1.Association between sleep patterns and myopia progression in younger school-age children in Changning District, Shanghai
Zihan JIANG ; Cidan YANGZONG ; Zeyan JIN ; Weiyi WEI ; Hong PANG ; Lei QIAN ; Qiaozhen HU ; Jianlin ZHUANG ; Chunjin NIU ; Qian WEI
Shanghai Journal of Preventive Medicine 2026;38(4):296-301
ObjectiveTo investigate the correlation between sleep patterns and myopia progression among younger school-age children at a primary school in Changning District of Shanghai, based on the data from the Shanghai Students’ Common Diseases and Health Influencing Factors Monitoring System and a sleep-specific survey, so as to provide data support for myopia prevention and control in this age group. MethodsOne primary school was selected from the common diseases and health influencing factors monitoring system for students in Changning District, Shanghai. A total of 230 first-grade students were included in the study. Myopia and refractive parameters were examined, and sleep patterns were investigated. General demographic characteristics and myopia-related behavior data of the students were also collected. Sleep patterns were evaluated in terms of sleep duration, sleep efficiency, and sleep quality, with the latter assessed using the Chinese version of the Children’s Sleep Habits Questionnaire (CSHQ). Multiple linear regression and binary logistic regression models were used to analyze the association between sleep patterns and myopia progression among these students. ResultsThe results of the regression analyses revealed that the total CSHQ score of the students at baseline survey was (48.85±7.15) points. Their sleep efficiency was (94.49±8.48)%, sleep duration was (9.58±0.93) hours, and the proportion of those with insufficient sleep (<10 hours) was 78.26%. At baseline survey, students’ higher daytime sleepiness scores were associated with lower spherical equivalent (SE) ( β=-0.18, 95%CI: -0.31 to -0.04) and an increased risk of axial length (AL) / corneal radius (CR) ratio >3 (OR=1.52, 95%CI: 1.00 to 2.29), whereas longer sleep duration and higher sleep efficiency were associated with higher SE (β=0.18, 95%CI: 0.05 to 0.32; β=0.17, 95%CI: 0.04 to 0.31, respectively), shorter (AL) (β=-0.15, 95%CI: -0.27 to -0.03; β=-0.13, 95%CI: -0.25 to 0, respectively) and a reduced risk of AL /CR>3 (OR=0.70, 95%CI: 0.51 to 0.96; OR=0.73, 95%CI: 0.53 to 0.99, respectively). At baseline survey, children’s higher propensity for sleep problems (OR=1.70, 95%CI: 1.04 to 2.78), sleep resistance (OR=2.26, 95%CI: 1.36 to 3.75), and sleep anxiety scores (OR=2.15, 95%CI: 1.33 to 3.48) were all associated with an increased risk of AL/CR >3 at follow-up (all P<0.05). Furthermore, higher sleep anxiety scores predicted prolonged AL at follow-up (β=0.03, 95%CI: 0 to 0.05). According to the mixed-effects model, higher daytime sleepiness scores and prolonged sleep duration were independently linked to reduced right-eye SE (β=-0.05, 95%CI: -0.10 to 0, P<0.05) and shorter right-eye AL (β=-0.05, 95%CI: -0.10 to 0, P<0.05). ConclusionIn this school in Shanghai, there are problems of insufficient and poor-quality sleep among young children. Sleep problems such as sleep resistance, delayed sleep onset, sleep anxiety, and daytime sleepiness among children may accelerate the risk of myopia progression, while longer sleep duration and higher sleep efficiency may serve as protective factors against the occurrence and development of myopia.
2.Formulation and initial validation of a daily goal-management-based exercise intervention for total knee arthroplasty patients
Jingxiao TIAN ; Jiaming AI ; Hongwei MIN ; Kecong ZHAO ; Baocui ZHANG ; Hong JIANG ; Wei YANG ; Jun'e LIU
Chinese Journal of Rehabilitation Theory and Practice 2026;32(8):959-967
ObjectiveTo develop an exercise intervention program for patients undergoing total knee arthroplasty based on the daily goal management pathway, and preliminarily verify its clinical feasibility and effectiveness. MethodsThe intervention program was formulated based on the daily goal management pathway and hope theory, combined with literature analysis, qualitative interviews and expert consultation. Feasibility evaluation was conducted among orthopedic nurses and patients in Beijing Bo'ai Hospital from September to November, 2025. A controlled pilot study was performed with 15 patients in each group: the control group received routine rehabilitation care, while the experimental group received the developed intervention program. The Hospital for Special Surgery Knee Score (HSS), range of motion (ROM) of knee, functional exercise compliance score, Visual Analogue Scale (VAS) and Western Ontario and McMaster Universities Osteoarthritis Index (WOMAC) were compared between two groups. ResultsThe program covered three themes from admission to three weeks postoperatively, including seven training methods and 32 specific recommendations. Feasibility results showed 100% patient recruitment rate, 93.75% retention rate and 96.94% program acceptance rate. A total of 21 orthopedic nurses scored ≥ 4.5 on all four dimensions of the program. After intervention, HSS score and knee ROM significantly increased (|t| > 6.205, P < 0.001), while WOMAC and VAS score decreased (t = 9.127, Z = -3.415, P < 0.01) in the experimental group; in the control group, VAS score decreased (Z = -3.122, P = 0.002), and knee ROM reduced (t = -2.622, P = 0.015), with no significant improvement in other indicators (P > 0.05); all the indexes were better in the experimental group than in the control group (|t| > 7.949, |Z| > 2.990, P < 0.01), including the functional exercise compliance (t = -8.565, P < 0.001). ConclusionThe exercise intervention program based on the daily goal management pathway is scientific, feasible and preliminarily effective, which can provide a new structured and humanized nursing for early exercise training of patients during hospitalization for total knee arthroplasty.
3.Relevance between parental psychological control and Internet gaming disorder in middle school students
WANG Xi, JIANG Hong, WANG Lina, ZHANG Hua, ZHANG Wei, MA Le
Chinese Journal of School Health 2025;46(4):544-547
Objective:
To analyze the relationship between parental psychological control and Internet Gaming Disorder (IGD) among junior high school students, so as to provide evidence for preventing IGD development in adolescents.
Methods:
From August 2019 to February 2020, a survey was conducted among 1 169 junior high school students from three middle schools in Xian using stratified cluster sampling. The Parental Psychological Control Scale and IGD Scale were administered to assess parental psychological control and IGD prevalence. Univariate and binary Logistic regression analyses were used to explore IGD risk factors and their correlation with parental psychological control.
Results:
The detection rate of IGD in middle school students was 19.9%(184/1 169). Multivariate Logistic regression revealed that compared to those with lower parental psychological control scores(≤21 points), students with higher parental psychological control scores (>21 points) had a higher risk of IGD (OR=1.82, 95%CI=1.21-2.74), a 1.58fold higher risk of selfperceived gaming addiction (95%CI=1.07-2.30), as well as reduced likelihood of seeking external help to reduce gaming time (OR=0.66, 95%CI=0.47-0.94) (P<0.05).
Conclusions
Parental psychological control may elevate the risks of IGD and selfperceived addiction while diminishing proactive helpseeking behaviors to reduce gaming time. Parents should enhance communication with adolescents and provide positive guidance to mitigate potential gamingrelated harms.
4.Trends in disease burden due to childhood asthma from 1990 to 2021 and future projections in China
Chinese Journal of School Health 2025;46(4):573-578
Objective:
To investigate the trends in disease burden due to childhood asthma in China from 1990 to 2021 and to project the disease burden from 2022 to 2035, so as to provide insights into formulation of the control interventions for childhood asthma in China.
Methods:
The prevalent case, agestandard prevalence, disability-adjusted life years (DALYs) and agestandard DALYs rate of children with asthma at ages of 0 to 14 years and their 95% uncertainty interval (UI) in China from 1990 to 2021 were extracted from the Global Burden of Disease (GBD) database. The temporal trends in the disease burden of childhood asthma were evaluated with estimated annual percentage change (EAPC) and its 95% confidence interval (CI), and the disease burden due to asthma was projected among children at ages of 0 to 14 years in China using a Bayesian age-period-cohort (BAPC) model from 2022 to 2035.
Results:
There were 9.368 3 million (95%UI=6.410 7 million to 14.026 1 million) prevalent cases of asthma among children at ages of 0 to 14 years in China in 2021, contributing to 0.387 9 million (95%UI=0.216 1 million to 0.668 8 million) DALYs loss. The prevalent cases and DALYs of asthma decreased by 37.28% and 52.55% among children at ages of 0 to 14 years in China in 2021 compared with 1990, and the agestandardized prevalence [EAPC=-0.70%, 95%CI=-1.26% to -0.13%)] and DALY rates [EAPC=-1.71%, 95%CI=-2.32% to -1.10%)] also appeared a tendency towards a decline. From 1990 to 2021, the prevalent cases, prevalence, DALYs and DALYs rate of asthma were all higher among male children than among female children, and the disease burden of asthma was higher among children at ages of 5 to 9 years than at other age groups. BAPC model predicted a decline in both prevalent cases and DALYs of asthma among children at ages of 0 to 14 years in China from 2022 to 2035, with 6.759 6 million prevalent cases and DALYs of 0.228 4 million personyears in 2035, while the prevalence and DALYs rates were projected to rise to 5 143.35/105 and 173.75/105 in 2035.
Conclusions
Despite a reduction in the disease burden of asthma among children at ages of 0 to 14 years in China from 1990 to 2021, the prevalence remained high. The disease burden due to asthma is projected to appear a decline among children at ages of 0 to 14 years in China from 2022 to 2035; however, the prevalence and DALYs rates still rise. Intensified control measures and targeted interventions are required to reduce the disease burden of childhood asthma.
5.Efficacy and Safety of Zihua Wenfei Zhisou Granule in Treatment of Postinfectious Cough: A Multicenter, Randomized, Double-Blind, Placebo-Controlled, Phase II Clinical Trial.
Ting LI ; Xue-Mei LIU ; Mei YANG ; Yan-Qing WU ; Wei LIU ; Bing MAO ; Hong-Li JIANG
Chinese journal of integrative medicine 2025;31(1):3-10
OBJECTIVE:
To evaluate the efficacy and safety of Chinese medicine (CM) Zihua Wenfei Zhisou Granule (ZWZG) in postinfectious cough (PIC) patients with CM syndrome of wind-cold invading Fei (Lung, WCIF).
METHODS:
This is a multicenter, randomized, double-blind, parallel-group, placebo-controlled phase II clinical trial. PIC patients with WCIF syndrome were recruited from the Respiratory Departments in 6 hospitals across China between March 2019 and December 2020. Eligible patients were randomly assigned to group A (ZWZG-matched placebo 15 g), group B (active ZWZG 15 g), and group C (active ZWZG 10 g plus ZWZG-matched placebo 5 g) in a 1:1:1 ratio. All medications were taken orally 3 times daily for 14 consecutive days. The primary outcomes were cough relief rate and cough disappearance rate. The secondary outcomes included time to cough relief, time to cough disappearance, and changes in cough symptom score (CSS), cough Visual Analog Scale (VAS) value, Cough-Specific Quality of Life Questionnaire (CQLQ) score, and CM syndrome score from baseline (day 0) to post-treatment (day 14). Adverse events (AEs) in each group were recorded.
RESULTS:
A total of 198 patients were included in the full analysis set (FAS) and safety analysis set (SS), while 183 were enrolled in the per-protocol analysis set (PPS). In the FAS population, the cough relief rate was 47.76%, 90.77% and 84.85% in groups A, B, and C, respectively; while the cough disappearance rate was 31.34%, 72.31% and 68.18%, respectively. The cough relief rates and cough disappearance rates in groups B and C were significantly higher than group A (P<0.0001). Both the median time to cough relief and cough disappearance in groups B and C were shorter than group A (P<0.0001). Compared with group A, groups B and C showed significantly greater improvements from baseline to post-treatment in CSS during daytime and nighttime as well as VAS (P<0.05). There were no significant differences in changes from baseline to post-treatment in CQLQ and CM syndrome scores among 3 groups (P>0.05). Results in the PPS population were consistent with those in the FAS population. Groups B and C showed lower incidence in AEs than group A (P<0.05), while there was no significant difference between groups B and C (P>0.05). No drug-related severe AEs were reported.
CONCLUSIONS
ZWZG can increase cough disappearance rate and cough relief rate; and it is beneficial in shortening cough duration and reducing cough severity and frequency in patients suffering from PIC. It is safe and generally well tolerated. (Registration No. ChiCTR1900022078).
Humans
;
Cough/drug therapy*
;
Double-Blind Method
;
Male
;
Female
;
Drugs, Chinese Herbal/adverse effects*
;
Middle Aged
;
Treatment Outcome
;
Adult
;
Aged
;
Quality of Life
6.Shexiang Tongxin Dropping Pill Improves Stable Angina Patients with Phlegm-Heat and Blood-Stasis Syndrome: A Multicenter, Randomized, Double-Blind, Placebo-Controlled Trial.
Ying-Qiang ZHAO ; Yong-Fa XING ; Ke-Yong ZOU ; Wei-Dong JIANG ; Ting-Hai DU ; Bo CHEN ; Bao-Ping YANG ; Bai-Ming QU ; Li-Yue WANG ; Gui-Hong GONG ; Yan-Ling SUN ; Li-Qi WANG ; Gao-Feng ZHOU ; Yu-Gang DONG ; Min CHEN ; Xue-Juan ZHANG ; Tian-Lun YANG ; Min-Zhou ZHANG ; Ming-Jun ZHAO ; Yue DENG ; Chang-Jiang XIAO ; Lin WANG ; Bao-He WANG
Chinese journal of integrative medicine 2025;31(8):685-693
OBJECTIVE:
To evaluate the efficacy and safety of Shexiang Tongxin Dropping Pill (STDP) in treating stable angina patients with phlegm-heat and blood-stasis syndrome by exercise duration and metabolic equivalents.
METHODS:
This multicenter, randomized, double-blind, placebo-controlled clinical trial enrolled stable angina patients with phlegm-heat and blood-stasis syndrome from 22 hospitals. They were randomized 1:1 to STDP (35 mg/pill, 6 pills per day) or placebo for 56 days. The primary outcome was the exercise duration and metabolic equivalents (METs) assessed by the standard Bruce exercise treadmill test after 56 days of treatment. The secondary outcomes included the total angina symptom score, Chinese medicine (CM) symptom scores, Seattle Angina Questionnaire (SAQ) scores, changes in ST-T on electrocardiogram and adverse events (AEs).
RESULTS:
This trial enrolled 309 patients, including 155 and 154 in the STDP and placebo groups, respectively. STDP significantly prolonged exercise duration with an increase of 51.0 s, compared to a decrease of 12.0 s with placebo (change rate: -11.1% vs. 3.2%, P<0.01). The increase in METs was significantly greater in the STDP group than in the placebo group (change: -0.4 vs. 0.0, change rate: -5.0% vs. 0.0%, P<0.01). The improvement of total angina symptom scores (25.0% vs. 0.0%), CM symptom scores (38.7% vs. 11.8%), reduction of nitroglycerin consumption (100.0% vs. 11.3%), and all domains of SAQ, were significantly greater with STDP than placebo (all P<0.01). The changes in Q-T intervals at 28 and 56 days from baseline were similar between the two groups (both P>0.05). Twenty-five participants (16.3%) with STDP and 16 (10.5%) with placebo experienced AEs (P=0.131), with no serious AEs observed.
CONCLUSION
STDP could improve exercise tolerance in patients with stable angina and phlegm-heat and blood stasis syndrome, with a favorable safety profile. (Registration No. ChiCTR-IPR-15006020).
Humans
;
Double-Blind Method
;
Drugs, Chinese Herbal/adverse effects*
;
Male
;
Female
;
Middle Aged
;
Angina, Stable/physiopathology*
;
Aged
;
Syndrome
;
Treatment Outcome
;
Placebos
;
Tablets
7.Glucocorticoid Discontinuation in Patients with Rheumatoid Arthritis under Background of Chinese Medicine: Challenges and Potentials Coexist.
Chuan-Hui YAO ; Chi ZHANG ; Meng-Ge SONG ; Cong-Min XIA ; Tian CHANG ; Xie-Li MA ; Wei-Xiang LIU ; Zi-Xia LIU ; Jia-Meng LIU ; Xiao-Po TANG ; Ying LIU ; Jian LIU ; Jiang-Yun PENG ; Dong-Yi HE ; Qing-Chun HUANG ; Ming-Li GAO ; Jian-Ping YU ; Wei LIU ; Jian-Yong ZHANG ; Yue-Lan ZHU ; Xiu-Juan HOU ; Hai-Dong WANG ; Yong-Fei FANG ; Yue WANG ; Yin SU ; Xin-Ping TIAN ; Ai-Ping LYU ; Xun GONG ; Quan JIANG
Chinese journal of integrative medicine 2025;31(7):581-589
OBJECTIVE:
To evaluate the dynamic changes of glucocorticoid (GC) dose and the feasibility of GC discontinuation in rheumatoid arthritis (RA) patients under the background of Chinese medicine (CM).
METHODS:
This multicenter retrospective cohort study included 1,196 RA patients enrolled in the China Rheumatoid Arthritis Registry of Patients with Chinese Medicine (CERTAIN) from September 1, 2019 to December 4, 2023, who initiated GC therapy. Participants were divided into the Western medicine (WM) and integrative medicine (IM, combination of CM and WM) groups based on medication regimen. Follow-up was performed at least every 3 months to assess dynamic changes in GC dose. Changes in GC dose were analyzed by generalized estimator equation, the probability of GC discontinuation was assessed using Kaplan-Meier curve, and predictors of GC discontinuation were analyzed by Cox regression. Patients with <12 months of follow-up were excluded for the sensitivity analysis.
RESULTS:
Among 1,196 patients (85.4% female; median age 56.4 years), 880 (73.6%) received IM. Over a median 12-month follow-up, 34.3% (410 cases) discontinued GC, with significantly higher rates in the IM group (40.8% vs. 16.1% in WM; P<0.05). GC dose declined progressively, with IM patients demonstrating faster reductions (median 3.75 mg vs. 5.00 mg in WM at 12 months; P<0.05). Multivariate Cox analysis identified age <60 years [P<0.001, hazard ratios (HR)=2.142, 95% confidence interval (CI): 1.523-3.012], IM therapy (P=0.001, HR=2.175, 95% CI: 1.369-3.456), baseline GC dose ⩽7.5 mg (P=0.003, HR=1.637, 95% CI: 1.177-2.275), and absence of non-steroidal anti-inflammatory drugs use (P=0.001, HR=2.546, 95% CI: 1.432-4.527) as significant predictors of GC discontinuation. Sensitivity analysis (545 cases) confirmed these findings.
CONCLUSIONS
RA patients receiving CM face difficulties in following guideline-recommended GC discontinuation protocols. IM can promote GC discontinuation and is a promising strategy to reduce GC dependency in RA management. (Trial registration: ClinicalTrials.gov, No. NCT05219214).
Adult
;
Aged
;
Female
;
Humans
;
Male
;
Middle Aged
;
Arthritis, Rheumatoid/drug therapy*
;
Glucocorticoids/therapeutic use*
;
Medicine, Chinese Traditional
;
Retrospective Studies
8.Investigation of an outbreak of group A human G9P [8] rotavirus infectious diarrhea among adults in Chongqing
Yang WANG ; Yuan KONG ; Ning CHEN ; Lundi YANG ; Jiang LONG ; Qin LI ; Xiaoyang XU ; Wei ZHENG ; Hong WEI ; Jie LU ; Quanjie XIAO ; Yingying BA ; Wenxi WU ; Qian XU ; Ju YAN
Shanghai Journal of Preventive Medicine 2025;37(8):663-668
ObjectiveTo investigate and analyze an outbreak of rotavirus infectious diarrhea in a prison in Chongqing Municipality, to provide a basis for adult rotavirus surveillance and prevention, and to explore the public health problems in special settings. MethodsA retrospective survey was conducted to collect and analyze data on individual cases with diarrheal disease on-site. The clinical characteristics, as well as the temporal, spatial and geographical distribution patterns of the epidemic were described. Multi-pathogen detection tests were conducted both on diarrhea cases and environmental samples, with viral genotyping performed on positive samples. A case-control analysis was performed to identify the causes of the outbreak, and an SEIR model was adopted to predict the outbreak trend and evaluate the effectiveness of interventions. ResultsA total of 65 cases were found among the inmates, with an attack rate of 2.03%. The predominant clinical manifestations included diarrhea (89.23%), watery stool (73.85%), and dehydration (18.46%). The epidemic curve indicated a “human-to-human” transmission pattern, with an average incubation period of 5‒6 days. The attack rates among chefs in the main canteen (80.00%, 8/10) and caterers (28.33%, 17/60) were significantly higher than those of other inmates (P<0.05). Multi-pathogen polymerase chain reaction (PCR) testing detected positive for group A rotavirus, with the viral genotyping identified as G9P [8] strain. Factors such as unprotected "bare-handed" food distribution among cases with diarrhea (OR=9.512, 95%CI: 4.261‒21.234) and close contact with diarrhea cases (OR=3.656, 95%CI: 1.719‒7.778) were the possible cause of the outbreak. The SEIR model (r0=5, α=0.3, β1=0.08, β2=0.04) was constructed using prison inmates as susceptible population, aiming at fitting the initial transmission trend of the outbreak, and the epidemic rate declined rapidly after intervention measures were implemented (rt≈0). ConclusionThis rare rotavirus infection diarrhea outbreak among adults in confined settings suggests that the construction of public health prevention and control systems in prison may be overlooked. Cross infection during meal processing and distribution in the canteens of such settings is likely to be the cause of the outbreak. Given the potential neglect of public heath system construction in special settings, it is imperative to enhance the surveillance and monitoring of rotavirus and other intestinal multi-pathogens among adults, as well as the construction of public health prevention and control systems in these special settings.
9.Study on HPLC fingerprint and quantitative analysis of multi-components by single-marker content determination method for Shechuan naolitong granules
Xiaoyan ZHANG ; Kairu DING ; Hong ZHANG ; Wenbing ZHI ; Shengnan JIANG ; Zongren XU ; Ni CUI ; Xiangfeng WEI ; Yang LIU
China Pharmacy 2025;36(19):2409-2414
OBJECTIVE To provide a reference for optimizing and promoting the quality standards of Shechuan naolitong granules. METHODS Fifteen batches of Shechuan naolitong granules were used as samples to establish HPLC fingerprints using the Similarity Evaluation System for Chromatographic Fingerprint of Traditional Chinese Medicine (2012 edition). Similarity evaluation and common peak identification were performed, and orthogonal partial least squares discriminant analysis (OPLS-DA) was used to assess quality differences among different batches and to screen quality differential components. Using salvianolic acid B(SAB) as the internal reference, quantitative analysis of multi-components by single-marker (QAMS) was developed to simultaneously determine geniposidic acid (GA), chlorogenic acid (CA), vaccarin (VA), ferulic acid (FA) and senkyunolide I (SI). The results were compared with those obtained by the external standard method. RESULTS A total of 13 common peaks were identified in the HPLC fingerprints of 15 batches of samples, and the similarities of the spectra were all above 0.96. Seven chromatographic peaks were identified as GA (peak 3), CA (peak 6), VA (peak 8), FA (peak 9), SI (peak 11), SAB(peak 12) and TA(peak 13). OPLS-DA indicated that the differential quality markers among 15 batches were peaks 5, 11 (SI), and 12 (SAB).Using SAB as the internal reference, the relative correction factors for GA, CA, VA, FA and SI were calculated as 1.058 4, 0.594 3, 0.643 3, 0.342 7 and 0.262 8, respectively. The mean content of GA, CA, VA, FA, SI and SAB across the 15 batches of samples were 0.155 0, 0.085 4, 0.140 3, 0.071 8, 0.072 7, 1.276 3 mg/g, respectively, showing no significant difference compared with the ESM (P>0.05). CONCLUSIONS The established HPLC fingerprint and QAMS are simple, efficient and economical, providing a reference for the quality control and further development of Shechuan naolitong granules.
10.Predictive value of albumin,hemoglobin,and multifactorial model for poor postoperative prognosis in elderly patients with meningiomas
Yan-Yu GONG ; Hong QU ; Si-Zhe FENG ; Chun-Yong YU ; Jin-Wei DU ; Jin JIANG
Medical Journal of Chinese People's Liberation Army 2025;50(4):418-426
Objective To explore the predictive value of albumin,hemoglobin and multifactorial model for poor postoperative prognosis in elderly patients with meningioma.Methods A retrospective analysis was conducted on 253 elderly patients who underwent meningioma surgery and were transferred to the neurosurgical intensive care unit(NICU)at General Hospital of Northern Theater Command from January 2019 to September 2021,serving as the modeling cohort.Another 227 elderly patients who were treated in NICU after meningioma surgery from November 2021 to June 2023 were used as the validation cohort.Patients in the modeling cohort were categorized into good prognosis group[Glasgow Coma Scale(GCS)score>7,n=161]and poor prognosis group(GCS≤7,n=92)based on the GCS.Univariate and multifactorial logistic regression analyses were performed on the modeling cohort to identify independent risk factors,and a multifactorial model for predicting poor postoperative prognosis in elderly patients with meningioma was constructed based on these factors.The predictive efficacy and accuracy of the model were evaluated using the area under the receiver operating characteristic(ROC)curve(AUC),sensitivity,specificity,Hosmer-Lemeshow goodness-of-fit test,and calibration curves.The predictive value of postoperative albumin,hemoglobin,and the multifactorial models for postoperative prognosis in elderly meningioma patients was assessed using restricted cubic spline modeling(RCS),decision curves(DCA),and validated using an external validation cohort to assess the stability of the model.Results Meningioma WHO grade Ⅱand Ⅲ(OR=3.994,95%CI 1.963-8.126),postoperative hypoalbuminemia(OR=2.194,95%CI 1.079-4.462),and postoperative anemia(OR=2.117,95%CI 1.096-4.089)were identified as independent risk factors for poor postoperative prognosis in elderly meningioma patients(P<0.05),while the use of analgesic/sedative medications was a protective factor(OR=0.388,95%CI 0.201-0.748,P<0.05).The Hosmer-Lemeshow test indicated that the constructed multifactorial model had a good fit accuracy(P=0.161).The AUC for predicting poor postoperative prognosis in elderly meningioma patients for postoperative albumin and hemoglobin were 0.545(95%CI 0.472-0.617)and 0.632(95%CI 0.561-0.702),respectively,and showed a nonlinear dose-response relationship with prognosis(P<0.01).DCA analysis results showed that the net benefit rate of multifactorial model was higher than that of postoperative albumin and hemoglobin when the threshold probabilities were between 0.10 and 0.90.The AUC for predicting postoperative prognosis in the elderly meningioma patients in the modeling and validation cohorts were 0.810 and 0.819,respectively,and their calibration curves suggested good discrimination and accuracy.Conclusions Meningioma WHO grades Ⅱ and Ⅲ,postoperative anemia and hypoalbuminemia are independent risk factors for poor postoperative prognosis in elderly meningioma patients,while the use of analgesic/sedative drugs is a protective factor.The multifactorial model constructed based on these factors has a good predictive efficacy and credibility,and can be used as a reference for clinical decision-making.


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