Objective:To explore the prognostic value of a combined model of baseline 18F-FDG PET/CT tumor metabolic parameters and clinical factors for predicting progression-free survival (PFS) in Hodgkin′s lymphoma (HL). Methods:From January 2014 to May 2023, 171 HL patients (102 males, 69 females; median age 40 years) who underwent 18F-FDG PET/CT before treatment at the First Affiliated Hospital of Nanjing Medical University and Nanjing Drum Tower Hospital were retrospectively collected. HL patients from the First Affiliated Hospital of Nanjing Medical University were classified as the training set (101 patients) and HL patients from Nanjing Drum Tower Hospital were classified as the validation set (70 patients). Clinical factors and tumor metabolic parameters associated with PFS were determined by multivariate Cox regression analysis, and then the combined model and the independent model of each factor were constructed respectively. The consistency index (C-index) and AUC were used to evaluate the predictive efficacy of models, and nomogram was constructed based on the optimal model, and calibration curves were used to assess the goodness of fit of the models. The differences in Kaplan-Meier survival curves of the high-risk and low-risk groups were compared using log-rank test. Results:The multivariate Cox regression analysis indicated that the independent prognostic factors associated with PFS were the Lugano staging (hazard ratio ( HR)=3.10, 95% CI: 1.17-8.23, P=0.023), total metabolic tumor volume (TMTV) ( HR=2.65, 95% CI: 1.23-5.74, P=0.014), and maximum distance between tumors ( Dmax) ( HR=2.23, 95% CI: 1.02-4.85, P=0.044). These factors were used to construct the combined model, with the highest prognostic efficacy of the C-index for the training and validation sets of 0.692 and 0.653, and the AUC of 0.732 and 0.697, respectively. The calibration curves demonstrated that the predictions made by the combined model were in high agreement with the actual results in both the training and validation sets. The Kaplan-Meier analysis revealed a significantly lower PFS rate in the high-risk group compared to the low-risk group both in training and validation sets ( χ2 values: 5.88 and 4.52, P values: 0.015 and 0.033). Conclusion:The combined model incorporating tumor metabolic parameters and clinical factors improves prognostic efficacy in predicting PFS in HL patients.

Objective:To explore the value of baseline 18F-FDG PET/CT metabolic parameters and related clinical factors in the prognostic assessment of patients with angioimmunoblastic T-cell lymphoma (AITL). Methods:From July 2013 to December 2023, 70 patients with AITL (44 males, 26 females, age (63.9±9.6) years) from Nanjing Drum Tower Hospital Clinical College of Nanjing Medical University (32 cases) as well as the First Affiliated Hospital of Nanjing Medical University (38 cases) who were diagnosed pathologically and underwent PET/CT imaging prior to treatment were retrospectively analyzed. PET/CT metabolic parameters (calculated using the 41%SUV max threshold method) and related clinical factors were collected. The optimal cut-off values of metabolic parameters were determined by using the ROC curve analysis. Cox proportional risk regression models were used for prognostic analyses, prediction models were constructed and efficacies were assessed by calibration curves and time-dependent ROC curves. Results:With the follow-up of 19.0(10.0, 33.3) months, disease progression or recurrence occurred in 51 patients, and 28 patients died. ROC curves showed that the optimal cut-off values on diagnosing AITL of total metabolic tumor volume (TMTV), total lesion glycolysis (TLG), and SUV max were 767.1cm 3, 2159.6g and 13.0, respectively. TMTV (hazard ratio ( HR)=0.485, 95% CI: 0.252-0.935, P=0.031) and gender ( HR=0.441, 95% CI: 0.236-0.824, P=0.010) were independent risk factors for progression-free survival (PFS); TMTV ( HR=0.422, 95% CI: 0.178-0.997, P=0.049) and treatment regimen ( HR=0.346, 95% CI: 0.154-0.777, P=0.010) were independent risk factors for overall survival (OS). Time-dependent ROC curves indicated that the combined model of TMTV combining gender or treatment regimen had better prognostic results in predicting PFS (AUCs: 0.67-0.82) or OS (AUCs: 0.62-0.80) in patients with AITL. The calibration curve showed the predicted values of the combined models were in good consistency with the actual values. Conclusions:The metabolic parameter TMTV is an independent risk factor for PFS and OS in patients with AITL. The combined model of TMTV combining gender or treatment regimen can effectively improve the prognostic prediction efficacy of PFS or OS in patients with AITL.

Objective:To explore the prognostic value of a combined model of baseline 18F-FDG PET/CT tumor metabolic parameters and clinical factors for predicting progression-free survival (PFS) in Hodgkin′s lymphoma (HL). Methods:From January 2014 to May 2023, 171 HL patients (102 males, 69 females; median age 40 years) who underwent 18F-FDG PET/CT before treatment at the First Affiliated Hospital of Nanjing Medical University and Nanjing Drum Tower Hospital were retrospectively collected. HL patients from the First Affiliated Hospital of Nanjing Medical University were classified as the training set (101 patients) and HL patients from Nanjing Drum Tower Hospital were classified as the validation set (70 patients). Clinical factors and tumor metabolic parameters associated with PFS were determined by multivariate Cox regression analysis, and then the combined model and the independent model of each factor were constructed respectively. The consistency index (C-index) and AUC were used to evaluate the predictive efficacy of models, and nomogram was constructed based on the optimal model, and calibration curves were used to assess the goodness of fit of the models. The differences in Kaplan-Meier survival curves of the high-risk and low-risk groups were compared using log-rank test. Results:The multivariate Cox regression analysis indicated that the independent prognostic factors associated with PFS were the Lugano staging (hazard ratio ( HR)=3.10, 95% CI: 1.17-8.23, P=0.023), total metabolic tumor volume (TMTV) ( HR=2.65, 95% CI: 1.23-5.74, P=0.014), and maximum distance between tumors ( Dmax) ( HR=2.23, 95% CI: 1.02-4.85, P=0.044). These factors were used to construct the combined model, with the highest prognostic efficacy of the C-index for the training and validation sets of 0.692 and 0.653, and the AUC of 0.732 and 0.697, respectively. The calibration curves demonstrated that the predictions made by the combined model were in high agreement with the actual results in both the training and validation sets. The Kaplan-Meier analysis revealed a significantly lower PFS rate in the high-risk group compared to the low-risk group both in training and validation sets ( χ2 values: 5.88 and 4.52, P values: 0.015 and 0.033). Conclusion:The combined model incorporating tumor metabolic parameters and clinical factors improves prognostic efficacy in predicting PFS in HL patients.

Objective:To explore the value of baseline 18F-FDG PET/CT metabolic parameters and related clinical factors in the prognostic assessment of patients with angioimmunoblastic T-cell lymphoma (AITL). Methods:From July 2013 to December 2023, 70 patients with AITL (44 males, 26 females, age (63.9±9.6) years) from Nanjing Drum Tower Hospital Clinical College of Nanjing Medical University (32 cases) as well as the First Affiliated Hospital of Nanjing Medical University (38 cases) who were diagnosed pathologically and underwent PET/CT imaging prior to treatment were retrospectively analyzed. PET/CT metabolic parameters (calculated using the 41%SUV max threshold method) and related clinical factors were collected. The optimal cut-off values of metabolic parameters were determined by using the ROC curve analysis. Cox proportional risk regression models were used for prognostic analyses, prediction models were constructed and efficacies were assessed by calibration curves and time-dependent ROC curves. Results:With the follow-up of 19.0(10.0, 33.3) months, disease progression or recurrence occurred in 51 patients, and 28 patients died. ROC curves showed that the optimal cut-off values on diagnosing AITL of total metabolic tumor volume (TMTV), total lesion glycolysis (TLG), and SUV max were 767.1cm 3, 2159.6g and 13.0, respectively. TMTV (hazard ratio ( HR)=0.485, 95% CI: 0.252-0.935, P=0.031) and gender ( HR=0.441, 95% CI: 0.236-0.824, P=0.010) were independent risk factors for progression-free survival (PFS); TMTV ( HR=0.422, 95% CI: 0.178-0.997, P=0.049) and treatment regimen ( HR=0.346, 95% CI: 0.154-0.777, P=0.010) were independent risk factors for overall survival (OS). Time-dependent ROC curves indicated that the combined model of TMTV combining gender or treatment regimen had better prognostic results in predicting PFS (AUCs: 0.67-0.82) or OS (AUCs: 0.62-0.80) in patients with AITL. The calibration curve showed the predicted values of the combined models were in good consistency with the actual values. Conclusions:The metabolic parameter TMTV is an independent risk factor for PFS and OS in patients with AITL. The combined model of TMTV combining gender or treatment regimen can effectively improve the prognostic prediction efficacy of PFS or OS in patients with AITL.