1.Feasibility study of a domestic fully automated NAT system for blood screening in blood donors
Fenglan YAO ; Rui WANG ; Jinghui HU ; Hongwei GE ; Chan LENG ; Yi ZHA ; Zifu ZHAO ; Zhengmin LIU
Chinese Journal of Blood Transfusion 2025;38(7):941-949
Objective: To validate the analytical performance, operational performance, and process control measures of a domestic fully automatic nucleic acid testing (NAT) system, thereby ensuring an efficient and orderly blood screening workflow. Methods: The concordance rate and sensitivity of WanTag-Vortex Plus system were verified using WHO standard reference panels of HIV-1, HCV and HBV, while precision was assessed using weak positive samples of HIV-1, HCV and HBV. As for its operational performance evaluation, cross-contamination resistance was assessed using strong positive samples, and throughput and stress testing were conducted using negative samples. Reagent stability was verified using weak positive samples, and inter-system performance consistency was assessed using verification panels. In addition, the process control measures were verified using the laboratory quality control demand scale. Results: 1) Verification of concordance rate: The detection results of negative and positive samples of HIV-1, HCV and HBV by WanTag-Vortex Plus system were all consistent with expectations, and the concordance rate was 100%. 2) Precision verification: the repeatability and intermediate precision were extremely high, and the coefficient of variation was less than 5%. 3) Verification of analytical sensitivity: The detection limit of 95% for standard strains of HIV-1, HCV and HBV by WanTag-Vortex Plus system in our laboratory was consistent with the analytical sensitivity provided by reagent manufacturers. 4) Verification of cross-contamination resistance: Five strong positive samples and 87 negative samples were placed according to the actual working conditions and equipment operation design, and the test results were consistent with expectations, with no cross-contamination in the testing system. 5) Throughput and stress testing: Each system completed the individual donor-nucleic acid amplification testing (ID-NAT) of 276 samples in three batches within 12 hours, and successfully completed the ID-NAT test of 828 samples in three consecutive days. 6) Verification of reagent stability: After extreme storage (unsealed storage for 1 week with 4 freeze-thaw cycles), the reagents maintained 100% detection rate in the weak positive samples of HIV-1, HCV, and HBV, showing no significant differences from the control group (Kappa=1). 7) Verification of inter-system performance consistency: The system has stable operation performance, and the performance comparison results across the four devices were consistent (Kappa=1). 8) Process control measures: WanTag-Vortex Plus system software accurately controlled the equipment operation process with strict quality control measures, and correctly interpreted and safely reported the test results. Conclusion: The analytical and operational performance of the WanTag-Vortex Plus system complies with manufacturer design standards and essential laboratory workflow requirements. Integrated with laboratory information system (LIS), the system's control software meets standard process control requirements, yet requires further improvement.
2.Feasibility study of a domestic fully automated NAT system for blood screening in blood donors
Fenglan YAO ; Rui WANG ; Jinghui HU ; Hongwei GE ; Chan LENG ; Yi ZHA ; Zifu ZHAO ; Zhengmin LIU
Chinese Journal of Blood Transfusion 2025;38(7):941-949
Objective: To validate the analytical performance, operational performance, and process control measures of a domestic fully automatic nucleic acid testing (NAT) system, thereby ensuring an efficient and orderly blood screening workflow. Methods: The concordance rate and sensitivity of WanTag-Vortex Plus system were verified using WHO standard reference panels of HIV-1, HCV and HBV, while precision was assessed using weak positive samples of HIV-1, HCV and HBV. As for its operational performance evaluation, cross-contamination resistance was assessed using strong positive samples, and throughput and stress testing were conducted using negative samples. Reagent stability was verified using weak positive samples, and inter-system performance consistency was assessed using verification panels. In addition, the process control measures were verified using the laboratory quality control demand scale. Results: 1) Verification of concordance rate: The detection results of negative and positive samples of HIV-1, HCV and HBV by WanTag-Vortex Plus system were all consistent with expectations, and the concordance rate was 100%. 2) Precision verification: the repeatability and intermediate precision were extremely high, and the coefficient of variation was less than 5%. 3) Verification of analytical sensitivity: The detection limit of 95% for standard strains of HIV-1, HCV and HBV by WanTag-Vortex Plus system in our laboratory was consistent with the analytical sensitivity provided by reagent manufacturers. 4) Verification of cross-contamination resistance: Five strong positive samples and 87 negative samples were placed according to the actual working conditions and equipment operation design, and the test results were consistent with expectations, with no cross-contamination in the testing system. 5) Throughput and stress testing: Each system completed the individual donor-nucleic acid amplification testing (ID-NAT) of 276 samples in three batches within 12 hours, and successfully completed the ID-NAT test of 828 samples in three consecutive days. 6) Verification of reagent stability: After extreme storage (unsealed storage for 1 week with 4 freeze-thaw cycles), the reagents maintained 100% detection rate in the weak positive samples of HIV-1, HCV, and HBV, showing no significant differences from the control group (Kappa=1). 7) Verification of inter-system performance consistency: The system has stable operation performance, and the performance comparison results across the four devices were consistent (Kappa=1). 8) Process control measures: WanTag-Vortex Plus system software accurately controlled the equipment operation process with strict quality control measures, and correctly interpreted and safely reported the test results. Conclusion: The analytical and operational performance of the WanTag-Vortex Plus system complies with manufacturer design standards and essential laboratory workflow requirements. Integrated with laboratory information system (LIS), the system's control software meets standard process control requirements, yet requires further improvement.
3.Guidelines for the diagnosis and treatment of prurigo nodularis.
Li ZHANG ; Qingchun DIAO ; Xia DOU ; Hong FANG ; Songmei GENG ; Hao GUO ; Yaolong CHEN ; Chao JI ; Chengxin LI ; Linfeng LI ; Jie LI ; Jingyi LI ; Wei LI ; Zhiming LI ; Yunsheng LIANG ; Jianjun QIAO ; Zhiqiang SONG ; Qing SUN ; Juan TAO ; Fang WANG ; Zhiqiang XIE ; Jinhua XU ; Suling XU ; Hongwei YAN ; Xu YAO ; Jianzhong ZHANG ; Litao ZHANG ; Gang ZHU ; Fei HAO ; Xinghua GAO
Chinese Medical Journal 2025;138(22):2859-2861
4.From 2D to 3D: transforming malignant bone tumor research with advanced culture models.
Zhengcheng HE ; Haitao HUANG ; Jiale FANG ; Huiping LIU ; Xudong YAO ; Hongwei WU
Journal of Zhejiang University. Science. B 2025;26(11):1059-1075
Osteosarcoma (OS), chondrosarcoma (CS), and Ewing sarcoma (ES) represent primary malignant bone tumors and pose significant challenges in oncology research and clinical management. Conventional research methods, such as two-dimensional (2D) cultured tumor cells and animal models, have limitations in recapitulating the complex tumor microenvironment (TME) and often fail to translate into effective clinical treatments. The advancement of three-dimensional (3D) culture technology has revolutionized the field by enabling the development of in vitro constructed bone tumor models that closely mimic the in vivo TME. These models provide powerful tools for investigating tumor biology, assessing therapeutic responses, and advancing personalized medicine. This comprehensive review summarizes the recent advancements in research on 3D tumor models constructed in vitro for OS, CS, and ES. We discuss the various techniques employed in model construction, their applications, and the challenges and future directions in this field. The integration of advanced technologies and the incorporation of additional cell types hold promise for the development of more sophisticated and physiologically relevant models. As research in this field continues to evolve, we anticipate that these models will play an increasingly crucial role in unraveling the complexities of malignant bone tumors and accelerating the development of novel therapeutic strategies.
Bone Neoplasms/pathology*
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Humans
;
Osteosarcoma/pathology*
;
Tumor Microenvironment
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Sarcoma, Ewing/pathology*
;
Chondrosarcoma/pathology*
;
Animals
;
Cell Culture Techniques/methods*
;
Cell Culture Techniques, Three Dimensional/methods*
;
Cell Line, Tumor
5.Analysis of 28 day-mortality risk factors in sepsis patients and construction and validation of predictive model
Huijuan SHAO ; Yan WANG ; Hongwei ZHANG ; Yapeng ZHOU ; Jiangming ZHANG ; Haoqi YAO ; Dong LIU ; Dongmei LIU
Chinese Critical Care Medicine 2024;36(5):478-484
Objective:To construct and validate a nomogram model for predicting the risk of 28-day mortality in sepsis patients.Methods:A retrospective cohort study was conducted. 281 sepsis patients admitted to the department of intensive care unit (ICU) of the 940th Hospital of the Joint Logistics Support Force of PLA from January 2017 to December 2022 were selected as the research subjects. The patients were divided into a training set (197 cases) and a validation set (84 cases) according to a 7∶3 ratio. The general information, clinical treatment measures and laboratory examination results within 24 hours after admission to ICU were collected. Patients were divided into survival group and death group based on 28-day outcomes. The differences in various data were compared between the two groups. The optimal predictive variables were selected using Lasso regression, and univariate and multivariate Logistic regression analyses were performed to identify factors influencing the mortality of sepsis patients and to establish a nomogram model. Receiver operator characteristic curve (ROC curve), calibration curve, decision curve analysis (DCA), and clinical impact curve (CIC) were used to evaluate the nomogram model.Results:Out of 281 cases of sepsis, 82 cases died with a mortality of 29.18%. The number of patients who died in the training and validation sets was 54 and 28, with a mortality of 27.41% and 33.33% respectively. Lasso regression, univariate and multivariate Logistic regression analysis screened for 5 independent predictors associated with 28-day mortality. There were use of vasoactive drugs [odds ratio ( OR) = 5.924, 95% confidence interval (95% CI) was 1.244-44.571, P = 0.043], acute physiology and chronic health evaluation Ⅱ (APACHEⅡ: OR = 1.051, 95% CI was 1.000-1.107, P = 0.050), combined with multiple organ dysfunction syndrome (MODS: OR = 17.298, 95% CI was 5.517-76.985, P < 0.001), neutrophil count (NEU: OR = 0.934, 95% CI was 0.879-0.988, P = 0.022) and oxygenation index (PaO 2/FiO 2: OR = 0.994, 95% CI was 0.988-0.998, P = 0.017). A nomogram model was constructed using the independent predictive factors mentioned above, ROC curve analysis showed that the AUC of the nomogram model was 0.899 (95% CI was 0.856-0.943) and 0.909 (95% CI was 0.845-0.972) for the training and validation sets respectively. The C-index was 0.900 and 0.920 for the training and validation sets respectively, with good discrimination. The Hosmer-Lemeshoe tests both showed P > 0.05, indicating good calibration. Both DCA and CIC plots demonstrate the model's good clinical utility. Conclusions:The use of vasoactive, APACHEⅡ score, comorbid MODS, NEU and PaO 2/FiO 2 are independent risk factors for 28-day mortality in patients with sepsis. The nomogram model based on these 5 indicators has a good predictive ability for the occurrence of mortality in sepsis patients.
6.Short-term results of sleeve wrapping technique using remnant aortic wall in modified Bentall procedure
MENG Maolong ; Yao WANG ; Pingfan LU ; Huapeng LI ; Rong REN ; Wen ZHANG ; Fengjie CHEN ; Xianmian ZHUANG ; Xiang WANG ; Gang LI ; Hongwei GUO
Chinese Journal of Clinical Thoracic and Cardiovascular Surgery 2024;31(02):283-287
Objective To evaluate the short-term results of sleeve wrapping technique using remnant aortic wall in modified Bentall procedure. Methods The patients undergoing modified Bentall procedure with the remnant aortic wall as a sleeve to cover the sewing area of composite valved graft and the aortic annulus for proximal hemostasis between March 2021 and March 2022 in Shenzhen Fuwai Hospital were enrolled. Short-term results were assessed by cardiopulmonary bypass time, aortic clamping time, mechanical ventilation time, ICU stay, postoperative hospital stay, effusion drainage on the first postoperative day, left ventricular ejection fraction (LVEF), left ventricular end diastolic diameter (LVEDD), and follow-up results. Results A total of 14 patients were collected, including 12 males and 2 females, with a mean age of 55.33±10.57 years. There was no postoperative or follow-up death. Cardiopulmonary bypass time was 147.90±21.29 min, aortic clamping time was 115.70±15.23 min, mechanical ventilation time was 19.42±8.98 h, ICU stay was 99.08±49.42 h, and postoperative hospital stay was 16.33±2.74 d. Thoracic drainage volume was 333.33±91.98 mL on the first postoperative day. Only 2 patients required blood transfusion (4.5 U and 2 U, respectively). During the follow-up of 6.17±3.69 months, there was no death, no aortic or valve-related complications. There was statistical difference in the LVEDD between preoperation and before discharge after surgery (P<0.001), and between half a year after surgery and before discharge after surgery (P<0.001). There was a little decrease of LVEF before discharge after surgery compared with preoperative LVEF, but there was no statistical difference (P=0.219). There was no statistical difference in the LVEF half a year after operation compared with that before operation (P=1.000). Conclusion Sleeve wrapping technique using remnant aortic wall in modified Bentall procedure has good short-term results. This modification may be a simple, effective way in controlling proximal bleeding.
7.Construction of a model based on multipoint full-layer puncture biopsy for predicting pathological complete response after neoadjuvant therapy for locally advanced rectal cancer
Ying JIN ; Zhiwei ZHAI ; Liting SUN ; Pingdian XIA ; Hang HU ; Chongqiang JIANG ; Baocheng ZHAO ; Hao QU ; Qun QIAN ; Yong DAI ; Hongwei YAO ; Zhenjun WANG ; Jiagang HAN
Chinese Journal of Gastrointestinal Surgery 2024;27(4):403-411
Objective:To investigate the value of transanal multipoint full-layer puncture biopsy (TMFP) in predicting pathological complete response (pCR) after neoadjuvant radiotherapy and chemotherapy (nCRT) in patients with locally advanced rectal cancer (LARC) and to establish a predictive model for providing clinical guidance regarding the treatment of LARC.Methods:In this multicenter, prospective, cohort study, we collected data on 110 LARC patients from four hospitals between April 2020 and March 2023: Beijing Chaoyang Hospital of Capital Medical University (50 patients), Beijing Friendship Hospital of Capital Medical University (41 patients), Qilu Hospital of Shandong University (16 patients), and Zhongnan Hospital of Wuhan University (three patients). The patients had all received TMFP after completing standard nCRT. The variables studied included (1) clinicopathological characteristics; (2) clinical complete remission (cCR) and efficacy of TMFP in determining pCR after NCRT in LARC patients; and (3) hospital attended, sex, age, clinical T- and N-stages, distance between the lower margin of the tumor and the anal verge, baseline and post-radiotherapy serum carcinoembryonic antigen (CEA) and carbohydrate antigen (CA)19-9 concentrations, chemotherapy regimen, use of immunosuppressants with or without radiotherapy, radiation therapy dosage, interval between surgery and radiotherapy, surgical procedure, clinical T/N stage after radiotherapy, cCR, pathological results of TMFP, puncture method (endoscopic or percutaneous), and number and timing of punctures. Single-factor and multifactorial logistic regression analysis were used to determine the factors affecting pCR after NCRT in LARC patients. A prediction model was constructed based on the results of multivariat analysis and the performance of this model evaluated by analyzing subject work characteristics (ROC), calibration, and clinical decision-making (DCA) curves. pCR was defined as complete absence of tumor cells on microscopic examination of the surgical specimens of rectal cancer (including lymph node dissection) after NCRT, that is, ypT0+N0. cCR was defined according to the Chinese Neoadjuvant Rectal Cancer Waiting Watch Database Study Collaborative Group criteria after treatment, which specify an absence of ulceration and nodules on endoscopy; negative rectal palpation; no tumor signals on rectal MRI T2 and DWI sequences; normal serum CEA concentrations, and no evidence of recurrence on pelvic computed tomography/magnetic resonance imaging.Results:Of the 110 patients, 45 (40.9%) achieved pCR after nCRT, which was combined with immune checkpoint inhibitors in 34 (30.9%). cCR was diagnosed before puncture in 38 (34.5%) patients, 43 (39.1%) of the punctures being endoscopic. There were no complications of puncture such as enterocutaneous fistulae, vaginal injury, prostatic injury, or presacral bleeding . Only one (2.3%) patient had a small amount of blood in the stools, which was relieved by anal pressure. cCR had a sensitivity of 57.8% (26/45) for determining pCR, specificity of 81.5% (53/65), accuracy of 71.8% (79/110), positive predictive value 68.4% (26/38), and negative predictive value of 73.6% (53/72). In contrast, the sensitivity of TMFP pathology in determining pCR was 100% (45/45), specificity 66.2% (43/65), accuracy 80.0% (88/110), positive predictive value 67.2% (45/67), and negative predictive value 100.0% (43/43). In this study, the sensitivity of TMFP for pCR (100.0% vs. 57.8%, χ 2=24.09, P<0.001) was significantly higher than that for cCR. However, the accuracy of pCR did not differ significantly (80.0% vs. 71.8%, χ 2=2.01, P=0.156). Univariate and multivariate logistic regression analyses showed that a ≥4 cm distance between the lower edge of the tumor and the anal verge (OR=7.84, 95%CI: 1.48-41.45, P=0.015), non-cCR (OR=4.81, 95%CI: 1.39-16.69, P=0.013), and pathological diagnosis by TMFP (OR=114.29, the 95%CI: 11.07-1180.28, P<0.001) were risk factors for pCR after NCRT in LARC patients. Additionally, endoscopic puncture (OR=0.02, 95%CI: 0.05-0.77, P=0.020) was a protective factor for pCR after NCRT in LARC patients. The area under the ROC curve of the established prediction model was 0.934 (95%CI: 0.892-0.977), suggesting that the model has good discrimination. The calibration curve was relatively close to the ideal 45° reference line, indicating that the predicted values of the model were in good agreement with the actual values. A decision-making curve showed that the model had a good net clinical benefit. Conclusion:Our predictive model, which incorporates TMFP, has considerable accuracy in predicting pCR after nCRT in patients with locally advanced rectal cancer. This may provide a basis for more precisely selecting individualized therapy.
8.Promote the high-quality development of gastrointestinal surgery with technological concept innovation
Hongwei YAO ; Peng ZHANG ; Chao YAN ; Ziyu LI ; Zhongtao ZHANG
Chinese Journal of Surgery 2024;62(1):10-15
In the past 30 years, gastrointestinal surgery in China has made significant progress, which is reflected in the gradual standardization of clinical diagnosis and treatment, significant improvement in surgical quality, improvement in short-term and long-term postoperative outcomes, and continuous development of high-quality clinical research. At present, the spectrum of disease in gastrointestinal surgery has changed from traditional benign diseases to malignant diseases represented by gastric cancer and colorectal cancer, metabolic diseases represented by obesity and diabetes, and immune diseases represented by inflammatory bowel disease. It is necessary to carry out full-cycle management for patients. In the new era full of opportunities and challenges, surgeons must be driven by innovation in surgical technology, guided by high-quality clinical research and guaranteed by standardized diagnosis and treatment of diseases, to continue to promote the high-quality development of gastrointestinal surgery in China.
9.Chinese national clinical practice guidelines on prevention, diagnosis and treatment of early colorectal cancer
Jingnan LI ; Hongwei YAO ; Yun LU ; Shutian ZHANG ; Zhongtao ZHANG
Chinese Medical Journal 2024;137(17):2017-2039
Background::The incidence and mortality of colorectal cancer (CRC) in China are increasing in recent years. The clarified pathogenesis and detectable precancerous lesions of CRC make it possible to prevent, screen, and diagnose CRC at an early stage. With the development of endoscopic and surgical techniques, the choice of treatment for early CRC is also worth further discussion, and accordingly, a standard follow-up program after treatment needs to be established.Methods::This clinical practice guideline (CPG) was developed following the recommended process of the World Health Organization, adopting Grading of Recommendations Assessment, Development and Evaluation (GRADE) in assessing evidence quality, and using the Evidence to Decision framework to formulate clinical recommendations, thereby minimizing bias and increasing transparency of the CPG development process. We used the Reporting Items for practice Guidelines in HealThcare (RIGHT) statement and Appraisal of Guidelines for Research and Evaluation II (AGREE II) as reporting and conduct guides to ensure the guideline’s completeness and transparency.Results::This CPG comprises 46 recommendations concerning prevention, screening, diagnosis, treatment, and surveillance of CRC. In these recommendations, we have indicated protective and risk factors for CRC and made recommendations for chemoprevention. We proposed a suitable screening program for CRC based on the Chinese context. We also provided normative statements for the diagnosis, treatment, and surveillance of CRC based on existing clinical evidence and guidelines.Conclusions::The 46 recommendations in this CPG are formed with consideration for stakeholders’ values and preferences, feasibility, and acceptability. Recommendations are generalizable to resource-limited settings with similar CRC epidemiology pattern as China.
10.Construction of a model based on multipoint full-layer puncture biopsy for predicting pathological complete response after neoadjuvant therapy for locally advanced rectal cancer
Ying JIN ; Zhiwei ZHAI ; Liting SUN ; Pingdian XIA ; Hang HU ; Chongqiang JIANG ; Baocheng ZHAO ; Hao QU ; Qun QIAN ; Yong DAI ; Hongwei YAO ; Zhenjun WANG ; Jiagang HAN
Chinese Journal of Gastrointestinal Surgery 2024;27(4):403-411
Objective:To investigate the value of transanal multipoint full-layer puncture biopsy (TMFP) in predicting pathological complete response (pCR) after neoadjuvant radiotherapy and chemotherapy (nCRT) in patients with locally advanced rectal cancer (LARC) and to establish a predictive model for providing clinical guidance regarding the treatment of LARC.Methods:In this multicenter, prospective, cohort study, we collected data on 110 LARC patients from four hospitals between April 2020 and March 2023: Beijing Chaoyang Hospital of Capital Medical University (50 patients), Beijing Friendship Hospital of Capital Medical University (41 patients), Qilu Hospital of Shandong University (16 patients), and Zhongnan Hospital of Wuhan University (three patients). The patients had all received TMFP after completing standard nCRT. The variables studied included (1) clinicopathological characteristics; (2) clinical complete remission (cCR) and efficacy of TMFP in determining pCR after NCRT in LARC patients; and (3) hospital attended, sex, age, clinical T- and N-stages, distance between the lower margin of the tumor and the anal verge, baseline and post-radiotherapy serum carcinoembryonic antigen (CEA) and carbohydrate antigen (CA)19-9 concentrations, chemotherapy regimen, use of immunosuppressants with or without radiotherapy, radiation therapy dosage, interval between surgery and radiotherapy, surgical procedure, clinical T/N stage after radiotherapy, cCR, pathological results of TMFP, puncture method (endoscopic or percutaneous), and number and timing of punctures. Single-factor and multifactorial logistic regression analysis were used to determine the factors affecting pCR after NCRT in LARC patients. A prediction model was constructed based on the results of multivariat analysis and the performance of this model evaluated by analyzing subject work characteristics (ROC), calibration, and clinical decision-making (DCA) curves. pCR was defined as complete absence of tumor cells on microscopic examination of the surgical specimens of rectal cancer (including lymph node dissection) after NCRT, that is, ypT0+N0. cCR was defined according to the Chinese Neoadjuvant Rectal Cancer Waiting Watch Database Study Collaborative Group criteria after treatment, which specify an absence of ulceration and nodules on endoscopy; negative rectal palpation; no tumor signals on rectal MRI T2 and DWI sequences; normal serum CEA concentrations, and no evidence of recurrence on pelvic computed tomography/magnetic resonance imaging.Results:Of the 110 patients, 45 (40.9%) achieved pCR after nCRT, which was combined with immune checkpoint inhibitors in 34 (30.9%). cCR was diagnosed before puncture in 38 (34.5%) patients, 43 (39.1%) of the punctures being endoscopic. There were no complications of puncture such as enterocutaneous fistulae, vaginal injury, prostatic injury, or presacral bleeding . Only one (2.3%) patient had a small amount of blood in the stools, which was relieved by anal pressure. cCR had a sensitivity of 57.8% (26/45) for determining pCR, specificity of 81.5% (53/65), accuracy of 71.8% (79/110), positive predictive value 68.4% (26/38), and negative predictive value of 73.6% (53/72). In contrast, the sensitivity of TMFP pathology in determining pCR was 100% (45/45), specificity 66.2% (43/65), accuracy 80.0% (88/110), positive predictive value 67.2% (45/67), and negative predictive value 100.0% (43/43). In this study, the sensitivity of TMFP for pCR (100.0% vs. 57.8%, χ 2=24.09, P<0.001) was significantly higher than that for cCR. However, the accuracy of pCR did not differ significantly (80.0% vs. 71.8%, χ 2=2.01, P=0.156). Univariate and multivariate logistic regression analyses showed that a ≥4 cm distance between the lower edge of the tumor and the anal verge (OR=7.84, 95%CI: 1.48-41.45, P=0.015), non-cCR (OR=4.81, 95%CI: 1.39-16.69, P=0.013), and pathological diagnosis by TMFP (OR=114.29, the 95%CI: 11.07-1180.28, P<0.001) were risk factors for pCR after NCRT in LARC patients. Additionally, endoscopic puncture (OR=0.02, 95%CI: 0.05-0.77, P=0.020) was a protective factor for pCR after NCRT in LARC patients. The area under the ROC curve of the established prediction model was 0.934 (95%CI: 0.892-0.977), suggesting that the model has good discrimination. The calibration curve was relatively close to the ideal 45° reference line, indicating that the predicted values of the model were in good agreement with the actual values. A decision-making curve showed that the model had a good net clinical benefit. Conclusion:Our predictive model, which incorporates TMFP, has considerable accuracy in predicting pCR after nCRT in patients with locally advanced rectal cancer. This may provide a basis for more precisely selecting individualized therapy.

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