1.Application of the Bayesian mixture model based on a principal stra-tum strategy in clinical trials
Yiwen WU ; Yue SUN ; Zixuan LU ; Jiahe PAN ; Er YU ; Hongmei WO ; Shaowen TANG ; Yang ZHAO ; Juncheng DAI ; Honggang YI
Chinese Journal of Clinical Pharmacology and Therapeutics 2025;30(7):942-949
AIM:To evaluate the application effec-tiveness of a Bayesian mixture model based on the principal stratum strategy for estimating the com-plier average causal effect(CACE)in clinical trials with non-compliance.METHODS:Using a non-infe-riority randomized controlled trial investigating a novel drug for primary type 2 diabetes mellitus(non-inferiority margin:-0.4)as a case study,the primary analysis applied a Bayesian mixture model under the monotonicity assumption to estimate CACE of between-group differences in glycated he-moglobin(HbA1c)changes within the compliant stratum,followed by non-inferiority testing.Sensi-tivity analyses included a Bayesian mixture model relaxing the monotonicity assumption and compar-ing results with per-protocol set(PPS)analysis.RE-SULTS:In the primary analysis,the posterior mean of CACE for HbA1c change in the compliant stratum was 0.081%,with a one-sided 97.5%credible inter-val lower bound of-0.124,exceeding the non-infe-riority margin(-0.4%),supporting the non-inferiori-ty efficacy of the novel drug in the compliant stra-tum(P(H1|Data)=1).Consistent findings were ob-served in PPS analyses(estimated effect:0.136%;one-sided 97.5%credible interval lower bound:-0.069%),further validating methodological robust-ness.CONCLUSION:In clinical trials with noncom-pliance as an intercurrent event,the Bayesian mix-ture model under the principal stratum strategy ef-fectively adjusts for compliance-related bias and yields conservative,robust estimates of causal ef-fects,supporting its value in efficacy evaluation un-der complex compliance scenarios.
2.Epidemiological and genomic characteristics of linezolid-resistant Enterococci iso-lated from livestock farms in Changsha
Jianqin LIU ; Jianchao ZHANG ; Zhi CHEN ; Hui YANG ; Honggang ZHU ; Liang QI ; Xiao-jun CHEN
Chinese Journal of Veterinary Science 2025;45(5):978-986
To investigate the antimicrobial resistance of Enterococci isolated from 596 anal swabs,feces and environmental samples were collected from pig,cattle,chicken and quail farms in Chang-sha,Hunan Province,Enterococci were isolated and identified by mass spectrometry.The minimum inhibitory concentrations(MICs)of 10 antimicrobial agents were determined by AGAR diffusion method.Whole genome sequencing(WGS)was used to detect the distribution of multilocus se-quence typing(ST),drug resistance genes and virulence genes.A total of 272 strains of Enterococ-cus were isolated(45.6%).The isolates were resistant to cefoxitin(68.9%)and cefotiofur(58.5%),followed by trimethoprim/sulfamethoxazole(52.2%),vancomycin(4.4%),and linezolid(13.6%).In this study,six linezolid highly resistant Enterococci isolates were analyzed by whole genome sequencing to explore the transmission mechanism of linezolid resistance because linezolid is forbidden to be used in aquaculture.ST403(4/6),ST16(1/6)and ST476(1/6)were the most common ST types,which all originated from the same farm.Three oxazolidinone resistance genes(cfr,poxtA and optrA)were found in all 21 strains.One strain(Ecc60)carried all three oxazo-lidinone resistance genes,but none of them were located on the plasmid.tet(M),aph(3')-Ⅲ,and lsa(A)were found in all six Enterococcus isolates.Interestingly,the present study is the first to i-dentify enterococci carrying the optrA gene in quail fecal samples.The analysis of the genetic envi-ronment of oxazolidinone resistance genes showed that the genetic environment of cfr(D),poxtA and optrA of isolates from the same farm was similar.A total of 19 virulence genes were detected in 6 isolates,of which 12 genes(ElrA,SrtA,ace,agg,cCF10,cOB1,cad,camE,ebpA,ebpC,efaAfs,tpx)were carried by all 6 isolates,and the types of virulence genes in strains from the same farm were extremely similar.The results showed that the drug resistance of Enterococci iso-lated from the fish farms in Changsha was serious,and the resistance rate to linezolid,which was prohibited in the fish farms,was high.The oxazolidinone resistance gene loci were accompanied by other resistance genes,especially the florfenicol resistance gene(FexA),which may be related to the abuse of florfenicol in the fish farms.
3.Effectiveness of an mHealth-based hospital-community continuity care program incorporating dyadic coping in ileostomy patients and their spouses: a pilot study
Lijun LI ; Xia MA ; Long YANG ; Honggang WANG ; Qun CHEN
Chinese Journal of General Practitioners 2025;24(5):554-560
Objective:To explore the effect of hospital-community continuous management based on mobile health and dyadic coping intervention in ileostomy patients and their spouses.Methods:This was a randomized controlled trial. Patients with rectal cancer who underwent ileostomy at Taizhou People′s Hospital between August 2018 and August 2023, along with their spouses, were enrolled. Patient-spouse dyads were randomly assigned to either the intervention group or the control group using a random number table method. Baseline demographic data were collected from both groups. The control group received routine care, whereas the intervention group was given a hospital-community transitional care program based on mHealth (mobile health) and a dyadic coping model. Stoma adaptation, family functioning, and dyadic coping capacity were evaluated at 1 week, 1 month, and 3 months postoperatively. Sedentary behavior time and exercise compliance were also assessed at 1 month and 3 months after surgery.Results:A total of 47 patient-spouse dyads were included in the control group and 48 dyads in the intervention group. There were no statistically significant differences in baseline characteristics between the two groups (all P>0.05). Similarly, no significant differences were found in the age, sex or education level of the spouses (all P>0.05). At 1 week postoperatively, there were no significant differences in family cohesion and adaptability scores between the two groups (all P>0.05). However, at 1 and 3 months postoperatively, the intervention group had significantly higher family cohesion and adaptability scores than the control group (all P<0.05). With regard to dyadic coping capacity, no significant differences were observed in any of the subscale scores of the dyadic coping questionnaire at 1 week postoperatively (all P>0.05). At 1 and 3 months postoperatively, the intervention group scored significantly higher than the control group on stress communication, supportive coping, delegated coping, and joint coping ( P<0.05), but lower on negative coping ( P<0.05). In terms of stoma adaptation, no significant difference was found between the two groups at 1 week postoperatively ( P>0.05). At 1 and 3 months postoperatively, the intervention group showed significantly higher stoma adaptation and exercise compliance scores, as well as shorter sedentary behavior time, compared to the control group (all P<0.05). Conclusions:The hospital-community transitional care program developed by the research team effectively improves family functioning, dyadic coping capacity in ileostomy patient-spouse dyads, and postoperative stoma adaptation and rehabilitation outcomes.
4.Spicy food consumption and risk of vascular disease: Evidence from a large-scale Chinese prospective cohort of 0.5 million people.
Dongfang YOU ; Dianjianyi SUN ; Ziyu ZHAO ; Mingyu SONG ; Lulu PAN ; Yaqian WU ; Yingdan TANG ; Mengyi LU ; Fang SHAO ; Sipeng SHEN ; Jianling BAI ; Honggang YI ; Ruyang ZHANG ; Yongyue WEI ; Hongxia MA ; Hongyang XU ; Canqing YU ; Jun LV ; Pei PEI ; Ling YANG ; Yiping CHEN ; Zhengming CHEN ; Hongbing SHEN ; Feng CHEN ; Yang ZHAO ; Liming LI
Chinese Medical Journal 2025;138(14):1696-1704
BACKGROUND:
Spicy food consumption has been reported to be inversely associated with mortality from multiple diseases. However, the effect of spicy food intake on the incidence of vascular diseases in the Chinese population remains unclear. This study was conducted to explore this association.
METHODS:
This study was performed using the large-scale China Kadoorie Biobank (CKB) prospective cohort of 486,335 participants. The primary outcomes were vascular disease, ischemic heart disease (IHD), major coronary events (MCEs), cerebrovascular disease, stroke, and non-stroke cerebrovascular disease. A Cox proportional hazards regression model was used to assess the association between spicy food consumption and incident vascular diseases. Subgroup analysis was also performed to evaluate the heterogeneity of the association between spicy food consumption and the risk of vascular disease stratified by several basic characteristics. In addition, the joint effects of spicy food consumption and the healthy lifestyle score on the risk of vascular disease were also evaluated, and sensitivity analyses were performed to assess the reliability of the association results.
RESULTS:
During a median follow-up time of 12.1 years, a total of 136,125 patients with vascular disease, 46,689 patients with IHD, 10,097 patients with MCEs, 80,114 patients with cerebrovascular disease, 56,726 patients with stroke, and 40,098 patients with non-stroke cerebrovascular disease were identified. Participants who consumed spicy food 1-2 days/week (hazard ratio [HR] = 0.95, 95% confidence interval [95% CI] = [0.93, 0.97], P <0.001), 3-5 days/week (HR = 0.96, 95% CI = [0.94, 0.99], P = 0.003), and 6-7 days/week (HR = 0.97, 95% CI = [0.95, 0.99], P = 0.002) had a significantly lower risk of vascular disease than those who consumed spicy food less than once a week ( Ptrend <0.001), especially in those who were younger and living in rural areas. Notably, the disease-based subgroup analysis indicated that the inverse associations remained in IHD ( Ptrend = 0.011) and MCEs ( Ptrend = 0.002) risk. Intriguingly, there was an interaction effect between spicy food consumption and the healthy lifestyle score on the risk of IHD ( Pinteraction = 0.037).
CONCLUSIONS
Our findings support an inverse association between spicy food consumption and vascular disease in the Chinese population, which may provide additional dietary guidance for the prevention of vascular diseases.
Humans
;
Male
;
Female
;
Prospective Studies
;
Middle Aged
;
Aged
;
Vascular Diseases/etiology*
;
Risk Factors
;
China/epidemiology*
;
Adult
;
Proportional Hazards Models
;
Cerebrovascular Disorders/epidemiology*
;
East Asian People
5.miR-141-3p down-regulating lysophosphatidic acid receptor3 inhibits proliferation,migration and epithelial-mesenchymal transition of brain glioma cells
Wenhui LI ; Honggang REN ; Jian GUO ; Yang SONG ; Fuqiang FENG
Basic & Clinical Medicine 2025;45(12):1580-1587
Objective To investigate the impacts of miR-141-3p on the proliferation,migration and epithelial-mesen-chymal transformation of glioma cells by regulating lysophosphatidic acid receptor 3(LPAR3).Methods RT-qPCR was used to detect the level of miR-141-3p and LPAR3 in glioma tissues and cells.Dual luciferase was used to de-tect the targeting relationship between miR-141-3p and LPAR3.The cells were divided into control group,miR-NC group,miR-141-3p mimics group,miR-141-3p mimics+pcDNA3.1 group,and miR-141-3p mimics+pcDNA-LPAR3 group,and then transfected with corresponding plasmids.RT-qPCR was used to detect the level of miR-141-3p and LPAR3 in cells.EdU method was used to detect cell proliferation.The scratch healing experiment was used to detect cell migration.Western blot was used to detect the expression of proteins related to cell proliferation,migration,and epithelial-mesenchymal transformation.Xenograft tumor model in nude mice was used to observe tumor formation.RT-qPCR was used to detect the level of miR-141-3p in tumor tissue.In addition,Western blot was performed to detect the expression of LPAR3,PCNA,and MMP-2.Results miR-141-3p was downregulated,whereas LPAR3 mRNA was upregulated in glioma tissues and U251,T98G,and CHG-5 cell lines(P<0.05).There was a targeted binding site between miR-141-3p and LPAR3.miR-141-3p mimics significantly increased the ex-pression of miR-141-3p and E-cadherin,but decreased LPAR3 mRNA level,EdU-positive rate,scratch wound healing rate,and the expression of PCNA,cyclin D1,MMP-2,MMP-9,N-cadherin,and vimentin(P<0.05).pcDNA-LPAR3 reversed effect on expression of these factors(P<0.05).Tumor transplantation experiments in nude mice showed that miR-141-3p mimics reduced tumor volume,tumor weight,LPAR3,PCNA,and MMP-2 expres-sion,and increased the level of miR-141-3p(P<0.05).Conclusions miR-141-3p can inhibit proliferation,mi-gration,and epithelial-mesenchymal transformation of glioma cells by down-regulating LPAR3.
6.Epidemiological trends and burden of inflammatory bowel disease in China based on the global burden of disease study 2021
Jingyi WANG ; Wenzhuo ZHAO ; Honggang WANG ; Minna ZHANG ; Shangnong WU ; Xiaozhong YANG
Chinese Journal of Inflammatory Bowel Diseases 2025;09(2):125-135
Objective:Based on data from the Global Burden of Disease Study 2021 (GBD 2021), this study aims to analyze the epidemiological trends of inflammatory bowel diseases (IBD) in China from 1990 to 2021 and to assess the projected disease burden.Methods:Data on incidence, prevalence, mortality, and disability-adjusted life years (DALY) for IBD in China from 1990 to 2021 were extracted from the GBD 2021 database. Annual percent change (EAPC) and Bayesian age-period-cohort (BAPC) analyses were employed to evaluate these trends. Additionally, predictions for the disease burden over the next 25 years were made.Results:The age-standardized incidence rate of IBD in China rose from 0.74 per 100 000 in 1990 to 1.40 per 100 000 in 2021, an 89.19% increase. The age-standardized prevalence rate increased from 5.59 per 100 000 in 1990 to 9.16 per 100 000 in 2021, marking a 63.86% rise. Conversely, the age-standardized case fatality rate decreased from 0.75 per 100 000 in 1990 to 0.33 per 100 000 in 2021, a reduction of 56.00%. The total DALYs decreased from 162 186 in 1990 to 136 932 in 2021, a decline of 15.57%, while the age-standardized DALY rate fell from 18.38 per 100 000 in 1990 to 7.68 per 100 000 in 2021, a decrease of 58.22%. Analysis by age group revealed that the age-standardized incidence rate for the 35-39 years cohort increased most significantly, with an EAPC of 3.23%. The age-standardized prevalence rate for the 50-54 years cohort increased most significantly, with an EAPC of 2.85%. Gender analysis indicated that from 1990 to 2021, the age-standardized prevalence rate was higher among females than males, but the age-standardized case fatality rate rate was higher among males. From 2004 to 2021, the age-standardized DALY rate declined for both sexes, though it remained higher in males. By 2046, the number of new cases is projected to be slightly higher in males, while case fatality rate and DALYs are expected to remain low for both genders.Conclusions:Over the past three decades, the disease burden of IBD in China has increased significantly, particularly in terms of incidence and prevalence. Despite a general decrease in case fatality rates, the burden of IBD may increase in the elderly population due to aging demographics. Therefore, effective preventive measures, early screening, and aggressive treatment are crucial, especially for the elderly.
7.The application of sequential analysis for continuous post-market vaccine safety surveillance
Zixuan LU ; Musu LI ; Jiahe PAN ; Yiwen WU ; Huilin LI ; Er YU ; Hongmei WO ; Shaowen TANG ; Yang ZHAO ; Juncheng DAI ; Honggang YI
Chinese Journal of Epidemiology 2025;46(3):514-518
To explore the application of sequential analysis in post-market safety dynamic surveillance of vaccines. Under the dynamic monitoring data of vaccines post-market approval, this research introduces the fundamental principles of maximizing sequential probability ratio test (MaxSPRT) and Bayesian sequential analysis, employing R software. Through an example of dynamic safety monitoring data of vaccines post-market approval, we analyze using the MaxSPRT and Bayesian sequential analysis. The MaxSPRT identified a safety signal in week 4 ( P<0.05), while Bayesian sequential analysis indicated that the 95% highest density interval for the RR value at week 4 is 1.13-3.27, suggesting the first appearance of a safety signal at week 4. The MaxSPRT and Bayesian sequential analysis effectively leverage continuously accumulating dynamic monitoring data, thereby serving as a valuable method for post-market safety surveillance of vaccines.
8.Epidemiological trends and burden of inflammatory bowel disease in China based on the global burden of disease study 2021
Jingyi WANG ; Wenzhuo ZHAO ; Honggang WANG ; Minna ZHANG ; Shangnong WU ; Xiaozhong YANG
Chinese Journal of Inflammatory Bowel Diseases 2025;09(2):125-135
Objective:Based on data from the Global Burden of Disease Study 2021 (GBD 2021), this study aims to analyze the epidemiological trends of inflammatory bowel diseases (IBD) in China from 1990 to 2021 and to assess the projected disease burden.Methods:Data on incidence, prevalence, mortality, and disability-adjusted life years (DALY) for IBD in China from 1990 to 2021 were extracted from the GBD 2021 database. Annual percent change (EAPC) and Bayesian age-period-cohort (BAPC) analyses were employed to evaluate these trends. Additionally, predictions for the disease burden over the next 25 years were made.Results:The age-standardized incidence rate of IBD in China rose from 0.74 per 100 000 in 1990 to 1.40 per 100 000 in 2021, an 89.19% increase. The age-standardized prevalence rate increased from 5.59 per 100 000 in 1990 to 9.16 per 100 000 in 2021, marking a 63.86% rise. Conversely, the age-standardized case fatality rate decreased from 0.75 per 100 000 in 1990 to 0.33 per 100 000 in 2021, a reduction of 56.00%. The total DALYs decreased from 162 186 in 1990 to 136 932 in 2021, a decline of 15.57%, while the age-standardized DALY rate fell from 18.38 per 100 000 in 1990 to 7.68 per 100 000 in 2021, a decrease of 58.22%. Analysis by age group revealed that the age-standardized incidence rate for the 35-39 years cohort increased most significantly, with an EAPC of 3.23%. The age-standardized prevalence rate for the 50-54 years cohort increased most significantly, with an EAPC of 2.85%. Gender analysis indicated that from 1990 to 2021, the age-standardized prevalence rate was higher among females than males, but the age-standardized case fatality rate rate was higher among males. From 2004 to 2021, the age-standardized DALY rate declined for both sexes, though it remained higher in males. By 2046, the number of new cases is projected to be slightly higher in males, while case fatality rate and DALYs are expected to remain low for both genders.Conclusions:Over the past three decades, the disease burden of IBD in China has increased significantly, particularly in terms of incidence and prevalence. Despite a general decrease in case fatality rates, the burden of IBD may increase in the elderly population due to aging demographics. Therefore, effective preventive measures, early screening, and aggressive treatment are crucial, especially for the elderly.
9.Epidemiological and genomic characteristics of linezolid-resistant Enterococci iso-lated from livestock farms in Changsha
Jianqin LIU ; Jianchao ZHANG ; Zhi CHEN ; Hui YANG ; Honggang ZHU ; Liang QI ; Xiao-jun CHEN
Chinese Journal of Veterinary Science 2025;45(5):978-986
To investigate the antimicrobial resistance of Enterococci isolated from 596 anal swabs,feces and environmental samples were collected from pig,cattle,chicken and quail farms in Chang-sha,Hunan Province,Enterococci were isolated and identified by mass spectrometry.The minimum inhibitory concentrations(MICs)of 10 antimicrobial agents were determined by AGAR diffusion method.Whole genome sequencing(WGS)was used to detect the distribution of multilocus se-quence typing(ST),drug resistance genes and virulence genes.A total of 272 strains of Enterococ-cus were isolated(45.6%).The isolates were resistant to cefoxitin(68.9%)and cefotiofur(58.5%),followed by trimethoprim/sulfamethoxazole(52.2%),vancomycin(4.4%),and linezolid(13.6%).In this study,six linezolid highly resistant Enterococci isolates were analyzed by whole genome sequencing to explore the transmission mechanism of linezolid resistance because linezolid is forbidden to be used in aquaculture.ST403(4/6),ST16(1/6)and ST476(1/6)were the most common ST types,which all originated from the same farm.Three oxazolidinone resistance genes(cfr,poxtA and optrA)were found in all 21 strains.One strain(Ecc60)carried all three oxazo-lidinone resistance genes,but none of them were located on the plasmid.tet(M),aph(3')-Ⅲ,and lsa(A)were found in all six Enterococcus isolates.Interestingly,the present study is the first to i-dentify enterococci carrying the optrA gene in quail fecal samples.The analysis of the genetic envi-ronment of oxazolidinone resistance genes showed that the genetic environment of cfr(D),poxtA and optrA of isolates from the same farm was similar.A total of 19 virulence genes were detected in 6 isolates,of which 12 genes(ElrA,SrtA,ace,agg,cCF10,cOB1,cad,camE,ebpA,ebpC,efaAfs,tpx)were carried by all 6 isolates,and the types of virulence genes in strains from the same farm were extremely similar.The results showed that the drug resistance of Enterococci iso-lated from the fish farms in Changsha was serious,and the resistance rate to linezolid,which was prohibited in the fish farms,was high.The oxazolidinone resistance gene loci were accompanied by other resistance genes,especially the florfenicol resistance gene(FexA),which may be related to the abuse of florfenicol in the fish farms.
10.Application of the Bayesian mixture model based on a principal stra-tum strategy in clinical trials
Yiwen WU ; Yue SUN ; Zixuan LU ; Jiahe PAN ; Er YU ; Hongmei WO ; Shaowen TANG ; Yang ZHAO ; Juncheng DAI ; Honggang YI
Chinese Journal of Clinical Pharmacology and Therapeutics 2025;30(7):942-949
AIM:To evaluate the application effec-tiveness of a Bayesian mixture model based on the principal stratum strategy for estimating the com-plier average causal effect(CACE)in clinical trials with non-compliance.METHODS:Using a non-infe-riority randomized controlled trial investigating a novel drug for primary type 2 diabetes mellitus(non-inferiority margin:-0.4)as a case study,the primary analysis applied a Bayesian mixture model under the monotonicity assumption to estimate CACE of between-group differences in glycated he-moglobin(HbA1c)changes within the compliant stratum,followed by non-inferiority testing.Sensi-tivity analyses included a Bayesian mixture model relaxing the monotonicity assumption and compar-ing results with per-protocol set(PPS)analysis.RE-SULTS:In the primary analysis,the posterior mean of CACE for HbA1c change in the compliant stratum was 0.081%,with a one-sided 97.5%credible inter-val lower bound of-0.124,exceeding the non-infe-riority margin(-0.4%),supporting the non-inferiori-ty efficacy of the novel drug in the compliant stra-tum(P(H1|Data)=1).Consistent findings were ob-served in PPS analyses(estimated effect:0.136%;one-sided 97.5%credible interval lower bound:-0.069%),further validating methodological robust-ness.CONCLUSION:In clinical trials with noncom-pliance as an intercurrent event,the Bayesian mix-ture model under the principal stratum strategy ef-fectively adjusts for compliance-related bias and yields conservative,robust estimates of causal ef-fects,supporting its value in efficacy evaluation un-der complex compliance scenarios.

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