1.A prediction model for stroke risk among middle-aged and elderly populations
CHU Chu ; XU Hong ; CAI Bo ; HAN Yingying ; MU Haixiang ; ZHENG Huiyan ; LIN Ling
Journal of Preventive Medicine 2025;37(7):649-653
Objective:
To create a prediction model for stroke risk among middle-aged and elderly populations, so as to provide a basis for early identification of high-risk population for stroke.
Methods:
From October to December 2023, residents aged ≥45 years in Chongchuan District, Nantong City, Jiangsu Province were selected using a multi-stage stratified random sampling method. The demographic information, life behavior, and chronic disease data were collected through a questionnaire survey. The standardized prevalence of stroke was calculated using data from the seventh National Population Census. The subjects were randomly divided into the training set and the internal validation set according to the ratio of 8∶2. The basic demographic information, life behavior, and chronic diseases of residents aged ≥45 years in Rugao City were collected from July to August 2023 as the external validation set. Predictive factors were selected using multivariable logistic regression model, and a nomogram for stroke among residents aged ≥45 years was established. The prediction effect was evaluated using the area under the curve (AUC) of the receiver operating characteristic (ROC), calibration curve, and Hosmer-Lemeshow goodness of fit test.
Results:
A total of 6 290 residents aged ≥45 years were included, including 2 975 males (47.30%) and 3 315 females (52.70%). The average age was (61.90±10.20) years. The prevalence of stroke was 3.80%, and the standardized prevalence was 3.36%. The multivariable logistic regression showed that age, smoking, hypertension, and hyperlipidemia were predictors of stroke risk among residents aged ≥45 years, and the prediction model was ln[p/(1-p)]=-4.619+0.046×age+0.383×smoking+0.887×hypertension+0.678×hyperlipidemia. The AUC values of the training set, internal validation set, and external validation set were 0.748, 0.755, and 0.738, respectively. The consistency indexes were 0.748, 0.755, and 0.738, respectively. The Hosmer-Lemeshow goodness of fit test showed a good fitting effect (P>0.05).
Conclusion
The prediction model based on age, smoking, hypertension, and hyperlipidemia has good discrimination and calibration, and can be used to predict the risk of stroke among middle-aged and elderly populations aged ≥45 years.
2.International risk signal prioritization principles: comparison and implications for scientific regulation of traditional Chinese medicine.
Rui ZHENG ; Shuo LIU ; Shi-Jia WANG ; He-Rong CUI ; Hai-Bo SONG ; Hong-Cai SHANG
China Journal of Chinese Materia Medica 2025;50(1):273-277
Signal detection is a critical task in drug safety regulation. However, it inevitably generates irrelevant or false signals, posing challenges for resource allocation by marketing authorization holders. To reasonably assess these signals, different countries have established various principles for prioritizing the evaluation of risk signals. This study systematically compares these principles and finds that the U.S. Food and Drug Administration(FDA) focuses on practical issues, such as identifying drug confusion or drug interactions. However, China's Good Pharmacovigilance Practices and the European Medicines Agency(EMA) emphasize a comprehensive evaluation framework. The Council for International Organizations of Medical Sciences(CIOMS) emphasizes the consistency of multiple data sources, highlighting the reliability of signal evaluation. China practices a multidisciplinary approach combining traditional Chinese and western medicine, and the risk signals related to traditional Chinese medicine(TCM) have unique characteristics, including complex components, cumulative toxicity, specific theoretical foundations, and drug interactions. The different priorities in risk signal evaluation principles across countries suggest that China should strengthen clinical trial research, emphasize corroboration with evidence of multiple sources, and pay particular attention to the risks of drug interactions in the TCM regulatory science. Establishing the risk signal prioritization principles that align with the characteristics of TCM enables more precise and efficient scientific regulation of TCM.
Humans
;
Medicine, Chinese Traditional/standards*
;
China
;
Drugs, Chinese Herbal/adverse effects*
;
United States
;
United States Food and Drug Administration
3.Clinical Characteristics and Prognostic Analysis of Newly Diagnosed Acute Myeloid Leukemia Patients with NRAS and KRAS Gene Mutations.
Zhang-Yu YU ; Bo CAI ; Yi WANG ; Yang-Yang LEI ; Bing-Xia LI ; Yu-Fang LI ; Yan-Ping SHI ; Jia-Xin CHEN ; Shu-Hong LIU ; Chang-Lin YU ; Mei GUO
Journal of Experimental Hematology 2025;33(3):682-690
OBJECTIVE:
To retrospectively analyze the clinical characteristics, co-mutated genes in newly diagnosed acute myeloid leukemia (AML) patients with NRAS and KRAS gene mutations, and the impact of NRAS and KRAS mutations on prognosis.
METHODS:
The clinical data and next-generation sequencing results of 80 newly diagnosed AML patients treated at our hospital from December 2018 to December 2023 were collected. The clinical characteristics, co-mutated genes of NRAS and KRAS , and the impact of NRAS and KRAS mutations on prognosis in newly diagnosed AML patients were analyzed.
RESULTS:
Among 80 newly diagnosed AML patients, NRAS mutations were detected in 20 cases(25.0%), and KRAS mutations were detected in 9 cases(11.3%). NRAS mutations predominantly occurred at codons 12 and 13 of exon 2, as well as codon 61 of exon 3, while KRAS mutations were most commonly occurred at codons 12 and 13 of exon 2, all of which were missense mutations. There were no statistically significant differences observed in terms of age, sex, white blood cell count(WBC), hemoglobin(Hb), platelet count(PLT), bone marrow blasts, first induction chemotherapy regimen, CR1/CRi1 rates, chromosome karyotype, 2022 ELN risk classification and allogeneic hematopoietic stem cell transplantation(allo-HSCT) among the NRAS mutation group, KRAS mutation group and NRAS/KRAS wild-type group (P >0.05). KRAS mutations were significantly correlated with PTPN11 mutations (r =0.344), whereas no genes significantly associated with NRAS mutations were found. Survival analysis showed that compared to the NRAS/KRAS wild-type group, patients with NRAS mutation had a relatively higher 5-year overall survival (OS) rate and relapse-free survival (RFS) rate, though the differences were not statistically significant (P =0.097, P =0.249). Compared to the NRAS/KRAS wild-type group, patients with KRAS mutation had a lower 5-year OS rate and RFS rate, with no significant differences observed (P =0.275, P =0.442). There was no significant difference in the 5-year RFS rate between the KRAS mutation group and NRAS mutation group (P =0.157), but the 5-year OS rate of patients with KRAS mutation was significantly lower than that of patients with NRAS mutation (P =0.037).
CONCLUSION
In newly diagnosed AML patients, KRAS mutation was significantly correlated with PTPN11 mutation. Compared to patients with NRAS/KRAS wild-type, those with NRAS mutation showed a more favorable prognosis, while patients with KRAS mutation showed a poorer prognosis; however, these differences did not reach statistical significance. Notably, the prognosis of AML patients with KRAS mutation was significantly inferior compared to those with NRAS mutation.
Humans
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Leukemia, Myeloid, Acute/diagnosis*
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Mutation
;
Prognosis
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Proto-Oncogene Proteins p21(ras)/genetics*
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GTP Phosphohydrolases/genetics*
;
Retrospective Studies
;
Membrane Proteins/genetics*
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Female
;
Male
;
Middle Aged
;
Adult
;
Aged
4.Study on micro wave ablation of lung tumor based on real anatomical model
Ju LIU ; Hong-Jian GAO ; Qi WANG ; Yu-Bo ZHANG ; Hui-Jing HE ; Wei-Wei WU ; Shui-Cai WU
Chinese Medical Equipment Journal 2024;45(9):27-34
Objective To plan microwave antenna puncture direction effectively and realize personalized preoperative simulation by exploring microwave ablation(MWV)outcomes of lung cancer based on real anatomical model.Methods Firstly,a personalized MWA simulation model consisting of the lung tissue,tumor and vascular system was constructed based on the lung CT data of real patients.Secondly,the MWA effect was simulated by coupling 2 physical fields including an electromagnetic field and a biological heat transfer field,so as to determine the volume of the ablation thermocoagulation zone and the temperature distribution of the lung tissue.Finally,the effects of the vascularized network on the ablation results were quantitatively evaluated in terms of conductivity and blood perfusion,and the ablation results were analyzed with different distances between the large vessels and the antennae(5 and 10 mm from the antennae tips)and puncture angles(large vessels parallelling or intersecting with the antennae tips).Results The vascularized network reduced the volume of the thermocoagulation zone by 0.5%to 3.7%,and blood perfusion made the ablation temperature and the volume of the thermocoagulation zone decreased significantly.The cooling effect gradually diminished with the increase of the distance between the large vessels and the antenna.With the same treatment parameters,the thermocoagulation zone formed when the large vessels paralleled with the antenna was obviously larger than that when the vessles intersected with the antenna.Conclusion Personalized MWA simulation analysis based on real CT data contributes to clarifying the temperature distribution and damage estimation close to the actual situation,which provides guidance and reference for precise treatment of the lung tumor and determination of microwave antenna puncture direction.[Chinese Medical Equipment Journal,2024,45(9):27-34]
5.A multi-center epidemiological study on pneumococcal meningitis in children from 2019 to 2020
Cai-Yun WANG ; Hong-Mei XU ; Gang LIU ; Jing LIU ; Hui YU ; Bi-Quan CHEN ; Guo ZHENG ; Min SHU ; Li-Jun DU ; Zhi-Wei XU ; Li-Su HUANG ; Hai-Bo LI ; Dong WANG ; Song-Ting BAI ; Qing-Wen SHAN ; Chun-Hui ZHU ; Jian-Mei TIAN ; Jian-Hua HAO ; Ai-Wei LIN ; Dao-Jiong LIN ; Jin-Zhun WU ; Xin-Hua ZHANG ; Qing CAO ; Zhong-Bin TAO ; Yuan CHEN ; Guo-Long ZHU ; Ping XUE ; Zheng-Zhen TANG ; Xue-Wen SU ; Zheng-Hai QU ; Shi-Yong ZHAO ; Lin PANG ; Hui-Ling DENG ; Sai-Nan SHU ; Ying-Hu CHEN
Chinese Journal of Contemporary Pediatrics 2024;26(2):131-138
Objective To investigate the clinical characteristics and prognosis of pneumococcal meningitis(PM),and drug sensitivity of Streptococcus pneumoniae(SP)isolates in Chinese children.Methods A retrospective analysis was conducted on clinical information,laboratory data,and microbiological data of 160 hospitalized children under 15 years old with PM from January 2019 to December 2020 in 33 tertiary hospitals across the country.Results Among the 160 children with PM,there were 103 males and 57 females.The age ranged from 15 days to 15 years,with 109 cases(68.1% )aged 3 months to under 3 years.SP strains were isolated from 95 cases(59.4% )in cerebrospinal fluid cultures and from 57 cases(35.6% )in blood cultures.The positive rates of SP detection by cerebrospinal fluid metagenomic next-generation sequencing and cerebrospinal fluid SP antigen testing were 40% (35/87)and 27% (21/78),respectively.Fifty-five cases(34.4% )had one or more risk factors for purulent meningitis,113 cases(70.6% )had one or more extra-cranial infectious foci,and 18 cases(11.3% )had underlying diseases.The most common clinical symptoms were fever(147 cases,91.9% ),followed by lethargy(98 cases,61.3% )and vomiting(61 cases,38.1% ).Sixty-nine cases(43.1% )experienced intracranial complications during hospitalization,with subdural effusion and/or empyema being the most common complication[43 cases(26.9% )],followed by hydrocephalus in 24 cases(15.0% ),brain abscess in 23 cases(14.4% ),and cerebral hemorrhage in 8 cases(5.0% ).Subdural effusion and/or empyema and hydrocephalus mainly occurred in children under 1 year old,with rates of 91% (39/43)and 83% (20/24),respectively.SP strains exhibited complete sensitivity to vancomycin(100% ,75/75),linezolid(100% ,56/56),and meropenem(100% ,6/6).High sensitivity rates were also observed for levofloxacin(81% ,22/27),moxifloxacin(82% ,14/17),rifampicin(96% ,25/26),and chloramphenicol(91% ,21/23).However,low sensitivity rates were found for penicillin(16% ,11/68)and clindamycin(6% ,1/17),and SP strains were completely resistant to erythromycin(100% ,31/31).The rates of discharge with cure and improvement were 22.5% (36/160)and 66.2% (106/160),respectively,while 18 cases(11.3% )had adverse outcomes.Conclusions Pediatric PM is more common in children aged 3 months to under 3 years.Intracranial complications are more frequently observed in children under 1 year old.Fever is the most common clinical manifestation of PM,and subdural effusion/emphysema and hydrocephalus are the most frequent complications.Non-culture detection methods for cerebrospinal fluid can improve pathogen detection rates.Adverse outcomes can be noted in more than 10% of PM cases.SP strains are high sensitivity to vancomycin,linezolid,meropenem,levofloxacin,moxifloxacin,rifampicin,and chloramphenicol.[Chinese Journal of Contemporary Pediatrics,2024,26(2):131-138]
6.A multicenter study of neonatal stroke in Shenzhen,China
Li-Xiu SHI ; Jin-Xing FENG ; Yan-Fang WEI ; Xin-Ru LU ; Yu-Xi ZHANG ; Lin-Ying YANG ; Sheng-Nan HE ; Pei-Juan CHEN ; Jing HAN ; Cheng CHEN ; Hui-Ying TU ; Zhang-Bin YU ; Jin-Jie HUANG ; Shu-Juan ZENG ; Wan-Ling CHEN ; Ying LIU ; Yan-Ping GUO ; Jiao-Yu MAO ; Xiao-Dong LI ; Qian-Shen ZHANG ; Zhi-Li XIE ; Mei-Ying HUANG ; Kun-Shan YAN ; Er-Ya YING ; Jun CHEN ; Yan-Rong WANG ; Ya-Ping LIU ; Bo SONG ; Hua-Yan LIU ; Xiao-Dong XIAO ; Hong TANG ; Yu-Na WANG ; Yin-Sha CAI ; Qi LONG ; Han-Qiang XU ; Hui-Zhan WANG ; Qian SUN ; Fang HAN ; Rui-Biao ZHANG ; Chuan-Zhong YANG ; Lei DOU ; Hui-Ju SHI ; Rui WANG ; Ping JIANG ; Shenzhen Neonatal Data Network
Chinese Journal of Contemporary Pediatrics 2024;26(5):450-455
Objective To investigate the incidence rate,clinical characteristics,and prognosis of neonatal stroke in Shenzhen,China.Methods Led by Shenzhen Children's Hospital,the Shenzhen Neonatal Data Collaboration Network organized 21 institutions to collect 36 cases of neonatal stroke from January 2020 to December 2022.The incidence,clinical characteristics,treatment,and prognosis of neonatal stroke in Shenzhen were analyzed.Results The incidence rate of neonatal stroke in 21 hospitals from 2020 to 2022 was 1/15 137,1/6 060,and 1/7 704,respectively.Ischemic stroke accounted for 75%(27/36);boys accounted for 64%(23/36).Among the 36 neonates,31(86%)had disease onset within 3 days after birth,and 19(53%)had convulsion as the initial presentation.Cerebral MRI showed that 22 neonates(61%)had left cerebral infarction and 13(36%)had basal ganglia infarction.Magnetic resonance angiography was performed for 12 neonates,among whom 9(75%)had involvement of the middle cerebral artery.Electroencephalography was performed for 29 neonates,with sharp waves in 21 neonates(72%)and seizures in 10 neonates(34%).Symptomatic/supportive treatment varied across different hospitals.Neonatal Behavioral Neurological Assessment was performed for 12 neonates(33%,12/36),with a mean score of(32±4)points.The prognosis of 27 neonates was followed up to around 12 months of age,with 44%(12/27)of the neonates having a good prognosis.Conclusions Ischemic stroke is the main type of neonatal stroke,often with convulsions as the initial presentation,involvement of the middle cerebral artery,sharp waves on electroencephalography,and a relatively low neurodevelopment score.Symptomatic/supportive treatment is the main treatment method,and some neonates tend to have a poor prognosis.
7.Research status of AQP5 regulation of programmed cell death in chronic obstructive pulmonary disease
Cheng-Cai YUN ; Li-Ying ZHANG ; Hong-Dou HOU ; Huan-Huan ZHANG ; Zhang-Bo SONG ; Wen-Xing YONG
The Chinese Journal of Clinical Pharmacology 2024;40(14):2134-2138
Aquaporin 5(AQP5),as the main water transport protein in the body,can regulate lung diseases by regulating airway mucus secretion,pulmonary inflammation,and lung function.Programmed cell death(PCD)plays a crucial role in chronic obstructive pulmonary disease(COPD).AQP5 may affect the development of COPD by regulating PCDs.This article reviews the molecular regulatory mechanism of AQP5 on apoptosis,autophagy,iron death and pyroptosis in PCDs in recent years,and further discusses its effect on COPD in order to provide theoretical support for clinical prevention and treatment of COPD.
8.Epidemic Status,Trends and Survival Analysis of Gall-bladder Cancer in Nantong of Jiangsu from 2013 to 2017
Juan CAI ; Hong XU ; Chu CHU ; Yingying HAN ; Chunyan ZHAO ; Ling LIN ; Yarong HAN ; Yuqi WANG ; Bo CAI
China Cancer 2024;33(11):930-936
[Purpose]To analyze the incidence and mortality trends,and survival of gallbladder cancer in Nantong City of Jiangsu Province from 2013 to 2017.[Methods]The gallbladder cancer incidence and mortality data from 2013 to 2017 were collected from Nantong cancer registries.The crude incidence/mortality rates,age-standardized incidence/mortality rates by Chinese and world standard population(ASIRC/ASMRC,ASIRW/ASMRW)were calculated by sex,age and regions(urban and rural).Joinpoint software was used to analyze the incidence and mortality trends of gallbladder cancer.The observed survival rate and relative survival rate were calculated by using life table method and Ederer Ⅱ method.[Results]From 2013 to 2017,the gallbladder cancer crude incidence and mortality rates were 6.36/105 and 4.91/105,ASIRC and ASMRC were 2.62/105 and 1.94/105,respectively.The crude incidence and mortality,and ASMRC showed an upwards trend(all P<0.05).The ASIRC for men and women was 2.43/105 and 2.83/105,the ASMRC for men and women was 1.74/105 and 2.16/105,respectively.ASIRC and ASMRC in women were higher than those in men.The ASIRC in urban and rural areas was 2.40/105 and 2.69/105,and the ASMRC was 1.61/105 and 2.05/105,respectively.ASIRC and ASMRC in rural areas were higher than those in urban areas.The average age of onset was 70.33 years old and the average age of death was 71.86 years old.The 5-year observed survival rate was 12.90%,and the 5-year relative survival rate was 14.47%.Both the 5-year observed survival rate and relative survival rate showed an upwards trend(both P<0.05).[Conclusion]The incidence and mortality rates of gall-bladder cancer in Nantong City are relatively high and the survival rate is generally low.It is sug-gested that targeted prevention and control measures of gallbladder cancer in Nantong City should be strengthened,particularly in rural areas and for middle-aged and elderly women.
9.Construction of Panax ginseng root yeast library and screening of interacting proteins of PgD14 and Pgpht2-1.
Hao LIANG ; Hai SUN ; Cai SHAO ; Bo-Chen LYU ; Wei-Yu CAO ; Hong-Ju LONG ; Ya-Yu ZHANG
China Journal of Chinese Materia Medica 2024;49(22):6107-6118
To construct a high-quality Panax ginseng cDNA library, transcription factors binding to the P. ginseng PgD14 gene promoter were screened by yeast one-hybrid, and proteins interacting with the P. ginseng Pgpht2-1 gene-encoded protein were screened by yeast two-hybrid. In this study, root tissues of P. ginseng were used as materials. Gateway technology was used to construct the P. ginseng yeast one-hybrid library, and duplex-specific nuclease(DSN) homogenization technology was used to construct the P. ginseng yeast two-hybrid library. The pAbAi-PgD14-Pro961 vector was used as bait to screen candidate transcription factors that might bind to the PgD14 gene promoter from the yeast one-hybrid library, and the pGBKT7-Pgpht2-1 vector was used as bait to screen candidate proteins that might interact with the Pgpht2-1 gene-encoded protein from the yeast two-hybrid library. The yeast one-hybrid library had a size of 1.20×10~7 CFU, a recombination rate of 100%, and an average inserted fragment length of more than 1 000 bp. The yeast two-hybrid library had a size of 1.832×10~5 CFU, a recombination rate of 100%, and an average inserted fragment length of about 1 000 bp. The recombinant vectors pAbAi-PgD14-Pro961 and pGBKT7-Pgpht2-1 were transformed into Y1HGold and AH109 strains, respectively, and interacting proteins were screened by yeast one-hybrid and yeast two-hybrid. As a result, 54 transcription factors that could bind to the PgD14 gene promoter of P. ginseng and 42 proteins that may interact with the protein encoded by the Pgpht2-1 gene were identified. This study successfully constructed the P. ginseng yeast one-hybrid and yeast two-hybrid cDNA libraries, laying a foundation for subsequent studies on the functions of the P. ginseng PgD14, Pgpht2-1, and other genes.
Panax/metabolism*
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Two-Hybrid System Techniques
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Plant Proteins/metabolism*
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Gene Library
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Plant Roots/chemistry*
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Protein Binding
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Transcription Factors/metabolism*
;
Promoter Regions, Genetic
10.Association between blood pressure during 12-28 weeks gestation and pre-eclampsia: predictive value of blood pressure trajectories constructed by latent class growth modeling.
Wei CAI ; Xin ZHOU ; Ning YANG ; Xiu Long NIU ; Guo Hong YANG ; Xin ZHANG ; Wei WANG ; Shao Bo CHEN ; Yu Ming LI
Chinese Journal of Cardiology 2023;51(2):164-171
Objective: To explore the associations between blood pressure trajectories during pregnancy and risk of future pre-eclampsia in a large cohort enrolling pregnant women at gestational age of ~12 weeks from community hospitals in Tianjin. Latent class growth modeling (LCGM) was used to model the blood pressure trajectories. Methods: This was a large prospective cohort study. The study enrolled pregnant women of ~12 weeks of gestation in 19 community hospitals in Tianjin from November 1, 2016 to May 30, 2018. We obtained related information during 5 antepartum examinations before gestational week 28, i.e., week 12, week 16, week 20, week 24 and week 28. LCGM was used to model longitudinal systolic (SBP) and diastolic blood pressure (DBP) trajectories. For the association study, the predictors were set as SBP and DBP trajectory membership (built separately), the outcome was defined as the occurrence of preeclampsia after 28 weeks of gestation. Results: A total of 5 809 cases with known pregnant outcomes were documented. After excluding 249 cases per exclusion criteria, 5 560 cases with singleton pregnancy were included for final analysis. There were 128 cases preeclampsia and 106 cases gestational hypertension in this cohort. Univariate logistic regression and multivariate logistic regression showed the higher baseline SBP level and DBP level were related with increased risk of preeclampsia. Four distinctive SBP trajectories and DBP trajectories from 12 weeks to 28 weeks of gestation were identified by LCGM. After controlling for potential confounders (baseline BMI, being primipara or not, white blood cell counts, hemoglobin level, platelet counts and alanine aminotransferase level), the OR for SBP latent classification trajectory_ 4 was 4.023 (95%CI: 2.368 to 6.835, P<0.001), and the OR for SBP latent classification trajectory_3 was 1.854 (95%CI: 1.223 to 2.811, P=0.004). Logistic regression showed that: using the DBP latent classification trajectory_1 as the reference group, the OR for DBP latent classification trajectory_4 was 4.100 (95%CI: 2.571 to 6.538, P<0.001), and 2.632 (95%CI: 1.570 to 4.414, P<0.001) for DBP latent classification trajectory_2. After controlling for potential confounders (baseline BMI, being primipara or not, white blood cell counts, hemoglobin level, platelet counts and alanine aminotransferase level), the OR for DBP_traj_4 was 2.527 (95%CI: 1.534 to 4.162, P<0.001), and the OR for DBP_traj_3 was 1.297 (95%CI: 0.790 to 2.128, P=0.303), and 2.238 (95%CI: 1.328 to 3.772, P=0.002) for DBP_traj_2. Therefore, BP trajectories from 12 weeks to 28 weeks identified by LCGM served as novel risk factors that independently associated with the occurrence of preeclampsia. Receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve analysis showed incremental diagnostic performance by combing baseline blood pressure levels with blood pressure trajectories. Conclusion: By applying LCGM, we for the first time identified distinctive BP trajectories from gestational week 12 to 28, which can independently predict the development of preeclampsia after 28 weeks of gestation.
Female
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Humans
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Pregnancy
;
Infant
;
Blood Pressure
;
Pre-Eclampsia/diagnosis*
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Prospective Studies
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Gestational Age
;
Alanine Transaminase
;
Hemoglobins


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