1.Mechanisms of Dihuang Yinzi in Treating Advanced Parkinson's Disease Based on Gut Microbiota-SCFAs-inflammation Axis
Renzhi MA ; Yasi LIN ; Tingyue JIANG ; Hongmei ZHU ; Jiayuan LI ; Yu WANG ; Ge ZHANG ; Wenxin FAN ; Jinli SHI
Chinese Journal of Experimental Traditional Medical Formulae 2026;32(7):11-21
ObjectiveTo observe the effects of Dihuang Yinzi (DY) on motor dysfunction in rats with advanced Parkinson's disease (PD) and to investigate the mechanisms by which DY improves advanced PD symptoms through the "gut microbiota-short-chain fatty acids (SCFAs)-inflammation-neuroprotection pathway". MethodsAn advanced PD rat model was induced by rotenone. Rats were divided into a normal group, model group, positive drug group (levodopa, 50 mg·kg-1), and DY low-, medium-, and high-dose groups (5.2, 10.4, 20.8 g·kg-1). After 7 days of administration, motor function was evaluated using the open-field, pole-climbing, and inclined plate tests. Hematoxylin-eosin (HE) staining was used to observe pathological changes in the substantia nigra and colon, and immunohistochemistry was performed to detect α-Synuclein (α-Syn) and tyrosine hydroxylase (TH) expression in the substantia nigra. Enzyme-linked immunosorbent assay (ELISA) was used to measure levels of dopamine (DA), 5-hydroxytryptamine (5-HT), 3,4-dihydroxyphenylacetic acid (DOPAC), Levodopa, homovanillic acid (HVA), tumor necrosis factor-α (TNF-α), interleukin-6 (IL-6), and interleukin-1β (IL-1β). Western blot analysis was used to detect the expression of zonula occludens-1 (ZO-1) and occludin. Gut microbiota diversity was analyzed by 16S rRNA sequencing, and gas chromatography (GC) was used to determine the content of SCFAs in colonic contents. ResultsCompared with the normal group, the model group showed significantly decreased movement speed and distance in the open-field test, prolonged pole-climbing time, and reduced retention angle on the inclined plate (P<0.01), accompanied by increased α-Syn expression (P<0.01) and decreased TH expression (P<0.01) in the brain. Compared with the model group, all DY dose groups improved motor dysfunction in advanced PD rats to varying degrees (P<0.05, P<0.01) and alleviated pathological damage in the brain and colon. High-dose DY significantly reduced α-Syn aggregation in the substantia nigra (P<0.01) and increased TH expression (P<0.01). ELISA and Western blot results showed that, compared with the normal group, the model group exhibited decreased levels of DA, 5-HT, DOPAC, Levodopa, and HVA in the striatum (P<0.01), increased levels of TNF-α, IL-6, and IL-1β in the colon and striatum (P<0.01), and significantly reduced expression of ZO-1 (P<0.05) and occludin in the colon (P<0.01). Compared with the model group, all DY dose groups increased the levels of DA, 5-HT, DOPAC, Levodopa, and HVA in the striatum to varying degrees (P<0.05, P<0.01). In the high-dose DY group, the levels of TNF-α, IL-6, and IL-1β in the colon and striatum were reduced (P<0.01), while the expression of ZO-1 (P<0.05) and occludin in the intestine was increased. The 16S rRNA sequencing results indicated that the relative abundances of Actinobacteriota, Enterobacteriaceae, and Erysipelotrichaceae were increased in the model group, whereas the relative abundances of Bacteroidota, class Clostridia, Lachnospiraceae, and Akkermansia muciniphila were decreased. These changes were effectively reversed after high-dose DY intervention. GC analysis showed that the content of SCFAs in the colonic contents of rats in the model group was decreased (P<0.05, P<0.01), while after high-dose DY intervention, the levels of acetate, propionate, isobutyrate, and butyrate were significantly increased (P<0.05, P<0.01). ConclusionDY may exert therapeutic effects in advanced PD by regulating the gut microbiota-SCFAs-inflammation pathway.
2.Efficacy and safety of neoadjuvant immunotherapy combined with chemotherapy for resectable non-small cell lung cancer
Dongbao YANG ; Kaize ZHONG ; Hongmei MA ; Shifa ZHANG ; Hongfeng LIU ; Liji CHEN ; Jishen ZHANG ; Haibo CAI
Chinese Journal of Clinical Thoracic and Cardiovascular Surgery 2026;33(06):920-926
Objective To explore the efficacy and safety of neoadjuvant immunotherapy combined with chemotherapy in patients with locally advanced resectable non-small cell lung cancer (NSCLC). Methods The clinical data of patients with stage ⅡA-ⅢB NSCLC who underwent surgical treatment after receiving neoadjuvant immunotherapy combined with chemotherapy or chemotherapy alone at the First People’s Hospital of Jining between April 2021 and January 2024 were retrospectively analyzed. According to the preoperative neoadjuvant regimens, the patients were divided into a combined group and a chemotherapy group, and the clinical data of the two groups were compared. Results A total of 66 patients were included, including 61 males and 5 females. There were 53 patients in the combined group with a mean age of (63.40±6.80) years, and 13 patients in the chemotherapy group with a mean age of (58.62±8.30) years. There was a statistical difference in age between the two groups (P<0.001), while no statistical difference was observed in other baseline data (P>0.05). The major pathological response rates in the combined group and the chemotherapy group were 54.7% and 23.1%, respectively (P=0.041), and the pathological complete response rates were 39.6% and 0.0%, respectively (P=0.006). The operative time in the combined group was shorter (P=0.039). There were no statistical differences between the two groups in intraoperative blood loss, duration of postoperative tube carrying, incidence of postoperative complications, overall survival, or event-free survival (P>0.05). Conclusion Surgical treatment following neoadjuvant immunotherapy combined with chemotherapy is safe and feasible, and its long-term efficacy requires further follow-up for confirmation.
3.Efficacy and safety of neoadjuvant sintilimab plus chemotherapy for locally advanced resectable esophageal squamous cell carcinoma
Liji CHEN ; Junjun HUANG ; Hongmei MA ; Shifa ZHANG ; Dongbao YANG ; Jiuhe SUN ; Hongfeng LIU ; Kaize ZHONG ; Haibo CAI
Chinese Journal of Clinical Thoracic and Cardiovascular Surgery 2026;33(07):1071-1078
Objective To observe the efficacy and safety of neoadjuvant sintilimab combined with chemotherapy in the treatment of patients with locally advanced resectable esophageal squamous cell carcinoma (ESCC). Methods Clinical data were collected from patients with locally advanced resectable ESCC who received neoadjuvant immunotherapy combined with chemotherapy followed by surgical treatment at the Department of Thoracic Surgery of Jining No.1 People's Hospital from April 2020 to April 2022. The endpoints included major pathological response (MPR), pathological complete response (pCR), R0 resection rate, safety, and postoperative survival. Results A total of 43 patients with ESCC who received at least one cycle of neoadjuvant immunotherapy before surgery were included. Among them, there were 31 males and 12 females with a median age of 65 years (interquartile range: 58-69). All patients successfully completed the surgery without any surgical delays. The pCR rate was 14.0% (6/43), the MPR rate was 58.1% (25/43), and the R0 resection rate was 97.7% (42/43). Patients exhibited reliable safety during neoadjuvant therapy and postoperatively. The 2-year overall survival and disease-free survival rates were 90.7% and 81.4%, respectively. Kaplan-Meier survival analysis and log-rank test revealed lower recurrence rates and better survival in the MPR patients compared to the non-MPR patients. Conclusion The combination of neoadjuvant sintilimab and chemotherapy in the treatment of patients with locally advanced resectable ESCC has demonstrated significant clinical efficacy, while also being safe and reliable.
4.Clinical Efficacy of Juanbitang Hot Compress Pack Combined with Intensive Rehabilitation Training in Ameliorating Hemiplegia After Stroke
Yuqin SHENG ; Yong YU ; Yan ZHANG ; Yuqing XIE ; Qing LIN ; Qian HU ; Longyu ZHANG ; Hongmei XU ; Xiaohong FAN ; Shouliang MA
Chinese Journal of Experimental Traditional Medical Formulae 2026;32(17):210-218
ObjectiveTo explore the clinical efficacy of Juanbitang hot compress pack combined with intensive rehabilitation training in stroke patients with hemiplegia. MethodsA total of 80 stroke patients with hemiplegia were selected and assigned into a control group (40 cases) and an observation group (40 cases) according to the random number table method. The control group received conventional rehabilitation training and nursing intervention,while the observation group was additionally treated with Juanbitang hot compress pack. The two groups were compared in terms of the neurological function (national institute of health stroke scale score,NIHSS score),muscle strength,motor function (fugl-meyer assessment scale score,FMA score),daily living activity (modified barthel index,MBI),balance ability (berg balance scale score,BBS score),trunk control ability (Sheikh Trunk Control Test score,Sheikh TCT score),and homocysteine (Hcy) level before and after treatment. ResultsAfter treatment,the observation group had lower NIHSS score and Hcy level than the control group (P<0.05). The total response rate of the observation group (97.50%) was higher than that of the control group (77.50%). The scores of upper limb and lower limb FMA,MBI,BBS,and Sheikh TCT in the observation group were all higher than those in the control group (P<0.05). ConclusionThe application of Juanbitang hot compress pack combined with rehabilitation training can effectively improve the neurological function,muscle strength,motor function,daily living ability,balance ability,and trunk control ability and reduce the Hcy level in stroke patients with hemiplegia,demonstrating enhanced clinical efficacy.
5.Analysis on factors affecting blood transfusion volume of obstetric patients in a tertiary hospital in Beijing
Lihui FU ; Chunya MA ; Yuanyuan LUO ; Xiaozhen GUAN ; Shengfei TAI ; Hongmei SHI ; Yang YU
Chinese Journal of Blood Transfusion 2026;39(8):1018-1025
Objective: To explore the influencing factors of blood transfusion volume in obstetric patients based on the national health development strategy, and to provide evidence for clinical transfusion management and maternal and infant safety. Methods: A total of 1 203 obstetric patients who received blood transfusion in a tertiary hospital in Beijing from 2013 to 2023 were enrolled retrospectively. Seventeen indicators including age, body mass index (BMI), hemoglobin and prothrombin time were selected as research variables. Descriptive analysis was conducted firstly. Scatter plot matrix was used to analyze the correlation between continuous variables and transfusion volume, and box plots were used to analyze the relationship between categorical variables and transfusion volume. Linear regression, logistic regression and random forest models were established for empirical analysis, and ROC curves and AUC values were compared to evaluate model performance. Results: Descriptive analysis showed that the distribution of obstetric blood transfusion volume was right-skewed, and multiple indicators were significantly correlated with transfusion volume. Linear regression indicated that 9 variables such as age, BMI and hemoglobin had linear correlation with transfusion volume. Logistic regression confirmed that 7 variables including BMI and hemoglobin were statistically correlated with the probability of massive blood transfusion. Random forest model screened the core influencing factors, which were ranked by importance: hemoglobin, prothrombin time, hematocrit, BMI, activated partial thromboplastin time, platelet count and age. The AUC values of logistic regression and random forest were 0.78 and 0.81 respectively, and the latter had better predictive performance. Conclusion: Prenatal anemia, coagulation disorders, advanced age, obesity, gestational hypertension, placental abnormalities and organ damage can increase the risk of massive blood transfusion in obstetric patients. The random forest model has better analytical and predictive ability in this study. The results can provide reference for accurate blood transfusion and risk prediction in obstetrics.
6.Effect of Yifei Jianpi Prescription on Lipopolysaccharide-induced Lung Immune Inflammatory Response in Rats Based on STAT1/IRF3 Pathway
Hongjuan YANG ; Yaru YANG ; Yujie YANG ; Zhongbo ZHU ; Quan MA ; Yanlin WU ; Hongmei LI ; Xuhui ZHANG ; Xiping LIU
Chinese Journal of Experimental Traditional Medical Formulae 2025;31(1):146-155
ObjectiveTo observe the effect of Yifei Jianpi prescription on the of signal transducer and activator of transcription protein 1 (STAT1)/interferon regulatory factor 3 (IRF3) signaling pathway in a pneumonia model induced by lipopolysaccharide (LPS) and to explore the mechanism of Yifei Jianpi prescription in improving lung immune and inflammatory responses. MethodsSixty male SPF SD rats were used in this study. Ten rats were randomly assigned to the normal control group, and the remaining 50 were instilled with LPS in the trachea to establish a pneumonia model. After successful modeling, the rats were randomly divided into the model group, dexamethasone group (0.5 mg·kg-1), and Yifei Jianpi prescription high-dose (12 mg·kg-1), medium-dose (6 mg·kg-1), and low-dose (3 mg·kg-1) groups, with 10 rats in each group. Treatment was administered once daily, and the normal control and model groups received the same volume of normal saline. After 14 days, flow cytometry was used to detect the classification of whole blood lymphocytes. Enzyme-linked immunosorbent assay (ELISA) was used to measure serum levels of immunoglobulin G (IgG), immunoglobulin A (IgA), immunoglobulin M (IgM), and the content of tumor necrosis factor-α (TNF-α), interleukin-8 (IL-8), interleukin-6 (IL-6), and interleukin-10 (IL-10) in alveolar lavage fluid (BALF). Hematoxylin-eosin (HE) staining was used to observe lung tissue pathology and score the damage. Thymus weight, spleen weight, and wet-to-dry weight ratio (W/D) were recorded. Real-time fluorescence quantitative polymerase chain reaction (Real-time PCR) was used to detect the mRNA expression of STAT1, IRF3, IL-6, and interferon-alpha (IFN-α) in lung tissues, while Western blot was performed to assess the protein expression of STAT1, IRF3, IL-6, and IFN-α. ResultsCompared with the normal control group, the model group showed significantly increased proportion of B lymphocytes in peripheral blood, decreased proportions of NK cells and CD4+/CD8+ (P<0.05, P<0.01), decreased serum levels of IgG and IgA, significantly increased IgM levels (P<0.01), significantly elevated content of TNF-α, IL-6, and IL-8 in BALF, and significantly decreased IL-10 levels (P<0.01). Lung tissue damage was evident, with significant increases in thymus and spleen weights and a higher W/D ratio (P<0.01). The mRNA and protein expression of STAT1, IRF3, IFN-α, and IL-6 in lung tissues was significantly upregulated (P<0.05,P<0.01). Compared with the model group, the Yifei Jianpi prescription groups showed significantly reduced proportions of B lymphocytes in peripheral blood, increased proportions of NK cells and CD4+/CD8+ ratios (P<0.05, P<0.01), significantly increased serum levels of IgG and IgA, significantly decreased IgM levels (P<0.05, P<0.01), significantly reduced levels of TNF-α, IL-6, and IL-8 in BALF, and significantly increased IL-10 levels (P<0.01). Lung tissue damage was alleviated, thymus and spleen weights were significantly reduced, and the W/D ratio was markedly decreased (P<0.01). The mRNA and protein expression of STAT1, IRF3, IFN-α, and IL-6 in lung tissues was significantly downregulated (P<0.05, P<0.01). ConclusionYifei Jianpi prescription can alleviate lung tissue damage and improve immune and inflammatory responses in LPS-induced pneumonia rats. The mechanism may be related to the inhibition of STAT1/IRF3 signaling pathway activation.
7.Optimization of temperature parameters for screening unexpected antibodies in Rh system by manual polybrene test
Xin ZOU ; Minjie CHEN ; Sifei MA ; Hongmei YANG
Chinese Journal of Blood Transfusion 2025;38(1):97-100
[Objective] To explore the temperature parameters affecting the polybrene test and determine the optimal temperature conditions for detecting unexpected antibodies of the Rh system. [Methods] The reaction of IgG human anti-D antibody with different dilutions (undiluted, 1∶2, 1∶4, 1∶8, 1∶16, 1∶32,1∶64) with D antigen-positive red blood cells was detected by manual polybrene test (MPT). Different temperatures (25℃ and 37℃) were set, and the reaction time with low ionic medium was 4 minutes. The agglutination integral value of anti-D and red cell depolymerization time were compared to observe the effect of enhanced agglutination reaction, thereby establishing the test temperature reaction conditions for enhancing the MPT. The same reaction condition was applied to 36 blood samples containing unexpected antibodies of the Rh system, and the effect of enhanced MPT was observed in comparison with the polybrene method and the antiglobulin test (column agglutination). [Results] With all other conditions held constant, when low ionic medium was added, the incubation temperature of 25℃ and 37℃ resulted in different total agglutination integral values for anti-D (20.9±2.025 vs 25.5±2.635), and the comparison showed a significant difference (P<0.05). When the antibody dilution was 1∶16, the incubation temperature of 25℃ and 37℃ resulted in different agglutination integral values (3.9±0.738 vs 5.8±0.632), and the comparison showed a significant difference (P<0.05). Erythrocyte depolymerization time (62.8±8.149 vs 90.1±10.713) was significantly different (P<0.05). At a dilution of 1∶32, the incubation temperatures of 25℃ and 37℃ resulted in different agglutination integral values (2.5±0.527 vs 4.3±0.675), as well as different red blood cell dissociation times (35.4±7.792 vs 57.4±10.885)(P<0.05), and the comparison showed a significant difference (P<0.05), with no differences observed in the other groups. In the detection of 36 Rh system unexpected antibody samples, when the antibody titer was ≤2, the enhanced polybrene method had a higher positive rate, and when the antibody titer was ≥4, the detection rates of the three methods were consistent. [Conclusion] The reference temperature condition for the modified MPT is incubation at 37℃ for 4 min after the addition of low ionic medium. The application of this temperature condition to unexpected antibody samples of Rh system could achieve a significant enhancement effect, thereby increasing transfusion safety for the treatment of emergency patients, and is worth popularizing.
8.Comparison of magnetic resonance images of the temporomandibular joint using different coils
Xiaojie ZHANG ; Tingting WU ; Ye ZHANG ; Ruiqiang GUO ; Zhi YIN ; Yue ZHAO ; Jian WANG ; Tingjun LI ; Hongmei LIU ; Xicheng GUO ; Xinhua ZHANG ; Wei HOU ; Tingting LIU ; Xuefang MA ; Xinhua LIU
Chinese Journal of Stomatology 2025;60(7):713-722
Objective:To explore and compare the clinical application value of 8-channel head phased-array coil, an 8-channel temporomandibular joint (TMJ)-specific surface coil, and a single-channel surface coil in TMJ MRI examinations.Methods:A total of 600 temporomandibular disorders (TMD) patients (1 200 joints) who underwent TMJ MRI examination in the First People′s Hospital of Jinzhong from June 2020 to January 2025 were retrospectively screened. Based on inclusion/exclusion criteria, 120 TMD patients (240 joints) with closed-mouth oblique sagittal proton density weighted imaging (OSag PDWI), coronal T2 fat-suppression weighted imaging (OCor fs T2WI) and open-mouth oblique sagittal proton density weighted imaging (OSag PDWI) were included. Patients were divided into groups A, B, and C, with 40 cases in each group. Group A (31female, 9male, median age 24 years old), underwent 8-channel head phased-array coil imaging. Group B (29 female, 11male, median age 23.5 years old) underwent TMJ imaging with an 8-channel surface coil. Group C (29 female, 11male, median age 22.5 years old) underwent single-channel surface coil imaging. There were no significant differences in age, gender, type or disease types among groups ( P>0.05). Six healthy volunteers without TMD (4 female, 2 male, range 19 to 45 years old) underwent imaging with all three coils as self-control. The signal-to-noise ratio (SNR), contrast-to-noise ratio (CNR) and image quality were compared for five regions of interest (ROI) in both patients and volunteers. Results:Under the same sequence and the same parameters, SNR and CNR in group B were higher than those in group A, and SNR and CNR in group C were also higher than those in group A, the differences were statistically significant ( P<0.05). However, there were significant differences in SNR and CNR between group B and group C in the closed and open positions of ROI1, the open positions of ROI3 and the open positions of ROI5 ( P<0.05), and there were no significant differences in other positions ( P>0.05). Group B had the best image quality, followed by group C and group A had the worst image quality. There were significant differences in the visualization of OSag PDWI in the closed mouth position, OCor T2WI in the coronal position, and OSag PDWI in the open mouth position, such as condyle, anterior attachment, joint disc, double lamina area, joint cavity and lateral pterygoid muscle ( P<0.05). There were significant differences between group B and group C in showing the joint cavity in the closed mouth position and showing the structure of the bilaminar area in the open mouth position ( P<0.05). There was no significant difference in other regions of interest ( P>0.05). The subjective scores of condyle, anterior attachment, articular disc, bilaminar area, articular cavity, lateral pterygos muscle and other structures were medium to high in group A, high in group B, and high or high in group C by two radiologists independently. In the five rois, the 8-channel TMJ surface coil showed more details, especially in the articular disc, condyle and lateral pterygoid muscle regions, and had more advantages in both volunteers and patients. Conclusions:The 8-channel TMJ-specific surface coil provides significantly clearer visualization of critical anatomical details within the ROIs, demonstrating the highest clinical application value and is recommended as the preferred choice.
9.Effect of obesity-related indexes on cardiovascular autonomic nervous function in type 2 diabetes mellitus patients
Hongmei MA ; Zhenya WU ; Lijuan WANG ; Shengnan LIU ; Fanfan LI ; Jingjuan LI ; Ruifei YANG ; Yuanyuan LIU ; Qian GUO ; Jinyang WANG
Chinese Journal of Diabetes 2025;33(3):161-166
Objective To investigate the effects of obesity-related indexes on cardiovascular autonomic nervous function in type 2 diabetes mellitus(T2DM)patients.Methods A total of 421 T2DM patients treated in the Department of Endocrinology of Gansu Provincial People's Hospital were enrolled in this study from October 2020 to October 2023.All the patients were divided into simple T2DM group with VFA<100 cm2(n=193)and obese group with VFA≥100 cm2(OB,n=228)according to visceral fat area(VFA).BMI,waist-to-height ratio(WHtR),waist-to-hip ratio(WHR),lipid accumulation index(LAP),visceral fat index(VAI),Chinese visceral fat index(CVAI),tapeness index(CI),body shape index(ABSI),and body roundness index(BRI)were calculated.Time domain parameters of heart rate variability(HRV)in 24 h holter electrocardiogram were recorded,including the global standard deviation(SDNN)of normal sinus RR interval,standard deviation of mean value of sinus RR interval(SDANN),root mean square difference(RMSSD)of normal continuous sinus RR interval.The percentage of adjacent RR interval difference>50 ms in total interval(PNN50),the HRV triangle index,the standard deviation of the difference of the entire adjacent NN interval length(SDSD).Results Compared with T2DM group,the OB group showed an increase in age,weight,BMI,WC,hip circumference(HC),neck circumference(NC),SBP,HbA1c,TG,SUA,CI,WHtR,WHR,VFA,SFA,VAI,LAP,CVAI,and BRI(P<0.05 or P<0.01),while a decrease in HDL-C(P<0.05).The SDNN,SDANN,SDSD,RMSSD,HRV trigonometric index,and PNN50 were lower in OB group than in T2DM group(P<0.05 or P<0.01).Spearman correlation analysis showed that SDNN and HRV trigonometric index was negatively correlated with age,DM duration,HR,SBP,PWV,WHtR,TG,SUA,VAI,LAP,BRI,VFA,LAP,and CVAI(P<0.05 or P<0.01).Logistic regression analysis shows that age,VFA,and LAP are influencing factors for cardiac autonomic dysfunction.The analysis of the working characteristic curve of the subjects showed that the area under the curve of VFA,age,and LAP in predicting cardiovascular autonomic dysfunction was 0.680,0.614,and 0.577,with sensitivity of 87.5%,41.7%,and 61.8%,and specificity of 47.3%,73.6%,and 55.6%respectively.Conclusions BMI,HC,NC,WC,TG,SFA,CI,WHtR,WHR,LAP,BRI,VAI,CVAI and VFA are closely related to cardiovascular autonomic nervous function in T2DM patients.As VFA,Ageand LAP increase,the risk of cardiovascular autonomic dysfunction increases.
10.Construction and validation of a risk prediction model for low fall alertness in elderly inpatients
Xinxin LI ; Xiaoju TENG ; Xinkai ZHOU ; Hongmei MA ; Yating HAN ; Yingxia LI ; Jiamei ZHU ; Kun LUO
Journal of Shenyang Medical College 2025;27(1):12-19
Objective:To analyze the influencing factors of low fall alertness in elderly inpatients,construct a risk prediction model and validate it,providing a reference for clinical medical staff to identify elderly inpatients with low fall alertness in the early stage.Methods:A total of 605 elderly inpatients treated in Yijishan Hospital affiliated to Wannan Medical College from Oct 2023 to Mar 2024 were enrolled and randomly divided into the training group(n=423)and validation group(n=182)at a ratio of 7∶3.The patients were evaluated using a general information questionnaire,the Social Frailty Screening Tool(HALFT),the Tilburg Frailty Indicator(TFI),and the Self-Awareness of Falls in Elderly scale(SAFE).Multivariate logistic analysis was used to determine the influencing factors of low fall alertness in elderly inpatients.RStudio was used to construct a risk prediction model of low fall alertness.The discrimination,calibration,and clinical net benefit of the model were verified using the receiver operating characteristic(ROC)curves,calibration plots,and decision curve analysis(DCA).Results:Multivariate logistic analysis showed that the history of falls,monthly income,previous physical activity time,social frailty score and TFI score were independent risk factors for low fall alertness in elderly inpatients.The Hosmer-Lemeshow χ2 test showed that χ2=8.863,P=0.354,indicating good calibration of the prediction model.The area under the ROC curve of the training group and the validation group were 0.860(95%CI:0.815-0.904)and 0.937(95%CI:0.888-0.986),respectively,and the maximum Youden indices of the model was 0.576 and 0.788,respectively,indicating good discrimination of the model.The DCA decision curve showed that the model had good clinical effectiveness.Conclusion:The constructed model has a good prediction effect and can help clinical medical staff quickly and effectively screen out elderly inpatients at risk of low fall alertness.

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