1.The application of sequential analysis for continuous post-market vaccine safety surveillance
Zixuan LU ; Musu LI ; Jiahe PAN ; Yiwen WU ; Huilin LI ; Er YU ; Hongmei WO ; Shaowen TANG ; Yang ZHAO ; Juncheng DAI ; Honggang YI
Chinese Journal of Epidemiology 2025;46(3):514-518
To explore the application of sequential analysis in post-market safety dynamic surveillance of vaccines. Under the dynamic monitoring data of vaccines post-market approval, this research introduces the fundamental principles of maximizing sequential probability ratio test (MaxSPRT) and Bayesian sequential analysis, employing R software. Through an example of dynamic safety monitoring data of vaccines post-market approval, we analyze using the MaxSPRT and Bayesian sequential analysis. The MaxSPRT identified a safety signal in week 4 ( P<0.05), while Bayesian sequential analysis indicated that the 95% highest density interval for the RR value at week 4 is 1.13-3.27, suggesting the first appearance of a safety signal at week 4. The MaxSPRT and Bayesian sequential analysis effectively leverage continuously accumulating dynamic monitoring data, thereby serving as a valuable method for post-market safety surveillance of vaccines.
2.Spicy food consumption and risk of vascular disease: Evidence from a large-scale Chinese prospective cohort of 0.5 million people.
Dongfang YOU ; Dianjianyi SUN ; Ziyu ZHAO ; Mingyu SONG ; Lulu PAN ; Yaqian WU ; Yingdan TANG ; Mengyi LU ; Fang SHAO ; Sipeng SHEN ; Jianling BAI ; Honggang YI ; Ruyang ZHANG ; Yongyue WEI ; Hongxia MA ; Hongyang XU ; Canqing YU ; Jun LV ; Pei PEI ; Ling YANG ; Yiping CHEN ; Zhengming CHEN ; Hongbing SHEN ; Feng CHEN ; Yang ZHAO ; Liming LI
Chinese Medical Journal 2025;138(14):1696-1704
BACKGROUND:
Spicy food consumption has been reported to be inversely associated with mortality from multiple diseases. However, the effect of spicy food intake on the incidence of vascular diseases in the Chinese population remains unclear. This study was conducted to explore this association.
METHODS:
This study was performed using the large-scale China Kadoorie Biobank (CKB) prospective cohort of 486,335 participants. The primary outcomes were vascular disease, ischemic heart disease (IHD), major coronary events (MCEs), cerebrovascular disease, stroke, and non-stroke cerebrovascular disease. A Cox proportional hazards regression model was used to assess the association between spicy food consumption and incident vascular diseases. Subgroup analysis was also performed to evaluate the heterogeneity of the association between spicy food consumption and the risk of vascular disease stratified by several basic characteristics. In addition, the joint effects of spicy food consumption and the healthy lifestyle score on the risk of vascular disease were also evaluated, and sensitivity analyses were performed to assess the reliability of the association results.
RESULTS:
During a median follow-up time of 12.1 years, a total of 136,125 patients with vascular disease, 46,689 patients with IHD, 10,097 patients with MCEs, 80,114 patients with cerebrovascular disease, 56,726 patients with stroke, and 40,098 patients with non-stroke cerebrovascular disease were identified. Participants who consumed spicy food 1-2 days/week (hazard ratio [HR] = 0.95, 95% confidence interval [95% CI] = [0.93, 0.97], P <0.001), 3-5 days/week (HR = 0.96, 95% CI = [0.94, 0.99], P = 0.003), and 6-7 days/week (HR = 0.97, 95% CI = [0.95, 0.99], P = 0.002) had a significantly lower risk of vascular disease than those who consumed spicy food less than once a week ( Ptrend <0.001), especially in those who were younger and living in rural areas. Notably, the disease-based subgroup analysis indicated that the inverse associations remained in IHD ( Ptrend = 0.011) and MCEs ( Ptrend = 0.002) risk. Intriguingly, there was an interaction effect between spicy food consumption and the healthy lifestyle score on the risk of IHD ( Pinteraction = 0.037).
CONCLUSIONS
Our findings support an inverse association between spicy food consumption and vascular disease in the Chinese population, which may provide additional dietary guidance for the prevention of vascular diseases.
Humans
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Male
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Female
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Prospective Studies
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Middle Aged
;
Aged
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Vascular Diseases/etiology*
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Risk Factors
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China/epidemiology*
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Adult
;
Proportional Hazards Models
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Cerebrovascular Disorders/epidemiology*
;
East Asian People
3.Application of the Bayesian mixture model based on a principal stra-tum strategy in clinical trials
Yiwen WU ; Yue SUN ; Zixuan LU ; Jiahe PAN ; Er YU ; Hongmei WO ; Shaowen TANG ; Yang ZHAO ; Juncheng DAI ; Honggang YI
Chinese Journal of Clinical Pharmacology and Therapeutics 2025;30(7):942-949
AIM:To evaluate the application effec-tiveness of a Bayesian mixture model based on the principal stratum strategy for estimating the com-plier average causal effect(CACE)in clinical trials with non-compliance.METHODS:Using a non-infe-riority randomized controlled trial investigating a novel drug for primary type 2 diabetes mellitus(non-inferiority margin:-0.4)as a case study,the primary analysis applied a Bayesian mixture model under the monotonicity assumption to estimate CACE of between-group differences in glycated he-moglobin(HbA1c)changes within the compliant stratum,followed by non-inferiority testing.Sensi-tivity analyses included a Bayesian mixture model relaxing the monotonicity assumption and compar-ing results with per-protocol set(PPS)analysis.RE-SULTS:In the primary analysis,the posterior mean of CACE for HbA1c change in the compliant stratum was 0.081%,with a one-sided 97.5%credible inter-val lower bound of-0.124,exceeding the non-infe-riority margin(-0.4%),supporting the non-inferiori-ty efficacy of the novel drug in the compliant stra-tum(P(H1|Data)=1).Consistent findings were ob-served in PPS analyses(estimated effect:0.136%;one-sided 97.5%credible interval lower bound:-0.069%),further validating methodological robust-ness.CONCLUSION:In clinical trials with noncom-pliance as an intercurrent event,the Bayesian mix-ture model under the principal stratum strategy ef-fectively adjusts for compliance-related bias and yields conservative,robust estimates of causal ef-fects,supporting its value in efficacy evaluation un-der complex compliance scenarios.
4.The application of sequential analysis for continuous post-market vaccine safety surveillance
Zixuan LU ; Musu LI ; Jiahe PAN ; Yiwen WU ; Huilin LI ; Er YU ; Hongmei WO ; Shaowen TANG ; Yang ZHAO ; Juncheng DAI ; Honggang YI
Chinese Journal of Epidemiology 2025;46(3):514-518
To explore the application of sequential analysis in post-market safety dynamic surveillance of vaccines. Under the dynamic monitoring data of vaccines post-market approval, this research introduces the fundamental principles of maximizing sequential probability ratio test (MaxSPRT) and Bayesian sequential analysis, employing R software. Through an example of dynamic safety monitoring data of vaccines post-market approval, we analyze using the MaxSPRT and Bayesian sequential analysis. The MaxSPRT identified a safety signal in week 4 ( P<0.05), while Bayesian sequential analysis indicated that the 95% highest density interval for the RR value at week 4 is 1.13-3.27, suggesting the first appearance of a safety signal at week 4. The MaxSPRT and Bayesian sequential analysis effectively leverage continuously accumulating dynamic monitoring data, thereby serving as a valuable method for post-market safety surveillance of vaccines.
5.Application of the Bayesian mixture model based on a principal stra-tum strategy in clinical trials
Yiwen WU ; Yue SUN ; Zixuan LU ; Jiahe PAN ; Er YU ; Hongmei WO ; Shaowen TANG ; Yang ZHAO ; Juncheng DAI ; Honggang YI
Chinese Journal of Clinical Pharmacology and Therapeutics 2025;30(7):942-949
AIM:To evaluate the application effec-tiveness of a Bayesian mixture model based on the principal stratum strategy for estimating the com-plier average causal effect(CACE)in clinical trials with non-compliance.METHODS:Using a non-infe-riority randomized controlled trial investigating a novel drug for primary type 2 diabetes mellitus(non-inferiority margin:-0.4)as a case study,the primary analysis applied a Bayesian mixture model under the monotonicity assumption to estimate CACE of between-group differences in glycated he-moglobin(HbA1c)changes within the compliant stratum,followed by non-inferiority testing.Sensi-tivity analyses included a Bayesian mixture model relaxing the monotonicity assumption and compar-ing results with per-protocol set(PPS)analysis.RE-SULTS:In the primary analysis,the posterior mean of CACE for HbA1c change in the compliant stratum was 0.081%,with a one-sided 97.5%credible inter-val lower bound of-0.124,exceeding the non-infe-riority margin(-0.4%),supporting the non-inferiori-ty efficacy of the novel drug in the compliant stra-tum(P(H1|Data)=1).Consistent findings were ob-served in PPS analyses(estimated effect:0.136%;one-sided 97.5%credible interval lower bound:-0.069%),further validating methodological robust-ness.CONCLUSION:In clinical trials with noncom-pliance as an intercurrent event,the Bayesian mix-ture model under the principal stratum strategy ef-fectively adjusts for compliance-related bias and yields conservative,robust estimates of causal ef-fects,supporting its value in efficacy evaluation un-der complex compliance scenarios.
6.Application of deep learning to the differenciation of the invasion depth in colorectal adenomas
Youming XU ; Liwen YAO ; Zihua LU ; Honggang YU
Chinese Journal of Digestive Endoscopy 2023;40(7):534-538
Objective:To evaluate deep learning for differentiating invasion depth of colorectal adenomas under image enhanced endoscopy (IEE).Methods:A total of 13 246 IEE images from 3 714 lesions acquired from November 2016 to June 2021 were retrospectively collected in Renmin Hospital of Wuhan University, Shenzhen Hospital of Southern Medical University and the First Hospital of Yichang to construct a deep learning model to differentiate submucosal deep invasion and non-submucosal deep invasion lesions of colorectal adenomas. The performance of the deep learning model was validated in an independent test and an external test. The full test was used to compare the diagnostic performance between 5 endoscopists and the deep learning model. A total of 35 videos were collected from January to June 2021 in Renmin Hospital of Wuhan University to validate the diagnostic performance of the endoscopists with the assistance of deep learning model.Results:The accuracy and Youden index of the deep learning model in image test set were 93.08% (821/882) and 0.86, which were better than those of endoscopists [the highest were 91.72% (809/882) and 0.78]. In video test set, the accuracy and Youden index of the model were 97.14% (34/35) and 0.94. With the assistance of the model, the accuracy of endoscopists was significantly improved [the highest was 97.14% (34/35)].Conclusion:The deep learning model obtained in this study could identify submucosal lesions with deep invasion accurately for colorectal adenomas, and could improve the diagnostic accuracy of endoscopists.
7.Histological Characteristics of the Kidney in Mongolian Gerbils of Different Ages
Lingqun LU ; Honggang GUO ; Qiaojuan SHI ; Fangwei DAI ; Xiaofeng CHU
Laboratory Animal and Comparative Medicine 2023;43(1):61-66
ObjectiveTo explore the histological characteristics of the kidney in Mongolian gerbils of different ages. MethodsTen Mongolian gerbils of 2, 6, and 12 months old (half male and half female) were selected. After euthanasia, the kidneys were taken and paraffin sections were made. After HE, MASSON and PAS staining, the structural differences of different parts of the kidney tissue in gerbils of different ages were observed by digital scanning, and the relevant data of the kidney tissue were measured by image analysis software. ResultsThe number of proximal convoluted tubules was more than that of distal convoluted tubules in the renal cortex and outer medulla of gerbils. With age, the glomerular density decreased, the glomerular diameter increased, the basement membrane of renal tubules thickened, and the fibrous components between renal tubules increased. ConclusionThe histological structure of Mongolian gerbil's kidney varies with age, which may be related to glomerulosclerosis and parenchymal cell reduction. The specific mechanism needs further study.
8.Effectiveness of artificial intelligence-endoscopic ultrasound biliary and pancreatic recognition system: a crossover study
Boru CHEN ; Liwen YAO ; Lihui ZHANG ; Zihua LU ; Huiling WU ; Honggang YU
Chinese Journal of Digestive Endoscopy 2023;40(10):778-783
Objective:To explore the effectiveness of the artificial intelligence-endoscopic ultrasound (AI-EUS) biliary and pancreatic recognition system in assisting the recognition of EUS images.Methods:Subjects who received EUS due to suspicious biliary and pancreatic diseases from December 2019 to August 2020 were prospectively collected from the database of Department of Gastroenterology, Renmin Hospital of Wuhan University. Pancreatic EUS images of 28 subjects were included for recognition of pancreas standard station. EUS images of bile duct of 29 subjects were included for recognition of bile duct standard station. Eight new endoscopists from the Gastroenterology Department of Renmin Hospital of Wuhan University read the 57 EUS videos with and without the assistance of AI-EUS biliary and pancreatic recognition system. Accuracy of endoscopists' identification of biliary and pancreatic standard sites with and without the assistance of AI-EUS was compared.Results:The accuracy of pancreas standard station identification of the new endoscopists increased from 67.2% (903/1 344) to 78.4% (1 054/1 344) with the assistance of AI-EUS. The accuracy of bile duct standard station identification increased from 56.4% (523/928) to 73.8% (685/928).Conclusion:AI-EUS biliary and pancreatic recognition system can improve the accuracy of EUS images recognition of biliary and pancreatic system, which can assist diagnosis in clinical work.
9.Drug discovery by targeting the protein-protein interactions involved in autophagy.
Honggang XIANG ; Mi ZHOU ; Yan LI ; Lu ZHOU ; Renxiao WANG
Acta Pharmaceutica Sinica B 2023;13(11):4373-4390
Autophagy is a cellular process in which proteins and organelles are engulfed in autophagosomal vesicles and transported to the lysosome/vacuole for degradation. Protein-protein interactions (PPIs) play a crucial role at many stages of autophagy, which present formidable but attainable targets for autophagy regulation. Moreover, selective regulation of PPIs tends to have a lower risk in causing undesired off-target effects in the context of a complicated biological network. Thus, small-molecule regulators, including peptides and peptidomimetics, targeting the critical PPIs involved in autophagy provide a new opportunity for innovative drug discovery. This article provides general background knowledge of the critical PPIs involved in autophagy and reviews a range of successful attempts on discovering regulators targeting those PPIs. Successful strategies and existing limitations in this field are also discussed.
10.Deep learning-based diagnostic system for gastrointestinal submucosal tumor under endoscopic ultrasonography
Chenxia ZHANG ; Xun LI ; Liwen YAO ; Jun ZHANG ; Zihua LU ; Huiling WU ; Honggang YU
Chinese Journal of Digestion 2022;42(7):464-469
Objective:To construct a deep learning-based diagnostic system for gastrointestinal submucosal tumor (SMT) under endoscopic ultrasonography (EUS), so as to help endoscopists diagnose SMT.Methods:From January 1, 2019 to December 15, 2021, at the Digestive Endoscopy Center of Renmin Hospital of Wuhan University, 245 patients with SMT confirmed by pathological diagnosis who underwent EUS and endoscopic submucosal dissection were enrolled. A total of 3 400 EUS images were collected. Among the images, 2 722 EUS images were used for training of lesion segmentation model, while 2 209 EUS images were used for training of stromal tumor and leiomyoma classification model; 283 and 191 images were selected as independent test sets to evaluate lesion segmentation model and classification model, respectively. Thirty images were selected as an independent data set for human-machine competition to compare the lesion classification accuracy between lesion classification models and 6 endoscopists. The performance of the segmentation model was evaluated by indexes such as Intersection-over-Union and Dice coefficient. The performance of the classification model was evaluated by accuracy. Chi-square test was used for statistical analysis.Results:The average Intersection-over-Union and Dice coefficient of lesion segmentation model were 0.754 and 0.835, respectively, and the accuracy, recall and F1 score were 95.2%, 98.9% and 97.0%, respectively. Based on the lesion segmentation, the accuracy of classification model increased from 70.2% to 92.1%. The results of human-machine competition showed that the accuracy of classification model in differential diagnosis of stromal tumor and leiomyoma was 86.7% (26/30), which was superior to that of 4 out of the 6 endoscopists(56.7%, 17/30; 56.7%, 17/30; 53.3%, 16/30; 60.0%, 18/30; respectively), and the differences were statistically significant( χ2=7.11, 7.36, 8.10, 6.13; all P<0.05). There was no significant difference between the accuracy of the other 2 endoscopists(76.7%, 23/30; 73.3%, 22/30; respectively) and model(both P<0.05). Conclusion:This system could be used for the auxiliary diagnosis of SMT under ultrasonic endoscope in the future, and to provide a powerful evidence for the selection of subsequent treatment decisions.

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