1.Comparison of the in-hospital mortality risk predictive models among patients with ischemic stroke combined by dysphagia based on interpretable machine learning
Yaoyong TAI ; Shengyong WU ; Xiao LUO ; Ronghui ZHU ; Qian HE ; Cheng WU
Shanghai Journal of Preventive Medicine 2025;37(3):199-205
ObjectiveTo predict the in-hospital mortality risk among patients with ischemic stroke combined by dysphagia using interpretable machine learning methods, so as to provide more evidence-based support for the prognosis prediction of patients with ischemic stroke combined by dysphagia. MethodsMedical record of 308 patients diagnosed with ischemic stroke combined by dysphagia in the Medical Information Mart for Intensive Care Ⅳ (MIMIC-Ⅳ) (2.0) in the United States were retrospectively analyzed. Features of the research data were screened based on the least absolute shrinkage and selection operator, and which were randomly divided into a training set and a test set at a ratio of 7∶3. Then ten models, including logistic regression, random forest, K-nearest neighbor, linear discriminant analysis, naive bayes (NB), neural network, quadratic discriminant analysis, recursive partitioning tree, extreme gradient boosting tree, and support vector machine, etc. were constructed. The predictive effect was measured by calculating the area under the curve (AUC) of receiver operating characteristics. In addition, the calibration curve and Brier score were used to evaluate the calibration degree of the model, and the decision curve was drawn to reflect the clinical net benefit. The Shapley additive explanation method was used to analyze the interpretability of the black box model and explore the important decision-making factors. ResultsThe NB model in the test set showed better predictive ability compared with other models (AUC=0.85, 95%CI: 0.83‒0.88). After interpretability analysis, it was found that blood urea nitrogen (BUN), age, sequential organ failure assessment, bicarbonate, chloride, and hypertension were important risk factors for in-hospital mortality in patients with ischemic stroke combined by dysphagia. ConclusionThe comprehensive performance of the NB model is better than that of the other nine models in predicting the risk of in-hospital mortality in patients with ischemic stroke combined by dysphagia. The interpretability of the model can help clinicians better understand the reasons behind the results and take further reasonable intervention measures for risk factors to improve the survival probability of patients.
2.Analysis of evaluation results for the implementation of Specification for testing of quality control in medical X-ray diagnostic equipment (WS 76-2020)
Ling ZHANG ; Weidong ZHU ; Hezheng ZHAI ; Tingting YE ; Tinggui HE ; Wanyan CHENG ; Cheng ZHANG ; Chunxu YIN
Chinese Journal of Radiological Health 2025;34(4):559-565
Objective To evaluate the overall implementation of the WS 76-2020 standard in Anhui Province, China and identify and analyze the factors affecting the implementation of the standard, and to provide a basis for the effective implementation and revision of WS 76-2020. Methods According to the requirements of the Notice of the Department of Regulations in National Health Commission on the 2024 assessment of implementation of mandatory standards, an evaluation of radiological health standards was organized and conducted in Anhui Province. The evaluation involved the three dimensions of standard implementation status, technical content of the standards, and effectiveness of standard implementation, with subsequent data analysis. Results The total evaluation score for WS 76-2020 was 87.83 points, indicating that the standard effectively guided the quality control testing of medical X-ray diagnostic equipment. However, stability testing was either underutilized or not performed in practice. The qualified rate of X-ray diagnostic equipment in the province was 94.26%, with equipment performance issues identified as the leading contributor to non-qualified instances. Expert discussions highlighted recommendations particularly concerning the operability, applicability, and scientific rigor of the standard. Conclusion It is recommended to strengthen the dissemination and training for the standard, promote medical institutions to voluntarily conduct stability testing, provide supplementary clarifications or revisions for problematic clauses, and standardize quality control testing techniques for radiological diagnostic equipment.
3.COMPERA 2.0 risk stratification in patients with severe aortic stenosis: implication for group 2 pulmonary hypertension.
Zongye CAI ; Xinrui QI ; Dao ZHOU ; Hanyi DAI ; Abuduwufuer YIDILISI ; Ming ZHONG ; Lin DENG ; Yuchao GUO ; Jiaqi FAN ; Qifeng ZHU ; Yuxin HE ; Cheng LI ; Xianbao LIU ; Jian'an WANG
Journal of Zhejiang University. Science. B 2025;26(11):1076-1085
COMPERA 2.0 risk stratification has been demonstrated to be useful in patients with precapillary pulmonary hypertension (PH). However, its suitability for patients at risk for post-capillary PH or PH associated with left heart disease (PH-LHD) is unclear. To investigate the use of COMPERA 2.0 in patients with severe aortic stenosis (SAS) undergoing transcatheter aortic valve replacement (TAVR), who are at risk for post-capillary PH, a total of 327 eligible SAS patients undergoing TAVR at our institution between September 2015 and November 2020 were included in the study. Patients were classified into four strata before and after TAVR using the COMPERA 2.0 risk score. The primary endpoint was all-cause mortality. Survival analysis was performed using Kaplan-Meier curves, log-rank test, and Cox proportional hazards regression model. The study cohort had a median (interquartile range) age of 76 (70‒80) years and a pulmonary arterial systolic pressure of 33 (27‒43) mmHg (1 mmHg=0.133 kPa) before TAVR. The overall mortality was 11.9% during 26 (15‒47) months of follow-up. Before TAVR, cumulative mortality was higher with an increase in the risk stratum level (log-rank, both P<0.001); each increase in the risk stratum level resulted in an increased risk of death (hazard ratio (HR) 2.53, 95% confidential interval (CI) 1.54‒4.18, P<0.001), which was independent of age, sex, estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR), hemoglobin, albumin, and valve type (HR 1.76, 95% CI 1.01‒3.07, P=0.047). Similar results were observed at 30 d after TAVR. COMPERA 2.0 can serve as a useful tool for risk stratification in patients with SAS undergoing TAVR, indicating its potential application in the management of PH-LHD. Further validation is needed in patients with confirmed post-capillary PH by right heart catheterization.
Humans
;
Aortic Valve Stenosis/complications*
;
Aged
;
Hypertension, Pulmonary/mortality*
;
Male
;
Female
;
Transcatheter Aortic Valve Replacement
;
Aged, 80 and over
;
Risk Assessment/methods*
;
Proportional Hazards Models
;
Kaplan-Meier Estimate
;
Retrospective Studies
4.Association of Body Mass Index with All-Cause Mortality and Cause-Specific Mortality in Rural China: 10-Year Follow-up of a Population-Based Multicenter Prospective Study.
Juan Juan HUANG ; Yuan Zhi DI ; Ling Yu SHEN ; Jian Guo LIANG ; Jiang DU ; Xue Fang CAO ; Wei Tao DUAN ; Ai Wei HE ; Jun LIANG ; Li Mei ZHU ; Zi Sen LIU ; Fang LIU ; Shu Min YANG ; Zu Hui XU ; Cheng CHEN ; Bin ZHANG ; Jiao Xia YAN ; Yan Chun LIANG ; Rong LIU ; Tao ZHU ; Hong Zhi LI ; Fei SHEN ; Bo Xuan FENG ; Yi Jun HE ; Zi Han LI ; Ya Qi ZHAO ; Tong Lei GUO ; Li Qiong BAI ; Wei LU ; Qi JIN ; Lei GAO ; He Nan XIN
Biomedical and Environmental Sciences 2025;38(10):1179-1193
OBJECTIVE:
This study aimed to explore the association between body mass index (BMI) and mortality based on the 10-year population-based multicenter prospective study.
METHODS:
A general population-based multicenter prospective study was conducted at four sites in rural China between 2013 and 2023. Multivariate Cox proportional hazards models and restricted cubic spline analyses were used to assess the association between BMI and mortality. Stratified analyses were performed based on the individual characteristics of the participants.
RESULTS:
Overall, 19,107 participants with a sum of 163,095 person-years were included and 1,910 participants died. The underweight (< 18.5 kg/m 2) presented an increase in all-cause mortality (adjusted hazards ratio [ aHR] = 2.00, 95% confidence interval [ CI]: 1.66-2.41), while overweight (≥ 24.0 to < 28.0 kg/m 2) and obesity (≥ 28.0 kg/m 2) presented a decrease with an aHR of 0.61 (95% CI: 0.52-0.73) and 0.51 (95% CI: 0.37-0.70), respectively. Overweight ( aHR = 0.76, 95% CI: 0.67-0.86) and mild obesity ( aHR = 0.72, 95% CI: 0.59-0.87) had a positive impact on mortality in people older than 60 years. All-cause mortality decreased rapidly until reaching a BMI of 25.7 kg/m 2 ( aHR = 0.95, 95% CI: 0.92-0.98) and increased slightly above that value, indicating a U-shaped association. The beneficial impact of being overweight on mortality was robust in most subgroups and sensitivity analyses.
CONCLUSION
This study provides additional evidence that overweight and mild obesity may be inversely related to the risk of death in individuals older than 60 years. Therefore, it is essential to consider age differences when formulating health and weight management strategies.
Humans
;
Body Mass Index
;
China/epidemiology*
;
Male
;
Female
;
Middle Aged
;
Prospective Studies
;
Rural Population/statistics & numerical data*
;
Aged
;
Follow-Up Studies
;
Adult
;
Mortality
;
Cause of Death
;
Obesity/mortality*
;
Overweight/mortality*
5.Practice and challenge of age-friendly functional restoration of stomatognathic system based on the strategy of functional tooth loss.
Yiting CHENG ; Yi MAN ; Yang LIU ; He CAI ; Ran CHENG ; Li CHENG ; Fanglong WU ; Hongkun WU ; Fanyuan YU ; Xueyang LIAO ; Yimin SUN ; Jing WANG ; Xue YANG ; Jinyi ZHU ; Xingqun CHENG ; Zumu YI ; Ling YE ; Tao HU
West China Journal of Stomatology 2025;43(1):15-27
Geriatric oral health care encounters significant challenges with the increase in the proportion of older individuals. Age-related changes in the dentition, muscles, and joints result in a decline in objective masticatory function, subjective restoration requirements, and acceptability among the elderly population, with individual variations influenced by systemic health. Considering functional requirements, the adaptability of stomatognathic and systemic health conditions, health economics and other factors, the authors believe that it should not be limited to the conventional "one-to-one" strategy for replacing missing teeth in geriatric prosthodontics. There is an urgent need for a precise and adaptable restoration strategy that is more suitable for older individuals. The proposal of a new concept of functional tooth loss updates the minimal restoration standards for elderly patients and establishes the theory of age-friendly functional restoration. Based on the restoration strategy of functional tooth loss, this paper proposes a new concept termed "age-friendly functional restoration of the stomatognathic system", which integrates treatment considerations including endodontics, periodontology, mucosa, muscles, temporomandibular joint, and systemic health. Efforts should be made in four areas as follows. Firstly, the "assessment of accessible function" should be enhanced by considering the interrelationship between stomatognathic and systemic health. Secondly, the "evaluation of appropriate function" is supposed to be optimised in view of subjective needs and objective evaluation of the stomatognathic system. Moreover, the "formulation of treatment plans" needs to be accomplished with the aid of assistive technologies, such as artificial intelligence, to accurately exert appropriate functional restoration. Lastly, the "management and maintenance of health" is likely to be strengthened through follow-ups, propaganda and education, and preventive healthcare, so as to improve quality of life and ultimately achieve healthy ageing among older individuals.
Humans
;
Tooth Loss/therapy*
;
Aged
;
Stomatognathic System
;
Oral Health
;
Dental Care for Aged
;
Dental Restoration, Permanent/methods*
6.Epidemiology, Disease Burden and Temporal Trends of Head and Neck Cancer in Adults
Zhiyue ZHANG ; Qiaolu CHENG ; Jiayue LI ; Shaoming WANG ; Yingying ZHU ; Huijing HE
Medical Journal of Peking Union Medical College Hospital 2025;16(6):1593-1605
To describe the incidence and mortality of adult head and neck cancer (HNC) in different regions worldwide and their temporal trends. Based on the GLOBOCAN 2022 database and the Global Burden of Disease (GBD) 2021 database, we described the age-standardized incidence rate (ASIR) and age-standardized mortality rate (ASMR) of HNC among adults aged ≥20 years by sex, region, and human development index (HDI). Incidence and mortality across different age groups were also analyzed. Furthermore, the projected number of new HNC cases in adults in 2040 was estimated. In 2022, there were an estimated 1 750 871 new cases and 527 226 deaths from HNC among adults aged ≥20 years globally. Thyroid cancer showed the highest ASIR(14.9 per 100 000), while lip, oral cavity, and pharynx had the highest ASMR (6.4 per 100 000). Overall, adult males had higher HNC incidence (ASIR: 32.8 per 100 000 Head and neck cancer constitutes a significant component of the global cancer burden in terms of both incidence and mortality among adults. Its epidemiological characteristics show marked variations by sex, age, geographic region, and cancer subtype, underscoring the need for tailored prevention and control strategies targeting high-risk populations and regions.
7.Anti-COVID-19 mechanism of Anoectochilus roxburghii liquid based on network pharmacology and molecular docking
Jin ZHU ; Yan-bin WU ; De-fu HUANG ; Bing-ke BAI ; Xu-hui HE ; Dan JIA ; Cheng-jian ZHENG
Acta Pharmaceutica Sinica 2024;59(3):633-642
italic>Anoectochilus roxburghii liquid (spray, a hospital preparation of Wu Mengchao Hepatobiliary Hospital of Fujian Medical University) has shown a good clinical treatment effect during the COVID-19 pandemic, but its material basis and mechanism of action are still unclear. In this study, network pharmacology and molecular docking methods were used to predict the molecular mechanism of
8.Mechanism of Taohong Siwutang Alleviating Myocardial Ischemia Reperfusion Injury in Ovariectomized Mice by Up-regulating Nrf2/HO-1 Signaling Pathway
Yuming YANG ; Ying ZHU ; Changyi LIU ; Jing CHENG ; Fei HE
Chinese Journal of Experimental Traditional Medical Formulae 2024;30(13):11-19
ObjectiveTo investigate the effect and mechanism of Taohong Siwutang (TSD) on myocardial ischemia reperfusion injury (MIRI) in ovariectomized (OVX) female mice. MethodAfter the OVX model of female mice was established, the estradiol (E2) level was detected by enzyme-linked immunosorbent assay (ELISA) to verify the model. Sixty OVX mice were randomly divided into six groups: Sham operation group, model group, low, medium, and high dose groups (9, 18, 36 g·kg-1) of TSD, and nuclear factor E2-related factor 2 (Nrf2) inhibitor group, with 10 mice in each group. The MIRI model was verified by a laser speckle flowmeter. The pathological changes in myocardial tissue were detected by 2,3, 5-triphenyltetrazolium chloride (TTC) and hematoxylin-eosin (HE) staining. Serum creatine kinase isoenzyme (CK-MB), cardiac troponin Ⅰ (CTnⅠ), malondialdehyde (MDA), superoxide dismutase (SOD), interleukin-6 (IL-6), and interleukin-10 (IL-10) levels were detected by ELISA. The expression of Nrf2 and heme oxygenase-1 (HO-1) were observed by immunofluorescence staining. The expressions of Nrf2, HO-1, apoptotic B-cell lymphomato-2 (Bcl-2), Bcl-2 associated X protein (Bax), inflammatory cytokines interleukin-18 (IL-18), and interleukin-1β (IL-1β) were detected by Western blot. ResultCompared with the sham operation group, the serum levels of CK-MB, CTnⅠ, MDA, and IL-6 in the model group were increased (P<0.01), and the levels of SOD and IL-10 were decreased (P<0.01). The damage scores of TTC and HE staining in myocardial tissue were increased (P<0.01). The expressions of Nrf2 and HO-1 in myocardial tissue by immunofluorescence were decreased (P<0.01), and the protein expressions of Nrf2, HO-1, and Bcl-2 in myocardial tissue were decreased. The protein expressions of Bax, IL-18, and IL-1β were increased (P<0.01). Compared with the model group, serum levels of CK-MB, CTnⅠ, MDA, and IL-6 of TSD groups were significantly decreased (P<0.05, P<0.01), and SOD and IL-10 were significantly increased (P<0.05, P<0.01). TTC staining and HE staining damage scores of myocardial tissue were significantly decreased (P<0.01). The expressions of Nrf2 and HO-1 in myocardial tissue by immunofluorescence were increased (P<0.01). The protein expressions of Nrf2, HO-1, and Bcl-2 were significantly increased (P<0.05, P<0.01), and those of Bax, IL-18, and IL-1β were significantly decreased (P<0.05, P<0.01). The effect of the high dose group of TSD was the most significant. The serum levels of CK-MB, CTnⅠ, MDA, and IL-6 in the Nrf2 inhibitor group were significantly increased (P<0.05, P<0.01), and the levels of SOD and IL-10 were significantly decreased (P<0.05, P<0.01). The damage scores of TTC and HE staining in myocardial tissue were significantly increased (P<0.01). The expressions of Nrf2 and HO-1 in myocardial tissue by immunofluorescence were significantly decreased (P<0.01). The protein expressions of Nrf2, HO-1, and Bcl-2 in myocardial tissue were significantly decreased, and those of Bax, IL-18, and IL-1β were significantly increased (P<0.01). ConclusionTSD can alleviate MIRI in OVX mice, reduce oxidative stress response and the release of inflammatory factors, and inhibit apoptosis, playing a protective role in OVX mice with MIRI, which may be related to the activation of Nrf2/HO-1 signaling pathway.
9.Health risk assessment of oral exposure to 9 metals/ metalloids in drinking water for adults in Zibo, Shandong Province
Sha ZHU ; Yi HE ; Hui GAO ; Tong CHANG ; Tao WANG ; Cheng PENG
Journal of Environmental and Occupational Medicine 2024;41(9):1049-1053
Background Oral exposure to metals/metalloid elements in drinking water may be harmful to human health. Objective To assess potential health risks of oral exposure to 9 metals/metalloids in drinking water in Zibo City of Shandong Province from 2019 to 2023, and provide reference for the development of local drinking water management policies. Method From 2019 to 2023, a total of
10.Research on the association between the DYS570 microvariant and Y-SNP haplogroup in Kunming
Lei HUANG ; Guangsen YANG ; Yujie FAN ; Xueyun CHEN ; Zhu YANG ; Wei WANG ; Wei HE ; Dian ZHAI ; Jun DENG ; Yiyan ZHANG ; Baowen CHENG
Chinese Journal of Forensic Medicine 2024;39(1):82-87
Objective To investigate the association between microvariants at locus DYS570 and Y-SNPs haplogroup.Methods 89 Y-SNPs and 34 Y-STRs in AIYSNP42,AIYSNP47 and YfilerTM Platinum kits were used to detect the genotype of 116 microvariants at locus DYS570 in Kunming,and the Set-B kit was used to detect the core repeat sequences of the DYS570 locus.The data were statistically analyzed by direct counting method.Then,a network map was drawn by Network 10.2,in order to visualize the genetic information of the sample.Results The results demonstrated that 111 DYS570/18.3-21.3 samples had a core repeat sequence of TTT[TITC]18-21,belonging to subgroup O2a2b1a1a1a4-F14494.A DYS570/20.3 sample had a core repeat sequence of[TTTC]15TTC[TTTC]5,belonging to O2a1b1a1a1a1e-F1365 subgroup.A DYS570/17.1 sample had a core repeat sequence of[TTTC]17 T,belonging to the O2a1b1a1a1a-F11 subgroup.Three DYS570(19.2)samples had[TTTC]3 TT[TTTC]16,belonging to the D1a1a-M15 haplogroup.Conclusion The results indicated that the microvariant with the same core repeat structure at locus DYS570 was associated with haplogroups,and the ancestry origin of samples can be inferenced from microvariant characteristics during the practice of forensic medicine.

Result Analysis
Print
Save
E-mail