Background: s/Aims: Non-invasive models stratifying clinically significant portal hypertension (CSPH) are limited. Herein, we developed a new non-invasive model for predicting CSPH in patients with compensated cirrhosis and investigated whether carvedilol can prevent hepatic decompensation in patients with high-risk CSPH stratified using the new model. Methods: Non-invasive risk factors of CSPH were identified via systematic review and meta-analysis of studies involving patients with hepatic venous pressure gradient (HVPG). A new non-invasive model was validated for various performance aspects in three cohorts, i.e., a multicenter HVPG cohort, a follow-up cohort, and a carvediloltreating cohort. Results: In the meta-analysis with six studies (n=819), liver stiffness measurement and platelet count were identified as independent risk factors for CSPH and were used to develop the new “CSPH risk” model. In the HVPG cohort (n=151), the new model accurately predicted CSPH with cutoff values of 0 and –0.68 for ruling in and out CSPH, respectively. In the follow-up cohort (n=1,102), the cumulative incidences of decompensation events significantly differed using the cutoff values of <–0.68 (low-risk), –0.68 to 0 (medium-risk), and >0 (high-risk). In the carvediloltreated cohort, patients with high-risk CSPH treated with carvedilol (n=81) had lower rates of decompensation events than non-selective beta-blockers untreated patients with high-risk CSPH (n=613 before propensity score matching [PSM], n=162 after PSM). Conclusions Treatment with carvedilol significantly reduces the risk of hepatic decompensation in patients with high-risk CSPH stratified by the new model.

Background: s/Aims: Non-invasive models stratifying clinically significant portal hypertension (CSPH) are limited. Herein, we developed a new non-invasive model for predicting CSPH in patients with compensated cirrhosis and investigated whether carvedilol can prevent hepatic decompensation in patients with high-risk CSPH stratified using the new model. Methods: Non-invasive risk factors of CSPH were identified via systematic review and meta-analysis of studies involving patients with hepatic venous pressure gradient (HVPG). A new non-invasive model was validated for various performance aspects in three cohorts, i.e., a multicenter HVPG cohort, a follow-up cohort, and a carvediloltreating cohort. Results: In the meta-analysis with six studies (n=819), liver stiffness measurement and platelet count were identified as independent risk factors for CSPH and were used to develop the new “CSPH risk” model. In the HVPG cohort (n=151), the new model accurately predicted CSPH with cutoff values of 0 and –0.68 for ruling in and out CSPH, respectively. In the follow-up cohort (n=1,102), the cumulative incidences of decompensation events significantly differed using the cutoff values of <–0.68 (low-risk), –0.68 to 0 (medium-risk), and >0 (high-risk). In the carvediloltreated cohort, patients with high-risk CSPH treated with carvedilol (n=81) had lower rates of decompensation events than non-selective beta-blockers untreated patients with high-risk CSPH (n=613 before propensity score matching [PSM], n=162 after PSM). Conclusions Treatment with carvedilol significantly reduces the risk of hepatic decompensation in patients with high-risk CSPH stratified by the new model.

Background: s/Aims: Non-invasive models stratifying clinically significant portal hypertension (CSPH) are limited. Herein, we developed a new non-invasive model for predicting CSPH in patients with compensated cirrhosis and investigated whether carvedilol can prevent hepatic decompensation in patients with high-risk CSPH stratified using the new model. Methods: Non-invasive risk factors of CSPH were identified via systematic review and meta-analysis of studies involving patients with hepatic venous pressure gradient (HVPG). A new non-invasive model was validated for various performance aspects in three cohorts, i.e., a multicenter HVPG cohort, a follow-up cohort, and a carvediloltreating cohort. Results: In the meta-analysis with six studies (n=819), liver stiffness measurement and platelet count were identified as independent risk factors for CSPH and were used to develop the new “CSPH risk” model. In the HVPG cohort (n=151), the new model accurately predicted CSPH with cutoff values of 0 and –0.68 for ruling in and out CSPH, respectively. In the follow-up cohort (n=1,102), the cumulative incidences of decompensation events significantly differed using the cutoff values of <–0.68 (low-risk), –0.68 to 0 (medium-risk), and >0 (high-risk). In the carvediloltreated cohort, patients with high-risk CSPH treated with carvedilol (n=81) had lower rates of decompensation events than non-selective beta-blockers untreated patients with high-risk CSPH (n=613 before propensity score matching [PSM], n=162 after PSM). Conclusions Treatment with carvedilol significantly reduces the risk of hepatic decompensation in patients with high-risk CSPH stratified by the new model.

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Objectives:To explore the spatial distribution characteristics, trend changes, and spatial clustering of esophageal cancer among residents in China at the county (city, district) scale, a spatial epidemiological approach was used, with the aim of providing localized evidence for the prevention and treatment of esophageal cancer in China.Methods:The data source was the incidence (crude rate) and mortality (crude rate) of esophageal cancer from 2005 to 2016 in the 2008-2019 edition of China Cancer Registration Annual Report published by the National Cancer Center. The Joinpoint model was used for time trend analysis. The tumor registration area in 2016 was selected as the study area for spatial feature analysis, with a total of 487 counties (cities and districts), covering 27.6% of the national population. Spatial autocorrelation analysis was performed to reveal spatial distribution characteristics by using Arcgis 10.6 software, and spatial scanning statistics was used to analyze spatial clustering characteristics by using SaTScan 9.5 software. The log-likelihood ratio ( LLR) and relative risk ( RR) were calculated in different windows, and the region with the largest LLR value represented the most likely cluster. Results:From 2005 to 2016, the incidence and mortality rate of esophageal cancer in China showed a trend of increasing at first and then decreasing. The incidence and mortality rate of esophageal cancer in 2016 were characterized by spatial positive correlation. High incidence and high mortality were mainly concentrated in the areas through which the Huaihe River flowed. The primary clusters (taking high incidence rate as an example LLR=6 374.41, RR=2.37, P＜0.001) were mainly distributed in Jiangsu, Anhui and Shandong in eastern China and eastern Henan and southern Hebei in central China, and secondary clusters (taking high incidence rate as an example LLR=1 971.19, RR=1.91, P＜0.001) in Gansu, Ningxia Hui Autonomous Region, Shaanxi, Sichuan and other central and western regions. Conclusions:The incidence and mortality of esophageal cancer in China have decreased since 2010. The disease burden of esophageal cancer has obvious spatial differences, and measures should be taken according to local conditions in high-risk cluster areas such as the Huaihe River basin.

Objective To investigate the clinical efficacy of oblique lumbar interbody fusion(OLIF)combined with poste-rior percutaneous internal fixation in patients with lumbar spinal stenosis with or without redundant nerve roots(RNRs).Meth-ods A retrospective analysis of 92 patients with lumbar spinal stenosis treated by oblique lateral lumbar interbody fusion com-bined with posterior percutaneous internal fixation from June 2019 to June 2022 was performed.There were 32 males and 60 females,aged from 44 to 82 years old with an average of(63.67±9.93)years old.All patients were divided into RNRs positive group and RNRs negative group according to redundancy or not before operation.There were 38 patients in RNRs positive group,including 15 males and 23 females.The age ranged from 45 to 82 years old with an average of(65.45±10.37)years old.The disease duration was 24.00(12.00,72.00)months.There were 54 patients in RNRs negative group,including 17 males and 37 females.The age ranged from 44 to 77 years old with an average of(62.42±9.51)years old.The disease duration was 13.50(9.00,36.00)months.The general data of patients were recorded,including operation time,intraoperative blood loss and complications.The imaging parameters before and after operation were observed,including the number of stenosis segments,intervertebral space height,lumbar lordosis angle and dural sac area.The visual analogue scale(VAS)was used to evaluate the back and lower extremity pain,and the Oswestry disability index(ODI)was used to evaluate the activities of daily living.Results All patients were followed up for 8 to 18 months with an average of(11.04±3.61)months,and no complications were found during the follow-up period.The number of stenosis segments in RNRs positive group(1.71±0.46)was more than that in RNRs negative group(1.17±0.38).In RNRs positive group,intervertebral space height,dural sac area,low back pain VAS,lower extremity pain VAS,ODI score were(1.11±0.19)cm,(0.46±0.17)cm2,(5.39±1.00)scores,(5.05±1.01)points,(55.74±4.05)points,respectively.RNRs negative groups respectively(0.97±0.23)cm,(0.69±0.26)cm2,(4.50±0.77)scores,(4.00±0.58)scores,(47.33±3.43)％.In RNRs positive group,intervertebral space height,dural sac area,low back pain VAS,leg pain VAS,ODI score were(1.60±0.19)cm,(0.74±0.36)cm2,(3.39±0.72)scores,(3.05±1.01)scores,(46.74±4.82)scores,respectively.RNRs negative groups respectively(1.48±0.25)cm,(1.12±0.35)cm2,(3.00±0.82)scores,(3.00±0.82)scores,(37.67±3.58)％.The postoperative intervertebral space height,dural sac area,low back pain VAS score,lower extremity pain VAS and ODI score of the patients in the RNRs positive group and the negative group were signifi-cantly improved compared with those before operation,and the differences were statistically significant(P＜0.05).There were statistically significant differences in the number of stenosed segments,preoperative intervertebral space height,dural sac area,low back pain VAS,lower extremity pain VAS,and ODI between the two groups(P＜0.05).There were significant differences in postoperative intervertebral space height and postoperative ODI between the two groups(P＜0.05),but there was no significant difference in intervertebral space height before and after operation and ODI score before and after operation(P＞0.05).There were significant differences in operation time,intraoperative blood loss,postoperative dural sac area,difference of dural sac area before and after operation,postoperative low back pain VAS,difference of low back pain VAS score before and after oper-ation,difference of lower extremity pain VAS before and after operation between the two groups(P＜0.05).Conclusion OLIF combined with posterior percutaneous internal fixation has a good effect on patients with or without RNRs.Multi-segmental lumbar spinal stenosis and decreased dural sac area may lead to the occurrence of RNRs,and LSS patients with RNRs have more severe symptoms.LSS patients with RNRs have worse surgical outcomes than those without RNRs.

Background and aim:Few studies have reported hepatitis B surface antigen(HBsAg)kinetics after nucleos(t)ide analog(NA)discontinuation in patients with noncirrhotic chronic hepatitis B(CHB).The study specifically investigated long-term HBsAg kinetics after NA discontinuation. Methods:Between January 2014 to January 2024,this study prospectively enrolled 106 outpatients with noncirrhotic CHB who met the discontinuation criteria after NA consolidation treatment.Demographic,clinical,and laboratory data were collected and analyzed after NA discontinuation. Results:Ninety-six patients who finished 5 years of follow-up were included.HBsAg remained unde-tectable in 29 patients with end of treatment(EOT)HBsAg negativity.Among 67 patients with EOT HBsAg positivity,HBsAg seroclearance occurred in 12(17.9％)patients with an estimated annual inci-dence of HBsAg seroclearance of 3.6％.Patients with EOT HBsAg levels of ≤1000 IU/mL had a higher HBsAg seroclearance rate than those with EOT HBsAg levels of＞1000 IU/mL(33.3％vs.5.4％).The pro-portion of patients with HBsAg ≤1000 IU/mL increased during follow-up.Logistic regression analysis indicated that the EOT HBsAg level was an independent factor for HBsAg seroclearance and an HBsAg level decline exceeding 1 log10 IU/mL.The optimal EOT HBsAg cutoff for both HBsAg seroclearance and an HBsAg level decline exceeding 1 log10 IU/mL was 359 IU/mL. Conclusions:Patients with EOT HBsAg negativity experienced no relapse and maintained HBsAg sero-clearance during 5 years of follow-up after NA discontinuation.A higher HBsAg seroclearance rate can be obtained in patients with EOT HBsAg levels of ≤1000 IU/mL during 5 years of follow-up after NA discontinuation.Close monitoring and proper NA retreatment are recommended to guarantee the safety of NA discontinuation.

Objectives:To explore the spatial distribution characteristics, trend changes, and spatial clustering of esophageal cancer among residents in China at the county (city, district) scale, a spatial epidemiological approach was used, with the aim of providing localized evidence for the prevention and treatment of esophageal cancer in China.Methods:The data source was the incidence (crude rate) and mortality (crude rate) of esophageal cancer from 2005 to 2016 in the 2008-2019 edition of China Cancer Registration Annual Report published by the National Cancer Center. The Joinpoint model was used for time trend analysis. The tumor registration area in 2016 was selected as the study area for spatial feature analysis, with a total of 487 counties (cities and districts), covering 27.6% of the national population. Spatial autocorrelation analysis was performed to reveal spatial distribution characteristics by using Arcgis 10.6 software, and spatial scanning statistics was used to analyze spatial clustering characteristics by using SaTScan 9.5 software. The log-likelihood ratio ( LLR) and relative risk ( RR) were calculated in different windows, and the region with the largest LLR value represented the most likely cluster. Results:From 2005 to 2016, the incidence and mortality rate of esophageal cancer in China showed a trend of increasing at first and then decreasing. The incidence and mortality rate of esophageal cancer in 2016 were characterized by spatial positive correlation. High incidence and high mortality were mainly concentrated in the areas through which the Huaihe River flowed. The primary clusters (taking high incidence rate as an example LLR=6 374.41, RR=2.37, P＜0.001) were mainly distributed in Jiangsu, Anhui and Shandong in eastern China and eastern Henan and southern Hebei in central China, and secondary clusters (taking high incidence rate as an example LLR=1 971.19, RR=1.91, P＜0.001) in Gansu, Ningxia Hui Autonomous Region, Shaanxi, Sichuan and other central and western regions. Conclusions:The incidence and mortality of esophageal cancer in China have decreased since 2010. The disease burden of esophageal cancer has obvious spatial differences, and measures should be taken according to local conditions in high-risk cluster areas such as the Huaihe River basin.

Objective:To investigate the clinical characteristics of patients with hemophagocytic lymphohistiocytosis(HLH)and quantify the diagnostic value of various indexes in patients with elevated soluble interleukin-2 receptor(sCD25),so as to construct a diagnostic prediction model of HLH.Methods:The clinical characteristics of 121 patients with elevated sCD25(≥ 2 400 U/ml)in the Third Affiliated Hospital of Sun Yat-Sen University were analyzed retrospectively.The patients were divided into HLH group and non-HLH group according to the diagnostic criteria of HLH.The patients with HLH were divided into infection group,tumor group,macrophage activation syndrome(MAS)group and unknown etiology group according to their etiology.The basic data and treatment of the patients were collected for univariate and multivariate logistic analysis to establish a diagnostic prediction model of HLH.Results:Among the 121 enrolled patients with elevated sCD25,68 were diagnosed as HLH.The proportion of patients using vasopressors,the incidence rate of disseminated intravascular coagulation(DIC),and the HScore in the HLH group were higher than those in the non-HLH group(P＜0.05).Hepatomegaly,splenomegaly,and hemophagocytosis were more common in HLH patients(P＜0.05).Compared with the patients in non-HLH group,patients in HLH group had lower levels of neutrophils,platelets,fibrinogen,IgG,and IgM,while the levels of triglycerides,ferritin(FER),sCD25,serum glutamic oxaloacetic transaminase(SGOT),alkaline phosphatase(ALP),total bilirubin(TBil),lactate dehydrogenase(LDH),and D-dimer were higher(P＜0.05).In subgroup analysis,the level of sCD25 in tumor group was higher than that in infection group.The level of sCD25/ferritin in tumor group was higher than that in infection group and MAS group.Compared with HLH patients in the tumor group,the procalcitonin(PCT)level,proportion of patients using vasopressors,positive rate of hemophagocytosis,and incidence rate of DIC were all higher in the infection group,and the differences were statistically significant(P＜0.05).The results of multivariate analysis showed that fever,splenomegaly,hemophagocytosis,cytopenias,IgM,M.sCD25[multiple of sCD25 detection value relative to the diagnostic threshold(2400 U/ml)],fibrinogen,and triglycerides were independent predictive factors for HLH(P＜0.05).The diagnostic prediction model H constructed based on temperature,splenomegaly,hemophagocytosis,cytopenias,IgM,M.sCD25,fibrinogen,triglycerides showed good predictive accuracy.The optimal cutoff value of H was 39.45,the sensitivity of the model was 94.12％,the specificity was 83.02％.Conclusion:sCD25,sCD25/FER,PCT,hemophagocytosis,hemodynamic instability and DIC could help to distinguish the underlying etiology of HLH.The prediction model H has high discrimination and calibration,which could be used as a relatively accurate clinical diagnostic tool for HLH.

Objective:This paper aims to analyze the current status,characteristics,and problems of the policy text of China's chronic disease from the perspective of full-cycle,and provide a reference for subsequent policy optimization.Methods:The author selected 104 policy documents on chronic disease published at the national level from 2009 to 2023,used content analysis method,constructed a two-dimensional analysis framework of"policy tools-full-cycle management",and carried out one-dimensional quantitative analysis and two-dimensional cross-analysis.Results:The application of policy tools is obviously unbalanced,with supply-type policy tools accounting for as much as 63.23％,and demand-type policy tools used the least,only 10.51％.In the dimension of full-cycle management,the proportions of prevention,prevention and treatment,treatment,treatment and rehabilitation,health care,and full-cycle stages are 21.01％,24.58％,28.89％,7.32％,4.69％and 13.51％respectively.It is noteworthy that the proportions of the treatment and rehabilitation,and health care stages are relatively low.All stages of chronic disease health management interact frequently with supply-type policies,and the treatment and rehabilitation,health care and full-cycle stages cross less with demand-type policy tools.Conclusion:It is necessary to adjust the proportion of policy tools,strengthen their internal coordination,improve the top-level design of treatment and rehabilitation and health care,enhance the synergistic interaction between various types of policy tools and full-cycle management,and improve the overall effectiveness of policies.