1.Using machine learning techniques for early prediction of tracheal intubation in patients with septic shock: a multi-center study in South Korea
Ji Han HEO ; Taegyun KIM ; Tae Gun SHIN ; Gil Joon SUH ; Woon Yong KWON ; Hayoung KIM ; Heesu PARK ; Heejun KIM ; Sol HAN ;
Acute and Critical Care 2025;40(2):221-234
Background:
Patients with septic shock frequently require tracheal intubation in the emergency department (ED). However, the criteria for tracheal intubation are subjective, based on physician experience, or require serial evaluations over relatively long intervals to make accurate predictions, which might not be feasible in the ED. We used supervised learning approaches and features routinely available during the initial stages of evaluation and resuscitation to stratify the risks of tracheal intubation within a 24-hour time window.
Methods:
We retrospectively analyzed the data of patients diagnosed with septic shock based on the SEPSIS-3 criteria across 21 university hospital EDs in the Republic of Korea. A principal component analysis revealed a complex, non-linear decision boundary with respect to the application of tracheal intubation within a 24-hour time window. Stratified five-fold cross validation and a grid search were used with extreme gradient boost. Shapley values were calculated to explain feature importance and preferences.
Results:
In total, data for 4,762 patients were analyzed; within that population, 1,486 (31%) were intubated within a 24-hour window, and 3,276 (69%) were not. The area under the receiver operating characteristic curve and F1 scores for intubation within a 24-hour window were 0.829 (95% CI, 0.801–0.878) and 0.654 (95% CI, 0.627–0.681), respectively. The Shapley values identified lactate level after initial fluids, suspected lung infection, initial pH, Sequential Organ Failure Assessment score at enrollment, and respiratory rate at enrollment as important features for prediction.
Conclusions
An extreme gradient boosting machine can moderately discriminate whether intubation is warranted within 24 hours of the recognition of septic shock in the ED.
2.Small Multi-Gene DNA Panel Can Aid in Reducing the Surgical Resection Rate and Predicting the Malignancy Risk of Thyroid Nodules
Moon Young OH ; Hye-Mi CHOI ; Jinsun JANG ; Heejun SON ; Seung Shin PARK ; Minchul SONG ; Yoo Hyung KIM ; Sun Wook CHO ; Young Jun CHAI ; Woosung CHUNG ; Young Joo PARK
Endocrinology and Metabolism 2024;39(5):777-792
Background:
We explored the utility of a small multi-gene DNA panel for assessing molecular profiles of thyroid nodules and influencing clinical decisions by comparing outcomes between tested and untested nodules.
Methods:
Between April 2022 and May 2023, we prospectively performed fine-needle aspiration (FNA) with gene testing via DNA panel of 11 genes (BRAF, RAS [NRAS, HRAS, KRAS], EZH1, DICER1, EIF1AX, PTEN, TP53, PIK3CA, TERT promoter) in 278 consecutive nodules (panel group). Propensity score-matching (1:1) was performed with 475 nodules that consecutively underwent FNA without gene testing between January 2021 and December 2021 (control group).
Results:
In the panel group, positive call rate for mutations was 41.7% (BRAF 16.2%, RAS 12.6%, others 11.5%, double mutation 1.4%) for all nodules, and 40.0% (BRAF 4.3%, RAS 19.1%, others 15.7%, double mutation 0.9%) for indeterminate nodules. Benign call rate was 69.8% for all nodules, and 75.7% for indeterminate nodules. In four nodules, additional TP53 (in addition to BRAF or EZH1) or PIK3CA (in addition to BRAF or TERT) mutations were co-detected. Sensitivity, specificity, positive predictive value, and negative predictive value were 80.0%, 53.3%, 88.1%, 38.1% for all nodules, and 78.6%, 45.5%, 64.7%, 62.5% for indeterminate nodules, respectively. Panel group exhibited lower surgical resection rates than the control group for all nodules (27.0% vs. 52.5%, P<0.001), and indeterminate nodules (23.5% vs. 68.2%, P<0.001). Malignancy risk was significantly different between the panel and control groups (81.5% vs. 63.9%, P=0.008) for all nodules.
Conclusion
Our panel aids in managing thyroid nodules by providing information on malignancy risk based on mutations, potentially reducing unnecessary surgery in benign nodules or patients with less aggressive malignancies.
3.Drive-Through Screening Center for COVID-19: a Safe and Efficient Screening System against Massive Community Outbreak
Ki Tae KWON ; Jae Hoon KO ; Heejun SHIN ; Minki SUNG ; Jin Yong KIM
Journal of Korean Medical Science 2020;35(11):123-
As the coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) outbreak is ongoing, the number of individuals to be tested for COVID-19 is rapidly increasing. For safe and efficient screening for COVID-19, drive-through (DT) screening centers have been designed and implemented in Korea. Herein, we present the overall concept, advantages, and limitations of the COVID-19 DT screening centers. The steps of the DT centers include registration, examination, specimen collection, and instructions. The entire service takes about 10 minutes for one testee without leaving his or her cars. Increased testing capacity over 100 tests per day and prevention of cross-infection between testees in the waiting space are the major advantages, while protection of staff from the outdoor atmosphere is challenging. It could be implemented in other countries to cope with the global COVID-19 outbreak and transformed according to their own situations.
4.Drive-Through Screening Center for COVID-19: a Safe and Efficient Screening System against Massive Community Outbreak
Ki Tae KWON ; Jae Hoon KO ; Heejun SHIN ; Minki SUNG ; Jin Yong KIM
Journal of Korean Medical Science 2020;35(11):e123-
As the coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) outbreak is ongoing, the number of individuals to be tested for COVID-19 is rapidly increasing. For safe and efficient screening for COVID-19, drive-through (DT) screening centers have been designed and implemented in Korea. Herein, we present the overall concept, advantages, and limitations of the COVID-19 DT screening centers. The steps of the DT centers include registration, examination, specimen collection, and instructions. The entire service takes about 10 minutes for one testee without leaving his or her cars. Increased testing capacity over 100 tests per day and prevention of cross-infection between testees in the waiting space are the major advantages, while protection of staff from the outdoor atmosphere is challenging. It could be implemented in other countries to cope with the global COVID-19 outbreak and transformed according to their own situations.
5.Should Let Them Go? Study on the Emergency Department Discharge of Patients Who Attempted Suicide.
Heejun SHIN ; Ho Jung KIM ; Shingyeom KIM ; Sunjin CHOI ; Heeju OH ; Bora LEE
Psychiatry Investigation 2018;15(6):638-648
OBJECTIVE: The purpose of this study was to analyze the characteristics and factors of voluntary discharged patients after suicide attempt and analyze the effectiveness of follow-up measures. METHODS: Total 504 adult patients aged 14 years and over, who visited a local emergency medical center from September 1, 2013 to December 31, 2015 were enrolled and retrospectively reviewed. We analyzed the relationship with voluntary discharge group (VDG) among basic characteristics, suicidal attempt variables, outcome variables related to suicide attempts, and treatment related variables comparing with normal discharge group (NDG). RESULTS: Of the total 504 suicide attempts, three hundred eleven (61.7%) patients were VDG and 193 (38.2%) were NDG. The proportion of patients who completed the community service linkage were 18.7% (36/193) in NDG, compared with 7.7% (24/311) in VDG (p < 0.05). In addition, the ratio of the patients who visited psychiatric outpatient department in NDG were 57.0% (110/193), more than four times as likely as 14.5% (45/311) in VDG (p < 0.05). CONCLUSION: Over sixty percent of suicide attempters discharged against medical advice. Further various aspects of national supportive measures including strengthening case management service should be considered.
Adult
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Case Management
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Emergencies*
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Emergency Service, Hospital*
;
Follow-Up Studies
;
Humans
;
Linear Energy Transfer*
;
Outpatients
;
Retrospective Studies
;
Social Welfare
;
Suicide
;
Suicide, Attempted*

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