Objective:To construct a nomogram for predicting unfavorable prognosis at 6 months after moderate and severe traumatic brain injury (msTBI) and validate its predictive effectiveness.Methods:A retrospective cohort study was conducted to analyze the clinical data of 387 patients with msTBI who were admitted to 904th Hospital of the Joint Logistic Support Force of PLA from January 2020 to December 2022, including 265 males and 122 females, aged 6-97 years [58(47, 68)years]. According to the Glasgow outcome scale (GOS) score at 6 months after injury, the patients were divided into favorable prognosis group (GOS 4-5 points, n=201) and unfavorable prognosis group (GOS 1-3 points, n=186). The clinical characteristics, imaging manifestations, and laboratory test results of the two groups on admission were recorded. Univariate analysis was applied to evaluate the correlation between the aforementioned indicators and the unfavorable prognosis of the msTBI patients at 6 months after injury. Receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curves of single variable and the correlation heatmap among continuous variables were plotted. Lasso regression was used to select variables and multivariate Logistic regression analysis was used to determine independent predictive factors so as to construct Logistic regression equation and plot the nomogram. The internal verification was carried out by means of random and non-random split of data. In random split, the data were divided randomly with a ratio of 6∶4 into training group ( n=232) and verification group ( n=155). In non-random split, the patients admitted from January 2020 to December 2021 were assigned to the training group ( n=260), while those admitted from January 2022 to December 2022 to the verification group ( n=127). Area under the curve (AUC) was used to evaluate the predictive ability of the model in the training group and verification group, calibration curve and Hosmer-Lemeshow (H-L) test to evaluate its goodness of fit, and decision curve analysis (DCA) to evaluate its clinical applicability. The influence of inclusion of neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio (NLR) model on the warning effectiveness of poor prognosis was analyzed in comparison with the model without inclusion of NLR. Results:Univariate analysis showed that there was a certain correlation between age, length of hospital stay, Glasgow coma scale (GCS), American Society of Anesthesiologists Physical Status (ASA-PS) classification, Injury severity score (ISS), prehospital tracheal intubation, hypotension, hypoxia, pupillary responsiveness, midline shift, basilar cisterna status, traumatic subarachnoid hemorrhage (tSAH), D-Dimer, prothrombin time activity (PTA), glucose, hemoglobin, K +, Cl -, Ca 2+, HCO -, creatinine, albumin, lactic acid, platelet, lymphocyte, systemic immune-inflammation index (SII), NLR, lymphocyte-to-monocyte ratio (LMR) and unfavorable prognosis of msTBI patients at 6 months after injury ( P<0.05 or 0.01). The ROC curve of single variable showed that GCS (AUC=0.82), ISS (AUC=0.81), pupillary responsiveness (AUC=0.76), basal cistern status (AUC=0.73) and NLR (AUC=0.73) had good predictive validity. The results of the correlation heatmap showed that there was a significant correlation and collinearity among the continuous variables, while no collinearity was found between ISS and NLR. Fourteen potential predictors selected by Lasso regression were included in multivariate Logistic regression analysis and its results showed that age ( OR=0.86, 95% CI 1.38, 5.19), GCS 6-8 points ( OR=3.13, 95% CI 1.06, 9.27), GCS 3-5 points ( OR=12.36, 95% CI 2.81, 54.27), ISS ( OR=3.68, 95% CI 1.38, 9.80), pupillary responsiveness ( OR=2.45, 95% CI 0.85, 7.07), and NLR ( OR=2.62, 95% CI 1.52, 4.51) were identified as the independent risk factors for unfavorable prognosis of msTBI patients at 6 months after injury ( P<0.05 or 0.01). The multivariate Logistic regression equation was Logit [P/(1-P)]=0.066×"age"+ 1.474×"GCS 6-8"+2.357×"GCS 3-5"+0.066×"ISS"+0.965×"absence of pupillary light reflex"+0.194×"NLR"-10.704. In the internal verification of random split of data, the AUC value of the model was 0.93 (95% CI 0.89, 0.96) in the training group and 0.93 (95% CI 0.89, 0.97) in the verification group. In the internal verification of non-random split, the AUC value was 0.94 (95% CI 0.91, 0.97) in the training group and 0.93 (95% CI 0.89, 0.97) in the verification group. The calibration curve and H-L test showed that the model had good calibration ability ( P>0.5). The results of DCA showed that the application of the nomogram would increase the net benefit of the patients (risk threshold probability of 0.0-0.8). Compared with the conventional model (AUC=0.90), inclusion of NLR model (AUC=0.93) enhanced the warning effectiveness. Conclusions:Age, GCS, ISS, pupillary responsiveness and NLR are independent risk factors affecting unfavorable prognosis in msTBI patients at 6 months after injury, based on which the nomogram constructed can better predict the clinical outcome of msTBI patients.

Sodium dichloroacetate (DCA) is a small molecule drug usually administered orally. It has therapeutic effects against several diseases, such as metabolic syndrome, cardiovascular and cerebrovascular diseases, and several solid tumors. In this review, the research progresses of DCA in mechanism of action, pharmacological action and toxicological studies were summarized from the recent literatures on the pharmacological actions of DCA.

Immune Checkpoint Inhibitors ; Transcriptome ; Immunotherapy ; Biomarkers, Tumor

Objective:To investigate the risk factors and treatment of postpancreatico-duodenectomy hemorrhage(PPH).Methods:The retrospective case-control study was conducted. The clinical data of 712 patients who underwent pancreaticoduodenectomy in Peking University First Hospital from January 2012 to November 2021 were collected. There were 392 males and 320 females, aged from 16 to 89 years, with a median age of 62 years. Observation indicators: (1) diagnosis of PPH; (2) analysis of influencing factors for PPH; (3) treatment of PPH. Measurement data with skewed distribution were represented as M(range). Count data were described as absolute numbers or percentages. Univariate analysis was performed using the chi-square test or Fisher exact probability, and multivariate analysis was performed using the Logistic regression model. Results:(1) Diagnosis of PPH. Of the 712 patients, 72 cases had PPH and 7 cases died. The incidence of PPH was 10.11%(72/712), and PPH related mortality was 9.72%(7/72). There were 7 cases of early PPH and 65 cases of delayed PPH. There were 23 cases of mild PPH and 49 cases of severe PPH. (2) Analysis of influencing factors for PPH. Results of univariate analysis showed that preoperative serum total bilirubin (TBil), extended surgery, postoperative pancreatic fistula, postoperative biliary fistula, postoperative abdominal infection were related factors for delayed PPH ( χ2=13.17, 3.93, 87.89, 22.77, 36.13, P<0.05). Results of multivariate analysis showed that preoperative serum TBil ≥171 μmol/L, postoperative grade B or C pancreatic fistula, postoperative biliary fistula, postoperative abdominal infection were independent risk factors for delayed PPH ( odds ratio=1.91, 8.10, 2.11, 2.42, 95% confidence interval as 1.09-3.33, 4.62-14.20, 1.06-4.23,1.35-4.31, P<0.05). (3) Treatment of PPH. ① Treatment of early PPH. Of the 7 cases with early PPH, 4 cases had mild PPH and 3 cases had severe PPH. The 4 cases with mild PPH were stanched by conservative treatment. The bleeding location of the 3 cases with severe PPH were the posterior wall of pancreatoenteric anastomosis, the pancreatic uncinate stump and the unintentional puncture of the jejunostomy tube of the left upper abdominal wall vessels and the 3 cases were stanched by reoperation. All the 7 cases were discharged without other complications. ② Treatment of delayed PPH. Of the 65 cases with delayed PPH, 19 cases had mild PPH and 46 cases had severe PPH. Of the 19 cases with mild PPH, 18 cases were stanched by conservative treatment including 2 cases died of pancreatic fistula and abdominal infection, 1 case were stanched by endoscope therapy. Of the 46 cases with severe PPH, 18 cases with stable vital signs and slow bleeding were stanched by conservative treatment including 1 case died of infectious toxic shock and the other 28 cases underwent invasive treatment, including 2 cases undergoing gastroscopy, 20 cases undergoing interventional treatment and 6 cases under-going reoperation as the initial treatment. Of the 22 cases taking endoscope or interventional treatment as the initial treatment, 5 cases underwent rebleeding and 2 cases died, with the reblee-ding rate and mortality as 22.7%(5/22) and 9.1%(2/22), respectively. Of the 6 cases taking reopera-tion as the initial treatment, 3 cases underwent rebleeding and 2 cases died, with the rebleeding rate and mortality as 3/6 and 2/6, respectively. There was no significant difference in the rebleeding rate and mortality in patients taking endoscope or interventional treatment as the initial treatment and patients taking reoperation as the initial treatment ( P>0.05). Of the 28 cases undergoing invasive treatment, 10 cases underwent secondary surgical treatment, including 6 cases taking reoperation and 4 cases taking interventional treatment as the initial treatment for hemorrhage, and 4 cases died with the mortality as 4/10, and the other 18 cases who did not receive secondary surgical treatment survived. There was a significant difference in the mortality between patients with or without secondary surgical treatment ( P<0.05). Conclusions:Preoperative serum TBil ≥171 μmol/L, post-operative grade B or C pancreatic fistula, postoperative biliary fistula, postoperative abdominal infection are independent risk factors for delayed PPH. Surgical treatment should be performed decisively for early severe PPH. For delayed severe PPH patients who undergoing conservative treat-ment without effect, endoscope therapy and interventional treatment should be the first choice, and surgical treatment should be performed if those above procedures not working.

Objective To explore the impact of abdominal situs inversus on the diagnosis and treatment of abdominal diseases.Methods Clinical data and course of 13 abdominal situs inversus cases from January 2012 to December 2016 were retrospectively analyzed.Results A total of 13 cases accounting for 1.5/10 000 of all cases who had abdominal CT were diagnosed situs inversus.6 of them were diagnosed for routine physical examination,4 of them for urinary tract symptoms,and the other 3 for digestive complaints.Conservative treatment or follow-up was prescribed for 8 patients who were asymptomatic and healthy;Five patients received operation,including 2 nephrecctomy,1 pancreatico duodenectomy,1 laparoscopic cholecystectomy,and 1 endoscopic retrograde cholangiopancreatography.All the cases recovered uneventfully.Conclusions Abdominal situs inversus is rare,non-disease entity,usually an incidental finding during clinical examination.It does not affect the therapeutic principle of concurrent primary disease.

Objective To investigate the clinical features and surgical indications of subtypes of intraductal papillary mucinous neoplasm (IPMN) of the pancreas,and analyze its malignant risk factors.Methods The retrospective case-control study was conducted.The clinicopathological data of 77 patients with IPMN of the pancreas who were admitted to the First Hospital of Peking University from January 2008 to December 2016 were collected.The subtypes of IPMN of the pancreas detected by preoperative imaging examination included main-duct type (MD-IPMN) in 46 patients,branch-duct type (BD-IPMN) in 12 patients,mixed type (MT-IPMN) in 19 patients.The surgical indications were consulted from the Guideline for the diagnosis and treatment of pancreatic cystic lesions composed by the Pancreatic Surgery Group of Surgery Branch of China Medical Association.Surgical procedure was selected according to the location and size of the IPMN.Four to 6 cycles of chemotherapy with S-1 and/or Gemcitabine were conducted for patients with malignant IPMN according to the tolerance and baseline characteristics.Observation indicators included:(1) comparison of the clinical features MD-IPMN,MT-IPMN and BD-IPMN;(2) surgical and postoperative conditions;(3) results of postoperative pathological examination and malignant risk factors analysis;(4) accuracy evaluation of Sendai and Fukuoka guidelines for the diagnosis of malignant IPMN of the pancreas;(5) follow-up results and survival.Patients were followed up by outpatient examination and telephone interview till December 2016.The postoperative adjuvant therapy,tumor recurrence and metastasis of malignant IPMN patients and postoperative survival condition of all the patients were collected.Measurement data with normal distribution were expressed as (x)±s or average (range),and pairwise comparison was analyzed by t test.Measurement data with skewed distribution were expressed by median (range).Comparison between count data and univariate analysis were done by chi-square test.Multiple factors analysis was done by Logistic regTession model.The survival curve was drawn and the survival rate were calculated by Kaplan-Meier method.The comparison of survival was done by Log-rank test.Results (1) Comparison of clinical features between MD-IPMN,MT-IPMN and BD-IPMN:The numbers of patients with symptoms,jaundice,those complicated with diabetes and elevated CA19-9 were 55,20,43 and 28 in MD-IPMN and MT-IPMN,and 6,0,3 and 1 in BD-IPMN,with statistically significant difference (x2=5.421,3.516,5.525,3.834,P＜0.05).(2) Surgical and postoperative conditions:the operations for all the 77 patients were successfully done,including pancreaticoduodenectomy with or without preservation of pylorus on 45 patients,resection of head of pancreas with duodenum preservation on 3 patients,distal pancreatectomy on 23 patients,distal pancreatectomy combined with partial resection of spleen and stomach on 2 patients (with greater curvature of stomach involvement),segmental pancreatectomy on 2 patients,total pancreatectomy on 2 patients.A total of 26 surgery-related complications were detected,including pancreatic fistulas (13),delayed gastric emptying (9),wound infection (2),abdominal hemorrhage (2),and all the complications were improved by conservative treatment.There was no perioperative mortality.The mean duration of hospital stay of the 77 patients was 16 days (range,6-68 days).(3) Results of postoperative pathological examination and malignant risk factor analysis:① results of postoperative pathological examination:no residual tumor was detected at the resection margin in all the 77 patients,including 47 with benign IPMN (29 with adenoma and 18 with mid-severe atypical hyperplasia and without lymph node involvement) and 30 with malignant IPMN (all of them were invasive malignancy,including 17 patients with negative lymph node metastasis and 13 with positive lymph node metastasis).② Malignant risk factor analysis of IPMN:multivariate analysis showed that age,jaundice,elevated carcinoembryonic antigen (CEA),elevated CA19-9,tumor diameter,tumor subtypes were associated with malignancy (x2 =6.531,14.755,10.243,12.062,6.416,6.143,P ＜ 0.05).Multivariate analysis showed that jaundice,elevated CEA,elevated CA19-9,tumor diameter ≥3.0 cm,MD-IPMN were independent risk factors influencing the malignancy of IPMN (OR =9.656,42.853,23.243,34.387,69.883,95％ confidence interval:1.392-66.968,2.088-879.674,2.991-180.628,3.313-356.878,1.247-3 915.467,P＜0.05).(4) Accuracy evaluation of the Sendai and Fukuoka guidelines in diagnosis of malignant IPMN.The sensitivity,specificity,positive and negative predictive values were 100.0％(30/30),14.9％ (7/47),42.9％ (30/70) and 100.0％ (7/7) for the Sendai guideline and 86.7％ (26/30),48.9％ (23/47),52.0％ (26/50),85.2％ (23/27) for the Fukuoka guideline in diagnosis of malignant IPMN,with no significant difference in the sensitivity between the 2 guidelines (x2=2.250,P＞0.05),while significant difference in the specificity between the 2 guidelines were detected (x2 =12.500,P＜0.05).(5) Follow-up and survival:Seventy of 77 patients were followed up,including 42 with benign IPMN and 28 with malignant IPMN.The median survival time was 35.0 months (range,6.0-94.0 months).All the malignant IPMN patients received adjuvant therapy.The 1-,3-,5-year overall survival rates of 47 patient with benign IPMN were 100.0％,96.2％and 96.2％,respectively,and 1 patient died of cardiac infarction.The 1-,3-,5-year overall survival rates of 30 patients with malignant IPMN were 96.6％,81.8％,38.6％,respectively,and 11 patients died of tumor recurrence or metastasis with median time of tumor recurrence or metastasis of 20.5 months (6.0-61.6 months).The 1-,3-,5-year overall survival rates of 17 patients with negative lymph node metastasis were 100.0％,100.0％ and 60.0％,respectively,and the 1-,3-,5-year overall survival rates of 13 patients with positive lymph node metastasis were 91.7％,57.1％ and 0,respectively.There was statistically significant difference between patients with benign and malignant IPMN (x2 =12.530,P＜0.05).There was statistically significant difference between patients with negative lymph node metastasis and those with positive lymph node metastasis (x2 =16.977,P＜ 0.05).Conclusions Patients with MD-IPMN or MT-IPMN are more vulnerable to be complicated with diabetes,jaundice,elevated CA19-9 and high malignancy,and thus surgery is recommended.Jaundice,elevated CEA and CA19-9,tumor diameter≥3.0 cm,MD-IPMN are the independent risk factors influencing the malignancy of IPMN.

Objective To compare the clinical and sonographic characteristics of aggressive and nonaggressive papillary thyroid microcarcinomas(PTMC)in order to improve the preoperative predictive value of aggressive PTMC.Methods A total of 309 patients with PTMC from January 2014 to December 2016 were included in this study.Patients with lymphatic metastasis,extrathyroidal invasion,reccurence, distant metastasis and death were classified into aggressive PTMC group,and patients without above characteristics were classified into nonaggressive group.Clinical and sonographic features were reviewed and compared between the two groups.Results Among the 309 patients,76 cases(24.6%)were aggressive PTMC,and 233 cases(75.4%)were nonaggressive.Patients were younger and larger cancerous nodules, microcalcification,capsular inconnection and multifocality were seen more frequently in aggressive PTMC group compared with nonaggressive group.The best cut-off value of age and diameter were 44.5 years and 0.66 cm respectively.Advanced age was the protective factor and larger tumor size and multifocality were independent risk factors for PTMC aggressiveness.The capsular invasion was related with the lateral cervical lymph node metastasis while other features were not.Conclusions Extra attention should be paid to patients with age<44.5 years,tumor size>0.66 cm and multifocal cancerous nodules because their PTMCs are more likely to be aggressive.Thyroid capsule adjacent to the cancerous nodule should be observed carefully.If there is interruption in the capsule,lateral cervical lymph nodes should be carefully examed.

Objective To explore the correlation between quantitative parameters of blood perfusion with contrast-enhanced ultrasound (CEUS) and microvessel density (MVD),microvessel area (MVA) in papillary thyroid carcinoma (PTC).And to investigate the value of CEUS in evaluating the angiogenesis in PTC before operation.Methods Totally 69 cases of patients with papillary thyroid carcinoma were selected from April 2014 to October 2016 in the Affiliated Hospital of Qingdao University.The CEUS characteristics of 69 patients with papillary thyroid carcinoma confirmed by pathology were retrospectively analyzed.The patients were divided into three groups according to maximum diameter of lesions (＜ 1 cm group,1-2 cm group and ＞ 2.0 cm group),and two groups according to pathologic reports (neck lymph node metastatic and nonmetastatic groups).The blood perfusion parameters between or among different groups were evaluated by ttest or one-way ANOVA.Immunohistochemical staining were performed to evaluate the MVD,MVA in the surgical specimens,and the correlation of quantitative parameters with MVD,MVA were assessed by Spearman.Results (1) Peak Intensity (Peak),area under the curve (AUC),MVD and MVA of thyroid carcinoma were lower than the surrounding normal thyroid tissue (14.95 ± 4.96 vs 22.67±6.11,970.01±263.20 vs 1798.35±563.67,118.91±31.32 vs 206.27±39.58,8.58±-2.68 vs 18.47±3.13),and the differences were statistically significant (t=-8.700,-11.061,-14.377 and-20.532,all P ＜ 0.05).(2)With the increase of the lesion's maximum diameter,Peak,AUC,MVD and MVA increased,and the differences were statistically significant (t=0.000,0.000,0.000,0.000;t=0.027,0.044,0.033,0.000;t=0.027,0.044,0.033,0.000,all P ＜ 0.05).(3) Papillary thyroid carcinoma with lymphatic involvement had significantly higher values of Peak,AUC,MVD and MVA than those without lymphatic involvement (16.86±4.36 vs 13.80±3.55,1128.16±290.85 vs 874.39±192.27,114.12±30.69 vs 103.67±22.19,10.30 ± 2.44 vs 7.54 ± 2.29),and the differences were statistically significant (t=3.177,4.366,6.336 and 4.742,all P ＜ 0.05).(4) A positive correlation existed between the Peak,AUC and MVD,and the differences were statistically significant (r=0.506,0.478,all P ＜0.05).Peak,AUC and MVA showed positive correlation,and the differences were statistically significant (r=0.648,0.653,all P ＜ 0.05).TP,MTT and MVD,MVA showed no correlations (all P ＞ 0.05).Conclusions The values of Peak and AUC calculated from CEUS were correlated to MVD and MVA.CEUS may be used to evaluated the angiogenesis of PTC before operation.And CEUS is helpful for prediction of prognosis of PTC.

OBJECTIVETo develop and test a scoring system to predict the risks of postoperative pancreatic fistula (POPF) after pancreaticoduodenectomy(PD).

METHODSClinic data and postoperative complications of the 445 consecutive patients who underwent a PD procedure between January 2008 and April 2015 in Peking University First Hospital were retrospectively collected and analyzed.The patients were randomly selected to modelling and validation sets at a ratio of 3∶1, respectively.The patient data were subjected to univariate and multivariate analysis in the modelling set of patients.A score predictive of POPF was designed and tested in the validation set.

RESULTSPOPF occurred in 88 of 334 patients(26.4%) in the modelling set.The multivariate analysis showed that body mass index (BMI, P<0.01) and pancreatic duct width(P=0.001) are associated with POPF independently.A risk score to predict POPF was constructed based on these factors and successfully tested.The area under the receiver operating characteristic curve were 0.829(95% CI: 0.777-0.881) on the modelling set and 0.885(95% CI: 0.825-0.945) on the validation set, respectively.

CONCLUSIONSBMI and pancreatic duct width were associated with POPF after PD. The preoperative assessment of a patient's risk for POPF is feasible.The present risk score is a valid tool to predict POPF in patients undergoing PD, to make the selection on anastomosis types, and to take precautions against POPF.

Anastomosis, Surgical ; Body Mass Index ; Humans ; Intestines ; surgery ; Multivariate Analysis ; Pancreas ; pathology ; surgery ; Pancreatic Ducts ; pathology ; Pancreatic Fistula ; pathology ; Pancreaticoduodenectomy ; adverse effects ; Postoperative Complications ; Postoperative Period ; ROC Curve ; Retrospective Studies ; Risk Factors

Objective To investigate the risks and benefits of different surgical treatments for cystic neoplasms of the pancreas (CNP).Methods The clinical data of 243 CNP patients were reviewed retrospectively.Different surgical treatments were adopted according to the site,size and invasiveness of the tumors.A long term follow-up was carried out for patients with small benign CNP,and a surgical excision is proposed if tumors progressed during the observation.Results 58 outpatients with no evidence of malignancy was followed up and had long-term survival,in which 4 patients received a surgical resection in case of tumor progression,and all of them were confirmed benign tumors.185 cases received surgical treatments,with a resection rate of 97.3％ (180/185),including 127 non-invasive tumors,and 58 cases of invasive tumors.Perioperative mortality was 2/185,and morbidity rate was 41/185.Pancreatic fistula was the most frequent complication,which was significantly associated with tumor site and excision extension.All patients with non-invasive CNP acquired a long term survival after surgical treatments.The postoperative 1,3,5 year survival rates for patients with invasive lesions were 89.6％,52.1％ and 29.2％,respectively.Conclusions Long term follow-up and observation is feasible for asymptomatic patients with benign CNP.A radical resection should be performed for malignancy,and a combined multi-organ resection may improve the prognosis for local advanced tumors.