1.Application of the back-calculation method for estimating new HIV infections in Dehong Dai and Jingpo Autonomous Prefecture, Yunnan Province, 2010-2023
Minyang XIAO ; Yuecheng YANG ; Manhong JIA ; Houlin TANG ; Yuhua SHI ; Liru FU ; Zuyang ZHANG ; Renhai TANG ; Xiaowen WANG ; Fangfang CHEN
Chinese Journal of Epidemiology 2025;46(4):669-675
Objective:New HIV infections serve as a crucial indicator for assessing the dynamic changes in the HIV epidemic. This study aims to estimate the number of new HIV infections in Dehong Dai and Jingpo Autonomous Prefecture of Yunnan Province (Dehong), using a back-calculation method that integrates diagnosis delay approaches and Bayesian theory. Additionally, it compares the differences between these two estimation methods.Methods:Data were obtained from the Chinese Information System for Disease Control and Prevention. Based on CD4 + T lymphocytes (CD4) counts depletion model, the first CD4 count prior to antiretroviral therapy of HIV-infected individuals diagnosed in Dehong from 2010 to 2023 was utilized to retroactively determine the infection date of HIV-infected individuals and ascertain the annual number of new HIV infections who had been diagnosed. Subsequently, the diagnosis delay distribution method and Bayesian theory were leveraged to assess the diagnosis probability of newly infected individuals, thereby projecting the number of new HIV infections in the region over the specified period. Results:During 2010-2023, a total of 5 693 individuals aged 15 and above, excluding mother-to-child transmission, were diagnosed with HIV in Dehong. After excluding 364 cases due to missing CD4 count results or abnormal first CD4 counts (≥2 000 cells/μl), 5 329 HIV-infected individuals were included in the final analysis. Through CD4 counts back-calculation from 2010 to 2023, the annual number of new infections diagnosed was 479, 427, 337, 305, 256, 219, 194, 193, 131, 166, 120, 71, 42 and 47. When using the diagnosis delay distribution method and life table analysis, the cumulative diagnosis probability rose from 0.301 within one year to 0.913 within 14 years, leading to a reduction in the number of estimated new infections from 577 in 2010 to 168 in 2023, with a total estimate of 4 412 (95% CI:4 350-4 480). Alternatively, based on Bayesian theory, the diagnosis probability increased from 0.413 within one year to 0.946 within 14 years, leading to a reduction in the number of estimated new infections from 557 in 2010 to 122 in 2023, with a total of 3 814 (95% CI: 3 787-3 837). Conclusions:Both methods yielded consistent results in estimating new HIV infections in Dehong from 2010 to 2023. Given the region's ongoing expansion of HIV testing, the estimates derived from Bayesian theory may more accurately reflect the actual situation. These findings provide a reference basis for formulating and optimizing HIV/AIDS prevention and control strategies in Dehong, facilitating progress toward the goal of eliminating AIDS by 2030 in the region.
2.Research progress of the prevention, care, and treatment services along the HIV/AIDS care cascade
Hui XIANG ; Wei MA ; Fangfang CHEN ; Huan LIU ; Houlin TANG
Chinese Journal of Epidemiology 2025;46(8):1506-1512
Since the 1980 s, AIDS has been a significant global public health threat. With the "95-95-95" targets for HIV/AIDS prevention and control, the HIV/AIDS "prevention, testing, and treatment" care cascade covering the entire process has become a core strategy. The present study examines combs the connotation and development of the HIV/AIDS care cascade, exploring application throughout the entire process and at each linkage. It analyzes extension value in key populations and HIV co-infected other infectious diseases, identifies obstacles in practice, and proposes strategies to help optimize, innovate, and precisely target HIV/AIDS prevention and control in China.
3.Application of the back-calculation method for estimating new HIV infections in Dehong Dai and Jingpo Autonomous Prefecture, Yunnan Province, 2010-2023
Minyang XIAO ; Yuecheng YANG ; Manhong JIA ; Houlin TANG ; Yuhua SHI ; Liru FU ; Zuyang ZHANG ; Renhai TANG ; Xiaowen WANG ; Fangfang CHEN
Chinese Journal of Epidemiology 2025;46(4):669-675
Objective:New HIV infections serve as a crucial indicator for assessing the dynamic changes in the HIV epidemic. This study aims to estimate the number of new HIV infections in Dehong Dai and Jingpo Autonomous Prefecture of Yunnan Province (Dehong), using a back-calculation method that integrates diagnosis delay approaches and Bayesian theory. Additionally, it compares the differences between these two estimation methods.Methods:Data were obtained from the Chinese Information System for Disease Control and Prevention. Based on CD4 + T lymphocytes (CD4) counts depletion model, the first CD4 count prior to antiretroviral therapy of HIV-infected individuals diagnosed in Dehong from 2010 to 2023 was utilized to retroactively determine the infection date of HIV-infected individuals and ascertain the annual number of new HIV infections who had been diagnosed. Subsequently, the diagnosis delay distribution method and Bayesian theory were leveraged to assess the diagnosis probability of newly infected individuals, thereby projecting the number of new HIV infections in the region over the specified period. Results:During 2010-2023, a total of 5 693 individuals aged 15 and above, excluding mother-to-child transmission, were diagnosed with HIV in Dehong. After excluding 364 cases due to missing CD4 count results or abnormal first CD4 counts (≥2 000 cells/μl), 5 329 HIV-infected individuals were included in the final analysis. Through CD4 counts back-calculation from 2010 to 2023, the annual number of new infections diagnosed was 479, 427, 337, 305, 256, 219, 194, 193, 131, 166, 120, 71, 42 and 47. When using the diagnosis delay distribution method and life table analysis, the cumulative diagnosis probability rose from 0.301 within one year to 0.913 within 14 years, leading to a reduction in the number of estimated new infections from 577 in 2010 to 168 in 2023, with a total estimate of 4 412 (95% CI:4 350-4 480). Alternatively, based on Bayesian theory, the diagnosis probability increased from 0.413 within one year to 0.946 within 14 years, leading to a reduction in the number of estimated new infections from 557 in 2010 to 122 in 2023, with a total of 3 814 (95% CI: 3 787-3 837). Conclusions:Both methods yielded consistent results in estimating new HIV infections in Dehong from 2010 to 2023. Given the region's ongoing expansion of HIV testing, the estimates derived from Bayesian theory may more accurately reflect the actual situation. These findings provide a reference basis for formulating and optimizing HIV/AIDS prevention and control strategies in Dehong, facilitating progress toward the goal of eliminating AIDS by 2030 in the region.
4.Research progress of the prevention, care, and treatment services along the HIV/AIDS care cascade
Hui XIANG ; Wei MA ; Fangfang CHEN ; Huan LIU ; Houlin TANG
Chinese Journal of Epidemiology 2025;46(8):1506-1512
Since the 1980 s, AIDS has been a significant global public health threat. With the "95-95-95" targets for HIV/AIDS prevention and control, the HIV/AIDS "prevention, testing, and treatment" care cascade covering the entire process has become a core strategy. The present study examines combs the connotation and development of the HIV/AIDS care cascade, exploring application throughout the entire process and at each linkage. It analyzes extension value in key populations and HIV co-infected other infectious diseases, identifies obstacles in practice, and proposes strategies to help optimize, innovate, and precisely target HIV/AIDS prevention and control in China.
5.Willingness to Pay for Antiretroviral Drugs Covered by Medical Insurance among People Living with HIV in 18 Chinese Cities.
Jingkun HU ; Houlin TANG ; Wenting KANG ; Shuyu WANG ; Jie XU ; Decai ZHAO ; Yang HAO ; Xinlun WANG ; Fan LYU ; Guang ZHANG ; Peng XU
Biomedical and Environmental Sciences 2024;37(11):1283-1293
OBJECTIVE:
Antiretroviral drugs covered by medical insurance have been gradually used by people living with human immunodeficiency virus (PLWH) in recent years in China. This study aimed to analyze their willingness to pay (WTP) for antiretroviral drugs.
METHODS:
A mixed-methods study design involving a cross-sectional survey and in-depth interviews was conducted. A cross-sectional survey was performed to collect data on the general characteristics, economic status, antiretroviral therapy (ART) status, and WTP of PLWH in 18 Chinese cities from August 2022 to February 2023. Multivariate logistic regression was used to analyze the factors associated with WTP. Representatives of PLWH were interviewed via in-depth interviews, and the data were thematically analyzed.
RESULTS:
Among the 941 PLWH, 271 (28.80%) were willing to pay for antiretroviral drugs covered by medical insurance. For basic medical insurance for urban and rural residents, PLWH with the following characteristics were more willing to pay: an educational level of senior high school or technical secondary school, having an undergraduate degree or higher, frequently working away from their hometowns, and homosexual transmission. Off-farm workers and recipients of government medical aid were more unwilling to pay. For basic medical insurance for urban employees, PLWH with the following characteristics were more willing to pay: frequently working away from their hometowns; homosexual transmission; personal annual income ≥ 100,000 CNY; and adverse events of antiretroviral drugs. The main reasons for PLWH's WTP for antiretroviral drugs covered by medical insurance were that the drugs had fewer adverse events and were easier to administer. The main reasons for PLWH's unwillingness to pay were financial difficulties and privacy concerns.
CONCLUSION
Nearly one-third of PLWH are willing to pay for antiretroviral drugs covered by medical insurance. In the future, PLWH with a high WTP can be guided to use these drugs.
Humans
;
HIV Infections/economics*
;
China
;
Male
;
Female
;
Adult
;
Cross-Sectional Studies
;
Middle Aged
;
Anti-Retroviral Agents/economics*
;
Cities
;
Insurance, Health/economics*
;
Young Adult
6.Key Components of Fishy Smell of Eupolyphaga Steleophaga by Head Space-Solid Phase Microextraction-GC-MS and Odor Activity Value
Hongyan MA ; Hong FAN ; Qian LIU ; Xue LI ; Hui YE ; Dingkun ZHANG ; Yongmei GUAN ; Ming YANG ; Houlin XIA
Chinese Journal of Modern Applied Pharmacy 2024;41(1):88-96
To determine the main components of the fishy smell of the Eupolyphaga Steleophaga, and to provide a theoretical basis for deodorizing the Eupolyphaga Steleophaga.
METHODS
Head space-solid phase microextraction-gas chromatography-mass spectrometry was used to identify the components of 10 batches of Eupolyphaga Steleophaga, and area normalization method and chemometrics method were used to analyze the smelly gas of different batches. Odor activity value(OAV) was used to evaluate the contribution of odor components and identify key odor components.
RESULTS
A total of 87 volatile odor components were identified, the key fishy smell compounds(OAV≥1) were m-methylphenol, dimethyltrisulfide, 4-methylphenol, 2-methyliso-borneol, 2-etzol, 4-methylvaleric acid, iso-valeric acid, etc. Modified fishy gas composition(0.1
7.Survey on monkeypox knowledge awareness, risk perception and vaccination intention in men who have sex with men in five cities in northeast China
Lingling LI ; Mengjie HAN ; Fan LYU ; Houlin TANG ; Jie YANG ; Wei ZHANG ; Jinrui ZHANG ; Caidong SUN ; Yanjiao CUI ; Yang ZHENG ; Fangfang CHEN
Chinese Journal of Epidemiology 2024;45(1):128-133
Objective:To understand the monkeypox knowledge awareness, risk perception and vaccination intention in men who have sex with men (MSM) in five cities in northeast China.Methods:A cross-sectional study was conducted by using electronic questionnaire in MSM selected by convenience sampling in five cities in northeast China (Shenyang, Panjin, Changchun, Harbin and Jiamusi) from June 28 to July 8, 2023 by local centers for disease control and prevention and MSM communities. The sample size was estimated to be 220. Information about their demographics, monkeypox-related knowledge awareness, perceived concern about epidemic risk perception, and monkeypox vaccination intention were collected. Logistic regression model was used to analyze related factors for MSM's monkeypox vaccination intention.Results:In 355 MSM, 63.9% (227/355) had monkeypox vaccination intentions, and 55.5% (197/355) had high awareness of monkeypox related knowledge with a mean knowledge awareness score of 3.7±1.5. MSM with education level of high-school and above (a OR=1.93, 95% CI:1.01-3.69), higher knowledge awareness score (a OR=1.19, 95% CI:1.02-1.40) and higher risk perception of monkeypox infection (a OR=1.82, 95% CI:1.15-2.88), were more willing to receive monkeypox vaccination. The main reasons for willingness to receive monkeypox vaccine were preventing monkeypox (86.3%, 196/227) and worrying about appearance being affected (62.1%, 141/227). The main reasons for unwillingness for the vaccination included concerns about vaccine safety (53.1%, 68/128), clinical progression of AIDS being affected (46.1%, 59/128) and efficacy of antiretroviral therapy being affected (44.5%, 57/128). Conclusions:The levels of knowledge awareness and vaccine intentions still need to be improved among MSM in five cities of northeast China. It is necessary to improve the awareness of monkeypox and intention of monkeypox vaccination, promote protected sex behavior and self-assessment of infection risk, reduce vaccine hesitancy and increase monkeypox vaccination intention in MSM in 5 cities in northeast China.
8.Progress on influencing factors of late diagnosis in HIV-infected patients
Mingyue GUAN ; Daianji LIU ; Fangfang CHEN ; Wei GUO ; Houlin TANG
Chinese Journal of Epidemiology 2024;45(2):313-318
At present, the late diagnosis of HIV-infected patients is not optimistic, which has a significant impact on the efficacy, cost, and prognosis of HIV antiretroviral therapy and HIV transmission. Late diagnosis is an important indicator for evaluating HIV testing. This article reviews the influencing factors of late diagnosis of HIV-infected patients and provides a reference for formulating and improving HIV testing strategies and measures in China.
9.Survey on the awareness rate of mpox knowledge and related factors among men who have sex with men in China
Huaijin CHEN ; Houlin TANG ; Peilong LI ; Jie XU ; Wei LUO ; Jie YANG ; Maohe YU ; Fan LYU
Chinese Journal of Epidemiology 2024;45(4):559-565
Objective:To understand the awareness rate of mpox knowledge and related factors among men who have sex with men (MSM) in China.Methods:The survey was conducted among men aged ≥18 years who had sex with men in the past year, using the convenience sampling method. The estimated sample size was 4 312. With the assistance of social organizations of MSM in 30 provinces in China, an online questionnaire survey was conducted using anonymous self-designed questionnaires powered by www.wjx.cn during 10-14 August 2023 to collect information on socio-demographic characteristics, awareness of mpox knowledge, travel history, and sexual behaviors of the respondents. The software SAS 9.4 was used for statistical analysis.Results:There were 7 725 respondents, and the age of the respondents was (31.6±9.0) years. The results revealed that the awareness rate of mpox knowledge was 50.1% (3 872/7 725). The main routes to acquire mpox knowledge were mainly new media, including WeChat, Weibo, TikTok, and Blued social software (88.4%,6 827/7 725), while official media report was the most trusted way to acquire related knowledge (79.3%,6 129/7 725). Multivariate logistic regression analysis revealed that the factors indicated a higher awareness rate of mpox knowledge, including living in the western region or the eastern region, people were over 26 years old in early adulthood and midlife, college-educated or with higher degrees, living in towns or urban periphery, being in homosexual or in bisexual relationships, 1-5 homosexual times/months in the past 3 months, knowing their HIV infection status, paying attention to mpox knowledge very often, occasionally or rarely, and convenient ways to acquire mpox knowledge from new media and social organizations.Conclusions:The awareness rate of mpox knowledge was low among MSM in China. Efforts should be made to improve the awareness rate of mpox knowledge among those who are young, less educated, or sexually active, with targeted health education via new media and social organizations.
10.Progress in research of tracing contacts exposed to high risk behaviors of HIV-infected patients
Huan LIU ; Yichen JIN ; Houlin TANG
Chinese Journal of Epidemiology 2024;45(5):755-760
Tracing the contacts exposed to high risk behaviors of HIV-infected patients can facilitate the diagnosis and discovery of HIV positive individuals for timely treatment and intervention to reduce secondary transmission, which is of great importance for the control of AIDS epidemic. With the development of HIV gene sequence detection and analysis technology, the application of HIV molecular transmission network in traditional contact tracing based on epidemiological investigation can contribute to the accurate reveal of HIV transmission mode, clarification of HIV transmission characteristics and identification of the population at high risk for HIV infection to provide evidence-based insights for the accurate prevention and control of AIDS. This paper summarized the progress in the research of tracing the contacts exposed to high risk behaviors of HIV-infected patients to provide reference for the AIDS prevention and control in the future.


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