1.Impact of Resting Heart Rate on All-cause Mortality in Ultra-high Risk Atherosclerotic Cardiovascular Disease Patients
Shihe LIU ; Xu HAN ; Qian LIU ; Hongmin LIU ; Haiyan ZHAO ; Shuohua CHEN ; Shouling WU ; Yuntao WU
Chinese Circulation Journal 2024;39(2):140-147
Objectives:To investigate the impact of resting heart rate on the risk of all-cause mortality in ultra-high risk atherosclerotic cardiovascular disease(ASCVD)patients. Methods:A total of 3 645 patients with ultra-high risk ASCVD(as defined in the 2023 Chinese Lipid Management Guidelines)were screened from the 2006 to 2020 Kailuan Study cohort,and after excluding 602 patients with missing resting heart rate,3 043 patients were included in the final analysis.Patients were divided into<68 beats/min group(n=744),68-74 beats/min group(n=786),75-80 beats/min group(n=760),and≥81 beats/min group(n=753)according to the resting heart rate.Cox proportional regression model was used to estimate the hazard ratios(HRs)and 95%CI for all-cause mortality associated with the different resting heart rate groups and every 10 beats/min increase of resting heart rate.The dose-effect relationship of resting heart rate level and all-cause mortality was assessed by a restricted cubic spline regression model.The Kaplan-Meier method was applied to calculate the cumulative all-cause mortality in different groups,and the differences were compared using log-rank test. Results:The median follow-up time was 5.81(3.46,9.64)years,there were 772(25.37%)all-cause deaths during follow up.After adjusting major confounding factors,the results showed that compared with<68 beats/min group,the risk of all-cause mortality in 75-80 beats/min group and≥81 beats/min group increased by 24%(HR=1.24,95%CI:1.01-1.52,P=0.047)and 47%(HR=1.47,95%CI:1.20-1.81,P<0.001),respectively;the risk of all-cause mortality in 68-74 beats/min group was similar(HR=1.06,95%CI:0.86-1.31,P=0.625).In addition,an increase of 10 beats/min in resting heart rate was associated with a 13%increase in the risk of all-cause mortality(HR=1.13,95%CI:1.07-1.19,P<0.001).In stratified analyses,it was found that for every 10 beats/min increase in resting heart rate,women faced a higher risk of all-cause mortality than men,and patients<65 years old faced a higher risk of all-cause mortality than patients≥65 years old.The restricted cubic spline analysis also showed that resting heart rate was linearly associated with the risk of all-cause mortality(Poverall<0.001,Pnon-linear=0.933),and the risk increased significantly with resting heart rate>70 beats/min. Conclusions:Increased resting heart rate is linearly associated with increased risk of all-cause mortality in patients with ultra-high risk ASCVD.The appropriate intervention cut-off point of resting heart rate for ultra-high risk ASCVD patients may be>75 beats/min.
2.Correlation analysis of serum miR-939 and miR-15b expression and microvascular injury in diabetic retinopathy patients
Yaqing WANG ; Hongmin LI ; Xiyu ZHANG ; Li WANG ; Yong WANG ; Yongsheng LIU ; Yingjie PANG
International Journal of Laboratory Medicine 2024;45(4):471-475
Objective To analyze the correlation between serum miR-939 and miR-15b expression and mi-crovascular injury in patients with diabetic retinopathy(DR).Methods A total of 176 patients with type 2 di-abetes diagnosed and treated in the Baoding Second Hospital from January 2021 to October 2022 were selected as the study objects.The subjects were divided into 74 patients without DR(NDR group),62 patients with non-proliferative DR(NPDR group)and 40 patients with proliferative DR(PDR group)according to whether or not DR occurred and the degree of lesions.Real-time fluorescent quantitative PCR was used to detect the relative expression levels of miR-939 and miR-15b in serum of all groups,the level of vascular endothelial growth factor(VEGF)was detected by enzyme-linked immunosorbent assay,and the count percentage of en-dothelial cells(ECs),endothelial progenitor cells(EPCs)and circulating progenitor cells(CPCs)was detected by flow cytometry.Serum levels of miR-939,miR-15b,VEGF and ECs,EPCs and CPCs were compared in 3 groups.Pearson correlation was used to analyze the correlation between serum miR-939 and miR-15b and VEGF,ECs,EPCs and CPCs.Multivariate Logistic regression was used to analyze the factors affecting the oc-currence of DR in patients with type 2 diabetes.Results The relative expression levels of miR-939 and miR-15b in PDR group and NPDR group were lower than those in NDR group,while the serum VEGF levels were higher than those in NDR group,with statistical significance(P<0.05).ECs in PDR group and NPDR group were higher than those in NDR group,while EPCs and CPCs were lower than those in NDR group,the differ-ence was statistically significant(P<0.05).Serum miR-939 was negatively correlated with VEGF and ECs(r=-0.407,-0.613,P<0.05),and positively correlated with EPCs and CPCs(r=0.481,0.486,P<0.05).Serum miR-15b was negatively correlated with VEGF and ECs(r=-0.539,-0.625,P<0.05),and positively correlated with EPCs and CPCs(r=0.451,0.483,P<0.05).Multivariate Logistic regression anal-ysis showed that the duration of type 2 diabetes,hemoglobin A1c,2-hour postprandial blood glucose,VEGF,miR-939 and miR-15b were the influencing factors for the occurrence of DR in type 2 diabetes patients(P<0.05).Conclusion The expression of miR-939 and miR-15b in serum of DR patients is closely related to VEGF,ECs,EPCs and CPCs,and the expression of miR-939 and miR-15b in serum of DR patients can provide a certain reference for early judgment and evaluation of the degree of microvascular injury.
3.Spatial clustering analysis of varicella public health emergency events in Nanjing City from 2017 to 2022
ZHU Lanlan ; ZHANG Zhong ; BIAN Zenghui ; XU Yangting ; SUN Hongmin ; LIU Ting
Journal of Preventive Medicine 2024;36(3):215-218
Objective:
To investigate the spatial clustering characteristics of varicella public health emergency events in Nanjing City from 2017 to 2022, so as to provide the evidence for the development of varicella prevention and control strategies.
Methods:
Data of varicella public health emergency events in Nanjing City from 2017 to 2022 were collected through Emergency Public Health Management Information System of Chinese Disease Prevention and Control Information System. The software ArcGIS 10.2 was employed for trend-surface analysis, spatial autocorrelation analysis and hotspot analysis to understand the spatial clustering characteristics of varicella public health emergency events.
Results:
A total of 84 varicella public health emergency events were reported in Nanjing City from 2017 to 2022, with an average attack rate of 2.53% (2 558 cases). Ⅳ-level events were predominant, accounting for 90.48% (76 events). The trend-surface analysis showed lower incidence of varicella public health emergency events in the west of Nanjing City and higher in the east, and lower in the north and higher in the south. The global spatial autocorrelation analysis showed that there was a positive spatial correlation in varicella public health emergency events in 2017 and 2019, indicating spatial clustering (P<0.05). The hot spots were Jiangning District, Gaochun District, Yuhuatai District and Jianye District.
Conclusion
The incidence of varicella public health emergency events in Nanjing City from 2017 to 2022 has spatial aggregation, with a concentration in suburban areas such as Jiangning District and Gaochun District.
4.Endoplasmic reticulum stress-induced NLRP3 inflammasome activation as a novel mechanism of polystyrene microplastics(PS-MPs)-induced pulmonary inflammation in chickens
LU HONGMIN ; GUO TIANTIAN ; ZHANG YUE ; LIU DEWANG ; HOU LULU ; MA CHENGXUE ; XING MINGWEI
Journal of Zhejiang University. Science. B 2024;25(3):233-243,中插7-中插10
Microplastics(MPs)have attracted growing attention worldwide as an increasingly prevalent environmental pollutant.In addition,chicken meat is currently the most widely consumed kind of poultry in the global market.Consumer demand for chicken is on the rise both at home and abroad.As a result,the safety of chicken raising has also received significant attention.The lungs play an essential role in the physiological activities of chickens,and they are also the most vulnerable organs.Lung injury is difficult to repair after the accumulation of contaminants,and the mortality rate is high,which brings huge economic losses to farmers.The research on the toxicity of MPs has mainly focused on the marine ecosystem,while the mechanisms of toxicity and lung damage in chickens have been poorly studied.Thus,this study explored the effects of exposure to polystyrene microplastics(PS-MPs)at various concentrations for 42 d on chicken lungs.PS-MPs could cause lung pathologies and ultrastructural abnormalities,such as endoplasmic reticulum(ER)swelling,inflammatory cell infiltration,chromatin agglutination,and plasma membrane rupture.Simultaneously,PS-MPs increased the expression of genes related to the heat shock protein family(Hsp60,Hsp70,and Hsp90),ER stress signaling(activating transcription factor 6(ATF6),ATF4,protein kinase RNA-like ER kinase(PERK),and eukaryotic translation initiation factor 2 subunit α(eIF2α)),pyroptosis-related genes(NOD-,LRR-and pyrin domain-containing protein 3(NLRP3),apoptosis-associated speck-like protein containing a caspase recruitment domain(ASC),interleukin-1β(IL-1β),cysteinyl aspartate-specific proteinase 1(Caspase1),and gasdermin-D(GSDMD)),and the inflammatory signaling pathway(nuclear factor-κB(NF-κB),inducible nitric oxide synthase(iNOS),and cyclooxygenase-2(COX-2)).The above results showed that PS-MP exposure could result in lung stress,ER stress,pyroptosis,and inflammation in broilers.Our findings provide new scientific clues for further research on the mechanisms of physical health and toxicology regarding MPs.
5.A multi-dimensional analysis of pollen broadcasting concerns in Chinese population: a large-scale multi-center cross-sectional survey
Chiyu XU ; Yanshu ZHANG ; Ning LUAN ; Xiangyi LIU ; Dayang QIN ; Hongmin WANG ; Xuping XIAO ; Shuihong ZHOU ; Jie ZHANG ; Ping ZHANG ; Yuqing BAI ; Pengpeng WANG ; Yan QI ; Zhongwu SUN ; Zhuang LIU ; Luo BA ; Wenchao WANG ; Xing LU ; Min WANG ; Rui GUO ; Deyi SUN ; Liyuan TAO ; Li ZHU
Chinese Journal of Otorhinolaryngology Head and Neck Surgery 2024;59(1):2-11
Objective:To investigate the concern about pollen broadcasting in Chinese population from multiple dimensions and to understand the information about allergic rhinitis (AR) in China by analyzing related factors.Methods:From March 1 to September 30, 2022, a large-scale multi-center cross-sectional survey was conducted based on the Questionnaire Star platform in 21 Chinese hospitals. A total of 7 056 subjects from 7 regions in China: Northeast, North, East, Central, South, Southwest, and Northwest China were included. Basic characteristics (including social demographic characteristics and disease characteristics of AR patients), concern about pollen broadcasting, the willingness of pollen-induced AR (PiAR) patients to receive pollen broadcasting, and the treatment satisfaction rate of AR patients were collected. The chi-square test, multivariate linear regression model, and Logistic regression analysis were used to analyze the concern about pollen broadcasting in the Chinese population and related factors from multiple dimensions.Results:Among 7 056 subjects, 23.02% were concerned about pollen broadcasting. Among 3 176 self-reported AR and 1 019 PiAR patients, 25.60% and 39.16% were concerned about pollen broadcasting, respectively, which was higher than that of non-AR or non-PiAR subjects ( χ2 value was 21.74 and 175.11, respectively, both P<0.001). Among AR patients, the proportion of spring and autumn allergen-positive patients concerned about pollen broadcasting was higher than that in perennial allergen-positive patients ( χ2 value was 20.90 and 19.51, respectively, both P<0.001). The proportion of AR patients with asthma, sinusitis, allergic conjunctivitis, and cardiovascular and cerebrovascular diseases was higher than those without complications ( χ2 value was 50.83, 21.97, 56.78, 7.62, respectively, all P<0.05). The proportion of AR patients in North China who could find pollen broadcasting locally was 31.01%, significantly higher than those in other regions (all P<0.05). Multivariate linear regression model analysis showed that among PiAR patients, those with higher per capita household income and higher AR disease cognition levels had been concerned about pollen broadcasting in the past, and those complicated with allergic conjunctivitis had stronger intention to receive pollen broadcasting (B value was 0.24, 0.13, 0.66, 0.47, respectively, all P<0.05). The higher the disease cognition level of PiAR patients, the stronger their willingness to actively participate in treatment ( R2=0.72, P<0.001). Only 18.89% of AR patients felt satisfied with the treatment effect. Logistic regression analysis showed that in AR patients, the treatment satisfaction rate was significantly higher among those concerned about pollen broadcasting compared to those who were not ( OR=1.83, P<0.001). Conclusions:Currently, the dissemination of pollen broadcasting in China is hindered by various factors such as disease cognition level. The treatment satisfaction among AR patients remains unsatisfactory.
6.Clinical implications of Naples prognostic scores in patients with resectable Siewert type II-III adenocarcinoma of the esophagogastric junction
Peng JIN ; Gang MA ; Yong LIU ; Bin KE ; Hongmin LIU ; Han LIANG ; Rupeng ZHANG
Chinese Journal of Gastrointestinal Surgery 2024;27(1):54-62
Objective:To evaluate the clinical value of preoperative Naples prognostic scores (NPS) in patients with resectable Siewert type II-III esophagogastric junction adenocarcinoma (AEG).Methods:In this retrospective observational study we collected and analyzed relevant data of patients with Siewert Type II-III AEG treated in the Department of Gastric Cancer, Tianjin Medical University Cancer Institute and Hospital from January 2014 to December 2018. NPS were calculated using preoperative albumin concentration, total cholesterol concentration, neutrophil/lymphocyte ratio, and lymphocyte/monocyte ratio and used to allocate patients into three groups: NTS-0 (0 points), NTS-1 (1-2 points) and NTS-2 (3-4 points). Kaplan–Meier was used to calculate disease-free survival (DFS) and overall survival (OS) in each NPS group and the log-rank test to compare these groups. Univariate and multivariate survival analyes were performed using the Cox regression model. Time-dependent receiver operating characteristic curves were constructed to compare the relationships between four commonly used tools for evaluating inflammatory responses and nutritional status:NPS, systemic inflammatory response scores, nutrient control status (CONUT), and prognostic nutrition index (PNI).Results:The study cohort comprised 221 patients with AEG of median age 63.0 (36.0–87.0) years. There were 190 men (86.0%) and 31 women (14.0%). As to pTNM stage, 47 patients (21.3%) had Stage I disease, 68 (30.8%) Stage II, and 106 (48.0%) Stage III. One hundred and forty-seven patients (66.5%) had Siewert Type II disease and 74 (33.5%) Siewert type III. There were 45 patients (20.4%) in the NPS-0, 142 (64.2%) in the NPS-1 and 34 (15.4%) in the NPS-2 groups. Higher NPS scores were significantly associated with older patients (χ2=5.056, P=0.027) and higher TNM stages ( H=5.204, P<0.001). The median follow-up was 39 (6-105) months; 16 patients (7.2%) were lost to follow-up. The median OS in the NPS-0, NPS-1, and NPS-2 groups were 78.4, 63.1, and 37.0 months, respectively; these differences are statistically significant ( P=0.021). Univariate and multivariate Cox regression analysis identified the following as independently and significantly associated with OS in patients with Siewert Type II-III: TNM stage (Stage II: HR=2.182, 95%CI: 1.227-3.878, P=0.008; Stage III: HR=3.534, 95%CI: 1.380-6.654, P<0.001), tumor differentiation (G3: HR=1.995, 95%CI: 1.141-3.488, P=0.015), vascular invasion (HR=2.172, 95%CI: 1.403-3.363, P<0.001), adjuvant chemotherapy (HR=0.326, 95%CI: 0.200-0.531, P<0.001), NPS (NPS-1: HR=2.331, 95%CI: 1.371-3.964, P=0.002; NPS-2: HR=2.494, 95%CI: 1.165-5.341, P=0.019), SIS group (NPS-1: HR=2.170, 95%CI: 1.244-3.784, P=0.006; NPS-2: HR=2.291, 95%CI: 1.052–4.986, P=0.037), and CONUT (HR=1.597, 95% CI: 1.187-2.149, P=0.038). The median DFS in the NPS-0, NPS-1, and NPS-2 groups was 68.6, 52.5, and 28.3 months, respectively; these differences are statistically significant ( P=0.009). Univariate and multivariate Cox regression analysis identified the following as independently and significantly associated with DFS in patients with Siewert Type II-III AEG: TNM stage (StageⅡ: HR=2.789, 95%CI:1.210-6.428, P=0.016; Stage III: HR=10.721, 95%CI:4.709-24.411, P<0.001), adjuvant chemotherapy (HR=0.640, 95% CI: 0.432-0.946, P=0.025), and NPS (NPS-1: HR=1.703, 95%CI: 1.043-2.782, P=0.033; NPS-2: HR=3.124, 95%CI:1.722-5.666, P<0.001). Time-dependent receiver operating characteristic curves showed that NPS was more accurate in predicting OS and DFS in patients with Siewert Type II-III AEG than were systemic inflammatory response scores, CONUT, or PNI scores. Conclusion:NPS is associated with age and TNM stage, is an independent prognostic factor in patients who have undergone resection of Siewert type II-III AEG, and is better than SIS, CONUT, or PNI in predicting survival.
7.Clinical implications of Naples prognostic scores in patients with resectable Siewert type II-III adenocarcinoma of the esophagogastric junction
Peng JIN ; Gang MA ; Yong LIU ; Bin KE ; Hongmin LIU ; Han LIANG ; Rupeng ZHANG
Chinese Journal of Gastrointestinal Surgery 2024;27(1):54-62
Objective:To evaluate the clinical value of preoperative Naples prognostic scores (NPS) in patients with resectable Siewert type II-III esophagogastric junction adenocarcinoma (AEG).Methods:In this retrospective observational study we collected and analyzed relevant data of patients with Siewert Type II-III AEG treated in the Department of Gastric Cancer, Tianjin Medical University Cancer Institute and Hospital from January 2014 to December 2018. NPS were calculated using preoperative albumin concentration, total cholesterol concentration, neutrophil/lymphocyte ratio, and lymphocyte/monocyte ratio and used to allocate patients into three groups: NTS-0 (0 points), NTS-1 (1-2 points) and NTS-2 (3-4 points). Kaplan–Meier was used to calculate disease-free survival (DFS) and overall survival (OS) in each NPS group and the log-rank test to compare these groups. Univariate and multivariate survival analyes were performed using the Cox regression model. Time-dependent receiver operating characteristic curves were constructed to compare the relationships between four commonly used tools for evaluating inflammatory responses and nutritional status:NPS, systemic inflammatory response scores, nutrient control status (CONUT), and prognostic nutrition index (PNI).Results:The study cohort comprised 221 patients with AEG of median age 63.0 (36.0–87.0) years. There were 190 men (86.0%) and 31 women (14.0%). As to pTNM stage, 47 patients (21.3%) had Stage I disease, 68 (30.8%) Stage II, and 106 (48.0%) Stage III. One hundred and forty-seven patients (66.5%) had Siewert Type II disease and 74 (33.5%) Siewert type III. There were 45 patients (20.4%) in the NPS-0, 142 (64.2%) in the NPS-1 and 34 (15.4%) in the NPS-2 groups. Higher NPS scores were significantly associated with older patients (χ2=5.056, P=0.027) and higher TNM stages ( H=5.204, P<0.001). The median follow-up was 39 (6-105) months; 16 patients (7.2%) were lost to follow-up. The median OS in the NPS-0, NPS-1, and NPS-2 groups were 78.4, 63.1, and 37.0 months, respectively; these differences are statistically significant ( P=0.021). Univariate and multivariate Cox regression analysis identified the following as independently and significantly associated with OS in patients with Siewert Type II-III: TNM stage (Stage II: HR=2.182, 95%CI: 1.227-3.878, P=0.008; Stage III: HR=3.534, 95%CI: 1.380-6.654, P<0.001), tumor differentiation (G3: HR=1.995, 95%CI: 1.141-3.488, P=0.015), vascular invasion (HR=2.172, 95%CI: 1.403-3.363, P<0.001), adjuvant chemotherapy (HR=0.326, 95%CI: 0.200-0.531, P<0.001), NPS (NPS-1: HR=2.331, 95%CI: 1.371-3.964, P=0.002; NPS-2: HR=2.494, 95%CI: 1.165-5.341, P=0.019), SIS group (NPS-1: HR=2.170, 95%CI: 1.244-3.784, P=0.006; NPS-2: HR=2.291, 95%CI: 1.052–4.986, P=0.037), and CONUT (HR=1.597, 95% CI: 1.187-2.149, P=0.038). The median DFS in the NPS-0, NPS-1, and NPS-2 groups was 68.6, 52.5, and 28.3 months, respectively; these differences are statistically significant ( P=0.009). Univariate and multivariate Cox regression analysis identified the following as independently and significantly associated with DFS in patients with Siewert Type II-III AEG: TNM stage (StageⅡ: HR=2.789, 95%CI:1.210-6.428, P=0.016; Stage III: HR=10.721, 95%CI:4.709-24.411, P<0.001), adjuvant chemotherapy (HR=0.640, 95% CI: 0.432-0.946, P=0.025), and NPS (NPS-1: HR=1.703, 95%CI: 1.043-2.782, P=0.033; NPS-2: HR=3.124, 95%CI:1.722-5.666, P<0.001). Time-dependent receiver operating characteristic curves showed that NPS was more accurate in predicting OS and DFS in patients with Siewert Type II-III AEG than were systemic inflammatory response scores, CONUT, or PNI scores. Conclusion:NPS is associated with age and TNM stage, is an independent prognostic factor in patients who have undergone resection of Siewert type II-III AEG, and is better than SIS, CONUT, or PNI in predicting survival.
8.Epidemic status,clinical characteristics,prevention and therapy of respiratory syncytial virus infection in children after the lifting of non-pharmaceutical interventions
Mingze SUI ; Haifeng LIU ; Hongmin FU
International Journal of Pediatrics 2024;51(9):610-615
Non-pharmaceutical interventions(NPIs)against the COVID-19 restricted the spread of respiratory infectious diseases.After the lifting of NPIs for the COVID-19 pandemic,a resurgence of respiratory syncytial virus(RSV)has been observed in multiple countries and regions globally,exhibiting epidemiological and clinical characteristics distinct from previous RSV epidemic during the pre-COVID-19 era.This resurgence poses new challenges for clinical management of RSV infection.This review elucidates the changes in epidemiological and clinical features of pediatric RSV epidemic after the lifting of NPIs,potential mechanisms underlying these changes,as well as advances in RSV prevention and control,aiming to enhance the understanding of pediatric RSV infection following the lifting of NPIs,and provides reference for further optimization of strategies in the prevention,control,and clinical management of pediatric RSV infection.
9.Construction of risk prediction model for intraoperative stress injury in children with posterior scoliosis
Xiaoyan LIU ; Sisi TENG ; Si CHEN ; Hongmin XU ; Hui PENG
Journal of Clinical Surgery 2024;32(8):878-881
Objective The aim of this study was to investigate the high risk factors of intraoperative stress injury in children with posterior spinal scoliosis and to construct a corresponding risk prediction model.Methods A total of 237 cases of orthopaedic surgery for posterior scoliosis performed in three first-class hospitals in Changsha City from October 2021 to February 2023.The patients were divided into injury group(31 cases)and uninjured group(206 cases)according to whether stress injury occurred.The risk factors were screened by single factor analysis and multiple Logistic regression analysis,and the corresponding risk prediction model was constructed.Results The results of single factor analysis showed that constitutional index,preoperative skin condition,preoperative hypoproteinemia,preoperative anemia,operative time,intraoperative body temperature and intraoperative bleeding were related to the occurrence of vascular crisis.BMI,preoperative skin condition,preoperative hypoproteinemia,operative time and intraoperative bleeding are high risk factors for the occurrence of intraoperative stress injury in children with posterior scoliosis.The area under ROC curve is 0.612,the sensitivity is 89.7%,and the specificity is 91.0%,indicating that this model has good risk prediction ability.Conclusion BMI,preoperative skin condition,preoperative hypoproteinemia,operative time and intraoperative bleeding are high risk factors for the occurrence of intraoperative stress injury in children with posterior scoliosis.
10.Clinical characteristics of hospitalized children with respiratory syncytial virus infection and risk prediction of severe illness during the post-COVID-19 era in Kunming
Haifeng LIU ; Quanli FENG ; Rongwei HUANG ; Tingyun YUAN ; Mingze SUI ; Peilong LI ; Kai LIU ; Feng LI ; Yin LI ; Li JIANG ; Hongmin FU
Chinese Journal of Pediatrics 2024;62(4):323-330
Objective:To compare the epidemiological and clinical characteristics of hospitalized children with respiratory syncytial virus (RSV) infection in Kunming among the pre-and post-COVID-19 era, and to establish a prediction model for severe RSV infection in children during the post-COVID-19 period.Methods:This was a retrospective study. Clinical and laboratory data were collected from 959 children hospitalized with RSV infection in the Department of Pulmonary and Critical Care Medicine at Kunming Children′s Hospital during January to December 2019 and January to December 2023. Patients admitted in 2019 were defined as the pre-COVID-19 group, while those admitted in 2023 were classified as the post-COVID-19 group. Epidemiological and clinical characteristics were compared between the two groups. Subsequently, comparison of the clinical severity among the two groups was performed based on propensity score matching (PSM). Furthermore, the subjects in the post-COVID-19 group were divided into severe and non-severe groups based on clinical severity. Chi-square test and Mann-Whitney U test were used for pairwise comparison between groups, and multivariate Logistic regression was applied for the identification of independent risk factors and construction of the prediction model. The receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve and calibration curve were employed to evaluate the predictive performance of this model. Results:Among the 959 children hospitalized with RSV infection, there were 555 males and 404 females, with an onset age of 15.4 (7.3, 28.5) months. Of which, there were 331 cases in the pre-COVID-19 group and 628 cases in the post-COVID-19 group. The peak period of RSV hospitalization in the post-COVID-19 group were from May to October 2023, and the monthly number of inpatients for each of these months were as follows: 72 cases (11.5%), 98 cases (15.6%), 128 cases (20.4%), 101 cases (16.1%), 65 cases (10.4%), and 61 cases (9.7%), respectively. After PSM for general data, 267 cases were matched in each group. The proportion of wheezing in the post-COVID-19 group was lower than that in the pre-COVID-19 group (109 cases (40.8%) vs. 161 cases (60.3%), χ2=20.26, P<0.001), while the incidences of fever, tachypnea, seizures, severe case, neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio (NLR), C-reactive protein and interleukin-6 levels were all higher than those in the pre-COVID-19 group (146 cases (54.7%) vs. 119 cases (44.6%), 117 cases (43.8%) vs. 89 cases (33.3%), 37 cases (13.9%) vs. 14 cases (5.2%), 69 cases (25.8%) vs. 45 cases (16.9%), 3.6 (1.9, 6.4) vs. 2.3 (1.8, 4.6), 9.9 (7.1, 15.2) vs. 7.8 (4.5, 13.9) mg/L, 20.5 (15.7, 30.4) vs. 17.2 (11.0, 26.9) ng/L, χ2=5.46, 6.36, 11.47, 6.42, Z=4.13, 3.06, 2.96, all P<0.05). There were 252 cases and 107 cases with co-infection in the post-and pre-COVID-19 groups, respectively. The proportion of triple and quadruple infection in the post-COVID-19 group was higher than that in the pre-COVID-19 group (59 cases (23.4%) vs. 13 cases (12.1%), 30 cases (11.9%) vs. 5 cases (4.7%), χ2=5.94, 4.46, both P<0.05). Among the 252 cases with co-infection in post-COVID-19 group, the most prevalent pathogens involving in co-infections, in order, were Mycoplasma pneumoniae 56 cases (22.2%), Influenza A virus 53 cases (21.0%), Rhinovirus 48 cases (19.0%), Parainfluenza virus 35 cases (13.9%), and Adenovirus 28 cases (11.1%).The result of multivariate Logistic regression showed that age ( OR=0.70, 95% CI 0.62-0.78, P<0.001), underlying diseases ( OR=10.03, 95% CI 4.10-24.55, P<0.001), premature birth ( OR=6.78, 95% CI 3.53-13.04, P<0.001), NLR ( OR=1.85, 95% CI 1.09-3.15, P=0.023), and co-infection ( OR=1.28, 95% CI 1.18-1.38, P<0.001) were independently associated with the development of severe RSV infection in the post-COVID-19 group. The ROC curve of the prediction model integrating the above five factors indicated an area under the curve of 0.85 (95% CI 0.80-0.89, P<0.001), with an optimal cutoff of 0.21, a sensitivity of 0.83 and a specificity of 0.80. The calibration curve showed that the predicted probability in this model did not differ significantly from the actual probability ( P=0.319). Conclusions:In the post-COVID-19 era in Kunming, the peak in pediatric hospitalizations for RSV infection was from May to October, with declined incidence of wheezing and increased incidence of fever, tachypnea, seizures, severe cases, and rates of triple and quadruple co-infections. Age, underlying diseases, premature birth, NLR, and co-infection were identified as independent risk factors for severe RSV infection in the post-COVID-19 period. In this study, a risk prediction model for severe pediatric RSV infection was established, which had a good predictive performance.


Result Analysis
Print
Save
E-mail