1.Explainable Machine Learning Model for Predicting Prognosis in Patients with Malignant Tumors Complicated by Acute Respiratory Failure: Based on the eICU Collaborative Research Database in the United States
Zihan NAN ; Linan HAN ; Suwei LI ; Ziyi ZHU ; Qinqin ZHU ; Yan DUAN ; Xiaoting WANG ; Lixia LIU
Medical Journal of Peking Union Medical College Hospital 2026;17(1):98-108
To develop and validate a model for predicting intensive care unit (ICU) mortality risk in patients with malignant tumors complicated by acute respiratory failure (ARF) based on an explainable machine learning framework. Clinical data of patients with malignant tumors and ARF were extracted from the eICU Collaborative Research Database in the United States, including demographic characteristics, comorbidities, vital signs, laboratory test indicators, and major interventions within the first 24 hours after ICU admission.The study outcome was ICU death.Enrolled patients were randomly divided into a training set and a validation set at a ratio of 7:3.Predictor variables were selected using least absolute shrinkage and selection operator (LASSO) regression.Five machine learning algorithms-extreme gradient boosting (XGBoost), support vector machine (SVM), Logistic regression, multilayer perceptron (MLP), and C5.0 Decision Tree-were employed to construct predictive models.Model performance was evaluated based on the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC), accuracy, sensitivity, and other metrics.The optimal model was further interpreted using the Shapley additive explanations (SHAP) algorithm. A total of 3196 patients with malignant tumors complicated by ARF were included.The training set comprised 2, 261 patients and the validation set 935 patients; 683 patients died during ICU stay, while 2513 survived.LASSO regression ultimately selected 12 variables closely associated with patient ICU outcomes, including sepsis comorbidity, use of vasoactive drugs, and within the first 24 hours after ICU admission: minimum mean arterial pressure, maximum heart rate, maximum respiratory rate, minimum oxygen saturation, minimum serum bicarbonate, minimum blood urea nitrogen, maximum white blood cell count, maximum mean corpuscular volume, maximum serum potassium, and maximum blood glucose.After model evaluation, the XGBoost model demonstrated the best performance.The AUCs for predicting ICU mortality risk in the training and validation sets were 0.940 and 0.763, respectively; accuracy was 88.3% and 81.2%;sensitivity was 98.5% and 95.9%.Its predictive performance also remained optimal in sensitivity analyses.SHAP analysis indicated that the top five variables contributing to the model's predictions were minimum oxygen saturation, minimum serum bicarbonate, minimum mean arterial pressure, use of vasoactive drugs, and maximum white blood cell count. This study successfully developed a mortality risk prediction model for ICU patients with malignant tumors complicated by ARF based on a large-scale dataset and performed explainability analysis.The model aids clinicians in early identification of high-risk patients and implementing individualized interventions.
2.LI Diangui's Experience in Treating Vitiligo from the Perspective of Turbid Toxins Latent in the Collaterals
Yuxin ZHANG ; Nan JIANG ; Qian YANG ; Wenzhao HAN ; Jiaqi LI ; Wenwen ZHOU ; Weiye LI ; Xiang LIU ;
Journal of Traditional Chinese Medicine 2026;67(21):2275-2279
This paper summarizes Professor LI Diangui's experience in treating vitiligo from the perspective of turbid toxins latent in the collaterals. Based on the theory of turbid-toxin, professor LI proposes that turbid toxins latent in the collaterals and qi-blood disharmony constitute the core pathogenesis of the onset and progression of the disease, and that resolving turbidity and removing toxins while harmonizing qi and blood should serve as the fundamental therapeutic principles. In clinical practice, treatment is tailored according to the evolution of the pathogenesis and syndrome differentiation. When stagnation of qi movement leads to the endogenous accumulation of turbid pathogens, treatment focuses on relieving constraint, dispersing turbidity, soothing the liver, and regulating qi, with a modified self-formulated Kaiyu Sanzhuo Decoction (开郁散浊汤). When turbid pathogens overflow to the superficial tissues and obstruct the cutaneous collaterals, treatment aims to resolve blood stasis, disperse turbidity, regulate qi, and unblock the collaterals, using a modified self-formulated Tongluo Huazhuo Decoction (通络化浊汤). When deficiency of healthy qi allows toxins to remain latent and the disease becomes prolonged, treatment emphasizes reinforcing healthy qi, eliminating turbidity, tonifying qi, and nourishing blood, with a modified self-formulated Fuzheng Quzhuo Decoction (扶正祛浊汤).
3.Clinical application of hemostatic drugs in special populations:an expert consensus
Lizhu HAN ; Yuan BIAN ; Qinan YIN ; Siying CHEN ; Feifei YU ; Jing CHEN ; Xingxing CUI ; Yiding TANG ; Xin YAO ; Hongxi LIU ; Shuhong LIANG ; Nan LIU
China Pharmacy 2026;37(20):2628-2639
OBJECTIVE To develop evidence-based clinical practice recommendations for the use of hemostatic drugs in special populations, so as to improve the efficacy and safety of medication.METHODS Led by the Sichuan Academy of Medical Sciences & Sichuan Provincial People’s Hospital, a working group of 79 experts covering clinical pharmacy, obstetrics and gynecology, pediatrics and other fields was established. Clinical questions regarding the efficacy and safety of hemostatic drugs in special populations were screened through literature review and two rounds of Delphi questionnaire surveys. Intervention questions were structured using the population, intervention, comparison, and outcome framework, while management questions were additionally described using the population, clinical setting, management measure, and outcome framework. Databases including Medline, Embase, Cochrane Library, CNKI, Wanfang Data, and VIP were systematically searched to collect and screen relevant evidence. Recommendations were formulated through recommendation questionnaire surveys and expert consensus meetings, and the quality of evidence and strength of recommendations were graded according to the Grading of Recommendations Assessment, Development and Evaluation system. RESULTS &CONCLUSIONS A total of 8 clinical questions were finally determined, the consensus rates of all clinical questions and recommendations were more than 90%, and 8 recommendations on the use of hemostatic drugs in special populations were formulated. These recommendations cover special populations including children, women during pregnancy/puerperium/lactation, the elderly, patients with hepatic impairment, patients in the perioperative period of liver transplantation, patients with renal impairment/on dialysis/in the perioperative period of kidney transplantation, immunocompromised patients, and patients with hematological diseases. The recommendations specify the applicable scenarios, dose adjustment principles, monitoring indicators, and safety management strategies of hemostatic drugs in different special populations, which can provide a reference for the clinical application of hemostatic drugs in special populations and help clinicians and pharmacists develop individualized medication plans.
4.Programmed Cell Death in Endometriosis and Traditional Chinese Medicine Intervention: A Review
Zuoliang ZHANG ; Wanrun WANG ; Wen LI ; Xue HAN ; Xiaohong CHEN ; Nan SU ; Huiling LIU ; Quansheng WU
Chinese Journal of Experimental Traditional Medical Formulae 2025;31(4):48-57
Endometriosis (EMT) is a common disease with frequent occurrence and difficult to be cured in modern clinical practice of obstetrics and gynaecology. It is characterized by progressively worsening dysmenorrhoea, pelvic mass, and infertility. The incidence of EMT is growing and increasingly younger patients are diagnosed with this disease, which poses a serious threat to the reproductive and psychological health of women of childbearing age and adolescent females. However, the pathogenesis of EMT is still not completely clear, and the disease has a long course. Therefore, developing new therapies is an urgent clinical problem to be solved. Great progress has been achieved in the treatment of EMT with traditional Chinese medicine (TCM), while the underlying mechanism remains in exploration. Programmed cell death (PCD) is a cell death mode mediated by a variety of bio-molecules with specific signaling cascades. The known PCD processes include apoptosis, pyroptosis, autophagy, ferroptosis, and cuproptosis, which all play a pivotal role in the development of EMT. Researchers have made achievements in the treatment of EMT with TCM, which regulates PCD via multiple pathways, routes, targets, and mechanisms. However, the progress in the regulation of PCD in the treatment of EMT with TCM remains to be reviewed. This paper reviews the research progress in the treatment of EMT with TCM from five PCD processes (apoptosis, pyroptosis, autophagy, ferroptosis, and cuproptosis), with the aim of providing a theoretical basis for the clinical prevention and treatment of EMT.
5.Effects of MTHFR and GGH gene polymorphisms on plasma concentrations and toxicity following high-dose methotrexate therapy in children with acute lymphoblastic leukemia.
Lin-Xiao TENG ; Qi AN ; Lei WANG ; Nan WANG ; Qing-Ling KONG ; Rui HAN ; Yuan WANG ; Lu LIU ; Yan WANG ; Shu-Mei XU ; Kun-Peng SHI ; Fang-Shan QIU ; Xi-Xi DU ; Jin-Rui SHI
Chinese Journal of Contemporary Pediatrics 2025;27(7):802-807
OBJECTIVES:
To investigate the effects of methylenetetrahydrofolate reductase (MTHFR) rs1801133 and γ-glutamyl hydrolase (GGH) rs11545078 gene polymorphisms on plasma concentrations and toxicity following high-dose methotrexate (MTX) therapy in children with acute lymphoblastic leukemia (ALL).
METHODS:
Children with ALL treated at the Xuzhou Children's Hospital of Xuzhou Medical University from January 2021 to April 2024 were selected for this study. Genotypes of MTHFR rs1801133 and GGH rs11545078 were determined using multiplex polymerase chain reaction. MTX plasma concentrations were measured by enzyme-multiplied immunoassay technique, and toxicity was graded according to the Common Terminology Criteria for Adverse Events version 5.0. The relationships between MTHFR rs1801133 and GGH rs11545078 genotypes and both MTX plasma concentrations and associated toxicities were analyzed.
RESULTS:
In the low-risk ALL group, the MTHFR rs1801133 genotype was associated with increased MTX plasma concentrations at 72 hours (P<0.05). In the intermediate- to high-risk group, the MTHFR rs1801133 genotype was associated with increased MTX plasma concentrations at 48 hours (P<0.05), and the GGH rs11545078 genotype was associated with increased MTX plasma concentrations at 48 hours (P<0.05). In the intermediate- to high-risk group, the MTHFR rs1801133 genotype was associated with the occurrence of reduced hemoglobin (P<0.05), and the GGH rs11545078 genotype was associated with the occurrence of thrombocytopenia (P<0.05).
CONCLUSIONS
Detection of MTHFR rs1801133 and GGH rs11545078 genotypes can be used to predict increased MTX plasma concentrations and the occurrence of toxic reactions in high-dose MTX treatment of ALL, enabling timely interventions to enhance safety.
Humans
;
Methotrexate/toxicity*
;
Methylenetetrahydrofolate Reductase (NADPH2)/genetics*
;
Precursor Cell Lymphoblastic Leukemia-Lymphoma/blood*
;
Male
;
Female
;
Child
;
Child, Preschool
;
gamma-Glutamyl Hydrolase/genetics*
;
Antimetabolites, Antineoplastic/adverse effects*
;
Infant
;
Polymorphism, Genetic
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Adolescent
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Genotype
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Polymorphism, Single Nucleotide
6.External validation of the model for predicting high-grade patterns of stage ⅠA invasive lung adenocarcinoma based on clinical and imaging features
Yu RONG ; Nianqiao HAN ; Yanbing HAO ; Jianli HU ; Yajin NIU ; Lan ZHANG ; Yuehua DONG ; Nan ZHANG ; Junfeng LIU
Chinese Journal of Clinical Thoracic and Cardiovascular Surgery 2025;32(08):1096-1104
Objective To externally validate a prediction model based on clinical and CT imaging features for the preoperative identification of high-grade patterns (HGP), such as micropapillary and solid subtypes, in early-stage lung adenocarcinoma, in order to guide clinical treatment decisions. Methods This study conducted an external validation of a previously developed prediction model using a cohort of patients with clinical stage ⅠA lung adenocarcinoma from the Fourth Hospital of Hebei Medical University. The model, which incorporated factors including tumor size, density, and lobulation, was assessed for its discrimination, calibration performance, and clinical impact. Results A total of 650 patients (293 males, 357 females; age range: 30-82 years) were included. The validation showed that the model demonstrated good performance in discriminating HGP (area under the curve>0.7). After recalibration, the model's calibration performance was improved. Decision curve analysis (DCA) indicated that at a threshold probability>0.6, the number of HGP patients predicted by the model closely approximated the actual number of cases. Conclusion This study confirms the effectiveness of a clinical and imaging feature-based prediction model for identifying HGP in stage ⅠA lung adenocarcinoma in a clinical setting. Successful application of this model may be significant for determining surgical strategies and improving patients' prognosis. Despite certain limitations, these findings provide new directions for future research.
7.Syndrome Differentiation and Treatment of Alopecia Areata Based on the Turbid Toxin Theory from the Perspectives of the Liver,Spleen,and Kidney
Jiaqi LI ; Wenzhao HAN ; Qian YANG ; Yuhang LIU ; Yuxin ZHANG ; Nan JIANG ; Weiye LI ; Xiang LIU
Journal of Traditional Chinese Medicine 2025;66(23):2494-2498
Alopecia areata (AA) is a common hair loss disorder, and the core pathogenesis is the internal gene-ration of turbid toxin caused by qi movement disorder in the liver, spleen, and kidney. Turbid toxin serves as both a pivotal etiological trigger and a pathological driver of disease exacerbation. Clinically, AA can be classified into four principal patterns, including liver constraint with spleen deficiency, internal accumulation of damp-heat, liver-kidney depletion, and qi-blood depletion. Therapeutic strategies prioritize clearing and resolving turbid toxin while regulating the qi movement of the liver, spleen, and kidney. Accordingly, different formulas were applied. Self-formulated Shugan Jianpi Huazhuo Formula (疏肝健脾化浊方) is suggested to drain dampness, resolve turbidity, and unblock qi movement. Self-formulated Sanjiao Fenxiao Jiedu Formula (三焦分消解毒方) can be used to clear heat, drain dampness and resolve toxin. Self-formulated Zishen Yanggan Toudu Decoction (滋肾养肝透毒汤) can clear and vent latent toxins, while Self-formulated Guiqi Shengfa Didu Formula (归芪生发涤毒方) is employed to tonify qi and blood, purge toxins, and regenerate vitality. By differentiating and treating AA based on the functional patterns of the liver, spleen, and kidney, this approach expands the application scope of the turbid toxin theory and provides valuable insights for treatment of AA.
8.Pharmacokinetics of Jinlingzi San and its single medicines in rats by LC-MS/MS.
Nan HU ; Yan-Bin MENG ; Si-Yu SHAN ; Shuang-Shuang ZHENG ; Ying-Han WANG ; Lan WANG ; Yu-Ling LIU
China Journal of Chinese Materia Medica 2025;50(5):1385-1391
This study aims to investigate the scientificity and efficacy of the compatibility of Jinlingzi San from pharmacokinetics. Liquid chromatography-tandem mass spectrometry(LC-MS/MS) was utilized to determine the plasma concentrations of the active components: toosendanin, tetrahydropalmatine A, and tetrahydropalmatine B at various time points following the gavage of Jinlingzi San and its single medicines in rats. Subsequently, WinNonlin was employed to calculate pertinent pharmacokinetic parameters. The pharmacokinetic parameters in rat plasma were compared between the single medicines and the compound formula of Jinlingzi San. It was discovered that the area under the curve(AUC_(all)) and peak concentrations(C_(max)) of tetrahydropalmatine A, and tetrahydropalmatine B were significantly elevated in the compound formula group compared with the single medicine groups. Conversely, the AUC_(all )and C_(max) of toosendanin notably decreased. Furthermore, the compound formula group had longer mean residence time(MRT) and lower apparent clearance(CL/F) of all three active ingredients than the single medicine groups(P<0.05). These findings indicated that Jinlingzi San enhanced the absorption of tetrahydropalmatine A and tetrahydropalmatine B in vivo, facilitating their pharmacological actions. Concurrently, it inhibited the absorption of toosendanin, thereby preventing potential toxic reactions. Moreover, the compatibility prolonged the residence time of the active ingredients in the body. This study provides a reference for exploring the compatibility rationality of Jinlingzi San.
Animals
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Rats
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Tandem Mass Spectrometry/methods*
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Drugs, Chinese Herbal/administration & dosage*
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Male
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Rats, Sprague-Dawley
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Chromatography, Liquid/methods*
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Berberine Alkaloids/blood*
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Liquid Chromatography-Mass Spectrometry
9.Establishment of different pneumonia mouse models suitable for traditional Chinese medicine screening.
Xing-Nan YUE ; Jia-Yin HAN ; Chen PAN ; Yu-Shi ZHANG ; Su-Yan LIU ; Yong ZHAO ; Xiao-Meng ZHANG ; Jing-Wen WU ; Xuan TANG ; Ai-Hua LIANG
China Journal of Chinese Materia Medica 2025;50(15):4089-4099
In this study, lipopolysaccharide(LPS), ovalbumin(OVA), and compound 48/80(C48/80) were administered to establish non-infectious pneumonia models under simulated clinical conditions, and the correlation between their pathological characteristics and traditional Chinese medicine(TCM) syndromes was compared, providing the basis for the selection of appropriate animal models for TCM efficacy evaluation. An acute pneumonia model was established by nasal instillation of LPS combined with intraperitoneal injection for intensive stimulation. Three doses of OVA mixed with aluminum hydroxide adjuvant were injected intraperitoneally on days one, three, and five and OVA was administered via endotracheal drip for excitation on days 14-18 to establish an OVA-induced allergic pneumonia model. A single intravenous injection of three doses of C48/80 was adopted to establish a C48/80-induced pneumonia model. By detecting the changes in peripheral blood leukocyte classification, lung tissue and plasma cytokines, immunoglobulins(Ig), histamine levels, and arachidonic acid metabolites, the multi-dimensional analysis was carried out based on pathological evaluation. The results showed that the three models could cause pulmonary edema, increased wet weight in the lung, and obvious exudative inflammation in lung tissue pathology, especially for LPS. A number of pyrogenic cytokines, inclading interleukin(IL)-6, interferon(IFN)-γ, IL-1β, and IL-4 were significantly elevated in the LPS pneumonia model. Significantly increased levels of prostacyclin analogs such as prostaglandin E2(PGE2) and PGD2, which cause increased vascular permeability, and neutrophils in peripheral blood were significantly elevated. The model could partly reflect the clinical characteristics of phlegm heat accumulating in the lung or dampness toxin obstructing the lung. The OVA model showed that the sensitization mediators IgE and leukotriene E4(LTE4) were increased, and the anti-inflammatory prostacyclin 6-keto-PGF2α was decreased. Immune cells(lymphocytes and monocytes) were decreased, and inflammatory cells(neutrophils and basophils) were increased, reflecting the characteristics of "deficiency", "phlegm", or "dampness". Lymphocytes, monocytes, and basophils were significantly increased in the C48/80 model. The phenotype of the model was that the content of histamine, a large number of prostacyclins(6-keto-PGE1, PGF2α, 15-keto-PGF2α, 6-keto-PGF1α, 13,14-D-15-keto-PGE2, PGD2, PGE2, and PGH2), LTE4, and 5-hydroxyeicosatetraenoic acid(5S-HETE) was significantly increased, and these indicators were associated with vascular expansion and increased vascular permeability. The pyrogenic inflammatory cytokines were not increased. The C48/80 model reflected the characteristics of cold and damp accumulation. In the study, three non-infectious pneumonia models were constructed. The LPS model exhibited neutrophil infiltration and elevated inflammatory factors, which was suitable for the efficacy study of TCM for clearing heat, detoxifying, removing dampness, and eliminating phlegm. The OVA model, which took allergic inflammation as an index, was suitable for the efficacy study of Yiqi Gubiao formulas. The C48/80 model exhibited increased vasoactive substances(histamine, PGs, and LTE4), which was suitable for the efficacy study and evaluation of TCM for warming the lung, dispersing cold, drying dampness, and resolving phlegm. The study provides a theoretical basis for model selection for the efficacy evaluation of TCM in the treatment of pneumonia.
Animals
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Disease Models, Animal
;
Mice
;
Pneumonia/genetics*
;
Medicine, Chinese Traditional
;
Male
;
Humans
;
Cytokines/immunology*
;
Female
;
Lipopolysaccharides/adverse effects*
;
Lung/drug effects*
;
Drugs, Chinese Herbal
;
Ovalbumin
;
Mice, Inbred BALB C
10.Clinical observation of 25G+minimally invasive vitrectomy in the treatment of retinal arterial macroaneurysm
Nan ZHAO ; Tongtong LIU ; Yige XIA ; Haohao LU ; Yanhui HAN
International Eye Science 2025;25(7):1191-1194
AIM:To observe the therapeutic efficacy of 25G+minimally invasive vitrectomy for retinal arterial macroaneurysm.METHODS:Totally 40 patients(40 eyes)who admitted to Jinan Mingshui Eye Hospital from January 2021 to May 2024 and with vitreous hemorrhage or dense premacular hemorrhage in the macular area caused by retinal arterial macroaneurysm, underwent 25G+minimally invasive vitrectomy. Preoperative and postoperative best-corrected visual acuity(BCVA), complications, and special cases were analyzed.RESULTS: The general patient data aligned with previous literature reports. The postoperative BCVA was significantly improved(t=9.72, P<0.01), and no significant serious surgical complications were observed. Notably, intraoperative findings revealed secondary macular holes in 3 eyes, resulting in poor visual prognosis.CONCLUSION: For vitreous hemorrhage or dense premacular hemorrhage caused by retinal arterial macroaneurysm, 25G+ minimally invasive vitrectomy is a safe and effective treatment. Visual prognosis was excluded for secondary macular holes.

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