 8 weeks, compound muscle action potential (CMAP) and wet weight ratio of FCR were taken. Masson staining of FCR was also performed to evaluate muscle reinnervation by the regenerated nerves after mismatch. Data analysis with One-Way ANOVA and Bonferroni 0.05 indicated a statistically significant difference.Results:In the RGen groups, after AChE staining, the PA, MD and IOD of RGen3 and RGen4 were higher than that of RGen1 and RGen5, and PA of RGen4 were higher than that of RGen2, with a statistically significant difference ( P<0.05). After ChAT staining, the values of PA and IOD of RGen3 and RGen4 were higher than that of RGen1 and RGen5, and PA of RGen4 were higher than that of RGen2, with a statistically significant difference ( P<0.05). In the RUs, electrophysiological assessment showed that no CMAP was observed in RUs3, there was no significant difference in Latency of RUs1 and RUs2. The difference was statistically significant ( P<0.05). Wet weight rate of muscle of RUs1 (98.91%±3.86%) was higher than that of RUs3 (86.67%±4.68%) with a statistically significant difference ( P<0.01), but no significant difference when compared with RU2 (92.74%±3.88%). Masson staining showed that the CVF value of RUs2 (8.61%±1.16%) was significantly higher than that of RUs1 (3.17%±0.76%), and statistic significantly lower than that of RUs3 (16.44%±2.26%)( P<0.01). Conclusion:Target organ contact can promote the regenerated nerves after mismatched regeneration, and the muscle target organs exhibit greater facilitation than the cutaneous target organs. Besides, regenerated nerves after mismatch can establish effective innervation with muscle target organs, comfirming their effective reuse.
8.Research advances in HIV pre-exposure prophylaxis drug
Qizi LIU ; Xue YANG ; Peng XU ; Qianqian QIN ; Houlin TANG
Chinese Journal of Epidemiology 2022;43(12):2036-2040
In 2012, the World Health Organization (WHO) released tenofovir/emtricitabine (TDF/FTC) as pre-exposure prophylaxis drug to help people at risk of HIV infection in specific populations, and various clinical trials and real-world data have confirmed the effectiveness of TDF/FTC in preventing HIV infection. In 2019, propofol tenofovir combined with emtricitabine (TAF/FTC) was approved in the United States as the second oral drug for pre-exposure prophylaxis(PrEP). However, for people who cannot take the drug or have poor adherence to the drug, second-generation PrEP, or long-acting antiretrovirals, provide more options. This artical reviewed the research progress of the first generation of oral PrEP and the new PrEP developed in recent years to provide reference for the promotion of HIV PrEP in China.
9.Application of medical care cascade in hepatitis C prevention and treatment
Ke YANG ; Houlin TANG ; Yurong MAO
Chinese Journal of Epidemiology 2021;42(2):364-368
Medical care cascade, a population based method for tracking disease progression from diagnosis to cure, is a framework for monitoring gaps between current health service strategy and achievement of health goals. This paper summarizes the application of medical care cascade in hepatitis C prevention and treatment to facilitate the improvement in this field.
10.Cognition and related factors on the use of HIV non-occupational post-exposure prevention among men who have sex with men
Xue YANG ; Jie LI ; Bo WANG ; Jing HAN ; Hui WANG ; Bing SONG ; Jun LIU ; Liyan WANG ; Lin PANG ; Guang ZHANG ; Houlin TANG ; Tongtong LIU
Chinese Journal of Epidemiology 2021;42(10):1840-1845
Objective:To understand the cognition and related factors on the use of HIV non-occupational post-exposure prophylaxis (nPEP) among men who have sex with men (MSM).Methods:The snowballing method was applied to recruit research subjects who were ≥18 years old, had sex with men in the past three months, and were aware of nPEP in MSM groups in Beijing, Shenzhen, and Kunming from March 15 to April 14, 2019. Data on social demographics, behavioral characteristics, basic knowledge of nPEP, consultation, and using nPEP were collected through "i guardian Platform". The logistic regression model was used to analyze the related factors affecting the use of nPEP.Results:Among 1 809 investigated, 39.8% (720 persons) were aware of the basic knowledge of nPEP, 33.4% (605 persons) had consulted nPEP, and 15.0% (271 persons) had used nPEP. In addition, multivariate logistic regression analysis showed that factors as whether to have sex with men infected with HIV in the last three months ( OR=2.58, 95% CI: 1.64-4.07), the frequency of HIV testing in the past year ( OR=2.47, 95% CI: 1.28-5.11), nPEP knowledge awareness ( OR=0.70, 95% CI: 0.49-0.99), whether to consult nPEP ( OR=70.98, 95% CI: 40.51-136.83) were related to the use of nPEP. Conclusions:MSM still have poor cognition of nPEP. It is necessary to strengthen the publicity and education of nPEP in MSM and promote the use of nPEP after HIV exposure as soon as possible.


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