1.Predictive model for anxiety symptoms among junior high school students based on machine learning algorithms
YANG Yinmei, FENG Haiyang, LIU Mingxiu, YU Qiurui, MA Xin, YAN Hong, YU Bin, YU Chengcheng
Chinese Journal of School Health 2026;47(5):690-694
Objective:
To explore the influencing factors of anxiety symptoms and to construct a predictive model based on machine learning algorithms, so as to provide support for the prevention and management of anxiety symptoms among junior high school students.
Methods:
From April to May 2023, a stratified random cluster sampling method was adopted to select 8 176 junior high school students from Zhengzhou and Shangqiu citys. All participants completed the Adolescent Self rating Life Events Checklist, the 10item Connor-Davidson Resilience Scale, the School Connectedness Scale, the Parent-Child Cohesion Questionnaire, and the 7 item Generalized Anxiety Disorder Scale. Logistic regression analysis identified the associated factors of anxiety symptoms among junior high school students. Predictive models were constructed using Logistic regression, Random Forest, and eXtreme Gradient Boosting (XGBoost) algorithms, with SHapley Additive exPlanations analysis explaining the optimal model.
Results:
The detection rate of anxiety symptoms among junior high school students was 16.3%. Logistic regression analysis showed that junior high school students who were female ( OR =1.22), in the ninth grade ( OR =1.27), living in urban areas ( OR =1.37), having a father with a college education or above ( OR =1.26), having a mother with a senior high school education ( OR =1.26), and experiencing higher levels of negative life events ( OR =1.05) reported a higher risk of anxiety symptoms(all P <0.05). In contrast, those with moderate family economic status ( OR =0.71), moderate academic burden ( OR =0.59), low academic burden ( OR =0.54), moderate sleep quality ( OR =0.46), good sleep quality ( OR =0.26), excellent sleep quality ( OR =0.15), higher levels of psychological resilience ( OR =0.96), higher levels of school connectedness ( OR =0.96), and higher levels of parent-child cohesion ( OR =0.98) reported a lower risk of anxiety symptoms (all P <0.05). Three machine learning models demonstrated good predictive performance for anxiety symptoms among junior high school students (all AUC>0.8), with the XGBoost model achieving the best predictive performance. SHAP analysis revealed that negative life events, sleep quality, school connectedness, psychological resilience and parent-child cohesion were the top five relevant factors for predicting anxiety symptoms.
Conclusions
The detection rate of anxiety symptoms among junior high school students is relatively high. The XGBoost model is the optimal predictive model for anxiety symptoms in the population. Negative life events, sleep quality, school connectedness, psychological resilience, and parent-child cohesion are significant correlates of anxiety symptoms among junior high school students.
2.Pathological changes and macrophage polarization in the liver and spleen of mice infected with Angiostrongylus cantonensis
Xiaoyu QIN ; Yuchun CAI ; Yang HONG ; Fanna WEI ; Yahong HU ; Yumeng CAI ; Yuan HU ; Ting ZHANG ; Xiaojin MO ; Bin XU ; Yan LU ; Jiahui SUN ; Yan ZHOU ; Zelin ZHU ; Muxin CHEN
Chinese Journal of Schistosomiasis Control 2026;38(2):169-183
Objective To investigate the temporal changes in pathological damage and macrophage polarization in liver and spleen tissues of mice infected with Angiostrongylus cantonensis, and to preliminarily unravel the peripheral immune responses during the early stage of A. cantonensis infection. Methods Forty female BALB/c mice at ages of 6 to 8 weeks were randomly divided into four groups, including the control group and 7-, 14-, and 21-day infection groups, with 10 mice in each group. Each mouse in the infection groups was inoculated with 30 third-stage (L3) larvae of A. cantonensis by oral gavage, and five mice were randomly selected from each infection group on days 7, 14, and 21 post-infection, while mice in the control group were given the same volume of physiological saline and five mice were randomly selected from the control group on the day of oral gavage. Mouse liver and spleen tissues were sampled. The histopathological changes of mouse liver and spleen tissues were observed using hematoxylin and eosin (HE) staining, and the percentage of positive staining area and the co-localization positive rates of the macrophage surface antigens F4/80, CD86, and CD206 were quantified in mouse liver and spleen tissues using immunohistochemical and immunofluorescence staining. In addition, five mice were collected from each infection group on days 7, 14, and 21 post-infection, and five mice were collected from the control group on the day of oral gavage. Mouse liver and spleen tissues were sampled for detection of macrophage markers CD86 and CD206 and macrophage phenotyping using flow cytometry, and the expression of M1 macrophage markers, including inducible nitric oxide synthase (Nos2), tumor necrosis factor-α (TNF-α), interleukin-1β (IL-1β) and M2 markers, including arginase 1 (Arg1), mannose receptor C-type 1 (Mrc1) and chitinase-like protein 3 (Chil3) was quantified in mouse liver and spleen tissues using real-time quantitative PCR (RT-qPCR) assay. Results Proliferative lesions of the hepatocyte were observed in mouse liver tissues and the follicular structures of the mouse spleen white pulp were disrupted 21 days post-infection with A. cantonensis. Immunohistochemical staining showed that there were significant differences in the percentages of F4/80, CD86 and CD206 positive staining areas in the liver and spleen tissues among the four groups of mice (F = 242.40, 197.14, 183.19, 157.65, 242.35 and 146.24; all P values < 0.001), and the percentages of positive staining in the liver and spleen tissues of mice in the 14-day infection group [(4.45 ± 0.51)%, (3.74 ± 0.67)%, (8.32 ± 0.72)%, (16.56 ± 1.14)%, (11.62 ± 0.52)%, and (8.29 ± 0.72)%, respectively] and the 21-day infection group [(3.70 ± 0.11)%, (3.22 ± 0.43)%, (11.53 ± 1.03)%, (12.59 ± 1.05)%, (9.02 ± 0.83)%, and (11.67 ± 1.10)%, respectively] were higher than in the control group [(0.35 ± 0.16)%, (0.40 ± 0.02)%, (0.93 ± 0.05)%, (2.78 ± 0.26)%, (2.33 ± 0.20)%, and (1.85 ± 0.20)%, respectively] (all P values < 0.05). Immunofluorescence staining showed significant differences in the positive rates of F4/80 co-localization with CD86 and CD206 in mouse liver and spleen tissues among the four groups (F = 24.42, 25.28, 54.51 and 130.55; all P values < 0.001). Flow cytometry detected significant differences in the proportions of CD86+ and CD206+ macrophages in mouse liver and spleen tissues among the four groups (F = 67.98, 18.41, 29.77, 172.80; all P values < 0.001), and the proportions of CD206+ macrophages in the liver and spleen of the 21-day infection group were significantly higher than those in the control group [(9.25 ± 2.55)% vs (3.83 ± 0.72)%, and (4.22 ± 0.56)% vs (0.47 ± 0.18)%, respectively] (both P values < 0.05). In addition, RT-qPCR assay quantified significant differences in the relative mRNA expression of M1 macrophage markers (IL-1β, TNF-α and Nos2) and M2 macrophage markers (Arg1, Chil3 and Mrc1) in mouse liver and spleen tissues among the four groups (F = 41.30, 31.82, 199.33, 19.96, 62.01, 119.76, 23.67, 95.90, 72.27, 82.59, 123.41 and 29.75; all P values < 0.05). Conclusions A. cantonensis infection may cause progressive pathological damage in mouse liver and spleen tissues, accompanied by dynamic temporal changes in macrophage polarization. M1 macrophage polarization predominates at the early stage of A. cantonensis infection and shifts towards M2 polarization at the later stages, suggesting that M2 polarization may participate in immune regulation at late stages of A. cantonensis infection by suppressing excessive inflammatory responses and promoting tissue repair.
3.Differences in deltamethrin resistance and kdr gene mutation in Culex tritaeniorhynchus population in and outside the Yellow Sea wetland
Xiao-er ZHANG ; Zhi-ming WU ; Ye TIAN ; Qian CUI ; Yu-qian JI ; Huan WANG ; Shu-juan YANG ; Yi-chao ZHAO ; Yu WANG ; Hua-yu YIN ; Yu DING ; Guo-jin YAN ; Min-sen ZHAO ; Shou-gang ZHANG ; Bing-dong SONG ; Hong-na CHEN ; Jian GAO ; Wei-fang YANG ; Yu-fu ZHANG ; Hui LIU ; Hong-liang CHU
Acta Parasitologica et Medica Entomologica Sinica 2026;33(2):101-107
Objective To gain insights into the biological characteristics of different populations of Culex tritaeniorhynchus within and around the Yellow Sea wetland from the perspective of the occurrence of resistance, we investigated the levels of resistance to deltamethrin and kdr gene mutation in the wetland and its peripheral areas. Methods Specimens were collected from Cx. tritaeniorhynchus populations at two monitoring sites in the Rare Bird National Nature Reserve and Tiaozi Ni Wetland Scenic Area, and also from two populations in Yancheng City and the Liuhe District of Nanjing, and the resistance of these mosquitoes to deltamethrin was determined using the CDC biotest bottle method. For each concentration of deltamethrin assessed, a random subset of exposed specimens was selected for amplification of the kdr gene fragment, followed by Sanger sequencing to identify and analyze resistance-associated mutations. Results The LC50 levels of deltamethrin among mosquitoes from the four populations in Luhe, Yancheng, the Rare Bird National Nature Reserve and the Tiaozi Ni Wetland Scenic Area were 2.048 5, 7.798 2, 3.473 3, and 17.695 5 mg/mL, respectively, with corresponding concentrations of deltamethrin ranging from 0.005 to 5.000,0.050 to 50.000,0.050 to 25.000 and 0.050 to 50.000 mg/mL, respectively. Furthermore, the ranges of the KT50 values were 11.76-107.43, 67.05-216.30,29.77-107.43 and 28.40-329.51 min; the 1-h knockdown rates were 34.58%-99.15%, 9.52%-43.80%, 55.09%-73.01%, and 10.09%-68.07%; and the 24-h mortality rates were 12.15%-67.52%,9.52%-79.56%,13.17%-82.21%, and 11.01%-78.99%, respectively. With respect to kdr gene mutation, we assayed a total of 63,70,59, and 57 mosquitoes for the four populations, for which we detected L1014F mutation frequencies of 14.29%, 35.00%, 20.34%, and 31.58%, respectively, with a majority of these mutations being heterozygous for resistance. In addition, five adult mosquitoes were identified has having synonymous mutations at site 1011[i. e. , AAT(asparagine)mutation to AAC(asparagine)]. Conclusions Our findings revealed the clear resistance of Cx. tritaeniorhynchus to deltamethrin in the Yancheng region of the Yellow Sea wetland, and the resistance phenotype and kdr frequency of Cx. tritaeniorhynchus in the wetland environment were comparable to those of Cx. tritaeniorhynchus in the wetland environment, thereby indicating that the resistance of different populations of Cx. tritaeniorhynchus was homogeneous under the pressure of different insecticide selection within and around the wetland. However, the underlying mechanisms need to be further studied.
4.Source and carcinogenesis risk assessment of PM2.5-bound polycyclic aromatic hydrocarbons in Harbin, China
Zhen KANG ; Yang LIU ; Rao FU ; Xiaobo LIU ; Qianqi HONG ; Fei YAN
Journal of Public Health and Preventive Medicine 2026;37(4):6-10
Objective To analyze the pollution characteristics of PM2.5-bound polycyclic aromatic hydrocarbons (PAHs) during the non-heating period, heating period, and haze period in Harbin, and infer their possible sources, and to evaluate their impact on population carcinogenesis. Methods From 2020 to 2022, sampling points were set up in different districts of Harbin. PM2.5 samples were regularly collected every month to analyze the contents of 10 types of PM2.5-bound 4-6 rings PAHs. The pollution characteristics of PAHs were analyzed during different monitoring periods (non-heating period, heating period, and haze period). The excess carcinogenesis risks of PM2.5-bound PAHs were assessed according to the Technical Specifications for Health Risk Assessment of Ambient Air Pollution and the U. S. Environmental Protection Agency (US EPA) risk assessment method. The characteristic ratio method and the positive matrix factorization (PMF) model were used to infer the sources of PAHs. Results The median mass concentrations of ambient PM2.5-bound 4-6 rings PAHs (ΣPAHs) during the non-heating period, heating period, and haze period were 6.44 ng/m3, 37.85 ng/m3, and 106.79 ng/m3, respectively. During the heating season and haze period, the concentrations of benzo[a]anthracene, benzo[k]fluoranthene, pyrene and fluoranthene were relatively high. The excess carcinogenic risks for ASF>16, ASF2-16 and ASF<2 caused by exposure to PM2.5-bound 4-6rings PAHs during the heating season were 2.34×10-6, 1.82×10-6, and 0.88×10-6, respectively, while the excess carcinogenic risks for the whole population during the heating season and haze period were 5.05×10-6 and 1.75×10-6, respectively. The results of the two source methods showed that the main characteristic elements during the heating season were fluoranthene, pyrene, benzo[a]anthracene, benzo[b]fluoranthene, benzo[k]fluoranthene, and benzo[a]pyrene. According to the emission source standards, it was determined that the sources were mainly coal and biomass combustion, accompanied by traffic source emissions. Conclusion In Harbin, the PM2.5-bound 4-6 rings PAHs during the haze period is significantly higher than that during the heating period. The pollution is mainly from coal combustion emissions, accompanied by continuous traffic source pollution. The exposure to PAHs during the heating period poses a potential carcinogenic risk to the population.
5.Investigation of effects of petroleum ether fraction from Derris eriocarpa on glucose and lipid metabolism in a mouse model of metabolic syndrome via ATF3/HNF4ɑ/CYP7A1 pathway
Jing YAN ; Jie WENG ; Xuan ZHANG ; Xue LI ; Chao-nan KONG ; Hong-cun LIU ; Li-fang YANG ; Ming-guo JIANG ; Qiu-yan LIANG ; Li-ting HE
Chinese Traditional Patent Medicine 2025;47(9):2902-2911
AIM To investigate effects of petroleum ether fraction from Derris eriocarpa How on glucose and lipid metabolism in a mouse model of metabolic syndrome(MS).METHODS KM mice were fed a high-fat diet and administered streptozotocin intraperitoneally to establish MS models.The MS mice were then randomly assigned to the model group,the metformin hydrochloride group,the lovastatin group,the ursolic acid group,and the high-,medium-and low-dose D.eriocarpa petroleum ether fraction groups,with 10 mice in each group.Ten additional mice maitained on a normal diet served as the normal control group.After 4 weeks of intragastric administration,glucose and lipid metabolism indicators were measured.Hepatic pathological changes were assessed using HE staining and oil red O staining.Liver tissue mRNA expressions of ATF3,PEPCK,FXR,CYP7A1,HNF4ɑ,CYP8B1 and SRB1 were quantified by RT-qPCR.Hepatic protein expressions of ATF3,HNF4ɑ,PEPCK,FXR and CYP7A1 was analyzed by Western blot in MS mice.RESULTS Compared to the model group,the high-dose D.eriocarpa petroleum ether fraction group exhibited significant glucose tolerance improvement(reduced OGTT-AUC,P<0.01);favorable serum lipid modulation in terms of increased HDL-C levels(P<0.01)and decreased TG,TC,LDL-C(P<0.01);reduced renal biomarkers(BUN,SCR)and hepatotoxic indicators of TBA,AST and ALT activities(P<0.01);alleviated hepatic lipid accumulation and histopathological damage;downregulated mRNA and protein expressions of ATF3,HNF4ɑ and PEPCK,as well as CYP8B1 mRNA expression(P<0.01);and upregulated mRNA and protein expressions of FXR and CYP7A1,along with SRB1 mRNA expression(P<0.01).CONCLUSION D.eriocarpa petroleum ether fraction ameliorates glucose and lipid metabolism dysregulation in MS mice by modulating the ATF3/HNF4ɑ/CYP7A1 signaling pathway,consequently eliciting hypoglycemic,hypolipidemic,hepatoprotective and nephroprotective effects.
6.Preliminary analysis of urinary exosomes metabolomic biomarkers in lupus nephritis patients
Ping YANG ; Wenjing LIU ; Hong YAN
Chinese Journal of Laboratory Medicine 2025;48(5):650-655
Objective:To analyze the distinctive urinary exosomal metabolites in patients with lupus nephritis (LN).Methods:In this case-control study, urine samples were collected from 29 LN patients (5 males and 24 females; age, 32?±?12 years old) admitted to the Department of Rheumatology in the Nanjing University Medical School Affiliated Drum Tower Hospital form October 20th, 2022 to March 10th, 2024, as well as from 20 healthy volunteers (4 males and 16 females; age 34?±?11 years old) undergoing routine physical examinations. Exosomes were isolated using polyethylene glycol precipitation, and metabolomic profiling was performed using liquid chromatography-mass spectrometry (LC-MS). The preprocessed data matrix was analyzed via principal component analysis (PCA) and orthogonal partial least squares discriminant analysis (OPLS-DA) use R lamguage. Differential metabolites were screened based on the variable importance in projection (VIP) values derived from the OPLS-DA model and Student′s t-test. Diagnostic performance was evaluated using receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve analysis.Results:Metabolomic analysis identified a total of 963 metabolites. Based on the criteria of VIP>1 and P<0.05, three differential exosomal metabolites—L-tryptophan, L-isoleucine, and L-phenylalanine—were ultimately selected. The areas under the ROC curves were 0.774, 0.783, and 0.789, respectively, with a combined AUC of 0.847. Conclusion:This study preliminarily identified characteristic urinary exosomal metabolites in LN patients, providing novel insights and strategies for the subsequent identification of biomarkers in LN.
7.Effects of Yunpi Tongchang Formula on intestinal mucosal barrier damage via TLR4/MyD88/NF-κB signaling pathway in rats with opioid-induced constipation of Spleen-Kidney Yang Deficiency Syndrome
Lu-mei ZHANG ; Zhi-ming ZHANG ; Zhong-yang SONG ; Xin WANG ; Qian XU ; Xia YANG ; Xin-yu LI ; Yan-yun SHEN ; Hai-hong ZHAO ; Zhi-gang WANG
Chinese Traditional Patent Medicine 2025;47(7):2205-2212
AIM To investigate the effects of Yunpi Tongchang Formula on intestinal mucosal barrier damage in rats with opioid-induced constipation(OIC)of Spleen-Kidney Yang Deficiency Syndrome.METHODS In contrast to the 10 rats of the blank group,the 50 rats of the modeling group were induced into models of OIC of Spleen-Kidney Yang Deficiency Pattern by 7 days consecutive administration of both subcutaneous loperamide injection and alternating gavage of activated carbon ice water and vinegar.Following successful modeling,rats were randomly allocated into the model group,the mosapride citrate tablet group(1.35 mg/kg),and the high-dose,medium-dose,and low-dose Yunpi Tongchang Formula groups(15.12,7.56,3.78 g/kg),with 8 mice in each group.Upon the completion of the 14 days treatment,the rats had their TCM Syndrome scores assessed;their fecal water content,initial black stool excretion time,and small intestine propulsion rate measured;their colon tissue morphology observed by HE staining;their serum levels of IL-6,TNF-α,and IL-1β detected by ELISA;their expressions of occludin and zonula occludens-1(ZO-1)in colon tissues detected by immunohistochemistry;their mRNA expressions of MyD88,TLR4 and NF-κB p65 in the colon tissues detected by RT-qPCR;and their protein expressions of MyD88,TLR4 and NF-κB p65 in the colon tissues detected by Western blot.RESULTS Compared to the blank group,the model group had higher TCM Syndrome scores(P<0.01);lower fecal water content and small intestine propulsion rate(P<0.05,P<0.01);longer initial black stool excretion time(P<0.01);more mucosal edema in colon tissue,obvious inflammatory infiltration,and glandular disorder;increased serum levels of IL-6,TNF-α and IL-1 β(P<0.05);decreased colon expressions of ZO-1 and occludin(P<0.01);and increased mRNA and protein expressions of TLR4,MyD88 and NF-κB p65(P<0.01).Compared to the model group,both the medium-dose Yunpi Tongchang Formula group and the mosapride citrate tablet group demonstrated effectively reduced TCM syndrome scores(P<0.01);increased fecal water content and small intestine propulsion rate(P<0.05,P<0.01);and shorter initial black stool excretion time(P<0.01);improved colon mucosal edema and inflammatory infiltration;decreased serum levels of IL-6,TNF-α and IL-1β(P<0.01);upregulated protein expressions of ZO-1 and occludin(P<0.01);and downregulated mRNA and protein expressions of TLR4,MyD88 and NF-κB p65(P<0.05,P<0.01).CONCLUSION Yunpi Tongchang Formula significantly ameliorates constipation symptoms in OIC rat models of Spleen-Kidney Yang Deficiency Syndrome because of its efficacy in attenuating intestinal inflammation and preserving the integrity of intestinal epithelial barrier structure,with its mechanistic action in downregulating TLR4/MyD88/NF-κB signaling pathway activation.
8.Clinical study of Tuina plus exercise therapy in improving lower-limb mechanical parameters in children with genu varum
Xue WANG ; Yang LI ; Yan YU ; Xiaoying LU ; Yiying LI ; Shuyun JIANG ; Jue HONG
Journal of Acupuncture and Tuina Science 2025;23(4):321-327
Objective:To observe the improving effects of Tuina(Chinese therapeutic massage)plus exercise therapy on joint alignment and walking function in children with genu varum(GV).Methods:Sixty-six children with GV were divided into an exercise therapy group and a Tuina plus exercise therapy group using the random number table method,with 33 cases in each group.Both groups received identical exercise therapy,while the Tuina plus exercise therapy group was additionally offered Tuina manipulation treatment.The intervention course lasted 12 weeks in both groups.Before and after the intervention,the three-dimensional gait analysis was adopted to assess the spatiotemporal parameters,kinematics,and kinetic characteristics of lower-limb joints in children with GV.Results:The GV angle was reduced after intervention in the Tuina plus exercise therapy group(P<0.05),but there was no significant change in the exercise therapy group(P>0.05).After treatment,the Tuina plus exercise therapy group demonstrated a notable decrease in the step length,walking speed,peak forefoot adduction angle,and peak ankle inversion moment(P<0.05),suggesting the correction of the ankle joint's compensatory pathological changes.In the exercise therapy group,the foot progression angle(FPA)and gait deviation index(GDI)increased markedly after the intervention(P<0.05),indicating improved overall kinematic function.Conclusion:The combined use of Tuina manipulations and exercise therapy can produce significant effects in correcting the knee joint's torsion,both coronally(GV angle)and horizontally(ankle inversion moment,FPA,and forefoot adduction angle),while exercise therapy alone can markedly improve the overall kinematic parameters(FPA and GDI).
9.Clinical observation of improving pain,shoulder function,and shoulder muscle strength with DING's Tuina combined with Western medication in patients with rotator cuff injury
Heng ZHANG ; AIMAITI YIMIER ; Linhao YANG ; Jingsong XU ; Jiaxu CHEN ; Zhen YAN ; Jue HONG
Journal of Acupuncture and Tuina Science 2025;23(2):170-177
Objective:To observe the clinical efficacy of DING's Tuina(Chinese therapeutic massage)plus Western medication in treating rotator cuff injury(RCI)and its impact on pain,shoulder function,and shoulder muscle strength in the patients.Methods:Sixty-two RCI patients were divided into an observation group and a control group using a simple randomization method,each consisting of 31 cases.Both groups of patients were prescribed oral celecoxib capsules.In addition,DING's Tuina treatment was offered to the observation group.After 6 weeks of treatment,the two groups were observed for changes in the Constant-Murley score(CMS)for shoulder joint function,the short-form McGill pain questionnaire(SF-MPQ)score,and peak torque(PT)and peak torque to body mass ratio(PT/BM)at angular velocities 120 °/s and 90 °/s as well as the peak torque ratio(PTR)of agonist muscles to antagonist muscles[including adductors to abductors(ADD/ABD)and flexors to extensors(F/E)].Results:After treatment,both groups presented decreased SF-MPQ scores and increased CMS,and the intra-group differences were statistically significant(P<0.05);the observation group had a lower SF-MPQ score and a higher CMS than the control group,showing statistical significance(P<0.05).After the intervention,the ADD/ABD decreased in the control group at the angular velocity 120 °/s in abduction,and the intra-group change was statistically significant(P<0.05);in the observation group,the PT and PT/BM increased compared to the baseline at angular velocities 120 °/s and 90 °/s in abduction,adduction,forward flexion,and backward extension,showing statistical significance(P<0.05).After treatment,the PT and PT/BM at angular velocities 120 °/s and 90 °/s and ADD/ABD at 120 °/s were higher in the observation group than in the control group,and the between-group differences were statistically significant(P<0.05).Conclusion:DING's Tuina combined with oral celecoxib capsules can reduce pain,improve the joint's motor function,and enhance the strength of shoulder muscle groups in RCI patients,and this treatment has a positive impact on the stability when performing shoulder joint abduction and adduction.
10.Construction and validation of predictive model for surgical site infections following spinal surgery in Chinese population
Hongxin WEI ; Yan REN ; Shuang LIU ; Jiao SHAN ; Hui CHEN ; Xiao HAN ; Zhiwei CHEN ; Lin YANG ; Yue LIU ; Luyao LI ; Hong LI
Chinese Journal of Nosocomiology 2025;35(16):2465-2470
OBJECTIVE To construct a predictive tool for surgical site infections(SSIs)in spinal surgery for Chi-nese population to provide evidence support for reducing SSIs.METHODS A systematic review of Chinese and English database literature was conducted for Meta-analysis to obtain pooled risk values for influencing factors,and a risk prediction scoring tool was constructed based on the logistic regression model.Patients who underwent spinal surgery and completed postoperative follow-up in a tertiary hospital in Beijing from Jan.to Dec.2021 were selected to validate the predictive effect of the tool.RESULTS The predictive model for SSIs in Chinese spinal sur-gery patients was Logit(P)=—3.47+0.63(age 60 years)+0.31 ×(patient with cardiovascular disease)+0.69 ×(rheumatoid arthritis)+1.07 ×(diabetes)+1.06 ×(operation duration>3 h)+1.17 ×(preopera-tive albumin<35 g/L)+0.71 ×(history of spinal surgery)+0.67 ×(carrying internal implants)+0.73 ×(blood transfusion).The total score of the predictive tool was 92,with a cutoff score of≥24.50 indicating high-risk individuals.The area under the curve was 0.733,with the sensitivity 58.30%and the specificity 79.60%.CONCLUSION The established predictive model for SSIs in Chinese spine surgery demonstrates good predictive performance and can be used as a reference assessment tool in clinical practice.


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