1.A systematic review of application value of machine learning to prognostic prediction models for patients with lumbar disc herniation
Zhipeng WANG ; Xiaogang ZHANG ; Hongwei ZHANG ; Xiyun ZHAO ; Yuanzhen LI ; Chenglong GUO ; Daping QIN ; Zhen REN
Chinese Journal of Tissue Engineering Research 2026;30(3):740-748
OBJECTIVE:Based on different algorithms of machine learning,the prediction model of lumbar disc herniation has become a trend and hot spot in the development of precision medicine.However,there is limited evidence on the reporting quality and methodological quality of prediction models of lumbar disc herniation outcomes using machine learning.This article is aimed to explore the performance of machine learning algorithms in predicting the prognosis of lumbar disc herniation by comprehensively analyzing the report quality and risk of bias of previous studies that developed and validated prognosis prediction models based on machine learning through a comprehensive literature search,in order to explore the performance of machine learning algorithms in predicting the prognosis of lumbar disc herniation.METHODS:The databases of CNKI,WanFang,VIP,SinOMED,PubMed,Web of Science,Embase,and The Cochrane Library were searched by computer.Studies on the use of machine learning to develop(and/or validate)prognostic prediction models for lumbar disc herniation were collected from the inception of the database to December 31,2023.Two researchers independently screened the literature,extracted data,and assessed the risk of bias of the included studies.The reporting quality and risk of bias of the included studies were assessed by the Multivariable Transparent Reporting of Predictive Models(TRIPOD)statement and the Predictive Model Risk of Bias Assessment Tool(PROBAST).The results of the evaluation were analyzed using descriptive statistics and visual charts.RESULTS:(1)A total of 23 articles were included,and the TRIPOD compliance of each study ranged from 11%to 87%,with a median compliance of 54%.The quality of reporting of titles,detailed descriptions of treatment measures,blinding of predictors,handling of missing data,details of risk stratification,specific procedures for enrollment,model interpretation,and model performance was mostly poor,with TRIPOD adherence rates ranging from 4%to 35%.(2)Of all included studies,61%had a high risk of bias and 39%had an unclear overall risk of bias.The area under the curve,accuracy,sensitivity and specificity were used to evaluate the performance of the model.The areas under the curve of 20 models were reported,ranging from 0.561 to 0.999.Three models reported the accuracy of the model,ranging from 82.07%to 89.65%.(3)Among all included studies,the statistical analysis domain was most often assessed as having a high risk of bias,mainly due to the small number of valid samples,the selection of predictors based on univariate analysis and the lack of calibration and discrimination assessment of the model in the study.CONCLUSION:These results indicate that machine learning can achieve good predictive ability in the development and validation of prognostic models for lumbar disc herniation.The commonly used algorithms include regression algorithm,support vector machine,decision tree,random forest,artificial neural network,naive Bayes and other algorithms.Reasonable algorithms combined with clinical practice can improve the accuracy of prognosis prediction of lumbar disc herniation.However,the reporting and methodological quality of prognosis prediction models based on machine learning are poor,the prediction performance of different models varies greatly,and the generalization and extrapolation of research models are unclear.There is an urgent need to improve the design,implementation and reporting of such studies.To promote the application of machine learning in the clinical practice of lumbar disc herniation prediction models,it is necessary to comprehensively consider various predictors related to the prognosis of the disease before modeling,and strictly follow the relevant standards of PROBAST tool during modeling.
2.Research progress on the regulation of JNK signaling pathway by traditional Chinese medicine for intervention in central nervous system diseases
Hongwei WANG ; Mingliang QIAO ; Chenyi ZHAO ; Pei ZHU ; Zilong WEI ; Yi MENG
China Pharmacy 2026;37(2):257-262
The c-Jun N-terminal kinase (JNK) signaling pathway, a key member of the mitogen-activated protein kinase (MAPK) family, plays a central role in the pathogenesis and progression of central nervous system (CNS) diseases by regulating core biological processes such as apoptosis, inflammatory responses, synaptic plasticity, and autophagy. This article sorts out and analyzes relevant literature published domestically and internationally in recent years, summarizing the mechanisms of action of the JNK signaling pathway in common CNS diseases and the research progress in traditional Chinese medicine (TCM) interventions in CNS diseases through the regulation of the JNK signaling pathway. Studies have shown that active components of TCM, such as berberine, paeoniflorin, and astragaloside Ⅳ, as well as compound formulations like Heixiaoyao san, Ditan tang, and Buyang huanwu tang, can exert neuroprotective effects in various CNS disorders, including Alzheimer’s disease, Parkinson’s disease, cerebral ischemia-reperfusion injury, and epilepsy, by inhibiting the aberrant activation of the JNK signaling pathway, thereby alleviating neuroinflammation, oxidative stress, and neuronal apoptosis, while improving synaptic function and cognitive behavioral deficits, regulating autophagy, and maintaining blood-brain barrier integrity.
3.A systematic review of application value of machine learning to prognostic prediction models for patients with lumbar disc herniation
Zhipeng WANG ; Xiaogang ZHANG ; Hongwei ZHANG ; Xiyun ZHAO ; Yuanzhen LI ; Chenglong GUO ; Daping QIN ; Zhen REN
Chinese Journal of Tissue Engineering Research 2026;30(3):740-748
OBJECTIVE:Based on different algorithms of machine learning,the prediction model of lumbar disc herniation has become a trend and hot spot in the development of precision medicine.However,there is limited evidence on the reporting quality and methodological quality of prediction models of lumbar disc herniation outcomes using machine learning.This article is aimed to explore the performance of machine learning algorithms in predicting the prognosis of lumbar disc herniation by comprehensively analyzing the report quality and risk of bias of previous studies that developed and validated prognosis prediction models based on machine learning through a comprehensive literature search,in order to explore the performance of machine learning algorithms in predicting the prognosis of lumbar disc herniation.METHODS:The databases of CNKI,WanFang,VIP,SinOMED,PubMed,Web of Science,Embase,and The Cochrane Library were searched by computer.Studies on the use of machine learning to develop(and/or validate)prognostic prediction models for lumbar disc herniation were collected from the inception of the database to December 31,2023.Two researchers independently screened the literature,extracted data,and assessed the risk of bias of the included studies.The reporting quality and risk of bias of the included studies were assessed by the Multivariable Transparent Reporting of Predictive Models(TRIPOD)statement and the Predictive Model Risk of Bias Assessment Tool(PROBAST).The results of the evaluation were analyzed using descriptive statistics and visual charts.RESULTS:(1)A total of 23 articles were included,and the TRIPOD compliance of each study ranged from 11%to 87%,with a median compliance of 54%.The quality of reporting of titles,detailed descriptions of treatment measures,blinding of predictors,handling of missing data,details of risk stratification,specific procedures for enrollment,model interpretation,and model performance was mostly poor,with TRIPOD adherence rates ranging from 4%to 35%.(2)Of all included studies,61%had a high risk of bias and 39%had an unclear overall risk of bias.The area under the curve,accuracy,sensitivity and specificity were used to evaluate the performance of the model.The areas under the curve of 20 models were reported,ranging from 0.561 to 0.999.Three models reported the accuracy of the model,ranging from 82.07%to 89.65%.(3)Among all included studies,the statistical analysis domain was most often assessed as having a high risk of bias,mainly due to the small number of valid samples,the selection of predictors based on univariate analysis and the lack of calibration and discrimination assessment of the model in the study.CONCLUSION:These results indicate that machine learning can achieve good predictive ability in the development and validation of prognostic models for lumbar disc herniation.The commonly used algorithms include regression algorithm,support vector machine,decision tree,random forest,artificial neural network,naive Bayes and other algorithms.Reasonable algorithms combined with clinical practice can improve the accuracy of prognosis prediction of lumbar disc herniation.However,the reporting and methodological quality of prognosis prediction models based on machine learning are poor,the prediction performance of different models varies greatly,and the generalization and extrapolation of research models are unclear.There is an urgent need to improve the design,implementation and reporting of such studies.To promote the application of machine learning in the clinical practice of lumbar disc herniation prediction models,it is necessary to comprehensively consider various predictors related to the prognosis of the disease before modeling,and strictly follow the relevant standards of PROBAST tool during modeling.
4.Research progress of Qifu yin in the treatment of Alzheimer’s disease with marrow-sea insufficiency syndrome
Zilong WEI ; Chenyi ZHAO ; Mingliang QIAO ; Hongwei WANG ; Pei ZHU ; Yi MENG
China Pharmacy 2026;37(10):1376-1380
Alzheimer’s disease (AD) is an age-related neurodegenerative disorder. Marrow-sea insufficiency serves as the fundamental basis for the onset of AD. Early syndrome differentiation-based intervention helps to delay disease progression, and improve patients’ cognitive function. Qifu yin is a representative specialized prescription for AD with marrow-sea insufficiency syndrome. Studies demonstrate that Qifu yin exerts neuroprotective effects through multiple pathways, including inhibiting the abnormal deposition of amyloid β -protein and hyperphosphorylation of tau protein, alleviating neuroinflammation, regulating oxidative stress and mitochondrial dysfunction, modulating the cholinergic system, and improving synaptic plasticity. Qifu yin combined with Western medicine such as donepezil, memantine, and butylphthalide, or combined with external therapies such as acupuncture, can effectively improve cognitive function and activities of daily living in AD patients with favorable safety. Future research should focus on the core pathogenesis and key targets of AD with marrow-sea insufficiency syndrome, provide in-depth elucidation of the scientific connotation of Qifu yin’s “tonifying the kidney to produce marrow”, and further conduct high-quality clinical studies to provide scientific evidence for the prevention and treatment of AD with marrow-sea insufficiency syndrome.
5.Pathogen spectrum of diarrheal disease surveillance in Fengxian District, Shanghai, 2013‒2023
Meihua LIU ; Yuan ZHUANG ; Xiaohong XIE ; Hongwei ZHAO ; Yuan SHI ; Lijuan DING ; Yi HU ; Lixin TAO
Shanghai Journal of Preventive Medicine 2025;37(4):336-341
ObjectiveTo investigate the pathogenic spectrum and epidemiological characteristics of diarrheal disease in Fengxian District of Shanghai, and to provide scientific basis for the prevention and control of diarrheal diseases. MethodsBasic information of the initial adult cases visited diarrheal disease surveillance sentinel hospital in Fengxian District, Shanghai, was collected from August 2013 to 2023, and fecal samples were collected at 1∶5 sampling intervals to isolate and identify 5 kinds of diarrheagenic Escherichia coli (DEC), Salmonella (SAL), Vibrio parahaemolyticus, Campylobacter, Vibrio cholerae, Shigella and Yersinia enterocolitica (YE). Simultaneously, nucleic acid detection was performed for 3 kinds of rotavirus, 2 kinds of norovirus, intestinal adenovirus, astrovirus and sapovirus. ResultsA total of 1 861 cases of newly diagnosed diarrheal disease were reported, with the peak in July to August. Additionally, 704 surveillance samples were detected, with a total positive detection rate of 50.57%. The detection rates of bacterial, viral and mixed infection were 25.14%, 21.02% and 4.40%, respectively. Among the pathogens detected, DEC accounted for the highest (17.61%, 124/704), followed by norovirus (16.48%, 116/704), rotavirus (6.39%, 45/704), SAL (5.97%, 42/704) and Campylobacter (3.84%, 27/704). DEC detected were mainly enteroaggregative Escherichia coli and enterotoxigenic Escherichia coli, with no detection of Vibrio cholerae, Shigella and YE. The highest total pathogen detection rate was observed from June to September, and the detection peaks of norovirus were from March to June and from October to December, whereas that of DEC was from June to October. The detection rate of rotavirus peaked from January to February, but which was not detected between 2020‒2023. The SAL positive rate peak was in September, whereas that of Campylobacter was from July to September. ConclusionThe main pathogens detected in Fengxian District from 2013‒2019 are DEC, norovirus, rotavirus, SAL and Campylobacter. Different pathogens have different detection peaks, with bacteria predominating in summer and viruses in winter and spring. Prevention and control measures should be carried out according to the epidemiological characteristics of different seasons.
6.Establishment and assessment of deep vein thrombosis model in rats in a plateau hypoxic environment
Xiaobo HAN ; Yahao CHAI ; Jiawei GAO ; Xinkai DENG ; Xiao LI ; Jialin WU ; Xiaoli HAN ; Guoxiang LI ; Yinjie ZHAO ; Xi YANG ; Qi AO ; Lei ZHANG ; Hongwei HAN ; Zhixue LIU
Acta Laboratorium Animalis Scientia Sinica 2025;33(8):1133-1143
Objective To establish a rat model of venous thrombosis in a plateau hypobaric hypoxic environment and to investigate the effect of this environment on venous thrombosis.Methods A total of 144 healthy male SD rats were assigned randomly to four groups(n=36 rats per group):a plains sham operation(A)group,plains operation(B)group,plateau altitude 6000 m+sham operation(C)group,and plateau altitude 6000 m+surgery(D)group.Rats in A and B groups were maintained in a plains normoxic environment,while rats in C and D groups C and D were subjected to a plateau environment.Rats in the surgical groups underwent quantitative constriction to incompletely obstruct the inferior vena cava blood flow.Each group was further divided into subgroups based on time:1,3,5,7,14,and 21 d(n=6 rats per group).Regular vascular ultrasound monitoring was conducted,and blood samples were taken for whole blood viscosity testing and the assessment of inflammatory indicators,including endothelin-1(ET-1),interleukin-6(IL-6)and tissue factor(TF).Coagulation function was evaluated through the activated partial thromboplastin time(APTT),prothrombin time(PT),thrombin time(TT),fibrinogen(FIB)and D-dimer.After the observation period,the experimental animals were sacrificed and the limbs were removed.Thrombus samples were stained with hematoxylin/eosin(HE),and the thrombus wet mass was measured.Results The thrombosis incidence was significantly higher in the plateau D group than in B group,accompanied by a marked increase in blood viscosity and hematocrit(P<0.01).Additionally,levels of ET-1,IL-6,and TF were significantly elevated(P<0.05),indicating a coagulation disorder.Conclusions A plateau hypoxic environment model can be successfully simulated by quantitative coarctation of the inferior vena cava,combined with a specialized environmental chamber.The findings of this study suggest that a plateau hypoxic environment promotes venous thrombosis.
7.Assessment of faults and abnormalities of machine signs of non-invasive ventilator for COPD pulmonary rehabilitation based on deep learning
Bo ZHAO ; Xiaomei HAN ; Hongwei FENG
China Medical Equipment 2025;22(6):39-44
Objective:To propose an alarm method for ventilator fault and abnormality of machine signs based on convolutional neural network(CNN)model,which aimed at the problem of low detection rate of ventilator faults and abnormalities of machine sign,and to analyze its application value in patients with chronic obstructive pulmonary disease(COPD)in using non-invasive ventilator.Methods:This study established a identification model(CNN-SG)for ventilator fault based on stochastic gradient descent by mini-batch method that was introduced by CNN network,and a multi-task CNN identification model for abnormalities of machine signs of ventilator was established on the basis of CNN model.The respiratory waveform data of 60 patients with chronic obstructive pulmonary disease(COPD)who admitted to Wusong Hospital,Zhongshan Hospital Affiliated to Fudan University from January 2019 to January 2024 were collected.These data were divided into train set(42 cases)and validation set(18 cases)as ratio of 7 to 3.The training set was used in the learning process of model,while the validation set was used to assess the model's performance for unknown data.One-hot encoding was used to represent fault states,and to predict whether occurred abnormal data failures within specific time intervals.Two independent convolutional networks were employed respectively to detect and identify invalid inspiratory effort and double-triggering abnormalities in abnormal machine signs.Model performance was assessed by using accuracy,precision,recall rate,negative predictive value(NPV),and specificity.Chi-square test was used to compare the differences of various assessment indicators between different models.The F1-score was calculated to comprehensively assess the performance of model.Results:In the validation set,the accuracy(99.98%),precision(99.90%),recall rate(99.97%),NPV(98.68%),and specificity(98.24%)of CNN-SG model were higher than those of CNN model in identify the fault of ventilator.In detecting invalid inspiratory effort,the accuracy,sensitivity,specificity and F1-scores of CNN-MTL model were respectively 98.83%,98.81%,97.68%and 98.85.The accuracy,sensitivity,specificity and F1-scores of CNN-MTL model were respectively 98.70%,98.83%,97.62%,and 98.75 in identifying double-triggering positive features,as well as 98.80%,98.81%,98.88%and 98.99 for double-triggering negative features.All of the above indicators of CNN-SG were significantly better than those of the conventional CNN model.Conclusion:The established deep learning algorithm model based on CNN can effectively identify faults and abnormalities of machine signs of non-invasive ventilator.
8.A nomogram model based on clinical characteristics and immune indicators for predicting TKI treatment outcomes in CML patients
Huan WANG ; Xi CHEN ; Xiaolong LI ; Li SHEN ; Hongtao LIU ; Biwei WANG ; Hongwei ZHAO
Journal of China Medical University 2025;54(8):746-753
Objective To explore a nomogram model based on clinical characteristics and immune indicators for predicting the efficacy of tyrosine kinase inhibitor(TKI)against chronic myeloid leukemia(CML).Methods Clinical data was retrospectively collected from 100 patients with CML treated with TKI between January 2021 and January 2023 in Tangshan Gongren Hospital.Patients were divided into the best response and warning/treatment failure groups according to therapeutic efficacy.Factors affecting therapeutic efficacy were analyzed using logistic regression analysis,and a nomogram model was constructed.Results The best response and warning/treatment failure groups showed significant differences in red blood cell distribution width(RDW),platelet count(PLT),ELTS score,Th 1/CD4+,Treg/CD4+ratio,white blood cell count,and absolute value of natural killer cells(P<0.05).Logistic regression confirmed that the above indicators were influencing factors(P<0.05),indicating that the model was meaningful,and had a high goodness of fit as well as high predictive value.Conclusion The nomogram model constructed based on RDW,PLT,and other factors can effectively predict the thera-peutic efficacy of AKI in treating CML.
9.Trajectories and influencing factors of care dependency in patients after percutaneous coronary intervention
Dong ZHAO ; Yahong CHEN ; Xiao CUI ; Hongwei ZHANG
Chinese Journal of Modern Nursing 2025;31(27):3721-3727
Objective:To explore the developmental trajectories of care dependency in patients after percutaneous coronary intervention (PCI) and to identify its influencing factors.Methods:A convenience sampling method was used to recruit patients who underwent PCI at China-Japan Friendship Hospital of Jilin University from August 2023 to July 2024. The Chinese version of the Care Dependency Scale was administered at 1 week, 1 month, 3 months, and 6 months postoperatively. A latent growth mixture model was employed to identify trajectories of care dependency. Logistic regression analysis was used to examine the influencing factors.Results:A total of 397 questionnaires were distributed, and 389 valid questionnaires were returned, with a response rate of 97.98% (389/397). Three distinct trajectories of care dependency were identified among the 389 patients: stable low dependency, recovering high dependency, and persistent high dependency. Age, cardiac function classification, number of comorbidities, frailty, self-efficacy, and utilization of chronic disease resources were significantly associated with different trajectory classes ( P<0.05) . Conclusions:Care dependency after PCI exhibits heterogeneity in its developmental trajectories. Patients in the persistent high-dependency group represent a high-risk subgroup requiring special attention. Nursing staff should enhance their ability to recognize trajectory patterns and implement precise interventions based on trajectory type and influencing factors.
10.From"insufficiency of ZhiYi"to anxiety onset:a preliminary construction of the emotion-pathogenesis hypothesis based on body-spirit integration theory
Mingzhou GAO ; Minghui HU ; Hongwei DONG ; You LI ; Yue ZHAO ; Xinyu WANG ; Zifa LI ; Xiwen GENG ; Sheng WEI ; Hao ZHANG
Acta Laboratorium Animalis Scientia Sinica 2025;33(9):1320-1328
Anxiety is a major emotional disorder manifested in the individual's expectation of future threats.The incidence rate of anxiety is about 7.3%,with the highest lifetime prevalence rate among mental health conditions.The mechanism of anxiety overlaps with depression,and anxiety is a typical symptom of various mental diseases or emotional disorders in traditional Chinese medicine.The high rates of comorbidity and disability pose serious threats to people's health.Animal models are important tools for studying anxiety and are of great use for deciphering the pathogenesis of anxiety and for developing drugs.The traditional paradigm of stress-induced anxiety,however,is relatively limited.Based on traditional theory combined with clinical and animal experimental data,we propose a new hypothesis of"insufficiency of ZhiYi'causing anxiety,defined as"an anxiety state induced by the inability of an individual to meet their own needs,limited or lacking after multiple attempts,rendered hindered and powerless by an inability to meet their desires".This hypothesis is more in line with the typical manifestations of despair,lack of pleasure,and social withdrawal in clinical patients,and is supported by traditional theory and experimental data showing"hunger but unable to eat,food but unable to obtain,and gain but not full".Based on this,the established modeling paradigm is easy to apply,with good repeatability and low cost,and can be used to establish anxiety models in rats and mice,to provide a theoretical and model basis for the development and pharmacological evaluation of anti-anxiety drugs.

Result Analysis
Print
Save
E-mail