1.Spatiotemporal clustering analysis and ARIMA-SVM model prediction of hand-foot-mouth disease in Zibo City in 2018- 2023
Ming FENG ; Ling ZHANG ; Tao SUN ; Haixia CAO ; Haining ZHU ; Ling WANG
Journal of Public Health and Preventive Medicine 2025;36(6):76-80
Objective To analyze the spatial and temporal distribution characteristics of hand-foot-mouth disease (HFMD) in Zibo City, to explore the key incidence areas, and to find a suitable prediction model, so as to provide reference for the prevention and control of HFMD. Methods The spatiotemporal clustering characteristics of HFMD in Zibo City from 2018 to 2023 were analyzed by using SaTScan 10.0.2 software and ArcGIS 10.7 software. A combination model of ARIMA and SVM was established, and the prediction results were verified and compared. Results Spatial clustering analysis showed that there was spatial clustering of the incidence of HFMD in various townships of Zibo City from 2020 to 2022. The high-high clustering areas and Getis-Ord hot spot areas were mainly concentrated in some main urban areas of Zhangdian District, Zichuan District, and Huantai County. A total of 2-5 aggregation areas were detected by spatiotemporal scanning analysis. The first-type aggregation areas were mainly concentrated in the towns of Zhangdian District, Huantai County, Linzi District, Zhoucun District and Gaoxin District. The aggregation months were July, August, September and November. The model prediction results showed that the ARIMA-SVM combined model was more accurate than the traditional ARIMA model. Conclusion There is a spatiotemporal clustering of hand-foot-mouth disease in Zibo City. The ARIMA-SVM combined model can be used to predict the incidence of hand-foot-mouth disease in Zibo City, and to strengthen health education and disease monitoring in high-risk areas and populations during the epidemic months.
2.Medium- and long-term efficacy of percutaneous mechanical thrombectomy with stent implantation in patients with iliac vein stenosis and thrombosis.
Chunlun CHEN ; Chenyang QIU ; Lan SHEN ; Renda ZHU ; Huaji ZHOU ; Hongkun ZHANG
Journal of Zhejiang University. Medical sciences 2025;54(1):108-114
OBJECTIVES:
To investigate the medium- and long-term efficacy of percutaneous mechanical thrombectomy (PMT) combined with stent implantation for treatment of iliac vein stenosis with lower extremity deep venous thrombosis (LEDVT).
METHODS:
Clinical and follow-up data of 125 patients with iliac vein stenosis and LEDVT who underwent PMT and stent implantation at five hospitals in northern Zhejiang province from January 2017 to June 2021 were collected. The thrombus clearance rate, thrombus recurrence rate, patency rate of iliac vein stents and post-thrombotic syndrome (PTS) occurrence rate were documented, and safety indicators such as bleeding, death, pulmonary embolism, stent fracture and displacement were assessed.
RESULTS:
Among 125 patients, for clearance of limb thrombosis, there were 8 cases of grade I (6.4%), 10 cases of grade II (8.0%), and 107 cases of grade III (85.6%). Patients were followed up for a median period of 74 months. According to the Villalta score, the recurrence rates of limb thrombosis at 12, 24 and 36 months were 8.48%, 8.93% and 10.91%; the iliac vein patency rates were 91.52%, 91.07%, and 89.09%; and the incidences of PTS were 5.08%, 5.36% and 6.36%, respectively. There were no major adverse events such as death, massive pulmonary embolism or severe hepatic and renal insufficiency, and no readmission intervention events due to stent fracture or other incidence were found.
CONCLUSIONS
PMT combined with iliac vein stent implantation is effective for patients with iliac vein stenosis complicated by LEDVT with good medium- and long-term efficacy and safety, which is worthy of clinical application.
Humans
;
Stents
;
Iliac Vein/pathology*
;
Venous Thrombosis/surgery*
;
Thrombectomy/methods*
;
Female
;
Male
;
Middle Aged
;
Aged
;
Adult
;
Constriction, Pathologic/surgery*
;
Treatment Outcome
;
Follow-Up Studies
3.Factors influencing influenza vaccination coverage among kindergarten and primary school children in Zhejiang Province, 2023
Minchao LI ; Jing TAO ; Rui ZHANG ; Yumeng WU ; Zhaokai HE ; Chen WU
Shanghai Journal of Preventive Medicine 2025;37(1):23-28
ObjectiveTo investigate the influenza vaccination coverage among kindergarten and primary school children in Zhejiang Province in 2023 and analyze the influencing factors, and to provide the basis for improving the effect of influenza vaccination in children. MethodsA multi-stage random cluster sampling method was used to select 3 681 parents of children from 10 primary schools and kindergartens based on economic level and geographical distribution in Zhejiang Province, who participated in an online questionnaire survey, including basic information about the children and their parents, parents’ knowledge about influenza, and their willingness to vaccination. ResultsAmong the 3 681 parents surveyed, 33.82% (1 245/3 681) reported that their children received influenza vaccination in 2023. Multivariate logistic regression analysis showed that factors contributing to children’s influenza vaccination included both parents [adjusted OR (95%CI): 1.56 (1.32‒1.84)] and children [6.04 (5.04‒7.27)] having a history of influenza vaccination, parents’ conviction the influenza vaccine could protect children from severe diseases [1.43 (1.19‒1.74)], and the willingness of most parents would let their children get vaccinated [1.40 (1.13‒1.74)]. In contrast, vaccine hesitancy among parents [0.55 (0.43‒0.69)] and the belief that influenza is just a common cold [0.80 (0.65‒1.00)] were hindering factors. ConclusionThe influenza vaccination coverage among children is insufficient. Both the vaccination history of parents and children, as well as parents’ correct understanding of influenza and the effectiveness of influenza vaccine, significantly influence the influenza vaccination status in children. Efforts to address vaccine hesitancy and misconceptions about influenza are essential to improve vaccination rates.
4.Efficacy of inverted triangular cannulated screw internal fixation for femoral neck fracture in young and middle-aged patients
Fei MENG ; Min LIU ; Minggang YUAN ; Linjiang CUI ; Chengyu LYU ; Haining ZHANG ; Lixin LI
Chinese Journal of Trauma 2025;41(1):58-64
Objective:To compare the efficacy of inverted triangular and equilateral triangular cannulated screw internal fixation (CSIF) in the treatment of femoral neck fracture (FNF) in young and middle-aged patients.Methods:A retrospective cohort study was conducted to analyze the clinical data of 52 patients with FNF admitted to Qingdao Central Hospital of Rehabilitation University from January 2020 to January 2022, including 18 males and 34 females, aged 28-60 years [(45.7±9.3)years]. Based on the Garden classification, the fractures were classified as type I in 11 patients, type II in 34, and type III in 7. According to Pauwels classification, the fractures were classified as type I in 33 patients, type II in 13, and type III in 6. Among them, 28 patients received inverted triangular CSIF (inverted triangle group) and 24 received equilateral triangular CSIF (equilateral triangle group). Before surgery and at 3 months after surgery, nuclear medicine three-phase bone scan and bone tomography imaging were performed to evaluate the proximal blood supply recovery in the fractured sites in the two groups. The Harris hip joint function scores before surgery, at 1 day, 3 months after surgery, and at the last follow-up, the posterior tilt angles of the femoral head before surgery and at 3 months after surgery, and the fracture nonunion rate and ischemic necrosis rate of the femoral head at the last follow-up were compared between the two groups.Results:All the patients were followed up for 18-30 months [(24.2±5.6)months]. Before surgery, the fracture of both groups showed extensive blood supply defects at the proximal end. At 3 months after surgery, the excellent and good rate of the proximal blood supply recovery in the inverted triangle group was 92.9% (26/28), significantly higher than 70.8% (17/24) in the equilateral triangle group ( P<0.05). The Harris hip joint function scores before surgery were (44.1±4.1)points and (43.5±5.1)points in the inverted triangle group and equilateral triangle group ( P>0.05). At 1 day, 3 months after surgery, and at the last follow-up, the Harris hip joint function scores in the inverted triangle group were (71.7±3.6)points, (87.0±3.6)points, and (88.7±2.6)points respectively, higher than those in the equilateral triangle group [(65.0±5.4)points, (80.5±5.2)points, and (82.6±4.0)points] ( P<0.05). In both groups, there were no significant differences between the Harris hip joint function scores at the last follow-up and those at 3 months after surgery ( P>0.05), which were all higher than those at 1 day after surgery ( P<0.05). The posterior tilt angles of the femoral head were (16.9±4.4)° and (16.8±5.0)° in the inverted triangle group and equilateral triangle group preoperatively ( P>0.05). At 3 months after surgery, the posterior tilt angles of the inverted femoral head were (8.9±1.9)° and (9.0±1.8)° in the inverted triangle group and equilateral triangle group ( P>0.05). The posterior tilt angles of the femoral head at 3 months after surgery were lower than those before surgery in both groups ( P<0.05). At the last follow-up, there were no statistically significant differences in the fracture nonunion rate and ischemic necrosis rate of the femoral head between the two groups ( P>0.05). Conclusion:Compared with equilateral triangle CSIF, inverted triangle CSIF achieves better recovery of the proximal blood supply and hip joint function in the treatment of femoral neck fracture in young and middle-aged patients.
5.Support vector machine model based on gray matter volume for identifying amyotrophic lateral sclerosis and analysis of relevant brain regions
Shan WU ; Haining LI ; Qiuli ZHANG ; Qianqian DUAN ; Xinyi YU ; Xing QIN ; Fangfang HU ; Jiaoting JIN ; Jingxia DANG ; Ming ZHANG
Chinese Journal of Medical Imaging Technology 2025;41(7):1051-1055
Objective To explore the value of support vector machine(SVM)model based on gray matter volume(GMV)for identifying amyotrophic lateral sclerosis(ALS),also to analyze the relevant brain regions.Methods MR 3D T1WI data of 60 ALS patients(ALS group)and 60 healthy volunteers(control group)were retrospectively analyzed.Taken GMV of each brain region obtained by voxel-based morphometry as the input features.F-score analysis was used to select feature with the highest classification accuracy to construct SVM model.Receiver operating characteristic curve was drawn to evaluate the efficacy of SVM model for identifying ALS,and top 10%was used as the weight threshold to obtain gray matter brain regions contributed the most to this model.Results SVM model constructed based on the top 40%GMV features had the highest classification accuracy(82.50%),with sensitivity,specificity and area under the curve(AUG)of 85.05%,80.40%and 0.890,respectively.The left precentral gyrus,left anterior cingulate gyrus and paracingulate gyrus,right middle temporal gyrus,opercular part of left inferior frontal gyrus,right dorsolateral superior frontal gyrus,left temporal pole:middle temporal gyrus,right superior occipital gyrus,orbital part of right middle frontal gyrus,right calcarine fissure and surrounding cortex,right fusiform gyrus were the top 1-10 gray matter brain regions contributed to this model.Conclusion ALS had specific GMV change pattern.SVM model based on GMV could be used to effectively identify ALS,while the left precentral gyrus was the most contributive brain region to this model.
6.A case of Charcot-Marie-Tooth disease type 4C caused by heterozygous mutation of the SH3TC2 gene with ataxia as the main symptom
Yiming QI ; Dongyue JIANG ; Zixun WANG ; Yao LI ; Haining ZHANG
Chinese Journal of Neurology 2025;58(2):169-174
Charcot-Marie-Tooth disease (CMT) is a progressive hereditary peripheral neuropathy characterized by symmetrical distal muscle atrophy, sensory impairment, disappearance of tendon reflexes in both lower limbs, arch foot, claw hand, and scoliosis. This article reports a family of CMT type 4C (CMT4C), whose proband carries a compound heterozygous mutation of c.2782C>T and c.1586G>A in the SH3TC2 gene, with ataxia as the main symptom. The literatures related to CMT4C patients in major databases at home and abroad are summarized to provide reference for early identification and diagnosis of this type of patient.
7.Analysis of learning curve of TiRobot-assisted lumbar pedicle screw fixation based on the cumulative sum test
Yuquan LIU ; Xiang LI ; Qi FEI ; Kuo CHEN ; Weiyang ZUO ; Bin ZHU ; Guoqiang ZHANG ; Lingjia YU ; Xuehu XIE ; Ning LIU ; Haining TAN ; Hai MENG ; Tianqi FAN ; Yong YANG
Chinese Journal of Postgraduates of Medicine 2025;48(1):10-17
Objective:To analyze the learning curve of TiRobot-assisted lumbar pedicle screw fixation (LPSF) by cumulative sum (CUSUM) test method.Methods:The clinical data of 50 patients who underwent TiRobot-assisted LPSF from January 2020 to December 2022 in Beijing Friendship Hospital, Capital Medical University were retrospectively analyzed. CUSUM analysis and learning curve fitting were performed with robot usage time as the main indicator with the time for each step refined (robot registration time, path planning time and guide wire placement time), to select the best learning curve fitting model with the R2 value closest to 1. Using the turning point of the learning curve as the boundary, the learning curve was divided into two stages as learning stage and maturity stage, and then the observation indexes were compared between the two stages. Results:All 50 patients successfully completed the surgery without perioperative complications, with a total of 244 pedicle screws implanted. The total robot usage time and robot registration time showed a gradually decreasing trend with the increase of case number, and the learning curves were successfully fitted and reached their peaks at the seventeenth and thirteenth cases respectively. The entire learning process was divided into learning stage (17 cases) and maturity stage (33 cases) based on the turning point of the learning curve of total robot usage time. The path planning time and guide wire placement time did not show significant changes with the increase in the case number. The total robot usage time, robot registration time and the intraoperative blood loss in the learning stage were significantly higher than those in the maturity stage: (35.35 ± 1.58) min vs. (30.61 ± 0.43) min, (20.83 ± 1.56) min vs. (14.94 ± 0.29) min and 400 (150, 500) ml vs. 200 (110, 300) ml, the guide wire placement time of per screw was significantly lower than that in the maturity stage: 2.00 (1.83, 2.34) min/screw vs. 2.33 (2.13, 2.69) min/screw, and there were statistical differences ( P<0.05 or <0.01). There were no statistical difference in the path planning time, path planning time of per screw, guide wire placement time and the accuracy of screw placement between two stages ( P>0.05). Conclusions:TiRobot-assisted LPSF is a new technology with safety and effectiveness, and it has a relatively short learning curve. To achieve technological maturity, at least 17 surgeries are required with accumulated experience, and the robot registration is the main step of the learning process. After reaching maturity stage, the robot usage time is significantly shortened and intraoperative trauma is significantly reduced while the relatively high screw placement accuracy is ensured.
8.Research Status and Design Ideas of Placebo Manipulation in Clinical Trial Design of Tuina
Jingui WANG ; Haining ZHANG ; Shun FAN ; Yusheng LI ; Hongyi WANG ; An BAO ; Wei ZHANG ; Huanan LI
Journal of Traditional Chinese Medicine 2025;66(11):1128-1132
The rationale for the design of control groups in tuina clinical trial is the foundation for rigorously validating the effectiveness and safety of this therapy. This article reviewed the current state of the design of tuina placebo in control groups of clinical trials, pointed out the necessity of setting up tuina placebo in clinical trials of tuina, analyzed the challenges in implementing blinding of tuina manipulation, and concluded that tuina placebo is still challenged by the placebo effect, the diversification of tuina manipulation but the lack of standardization, and the difficulty of implementing blinding due to the high level of public awareness of tuina. This article also summarized the design of placebo manipulation in three types of clinical trials, including spinal manipulation, acupressure, and paediatric tuina, and proposed four strategies for designing placebo tuina manipulation-controlling placebo effects, developing operational standards for placebo tuina manipulation, ensuring the rigor of blinding implementation, and applying new technologies to enhance the standardization and blinding capacity of placebo tuina methods. So the article is aimed at improving the methodological quality of tuina clinical trial designs, and promoting the standardization and scientificity of tuina clinical trial design.
9.Transition of body mass index and metabolic syndrome in patients with major depressive disorder
Han QI ; Chengcheng DONG ; Rui LIU ; Xuequan ZHU ; Xuzhou LIN ; Yanshu QIN ; Zibo YU ; Haining WANG ; Lei LI ; Yuan FENG ; Ling ZHANG ; Fang YAN
Journal of Capital Medical University 2025;46(2):202-209
Objective To evaluate the transition rules of normal body mass index(BMI),overweight and metabolic syndrome(MetS)in patients with major depressive disorder(MDD).Methods Patients with MDD who had multiple admission records between Jan 2016 and Nov 2021 in Beijing Anding Hospital,Capital Medical University were included.Based on the overweight and metabolic syndrome status assessed at each admission,the patients were categorized into three states:normal BMI,overweight and metabolic syndrome.A multi-state Markov model was used to analyze the transition intensity and transition frequency between three states and the influence of covariates on transitions.Results A total of 892 records of 398 subjects were included,with a median age of 56 years old and 31.4% males.The median follow-up period was 40 months.The multi-state model showed that there were 494 transitions between the three states,of which 5.1% moved from normal BMI to overweight and 5.5% moved from overweight to MetS.The intensity of transition was the highest from overweight to MetS,9.52 times greater than overweight to normal BMI.After 48.53 months,MDD patients with normal BMI began to transition to MetS.For overweight MDD patients,the transition to MetS started after 8.77 months.MDD patients with normal BMI or overweight had 31.4% and 50.4% probabilities of developing Mets after 36 months.For MDD patients comorbid with MetS,the probability of staying at MetS was 51.2% after 36 months.Multivariate analysis showed that being unmarried was a risk factor against developing overweight in normal BMI MDD patients,while a higher level of education was a protective factor against developing MetS in overweight MDD patients.Conclusion MDD patients exhibited a higher intensity and risk of developing MetS,and it is not easy to reverse MetS,suggesting that BMI management and MetS intervention should be strengthened in MDD patients.
10.Research progress and prospects of non-invasive preimplantation genetic testing technology
Aomiao HUANG ; Yinfeng ZHANG ; Cong LIU ; Ying HAN ; Haining LUO
Chinese Journal of Reproduction and Contraception 2025;45(8):846-850
Preimplantation genetic testing for aneuploidy (PGT-A) is a crucial technique currently used to improve embryo implantation rate, reduce miscarriage rate, and shorten the time to pregnancy for patients who are of advanced maternal age (≥35 years), have experienced repeated implantation failures, or have a history of recurrent miscarriages. Conventional PGT-A necessitates an invasive embryo biopsy, which may pose potential risks to subsequent embryo development and long-term health outcomes. Consequently, there is a growing interest among reproductive medicine professionals in developing non-invasive, safe, accurate, and effective methods for assessing embryo chromosomal status and quality. This paper provides an overview of recent advancements in the use of next-generation sequencing for detecting cell-free DNA (cfDNA) in non-invasive preimplantation genetic testing for aneuploidy (niPGT-A). The review highlights both the potential of this approach and its existing limitations. Additionally, the paper proposes a novel hypothesis regarding the application of single-molecule nanopore technology for cfDNA detection in niPGT-A, offering new insights and serving as a reference for future research in this field.


Result Analysis
Print
Save
E-mail