1.Explainable machine learning model for predicting septic shock in critically sepsis patients based on coagulation indexes: A multicenter cohort study.
Qing-Bo ZENG ; En-Lan PENG ; Ye ZHOU ; Qing-Wei LIN ; Lin-Cui ZHONG ; Long-Ping HE ; Nian-Qing ZHANG ; Jing-Chun SONG
Chinese Journal of Traumatology 2025;28(6):404-411
PURPOSE:
Septic shock is associated with high mortality and poor outcomes among sepsis patients with coagulopathy. Although traditional statistical methods or machine learning (ML) algorithms have been proposed to predict septic shock, these potential approaches have never been systematically compared. The present work aimed to develop and compare models to predict septic shock among patients with sepsis.
METHODS:
It is a retrospective cohort study based on 484 patients with sepsis who were admitted to our intensive care units between May 2018 and November 2022. Patients from the 908th Hospital of Chinese PLA Logistical Support Force and Nanchang Hongdu Hospital of Traditional Chinese Medicine were respectively allocated to training (n=311) and validation (n=173) sets. All clinical and laboratory data of sepsis patients characterized by comprehensive coagulation indexes were collected. We developed 5 models based on ML algorithms and 1 model based on a traditional statistical method to predict septic shock in the training cohort. The performance of all models was assessed using the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve and calibration plots. Decision curve analysis was used to evaluate the net benefit of the models. The validation set was applied to verify the predictive accuracy of the models. This study also used Shapley additive explanations method to assess variable importance and explain the prediction made by a ML algorithm.
RESULTS:
Among all patients, 37.2% experienced septic shock. The characteristic curves of the 6 models ranged from 0.833 to 0.962 and 0.630 to 0.744 in the training and validation sets, respectively. The model with the best prediction performance was based on the support vector machine (SVM) algorithm, which was constructed by age, tissue plasminogen activator-inhibitor complex, prothrombin time, international normalized ratio, white blood cells, and platelet counts. The SVM model showed good calibration and discrimination and a greater net benefit in decision curve analysis.
CONCLUSION
The SVM algorithm may be superior to other ML and traditional statistical algorithms for predicting septic shock. Physicians can better understand the reliability of the predictive model by Shapley additive explanations value analysis.
Humans
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Shock, Septic/blood*
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Machine Learning
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Male
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Female
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Retrospective Studies
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Middle Aged
;
Aged
;
Sepsis/complications*
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ROC Curve
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Cohort Studies
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Adult
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Intensive Care Units
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Algorithms
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Blood Coagulation
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Critical Illness
2.Glucocorticoid Discontinuation in Patients with Rheumatoid Arthritis under Background of Chinese Medicine: Challenges and Potentials Coexist.
Chuan-Hui YAO ; Chi ZHANG ; Meng-Ge SONG ; Cong-Min XIA ; Tian CHANG ; Xie-Li MA ; Wei-Xiang LIU ; Zi-Xia LIU ; Jia-Meng LIU ; Xiao-Po TANG ; Ying LIU ; Jian LIU ; Jiang-Yun PENG ; Dong-Yi HE ; Qing-Chun HUANG ; Ming-Li GAO ; Jian-Ping YU ; Wei LIU ; Jian-Yong ZHANG ; Yue-Lan ZHU ; Xiu-Juan HOU ; Hai-Dong WANG ; Yong-Fei FANG ; Yue WANG ; Yin SU ; Xin-Ping TIAN ; Ai-Ping LYU ; Xun GONG ; Quan JIANG
Chinese journal of integrative medicine 2025;31(7):581-589
OBJECTIVE:
To evaluate the dynamic changes of glucocorticoid (GC) dose and the feasibility of GC discontinuation in rheumatoid arthritis (RA) patients under the background of Chinese medicine (CM).
METHODS:
This multicenter retrospective cohort study included 1,196 RA patients enrolled in the China Rheumatoid Arthritis Registry of Patients with Chinese Medicine (CERTAIN) from September 1, 2019 to December 4, 2023, who initiated GC therapy. Participants were divided into the Western medicine (WM) and integrative medicine (IM, combination of CM and WM) groups based on medication regimen. Follow-up was performed at least every 3 months to assess dynamic changes in GC dose. Changes in GC dose were analyzed by generalized estimator equation, the probability of GC discontinuation was assessed using Kaplan-Meier curve, and predictors of GC discontinuation were analyzed by Cox regression. Patients with <12 months of follow-up were excluded for the sensitivity analysis.
RESULTS:
Among 1,196 patients (85.4% female; median age 56.4 years), 880 (73.6%) received IM. Over a median 12-month follow-up, 34.3% (410 cases) discontinued GC, with significantly higher rates in the IM group (40.8% vs. 16.1% in WM; P<0.05). GC dose declined progressively, with IM patients demonstrating faster reductions (median 3.75 mg vs. 5.00 mg in WM at 12 months; P<0.05). Multivariate Cox analysis identified age <60 years [P<0.001, hazard ratios (HR)=2.142, 95% confidence interval (CI): 1.523-3.012], IM therapy (P=0.001, HR=2.175, 95% CI: 1.369-3.456), baseline GC dose ⩽7.5 mg (P=0.003, HR=1.637, 95% CI: 1.177-2.275), and absence of non-steroidal anti-inflammatory drugs use (P=0.001, HR=2.546, 95% CI: 1.432-4.527) as significant predictors of GC discontinuation. Sensitivity analysis (545 cases) confirmed these findings.
CONCLUSIONS
RA patients receiving CM face difficulties in following guideline-recommended GC discontinuation protocols. IM can promote GC discontinuation and is a promising strategy to reduce GC dependency in RA management. (Trial registration: ClinicalTrials.gov, No. NCT05219214).
Adult
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Aged
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Female
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Humans
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Male
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Middle Aged
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Arthritis, Rheumatoid/drug therapy*
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Glucocorticoids/therapeutic use*
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Medicine, Chinese Traditional
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Retrospective Studies
3.Application of cold treatment of replacement fluid in continuous blood purification of patients with heat stroke
Danting XIE ; Yuanyuan HE ; Xuezeng TAN ; Qing SONG ; Jie LIU ; Jiangbin HU ; Fengyun FAN ; Xiangwei QIU
Journal of Navy Medicine 2025;46(4):378-382
Objective To explore the clinical effect of cold treatment of replacement fluid in continuous blood purification(CBP)of patients with heat stroke.Methods Clinical data of 46 patients with heat stroke who were treated with CBP in Hainan Hospital of PLA General Hospital from July 2018 to September 2022 were retrospectively analyzed.The patients were assigned to control group(23 cases,conventional treatment for heat stroke and CBP with room temperature replacement fluid)and observation group(23 cases,conventional treatment for heat stroke and CBP with cooling replacement fluid).The body temperatures were compared between the two groups before treatment and 30 min,2 h,6 h,12 h and 24 h after treatment.The prothrombin activity(PTA),activated partial thromboplastin time(APTT),D-dimer(D-D),fibrinogen(FIB)and platelet count(PLT)before treatment and at 24 h(T1),3 d(T2)and 7 d(T3)after treatment,as well as the Acute Physiology and Chronic Health Evaluation Ⅱ(APACHEⅡ)score at 7 d after treatment were also compared between the two groups.Results There was no significant difference in temperature or coagulation function between the two groups before treatment(P>0.05).The temperature of the observation group was significantly different from that of the control group at 2 h,6h and 12h after treatment(P<0.05).After treatment,the levels of PTA,FIB and PLT in the observation group at T1,T2 and T3 were higher than those in the control group,while the level of D-D in the observation group was lower than that in the control group,and the APPT at T1 and T2 was significantly shorter than that in the control group(P<0.05).PTA,APPT,D-D,FIB and PLT of the two groups were improved after treatment(P<0.05).Conclusion The cold treatment of replacement fluid can quickly shorten the cooling time of patients with heat stroke during CBP,and significantly improve coagulation function.It is worthy of clinical promotion so as to improve the progrosis of patients with heat strok.
4.Inhibitory effect of antimicrobial peptide WK-13-3D on triple-negative breast cancer MDA-MB-231 cells and its possible mechanisms
Fei MA ; Jin-Xuan SONG ; Min HE ; Xiu-Qing WANG
Medical Journal of Chinese People's Liberation Army 2025;50(6):740-746
Objective To investigate the inhibitory effect of antimicrobial peptide WK-13-3D on the proliferation of triple negative breast cancer MDA-MB-231 cells and its potential mechanism.Methods The effect of antimicrobial peptide WK-13-3D at concentrations of 0,10,15,20,25,30,35,and 40 μmol/L on MDA-MB-231 cells proliferation was assessed using the CCK-8 assay.A pull-down assay was conducted to identify interacting proteins of antimicrobial peptide WK-13-3D with MDA-MB-231 cells.MDA-MB-231 cells were obtained and divided into the following groups:(1)control group and treatment groups with 10 and 20 μmol/L antimicrobial peptide WK-13-3D.Apoptosis was evaluated using flow cytometry and Western blotting was conducted to detect the expression change of heavy chain binding protein(BiP),protein kinase R-like endoplasmic reticulum kinase(PERK),eukaryotic translation initiation factor 2α(eIF2α),phosphorylated eIF2α(p-eIF2α),and Bax proteins within the cells.(2)Control group(transfected with no-load plasmid),si-BiP-592 group(transfected with si-BiP-592 interference plasmid)and si-BiP-592+WK-13-3D group(co-treated with si-BiP-592 interference plasmid and 10 μmol/L antimicrobial peptide WK-13-3D).Western blotting was used to detect the expression changes of BiP,PERK,eIF2α,p-eIF2α and Bax proteins.Twelve BALB/c mice were randomly divided into PBS group(n=4),taxol(TAX)group(n=4)and WK-13-3D group(n=4).All mice were subcutaneously injected with MDA-MB-231 cells to establish a triple-negative breast cancer transplant tumor model.WK-13-3D group received local injections of antimicrobial peptide WK-13-3D[200 mg/(kg·d)],TAX group was administered TAX intraperitoneally at the same dose[200 mg/(kg·d)],and PBS group was injected with an equivalent volume of PBS.Two weeks post-injection,the mice were killed,and the tumor weight and volume were measured and photographed.Immunohistochemistry staining was performed to evaluate the expressions of BiP and Ki-67 proteins in the tumor tissues.Results CCK-8 assay showed a gradual decrease in MDA-MB-231 cell survival rates with increasing concentrations of WK-13-3D,with an inhibitory concentration 50(IC50)of 19.82 μmol/L.The pull-down assay identified 268 interacting proteins of antimicrobial peptides and MDA-MB-231 cells,mainly including heavy-chain binding protein(BiP),heat shock protein 90 beta family member 1(HSP90B1),valerin-containing protein(VCP),heat shock cognate 71 kD protein(HSPA8).Compared with control group,treatment with 10 and 20 μmol/L antimicrobial peptide WK-13-3D significantly increased the apoptosis rate of MDA-MB-231 cells(P<0.05 or P<0.01),decreased BiP protein expression(P<0.05),and increased the expression levels of PERK,p-eIF2α,and Bax(P<0.05 or P<0.01),with no significant change in eIF2α protein expression(P>0.05).Compared with control group,si-BiP-592 group showed BiP protein expression significantly decreased(P<0.05),and the expression of PERK,p-eIF2α,and Bax proteins was significantly increased(P<0.05),with no significant change in eIF2α protein expression(P>0.05);Compared with si-BiP-592 group,si-BiP-592+WK-13-3D group showed a decrease in BiP protein expression(P<0.05)and an increase in PERK,p-eIF2α,and Bax protein expression(P<0.05 or P<0.01),with no significant change in eIF2α protein expression(P>0.05).Tumor volumes in mice treated with antimicrobial peptide WK-13-3D and TAX were significantly smaller than those in PBS group(P<0.05),and the immunohistochemical staining showed that the proportion of Ki-67 and BiP positive cells in tumor tissues of WK-13-3D treated mice was significantly lower than that in PBS group(P<0.01).Conclusion Antimicrobial peptide WK-13-3D could inhibit the proliferation of MDA-MB-231 cells and its mechanism may involve the activation of endoplasmic reticulum stress and the induction of cell apoptosis.
5.Association between neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio and in-hospital mortality risk in patients with acute aortic dissection:a multicenter 10-year retrospective cohort study
Zi-Xuan LIU ; Hui-Qing WANG ; Xiao-Dan ZHONG ; Xing-Wei HE ; Wen-Hua WANG ; Dan YU ; Bao-Quan ZHANG ; Chun-Wen LI ; He-Song ZENG
Medical Journal of Chinese People's Liberation Army 2025;50(8):917-924
Objective To investigate the role of the neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio(NLR)in predicting the in-hospital mortality risk of patients with acute aortic dissection(AAD)in multicenter hospitals.Methods A multicenter retrospective cohort study was conducted.Clinical data were collected from 2642 AAD patients who were hospitalized in five teaching hospitals:Tongji Hospital Affiliated to Tongji Medical College of Huazhong University of Science and Technology,Henan Provincial People's Hospital,Fuwai Central China Cardiovascular Hospital,the Third Affiliated Hospital of Xinxiang Medical University,and the Second Affiliated Hospital of Chongqing Medical University between August 2010 and December 2021.According to the quartiles of serum NLRlevels,the patients were divided into four groups:first quartile(Q1,n=660),second quartile(Q2,n=661),third quartile(Q3,n=661),and fourth quartile(Q4,n=660).The clinical characteristics and biochemical indicators of each group were compared.Partial correlation analysis was used to assess the relationship between NLR and cardiovascular parameters.Restricted cubic splines,Kaplan-Meier survival analysis,and Cox regression models were employed to evaluate the association between NLR levels and in-hospital mortality risk in AAD patients.Results The median age of all patients was 54[interquartile range(IQR):46-63]years,including 2096 males and 546 females.Compared with Q1-Q3 groups,patients inQ4group had a lower incidence of smoking history and diabetes history,and were more likely to have DeBakey type Ⅰ AAD(P<0.05).Additionally,the levels of aspartate aminotransferase,high-density lipoprotein cholesterol,creatinine,and D-dimer in Q4 group were higher,while the levels of triglycerides and C-reactive protein(CRP)were lower(P<0.01).The results of partial correlation analysis showed that the plasma NLR level was positively correlated with D-dimer(r=0.43,P<0.01)and creatinine(r=0.16,P<0.01).The restricted cubic spline function in the Cox model revealed a significant non-linear relationship between the plasma NLR level and clinical outcomes in AAD patients(P<0.01).Kaplan-Meier survival analysis indicated that patients in Q4 group had the highest in-hospital mortality rate compared with Q1-Q3 groups(P<0.0001).Furthermore,multivariate Cox regression analysis demonstrated that compared with Q1 group,the hazard ratio(HR)of NLR in Q4 group was 1.77(95%CI 1.33-2.37,P<0.001),which was an independent risk factor for the primary endpoint events.Conclusion A higher plasma NLR level is significantly associated with the occurrence of cardiovascular events in AAD patients,and this association remains significant even after adjusting for potential confounding factors such as the multicenter visiting hospitals.
6.Clinical value of plasma protein ARP2 in evaluating heatstroke prognosis based on proteomics
Qing-Bo ZENG ; Jing-Chun SONG ; Nian-Qing ZHANG ; Qing SONG ; Long-Ping HE ; Qing-Wei LIN ; Lin-Cui ZHONG ; Xing-Ping DENG
Medical Journal of Chinese People's Liberation Army 2025;50(9):1138-1145
Objective To investigate plasma protein expression changes in heatstroke patients using proteomics technology and to identify reliable prognostic biomarkers.Methods A retrospective analysis was conducted on 20 heatstroke patients hospitalized at the 908th Hospital of the Chinese PLA Joint Logistics Support Force from July 2022 to February 2024.Patients were divided into survival(n=16)and death groups(n=4)based on 28-day outcomes.Fasting venous blood samples were collected from both groups for proteomic analysis.Liquid chromatography-mass spectrometry(LC-MS/MS)was used to identify and screen differentially expressed proteins.Kyoto Encyclopedia of Genes and Genomes(KEGG)and Gene Ontology(GO)enrichment analyses were performed.LASSO regression was applied to screen key prognostic biomarkers,and receiver operating characteristic(ROC)curve analysis was used to evaluate their predictive value.Results A total of 27 upregulated and 90 downregulated proteins were identified between the two groups.These proteins were primarily involved in biological processes such as immune responses,complement activation,and metabolic processes.LASSO regression analysis indicated that actin-related protein 2(ARP2),cysteine-rich scavenger receptor type 1 M130(CD163),and catalase(CAT)could serve as effective biomarkers for evaluating heatstroke prognosis.ROC curve analysis demonstrated that ARP2 had higher diagnostic efficacy(AUC=0.98,sensitivity=0.80,specificity=1.00)compared to CD163(AUC=0.94,sensitivity=0.76,specificity=1.00),CAT(AUC=0.96,sensitivity=0.67,specificity=1.00),and acute physiology and chronic health evaluation Ⅱ(APACHE Ⅱ)score(AUC=0.79,sensitivity=0.44,specificity=1.00).Conclusion Elevated plasma ARP2 level has good clinical value for predicting poor prognosis in heatstroke patients.
7.Synthesis of ornithine peptidomimetic efflux pump inhibitors and synergistic antibiotic activity against Pseudomonas aeruginosa
Xi ZHU ; Xi-can MA ; Xin-tong ZHANG ; Yi-shuang LIU ; Ning HE ; Yun-ying XIE ; Dan-qing SONG
Acta Pharmaceutica Sinica 2024;59(6):1720-1729
In order to solve the problem of resistance of
8.Species identification of hard ticks and molecular survey of Ana plasma in partial areas of Anhui Province
Xue ZHAO ; Khakhane LERATO ; Wan-Qing LU ; Xin-Yun WU ; Fang-Fei SONG ; Yu XIN ; Ying-Ying ZHANG ; Chen XING ; Ke-Han XU ; Mao-Zhang HE ; Yan LIU
Chinese Journal of Zoonoses 2024;40(4):302-307
The distribution of Ixodes and Ana plasma carried by Ixodes ticks in Anhui Province was clarified as reference for prevention and control of anaplasmosis.In total,630 hard ticks were collected from Jinzhai County,Hanshan County,Jing-de County and Chaohu City in Anhui Province from April to August 2023.Ticks were identified by morphological analysis and 16S rRNA sequencing.Nested PCR with Anaplasma species-specific primers were used to detect 16S rRNA of Anaplasma spe-cies carried by ticks.A phylogenetic tree was constructed using MEGA11.0 software.Of the identified ticks,18.8%(18/96)were Rhipicephalus microplus and 81.2%(78/96)were Haemaphysalis longicorni in Jinzhai County of Anhui Province,all were H.longicorni in Hanshan County and Chaohu City,while the main species in Jingde County was R.microplus.The posi-tive rate of Anaplasma carried by H.longicornis was 30.9%(102/330),which included A.bovis at 1.8%(6/330),A.phagocytophilum at 21.8%(72/330)and uncultured Anaplasma species at 7.3%(24/330).R.microplus was positively cor-related to A.bovis(13.6%,18/132).The uncultured Anaplasma species was mainly detected in host-free ticks.A.phagocy-tophilum was detected in 24.4%of parasitic ticks and 15.8%of host-free ticks.The positive rates of host-free and parasitic ticks were 19.9%and 17.8%,respectively.These results show that H.longicornis and R.microplus were the dominant ticks in several counties of Anhui Province.H.longicornis and R.microplus as well as free and parasitic ticks all carried Anaplas-ma.
9.Development of microsatellite markers and analysis of genetic characteristics of laboratory Apodemus peninsulae population
Qing ZHANG ; Xiwen ZHANG ; Song HE ; Bao YUAN ; Jian CHEN ; Wenzhi REN ; Fushi QUAN ; Jinping HU ; Yu DING
Acta Laboratorium Animalis Scientia Sinica 2024;32(4):468-476
Objective Polymorphic microsatellite markers developed for Apodemus peninsulae can enrich its genetic data and lay a foundation for genetic quality control and gene mapping.Methods Microsatellite loci were screened based on the genome sequence of Apodemus peninsulae,and microsatellite primers were identified.The genetic diversity of the population was analyzed by multiplex PCR.Results Thirty microsatellite markers were successfully developed and evaluated using 60 samples of Apodemus peninsulae.A total of 152 alleles were detected,with an average of 5.067 alleles per locus.The average observed heterozygosity was 0.592.The average Shannon index was 1.265.The average polymorphism information content was 0.598.Conclusions Based on the microsatellite loci developed in this study,the genetic diversity of Apodemus peninsulae can be effectively analyzed,laying a foundation for establishing genetic quality standards and detection method.
10.Mechanism of Chaijin JieYu Anshen formula regulating synaptic plasticity of hippocampal neurons in insomnia-concomitant depression rats based on HDAC5/MEF2C pathway
Ting-Ting REN ; Yu-Hong WANG ; Ying-Juan TANG ; Song YANG ; Hai-Peng GUO ; Ting-Ting WANG ; Ying HE ; Ping LI ; Hong-Qing ZHAO ; Zi-Yang ZHOU ; Man-Shu ZOU
Chinese Pharmacological Bulletin 2024;40(7):1248-1257
Aim To investigate the mechanisms of Chaijin JieYu Anshen formula modulating the depres-sive behaviors and the synaptic plasticity of hippocam-pal neurons in insomnia-concomitant depression rats based on the histone deacetylase 5(HDAC5)/myocyte enhancer factor 2C(MEF2C)pathway.Methods A rat model of insomnia-concomitant depression was es-tablished by PCPA injection combined with chronic un-predictable mild stress(CUMS),and the experiment was divided into the control group,the model group,the high,medium and low dose group of Chaijin JieYu Anshen formula,and the positive drug group.The de-pression of rats was evaluated by sugar-water prefer-ence test,open field test and morris water maze.The levels of 5-hydroxytryptamine(5-HT)and dopamine(DA)in serum were measured by enzyme linked im-munosorbent assay(ELISA).The pathological damage of hippocampal neurons was observed by HE staining and Nissl staining.The damage of dendritic spines of hippocampal neurons was observed by Golgi staining,and the levels of HDAC5,MEF2C,postsynaptic densi-ty-95(PSD-95)and synaptophysin 1(SYN1)in hip-pocampus were measured by Western blot,immunohis-tochemistry and immunofluorescence.Results Com-pared with the model group,the Chaijin JieYu Anshen formula could increase the sugar-water preference rate of the model rats,reduce the immobility time in the open field experiment,increase the total activity dis-tance,shorten the evasion latency in the localization navigation experiment,and prolong the residence time in the quadrant where the platform was located in the space exploration experiment(P<0.05,P<0.01).Moreover,the Chaijin JieYu Anshen formula improved the hippocampal neuron and dendritic spine damage and increase the dendritic branch length and dendritic spine density of hippocampal neurons(P<0.01,P<0.01),restore the serum levels of 5-HT and DA in insomnia-concomitant depression rats(P<0.05,P<0.01),down-regulate the HDAC5 protein,and up-regulate the expression of MEF2C,PSD-95,and SYN1 protein(P<0.05,P<0.01 or P<0.001).Conclusions Chaijin JieYu Anshen formula may alle-viate the depression-like behavior of model rats by re-ducing the expression of HDAC5 protein,thus deregu-lating the inhibition of transcription factor MEF2C,promoting the expression of PSD-95 and SNY1 protein,and exerting a protective effect on hippocampal neurons and synapses.

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